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LA OPALA
RG LTD.
RESEARCH REPORT
1
Analyst: Aayush Agrawal
Email id: xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Phone no.: xxxxxxxxxxxx
LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/in/cfa-aayush-agrawal
JUNE 2020
(“La” is Spanish for ”The”, and
“Opala” is Portuguese for “Opal”)
SOURCE: GOOGLE TRANSLATOR
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
2
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORT, 2015-16, 2016-17
CONTENT
1. HISTORY
2. BUSINESS OVERVIEW
3. MANAGEMENT QUALITY ANALYSIS
4. OPERATIONS ANALYSIS
5. SHAREHOLDING PATTERNS
6. VALUATION
7. PRICE
3
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
4
1. HISTORY
A. INDIAN TABLEWARE MARKET’S
HISTORY
B. MANAGEMENT & COMPANY’S
HISTORY
2. BUSINESS OVERVIEW
A. BRANDS
a) OPALWARE
b) CRYSTALWARE
B. PRODUCTION PROCESS
C. RAW MATERIALS
a) OPALWARE
b) CRYSTALWARE
D. MARKET SIZE & SHARE
a) SEGMENTS
i. OPALWARE V/S OTHER
SEGMENTS
ii. ORGANIZED V/S
UNORGANIZED
b) OPALWARE SEGMENT
E. MANUFACTURING CAPACITY
a) OVERVIEW
b) LOCATION-WISE
c) BRAND-WISE
d) INDUSTRY (CAPACITY &
REVENUES)
F. VALUE DELIVERY NETWORK
G. REVENUE MIX %
a) BRAND-WISE
b) MARKET-WISE
c) DISTRIBUTION CHANNEL-WISE
d) CUSTOMER TYPE-WISE
e) SEASON-WISE
H. COST ANALYSIS
I. PROFIT ANALYSIS
J. BALANCE SHEET ANALYSIS
K. FCF ANALYSIS
L. RATIO ANALYSIS
a) ROCE, ROIC, & ROE
b) DUPONT ANALYSES (2-, 3-, &
5-WAY)
c) OTHER RATIOS
3. MANAGEMENT QUALITY
ANALYSIS
• REMUNERATION OF KMPs
4. OPERATIONS ANALYSIS
A. PORTER’S 5 FORCES
B. SWOT ANALYSIS
5. SHAREHOLDING PATTERNS
A. INSIDERS
B. OUTSIDERS
6. VALUATION
A. BALANCE SHEETS
B. P&L
C. CASH FLOWS
7. PRICE
8. DISCLAIMER
HISTORY
PART 1
5
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
PART 1 - HISTORY
A. INDIAN TABLEWARE
MARKET’S HISTORY
6
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
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7
IN THE 19TH
CENTURY (i.e.
BEFORE 1900)
FROM KOLKATA:
vIMPORT
ØBONE CHINA
CROCKERY
vEXPORT IN-RETURN
ØOPIUM
HOWEVER, BONE
CHINA CROCKERY
NEVER REALLY
CAUGHT ON,
BECAUSE IT USED
COW BONE ASH.
BEFORE 1947
(INDIA'S
INDEPENDENCE)
THE PORCELAIN AND GLASS TABLEWARE MARKET
IN INDIA HAS ALWAYS BEEN STRONG.
AFTER 1947 –
BEFORE 1991
UNDER FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESTRICTIONS,
CROCKERY IMPORTS TAPERED OFF AND
THE MARKET WAS FILLED
WITH SMALL MANUFACTURERS
WITH MEDIOCRE QUALITY PRODUCTS.
SOURCE: BUSINESS INDIA MAGAZINE, MAY 27 TO JUNE 9, 2013 ISSUE
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
8
PRE-
1991
FOR THE MIDDLE-CLASS
FAMILIES, DINNERWARE
WAS STARTED
BEING SEEN AS
A LIFESTYLE PRODUCT
INSTEAD OF AS BEING
A UTILITARIAN PRODUCT
DIFFERENT MATERIALS:
• STAINLESS STEEL – MEH!
• BONE CHINA – COW BONE
ASH, SO DUH!
• OPALWARE – GLEAMING,
NEARLY-UNBREAKABLE WHITE
GLASS, IMPORTED-STUFF…
10 BROWNIE POINTS!
1991 INDIA’S L.P.G. CHANGE
POST-
1991
L.P.G. AND THE INDIAN
MIDDLE-CLASS
AFFLUENCE
BEGAN TO BLOOM
EVERY MIDDLE-CLASS
HOME WAS GIFTED ONE
OR TWO
CERAMIC DINNER SETS
AT A WEDDING
SOURCE: BUSINESS INDIA MAGAZINE, MAY 27 TO JUNE 9, 2013 ISSUE; OUTLOOK BUSINESS, 24/05/2014;
NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 17/9/2013; ANNUAL REPORT, 2018-19
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
9
2001-
2002
% OF INDIAN HOUSEHOLD:
•IN THE MIDDLE INCOME BRACKET = 58%
•IN THE HIGH INCOME BRACKET = 7%
2008-
2010
THE GREAT FINANCIAL
RECESSION
GOVT. INTRODUCED
EXPANSIONARY POLICIES
TO TACKLE THE RECESSION
•LEADING TO HIGHER DISPOSABLE
INCOME
% OF INDIAN
HOUSEHOLD:
•IN THE MIDDLE INCOME BRACKET
= 62%
•IN THE HIGH INCOME BRACKET
= 20%
SOURCE: HBJ CAPITAL, 9/2011
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
10
2010 HOPEWELL TABLEWARE PVT. LTD.
(A DOMESTIC ORGANIZED COMPETITOR)
ENTERED THE TABLEWARE MARKET
2011
THE GOVERNMENT IMPOSED
AN ANTI-DUMPING DUTY
ON IMPORT OF
OPAL GLASSWARE
• CHINA – 41.6-110.17% OF THE LANDED COST OF CONSIGNMENTS
• UAE – 36.73% OF THE COST
FOR A PERIOD OF
5 YEARS
EFFECTIVE 12/2011
i.e. 2012-2017 (5 YEARS)
2013
HOPEWELL TABLEWARE PVT. LTD. ENTERED THE
OPALWARE MARKET
SET-UP OPALWARE MANUFACTURING PLANT
8,000 TPA
IN JAIPUR, RAJASTHAN
HOPEWELL’s PRODUCTS WERE 25% CHEAPER
THAN LA OPALA’s PRODUCTS
HOPEWELL’s BRAND: ‘LARAH’
2016
HOPEWELL TABLEWARE PVT.
LTD. GOT ACQUIRED BY BOROSIL
GLASS WORKS LTD.
THIS WAY BOROSIL ENTERED THE
OPALWARE INDUSTRY
DEMONETIZATION HIT THE
TABLEWARE INDUSTRY HARD
ANTI-DUMPING DUTY GOT
EXTENDED
•TILL 08/2017
•i.e. 6 MONTHS’ EXTENSION
2017
ANTI-DUMPING DUTY GOT
EXTENDED
• TILL 2022
• i.e. 5 YEARS ENTENSION
• CHINA – 30.62% OF THE COST INSURANCE
FREIGHT (CIF)
• UAE – 4.38% OF CIF
GST WAS INTRODUCED
BROUGHT THE UNORGANIZED
SECTOR TO A LEVEL PLAYING
FIELD
CELLO GROUP ENTERED THE
OPALWARE INDUSTRY IN CY2016
SET-UP OPALWARE
MANUFACTURING PLANT IN CY2017,
FY2018
18,250 TPA
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORTS, 17/9/2013, 9/10/2014, 8/2/2017, 5/12/2018, 14/2/2019;
NO.37/9.8.2017-CUSTOMS(ADD); CELLOTABLEWARE.COM; MERGR.COM; PITCHBOOK.COM
PART 1 - HISTORY
B. MANAGEMENT &
COMPANY’S HISTORY
11
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12
BEFORE
MID-1980s
A SMALL GLASS KILN, RADHA
GLASS (RG), AT MADHUPUR
IN BIHAR (NOW, IN
JHARKHAND)
MAKING 100%-RECYCLED
GLASS
FOR TEA SHOP GLASSES,
JARS, HURRICANE-LAMP
SHADES, GLASS CHIMNEYS,
ETC.
FOR DECADES
IN MID-
1980s
THE ELDEST SON OF THE
FAMILY, SUSHIL
JHUNJHUNWALA (2ND GEN.),
INHERITED HIS FATHER’S
BUSINESS (1ST GEN.)
HE REALISED THAT NOTHING
BIG COULD HAPPEN IF HE
STICKS TO THE TRADITIONAL
GLASS PRODUCTS
IN LATE-
1980S
AN IDEA STRIKES DURING A
TRIP TO SOUTH KOREA, HE
CAME ACROSS AN OPAQUE
WHITE GLASS CALLED ‘OPAL’
•ORIGINALLY, A FRENCH DISCOVERY,
OPAL GLASS WAS CONSIDERED
RARE AND DIFFICULT TO CREATE
IMPRESSED BY ITS LOOK,
DECIDED TO MANUFACTURE IT
WITH THE USE OF IMPORTED
MACHINERY
SOURCE: BUSINESS INDIA MAGAZINE, MAY 27 TO JUNE 9, 2013 ISSUE;
OUTLOOK BUSINESS, 24/05/2014; ANNUAL REPORT, 2017-18
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
13
1987 THE JOURNEY BEGAN FOR
LA OPALA GLASS PRIVATE LIMITED
1988
PIONEERING IN OPAL GLASS
TECHNOLOGY
IN INDIA
ON SECURING TECHNICAL
ASSISTANCE FROM
A SOUTH KOREAN
COMPANY, HOSAN GLASS
1ST OPAL GLASS PLANT:
688 TPA (TONNES PER
ANNUM)
SET UP AT MADHUPUR, BIHAR
RS.1.5-2 CRORE INVESTMENT
LATE-
1980s
EVENTHOUGH IT REMAINED LOSS-MAKING FOR 2 YEARS,
DUE TO OVERWHELMING MARKET RESPONSE
IN JUST A FEW QUARTERS THE COMPANY ANNOUNCED
CAPACITY EXPANSION
TO 1032 TPA
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 5/12/2018; ANNUAL REPORT 2017-18; FORBES INDIA, 9/5/2017; COMPANY WEBSITE
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
14
1991
EARNED THE
HONOUR OF BEING
THE FIRST
EXPORTER OF OPAL
GLASS TABLEWARE
STARTING WITH
SINGAPORE,
AFGHANISTAN,
SAUDI ARABIA, UAE
AND BAHRAIN
SOURCE: BUSINESS INDIA MAGAZINE, MAY 27 TO JUNE 9, 2013 ISSUE; OUTLOOK BUSINESS, 24/05/2014;
COMPANY WEBSITE
SOURCE: BUSINESS INDIA MAGAZINE, MAY 27 TO JUNE 9, 2013 ISSUE
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
15
1995 LA OPALA BECAME THE 1ST PUBLIC LIMITED TABLEWARE COMPANY
1996
PIONEERED 24% LEAD CRYSTAL GLASSWARE
TECHNOLOGY IN INDIA:
•SET UP THE 1ST HANDMADE LEAD-CRYSTAL GLASS PLANT AT
MADHUPUR, BIHAR – 550 TPA (LATER DOUBLED TO 1,100 TPA)
•IN COLLABORATION WITH DOOSAN GLASS LIMITED, SOUTH
KOREAN EXPERTS IN GLASS MANUFACTURING
•LAUNCHED INDIA’s 1ST
24% LEAD CRYSTAL GLASSWARE, UNDER
THE BRAND NAME 'SOLITAIRE'
A WELL-PLACED
INVESTMENT BECAUSE:
•LABOUR RATES IN THE MAIN
CRYSTAL MANUFACTURING
COUNTRIES WERE HIGH , AND
•THE INDIAN MIDDLE CLASSES
WERE DEVELOPING A
PENCHANT FOR GOOD GLASSES
1997 THE FIRST INDIAN COMPANY TO EXPORT 24% LEAD CRYSTAL TABLEWARE
1999 THE MERGER OF LA OPALA GLASS LTD,
WITH RADHA GLASS & INDUSTRIES LTD,
FORMING LA OPALA RG LTD
SOURCE: BUSINESS INDIA MAGAZINE, MAY 27 TO JUNE 9, 2013 ISSUE; COMPANY WEBSITE
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
16
2007
1st INDIAN
COMPANY TO
SUPPLY 24% LEAD
CRYSTAL
GLASSWARE TO
WORLD
RENOWNED
‘ROSENTHAL’
2nd OPAL GLASS PLANT:
FULLY AUTOMATIC STATE-OF-
THE-ART
4,000 TPA
•A ₹55-CRORE COMPANY WITH ONLY
₹60-CRORE IN REVENUES TO INVEST
₹40 CRORE IN A PLANT
SET UP AT SITARGANJ,
UTTARAKHAND, IN FY2008,
ATTRACTED BY:
•TAX REGIME THERE
•EXCISE DUTY EXEMPTED TILL 9/2017
•ETC.
•ITS PROXIMITY TO DELHI’S FANCY
MARKET
2008 LAUNCH OF 'DIVA', THE HI-
TECH, WORLDCLASS OPAL
BRAND IN THE PREMIUM
SEGMENT.
THE LIGHTER, THINNER YET
STRONGER PRODUCT SAW
GOOD TRACTION IN THE
MARKET AND
DIVA’s PREMIUM PRICING
TRICKLED DOWN TO THE
COMPANY’S BOTTOMLINE
THE ‘DIVA’ RANGE STARTED
AT A 35% PREMIUM TO THE
‘LA OPALA’ BRAND
THIS HELPED IN
SUBSTANTIALLY HIKING ITS
MARKETING SPENDS
SOURCE: BUSINESS INDIA MAGAZINE, MAY 27 TO JUNE 9, 2013 ISSUE; OUTLOOK BUSINESS, 24/05/2014;
NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 17/9/2013, 31/8/2017; COMPANY WEBSITE; ANNUAL REPORT 2018-19
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 17/9/2013
FY2009-12:
BIPASHA BASU – BECAME THE
BRAND AMBASSADOR OF
LA OPALA ‘DIVA’ FOR 2.5 YEARS
AROUND FY2012 & 2013:
‘MANISH MALHOTRA DIVA
COLLECTION’ (FASHION DESIGNER)
OF CROCKERY WAS LAUNCHED
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 9/10/2014;
ANNUAL REPORT, 2011-12
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
17
2013
1ST MAJOR BROWNFIELD EXPANSION OF
THE SITARGANJ PLANT.
DOUBLED THE PRODUCTION CAPACITY
TO 8,000 TPA
IN FY2014
UPGRADED THE FURNACE AT MADHUPUR, JHARKHAND:
SWITCHED FROM FURNACE OIL TO ELECTRICITY
- GAINS – VISIBLY GOOD SINCE FY2014
2015
2ND MAJOR BROWNFIELD EXPANSION OF THE SITARGANJ
PLANT.
DOUBLED THE PRODUCTION CAPACITY
TO 16,000 TPA
IN FY2016
COMMERCIAL PRODUCTION STARTED FOR OPALWARE
“CUP-SAUCER RANGE”
AT SITARGANJ, UTTARAKHAND
IN 11/2015
2016
NEW PRODUCTS LAUNCHED:
•UNDER DIVA BRAND – “QUADRA”,
“SOVRANA”, & “CUP-SAUCER RANGE”
•UNDER LA OPALA BRAND – “COOK-N-
SERVE PRODUCT” (IMPORTED FROM
EUROPE)
DEMONETIZATION’s +VE EFFECTS:
•SHOWED MGT.’s STANCE
•i.e. NO INCREASE IN DISCOUNT, ONLY
CREDIT PERIOD EXTENSIONS GIVEN TO
DEALERS
•UNORGANIZED SECTOR WAS HIT HARDER
DEMONETIZATION’s -VE EFFECTS:
•CASH CRUNCH – HIT CO.’s WHOLESALE
BUYERS
•HENCE, CO. MISSED THE WEDDING
SEASON
•INSTITUTIONAL SALES WERE ALSO
NEGATIVELY IMPACTED
2017
3RD
BROWNFIELD EXPANSION
OF THE SITARGANJ PLANT.
DOUBLED THE PRODUCTION
CAPACITY
TO 20,000 TPA
IN FY2018
GST’s +VE EFFECTS:
• TAX RATE CUT – FROM 25% TO 18%
• MADHUPUR – POST-6/2017
• SITARGANJ – POST-9/2017
• OPALWARE PRICES:
• AT PAR WITH – STEELWARE
• BELOW – DECENT BONE-CHINEWARE
GST’s -VE EFFECTS:
•MAJOR
DESTOCKING AT
THE RETAILER
LEVEL (SHORT-
TERM IMPACT)
LABOUR UNION’s
UNREASONABLE
DEMANDS CAUSED:
MADHUPUR PLANT TO
SHUT DOWN FOR 45-
DAYS (6/2017)
2018
EARLIER:
•PRINTED DESIGNS, TO BE THERMALLY PASTED ON THE
OPALWARE, WERE IMPORTED
•FROM INDONESIA, & SOUTH KOREA
NOW:
•USES THE TECHNOLOGY OF PRINTING THE DESIGNS
ITSELF
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 17/9/2013, 5/2/2016, 17/5/2016, 22/8/2016,
16/11/2016; 8/2/2017; 31/8/2017; 19/12/2018, 14/2/2019
BUSINESS OVERVIEW
PART 2
18
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW
A. BRANDS
19
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
a) OPALWARE BRANDS
20
THE COMPANY CLAIMS THAT THE FOLLOWING
POSITIONING STRATEGIES HAVE BEEN USED:
1st – ENTRY-LEVEL BRAND -- “LA OPALA” BRANDS
SUB-CATEGORIES - 2
2nd – PREMIUM BRAND -- “DIVA FROM LA OPALA” BRANDS
SUB-CATEGORIES – 4 + 1 ADDED IN 2019-20
NEW: “COSMO COLLECTION”
SOURCE: 2018-19 ANNUAL REPORT
SOURCE: 2018-19 ANNUAL REPORT; COMPANY WEBSITE
Opal glassware: Plates | Bowls | Dinner Sets | Cup-Saucer
Sets | Coffee Mugs | Coffee Cups | Tea Sets | Soup Sets |
Pudding | Dessert Sets
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
21
GOING TO AS HIGH AS
RS.6,500 FOR A 65-PIECE
DINNER SET (i.e. RS.100 PER
PIECE)
STARTING FROM
RS.650 FOR A 6- PIECE DINNER
SET (i.e. RS.108 PER PIECE)
PRICE RANGE (FY2017)
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORT, 2016-17
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
22
SOURCE: 2018-19 ANNUAL REPORT
1st
2nd
2ND -- RS.1,700-
RS.4,500 FOR A 27
PIECE DINNER SET
1ST -- LESS THAN
RS.3,500 FOR A
12-15 PIECE
DINNER SET.
PRICES IN THE MARKET (FY2019)
SOURCE: 15 FEBRUARY 2019, NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
THE COMPANY
DOES NOT SHARE
MARGINS IN ITS
PRODUCT
CATEGORIES,
BUT ITS RETAIL
PRICE GIVES AN
INDICATION OF THE
MARGIN
DIFFERENCE
ACROSS
CATEGORIES.
23
SOURCE: 2018-19 ANNUAL REPORT
1.
2.
5. DIVA SOVRANA
•FORMAL RANGE FOR FORMAL DINING
4. DIVA QUADRA
•CATERING TO A YOUNG AND TRENDING
AUDIENCE
3. DIVA IVORY
•COMPLETE ROUND DINNERWARE; SLIGHTLY
UPMARKET
2. DIVA CLASSIQUE
•ENTRY LEVEL FOR THE PREMIUM COLLECTION
1. LA OPALA
•ENTRY LEVEL BRAND
PRICES AS SHOULD BE
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORT, 2017-18
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
3.
4.
5.
24
PRICES IN THE MARKET - HEH? (FY2019)
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
5. DIVA SOVRANA
•FORMAL RANGE FOR FORMAL DINING
1. LA OPALA
•ENTRY LEVEL BRAND
3. DIVA IVORY
•COMPLETE ROUND DINNERWARE; SLIGHTLY
UPMARKET
2. DIVA CLASSIQUE
•ENTRY LEVEL FOR THE PREMIUM COLLECTION
4. DIVA QUADRA
•CATERING TO A YOUNG AND TRENDING
AUDIENCE
SOURCE: 2018-19 ANNUAL REPORT
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
SOURCE: 5 DECEMBER 2018, 14 FEBRUARY 2019, NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT
THE COMPANY
DOES NOT SHARE
MARGINS IN ITS
PRODUCT
CATEGORIES,
BUT ITS RETAIL
PRICE GIVES AN
INDICATION OF THE
MARGIN
DIFFERENCE
ACROSS
CATEGORIES.
25
PRICES IN THE MARKET - HEH? (FY2020)
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
4. DIVA QUADRA
•CATERING TO A YOUNG AND TRENDING
AUDIENCE
5. DIVA SOVRANA
•FORMAL RANGE FOR FORMAL DINING
3. DIVA IVORY
•COMPLETE ROUND DINNERWARE; SLIGHTLY
UPMARKET
2. DIVA CLASSIQUE
•ENTRY LEVEL FOR THE PREMIUM COLLECTION
1. LA OPALA
•ENTRY LEVEL BRAND
SOURCE: 2018-19 ANNUAL REPORT
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
SOURCE: 1 JULY 2020, NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT
THE COMPANY
DOES NOT SHARE
MARGINS IN ITS
PRODUCT
CATEGORIES,
BUT ITS RETAIL
PRICE GIVES AN
INDICATION OF THE
MARGIN
DIFFERENCE
ACROSS
CATEGORIES.
26
PRODUCT COMPARISON OF VARIOUS PLAYERS (Q2 FY2013)
SOURCE: 17 SEPTEMBER 2013, NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
27
PRODUCT COMPARISON OF VARIOUS PLAYERS (CY2018)
SOURCE: 5 DECEMBER 2018, NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
28
SOURCE: 5 DECEMBER 2018, NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
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SOURCE: 5 DECEMBER 2018, NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
30
PRODUCT COMPARISON OF VARIOUS PLAYERS (FY2020)
SOURCE: 1 JULY 2020, NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
31
SOURCE: 1 JULY 2020, NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
Pigeon
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
32
b) CRYSTALWARE BRANDS
33
THE COMPANY CLAIMS THAT THE FOLLOWING
POSITIONING STRATEGY HAS BEEN USED:
PREMIUM BRAND -- “SOLITAIRE CRYSTAL”
24% LEAD CRYSTAL GLASSWARE
Crystalware: Barware | Vases | Bowls | Stemware
SOURCE: 2018-19 ANNUAL REPORT
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
34
GOING TO AS HIGH
AS
Rs.1,950
STARTING FROM
Rs.300
PRICES RANGE
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORT, 2016-17
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW
B. PRODUCTION
PROCESS
35
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
36
SOURCE: “GLASS CONTAINER PRODUCTION” WIKIPEDIA
THE BATCH
HOUSE
•HANDLES THE RAW
MATERIALS
•STORAGE,
•AUTOMATIC
PROPORTION
CHECKS,
•BATCH MIXING,
•ETC.
THE HOT
END
•HANDLES THE
PROCESSING PART
•THE FOREHEARTH,
•SPINNING
MACHINES,
•ANNEALING OVENS,
•ETC.
THE COLD
END
•HANDLES THE FINAL
PARTS
•AUTOMATIC
QUALITY-CHECKS,
•LABELING,
•PACKAGING,
•ETC.
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
37
SOURCE: ANCHOR.ARNIMADEV.COM/GLASSMAKING-PROCESS/
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
38
SOURCE: YOUTUBE, YOUTU.BE/VB-AXJGECD4
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
39
SOURCE: YOUTUBE, YOUTU.BE/ZTUXAZIXNI0
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
40
1. BATCH HOUSE – TRANSWEIGH (INDIA-MAKE)
2. ELECTRIC GLASS FURNACE – ELECTRO GLASS (UK-MAKE)
3. SPINNING MACHINE – OLIVOTTO (ITALY-MAKE)
4. ANNEALING MACHINE AND TEMPERING MACHINE – CARMET (ITALY-MAKE)
5. ITS UTILITY MACHINES LIKE, E.G. COMPRESSOR, AIR DRYER, PUMPS, AIR AND
WATER CHILLERS, COOLING TOWERS, DG SETS, BOREWELL, WATER SUPPLY,
GAS SUPPLY, HYDRANT, FIREFIGHTING SYSTEM, ETC.
SOURCE: LINKEDIN PROFILE OF ASSISTANT MAINTENANCE MANAGER (MECHANICAL) OF LA OPALA RG LTD. -- https://www.linkedin.com/in/anuraganurag/
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
41
1. BATCH HOUSE – HUAFU (CHINA-MAKE)
2. ELECTRIC GLASS FURNACE – HUAFU (CHINA-MAKE)
3. SPINNING MACHINE – SGMT (CHINA-MAKE)
4. ANNEALING MACHINE AND TEMPERING MACHINE – HUAFU (CHINA-MAKE)
5. ITS UTILITY MACHINES LIKE, E.G. COMPRESSOR, AIR DRYER, PUMPS, AIR AND
WATER CHILLERS, COOLING TOWERS, DG SETS, BOREWELL, WATER SUPPLY,
GAS SUPPLY, HYDRANT, AND FIREFIGHTING SYSTEM, ETC.
SOURCE: LINKEDIN PROFILE OF ASSISTANT MAINTENANCE MANAGER (MECHANICAL) OF LA OPALA RG LTD. -- https://www.linkedin.com/in/anuraganurag/
PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW
C. RAW MATERIALS
42
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW
C. RAW MATERIALS
a) OPALWARE
43
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
44
SOURCE: “OPAL GLASS EXHIBITING A CREAMY-WHITE TINT” (US4687751) 18/8/1987 PATENT, CORNING INC., GOOGLE PATENTS;
BORMIOLI ROCCO WEBSITE; YOUTUBE, YOUTU.BE/ZTUXAZIXNI0
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
45
SOURCE: “OPAL GLASS EXHIBITING A CREAMY-WHITE TINT” (US4687751) 18/8/1987 PATENT, CORNING INC., GOOGLE PATENTS
GENERIC COMPOSITION FOR OPALWARE
GROUP 1 GROUP 2
GROUP 3
SODIUM OXIDE (DISODIUM
MONOXIDE)(NA2O) - 10.5-13%
FLUORINE (F) - 4-5.5%
ALUMINA (ALUMINIUM
TRIOXIDE)(AL2O3)
- 6-9%
SILICA (SILICON DIOXIDE)(SIO2) - 70-73%
QUICKLIME
(CALCIUM
OXIDE)
(CALCIUM
MONOXIDE)(
CAO)
- 0.2-1.7%
TITANIA
(TITANIUM
OXIDE)
(TITANIUM
DIOXIDE)
(TIO2) -
0.1-1%
TRISENOX
(ARSENIC
TRIOXIDE)
(AS2O3)
- 0-0.5%
RUST (IRON
OXIDE)(FERRIC
OXIDE)(FE2O3)
- 0.05-0.30%
CERIA
(CERIUM
DIOXIDE)
(CEO2)
- 0-0.5%
BORON TRIOXIDE
(DIBORON
TRIOXIDE)(B2O3)
- 0.5-3%
BARIA
(BARIUM
OXIDE)(BAO)
- 1-3%
ZINC OXIDE (ZNO)
- 1.5%
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
46
SOURCE: “OPAL GLASS EXHIBITING A CREAMY-WHITE TINT” (US4687751) 18/8/1987 PATENT, CORNING INC., GOOGLE PATENTS;
BORMIOLI ROCCO WEBSITE
PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW
D. MARKET SIZE
& SHARE
49
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW
D. MARKET SIZE
AND SHARE
a) SEGMENTS
50
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW
D. MARKET SIZE
AND SHARE
a) SEGMENTS
i. OPALWARE V/S OTHER SEGMENTS
51
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
STEELWARE,
₹6,000 , 59%
BONE CHINA
- CERAMIC,
₹2,400 , 23%
MELAMINE,
₹700 , 7%
PORCELAIN -
CERAMIC,
₹540 , 5%
OPALWARE -
CERAMIC,
₹500 , 5%
OTHERS -
PLASTIC,
COPPER,
STONEWARE,
ETC., ₹60 ,
1%
FY18 MARKET SHARE ESTIMATE
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
52
STEELWARE,
₹2,998 , 74%
GLASSWARE,
₹560 , 14%
OPALWARE,
₹175 , 4%
MELAMINE,
₹135 , 3%
BONE CHINA,
₹130 , 3%
STONEWARE,
₹45 , 1%
PORCELAIN,
₹35 , 1%
FY13 MARKET SHARE ESTIMATE
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORTS, 17/9/2013, 5/12/2018, 15/2/2019
RS.4,080 CR. RS.10,200 CR.
BONE
CHINA, 79%
PORCELAIN,
73%
MELAMINE,
39%
OPALWARE,
23%
STEELWARE,
15%
OTHERS -
GLASSWARE
, PLASTIC,
COPPER,
STONEWARE
, ETC., -37%
FY13-18 SEGMENT-WISE
ACTUAL PAST GROWTH RATES
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
53
STEELWARE,
10.9%
BONE CHINA,
2.5%
MELAMINE,
1.3%
OPALWARE,
1.0%
PORCELAIN,
0.6%
OTHERS -
GLASSWARE,
PLASTIC,
COPPER,
STONEWARE,
ETC., -5.5%
FY13-18 CONTRIBUTIONS TO
THE TOTAL ACTUAL GROWTH RATE
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORTS, 17/9/2013, 5/12/2018, 15/2/2019
TOTAL ACTUAL PAST GROWTH RATE = 20.1% P.A.
OPALWARE
- CERAMIC,
15%
MELAMINE,
10%
STEELWARE,
5%
BONE CHINA -
CERAMIC, 5%
PORCELAIN -
CERAMIC,
5%
OTHERS -
PLASTIC,
COPPER,
STONEWARE
, ETC., 5%
FY18 SEGMENT-WISE
EXPECTED GROWTH RATES
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
54
STEELWARE,
2.9%
BONE CHINA
- CERAMIC,
1.2%
OPALWARE -
CERAMIC,
0.7%
MELAMINE,
0.7%
PORCELAIN
- CERAMIC,
0.3%
OTHERS -
PLASTIC,
COPPER,
STONEWAR
E, ETC.,
0.0%
FY18 CONTRIBUTIONS TO
THE TOTAL EXPECTED GROWTH RATE
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORTS, 5/12/2018, 15/2/2019
TOTAL EXPECTED FUTURE GROWTH RATE = 5.8% P.A.
BONE CHINA
- CERAMIC,
₹2,400 , 57%
MELAMINE,
₹700 , 17%
PORCELAIN -
CERAMIC,
₹540 , 13%
OPALWARE -
CERAMIC,
₹500 , 12%
OTHERS -
PLASTIC,
COPPER,
STONEWARE,
ETC., ₹60 ,
1%
FY18 MARKET SHARE ESTIMATE
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
55
GLASSWARE,
₹560 , 52%
OPALWARE,
₹175 , 16%
MELAMINE,
₹135 , 13%
BONE CHINA,
₹130 , 12%
STONEWARE,
₹45 , 4%
PORCELAIN,
₹35 , 3%
FY13 MARKET SHARE ESTIMATE (EXCLUDING STEELWARE)
RS.1,080 CR.
(OUT OF RS.4,080 CR.)
RS.4,200 CR.
(OUT OF RS.10,200 CR.)
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORTS, 17/9/2013, 5/12/2018, 15/2/2019
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
56
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORTS, 17/9/2013
CROCKERY REQUIREMENTS OF DIFFERENT CULTURES ARE
AS VARIED AS THEIR CUISINE.
IT IS A VERY FRAGMENTED MARKET AND EACH COUNTRY
DEMANDS ITS OWN CONFIGURATION IN TERMS OF NUMBER
OF PIECES, DESIGN, SIZE AND SHAPE.
AS A RESULT:
1. A PRODUCT OF A COMPANY MAY WORK IN ONE
COUNTRY BUT MAY BE UNSUCCESSFUL IN ANOTHER,
2. THE SHARE OF ESTABLISHED GLOBAL BRANDS IS
LOWER IN THE INDIAN CROCKERY MARKET.
EXAMPLES OF DIFFERENCES:
1. IN INDIA, & THE USA,
§ A LUNCH/DINNER NEEDS
§ 20 PIECES OF CROCKERY
§ TO SERVE
§ A TYPICAL FOUR-MEMBER HOUSEHOLD.
2. IN SAUDI ARABIA,
§ FAMILIES ARE LARGE
§ PEOPLE EAT TOGETHER,
§ A TYPICAL LUNCH/DINNER INVOLVES
§ ABOUT 90 PIECES OF CROCKERY.
3. ITALY, LIKE THE REST OF THE MEDITERRANEAN REGION,
§ HAS FONDNESS FOR
§ SOUP BOWLS.
4. THE CHINESE
§ NEED
§ A PLETHORA OF SMALL BOWLS FOR THEIR
SAUCES.
PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW
D. MARKET SIZE
AND SHARE
a) SEGMENTS
ii. ORGANIZED V/S UNORGANIZED
57
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
58
ORGANIZED -
DOMESTIC,
₹2,240 , 21%
ORGANIZED -
IMPORT,
₹3,240 , 30%
UNORGANIZE
D - DOMESTIC,
₹2,870 , 26%
UNORGANIZED
- IMPORT,
₹2,510 , 23%
FY13 ESTIMATE OF
DOMESTIC V/S IMPORTS
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORTS, 17/9/2013
PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW
D. MARKET SIZE
AND SHARE
b) OPALWARE SEGMENT
59
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
60
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORTS, 5/12/2018; LIVINGLIFESTYLE.IN
1. OPALWARE V/S STEEL & OTHER
METALS
A. OPALWARE:
q MICROWAVE OVEN
COMPATIBILITY
ü WITH HIGHER PENETRATION OF
MICROWAVE OVENS,
OPALWARE’S DEMAND MAY ALSO
INCREASE
q DESIGNS AND COLORS
ü OFFERS BETTER THAN METALWARES
q ASTHETICS
ü OFFERS BETTER THAN METALWARES
q DURABILITY
✘ NOT BETTER THAN METALS.
2. OPALWARE V/S MELAMINE &
PLASTICS
A. OPALWARE:
q EFFECT ON HEALTH
ü SAFE FOR HEALTH.
B. MELAMINE & PLASTICWARE:
q DESIGNS AND COLORS
ü OFFERS BETTER THAN METALWARES
q PRICING
ü CHEAPER THAN MANY OTHER
TABLEWARE MATERIALS
q DURABILITY
ü LONGER LASTING THAN
OPALWARE.
ü REPLACEMENT RATE OF MELAMINE
- 10-20% P.A. (i.e. 5-10 YEARS TO
REPLACE WHOLE SET). ITS AN
IMPORTANT FACTOR FOR
RESTAURANTS, CATERING, ETC.
ü AS COMPARED TO
50-150% P.A. (i.e. 0.5-2
YEARS) FOR CERAMIC
TABLEWARE.
q ASTHETICS
ü OFFERS BETTER THAN METALWARES
✘ BUT FEELS “CHEAP” COMPARED TO
“ELEGANT” OPALWARE
q MICROWAVE OVEN
COMPATIBILITY
✘ NOPE.
q EFFECT ON HEALTH
✘ HARMFUL FOR HEALTH.
3. OPALWARE V/S BONE
CHINA/CERAMICS
A. OPALWARE - ALSO A KIND OF A
CERAMIC:
q STURDYNESS
ü BETTER THAN TRADITIONAL BONE
CHINA, CLAY, OR PROCELAIN
PRODUCTS
q PRICING
ü CHEAPER THAN OTHER CERAMICS
q EASE OF HANDLING &
MAINTAINING
ü EASIER THAN OTHER CERAMICS
q WEIGHT
ü LIGHTWEIGHT, IN MOST CASES.
q BONE-ASH RAW MATERIAL
ü NO BONE-ASH USED.
ü 100% VEGETARIAN.
ü VEGAN
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
61
₹340.2
₹418.5
₹447.0
₹-
₹50.0
₹100.0
₹150.0
₹200.0
₹250.0
₹300.0
₹350.0
₹400.0
₹450.0
FY2016 FY2017 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2018 (IND-AS)
REVENUES
(in
Rs.
Cr.)
REVENUES OF THE OPALWARE SEGMENT
FY2016 FY2017 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2018 (IND-AS)
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 5/12/2018
GROWTH: (FY16-18)
TOTAL = BY 31%
i.e. 14.63% CAGR
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
62
₹212.2 ₹222.7 ₹212.6
₹48.0
₹98.3
₹102.1
₹-
₹-
₹47.3
₹80.0
₹97.5
₹85.0
₹-
₹50.0
₹100.0
₹150.0
₹200.0
₹250.0
₹300.0
₹350.0
₹400.0
₹450.0
FY2016 FY2017 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2018 (IND-AS)
REVENUES
(in
Rs.
Cr.)
REVENUES OF THE OPALWARE SEGMENT
LA OPALA BOROSIL - LARAH CELLO OTHERS (CORELLE, BORMIOLI ROCCO, LUMINARC, RAK CERAMICS, ETC.)
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 5/12/2018
GROWTH: (FY16-18)
LA OPALA = BY 0.2%
i.e. 0.09% CAGR
BOROSIL = BY 113%
i.e. 45.8% CAGR
OTHERS = BY 6%
i.e. 3.08% CAGR
TOTAL = BY 31%
i.e. 14.63% CAGR
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
63
62%
53%
48%
14%
23%
23%
0% 0% 11%
24% 23%
19%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
FY2016 FY2017 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2018 (IND-AS)
REVENUES
(AS
A
%
OF
TOTAL)
REVENUES OF THE OPALWARE SEGMENT
LA OPALA BOROSIL - LARAH CELLO OTHERS (CORELLE, BORMIOLI ROCCO, LUMINARC, RAK CERAMICS, ETC.)
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 5/12/2018
PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW
E. MANUFACTURING
CAPACITY
64
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
65
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORT, 2014-15
PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW
E. MANUFACTURING
CAPACITY
a) OVERVIEW
66
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
67
FIXED ASSET TYPE
LOCATIONS
COMPANY LA OPALA RG LTD.
DOMESTIC
3(+1)
FACTORIES
1 CORPORATE
OFFICE
1 WIND
MILL
INTERNATIONAL
0
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORT, 2017-18, 2018-19
PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW
E. MANUFACTURING
CAPACITY
b) LOCATION-WISE
68
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
69
PRODUCT TYPE &
CAPACITY
LOCATIONS & CAPACITY
FIXED ASSET TYPE
LOCATIONS DOMESTIC
3(+1)
FACTORIES
(25,000 +
11,000 TPA)
2 IN MADHUPUR,
JHARKHAND
(5,000 TPA)
1 OPALWARE
(4,000 TPA)
1 CRYSTALWARE
(1,000 TPA)
1(+1) IN SITARGANJ,
UTTARAKHAND
(20,000 + 11,000
TPA)
1 OPALWARE
(20,000 TPA)
(+1) OPALWARE
(11,000 TPA)
1 CORPORATE
OFFICE
CHITRAKOOT,
KOLKATA,
WEST BENGAL
1 WIND MILL
(600 KWH)
GORERA VILLAGE,
JAISALMER,
RAJASTHAN
ELECTRICITY
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORT, 2010-11, 2017-18, 2018-19
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
70
5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000
- - - - -
4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000
8,000 8,000
16,000 16,000
20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000
- - - -
4,000
- - - - - -
- -
- -
- - -
11,000
- - - -
- - - - - -
4,000
-
8,000
-
4,000
- - -
-
2,500
5,000
10,000
20,000
40,000
F
Y
2
0
0
4
F
Y
2
0
0
5
F
Y
2
0
0
6
F
Y
2
0
0
7
F
Y
2
0
0
8
F
Y
2
0
0
9
F
Y
2
0
1
0
F
Y
2
0
1
1
F
Y
2
0
1
2
F
Y
2
0
1
3
F
Y
2
0
1
4
F
Y
2
0
1
5
F
Y
2
0
1
6
F
Y
2
0
1
7
F
Y
2
0
1
8
F
Y
2
0
1
9
F
Y
2
0
2
0
(
E
X
P
E
C
T
E
D
)
F
Y
2
0
2
1
(
E
X
P
E
C
T
E
D
)
F
Y
2
0
2
2
(
E
X
P
E
C
T
E
D
)
TONNES
PER
ANNUM
(TPA)
LOCATIONS’ IMPORTANCE OVER THE YEARS
MADHUPUR SITARGANJ SITARGANJ - GREENFIELD EXPANSION SITARGANJ - BROWNFIELD EXPANSION
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORT, 2017-18, 2018-19; NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 14/2/2019, 1/7/2020
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
71
100% 100% 100% 100%
56% 56% 56% 56% 56% 56%
38% 38%
24% 24% 20% 20% 20% 20%
14%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0%
44% 44% 44% 44% 44%
31%
62%
38%
76%
64%
80% 80% 80%
56%
0% 0% 0% 0%
44%
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0% 0% 0%
31%
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
31%
0%
38%
0%
16%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
F
Y
2
0
0
4
F
Y
2
0
0
5
F
Y
2
0
0
6
F
Y
2
0
0
7
F
Y
2
0
0
8
F
Y
2
0
0
9
F
Y
2
0
1
0
F
Y
2
0
1
1
F
Y
2
0
1
2
F
Y
2
0
1
3
F
Y
2
0
1
4
F
Y
2
0
1
5
F
Y
2
0
1
6
F
Y
2
0
1
7
F
Y
2
0
1
8
F
Y
2
0
1
9
F
Y
2
0
2
0
(
E
X
P
E
C
T
E
D
)
F
Y
2
0
2
1
(
E
X
P
E
C
T
E
D
)
F
Y
2
0
2
2
(
E
X
P
E
C
T
E
D
)
TONNES
PER
ANNUM
(TPA)
AS
A
%
OF
TOTAL
LOCATIONS’ IMPORTANCE OVER THE YEARS
MADHUPUR SITARGANJ SITARGANJ - GREENFIELD EXPANSION SITARGANJ - BROWNFIELD EXPANSION
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORT, 2017-18, 2018-19; NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 14/2/2019, 1/7/2020
PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW
E. MANUFACTURING
CAPACITY
c) BRAND-WISE
72
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
73
FURNACE
TYPE
PRODUCTION TYPE
BRANDS &
LOCATION
PRODUCT TYPE &
CAPACITY
FIXED ASSET TYPE
3(+1) FACTORIES
(25,000 +
11,000 TPA)
1 OPALWARE
(4,000 TPA)
“LA OPALA”
BRANDS
MADHUPUR,
JHARKHAND
SEMI-AUTO:
PRESSED
PROCESS
FUEL-FIRE
(PRE-7/2013)
ELECTRIC-ARC
(SINCE 7/2013)
1 CRYSTALWARE
(1,000 TPA)
“SOLITAIRE
CRYSTAL” BRAND
MADHUPUR,
JHARKHAND
HANDMADE
FUEL-FIRE
(PRE-7/2013)
ELECTRIC-ARC
(SINCE 7/2013)
1(+1)
OPALWARE
(20,000 +
11,000 TPA)
“DIVA” BRANDS
SITARGANJ,
UTTARAKHAND
FULLY-AUTO:
SPINNING
PROCESS
ELECTRIC-ARC
(SINCE
INCEPTION)
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORT, 2014-15, 2017-18, 2018-19; BUSINESS INDIA MAGAZINE, MAY 27 TO JUNE 9, 2013 ISSUE;
OUTLOOK BUSINESS, 24/05/2014 : NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 9/10/2014, 31/8/2017, 14/2/2019
(FURNACE NEEDS
TO BE RE-ALIGNED
EVERY 2 YEARS)
(FACTORY SHUTS
FOR 1.5 MONTHS)
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
74
4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000
1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000
- - - - -
4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000
8,000 8,000
16,000 16,000
20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000
- - - -
4,000
- - - - - -
- -
- -
- - -
11,000
- - - -
- - - - - -
4,000
-
8,000
-
4,000
- - -
-
2,500
5,000
10,000
20,000
40,000
F
Y
2
0
0
4
F
Y
2
0
0
5
F
Y
2
0
0
6
F
Y
2
0
0
7
F
Y
2
0
0
8
F
Y
2
0
0
9
F
Y
2
0
1
0
F
Y
2
0
1
1
F
Y
2
0
1
2
F
Y
2
0
1
3
F
Y
2
0
1
4
F
Y
2
0
1
5
F
Y
2
0
1
6
F
Y
2
0
1
7
F
Y
2
0
1
8
F
Y
2
0
1
9
F
Y
2
0
2
1
(
E
X
P
E
C
T
E
D
)
F
Y
2
0
2
2
(
E
X
P
E
C
T
E
D
)
F
Y
2
0
2
0
(
E
X
P
E
C
T
E
D
)
TONNES
PER
ANNUM
(TPA)
CAPACITIES OVER THE YEARS
LA OPALA SOLITAIRE CRYSTAL DIVA - TILL DATE DIVA - GREENFIELD EXPANSION DIVA - BROWNFIELD EXPANSION
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORT, 2017-18, 2018-19; NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 14/2/2019, 1/7/2020
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
75
80% 80% 80% 80%
44% 44% 44% 44% 44% 44%
31% 31%
19% 19% 16% 16% 16% 16%
11%
20% 20% 20% 20%
11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11%
8% 8%
5% 5%
4% 4% 4% 4%
3%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0%
44% 44% 44% 44% 44%
31%
62%
38%
76%
64%
80% 80% 80%
56%
0% 0% 0% 0%
44%
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0% 0% 0%
31%
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
31%
0%
38%
0%
16%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
F
Y
2
0
0
4
F
Y
2
0
0
5
F
Y
2
0
0
6
F
Y
2
0
0
7
F
Y
2
0
0
8
F
Y
2
0
0
9
F
Y
2
0
1
0
F
Y
2
0
1
1
F
Y
2
0
1
2
F
Y
2
0
1
3
F
Y
2
0
1
4
F
Y
2
0
1
5
F
Y
2
0
1
6
F
Y
2
0
1
7
F
Y
2
0
1
8
F
Y
2
0
1
9
F
Y
2
0
2
0
(
E
X
P
E
C
T
E
D
)
F
Y
2
0
2
0
(
E
X
P
E
C
T
E
D
)
F
Y
2
0
2
0
(
E
X
P
E
C
T
E
D
)
TONNES
PER
ANNUM
(TPA)
AS
A
%
OF
TOTAL
BRANDS’ IMPORTANCE OVER THE YEARS
LA OPALA SOLITAIRE CRYSTAL DIVA - TILL DATE DIVA - GREENFIELD EXPANSION DIVA - BROWNFIELD EXPANSION
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORT, 2017-18, 2018-19; NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 14/2/2019, 1/7/2020
PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW
E. MANUFACTURING
CAPACITY
d) INDUSTRY (CAPACITY & REVENUES)
76
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77
21,000 21,000
25,000
9,750 9,750
14,600
- -
18,250
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
TONNES
PER
ANNUM
(TPA)
TOTAL CAPACITIES IN THE INDUSTRY (EXCLUDING OTHERS)
LA OPALA BOROSIL CELLO
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 14/2/2019, 1/7/2020
GROWTH:
LA OPALA = BY 19%
i.e. 9.11% CAGR
BOROSIL = BY 50%
i.e. 22.37% CAGR
TOTAL = BY 88%
i.e. 37.16% CAGR
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
78
₹212.2 ₹222.7 ₹212.6
₹48.0
₹98.3
₹102.1
₹-
₹-
₹47.3
₹-
₹50.0
₹100.0
₹150.0
₹200.0
₹250.0
₹300.0
₹350.0
₹400.0
FY2016 FY2017 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2018 (IND-AS)
REVENUES
(in
Rs.
Cr.)
REVENUES OF THE INDUSTRY (EXCLUDING OTHERS)
LA OPALA BOROSIL - LARAH CELLO
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 5/12/2018
GROWTH: (FY16-18)
LA OPALA = BY 0.2%
i.e. 0.09% CAGR
BOROSIL = BY 113%
i.e. 45.84% CAGR
TOTAL (EXCL. OTHERS) = BY 39.12%
i.e. 17.95% CAGR
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
79
68% 68%
43%
32% 32%
25%
0% 0%
32%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
TONNES
PER
ANNUM
(TPA)
AS
A
%
OF
TOTAL
TOTAL CAPACITIES IN THE INDUSTRY (EXCLUDING OTHERS)
LA OPALA BOROSIL CELLO
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 14/2/2019
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
80
82%
69%
59%
18%
31%
28%
0% 0%
13%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
FY2016 FY2017 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2018 (IND-AS)
REVENUES
(AS
A
%
OF
TOTAL)
REVENUES OF THE INDUSTRY (EXCLUDING OTHERS)
LA OPALA BOROSIL - LARAH CELLO
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 5/12/2018
PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW
F. VALUE DELIVERY
NETWORK
81
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
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82
CUSTOMERS
RETAILERS
DEALERS/
WHOLESALERS/
DISTRIBUTORS
PRODUCER
SUPPLIERS SUPPLIERS OF FIXED ASSETS, RAW MATERIALS, PACKING MATERIALS, POWER & FUEL, ETC.
LA OPALA RG. LTD.
DEALERS/
WHOLESALER/
DISTRIBUTORS
RETAILERS
RETAIL (&
INSTITUTIONAL)
CUSTOMERS
MODERN RETAIL
CHAINS
RETAIL (&
INSTITUTIONAL)
CUSTOMERS
E-COMMERCE
WEBSITES
RETAIL (&
INSTITUTIONAL)
CUSTOMERS
INSTITUTIONAL
CUSTOMERS
FOREIGN
CUSTOMERS
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 9/10/2014, 5/12/2018; CARE RATINGS REPORT, 4/10/2019
PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW
G. REVENUE MIX %
83
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW
G. REVENUE MIX %
a) BRAND-WISE
84
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
85
LA OPALA
40%
DIVA
48%
SOLITAIRE
10%
OTHERS
2%
FY13 REVENUE MIX
LA OPALA,
22%
DIVA, 75%
SOLITAIRE,
3%
OTHERS, 0%
FY18 REVENUE MIX
SOURCE: 15 FEBRUARY 2019, NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
86
LA OPALA,
41%
DIVA, 49%
SOLITAIRE,
10%
FY13 REVENUE MIX
LA OPALA,
22%
DIVA, 75%
SOLITAIRE,
3%
FY18 REVENUE MIX
SOURCE: 15 FEBRUARY 2019, NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
(EXCLUDING OTHERS)
PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW
G. REVENUE MIX %
b) MARKET-WISE
87
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
88
₹44.57
₹59.16
₹80.22
₹97.18
₹134.08
₹146.03
₹186.38
₹212.23 ₹222.70
₹194.91
₹212.60
₹234.87
₹19.56
₹17.65
₹18.29
₹20.39
₹25.59
₹34.31
₹37.95
₹40.53
₹42.78
₹42.78
₹43.96
₹39.38
₹35
₹70
₹140
₹280
FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
(INDIAN
GAAP)
FY2017
(IND-AS)
FY2018 FY2019
REVENUE
(in
Rs.
Cr.)
REVENUE MIX – DOMESTIC V/S EXPORTS
DOMESTIC EXPORTS
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
GROWTH: (FY09-17)
EXPORTS = BY 119%
i.e. 10.28% CAGR
DOMESTIC = BY 400%
i.e. 22.27% CAGR
TOTAL = BY 314%
i.e. 19.43% CAGR
GROWTH: (FY09-19)
(ADJ. FOR IND-AS)
EXPORTS = BY 101%
i.e. 7.25% CAGR
DOMESTIC = BY 502%
i.e. 19.67% CAGR
TOTAL = BY 378%
i.e. 16.93% CAGR
GROWTH: (FY17-19)
EXPORTS = BY (8)%
i.e. (4.06)% CAGR
DOMESTIC = BY 21%
i.e. 9.77% CAGR
TOTAL = BY 15%
i.e. 7.42% CAGR
*NOTE: ONLY “GLASS & GLASSWARE” & “ELECTRICITY” COMPONENTS
OF “REVENUE FROM OPERATIONS” HAVE BEEN CONSIDERED
89
70%
77%
81% 83% 84% 81% 83% 84% 84% 82% 83% 86%
30%
23%
19% 17% 16% 19% 17% 16% 16% 18% 17% 14%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
(INDIAN
GAAP)
FY2017
(IND-AS)
FY2018 FY2019
REVENUE
(in
%)
REVENUE MIX – DOMESTIC V/S EXPORTS
DOMESTIC EXPORTS
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
*NOTE: ONLY “GLASS & GLASSWARE” & “ELECTRICITY” COMPONENTS
OF “REVENUE FROM OPERATIONS” HAVE BEEN CONSIDERED
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
90
NORTH INDIA
30%
SOUTH INDIA
27%
WEST INDIA
23%
EAST INDIA
20%
REVENUE MIX (IN %) –
DOMESTIC MARKET (FY2018)
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 19/10/2014, 5/12/2018; ANNUAL REPORTS, 2014-15; 2017-18, 2018-19
NORTH INDIA
29%
SOUTH INDIA
25%
WEST INDIA
24%
EAST INDIA
22%
REVENUE MIX (IN %) –
DOMESTIC MARKET (FY2014)
(DOMESTIC MARKET)
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
91
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 5/12/2018; ANNUAL REPORTS, 2014-15; 2017-18, 2018-19; CARE RATINGS REPORT, 4/10/2019
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
92
SOURCE: FOR MADHUPUR PLANT, GOOGLE MAPS
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
93
SOURCE: FOR SITARGANJ PLANT, GOOGLE MAPS
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
94
SOURCE: 2018-19 ANNUAL REPORT
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
95
SOURCE: CARE RATINGS REPORT, 4/10/2019
96
₹20.39
₹25.59
₹34.31
₹37.95
₹40.53
₹42.78 ₹42.78 ₹43.96
₹39.38
₹2.31
₹2.49
₹3.06
₹3.75
₹2.48
₹2.95 ₹2.39
₹2.39
₹1.81
₹0
₹5
₹10
₹15
₹20
₹25
₹30
₹35
₹40
₹45
₹50
FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 (INDIAN
GAAP)
FY2017 (IND-AS) FY2018 FY2019
REVENUE
(in
Rs.
Cr.)
REVENUE MIX – EXPORT INCENTIVES
EXPORTS EXPORT INCENTIVES
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
GROWTH: (FY12-17)
EXPORTS = BY 110%
i.e. 15.98% CAGR
EXPORT INCENTIVES = BY 28%
i.e. 5.01% CAGR
TOTAL = BY 102%
i.e. 15.04% CAGR
GROWTH: (FY12-19)
(ADJ. FOR IND-AS)
EXPORTS = BY 93%
i.e. 9.86% CAGR
EXPORT INCENTIVES = BY -(4)%
i.e. -(0.51)% CAGR
TOTAL = BY 84%
i.e. 9.08% CAGR
GROWTH: (FY17-19)
EXPORTS = BY (8)%
i.e. (4.06)% CAGR
EXPORT INCENTIVES = BY -(24)%
i.e. -(13.09)% CAGR
TOTAL = BY -(9)%
i.e. -(4.51)% CAGR
*NOTE: ONLY “GLASS & GLASSWARE” – EXPORTS & “EXPORT
INCENTIVES” COMPONENTS OF “REVENUE FROM OPERATIONS” HAVE
BEEN CONSIDERED
97
90% 91% 92% 91% 94% 94% 95% 95% 96%
10% 9% 8% 9% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 (INDIAN
GAAP)
FY2017 (IND-AS) FY2018 FY2019
REVENUE
(in
%)
REVENUE MIX – EXPORT INCENTIVES
DOMESTIC EXPORTS
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
*NOTE: ONLY “GLASS & GLASSWARE” – EXPORTS & “EXPORT
INCENTIVES” COMPONENTS OF “REVENUE FROM OPERATIONS” HAVE
BEEN CONSIDERED
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
98
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 9/10/2014
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
99
REFERENCES:
PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW
G. REVENUE MIX %
c) DISTRIBUTION CHANNEL-WISE
100
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
101
TRADITIONAL
RETAILERS
75%
MODERN
RETAIL
20%
E-COMMERCE
5%
REVENUES – DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS
(FY2018)
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 5/12/2018; CARE RATINGS REPORT, 4/10/2019
TRADITIONAL
RETAILERS
72%
MODERN
RETAIL
20%
E-COMMERCE
8%
REVENUES – DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS
(FY2019)
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
102
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 5/12/2018; ANNUAL REPORT, 2015-16,
2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19; CARE RATINGS REPORT, 4/10/2019
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
103
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 9/10/2014
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
104
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 17/9/2013, 9/10/2014
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
105
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 9/10/2014, 5/12/2018
v BOROSIL – ‘LARAH’
• 6000+ RETAIL OUTLETS (1/2 OF LA OPALA)
• 130+ DISTRIBUTORS (1/2 OF LA OPALA)
• “OUR VISIT TO SOME TRADITIONAL STORES
AND MODERN RETAIL OUTLETS IN A COUPLE
OF CITIES REVEALS THAT… BOROSIL’S
OPALWARE IS STILL NOT AVAILABLE IN MOST
SHOPS IN VARIOUS CITIES.” – NIRMAL BANG
vCELLO
• “OUR VISIT TO SOME TRADITIONAL STORES
AND MODERN RETAIL OUTLETS IN A COUPLE
OF CITIES REVEALS THAT… CELLO IS
PERCEIVED AS A CHEAPER BRAND THAN LA
OPALA” – NIRMAL BANG
• FURTHER RESEARCH IS REQUIRED
vCORNING INC. – ‘CORELLE’, ‘CORNINGWARE’,
‘PYREX’
• ENTERED INDIA AFTER 1991, BUT NOT STRONG
EVEN TODAY
• STRONG BRAND EQUITY IN INDIA, BUT COULD
NEVER CREATE A STRONG DISTRIBUTION
NETWORK
• TO SOLVE THIS PROBLEM:
o IN 2012 – PARTNERED WITH TTK PRESTIGE,
ENDED IN 2013
o AS OF TODAY – STILL PRESENT IN INDIA, BUT IS
LARGELY CONFINED TO
ü HIGH-STREET SHOPS IN SELECT CITIES,
ü MODERN RETAIL STORES IN SELECT CITIES, &
ü NOW ALSO HAS A CHANCE TO GROW USING
THE E-COMMERCE CHANNEL’s PENETRATION
PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW
G. REVENUE MIX %
d) CUSTOMER TYPE-WISE
106
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
107
RETAIL
CUSTOMERS
93%
INSTITUTIONAL
CUSTOMERS
7%
REVENUES – TYPES OF CUSTOMERS
(FY2019)
SOURCE: CARE RATINGS REPORT, 4/10/2019
PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW
G. REVENUE MIX %
e) SEASON-WISE
108
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
109
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 9/10/2014, 22/8/2016; GOOGLE TRENDS
PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW
H. COST ANALYSIS
110
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
111
11.92 16.6 19.39
26.4 25.16 27.62
49.08
29.92 29.01
37.39
5.28
7.51
8.79
11.59 11.91
13.13
14.65
14.27 16.17
17.16
12.81
15.97
19.59
24.27 24.23
24.44
28.18
27.76
33.97
45
1.01
0.56
-3.1 -4.5
3.26 0.11
-9.2
6.93
2.81
-15.51
₹(20)
₹-
₹20
₹40
₹60
₹80
₹100
FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
(INDIAN
GAAP)
FY2017 (IND-
AS)
FY2018 (IND-
AS)
FY2019 (IND-
AS)
COSTS
(in
Rs.
Cr.)
DIRECT COSTS
RAW MATERIAL COST + STOCK-IN-TRADE PACKING MATERIAL CONSUMED POWER & FUEL CHANGE IN INVENTORY (INC.)/DEC.
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; KOTAK SECURITIES; SCREENER.IN
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
112
38.4% 40.8% 43.4% 45.7%
39.0% 42.3%
59.3%
37.9% 35.4%
44.5%
17.0%
18.5%
19.7% 20.1%
18.4%
20.1%
17.7%
18.1% 19.7%
20.4%
41.3%
39.3%
43.9% 42.0%
37.5%
37.4%
34.1%
35.2% 41.4%
53.5%
3.3% 1.4%
-6.9% -7.8%
5.0% 0.2%
-11.1%
8.8% 3.4%
-18.5%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
(INDIAN GAAP)
FY2017 (IND-
AS)
FY2018 (IND-
AS)
FY2019 (IND-
AS)
COSTS
(in
%)
DIRECT COSTS
RAW MATERIAL COST + STOCK-IN-TRADE PACKING MATERIAL CONSUMED POWER & FUEL CHANGE IN INVENTORY (INC.)/DEC.
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; KOTAK SECURITIES; SCREENER.IN
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
113
FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
FY2016
(INDIAN
GAAP)
FY2017
(IND-AS)
FY2018
(IND-AS)
FY2019
RAW MATERIALS 16% 17% 17% 17% 14% 12% 20% 13% 11% 13%
PACKING MATERIALS 7% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6%
TOTAL RAW MATERIALS COST 24% 26% 22% 22% 23% 18% 22% 22% 19% 14%
POWER & FUEL 17% 17% 17% 16% 14% 11% 11% 12% 13% 16%
EMPLOYEE COSTS 15% 14% 15% 14% 14% 13% 15% 16% 16% 18%
SELLING & ADMIN + OTHER EXPENSES 19% 17% 17% 17% 19% 22% 20% 10% 7% 9%
DEPRECIATION & AMORTIZATION 6% 5% 4% 4% 4% 5% 4% 5% 5% 6%
TOTAL OPERATING EXPENDITURE 90% 83% 80% 75% 76% 75% 69% 67% 63% 66%
62%
67%
72%
77%
82%
87%
92%
3%
8%
13%
18%
23%
28%
‘TOTAL
OPERATING
EXPENDITURE’
AS
A
%
OF
SALES
AS
A
%
OF
SALES
OPERATING COSTS’ TREND
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; KOTAK SECURITIES; SCREENER.IN
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
114
FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
FY2016
(INDIAN
GAAP)
FY2017
(IND-
AS)
FY2018
(IND-
AS)
FY2019
INTEREST 0% 0% 0% 0% 4% 7% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
AS
A
%
OF
SALES
NON-OPERATING COSTS’ TREND
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; KOTAK SECURITIES; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
115
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 17/9/2013
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
116
7.9% 8.0% 8.4%
9.7%
11.8%
15.8%
13.9% 13.8%
0.3%
2.2%
10.4% 10.8% 10.7%
12.4%
15.3%
19.3%
17.8% 17.7%
0.4%
2.5%
13.5% 13.9% 13.7%
15.6%
18.6%
22.4%
20.9% 20.8%
0.5%
3.1%
46.0%
30.2% 23.8%
54.8%
40.6%
68.5%
-1.3% -5.6%
-97.4% -100.0%
-50.0%
0.0%
50.0%
100.0%
150.0%
200.0%
250.0%
300.0%
350.0%
400.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
(INDIAN
GAAP)
FY2017
(INDIAN
GAAP)
FY2018
(IND-AS)
FY2019
(IND-AS)
%
GROWTH
IN
THE
AMOUNT
OF
COST
AS
A
%
OF…
ADVERTISEMENT AND SALES PROMOTION COSTS’ TREND
AS A % OF SALES AS A % OF GROSS PROFIT AS A % OF GROSS PROFIT (AFTER POWER & FUEL) % GROWTH
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; SCREENER.IN
NOTE: FY2018 & FY2019 FIGURES SEEM DUBIOUS TO ME, AS MGT. IN ANNUAL REPORTS AND THE
CREDIT RATING AGENCY IN ITS REPORTS CLAIM THAT HIGH AD. & SALES PROMO. COSTS WERE
INCURRED IN THESE YEARS. HENCE REQUIRES FURTHER RESEARCH.
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
117
TELEVISION
65%
NEWSPAPER
35%
FY13 MEDIA USED FOR
ADVERTISEMENTS
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 17/9/2013, 9/10/2014; FORBES INDIA, 9,5,2017
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
118
ANS.
1. MANAGEMENT BELIEVES THAT GROWTH WILL DEPEND
ON
a) THE INTRODUCTION OF
ü NEW PRODUCTS,
ü NEW DESIGNS,
ü ENHANCED QUALITY,
b) DEEPER DISTRIBUTION, AND
c) CONTINUOUS COST REDUCTION. (BECAUSE OF HIGH
COMPETITION, PRICES CAN’T BE INCREASED MUCH)
2. THE COMPANY WILL SEEK TO SYNERGICALLY
DIVERSIFY AND SEIZE NEW OPPORTUNITIES.
3. THE COMPANY WILL STRENGTHEN ITS RESEARCH
SPENDING WITH THE OBJECTIVE:
q TO EMERGE AS A WORLD-CLASS AND INNOVATIVE
MANUFACTURER OF TABLEWARE.
4. THE COMPANY HAS DECIDED TO COMMISSION A
RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT FACILITY
1. COMPRISING
ü QUALIFIED SCIENTISTS, AND
ü CHEMICAL ENGINEERS
2. COUPLED WITH
ü THE APPOINTMENT OF RECOGNISED PERSONALITIES
FROM THE GLASS AND CERAMIC INDUSTRIES
SOURCE: 2018-19 ANNUAL REPORT
PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW
I. PROFIT ANALYSIS
119
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120
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN
1% 0% 0% -1% 1% 0% 1%
5% 4% 6%
76% 74%
78% 78% 77%
82%
78% 78%
81%
86%
59% 58%
61% 62% 63%
71%
67% 66% 68% 70%
16%
22% 24%
29% 28% 30%
35%
38%
42% 40%
10%
17% 20%
25% 24%
33%
37% 34%
6%
14% 16%
21% 23% 25%
31%
37%
41%
4%
10% 11%
15% 17% 19%
24%
26% 28% 27%
-2%
8%
18%
28%
38%
48%
58%
68%
78%
88%
₹70
₹140
₹280
FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
(INDIAN
GAAP)
FY2017 (IND-
AS)
FY2018 FY2019
AS
A
%
OF
SALES
SALES
(in
Rs.
Cr.)
PROFITS’ TREND
SALES OTHER INCOME
GROSS PROFIT (EXCLUDING "OTHER INCOME") GROSS PROFIT (AFTER POWER & FUEL) (EXCL. "OTHER INCOME")
EBITDA (EXCLUDING "OTHER INCOME") OPERATING PROFIT (EBIT, EXCLUDING "OTHER INCOME")
PROFIT BEFORE TAX (INCLUDING "OTHER INCOME") PROFIT AFTER TAX (INCLUDING "OTHER INCOME")
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
121
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 5/12/2018
CAPACITY EXPANSIONS
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
122
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 5/12/2018
PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW
J. BALANCE SHEET
ANALYSIS
123
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
124
12.1%
18.4%
17.1% 17.5% 18.3%
22.0%
20.1%
38.5% 37.7%
33.1% 33.6%
37.3%
20.2%
18.2%
16.6%
15.6% 14.6%
11.4% 11.4%
10.1% 9.9%
12.4%
14.2%
16.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
45.0%
₹0.7
₹1.4
₹2.8
₹5.6
₹11.2
₹22.4
₹44.8
₹89.6
₹179.2
₹358.4
FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
(INDIAN
GAAP)
FY2017
(IND-AS)
FY2018 FY2019
AS
A
%
OF
SALES
(OR)
TOTAL
CAPITAL
AMOUNT
(in
Rs.
Cr.)
BORROWINGS, DEBTORS, & WORKING CAPITAL
TOTAL BORROWINGS DEBTORS
WORKING CAPITAL (INVESTMENTS AT "FAIR VALUE") WORKING CAPITAL (AS A % OF TOTAL CAPITAL)
AVG. DEBTORS (AS A % OF SALES) NOTES:
• (TOTAL CAPITAL = TOTAL SHAREHOLDER’S EQUITY + TOTAL
BORROWINGS + WORKING CAPITAL)
• “SHORT-TERM INVESTMENT’s” “FAIR VALUES” HAVE BEEN CONSIDERED
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
125
33
45
39
29 25 24
14
8 6
0 4 1
32
45
38
29 25
15
5
-87
-101
-157
-201
-237
-₹240
-₹190
-₹140
-₹90
-₹40
₹10
FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
(INDIAN
GAAP)
FY2017
(IND-AS)
FY2018 FY2019
AMOUNT
(in
Rs.
Cr.)
GROSS & NET BORROWINGS
GROSS BORROWINGS NET BORROWINGS
NOTE:
(NET BORROWINGS = GROSS BORROWINGS
– SHORT-TERM INVESTMENTS (AT FAIR VALUE)
– CASH & CASH EQUIVALENTS)
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
126
1
0
1
1
0
8 9
95 107
157
205
237
₹0
₹1
₹1
₹2
₹4
₹8
₹16
₹32
₹64
₹128
₹256
FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
(INDIAN
GAAP)
FY2017
(IND-AS)
FY2018 FY2019
AMOUNT
(in
Rs.
Cr.)
ROKDA IN HAND! :P
CASH & CASH EQUIVALENTS SHORT-TERM INVESTMENTS (AT FAIR VALUE)
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN
PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW
K. FCF ANALYSIS
127
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128
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 5/12/2018
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
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-₹12
-₹2
₹8
₹18
₹28
₹38
₹48
₹58
₹68
₹78
FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
(INDIAN
GAAP)
FY2017
(IND-AS)
FY2018 FY2019
AMOUNT
(in
Rs.
Cr.)
FREE CASH FLOW GENERATIONS
OCF FCF FCFE 2 per. Mov. Avg. (OCF) 2 per. Mov. Avg. (FCF) 2 per. Mov. Avg. (FCFE)
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; SCREENER.IN
PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW
L. RATIO ANALYSIS
130
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PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW
L. RATIO ANALYSIS
a) ROCE, ROIC, & ROE
131
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132
HERE, THE RATIOS ARE NOT ADJUSTED
FOR THE CHANGES THAT ‘IND-AS’
BROUGHT ABOUT FROM PREVIOUSLY
USED ‘INDIAN GAAP’.
THE EFFECT OF WHICH CAN BE SEEN AS A
SHARP FALL FROM FY2016
TO FY2017.
ON THE NEXT PAGE, THE RATIOS –
1. HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED FOR:
INDIAN GAAP -- ‘INVESTMENTS’ WHICH
ARE SHOWN AT ‘COST’; &
IND-AS -- ‘INVESTMENTS’ WHICH ARE
SHOWN AT ‘FAIR VALUE’
2. HAVEN’T BEEN ADJUSTED FOR:
CHANGE IN REVENUE FIGURES & PROFIT
FIGURES SINCE FY2017 IND-AS
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 5/12/2018
CAPACITY EXPANSIONS
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SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 5/12/2018
18.67%
13.87%
15.33%
13.53%
2.82%
2.27%
7.48%
22.35%
24.95%
35.27%
34.85%
29.07%
27.16%
22.61%
21.76%
18.50%
15.0%
19.3%
15.6%
5.6% 7.8%
10.8%
22.3%
28.8%
41.0%
42.0%
36.6%
35.4%
31.4%
31.3%
28.1%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
(INDIAN
GAAP)
FY2017
(IND-AS)
FY2018 FY2019
%
ROCE & ROE (ADJUSTED)
ROE % ROCE %
NOTE:
ROCE % SHOULD ALSO HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED FOR THE OPERATING
LEASE, BUT I COULDN’T DUE TO LACK OF INFORMATION.
CAPACITY EXPANSIONS
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN
PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW
L. RATIO ANALYSIS
b) DUPONT ANALYSES
134
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a) DUPONT ANALYSES
i.2-WAY
ii.3-WAY
iii.5-WAY
HERE, THE RATIOS ARE ADJUSTED FOR THE CHANGES
THAT ‘IND-AS’ BROUGHT ABOUT
FROM THE PREVIOUSLY USED ‘INDIAN GAAP’.
BIG CHANGE THAT I’VE ADJUSTED FOR:
INDIAN GAAP -- ‘INVESTMENTS’ SHOWN AT ‘COST’
IND-AS -- ‘INVESTMENTS’ SHOWN AT ‘FAIR VALUE’
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
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D. RATIO ANALYSIS
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
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𝑃𝑅𝑂𝐹𝐼𝑇 𝐴𝐹𝑇𝐸𝑅 𝑇𝐴𝑋
𝐴𝑉𝐸𝑅𝐴𝐺𝐸 𝐸𝑄𝑈𝐼𝑇𝑌
RETURN ON EQUITY (ROE) %
𝑃𝑅𝑂𝐹𝐼𝑇 𝐴𝐹𝑇𝐸𝑅 𝑇𝐴𝑋
𝑅𝐸𝑉𝐸𝑁𝑈𝐸𝑆
NET PROFIT MARGIN %
𝑅𝐸𝑉𝐸𝑁𝑈𝐸𝑆
𝐴𝑉𝐸𝑅𝐴𝐺𝐸 𝐸𝑄𝑈𝐼𝑇𝑌
EQUITY TURNOVER (TIMES)
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𝑃𝑅𝑂𝐹𝐼𝑇 𝐴𝐹𝑇𝐸𝑅 𝑇𝐴𝑋
𝐴𝑉𝐸𝑅𝐴𝐺𝐸 𝐸𝑄𝑈𝐼𝑇𝑌
RETURN ON EQUITY (ROE) %
𝑃𝑅𝑂𝐹𝐼𝑇 𝐴𝐹𝑇𝐸𝑅 𝑇𝐴𝑋
𝑅𝐸𝑉𝐸𝑁𝑈𝐸𝑆
NET PROFIT MARGIN %
𝑅𝐸𝑉𝐸𝑁𝑈𝐸𝑆
𝐴𝑉𝐸𝑅𝐴𝐺𝐸 𝐸𝑄𝑈𝐼𝑇𝑌
EQUITY TURNOVER (TIMES)
𝑅𝐸𝑉𝐸𝑁𝑈𝐸𝑆
𝐴𝑉𝐸𝑅𝐴𝐺𝐸 𝑇𝑂𝑇𝐴𝐿 𝐴𝑆𝑆𝐸𝑇𝑆
TOTAL ASSET TURNOVER (TIMES)
𝐴𝑉𝐸𝑅𝐴𝐺𝐸 𝑇𝑂𝑇𝐴𝐿 𝐴𝑆𝑆𝐸𝑇𝑆
𝐴𝑉𝐸𝑅𝐴𝐺𝐸 𝐸𝑄𝑈𝐼𝑇𝑌
FINANCIAL LEVERAGE (TIMES)
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𝑃𝑅𝑂𝐹𝐼𝑇 𝐴𝐹𝑇𝐸𝑅 𝑇𝐴𝑋
𝐴𝑉𝐸𝑅𝐴𝐺𝐸 𝐸𝑄𝑈𝐼𝑇𝑌
RETURN ON EQUITY (ROE) %
𝑃𝑅𝑂𝐹𝐼𝑇 𝐴𝐹𝑇𝐸𝑅 𝑇𝐴𝑋
𝑅𝐸𝑉𝐸𝑁𝑈𝐸𝑆
NET PROFIT MARGIN %
𝑃𝑅𝑂𝐹𝐼𝑇 𝐴𝐹𝑇𝐸𝑅 𝑇𝐴𝑋
𝑃𝑅𝑂𝐹𝐼𝑇 𝐵𝐸𝐹𝑂𝑅𝐸 𝑇𝐴𝑋
TAX BURDEN %
𝑃𝑅𝑂𝐹𝐼𝑇 𝐵𝐸𝐹𝑂𝑅𝐸 𝑇𝐴𝑋
𝑃𝑅𝑂𝐹𝐼𝑇 𝐵𝐸𝐹𝑂𝑅𝐸 𝐼𝑁𝑇𝐸𝑅𝐸𝑆𝑇 & 𝑇𝐴𝑋
INTEREST BURDEN %
𝑃𝑅𝑂𝐹𝐼𝑇 𝐵𝐸𝐹𝑂𝑅𝐸 𝐼𝑁𝑇𝐸𝑅𝐸𝑆𝑇 𝑇𝐴𝑋
𝑅𝐸𝑉𝐸𝑁𝑈𝐸𝑆
EBIT MARGIN %
𝑅𝐸𝑉𝐸𝑁𝑈𝐸𝑆
𝐴𝑉𝐸𝑅𝐴𝐺𝐸 𝐸𝑄𝑈𝐼𝑇𝑌
EQUITY TURNOVER (TIMES)
𝑅𝐸𝑉𝐸𝑁𝑈𝐸𝑆
𝐴𝑉𝐸𝑅𝐴𝐺𝐸 𝑇𝑂𝑇𝐴𝐿 𝐴𝑆𝑆𝐸𝑇𝑆
TOTAL ASSET TURNOVER (TIMES)
𝐴𝑉𝐸𝑅𝐴𝐺𝐸 𝑇𝑂𝑇𝐴𝐿 𝐴𝑆𝑆𝐸𝑇𝑆
𝐴𝑉𝐸𝑅𝐴𝐺𝐸 𝐸𝑄𝑈𝐼𝑇𝑌
FINANCIAL LEVERAGE (TIMES)
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
139
0.60
1.20
2.40
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
(INDIAN
GAAP)
FY2017
(IND-AS)
FY2018 FY2019
NO.
OF
TIMES
%
i. DUPONT ANALYSIS (2-WAY)
ROE % NET PROFIT MARGIN % EQUITY TURNOVER (TIMES)
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
140
0.60
1.20
2.40
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
(INDIAN
GAAP)
FY2017
(IND-AS)
FY2018 FY2019
NO.
OF
TIMES
%
ii. DUPONT ANALYSIS (3-WAY)
ROE % NET PROFIT MARGIN % TOTAL ASSET TURNOVER (TIMES) FINANCIAL LEVERAGE (OR EQUITY MULTIPLIER) (TIMES)
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
141
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
(INDIAN
GAAP)
FY2017
(IND-AS)
FY2018 FY2019
TAX
BURDEN,
&
INTEREST
BURDEN
%
ROE,
&
EBIT
MARGIN
%
iii. DUPONT ANALYSIS (5-WAY)
ROE % EBIT MARGIN % TAX BURDEN % (HERE, TAX/PBT) INTEREST BURDEN % (HERE, INTEREST EXPENSE/EBIT)
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN
PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW
L. RATIO ANALYSIS
c) OTHER RATIOS
142
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
143
134
97 91
109 101
272 284
206 199
179 167 161 154
172
146
173
66
49 52
63 72
64
61
57
53
42
42
37 36
45
52
58
200
146 142
172 173
336
345
263
253
221
209
198 190
217
197
232
2.7
3.8
4.0
3.4
3.6
1.3 1.3
1.8 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.3
2.4
2.1
2.5
2.1
5.5
7.4
7.1
5.8
5.0
5.7
6.0
6.4
6.8
8.7 8.8
9.9 10.1
8.1
7.1 6.2
-
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
(INDIAN
GAAP)
FY2017
(IND-AS)
FY2018 FY2019
NO.
OF
TIMES
DAYS
OPERATING CYCLE
DAYS INVENTORY OUTSTANDING DAYS RECEIVABLES OUTSTANDING OPERATING CYCLE
INVENTORY TURNOVER RATIO RECEIVABLES TURNOVER RATIO
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN
NOTE: THESE FIGURES SEEM DUBIOUS TO ME, ESPECIALLY PRE-FY2011 FIGURES =
• AS ANNUAL REPORTS ARE NOT AVAILABLE PRE-FY2010,
• THE SOURCES USED HERE, ARE ALL SHOWING DIFFERENT AND CONFUSING NUMBERS FOR THE PRE-FY2011 PERIOD
• ‘NIRMAL BANG’ AND ‘CARE RATINGS’ REPORTS ARE SHOWING DIFFERENT ‘INVENTORY DAYS’ FIGURES FOR FY2018 ALSO…
HENCE REQUIRES FURTHER RESEARCH.
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
144
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 5/12/2018
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
145
THE CO. GETS FAVOURABLE PRICES FOR RAW MATERIALS IF THE PAYMENT IS
MADE WITHIN A WEEK. AS A RESULT, CREDITOR DAYS ARE LOW.
REALIGNING FURNACE TAKES 1.5 MONTHS, AND PRODUCTION STANDS
SUSPENDED FOR THAT PERIOD. IN ORDER TO REDUCE SUPPLY CONSTRAINTS, CO.
CREATES ADDITIONAL INVENTORY FOR THIS PURPOSE.
HIGH INVENTORY DAYS, BECAUSE OF THE SEASONALITY OF THE PRODUCT.
BUT THE COMPANY IS TRYING TO REDUCE THE HOLDING PERIOD:
§ INTRODUCING NEW PRODUCTS (PRODUCT)
§ MORE DIVERSIFIED PRICE POSITIONINGS (PRICE)
§ INCREASED MARKET PENETRATION (DISTRIBUTION) (PLACE)
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 17/9/2013, 9/10/2014
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
146
HERE, THE RATIOS ARE NOT ADJUSTED
FOR THE CHANGES THAT ‘IND-AS’
BROUGHT ABOUT FROM THE
PREVIOUSLY USED ‘INDIAN GAAP’.
CAPACITY EXPANSIONS
SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 5/12/2018
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
147
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
(INDIAN
GAAP)
FY2017
(IND-AS)
FY2018 FY2019
OPERATING, & EBIT -- RETURN ON ASSETS % (AFTER ADJUSTMENTS)
OPERATING RETURN ON (ADJUSTED) TOTAL ASSETS (%) (EXCLUDES 'OTHER INCOME')
EBIT RETURN ON (ADJUSTED) TOTAL ASSETS (%) (EBIT = OPERATING PROFIT + OTHER INCOME)
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
148
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
(INDIAN
GAAP)
FY2017
(IND-AS)
FY2018 FY2019
OPERATING, & EBIT -- RETURN ON ASSETS % (WITHOUT ADJUSTMENTS)
OPERATING RETURN ON TOTAL ASSETS (%) (EXCLUDES 'OTHER INCOME') (WITHOUT ADJUSTMENT)
EBIT RETURN ON TOTAL ASSETS (%) (EBIT = OPERATING PROFIT + OTHER INCOME) (WITHOUT ADJUSTMENT)
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
149
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
(INDIAN
GAAP)
FY2017
(IND-AS)
FY2018 FY2019
NO.
OF
TIMES
LIQUIDITY RATIOS (AFTER ADJUSTMENTS)
CURRENT RATIO QUICK RATIO CASH RATIO
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN
MANAGEMENT QUALITY
ANALYSIS
PART 3
150
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
151
• FAMILY RUNNING BUSINESS OR THERE IS PROFESSIONAL MANAGEMENT: PROMOTER RUN BUSINESS
• HOW THE MANAGEMENT DEALS IN DOWNTURNS: COMPANY STOPPED BIG CAPEX, BUT MAINTAINED
SMALL CAPEX, IN THE DOWNTURN
• EXPERIENCE OF MANAGEMENT: WELL-EXPERIENCED
• QUALITY OF AUDITORS AND INDEPENDENT DIRECTORS:
• AUDITORS:
• SINCE FY2018 – “SINGHI & CO., CAs” (ICAI FIRM REGISTRATION NO.: 302049E)
• OTHER CLIENTS:
• SINCE FY2020 (29/6/2019) – “EVEREADY INDUSTRIES INDIA LTD.”
• “PwC CAs LLP.” (FY2018 – FY2019), RESIGNED ON 28/6/2019 AFTER GIVING A
“DISCLAIMER OF OPINION” FOR FY2019 RESULTS – HUGE PROMOTER
CORPORATE TRANSACTIONS
• SINCE FY2018 – “ASSOCIATED ALCOHOLS & BREWERIES LTD.”
• VERY HIGH PROMOTER REMUNERATIONS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED
• ATLEAST SINCE FY2010 – “SUTLEJ TEXTILES & INDUSTRIES LTD.”
• VERY HIGH PROMOTER REMUNERATIONS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED
• MANY OTHER LISTED COMPANIES
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MCA.GOV.IN; BLOOMBERG QUINT, 29/6/2019; BSE; NSE; ONLINE SEARCH ENGINES; ANNUAL REPORTS OF THE MENTIONED CO.s;
DRVIJAYMALIK.COM
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
152
• FY2010 - FY2017 – “DOSHI, CHATTERJEE, BAGRI & CO. LLP” (ICAI FIRM REGISTRATION NO.:
325197E)
• OTHER CLIENTS:
• HINDUSTHAN NATIONAL GLASS & INDUSTRIES LTD.
• FEW OTHER LISTED COMPANIES
• PRE-FY2010 – N.A. (ANNUAL REPORTS NOT AVAILABLE ON BSE/NSE)
• INDEPENDENT DIRECTORS:
• ARUN CHURIWAL (SINCE 1994)
• CHAIRMAN OF “RSWM LTD”; MANAGING DIRECTOR OF “BSL LTD.”
• BOTH ARE “LNJ BHILWARA GROUP” CO.s
• RAJIV GUJRAL (ATLEAST SINCE 2007)
• MR. SUBIR BOSE
• PROF. SANTANU RAY
• MS. MAMTA BINANI
• REMUNERATION OF MANAGEMENT: FY2019 – VERY HIGH (REMUNERATION (EXCL. DIVIDENDS) RS.9.46
CR ON OPERATING PROFIT OF RS.95.90 CR, & NET PROFIT OF RS.74.04 CR)
• IF YOU GET A CHANCE TO VISIT THE FACTORY/SHOP/ETC., ASK EMPLOYEES ABOUT THE MANAGEMENT:
(HAVEN’T GOTTEN A CHANCE YET)
SOURCE: MCA.GOV.IN; ANNUAL REPORTS; BSE; NSE; ONLINE SEARCH ENGINES; ANNUAL REPORTS OF THE MENTIONED CO.s; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
153
• TV INTERVIEWS OF MANAGEMENT: MANAGEMENT HAS NOT CONDUCTED ANY POST-2016
• CONFIDENCE OF MANAGEMENT IN DIFFERENT MODES OF COMMUNICATIONS LIKE CONFERENCE CALLS,
ANALYSTS’ MEETS, ETC.: MANAGEMENT HAS NOT CONDUCTED ANY POST-2016
• CHECK THEIR TWITTER, LINKEDIN ACCOUNTS (TO SEE IF THERE ARE POSITIVE OR NEGATIVE STATEMENTS):
LOW SOCIAL MEDIA PRESENCE
• AGM (ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING) FEEDBACK: (COULDN'T ATTEND AGM)
• IS MANAGEMENT TRYING TO GIVE A ROSY PICTURE?: I BELIEVE THAT THIS ISN’T THE CASE
• FAMILY DISPUTES: NO
• CHANGING OFFICES TOO OFTEN: NO
• ISSUANCE OF:
• ESOPS: NO
• WARRANTS: NO
• CONVERTIBLE DEBENTURES/ PREFERENTIAL SHARES: NO
SOURCE: RESEARCHBYTES.COM; ANNUAL REPORTS; SOCIAL MEDIA;
REFRENCES:
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
154
• QUALITY OF CAPITAL ALLOCATION DECISIONS OF MANAGEMENT IN THE PAST: (BASED ON ROCE, ROE,
& OPERATING & EBIT ROA)
• FY2008 – EXTREMELY GOOD
• FY2014, FY2016, FY2018 – MODERATE
• (2 YEARS' NET CASH CAPEX/CHANGE IN SALES OVER 3 FYs) SHOULD NOT BE GREATER THAN 1, IF IT IS,
THEN MANAGEMENT IS NOT DOING A GREAT JOB:
• FY2008 – VERY HIGH (2.13)(APPROX.)
• FY2014, FY2016, FY2018 – MODERATE (0.35), HIGH (0.89), VERY HIGH (1.65)
• SALES NOT IMPROVED WITH CAPEX DUE TO ENTRY OF NEW PLAYERS, &/OR PESTEL FACTORS.
• CAPITAL ALLOCATION IN:
ü EXISTING BUSINESS
✗ NEW BUSINESS
ü HIGH MARGIN SEGMENT
✗ LOW MARGIN SEGMENT
SOURCE: OUTLOOK BUSINESS, 24/05/2014; NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 17/9/2013, 31/8/2017; ANNUAL REPORT 2018-19;
SCREENER.IN; MONEYCONTROL.COM
REFRENCES:
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
155
• OVERALL FINANCIALS OF THE COMPANY DIFFERENT FROM THE INDUSTRY: (NOT
YET ANALYSED)
• SUBSIDIARIES IN MAURITIUS, SINGAPORE, ETC. TAX HAVENS.: NO (BUT
PROMOTER’s ‘GENESIS EXPORTS LTD.’ REQUIRES FURTHER RESEARCH)
• EXPOSURE IN MIDDLE EAST COUNTRIES: HAVE SOME SALES THERE, BUT NO
SUBSIDIARY (BUT PROMOTER’s ‘GENESIS EXPORTS LTD.’ NEEDS FURTHER
RESEARCH)
SOURCE: RESEARCHBYTES.COM; ANNUAL REPORTS; SOCIAL MEDIA;
PART 3 - MGT. QUALITY ANALYSIS
REMUNERATION OF
KMPs
156
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157
SOURCE: SCREENER.IN; MONEYCONTROL.COM; ANNUAL REPORTS
₹1
₹1
₹3
₹4
₹6
₹8
₹10
₹14
₹15
₹17
₹18
₹0
₹2
₹4
₹6
₹8
₹10
₹12
₹14
₹16
₹18
₹20
FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
AMOUNT
(in
Rs.
Cr.)
TOTAL CASH PROMOTERS HAVE TAKEN HOME
TOTAL INCOME (EXCL. DIVIDENDS) OF THE PROMOTER GROUP DIVIDENDS OF THE PROMOTER GROUP
TOTAL INCOME OF THE PROMOTER GROUP
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
158
SOURCE: SCREENER.IN; MONEYCONTROL.COM; ANNUAL REPORTS
1.0%
1.8%
2.6% 3.1%
3.9%
4.5% 4.6%
5.6%
6.2% 6.4% 6.5%
1.7%
3.0%
4.5%
5.1%
6.3%
7.1%
6.6%
8.4%
9.3% 9.4% 9.4%
13%
18%
15%
16% 16%
18% 18%
18%
19%
17%
19%
6%
9% 9%
10%
11%
12% 12% 12%
13%
12% 13%
79%
48%
27% 28% 26%
26%
25% 24% 23% 23%
25%
22%
32%
42%
52%
62%
72%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
(INDIAN
GAAP)
FY2017
(IND-AS)
FY2018 FY2019
AS
A
%
OF…
TOTAL INCOME OF THE PROMOTER GROUP
SALES
GROSS PROFIT
OPERATING PROFIT (EBIT, EXCLUDES 'OTHER INCOME')
PROFIT (INCLUDES 'EMPLOYEE COST'; EXCLUDES 'OTHER INCOME'; NET OF 'INTEREST EXPENSE')
NET PROFIT
OPERATIONS ANALYSIS
PART 4
159
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PART 4 - OPERATIONS ANALYSIS
A. PORTER’s 5 FORCES
160
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161
COMPETITION
WITH EXISTING
PLAYERS
SCORE - (2/5)
MODERATELY HIGH
EXISTING PLAYERS’ LONG-TERM
SURVIVAL RATE – FAIRLY LOW
FOR NEW PLAYERS – EASE OF
BUILDING NEW BRANDS –
MODERATE
ORGANIZED SECTOR GAINING
FROM GST IMPLEMENTATION
PRICE DIFFERENCE – IS FADING
AWAY
EASE OF BUILDING NEW
BRANDS – MODERATELY LOW
ANTI-DUMPING DUTY IS
MAKING IT HARDER FOR THE
FOREIGN BRANDS
LA OPALA RG LTD.’s
MARKET SHARE – VERY HIGH
ECONOMIES OF SCALE – VERY HIGH
PRICING POWER – MODERATE
EBITDA MARGINS – VERY HIGH
EXPERIENCE – VERY HIGH
FY13-18 OPALWARE MARKET
GREW BY = 20.1% P.A.
LA OPALA DOMESTIC SALES GREW
BY = 12.4% P.A.
BARGAINING
POWER OF
BUYERS
SCORE - (3/5)
MODERATE
LA OPALA IS REDUCING IT
• THORUGH POWERFUL BRANDING
EXERCISES
• ADVERTISEMENT & SALES
PROMOTION COSTS - HIGH
RETAILER’s SWITCHING COSTS
B/W OPALWARE BRANDS – MODERATE
B/W ALL TABLEWARE SEGMENTS –
MODERATE
CUSTOMER’s SWITCHING
COSTS
B/W OPALWARE BRANDS –
• REAL – MODERATELY LOW
• IMAGINARY - MODERATE
EASE OF PASSING FORWARD
THE INCREASING COSTS –
MODERATE
FY13-18 OPALWARE MARKET
GREW BY = 20.1% P.A.
LA OPALA DOMESTIC SALES GREW
BY = 12.4% P.A.
BARGAINING
POWER OF
SUPPLIERS
SCORE - (?/5)
(MORE INFO.
IS REQUIRED)
RAW MATERIALS, & FUEL PRICES
– VERY VOLATILE
SUPPLIER SWITCHING COSTS
- ?
• SPECIALIZATION OF RAW
MATERIALS - ?
• NO. OF SUPLPLIERS AVAILABLE - ?
CREDIT PERIOD AVAILABLE SEEMS
VERY HIGH
WHICH SUGGESTS THAT LA
OPALA HAS HIGH POWER OVER
ITS SUPPLIERS
(SEE OPERATING CYCLE AND CASH
CONVERSION CYCLE)
TOTAL RAW MATERIALS, &
POWER & FUEL AS A % OF
SALES = 30% (FY2019)
THREAT OF
NEW
ENTRANTS
SCORE - (4/5)
MODERATELY LOW
BARRIERS TO ENTRY –
MODERATE
• ANTI-DUMPING DUTY IS MAKING IT
HARDER FOR THE FOREIGN BRANDS
• ECONOMIES OF SCALE HELPING
INCUMBENTS DETER NEW ENTRANTS
MARKET SHARE – LA OPALA IS
A MARKET LEADER
SETTING UP NEW COMPANIES
• CAPEX REQUIRED –
MODERATELY HIGH
• TECHNICAL KNOW-HOW
(INCLUDING EXACT COMPOSITION
OF RAW MATERIALS) –
DIFFICULT TO ACQUIRE (&
IMITATE)
• RAW MATERIAL AVAILABILITY – ?
FOR NEW PLAYERS –
EASE OF BUILDING NEW
BRANDS – MODERATE
DISTRIBUTION CHANNEL
• IMMITABILITY – MODERATELY DIFFICULT
• THOUGH, ONLINE SELLING SEEMS TO BE
MAKING IT EASIER FOR NEW ENTRANTS
THREAT OF
SUBSTITUTES
SCORE - (3/5)
MODERATE
THERE ALREADY ARE MANY
OTHER SEGMENTS OF
TABLEWARE
COMPETITION FROM THE
UNORGANIZED CROCKERY
SECTOR REDUCES THE PRICING
POWER OF LA OPALA
PRODUCT INNOVATIONS
COULD TAKE AWAY
OPALWARE SEGMENT’s
MARKET SHARE
VERY LESS MICROWAVE-
FRIENDLY SUBSTITUTES, AS
OF NOW
RETAILER’s SWITCHING COSTS
• B/W ALL TABLEWARE SEGMENTS –
MODERATE
CUSTOMER’s SWITCHING
COSTS
• B/W ALL TABLEWARE SEGMENTS –
• REAL & IMAGINARY – MODERATE
PART 4 - OPERATIONS ANALYSIS
B. SWOT ANALYSIS
162
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163
STRENGTHS
EXPERIENCED PROMOTERS WITH
LONG TRACK RECORD (30 YEARS)
WELL ESTABLISHED,
& TOUGH TO IMMITATE…
•BRAND
•DISTRIBUTION NETWORK
ECONOMIES OF SCALE
• COST OF PRODUCTION IS SIMILAR TO BUT
GREATER MARGINS THAN CHINESE
PRODUCERS (FY 2014)
VERY HIGH EFFICIENCY
HUGE GROSS, OPERATING, EBITDA,
EBIT, PBT, PAT, OCF MARGINS
STRONG CAPITAL STRUTURE,
HUGE CASH RESERVES
AND FREE CASH FLOWS.
•DEBT-FREE, STRONG BALANCE SHEET
WEEKNESSES
HIGH NEPOTISM
SHUSHIL, AJIT, NIDHI
JHUNJHUNWALA FAMILY
HENCE, LACKS A STRONG SECOND-TIER
MANAGEMENT TEAM
BRAND MIGHT HAVE HARD TIME SELLING IN
FOREIGN MARKETS,
AS LEADERS LIKE CORELLE, BORMIOLLI
ROCCO, ETC. ARE DOMINANT THERE
REQUIRES HUGE ADVERTISEMENT & SALES
PROMO. EXPENDITURES TO SUSTAIN THE
BRAND’s OCCUPIED CONSUMER MIND SPACE
THE PRODUCT IS STILL NOT AS DURABLE AS
STEELWARE, AND ALSO LA OPALA FACES
HUGE COMPETITION FROM UNORGANIZED
CROCKERY SECTOR
RAW MATERIALS, & FUEL PRICES – VERY
VOLATILE
HENCE THE CO. DOESN’T HAVE ANY LONG
TERM AGREEMENTS FOR THEIR
PROCUREMENT
CO.’S BUSINESS IS WORKING CAPITAL INTENSIVE
MARKED BY HIGH AVERAGE INVENTORY PERIOD.
AS THE COMPANY SELLS LARGE VARIETY OF
PRODUCTS WHICH COME IN DIFFERENT SHAPES,
SIZES, COLOURS AND DESIGNS, IT HAS TO
MAINTAIN SUFFICIENT AMOUNT OF INVENTORY
OF EACH OF ITS PRODUCT TYPE.
OPPORTUNITIES
NEW ENTRANTS GROWING THE SIZE OF THE
PIE BY MARKETING ABOUT THE SEGMENT
OUTSOURCING PRODUCTION,
FOCUS ON MARKETING
• TO MAKE THE COMPANY ASSET-LIGHT,
• TO GENERATE HIGH ROI USING THE BRAND
USING BIO-FUEL OF IN-HOUSE RENEWABLE
ENERGY SOURCES TO REDUCE THE POWER &
FUEL COSTS AND DEPENDENCE
IF THE DE-GLOBALIZATION AND
PROTECTIONISM TREND STRENGTHENS, THE
DOMESTIC PLAYERS MAY GAIN HIGHER
BARGAINING POWERS ALONG WITH HIGHER
ANTI-DUMPING DUTIES
RUPEE DEPRECIATION WOULD INCREASE THE
COMPETITIVENESS OF GLOBAL PLAYERS
IF LA OPALA’s NEW R&D FACILITY COULD
COME UP WITH A PRODUCT AS DURABLE AS
STEELWARE (IF NOT MORE), THE COMPANY
WOULD CAPTURE A HUGE CHUNK OF
STEELWARE’s MAKET SHARE
THREATS
NEW ENTRANTS, INCLUDING THE THREAT
FROM THE UNORGANIZED SECTOR TAKING
AWAY LA OPALA’s CONSUMER MIND SPACE,
PRICING POWER, BARGAINING POWER, &
MIGHT REDUCE SWITCHING COSTS TO THEIR
BRANDS
PRODUCT INNOVATIONS COULD LEAD TO
PRODUCTS BETTER THAN OPALWARE
MAJOR CAPACITY EXPANSION MIGHT
COINCIDE WITH THE COVID RECESSION,
MIGHT NOT YIELD GOOD ASSET TURNOVER
RETURNS
HIGH NEPOTISM IN THE TOP
MANAGEMENT MIGHT LEAD TO A
DOWNFALL
ONCE THE ANTI-DUMPING DUTY GETS
LIFTED OF REDUCED, LA OPALA MIGHT
LOSE MARKET SHARE
RUPEE APPRECIATION WOULD
INCREASE THE COMPETITIVENESS OF
GLOBAL PLAYERS
FURTHER TIE-UPS OF FOREIGN BRANDS
WITH DOMESTIC PLAYERS COULD
EFFECT THE LA OPALA’s GROWTH
SHAREHOLDING PATTERNS
PART 5
164
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PART 5 - SHAREHOLDING PATTERNS
A. INSIDERS
165
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166
SOURCE: INVESTOPEDIA.COM
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167
SOURCE: TRENDLYNE.COM; MONEYCONTROL.COM; BSE; NSE
65% 65% 65% 65% 65% 66%
53% 53%
63% 64%
64% 64% 64% 64% 64%
66%
67% 67%
68% 68% 68% 68% 68% 68% 68% 69%
51%
53%
55%
57%
59%
61%
63%
65%
67%
69%
56
58
60
62
64
66
68
70
72
74
76
F
Y
2
0
0
1
F
Y
2
0
0
2
F
Y
2
0
0
3
F
Y
2
0
0
4
F
Y
2
0
0
5
F
Y
2
0
0
6
F
Y
2
0
0
7
F
Y
2
0
0
8
F
Y
2
0
0
9
F
Y
2
0
1
0
F
Y
2
0
1
1
F
Y
2
0
1
2
F
Y
2
0
1
3
F
Y
2
0
1
4
F
Y
2
0
1
5
F
Y
2
0
1
6
F
Y
2
0
1
7
F
Y
2
0
1
8
F
Y
2
0
1
9
F
Y
2
0
2
0
HOLDING
%
ADJUSTED
NO.
OF
SHARES
Millions
PROMOTER GROUP
ADJUSTED SHARES (ADJ. FOR BONUSES, SPLITS)
ADJUSTED SHARES (ADJ. FOR PRIVATE PLACEMENT, BONUSES, SPLITS)
HOLDING % (ACTUAL)
HOLDING % (ADJUSTED FOR PRIVATE PLACEMENT)
POST- PRIVATE PLACEMENT
PART 5 - SHAREHOLDING PATTERNS
B. OUTSIDERS
168
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169
SOURCE: TRENDLYNE.COM; MONEYCONTROL.COM; BSE; NSE
2.63%
2.17%
3.10%
4.37% 4.41% 4.41%
1.78%
2.42%
2.76%
2.28%
3.25%
4.58% 4.62% 4.62%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
3.50%
4.00%
4.50%
5.00%
2
2
3
3
4
4
5
5
SEP-2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
HOLDING
%
ADJUSTED
NO.
OF
SHARES
Millions
SUMEET NAGAR’s ‘MALABAR INDIA FUND LTD.’
ADJUSTED SHARES (ADJ. FOR BONUSES, SPLITS)
ADJUSTED SHARES (ADJ. FOR PRIVATE PLACEMENT, BONUSES, SPLITS)
HOLDING % (ACTUAL)
HOLDING % (ADJUSTED FOR PRIVATE PLACEMENT)
POST- PRIVATE PLACEMENT
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170
SOURCE: TRENDLYNE.COM; MONEYCONTROL.COM; BSE; NSE
4.53% 4.53% 4.53% 4.53% 4.53% 4.53%
2.48%
0 0
2.56% 2.56% 2.56%
2.16%
0
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
8.00%
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
SEP-2014 FY2015 FY2016/SEP-2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
HOLDING
%
ADJUSTED
NO.
OF
SHARES
(FOR
BONUSES
&
SPLITS)
Millions
PRIVATE PLACEMENT - SUMIR CHADHA, SANDEEP SINGHAL, & KP BALARAJ’s
‘WESTBRIDGE CROSSOVER FUND LLC’ (& ‘JWALAMUKHI INVESTMENT HOLDINGS’)
JWALAMUKHI INVESTMENT HOLDINGS' ADJUSTED SHARES (ADJ. FOR BONUSES & SPLITS)
WESTBRIDGE CROSSOVER FUND LLC's ADJUSTED SHARES (ADJ. FOR BONUSES & SPLITS)
HOLDING % (ADJUSTED FOR PRIVATE PLACEMENT)
HOLDING % (ACTUAL)
VALUATION
PART 6
171
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PART 6 - VALUATION
A. BALANCE SHEETS
172
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173
0.5 0.7
1.1 1.0 0.8
0.4
1.1 1.4
2.1
4.5
7.7
11.1
13.6
9.7
8.6
5.6 4.6
-22
6
19
-3 -1 -1 -3
-9
88
43
19
26
18
15
9 7
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
(INDIAN
GAAP)
FY2017
(IND-AS)
FY2018 FY2019 DEC
2019
TTM
P/NCAVPS
(NO.
OF
TIMES)
P/BV
(NO.
OF
TIMES)
PRICE –TO– BOOK VALUE, & NET CURRENT ASSET VALUE
PRICE TO BOOK PRICE TO (ADJUSTED) BOOK PRICE TO NET CURRENT ASSET VALUE PER SHARE (NCAVPS)
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN; IN.INVESTING.COM
NOTE:
• NET CURRENT ASSET VALUE = CURRENT ASSETS – (TOTAL LIABILITIES)
• USEFUL FOR ANALYZING COMPANIES THAT’RE IN LIQUIDATION PROCESS
PART 6 - VALUATION
B. P&L
174
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175
0.4 0.4
0.9
1.1 1.2
1.0
1.1
0.9
1.2
2.3
4.3
9.5
13.3 12.7 12.1
8.6
7.2
0.3 0.4
0.8
0.7
0.5
0.3
0.6
0.7
1.0
2.2
4.3
9.4
13.3 12.7 12.1
8.6
7.3
0.3
0.5
1.0
2.0
4.0
8.0
16.0
FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
(INDIAN
GAAP)
FY2017
(IND-AS)
FY2018 FY2019 DEC
2019
TTM
NO.
OF
TIMES
EV, & PRICE –TO– SALES
EV/SALES PRICE/SALES
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN; IN.INVESTING.COM
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
176
5
5
6
8
17
10
6
4 5
8
15
31
38
30
26
18
16
5
5
8 8
28
20
15
7
9
15
25
50
56
48
43
32
24
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
(INDIAN
GAAP)
FY2017
(IND-AS)
FY2018 FY2019 DEC
2019
TTM
NO.
OF
TIMES
EV/EBITDA, & P/E
ENTERPRISE VALUE/EBITDA PRICE TO EPS
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN; IN.INVESTING.COM
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
177
21%
19%
12%
13%
4% 5%
7%
15%
11%
7%
4%
2% 2% 2% 2%
3%
4%
13.5%
10.7%
6.5%
4.2%
2.7%
0.0%
1.9%
2.5%
1.9%
1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
(INDIAN
GAAP)
FY2017
(IND-AS)
FY2018 FY2019 DEC
2019
TTM
YIELD
%
EARNINGS & DIVIDEND YIELD %
EARNINGS YIELD % DIVIDEND YIELD %
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN; IN.INVESTING.COM
PART 6 - VALUATION
C. CASH FLOWS
178
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179
35%
31%
28%
35%
79%
29%
17% 17% 16% 18% 17% 17% 16% 15% 16%
22%
20% 20%
24%
18%
0%
11% 12% 12% 13% 14% 14% 15% 13% 13% 13%
65%
69%
72%
65%
21%
71%
83% 83% 84% 82% 83% 83% 84% 85% 84%
78%
80% 80%
76%
82%
100%
89% 89% 88% 87% 86% 86% 85% 87% 87% 87%
15%
25%
35%
45%
55%
65%
75%
85%
95%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
(INDIAN
GAAP)
FY2017
(IND-AS)
FY2018 FY2019
EARNINGS
PAYOUT
RATIO
%
DIVIDEND
PAYOUT
RATIO
%
DIVIDEND PAYOUT, & EARNINGS RETENTION (N.P., & C.P.)
DIVIDEND PAYOUT RATIO (NET PROFIT) (%) DIVIDEND PAYOUT RATIO (CASH PROFIT) (%)
EARNINGS RETENTION RATIO (%) CASH EARNINGS RETENTION RATIO (%)
SOURCE: MONEYCONTROL.COM
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
180
1 4 8 12
6
-4
3 4 8 11
19
45
54
41 39
47
63
24
125
38
53
13
99
43 43
61
38
55
219
54
71 70
136
-50
-35
-20
-5
10
25
40
55
70
85
100
115
130
145
160
175
190
205
220
FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
(INDIAN
GAAP)
FY2017
(IND-AS)
FY2018 FY2019 SEPT.
2019
TTM
NO.
OF
TIMES
PRICE –TO– OCF, FCF, & FCFE
P/CF P/FCF P/FCFE
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN; IN.INVESTING.COM
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
181
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN; IN.INVESTING.COM
75%
26%
12%
8%
18%
33%
25%
12%
9%
5%
2%
2%
2% 3%
2%
2%
4%
1%
3%
2%
8%
1%
2% 2%
2%
3%
2%
0%
2%
1% 1%
1%
0%
1%
1%
3%
5%
11%
21%
43%
85%
FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
(INDIAN
GAAP)
FY2017
(IND-AS)
FY2018 FY2019 SEPT.
2019
TTM
YIELD
%
OCF, FCF, & FCFE YIELDS %
CF Yield % FCF Yield % FCFE Yield %
GAP – SHIFT TO IND-AS
GAP – NEGATIVE YIELDS %
PRICE
PART 7
182
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183
1.0
2.0
4.0
8.0
16.0
32.0
64.0
128.0
256.0
M
a
r
-
1
9
9
6
M
a
r
-
1
9
9
7
M
a
r
-
1
9
9
8
M
a
r
-
1
9
9
9
M
a
r
-
2
0
0
0
M
a
r
-
2
0
0
1
M
a
r
-
2
0
0
2
M
a
r
-
2
0
0
3
M
a
r
-
2
0
0
4
M
a
r
-
2
0
0
5
M
a
r
-
2
0
0
6
M
a
r
-
2
0
0
7
M
a
r
-
2
0
0
8
M
a
r
-
2
0
0
9
M
a
r
-
2
0
1
0
M
a
r
-
2
0
1
1
M
a
r
-
2
0
1
2
M
a
r
-
2
0
1
3
M
a
r
-
2
0
1
4
M
a
r
-
2
0
1
5
M
a
r
-
2
0
1
6
M
a
r
-
2
0
1
7
M
a
r
-
2
0
1
8
M
a
r
-
2
0
1
9
M
a
r
-
2
0
2
0
CLOSING
PRICE
PER
SHARE
(in
Rs.)
ADJUSTED HISTORICAL PRICE TRAJECTORY
ADJUSTED PRICE Expon. (ADJUSTED PRICE) 3 per. Mov. Avg. (ADJUSTED PRICE)
SOURCE: IN.INVESTING.COM
DISCLAIMER
184
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
185
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
186
GRACIAS
(SPANISH FOR: “THE END!” “THANK YOU”)
AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
187
LA FIN!
SOURCE: GOOGLE TRANSLATOR
FOR MORE INFORMATION:
ANALYST: AAYUSH AGRAWAL
EMAIL ID: xxxxxxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
PHONE: xxxxxxxxxxxxx
LINKEDIN: www.linkedin.com/in/cfa-aayush-agrawal/
JUNE 2020
188

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La Opala RG Ltd - Company Analysis

  • 1. LA OPALA RG LTD. RESEARCH REPORT 1 Analyst: Aayush Agrawal Email id: xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx Phone no.: xxxxxxxxxxxx LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/in/cfa-aayush-agrawal JUNE 2020 (“La” is Spanish for ”The”, and “Opala” is Portuguese for “Opal”) SOURCE: GOOGLE TRANSLATOR
  • 2. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 2 SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORT, 2015-16, 2016-17
  • 3. CONTENT 1. HISTORY 2. BUSINESS OVERVIEW 3. MANAGEMENT QUALITY ANALYSIS 4. OPERATIONS ANALYSIS 5. SHAREHOLDING PATTERNS 6. VALUATION 7. PRICE 3 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 4. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 4 1. HISTORY A. INDIAN TABLEWARE MARKET’S HISTORY B. MANAGEMENT & COMPANY’S HISTORY 2. BUSINESS OVERVIEW A. BRANDS a) OPALWARE b) CRYSTALWARE B. PRODUCTION PROCESS C. RAW MATERIALS a) OPALWARE b) CRYSTALWARE D. MARKET SIZE & SHARE a) SEGMENTS i. OPALWARE V/S OTHER SEGMENTS ii. ORGANIZED V/S UNORGANIZED b) OPALWARE SEGMENT E. MANUFACTURING CAPACITY a) OVERVIEW b) LOCATION-WISE c) BRAND-WISE d) INDUSTRY (CAPACITY & REVENUES) F. VALUE DELIVERY NETWORK G. REVENUE MIX % a) BRAND-WISE b) MARKET-WISE c) DISTRIBUTION CHANNEL-WISE d) CUSTOMER TYPE-WISE e) SEASON-WISE H. COST ANALYSIS I. PROFIT ANALYSIS J. BALANCE SHEET ANALYSIS K. FCF ANALYSIS L. RATIO ANALYSIS a) ROCE, ROIC, & ROE b) DUPONT ANALYSES (2-, 3-, & 5-WAY) c) OTHER RATIOS 3. MANAGEMENT QUALITY ANALYSIS • REMUNERATION OF KMPs 4. OPERATIONS ANALYSIS A. PORTER’S 5 FORCES B. SWOT ANALYSIS 5. SHAREHOLDING PATTERNS A. INSIDERS B. OUTSIDERS 6. VALUATION A. BALANCE SHEETS B. P&L C. CASH FLOWS 7. PRICE 8. DISCLAIMER
  • 6. PART 1 - HISTORY A. INDIAN TABLEWARE MARKET’S HISTORY 6 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 7. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 7 IN THE 19TH CENTURY (i.e. BEFORE 1900) FROM KOLKATA: vIMPORT ØBONE CHINA CROCKERY vEXPORT IN-RETURN ØOPIUM HOWEVER, BONE CHINA CROCKERY NEVER REALLY CAUGHT ON, BECAUSE IT USED COW BONE ASH. BEFORE 1947 (INDIA'S INDEPENDENCE) THE PORCELAIN AND GLASS TABLEWARE MARKET IN INDIA HAS ALWAYS BEEN STRONG. AFTER 1947 – BEFORE 1991 UNDER FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESTRICTIONS, CROCKERY IMPORTS TAPERED OFF AND THE MARKET WAS FILLED WITH SMALL MANUFACTURERS WITH MEDIOCRE QUALITY PRODUCTS. SOURCE: BUSINESS INDIA MAGAZINE, MAY 27 TO JUNE 9, 2013 ISSUE
  • 8. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 8 PRE- 1991 FOR THE MIDDLE-CLASS FAMILIES, DINNERWARE WAS STARTED BEING SEEN AS A LIFESTYLE PRODUCT INSTEAD OF AS BEING A UTILITARIAN PRODUCT DIFFERENT MATERIALS: • STAINLESS STEEL – MEH! • BONE CHINA – COW BONE ASH, SO DUH! • OPALWARE – GLEAMING, NEARLY-UNBREAKABLE WHITE GLASS, IMPORTED-STUFF… 10 BROWNIE POINTS! 1991 INDIA’S L.P.G. CHANGE POST- 1991 L.P.G. AND THE INDIAN MIDDLE-CLASS AFFLUENCE BEGAN TO BLOOM EVERY MIDDLE-CLASS HOME WAS GIFTED ONE OR TWO CERAMIC DINNER SETS AT A WEDDING SOURCE: BUSINESS INDIA MAGAZINE, MAY 27 TO JUNE 9, 2013 ISSUE; OUTLOOK BUSINESS, 24/05/2014; NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 17/9/2013; ANNUAL REPORT, 2018-19
  • 9. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 9 2001- 2002 % OF INDIAN HOUSEHOLD: •IN THE MIDDLE INCOME BRACKET = 58% •IN THE HIGH INCOME BRACKET = 7% 2008- 2010 THE GREAT FINANCIAL RECESSION GOVT. INTRODUCED EXPANSIONARY POLICIES TO TACKLE THE RECESSION •LEADING TO HIGHER DISPOSABLE INCOME % OF INDIAN HOUSEHOLD: •IN THE MIDDLE INCOME BRACKET = 62% •IN THE HIGH INCOME BRACKET = 20% SOURCE: HBJ CAPITAL, 9/2011
  • 10. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 10 2010 HOPEWELL TABLEWARE PVT. LTD. (A DOMESTIC ORGANIZED COMPETITOR) ENTERED THE TABLEWARE MARKET 2011 THE GOVERNMENT IMPOSED AN ANTI-DUMPING DUTY ON IMPORT OF OPAL GLASSWARE • CHINA – 41.6-110.17% OF THE LANDED COST OF CONSIGNMENTS • UAE – 36.73% OF THE COST FOR A PERIOD OF 5 YEARS EFFECTIVE 12/2011 i.e. 2012-2017 (5 YEARS) 2013 HOPEWELL TABLEWARE PVT. LTD. ENTERED THE OPALWARE MARKET SET-UP OPALWARE MANUFACTURING PLANT 8,000 TPA IN JAIPUR, RAJASTHAN HOPEWELL’s PRODUCTS WERE 25% CHEAPER THAN LA OPALA’s PRODUCTS HOPEWELL’s BRAND: ‘LARAH’ 2016 HOPEWELL TABLEWARE PVT. LTD. GOT ACQUIRED BY BOROSIL GLASS WORKS LTD. THIS WAY BOROSIL ENTERED THE OPALWARE INDUSTRY DEMONETIZATION HIT THE TABLEWARE INDUSTRY HARD ANTI-DUMPING DUTY GOT EXTENDED •TILL 08/2017 •i.e. 6 MONTHS’ EXTENSION 2017 ANTI-DUMPING DUTY GOT EXTENDED • TILL 2022 • i.e. 5 YEARS ENTENSION • CHINA – 30.62% OF THE COST INSURANCE FREIGHT (CIF) • UAE – 4.38% OF CIF GST WAS INTRODUCED BROUGHT THE UNORGANIZED SECTOR TO A LEVEL PLAYING FIELD CELLO GROUP ENTERED THE OPALWARE INDUSTRY IN CY2016 SET-UP OPALWARE MANUFACTURING PLANT IN CY2017, FY2018 18,250 TPA SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORTS, 17/9/2013, 9/10/2014, 8/2/2017, 5/12/2018, 14/2/2019; NO.37/9.8.2017-CUSTOMS(ADD); CELLOTABLEWARE.COM; MERGR.COM; PITCHBOOK.COM
  • 11. PART 1 - HISTORY B. MANAGEMENT & COMPANY’S HISTORY 11 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 12. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 12 BEFORE MID-1980s A SMALL GLASS KILN, RADHA GLASS (RG), AT MADHUPUR IN BIHAR (NOW, IN JHARKHAND) MAKING 100%-RECYCLED GLASS FOR TEA SHOP GLASSES, JARS, HURRICANE-LAMP SHADES, GLASS CHIMNEYS, ETC. FOR DECADES IN MID- 1980s THE ELDEST SON OF THE FAMILY, SUSHIL JHUNJHUNWALA (2ND GEN.), INHERITED HIS FATHER’S BUSINESS (1ST GEN.) HE REALISED THAT NOTHING BIG COULD HAPPEN IF HE STICKS TO THE TRADITIONAL GLASS PRODUCTS IN LATE- 1980S AN IDEA STRIKES DURING A TRIP TO SOUTH KOREA, HE CAME ACROSS AN OPAQUE WHITE GLASS CALLED ‘OPAL’ •ORIGINALLY, A FRENCH DISCOVERY, OPAL GLASS WAS CONSIDERED RARE AND DIFFICULT TO CREATE IMPRESSED BY ITS LOOK, DECIDED TO MANUFACTURE IT WITH THE USE OF IMPORTED MACHINERY SOURCE: BUSINESS INDIA MAGAZINE, MAY 27 TO JUNE 9, 2013 ISSUE; OUTLOOK BUSINESS, 24/05/2014; ANNUAL REPORT, 2017-18
  • 13. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 13 1987 THE JOURNEY BEGAN FOR LA OPALA GLASS PRIVATE LIMITED 1988 PIONEERING IN OPAL GLASS TECHNOLOGY IN INDIA ON SECURING TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE FROM A SOUTH KOREAN COMPANY, HOSAN GLASS 1ST OPAL GLASS PLANT: 688 TPA (TONNES PER ANNUM) SET UP AT MADHUPUR, BIHAR RS.1.5-2 CRORE INVESTMENT LATE- 1980s EVENTHOUGH IT REMAINED LOSS-MAKING FOR 2 YEARS, DUE TO OVERWHELMING MARKET RESPONSE IN JUST A FEW QUARTERS THE COMPANY ANNOUNCED CAPACITY EXPANSION TO 1032 TPA SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 5/12/2018; ANNUAL REPORT 2017-18; FORBES INDIA, 9/5/2017; COMPANY WEBSITE
  • 14. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 14 1991 EARNED THE HONOUR OF BEING THE FIRST EXPORTER OF OPAL GLASS TABLEWARE STARTING WITH SINGAPORE, AFGHANISTAN, SAUDI ARABIA, UAE AND BAHRAIN SOURCE: BUSINESS INDIA MAGAZINE, MAY 27 TO JUNE 9, 2013 ISSUE; OUTLOOK BUSINESS, 24/05/2014; COMPANY WEBSITE SOURCE: BUSINESS INDIA MAGAZINE, MAY 27 TO JUNE 9, 2013 ISSUE
  • 15. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 15 1995 LA OPALA BECAME THE 1ST PUBLIC LIMITED TABLEWARE COMPANY 1996 PIONEERED 24% LEAD CRYSTAL GLASSWARE TECHNOLOGY IN INDIA: •SET UP THE 1ST HANDMADE LEAD-CRYSTAL GLASS PLANT AT MADHUPUR, BIHAR – 550 TPA (LATER DOUBLED TO 1,100 TPA) •IN COLLABORATION WITH DOOSAN GLASS LIMITED, SOUTH KOREAN EXPERTS IN GLASS MANUFACTURING •LAUNCHED INDIA’s 1ST 24% LEAD CRYSTAL GLASSWARE, UNDER THE BRAND NAME 'SOLITAIRE' A WELL-PLACED INVESTMENT BECAUSE: •LABOUR RATES IN THE MAIN CRYSTAL MANUFACTURING COUNTRIES WERE HIGH , AND •THE INDIAN MIDDLE CLASSES WERE DEVELOPING A PENCHANT FOR GOOD GLASSES 1997 THE FIRST INDIAN COMPANY TO EXPORT 24% LEAD CRYSTAL TABLEWARE 1999 THE MERGER OF LA OPALA GLASS LTD, WITH RADHA GLASS & INDUSTRIES LTD, FORMING LA OPALA RG LTD SOURCE: BUSINESS INDIA MAGAZINE, MAY 27 TO JUNE 9, 2013 ISSUE; COMPANY WEBSITE
  • 16. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 16 2007 1st INDIAN COMPANY TO SUPPLY 24% LEAD CRYSTAL GLASSWARE TO WORLD RENOWNED ‘ROSENTHAL’ 2nd OPAL GLASS PLANT: FULLY AUTOMATIC STATE-OF- THE-ART 4,000 TPA •A ₹55-CRORE COMPANY WITH ONLY ₹60-CRORE IN REVENUES TO INVEST ₹40 CRORE IN A PLANT SET UP AT SITARGANJ, UTTARAKHAND, IN FY2008, ATTRACTED BY: •TAX REGIME THERE •EXCISE DUTY EXEMPTED TILL 9/2017 •ETC. •ITS PROXIMITY TO DELHI’S FANCY MARKET 2008 LAUNCH OF 'DIVA', THE HI- TECH, WORLDCLASS OPAL BRAND IN THE PREMIUM SEGMENT. THE LIGHTER, THINNER YET STRONGER PRODUCT SAW GOOD TRACTION IN THE MARKET AND DIVA’s PREMIUM PRICING TRICKLED DOWN TO THE COMPANY’S BOTTOMLINE THE ‘DIVA’ RANGE STARTED AT A 35% PREMIUM TO THE ‘LA OPALA’ BRAND THIS HELPED IN SUBSTANTIALLY HIKING ITS MARKETING SPENDS SOURCE: BUSINESS INDIA MAGAZINE, MAY 27 TO JUNE 9, 2013 ISSUE; OUTLOOK BUSINESS, 24/05/2014; NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 17/9/2013, 31/8/2017; COMPANY WEBSITE; ANNUAL REPORT 2018-19 SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 17/9/2013 FY2009-12: BIPASHA BASU – BECAME THE BRAND AMBASSADOR OF LA OPALA ‘DIVA’ FOR 2.5 YEARS AROUND FY2012 & 2013: ‘MANISH MALHOTRA DIVA COLLECTION’ (FASHION DESIGNER) OF CROCKERY WAS LAUNCHED SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 9/10/2014; ANNUAL REPORT, 2011-12
  • 17. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 17 2013 1ST MAJOR BROWNFIELD EXPANSION OF THE SITARGANJ PLANT. DOUBLED THE PRODUCTION CAPACITY TO 8,000 TPA IN FY2014 UPGRADED THE FURNACE AT MADHUPUR, JHARKHAND: SWITCHED FROM FURNACE OIL TO ELECTRICITY - GAINS – VISIBLY GOOD SINCE FY2014 2015 2ND MAJOR BROWNFIELD EXPANSION OF THE SITARGANJ PLANT. DOUBLED THE PRODUCTION CAPACITY TO 16,000 TPA IN FY2016 COMMERCIAL PRODUCTION STARTED FOR OPALWARE “CUP-SAUCER RANGE” AT SITARGANJ, UTTARAKHAND IN 11/2015 2016 NEW PRODUCTS LAUNCHED: •UNDER DIVA BRAND – “QUADRA”, “SOVRANA”, & “CUP-SAUCER RANGE” •UNDER LA OPALA BRAND – “COOK-N- SERVE PRODUCT” (IMPORTED FROM EUROPE) DEMONETIZATION’s +VE EFFECTS: •SHOWED MGT.’s STANCE •i.e. NO INCREASE IN DISCOUNT, ONLY CREDIT PERIOD EXTENSIONS GIVEN TO DEALERS •UNORGANIZED SECTOR WAS HIT HARDER DEMONETIZATION’s -VE EFFECTS: •CASH CRUNCH – HIT CO.’s WHOLESALE BUYERS •HENCE, CO. MISSED THE WEDDING SEASON •INSTITUTIONAL SALES WERE ALSO NEGATIVELY IMPACTED 2017 3RD BROWNFIELD EXPANSION OF THE SITARGANJ PLANT. DOUBLED THE PRODUCTION CAPACITY TO 20,000 TPA IN FY2018 GST’s +VE EFFECTS: • TAX RATE CUT – FROM 25% TO 18% • MADHUPUR – POST-6/2017 • SITARGANJ – POST-9/2017 • OPALWARE PRICES: • AT PAR WITH – STEELWARE • BELOW – DECENT BONE-CHINEWARE GST’s -VE EFFECTS: •MAJOR DESTOCKING AT THE RETAILER LEVEL (SHORT- TERM IMPACT) LABOUR UNION’s UNREASONABLE DEMANDS CAUSED: MADHUPUR PLANT TO SHUT DOWN FOR 45- DAYS (6/2017) 2018 EARLIER: •PRINTED DESIGNS, TO BE THERMALLY PASTED ON THE OPALWARE, WERE IMPORTED •FROM INDONESIA, & SOUTH KOREA NOW: •USES THE TECHNOLOGY OF PRINTING THE DESIGNS ITSELF SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 17/9/2013, 5/2/2016, 17/5/2016, 22/8/2016, 16/11/2016; 8/2/2017; 31/8/2017; 19/12/2018, 14/2/2019
  • 18. BUSINESS OVERVIEW PART 2 18 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 19. PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW A. BRANDS 19 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 20. a) OPALWARE BRANDS 20 THE COMPANY CLAIMS THAT THE FOLLOWING POSITIONING STRATEGIES HAVE BEEN USED: 1st – ENTRY-LEVEL BRAND -- “LA OPALA” BRANDS SUB-CATEGORIES - 2 2nd – PREMIUM BRAND -- “DIVA FROM LA OPALA” BRANDS SUB-CATEGORIES – 4 + 1 ADDED IN 2019-20 NEW: “COSMO COLLECTION” SOURCE: 2018-19 ANNUAL REPORT SOURCE: 2018-19 ANNUAL REPORT; COMPANY WEBSITE Opal glassware: Plates | Bowls | Dinner Sets | Cup-Saucer Sets | Coffee Mugs | Coffee Cups | Tea Sets | Soup Sets | Pudding | Dessert Sets AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 21. 21 GOING TO AS HIGH AS RS.6,500 FOR A 65-PIECE DINNER SET (i.e. RS.100 PER PIECE) STARTING FROM RS.650 FOR A 6- PIECE DINNER SET (i.e. RS.108 PER PIECE) PRICE RANGE (FY2017) SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORT, 2016-17 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 22. 22 SOURCE: 2018-19 ANNUAL REPORT 1st 2nd 2ND -- RS.1,700- RS.4,500 FOR A 27 PIECE DINNER SET 1ST -- LESS THAN RS.3,500 FOR A 12-15 PIECE DINNER SET. PRICES IN THE MARKET (FY2019) SOURCE: 15 FEBRUARY 2019, NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 THE COMPANY DOES NOT SHARE MARGINS IN ITS PRODUCT CATEGORIES, BUT ITS RETAIL PRICE GIVES AN INDICATION OF THE MARGIN DIFFERENCE ACROSS CATEGORIES.
  • 23. 23 SOURCE: 2018-19 ANNUAL REPORT 1. 2. 5. DIVA SOVRANA •FORMAL RANGE FOR FORMAL DINING 4. DIVA QUADRA •CATERING TO A YOUNG AND TRENDING AUDIENCE 3. DIVA IVORY •COMPLETE ROUND DINNERWARE; SLIGHTLY UPMARKET 2. DIVA CLASSIQUE •ENTRY LEVEL FOR THE PREMIUM COLLECTION 1. LA OPALA •ENTRY LEVEL BRAND PRICES AS SHOULD BE SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORT, 2017-18 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 3. 4. 5.
  • 24. 24 PRICES IN THE MARKET - HEH? (FY2019) AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 5. DIVA SOVRANA •FORMAL RANGE FOR FORMAL DINING 1. LA OPALA •ENTRY LEVEL BRAND 3. DIVA IVORY •COMPLETE ROUND DINNERWARE; SLIGHTLY UPMARKET 2. DIVA CLASSIQUE •ENTRY LEVEL FOR THE PREMIUM COLLECTION 4. DIVA QUADRA •CATERING TO A YOUNG AND TRENDING AUDIENCE SOURCE: 2018-19 ANNUAL REPORT 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. SOURCE: 5 DECEMBER 2018, 14 FEBRUARY 2019, NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT THE COMPANY DOES NOT SHARE MARGINS IN ITS PRODUCT CATEGORIES, BUT ITS RETAIL PRICE GIVES AN INDICATION OF THE MARGIN DIFFERENCE ACROSS CATEGORIES.
  • 25. 25 PRICES IN THE MARKET - HEH? (FY2020) AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 4. DIVA QUADRA •CATERING TO A YOUNG AND TRENDING AUDIENCE 5. DIVA SOVRANA •FORMAL RANGE FOR FORMAL DINING 3. DIVA IVORY •COMPLETE ROUND DINNERWARE; SLIGHTLY UPMARKET 2. DIVA CLASSIQUE •ENTRY LEVEL FOR THE PREMIUM COLLECTION 1. LA OPALA •ENTRY LEVEL BRAND SOURCE: 2018-19 ANNUAL REPORT 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. SOURCE: 1 JULY 2020, NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT THE COMPANY DOES NOT SHARE MARGINS IN ITS PRODUCT CATEGORIES, BUT ITS RETAIL PRICE GIVES AN INDICATION OF THE MARGIN DIFFERENCE ACROSS CATEGORIES.
  • 26. 26 PRODUCT COMPARISON OF VARIOUS PLAYERS (Q2 FY2013) SOURCE: 17 SEPTEMBER 2013, NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 27. 27 PRODUCT COMPARISON OF VARIOUS PLAYERS (CY2018) SOURCE: 5 DECEMBER 2018, NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 28. 28 SOURCE: 5 DECEMBER 2018, NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 29. 29 SOURCE: 5 DECEMBER 2018, NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 30. 30 PRODUCT COMPARISON OF VARIOUS PLAYERS (FY2020) SOURCE: 1 JULY 2020, NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 31. 31 SOURCE: 1 JULY 2020, NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 Pigeon
  • 32. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 32
  • 33. b) CRYSTALWARE BRANDS 33 THE COMPANY CLAIMS THAT THE FOLLOWING POSITIONING STRATEGY HAS BEEN USED: PREMIUM BRAND -- “SOLITAIRE CRYSTAL” 24% LEAD CRYSTAL GLASSWARE Crystalware: Barware | Vases | Bowls | Stemware SOURCE: 2018-19 ANNUAL REPORT AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 34. 34 GOING TO AS HIGH AS Rs.1,950 STARTING FROM Rs.300 PRICES RANGE SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORT, 2016-17 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 35. PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW B. PRODUCTION PROCESS 35 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 36. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 36 SOURCE: “GLASS CONTAINER PRODUCTION” WIKIPEDIA THE BATCH HOUSE •HANDLES THE RAW MATERIALS •STORAGE, •AUTOMATIC PROPORTION CHECKS, •BATCH MIXING, •ETC. THE HOT END •HANDLES THE PROCESSING PART •THE FOREHEARTH, •SPINNING MACHINES, •ANNEALING OVENS, •ETC. THE COLD END •HANDLES THE FINAL PARTS •AUTOMATIC QUALITY-CHECKS, •LABELING, •PACKAGING, •ETC.
  • 37. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 37 SOURCE: ANCHOR.ARNIMADEV.COM/GLASSMAKING-PROCESS/
  • 38. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 38 SOURCE: YOUTUBE, YOUTU.BE/VB-AXJGECD4
  • 39. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 39 SOURCE: YOUTUBE, YOUTU.BE/ZTUXAZIXNI0
  • 40. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 40 1. BATCH HOUSE – TRANSWEIGH (INDIA-MAKE) 2. ELECTRIC GLASS FURNACE – ELECTRO GLASS (UK-MAKE) 3. SPINNING MACHINE – OLIVOTTO (ITALY-MAKE) 4. ANNEALING MACHINE AND TEMPERING MACHINE – CARMET (ITALY-MAKE) 5. ITS UTILITY MACHINES LIKE, E.G. COMPRESSOR, AIR DRYER, PUMPS, AIR AND WATER CHILLERS, COOLING TOWERS, DG SETS, BOREWELL, WATER SUPPLY, GAS SUPPLY, HYDRANT, FIREFIGHTING SYSTEM, ETC. SOURCE: LINKEDIN PROFILE OF ASSISTANT MAINTENANCE MANAGER (MECHANICAL) OF LA OPALA RG LTD. -- https://www.linkedin.com/in/anuraganurag/
  • 41. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 41 1. BATCH HOUSE – HUAFU (CHINA-MAKE) 2. ELECTRIC GLASS FURNACE – HUAFU (CHINA-MAKE) 3. SPINNING MACHINE – SGMT (CHINA-MAKE) 4. ANNEALING MACHINE AND TEMPERING MACHINE – HUAFU (CHINA-MAKE) 5. ITS UTILITY MACHINES LIKE, E.G. COMPRESSOR, AIR DRYER, PUMPS, AIR AND WATER CHILLERS, COOLING TOWERS, DG SETS, BOREWELL, WATER SUPPLY, GAS SUPPLY, HYDRANT, AND FIREFIGHTING SYSTEM, ETC. SOURCE: LINKEDIN PROFILE OF ASSISTANT MAINTENANCE MANAGER (MECHANICAL) OF LA OPALA RG LTD. -- https://www.linkedin.com/in/anuraganurag/
  • 42. PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW C. RAW MATERIALS 42 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 43. PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW C. RAW MATERIALS a) OPALWARE 43 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 44. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 44 SOURCE: “OPAL GLASS EXHIBITING A CREAMY-WHITE TINT” (US4687751) 18/8/1987 PATENT, CORNING INC., GOOGLE PATENTS; BORMIOLI ROCCO WEBSITE; YOUTUBE, YOUTU.BE/ZTUXAZIXNI0
  • 45. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 45 SOURCE: “OPAL GLASS EXHIBITING A CREAMY-WHITE TINT” (US4687751) 18/8/1987 PATENT, CORNING INC., GOOGLE PATENTS GENERIC COMPOSITION FOR OPALWARE GROUP 1 GROUP 2 GROUP 3 SODIUM OXIDE (DISODIUM MONOXIDE)(NA2O) - 10.5-13% FLUORINE (F) - 4-5.5% ALUMINA (ALUMINIUM TRIOXIDE)(AL2O3) - 6-9% SILICA (SILICON DIOXIDE)(SIO2) - 70-73% QUICKLIME (CALCIUM OXIDE) (CALCIUM MONOXIDE)( CAO) - 0.2-1.7% TITANIA (TITANIUM OXIDE) (TITANIUM DIOXIDE) (TIO2) - 0.1-1% TRISENOX (ARSENIC TRIOXIDE) (AS2O3) - 0-0.5% RUST (IRON OXIDE)(FERRIC OXIDE)(FE2O3) - 0.05-0.30% CERIA (CERIUM DIOXIDE) (CEO2) - 0-0.5% BORON TRIOXIDE (DIBORON TRIOXIDE)(B2O3) - 0.5-3% BARIA (BARIUM OXIDE)(BAO) - 1-3% ZINC OXIDE (ZNO) - 1.5%
  • 46. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 46 SOURCE: “OPAL GLASS EXHIBITING A CREAMY-WHITE TINT” (US4687751) 18/8/1987 PATENT, CORNING INC., GOOGLE PATENTS; BORMIOLI ROCCO WEBSITE
  • 47. PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW D. MARKET SIZE & SHARE 49 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 48. PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW D. MARKET SIZE AND SHARE a) SEGMENTS 50 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 49. PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW D. MARKET SIZE AND SHARE a) SEGMENTS i. OPALWARE V/S OTHER SEGMENTS 51 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 50. STEELWARE, ₹6,000 , 59% BONE CHINA - CERAMIC, ₹2,400 , 23% MELAMINE, ₹700 , 7% PORCELAIN - CERAMIC, ₹540 , 5% OPALWARE - CERAMIC, ₹500 , 5% OTHERS - PLASTIC, COPPER, STONEWARE, ETC., ₹60 , 1% FY18 MARKET SHARE ESTIMATE AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 52 STEELWARE, ₹2,998 , 74% GLASSWARE, ₹560 , 14% OPALWARE, ₹175 , 4% MELAMINE, ₹135 , 3% BONE CHINA, ₹130 , 3% STONEWARE, ₹45 , 1% PORCELAIN, ₹35 , 1% FY13 MARKET SHARE ESTIMATE SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORTS, 17/9/2013, 5/12/2018, 15/2/2019 RS.4,080 CR. RS.10,200 CR.
  • 51. BONE CHINA, 79% PORCELAIN, 73% MELAMINE, 39% OPALWARE, 23% STEELWARE, 15% OTHERS - GLASSWARE , PLASTIC, COPPER, STONEWARE , ETC., -37% FY13-18 SEGMENT-WISE ACTUAL PAST GROWTH RATES AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 53 STEELWARE, 10.9% BONE CHINA, 2.5% MELAMINE, 1.3% OPALWARE, 1.0% PORCELAIN, 0.6% OTHERS - GLASSWARE, PLASTIC, COPPER, STONEWARE, ETC., -5.5% FY13-18 CONTRIBUTIONS TO THE TOTAL ACTUAL GROWTH RATE SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORTS, 17/9/2013, 5/12/2018, 15/2/2019 TOTAL ACTUAL PAST GROWTH RATE = 20.1% P.A.
  • 52. OPALWARE - CERAMIC, 15% MELAMINE, 10% STEELWARE, 5% BONE CHINA - CERAMIC, 5% PORCELAIN - CERAMIC, 5% OTHERS - PLASTIC, COPPER, STONEWARE , ETC., 5% FY18 SEGMENT-WISE EXPECTED GROWTH RATES AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 54 STEELWARE, 2.9% BONE CHINA - CERAMIC, 1.2% OPALWARE - CERAMIC, 0.7% MELAMINE, 0.7% PORCELAIN - CERAMIC, 0.3% OTHERS - PLASTIC, COPPER, STONEWAR E, ETC., 0.0% FY18 CONTRIBUTIONS TO THE TOTAL EXPECTED GROWTH RATE SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORTS, 5/12/2018, 15/2/2019 TOTAL EXPECTED FUTURE GROWTH RATE = 5.8% P.A.
  • 53. BONE CHINA - CERAMIC, ₹2,400 , 57% MELAMINE, ₹700 , 17% PORCELAIN - CERAMIC, ₹540 , 13% OPALWARE - CERAMIC, ₹500 , 12% OTHERS - PLASTIC, COPPER, STONEWARE, ETC., ₹60 , 1% FY18 MARKET SHARE ESTIMATE AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 55 GLASSWARE, ₹560 , 52% OPALWARE, ₹175 , 16% MELAMINE, ₹135 , 13% BONE CHINA, ₹130 , 12% STONEWARE, ₹45 , 4% PORCELAIN, ₹35 , 3% FY13 MARKET SHARE ESTIMATE (EXCLUDING STEELWARE) RS.1,080 CR. (OUT OF RS.4,080 CR.) RS.4,200 CR. (OUT OF RS.10,200 CR.) SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORTS, 17/9/2013, 5/12/2018, 15/2/2019
  • 54. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 56 SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORTS, 17/9/2013 CROCKERY REQUIREMENTS OF DIFFERENT CULTURES ARE AS VARIED AS THEIR CUISINE. IT IS A VERY FRAGMENTED MARKET AND EACH COUNTRY DEMANDS ITS OWN CONFIGURATION IN TERMS OF NUMBER OF PIECES, DESIGN, SIZE AND SHAPE. AS A RESULT: 1. A PRODUCT OF A COMPANY MAY WORK IN ONE COUNTRY BUT MAY BE UNSUCCESSFUL IN ANOTHER, 2. THE SHARE OF ESTABLISHED GLOBAL BRANDS IS LOWER IN THE INDIAN CROCKERY MARKET. EXAMPLES OF DIFFERENCES: 1. IN INDIA, & THE USA, § A LUNCH/DINNER NEEDS § 20 PIECES OF CROCKERY § TO SERVE § A TYPICAL FOUR-MEMBER HOUSEHOLD. 2. IN SAUDI ARABIA, § FAMILIES ARE LARGE § PEOPLE EAT TOGETHER, § A TYPICAL LUNCH/DINNER INVOLVES § ABOUT 90 PIECES OF CROCKERY. 3. ITALY, LIKE THE REST OF THE MEDITERRANEAN REGION, § HAS FONDNESS FOR § SOUP BOWLS. 4. THE CHINESE § NEED § A PLETHORA OF SMALL BOWLS FOR THEIR SAUCES.
  • 55. PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW D. MARKET SIZE AND SHARE a) SEGMENTS ii. ORGANIZED V/S UNORGANIZED 57 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 56. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 58 ORGANIZED - DOMESTIC, ₹2,240 , 21% ORGANIZED - IMPORT, ₹3,240 , 30% UNORGANIZE D - DOMESTIC, ₹2,870 , 26% UNORGANIZED - IMPORT, ₹2,510 , 23% FY13 ESTIMATE OF DOMESTIC V/S IMPORTS SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORTS, 17/9/2013
  • 57. PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW D. MARKET SIZE AND SHARE b) OPALWARE SEGMENT 59 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 58. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 60 SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORTS, 5/12/2018; LIVINGLIFESTYLE.IN 1. OPALWARE V/S STEEL & OTHER METALS A. OPALWARE: q MICROWAVE OVEN COMPATIBILITY ü WITH HIGHER PENETRATION OF MICROWAVE OVENS, OPALWARE’S DEMAND MAY ALSO INCREASE q DESIGNS AND COLORS ü OFFERS BETTER THAN METALWARES q ASTHETICS ü OFFERS BETTER THAN METALWARES q DURABILITY ✘ NOT BETTER THAN METALS. 2. OPALWARE V/S MELAMINE & PLASTICS A. OPALWARE: q EFFECT ON HEALTH ü SAFE FOR HEALTH. B. MELAMINE & PLASTICWARE: q DESIGNS AND COLORS ü OFFERS BETTER THAN METALWARES q PRICING ü CHEAPER THAN MANY OTHER TABLEWARE MATERIALS q DURABILITY ü LONGER LASTING THAN OPALWARE. ü REPLACEMENT RATE OF MELAMINE - 10-20% P.A. (i.e. 5-10 YEARS TO REPLACE WHOLE SET). ITS AN IMPORTANT FACTOR FOR RESTAURANTS, CATERING, ETC. ü AS COMPARED TO 50-150% P.A. (i.e. 0.5-2 YEARS) FOR CERAMIC TABLEWARE. q ASTHETICS ü OFFERS BETTER THAN METALWARES ✘ BUT FEELS “CHEAP” COMPARED TO “ELEGANT” OPALWARE q MICROWAVE OVEN COMPATIBILITY ✘ NOPE. q EFFECT ON HEALTH ✘ HARMFUL FOR HEALTH. 3. OPALWARE V/S BONE CHINA/CERAMICS A. OPALWARE - ALSO A KIND OF A CERAMIC: q STURDYNESS ü BETTER THAN TRADITIONAL BONE CHINA, CLAY, OR PROCELAIN PRODUCTS q PRICING ü CHEAPER THAN OTHER CERAMICS q EASE OF HANDLING & MAINTAINING ü EASIER THAN OTHER CERAMICS q WEIGHT ü LIGHTWEIGHT, IN MOST CASES. q BONE-ASH RAW MATERIAL ü NO BONE-ASH USED. ü 100% VEGETARIAN. ü VEGAN
  • 59. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 61 ₹340.2 ₹418.5 ₹447.0 ₹- ₹50.0 ₹100.0 ₹150.0 ₹200.0 ₹250.0 ₹300.0 ₹350.0 ₹400.0 ₹450.0 FY2016 FY2017 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2018 (IND-AS) REVENUES (in Rs. Cr.) REVENUES OF THE OPALWARE SEGMENT FY2016 FY2017 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2018 (IND-AS) SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 5/12/2018 GROWTH: (FY16-18) TOTAL = BY 31% i.e. 14.63% CAGR
  • 60. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 62 ₹212.2 ₹222.7 ₹212.6 ₹48.0 ₹98.3 ₹102.1 ₹- ₹- ₹47.3 ₹80.0 ₹97.5 ₹85.0 ₹- ₹50.0 ₹100.0 ₹150.0 ₹200.0 ₹250.0 ₹300.0 ₹350.0 ₹400.0 ₹450.0 FY2016 FY2017 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2018 (IND-AS) REVENUES (in Rs. Cr.) REVENUES OF THE OPALWARE SEGMENT LA OPALA BOROSIL - LARAH CELLO OTHERS (CORELLE, BORMIOLI ROCCO, LUMINARC, RAK CERAMICS, ETC.) SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 5/12/2018 GROWTH: (FY16-18) LA OPALA = BY 0.2% i.e. 0.09% CAGR BOROSIL = BY 113% i.e. 45.8% CAGR OTHERS = BY 6% i.e. 3.08% CAGR TOTAL = BY 31% i.e. 14.63% CAGR
  • 61. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 63 62% 53% 48% 14% 23% 23% 0% 0% 11% 24% 23% 19% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% FY2016 FY2017 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2018 (IND-AS) REVENUES (AS A % OF TOTAL) REVENUES OF THE OPALWARE SEGMENT LA OPALA BOROSIL - LARAH CELLO OTHERS (CORELLE, BORMIOLI ROCCO, LUMINARC, RAK CERAMICS, ETC.) SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 5/12/2018
  • 62. PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW E. MANUFACTURING CAPACITY 64 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 63. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 65 SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORT, 2014-15
  • 64. PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW E. MANUFACTURING CAPACITY a) OVERVIEW 66 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 65. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 67 FIXED ASSET TYPE LOCATIONS COMPANY LA OPALA RG LTD. DOMESTIC 3(+1) FACTORIES 1 CORPORATE OFFICE 1 WIND MILL INTERNATIONAL 0 SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORT, 2017-18, 2018-19
  • 66. PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW E. MANUFACTURING CAPACITY b) LOCATION-WISE 68 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 67. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 69 PRODUCT TYPE & CAPACITY LOCATIONS & CAPACITY FIXED ASSET TYPE LOCATIONS DOMESTIC 3(+1) FACTORIES (25,000 + 11,000 TPA) 2 IN MADHUPUR, JHARKHAND (5,000 TPA) 1 OPALWARE (4,000 TPA) 1 CRYSTALWARE (1,000 TPA) 1(+1) IN SITARGANJ, UTTARAKHAND (20,000 + 11,000 TPA) 1 OPALWARE (20,000 TPA) (+1) OPALWARE (11,000 TPA) 1 CORPORATE OFFICE CHITRAKOOT, KOLKATA, WEST BENGAL 1 WIND MILL (600 KWH) GORERA VILLAGE, JAISALMER, RAJASTHAN ELECTRICITY SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORT, 2010-11, 2017-18, 2018-19
  • 68. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 70 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 - - - - - 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 8,000 8,000 16,000 16,000 20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000 - - - - 4,000 - - - - - - - - - - - - - 11,000 - - - - - - - - - - 4,000 - 8,000 - 4,000 - - - - 2,500 5,000 10,000 20,000 40,000 F Y 2 0 0 4 F Y 2 0 0 5 F Y 2 0 0 6 F Y 2 0 0 7 F Y 2 0 0 8 F Y 2 0 0 9 F Y 2 0 1 0 F Y 2 0 1 1 F Y 2 0 1 2 F Y 2 0 1 3 F Y 2 0 1 4 F Y 2 0 1 5 F Y 2 0 1 6 F Y 2 0 1 7 F Y 2 0 1 8 F Y 2 0 1 9 F Y 2 0 2 0 ( E X P E C T E D ) F Y 2 0 2 1 ( E X P E C T E D ) F Y 2 0 2 2 ( E X P E C T E D ) TONNES PER ANNUM (TPA) LOCATIONS’ IMPORTANCE OVER THE YEARS MADHUPUR SITARGANJ SITARGANJ - GREENFIELD EXPANSION SITARGANJ - BROWNFIELD EXPANSION SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORT, 2017-18, 2018-19; NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 14/2/2019, 1/7/2020
  • 69. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 71 100% 100% 100% 100% 56% 56% 56% 56% 56% 56% 38% 38% 24% 24% 20% 20% 20% 20% 14% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 44% 44% 44% 44% 44% 31% 62% 38% 76% 64% 80% 80% 80% 56% 0% 0% 0% 0% 44% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 31% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 31% 0% 38% 0% 16% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% F Y 2 0 0 4 F Y 2 0 0 5 F Y 2 0 0 6 F Y 2 0 0 7 F Y 2 0 0 8 F Y 2 0 0 9 F Y 2 0 1 0 F Y 2 0 1 1 F Y 2 0 1 2 F Y 2 0 1 3 F Y 2 0 1 4 F Y 2 0 1 5 F Y 2 0 1 6 F Y 2 0 1 7 F Y 2 0 1 8 F Y 2 0 1 9 F Y 2 0 2 0 ( E X P E C T E D ) F Y 2 0 2 1 ( E X P E C T E D ) F Y 2 0 2 2 ( E X P E C T E D ) TONNES PER ANNUM (TPA) AS A % OF TOTAL LOCATIONS’ IMPORTANCE OVER THE YEARS MADHUPUR SITARGANJ SITARGANJ - GREENFIELD EXPANSION SITARGANJ - BROWNFIELD EXPANSION SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORT, 2017-18, 2018-19; NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 14/2/2019, 1/7/2020
  • 70. PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW E. MANUFACTURING CAPACITY c) BRAND-WISE 72 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 71. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 73 FURNACE TYPE PRODUCTION TYPE BRANDS & LOCATION PRODUCT TYPE & CAPACITY FIXED ASSET TYPE 3(+1) FACTORIES (25,000 + 11,000 TPA) 1 OPALWARE (4,000 TPA) “LA OPALA” BRANDS MADHUPUR, JHARKHAND SEMI-AUTO: PRESSED PROCESS FUEL-FIRE (PRE-7/2013) ELECTRIC-ARC (SINCE 7/2013) 1 CRYSTALWARE (1,000 TPA) “SOLITAIRE CRYSTAL” BRAND MADHUPUR, JHARKHAND HANDMADE FUEL-FIRE (PRE-7/2013) ELECTRIC-ARC (SINCE 7/2013) 1(+1) OPALWARE (20,000 + 11,000 TPA) “DIVA” BRANDS SITARGANJ, UTTARAKHAND FULLY-AUTO: SPINNING PROCESS ELECTRIC-ARC (SINCE INCEPTION) SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORT, 2014-15, 2017-18, 2018-19; BUSINESS INDIA MAGAZINE, MAY 27 TO JUNE 9, 2013 ISSUE; OUTLOOK BUSINESS, 24/05/2014 : NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 9/10/2014, 31/8/2017, 14/2/2019 (FURNACE NEEDS TO BE RE-ALIGNED EVERY 2 YEARS) (FACTORY SHUTS FOR 1.5 MONTHS)
  • 72. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 74 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 - - - - - 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 8,000 8,000 16,000 16,000 20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000 - - - - 4,000 - - - - - - - - - - - - - 11,000 - - - - - - - - - - 4,000 - 8,000 - 4,000 - - - - 2,500 5,000 10,000 20,000 40,000 F Y 2 0 0 4 F Y 2 0 0 5 F Y 2 0 0 6 F Y 2 0 0 7 F Y 2 0 0 8 F Y 2 0 0 9 F Y 2 0 1 0 F Y 2 0 1 1 F Y 2 0 1 2 F Y 2 0 1 3 F Y 2 0 1 4 F Y 2 0 1 5 F Y 2 0 1 6 F Y 2 0 1 7 F Y 2 0 1 8 F Y 2 0 1 9 F Y 2 0 2 1 ( E X P E C T E D ) F Y 2 0 2 2 ( E X P E C T E D ) F Y 2 0 2 0 ( E X P E C T E D ) TONNES PER ANNUM (TPA) CAPACITIES OVER THE YEARS LA OPALA SOLITAIRE CRYSTAL DIVA - TILL DATE DIVA - GREENFIELD EXPANSION DIVA - BROWNFIELD EXPANSION SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORT, 2017-18, 2018-19; NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 14/2/2019, 1/7/2020
  • 73. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 75 80% 80% 80% 80% 44% 44% 44% 44% 44% 44% 31% 31% 19% 19% 16% 16% 16% 16% 11% 20% 20% 20% 20% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 8% 8% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 44% 44% 44% 44% 44% 31% 62% 38% 76% 64% 80% 80% 80% 56% 0% 0% 0% 0% 44% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 31% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 31% 0% 38% 0% 16% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% F Y 2 0 0 4 F Y 2 0 0 5 F Y 2 0 0 6 F Y 2 0 0 7 F Y 2 0 0 8 F Y 2 0 0 9 F Y 2 0 1 0 F Y 2 0 1 1 F Y 2 0 1 2 F Y 2 0 1 3 F Y 2 0 1 4 F Y 2 0 1 5 F Y 2 0 1 6 F Y 2 0 1 7 F Y 2 0 1 8 F Y 2 0 1 9 F Y 2 0 2 0 ( E X P E C T E D ) F Y 2 0 2 0 ( E X P E C T E D ) F Y 2 0 2 0 ( E X P E C T E D ) TONNES PER ANNUM (TPA) AS A % OF TOTAL BRANDS’ IMPORTANCE OVER THE YEARS LA OPALA SOLITAIRE CRYSTAL DIVA - TILL DATE DIVA - GREENFIELD EXPANSION DIVA - BROWNFIELD EXPANSION SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORT, 2017-18, 2018-19; NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 14/2/2019, 1/7/2020
  • 74. PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW E. MANUFACTURING CAPACITY d) INDUSTRY (CAPACITY & REVENUES) 76 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 75. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 77 21,000 21,000 25,000 9,750 9,750 14,600 - - 18,250 - 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 TONNES PER ANNUM (TPA) TOTAL CAPACITIES IN THE INDUSTRY (EXCLUDING OTHERS) LA OPALA BOROSIL CELLO SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 14/2/2019, 1/7/2020 GROWTH: LA OPALA = BY 19% i.e. 9.11% CAGR BOROSIL = BY 50% i.e. 22.37% CAGR TOTAL = BY 88% i.e. 37.16% CAGR
  • 76. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 78 ₹212.2 ₹222.7 ₹212.6 ₹48.0 ₹98.3 ₹102.1 ₹- ₹- ₹47.3 ₹- ₹50.0 ₹100.0 ₹150.0 ₹200.0 ₹250.0 ₹300.0 ₹350.0 ₹400.0 FY2016 FY2017 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2018 (IND-AS) REVENUES (in Rs. Cr.) REVENUES OF THE INDUSTRY (EXCLUDING OTHERS) LA OPALA BOROSIL - LARAH CELLO SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 5/12/2018 GROWTH: (FY16-18) LA OPALA = BY 0.2% i.e. 0.09% CAGR BOROSIL = BY 113% i.e. 45.84% CAGR TOTAL (EXCL. OTHERS) = BY 39.12% i.e. 17.95% CAGR
  • 77. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 79 68% 68% 43% 32% 32% 25% 0% 0% 32% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 TONNES PER ANNUM (TPA) AS A % OF TOTAL TOTAL CAPACITIES IN THE INDUSTRY (EXCLUDING OTHERS) LA OPALA BOROSIL CELLO SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 14/2/2019
  • 78. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 80 82% 69% 59% 18% 31% 28% 0% 0% 13% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% FY2016 FY2017 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2018 (IND-AS) REVENUES (AS A % OF TOTAL) REVENUES OF THE INDUSTRY (EXCLUDING OTHERS) LA OPALA BOROSIL - LARAH CELLO SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 5/12/2018
  • 79. PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW F. VALUE DELIVERY NETWORK 81 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 80. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 82 CUSTOMERS RETAILERS DEALERS/ WHOLESALERS/ DISTRIBUTORS PRODUCER SUPPLIERS SUPPLIERS OF FIXED ASSETS, RAW MATERIALS, PACKING MATERIALS, POWER & FUEL, ETC. LA OPALA RG. LTD. DEALERS/ WHOLESALER/ DISTRIBUTORS RETAILERS RETAIL (& INSTITUTIONAL) CUSTOMERS MODERN RETAIL CHAINS RETAIL (& INSTITUTIONAL) CUSTOMERS E-COMMERCE WEBSITES RETAIL (& INSTITUTIONAL) CUSTOMERS INSTITUTIONAL CUSTOMERS FOREIGN CUSTOMERS SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 9/10/2014, 5/12/2018; CARE RATINGS REPORT, 4/10/2019
  • 81. PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW G. REVENUE MIX % 83 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 82. PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW G. REVENUE MIX % a) BRAND-WISE 84 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 83. 85 LA OPALA 40% DIVA 48% SOLITAIRE 10% OTHERS 2% FY13 REVENUE MIX LA OPALA, 22% DIVA, 75% SOLITAIRE, 3% OTHERS, 0% FY18 REVENUE MIX SOURCE: 15 FEBRUARY 2019, NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 84. 86 LA OPALA, 41% DIVA, 49% SOLITAIRE, 10% FY13 REVENUE MIX LA OPALA, 22% DIVA, 75% SOLITAIRE, 3% FY18 REVENUE MIX SOURCE: 15 FEBRUARY 2019, NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 (EXCLUDING OTHERS)
  • 85. PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW G. REVENUE MIX % b) MARKET-WISE 87 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 86. 88 ₹44.57 ₹59.16 ₹80.22 ₹97.18 ₹134.08 ₹146.03 ₹186.38 ₹212.23 ₹222.70 ₹194.91 ₹212.60 ₹234.87 ₹19.56 ₹17.65 ₹18.29 ₹20.39 ₹25.59 ₹34.31 ₹37.95 ₹40.53 ₹42.78 ₹42.78 ₹43.96 ₹39.38 ₹35 ₹70 ₹140 ₹280 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2017 (IND-AS) FY2018 FY2019 REVENUE (in Rs. Cr.) REVENUE MIX – DOMESTIC V/S EXPORTS DOMESTIC EXPORTS SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 GROWTH: (FY09-17) EXPORTS = BY 119% i.e. 10.28% CAGR DOMESTIC = BY 400% i.e. 22.27% CAGR TOTAL = BY 314% i.e. 19.43% CAGR GROWTH: (FY09-19) (ADJ. FOR IND-AS) EXPORTS = BY 101% i.e. 7.25% CAGR DOMESTIC = BY 502% i.e. 19.67% CAGR TOTAL = BY 378% i.e. 16.93% CAGR GROWTH: (FY17-19) EXPORTS = BY (8)% i.e. (4.06)% CAGR DOMESTIC = BY 21% i.e. 9.77% CAGR TOTAL = BY 15% i.e. 7.42% CAGR *NOTE: ONLY “GLASS & GLASSWARE” & “ELECTRICITY” COMPONENTS OF “REVENUE FROM OPERATIONS” HAVE BEEN CONSIDERED
  • 87. 89 70% 77% 81% 83% 84% 81% 83% 84% 84% 82% 83% 86% 30% 23% 19% 17% 16% 19% 17% 16% 16% 18% 17% 14% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2017 (IND-AS) FY2018 FY2019 REVENUE (in %) REVENUE MIX – DOMESTIC V/S EXPORTS DOMESTIC EXPORTS SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 *NOTE: ONLY “GLASS & GLASSWARE” & “ELECTRICITY” COMPONENTS OF “REVENUE FROM OPERATIONS” HAVE BEEN CONSIDERED
  • 88. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 90 NORTH INDIA 30% SOUTH INDIA 27% WEST INDIA 23% EAST INDIA 20% REVENUE MIX (IN %) – DOMESTIC MARKET (FY2018) SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 19/10/2014, 5/12/2018; ANNUAL REPORTS, 2014-15; 2017-18, 2018-19 NORTH INDIA 29% SOUTH INDIA 25% WEST INDIA 24% EAST INDIA 22% REVENUE MIX (IN %) – DOMESTIC MARKET (FY2014) (DOMESTIC MARKET)
  • 89. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 91 SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 5/12/2018; ANNUAL REPORTS, 2014-15; 2017-18, 2018-19; CARE RATINGS REPORT, 4/10/2019
  • 90. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 92 SOURCE: FOR MADHUPUR PLANT, GOOGLE MAPS
  • 91. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 93 SOURCE: FOR SITARGANJ PLANT, GOOGLE MAPS
  • 92. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 94 SOURCE: 2018-19 ANNUAL REPORT
  • 93. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 95 SOURCE: CARE RATINGS REPORT, 4/10/2019
  • 94. 96 ₹20.39 ₹25.59 ₹34.31 ₹37.95 ₹40.53 ₹42.78 ₹42.78 ₹43.96 ₹39.38 ₹2.31 ₹2.49 ₹3.06 ₹3.75 ₹2.48 ₹2.95 ₹2.39 ₹2.39 ₹1.81 ₹0 ₹5 ₹10 ₹15 ₹20 ₹25 ₹30 ₹35 ₹40 ₹45 ₹50 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2017 (IND-AS) FY2018 FY2019 REVENUE (in Rs. Cr.) REVENUE MIX – EXPORT INCENTIVES EXPORTS EXPORT INCENTIVES SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 GROWTH: (FY12-17) EXPORTS = BY 110% i.e. 15.98% CAGR EXPORT INCENTIVES = BY 28% i.e. 5.01% CAGR TOTAL = BY 102% i.e. 15.04% CAGR GROWTH: (FY12-19) (ADJ. FOR IND-AS) EXPORTS = BY 93% i.e. 9.86% CAGR EXPORT INCENTIVES = BY -(4)% i.e. -(0.51)% CAGR TOTAL = BY 84% i.e. 9.08% CAGR GROWTH: (FY17-19) EXPORTS = BY (8)% i.e. (4.06)% CAGR EXPORT INCENTIVES = BY -(24)% i.e. -(13.09)% CAGR TOTAL = BY -(9)% i.e. -(4.51)% CAGR *NOTE: ONLY “GLASS & GLASSWARE” – EXPORTS & “EXPORT INCENTIVES” COMPONENTS OF “REVENUE FROM OPERATIONS” HAVE BEEN CONSIDERED
  • 95. 97 90% 91% 92% 91% 94% 94% 95% 95% 96% 10% 9% 8% 9% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2017 (IND-AS) FY2018 FY2019 REVENUE (in %) REVENUE MIX – EXPORT INCENTIVES DOMESTIC EXPORTS SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 *NOTE: ONLY “GLASS & GLASSWARE” – EXPORTS & “EXPORT INCENTIVES” COMPONENTS OF “REVENUE FROM OPERATIONS” HAVE BEEN CONSIDERED
  • 96. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 98 SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 9/10/2014
  • 97. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 99 REFERENCES:
  • 98. PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW G. REVENUE MIX % c) DISTRIBUTION CHANNEL-WISE 100 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 99. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 101 TRADITIONAL RETAILERS 75% MODERN RETAIL 20% E-COMMERCE 5% REVENUES – DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS (FY2018) SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 5/12/2018; CARE RATINGS REPORT, 4/10/2019 TRADITIONAL RETAILERS 72% MODERN RETAIL 20% E-COMMERCE 8% REVENUES – DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS (FY2019)
  • 100. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 102 SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 5/12/2018; ANNUAL REPORT, 2015-16, 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19; CARE RATINGS REPORT, 4/10/2019
  • 101. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 103 SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 9/10/2014
  • 102. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 104 SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 17/9/2013, 9/10/2014
  • 103. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 105 SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 9/10/2014, 5/12/2018 v BOROSIL – ‘LARAH’ • 6000+ RETAIL OUTLETS (1/2 OF LA OPALA) • 130+ DISTRIBUTORS (1/2 OF LA OPALA) • “OUR VISIT TO SOME TRADITIONAL STORES AND MODERN RETAIL OUTLETS IN A COUPLE OF CITIES REVEALS THAT… BOROSIL’S OPALWARE IS STILL NOT AVAILABLE IN MOST SHOPS IN VARIOUS CITIES.” – NIRMAL BANG vCELLO • “OUR VISIT TO SOME TRADITIONAL STORES AND MODERN RETAIL OUTLETS IN A COUPLE OF CITIES REVEALS THAT… CELLO IS PERCEIVED AS A CHEAPER BRAND THAN LA OPALA” – NIRMAL BANG • FURTHER RESEARCH IS REQUIRED vCORNING INC. – ‘CORELLE’, ‘CORNINGWARE’, ‘PYREX’ • ENTERED INDIA AFTER 1991, BUT NOT STRONG EVEN TODAY • STRONG BRAND EQUITY IN INDIA, BUT COULD NEVER CREATE A STRONG DISTRIBUTION NETWORK • TO SOLVE THIS PROBLEM: o IN 2012 – PARTNERED WITH TTK PRESTIGE, ENDED IN 2013 o AS OF TODAY – STILL PRESENT IN INDIA, BUT IS LARGELY CONFINED TO ü HIGH-STREET SHOPS IN SELECT CITIES, ü MODERN RETAIL STORES IN SELECT CITIES, & ü NOW ALSO HAS A CHANCE TO GROW USING THE E-COMMERCE CHANNEL’s PENETRATION
  • 104. PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW G. REVENUE MIX % d) CUSTOMER TYPE-WISE 106 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 105. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 107 RETAIL CUSTOMERS 93% INSTITUTIONAL CUSTOMERS 7% REVENUES – TYPES OF CUSTOMERS (FY2019) SOURCE: CARE RATINGS REPORT, 4/10/2019
  • 106. PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW G. REVENUE MIX % e) SEASON-WISE 108 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 107. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 109 SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 9/10/2014, 22/8/2016; GOOGLE TRENDS
  • 108. PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW H. COST ANALYSIS 110 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 109. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 111 11.92 16.6 19.39 26.4 25.16 27.62 49.08 29.92 29.01 37.39 5.28 7.51 8.79 11.59 11.91 13.13 14.65 14.27 16.17 17.16 12.81 15.97 19.59 24.27 24.23 24.44 28.18 27.76 33.97 45 1.01 0.56 -3.1 -4.5 3.26 0.11 -9.2 6.93 2.81 -15.51 ₹(20) ₹- ₹20 ₹40 ₹60 ₹80 ₹100 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2017 (IND- AS) FY2018 (IND- AS) FY2019 (IND- AS) COSTS (in Rs. Cr.) DIRECT COSTS RAW MATERIAL COST + STOCK-IN-TRADE PACKING MATERIAL CONSUMED POWER & FUEL CHANGE IN INVENTORY (INC.)/DEC. SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; KOTAK SECURITIES; SCREENER.IN
  • 110. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 112 38.4% 40.8% 43.4% 45.7% 39.0% 42.3% 59.3% 37.9% 35.4% 44.5% 17.0% 18.5% 19.7% 20.1% 18.4% 20.1% 17.7% 18.1% 19.7% 20.4% 41.3% 39.3% 43.9% 42.0% 37.5% 37.4% 34.1% 35.2% 41.4% 53.5% 3.3% 1.4% -6.9% -7.8% 5.0% 0.2% -11.1% 8.8% 3.4% -18.5% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2017 (IND- AS) FY2018 (IND- AS) FY2019 (IND- AS) COSTS (in %) DIRECT COSTS RAW MATERIAL COST + STOCK-IN-TRADE PACKING MATERIAL CONSUMED POWER & FUEL CHANGE IN INVENTORY (INC.)/DEC. SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; KOTAK SECURITIES; SCREENER.IN
  • 111. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 113 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2017 (IND-AS) FY2018 (IND-AS) FY2019 RAW MATERIALS 16% 17% 17% 17% 14% 12% 20% 13% 11% 13% PACKING MATERIALS 7% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% TOTAL RAW MATERIALS COST 24% 26% 22% 22% 23% 18% 22% 22% 19% 14% POWER & FUEL 17% 17% 17% 16% 14% 11% 11% 12% 13% 16% EMPLOYEE COSTS 15% 14% 15% 14% 14% 13% 15% 16% 16% 18% SELLING & ADMIN + OTHER EXPENSES 19% 17% 17% 17% 19% 22% 20% 10% 7% 9% DEPRECIATION & AMORTIZATION 6% 5% 4% 4% 4% 5% 4% 5% 5% 6% TOTAL OPERATING EXPENDITURE 90% 83% 80% 75% 76% 75% 69% 67% 63% 66% 62% 67% 72% 77% 82% 87% 92% 3% 8% 13% 18% 23% 28% ‘TOTAL OPERATING EXPENDITURE’ AS A % OF SALES AS A % OF SALES OPERATING COSTS’ TREND SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; KOTAK SECURITIES; SCREENER.IN
  • 112. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 114 FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2017 (IND- AS) FY2018 (IND- AS) FY2019 INTEREST 0% 0% 0% 0% 4% 7% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% AS A % OF SALES NON-OPERATING COSTS’ TREND SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; KOTAK SECURITIES; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN
  • 113. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 115 SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 17/9/2013
  • 114. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 116 7.9% 8.0% 8.4% 9.7% 11.8% 15.8% 13.9% 13.8% 0.3% 2.2% 10.4% 10.8% 10.7% 12.4% 15.3% 19.3% 17.8% 17.7% 0.4% 2.5% 13.5% 13.9% 13.7% 15.6% 18.6% 22.4% 20.9% 20.8% 0.5% 3.1% 46.0% 30.2% 23.8% 54.8% 40.6% 68.5% -1.3% -5.6% -97.4% -100.0% -50.0% 0.0% 50.0% 100.0% 150.0% 200.0% 250.0% 300.0% 350.0% 400.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2017 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2018 (IND-AS) FY2019 (IND-AS) % GROWTH IN THE AMOUNT OF COST AS A % OF… ADVERTISEMENT AND SALES PROMOTION COSTS’ TREND AS A % OF SALES AS A % OF GROSS PROFIT AS A % OF GROSS PROFIT (AFTER POWER & FUEL) % GROWTH SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; SCREENER.IN NOTE: FY2018 & FY2019 FIGURES SEEM DUBIOUS TO ME, AS MGT. IN ANNUAL REPORTS AND THE CREDIT RATING AGENCY IN ITS REPORTS CLAIM THAT HIGH AD. & SALES PROMO. COSTS WERE INCURRED IN THESE YEARS. HENCE REQUIRES FURTHER RESEARCH.
  • 115. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 117 TELEVISION 65% NEWSPAPER 35% FY13 MEDIA USED FOR ADVERTISEMENTS SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 17/9/2013, 9/10/2014; FORBES INDIA, 9,5,2017
  • 116. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 118 ANS. 1. MANAGEMENT BELIEVES THAT GROWTH WILL DEPEND ON a) THE INTRODUCTION OF ü NEW PRODUCTS, ü NEW DESIGNS, ü ENHANCED QUALITY, b) DEEPER DISTRIBUTION, AND c) CONTINUOUS COST REDUCTION. (BECAUSE OF HIGH COMPETITION, PRICES CAN’T BE INCREASED MUCH) 2. THE COMPANY WILL SEEK TO SYNERGICALLY DIVERSIFY AND SEIZE NEW OPPORTUNITIES. 3. THE COMPANY WILL STRENGTHEN ITS RESEARCH SPENDING WITH THE OBJECTIVE: q TO EMERGE AS A WORLD-CLASS AND INNOVATIVE MANUFACTURER OF TABLEWARE. 4. THE COMPANY HAS DECIDED TO COMMISSION A RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT FACILITY 1. COMPRISING ü QUALIFIED SCIENTISTS, AND ü CHEMICAL ENGINEERS 2. COUPLED WITH ü THE APPOINTMENT OF RECOGNISED PERSONALITIES FROM THE GLASS AND CERAMIC INDUSTRIES SOURCE: 2018-19 ANNUAL REPORT
  • 117. PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW I. PROFIT ANALYSIS 119 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 118. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 120 SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN 1% 0% 0% -1% 1% 0% 1% 5% 4% 6% 76% 74% 78% 78% 77% 82% 78% 78% 81% 86% 59% 58% 61% 62% 63% 71% 67% 66% 68% 70% 16% 22% 24% 29% 28% 30% 35% 38% 42% 40% 10% 17% 20% 25% 24% 33% 37% 34% 6% 14% 16% 21% 23% 25% 31% 37% 41% 4% 10% 11% 15% 17% 19% 24% 26% 28% 27% -2% 8% 18% 28% 38% 48% 58% 68% 78% 88% ₹70 ₹140 ₹280 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2017 (IND- AS) FY2018 FY2019 AS A % OF SALES SALES (in Rs. Cr.) PROFITS’ TREND SALES OTHER INCOME GROSS PROFIT (EXCLUDING "OTHER INCOME") GROSS PROFIT (AFTER POWER & FUEL) (EXCL. "OTHER INCOME") EBITDA (EXCLUDING "OTHER INCOME") OPERATING PROFIT (EBIT, EXCLUDING "OTHER INCOME") PROFIT BEFORE TAX (INCLUDING "OTHER INCOME") PROFIT AFTER TAX (INCLUDING "OTHER INCOME")
  • 119. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 121 SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 5/12/2018 CAPACITY EXPANSIONS
  • 120. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 122 SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 5/12/2018
  • 121. PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW J. BALANCE SHEET ANALYSIS 123 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 122. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 124 12.1% 18.4% 17.1% 17.5% 18.3% 22.0% 20.1% 38.5% 37.7% 33.1% 33.6% 37.3% 20.2% 18.2% 16.6% 15.6% 14.6% 11.4% 11.4% 10.1% 9.9% 12.4% 14.2% 16.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% 45.0% ₹0.7 ₹1.4 ₹2.8 ₹5.6 ₹11.2 ₹22.4 ₹44.8 ₹89.6 ₹179.2 ₹358.4 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2017 (IND-AS) FY2018 FY2019 AS A % OF SALES (OR) TOTAL CAPITAL AMOUNT (in Rs. Cr.) BORROWINGS, DEBTORS, & WORKING CAPITAL TOTAL BORROWINGS DEBTORS WORKING CAPITAL (INVESTMENTS AT "FAIR VALUE") WORKING CAPITAL (AS A % OF TOTAL CAPITAL) AVG. DEBTORS (AS A % OF SALES) NOTES: • (TOTAL CAPITAL = TOTAL SHAREHOLDER’S EQUITY + TOTAL BORROWINGS + WORKING CAPITAL) • “SHORT-TERM INVESTMENT’s” “FAIR VALUES” HAVE BEEN CONSIDERED SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN
  • 123. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 125 33 45 39 29 25 24 14 8 6 0 4 1 32 45 38 29 25 15 5 -87 -101 -157 -201 -237 -₹240 -₹190 -₹140 -₹90 -₹40 ₹10 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2017 (IND-AS) FY2018 FY2019 AMOUNT (in Rs. Cr.) GROSS & NET BORROWINGS GROSS BORROWINGS NET BORROWINGS NOTE: (NET BORROWINGS = GROSS BORROWINGS – SHORT-TERM INVESTMENTS (AT FAIR VALUE) – CASH & CASH EQUIVALENTS) SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN
  • 124. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 126 1 0 1 1 0 8 9 95 107 157 205 237 ₹0 ₹1 ₹1 ₹2 ₹4 ₹8 ₹16 ₹32 ₹64 ₹128 ₹256 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2017 (IND-AS) FY2018 FY2019 AMOUNT (in Rs. Cr.) ROKDA IN HAND! :P CASH & CASH EQUIVALENTS SHORT-TERM INVESTMENTS (AT FAIR VALUE) SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN
  • 125. PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW K. FCF ANALYSIS 127 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 126. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 128 SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 5/12/2018
  • 127. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 129 -₹12 -₹2 ₹8 ₹18 ₹28 ₹38 ₹48 ₹58 ₹68 ₹78 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2017 (IND-AS) FY2018 FY2019 AMOUNT (in Rs. Cr.) FREE CASH FLOW GENERATIONS OCF FCF FCFE 2 per. Mov. Avg. (OCF) 2 per. Mov. Avg. (FCF) 2 per. Mov. Avg. (FCFE) SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; SCREENER.IN
  • 128. PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW L. RATIO ANALYSIS 130 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 129. PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW L. RATIO ANALYSIS a) ROCE, ROIC, & ROE 131 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 130. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 132 HERE, THE RATIOS ARE NOT ADJUSTED FOR THE CHANGES THAT ‘IND-AS’ BROUGHT ABOUT FROM PREVIOUSLY USED ‘INDIAN GAAP’. THE EFFECT OF WHICH CAN BE SEEN AS A SHARP FALL FROM FY2016 TO FY2017. ON THE NEXT PAGE, THE RATIOS – 1. HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED FOR: INDIAN GAAP -- ‘INVESTMENTS’ WHICH ARE SHOWN AT ‘COST’; & IND-AS -- ‘INVESTMENTS’ WHICH ARE SHOWN AT ‘FAIR VALUE’ 2. HAVEN’T BEEN ADJUSTED FOR: CHANGE IN REVENUE FIGURES & PROFIT FIGURES SINCE FY2017 IND-AS SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 5/12/2018 CAPACITY EXPANSIONS
  • 131. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 133 SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 5/12/2018 18.67% 13.87% 15.33% 13.53% 2.82% 2.27% 7.48% 22.35% 24.95% 35.27% 34.85% 29.07% 27.16% 22.61% 21.76% 18.50% 15.0% 19.3% 15.6% 5.6% 7.8% 10.8% 22.3% 28.8% 41.0% 42.0% 36.6% 35.4% 31.4% 31.3% 28.1% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2017 (IND-AS) FY2018 FY2019 % ROCE & ROE (ADJUSTED) ROE % ROCE % NOTE: ROCE % SHOULD ALSO HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED FOR THE OPERATING LEASE, BUT I COULDN’T DUE TO LACK OF INFORMATION. CAPACITY EXPANSIONS SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN
  • 132. PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW L. RATIO ANALYSIS b) DUPONT ANALYSES 134 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 133. a) DUPONT ANALYSES i.2-WAY ii.3-WAY iii.5-WAY HERE, THE RATIOS ARE ADJUSTED FOR THE CHANGES THAT ‘IND-AS’ BROUGHT ABOUT FROM THE PREVIOUSLY USED ‘INDIAN GAAP’. BIG CHANGE THAT I’VE ADJUSTED FOR: INDIAN GAAP -- ‘INVESTMENTS’ SHOWN AT ‘COST’ IND-AS -- ‘INVESTMENTS’ SHOWN AT ‘FAIR VALUE’ AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 135 D. RATIO ANALYSIS
  • 134. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 136 𝑃𝑅𝑂𝐹𝐼𝑇 𝐴𝐹𝑇𝐸𝑅 𝑇𝐴𝑋 𝐴𝑉𝐸𝑅𝐴𝐺𝐸 𝐸𝑄𝑈𝐼𝑇𝑌 RETURN ON EQUITY (ROE) % 𝑃𝑅𝑂𝐹𝐼𝑇 𝐴𝐹𝑇𝐸𝑅 𝑇𝐴𝑋 𝑅𝐸𝑉𝐸𝑁𝑈𝐸𝑆 NET PROFIT MARGIN % 𝑅𝐸𝑉𝐸𝑁𝑈𝐸𝑆 𝐴𝑉𝐸𝑅𝐴𝐺𝐸 𝐸𝑄𝑈𝐼𝑇𝑌 EQUITY TURNOVER (TIMES)
  • 135. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 137 𝑃𝑅𝑂𝐹𝐼𝑇 𝐴𝐹𝑇𝐸𝑅 𝑇𝐴𝑋 𝐴𝑉𝐸𝑅𝐴𝐺𝐸 𝐸𝑄𝑈𝐼𝑇𝑌 RETURN ON EQUITY (ROE) % 𝑃𝑅𝑂𝐹𝐼𝑇 𝐴𝐹𝑇𝐸𝑅 𝑇𝐴𝑋 𝑅𝐸𝑉𝐸𝑁𝑈𝐸𝑆 NET PROFIT MARGIN % 𝑅𝐸𝑉𝐸𝑁𝑈𝐸𝑆 𝐴𝑉𝐸𝑅𝐴𝐺𝐸 𝐸𝑄𝑈𝐼𝑇𝑌 EQUITY TURNOVER (TIMES) 𝑅𝐸𝑉𝐸𝑁𝑈𝐸𝑆 𝐴𝑉𝐸𝑅𝐴𝐺𝐸 𝑇𝑂𝑇𝐴𝐿 𝐴𝑆𝑆𝐸𝑇𝑆 TOTAL ASSET TURNOVER (TIMES) 𝐴𝑉𝐸𝑅𝐴𝐺𝐸 𝑇𝑂𝑇𝐴𝐿 𝐴𝑆𝑆𝐸𝑇𝑆 𝐴𝑉𝐸𝑅𝐴𝐺𝐸 𝐸𝑄𝑈𝐼𝑇𝑌 FINANCIAL LEVERAGE (TIMES)
  • 136. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 138 𝑃𝑅𝑂𝐹𝐼𝑇 𝐴𝐹𝑇𝐸𝑅 𝑇𝐴𝑋 𝐴𝑉𝐸𝑅𝐴𝐺𝐸 𝐸𝑄𝑈𝐼𝑇𝑌 RETURN ON EQUITY (ROE) % 𝑃𝑅𝑂𝐹𝐼𝑇 𝐴𝐹𝑇𝐸𝑅 𝑇𝐴𝑋 𝑅𝐸𝑉𝐸𝑁𝑈𝐸𝑆 NET PROFIT MARGIN % 𝑃𝑅𝑂𝐹𝐼𝑇 𝐴𝐹𝑇𝐸𝑅 𝑇𝐴𝑋 𝑃𝑅𝑂𝐹𝐼𝑇 𝐵𝐸𝐹𝑂𝑅𝐸 𝑇𝐴𝑋 TAX BURDEN % 𝑃𝑅𝑂𝐹𝐼𝑇 𝐵𝐸𝐹𝑂𝑅𝐸 𝑇𝐴𝑋 𝑃𝑅𝑂𝐹𝐼𝑇 𝐵𝐸𝐹𝑂𝑅𝐸 𝐼𝑁𝑇𝐸𝑅𝐸𝑆𝑇 & 𝑇𝐴𝑋 INTEREST BURDEN % 𝑃𝑅𝑂𝐹𝐼𝑇 𝐵𝐸𝐹𝑂𝑅𝐸 𝐼𝑁𝑇𝐸𝑅𝐸𝑆𝑇 𝑇𝐴𝑋 𝑅𝐸𝑉𝐸𝑁𝑈𝐸𝑆 EBIT MARGIN % 𝑅𝐸𝑉𝐸𝑁𝑈𝐸𝑆 𝐴𝑉𝐸𝑅𝐴𝐺𝐸 𝐸𝑄𝑈𝐼𝑇𝑌 EQUITY TURNOVER (TIMES) 𝑅𝐸𝑉𝐸𝑁𝑈𝐸𝑆 𝐴𝑉𝐸𝑅𝐴𝐺𝐸 𝑇𝑂𝑇𝐴𝐿 𝐴𝑆𝑆𝐸𝑇𝑆 TOTAL ASSET TURNOVER (TIMES) 𝐴𝑉𝐸𝑅𝐴𝐺𝐸 𝑇𝑂𝑇𝐴𝐿 𝐴𝑆𝑆𝐸𝑇𝑆 𝐴𝑉𝐸𝑅𝐴𝐺𝐸 𝐸𝑄𝑈𝐼𝑇𝑌 FINANCIAL LEVERAGE (TIMES)
  • 137. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 139 0.60 1.20 2.40 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2017 (IND-AS) FY2018 FY2019 NO. OF TIMES % i. DUPONT ANALYSIS (2-WAY) ROE % NET PROFIT MARGIN % EQUITY TURNOVER (TIMES) SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN
  • 138. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 140 0.60 1.20 2.40 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2017 (IND-AS) FY2018 FY2019 NO. OF TIMES % ii. DUPONT ANALYSIS (3-WAY) ROE % NET PROFIT MARGIN % TOTAL ASSET TURNOVER (TIMES) FINANCIAL LEVERAGE (OR EQUITY MULTIPLIER) (TIMES) SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN
  • 139. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 141 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2017 (IND-AS) FY2018 FY2019 TAX BURDEN, & INTEREST BURDEN % ROE, & EBIT MARGIN % iii. DUPONT ANALYSIS (5-WAY) ROE % EBIT MARGIN % TAX BURDEN % (HERE, TAX/PBT) INTEREST BURDEN % (HERE, INTEREST EXPENSE/EBIT) SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN
  • 140. PART 2 - BUSINESS OVERVIEW L. RATIO ANALYSIS c) OTHER RATIOS 142 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 141. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 143 134 97 91 109 101 272 284 206 199 179 167 161 154 172 146 173 66 49 52 63 72 64 61 57 53 42 42 37 36 45 52 58 200 146 142 172 173 336 345 263 253 221 209 198 190 217 197 232 2.7 3.8 4.0 3.4 3.6 1.3 1.3 1.8 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.1 2.5 2.1 5.5 7.4 7.1 5.8 5.0 5.7 6.0 6.4 6.8 8.7 8.8 9.9 10.1 8.1 7.1 6.2 - 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 - 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2017 (IND-AS) FY2018 FY2019 NO. OF TIMES DAYS OPERATING CYCLE DAYS INVENTORY OUTSTANDING DAYS RECEIVABLES OUTSTANDING OPERATING CYCLE INVENTORY TURNOVER RATIO RECEIVABLES TURNOVER RATIO SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN NOTE: THESE FIGURES SEEM DUBIOUS TO ME, ESPECIALLY PRE-FY2011 FIGURES = • AS ANNUAL REPORTS ARE NOT AVAILABLE PRE-FY2010, • THE SOURCES USED HERE, ARE ALL SHOWING DIFFERENT AND CONFUSING NUMBERS FOR THE PRE-FY2011 PERIOD • ‘NIRMAL BANG’ AND ‘CARE RATINGS’ REPORTS ARE SHOWING DIFFERENT ‘INVENTORY DAYS’ FIGURES FOR FY2018 ALSO… HENCE REQUIRES FURTHER RESEARCH.
  • 142. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 144 SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 5/12/2018
  • 143. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 145 THE CO. GETS FAVOURABLE PRICES FOR RAW MATERIALS IF THE PAYMENT IS MADE WITHIN A WEEK. AS A RESULT, CREDITOR DAYS ARE LOW. REALIGNING FURNACE TAKES 1.5 MONTHS, AND PRODUCTION STANDS SUSPENDED FOR THAT PERIOD. IN ORDER TO REDUCE SUPPLY CONSTRAINTS, CO. CREATES ADDITIONAL INVENTORY FOR THIS PURPOSE. HIGH INVENTORY DAYS, BECAUSE OF THE SEASONALITY OF THE PRODUCT. BUT THE COMPANY IS TRYING TO REDUCE THE HOLDING PERIOD: § INTRODUCING NEW PRODUCTS (PRODUCT) § MORE DIVERSIFIED PRICE POSITIONINGS (PRICE) § INCREASED MARKET PENETRATION (DISTRIBUTION) (PLACE) SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 17/9/2013, 9/10/2014
  • 144. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 146 HERE, THE RATIOS ARE NOT ADJUSTED FOR THE CHANGES THAT ‘IND-AS’ BROUGHT ABOUT FROM THE PREVIOUSLY USED ‘INDIAN GAAP’. CAPACITY EXPANSIONS SOURCE: NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 5/12/2018
  • 145. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 147 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2017 (IND-AS) FY2018 FY2019 OPERATING, & EBIT -- RETURN ON ASSETS % (AFTER ADJUSTMENTS) OPERATING RETURN ON (ADJUSTED) TOTAL ASSETS (%) (EXCLUDES 'OTHER INCOME') EBIT RETURN ON (ADJUSTED) TOTAL ASSETS (%) (EBIT = OPERATING PROFIT + OTHER INCOME) SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN
  • 146. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 148 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2017 (IND-AS) FY2018 FY2019 OPERATING, & EBIT -- RETURN ON ASSETS % (WITHOUT ADJUSTMENTS) OPERATING RETURN ON TOTAL ASSETS (%) (EXCLUDES 'OTHER INCOME') (WITHOUT ADJUSTMENT) EBIT RETURN ON TOTAL ASSETS (%) (EBIT = OPERATING PROFIT + OTHER INCOME) (WITHOUT ADJUSTMENT) SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN
  • 147. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 149 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2017 (IND-AS) FY2018 FY2019 NO. OF TIMES LIQUIDITY RATIOS (AFTER ADJUSTMENTS) CURRENT RATIO QUICK RATIO CASH RATIO SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN
  • 149. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 151 • FAMILY RUNNING BUSINESS OR THERE IS PROFESSIONAL MANAGEMENT: PROMOTER RUN BUSINESS • HOW THE MANAGEMENT DEALS IN DOWNTURNS: COMPANY STOPPED BIG CAPEX, BUT MAINTAINED SMALL CAPEX, IN THE DOWNTURN • EXPERIENCE OF MANAGEMENT: WELL-EXPERIENCED • QUALITY OF AUDITORS AND INDEPENDENT DIRECTORS: • AUDITORS: • SINCE FY2018 – “SINGHI & CO., CAs” (ICAI FIRM REGISTRATION NO.: 302049E) • OTHER CLIENTS: • SINCE FY2020 (29/6/2019) – “EVEREADY INDUSTRIES INDIA LTD.” • “PwC CAs LLP.” (FY2018 – FY2019), RESIGNED ON 28/6/2019 AFTER GIVING A “DISCLAIMER OF OPINION” FOR FY2019 RESULTS – HUGE PROMOTER CORPORATE TRANSACTIONS • SINCE FY2018 – “ASSOCIATED ALCOHOLS & BREWERIES LTD.” • VERY HIGH PROMOTER REMUNERATIONS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED • ATLEAST SINCE FY2010 – “SUTLEJ TEXTILES & INDUSTRIES LTD.” • VERY HIGH PROMOTER REMUNERATIONS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED • MANY OTHER LISTED COMPANIES SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MCA.GOV.IN; BLOOMBERG QUINT, 29/6/2019; BSE; NSE; ONLINE SEARCH ENGINES; ANNUAL REPORTS OF THE MENTIONED CO.s; DRVIJAYMALIK.COM
  • 150. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 152 • FY2010 - FY2017 – “DOSHI, CHATTERJEE, BAGRI & CO. LLP” (ICAI FIRM REGISTRATION NO.: 325197E) • OTHER CLIENTS: • HINDUSTHAN NATIONAL GLASS & INDUSTRIES LTD. • FEW OTHER LISTED COMPANIES • PRE-FY2010 – N.A. (ANNUAL REPORTS NOT AVAILABLE ON BSE/NSE) • INDEPENDENT DIRECTORS: • ARUN CHURIWAL (SINCE 1994) • CHAIRMAN OF “RSWM LTD”; MANAGING DIRECTOR OF “BSL LTD.” • BOTH ARE “LNJ BHILWARA GROUP” CO.s • RAJIV GUJRAL (ATLEAST SINCE 2007) • MR. SUBIR BOSE • PROF. SANTANU RAY • MS. MAMTA BINANI • REMUNERATION OF MANAGEMENT: FY2019 – VERY HIGH (REMUNERATION (EXCL. DIVIDENDS) RS.9.46 CR ON OPERATING PROFIT OF RS.95.90 CR, & NET PROFIT OF RS.74.04 CR) • IF YOU GET A CHANCE TO VISIT THE FACTORY/SHOP/ETC., ASK EMPLOYEES ABOUT THE MANAGEMENT: (HAVEN’T GOTTEN A CHANCE YET) SOURCE: MCA.GOV.IN; ANNUAL REPORTS; BSE; NSE; ONLINE SEARCH ENGINES; ANNUAL REPORTS OF THE MENTIONED CO.s; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN
  • 151. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 153 • TV INTERVIEWS OF MANAGEMENT: MANAGEMENT HAS NOT CONDUCTED ANY POST-2016 • CONFIDENCE OF MANAGEMENT IN DIFFERENT MODES OF COMMUNICATIONS LIKE CONFERENCE CALLS, ANALYSTS’ MEETS, ETC.: MANAGEMENT HAS NOT CONDUCTED ANY POST-2016 • CHECK THEIR TWITTER, LINKEDIN ACCOUNTS (TO SEE IF THERE ARE POSITIVE OR NEGATIVE STATEMENTS): LOW SOCIAL MEDIA PRESENCE • AGM (ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING) FEEDBACK: (COULDN'T ATTEND AGM) • IS MANAGEMENT TRYING TO GIVE A ROSY PICTURE?: I BELIEVE THAT THIS ISN’T THE CASE • FAMILY DISPUTES: NO • CHANGING OFFICES TOO OFTEN: NO • ISSUANCE OF: • ESOPS: NO • WARRANTS: NO • CONVERTIBLE DEBENTURES/ PREFERENTIAL SHARES: NO SOURCE: RESEARCHBYTES.COM; ANNUAL REPORTS; SOCIAL MEDIA;
  • 152. REFRENCES: AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 154 • QUALITY OF CAPITAL ALLOCATION DECISIONS OF MANAGEMENT IN THE PAST: (BASED ON ROCE, ROE, & OPERATING & EBIT ROA) • FY2008 – EXTREMELY GOOD • FY2014, FY2016, FY2018 – MODERATE • (2 YEARS' NET CASH CAPEX/CHANGE IN SALES OVER 3 FYs) SHOULD NOT BE GREATER THAN 1, IF IT IS, THEN MANAGEMENT IS NOT DOING A GREAT JOB: • FY2008 – VERY HIGH (2.13)(APPROX.) • FY2014, FY2016, FY2018 – MODERATE (0.35), HIGH (0.89), VERY HIGH (1.65) • SALES NOT IMPROVED WITH CAPEX DUE TO ENTRY OF NEW PLAYERS, &/OR PESTEL FACTORS. • CAPITAL ALLOCATION IN: ü EXISTING BUSINESS ✗ NEW BUSINESS ü HIGH MARGIN SEGMENT ✗ LOW MARGIN SEGMENT SOURCE: OUTLOOK BUSINESS, 24/05/2014; NIRMAL BANG RESEARCH REPORT, 17/9/2013, 31/8/2017; ANNUAL REPORT 2018-19; SCREENER.IN; MONEYCONTROL.COM REFRENCES:
  • 153. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 155 • OVERALL FINANCIALS OF THE COMPANY DIFFERENT FROM THE INDUSTRY: (NOT YET ANALYSED) • SUBSIDIARIES IN MAURITIUS, SINGAPORE, ETC. TAX HAVENS.: NO (BUT PROMOTER’s ‘GENESIS EXPORTS LTD.’ REQUIRES FURTHER RESEARCH) • EXPOSURE IN MIDDLE EAST COUNTRIES: HAVE SOME SALES THERE, BUT NO SUBSIDIARY (BUT PROMOTER’s ‘GENESIS EXPORTS LTD.’ NEEDS FURTHER RESEARCH) SOURCE: RESEARCHBYTES.COM; ANNUAL REPORTS; SOCIAL MEDIA;
  • 154. PART 3 - MGT. QUALITY ANALYSIS REMUNERATION OF KMPs 156 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 155. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 157 SOURCE: SCREENER.IN; MONEYCONTROL.COM; ANNUAL REPORTS ₹1 ₹1 ₹3 ₹4 ₹6 ₹8 ₹10 ₹14 ₹15 ₹17 ₹18 ₹0 ₹2 ₹4 ₹6 ₹8 ₹10 ₹12 ₹14 ₹16 ₹18 ₹20 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 AMOUNT (in Rs. Cr.) TOTAL CASH PROMOTERS HAVE TAKEN HOME TOTAL INCOME (EXCL. DIVIDENDS) OF THE PROMOTER GROUP DIVIDENDS OF THE PROMOTER GROUP TOTAL INCOME OF THE PROMOTER GROUP
  • 156. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 158 SOURCE: SCREENER.IN; MONEYCONTROL.COM; ANNUAL REPORTS 1.0% 1.8% 2.6% 3.1% 3.9% 4.5% 4.6% 5.6% 6.2% 6.4% 6.5% 1.7% 3.0% 4.5% 5.1% 6.3% 7.1% 6.6% 8.4% 9.3% 9.4% 9.4% 13% 18% 15% 16% 16% 18% 18% 18% 19% 17% 19% 6% 9% 9% 10% 11% 12% 12% 12% 13% 12% 13% 79% 48% 27% 28% 26% 26% 25% 24% 23% 23% 25% 22% 32% 42% 52% 62% 72% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2017 (IND-AS) FY2018 FY2019 AS A % OF… TOTAL INCOME OF THE PROMOTER GROUP SALES GROSS PROFIT OPERATING PROFIT (EBIT, EXCLUDES 'OTHER INCOME') PROFIT (INCLUDES 'EMPLOYEE COST'; EXCLUDES 'OTHER INCOME'; NET OF 'INTEREST EXPENSE') NET PROFIT
  • 158. PART 4 - OPERATIONS ANALYSIS A. PORTER’s 5 FORCES 160 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 159. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 161 COMPETITION WITH EXISTING PLAYERS SCORE - (2/5) MODERATELY HIGH EXISTING PLAYERS’ LONG-TERM SURVIVAL RATE – FAIRLY LOW FOR NEW PLAYERS – EASE OF BUILDING NEW BRANDS – MODERATE ORGANIZED SECTOR GAINING FROM GST IMPLEMENTATION PRICE DIFFERENCE – IS FADING AWAY EASE OF BUILDING NEW BRANDS – MODERATELY LOW ANTI-DUMPING DUTY IS MAKING IT HARDER FOR THE FOREIGN BRANDS LA OPALA RG LTD.’s MARKET SHARE – VERY HIGH ECONOMIES OF SCALE – VERY HIGH PRICING POWER – MODERATE EBITDA MARGINS – VERY HIGH EXPERIENCE – VERY HIGH FY13-18 OPALWARE MARKET GREW BY = 20.1% P.A. LA OPALA DOMESTIC SALES GREW BY = 12.4% P.A. BARGAINING POWER OF BUYERS SCORE - (3/5) MODERATE LA OPALA IS REDUCING IT • THORUGH POWERFUL BRANDING EXERCISES • ADVERTISEMENT & SALES PROMOTION COSTS - HIGH RETAILER’s SWITCHING COSTS B/W OPALWARE BRANDS – MODERATE B/W ALL TABLEWARE SEGMENTS – MODERATE CUSTOMER’s SWITCHING COSTS B/W OPALWARE BRANDS – • REAL – MODERATELY LOW • IMAGINARY - MODERATE EASE OF PASSING FORWARD THE INCREASING COSTS – MODERATE FY13-18 OPALWARE MARKET GREW BY = 20.1% P.A. LA OPALA DOMESTIC SALES GREW BY = 12.4% P.A. BARGAINING POWER OF SUPPLIERS SCORE - (?/5) (MORE INFO. IS REQUIRED) RAW MATERIALS, & FUEL PRICES – VERY VOLATILE SUPPLIER SWITCHING COSTS - ? • SPECIALIZATION OF RAW MATERIALS - ? • NO. OF SUPLPLIERS AVAILABLE - ? CREDIT PERIOD AVAILABLE SEEMS VERY HIGH WHICH SUGGESTS THAT LA OPALA HAS HIGH POWER OVER ITS SUPPLIERS (SEE OPERATING CYCLE AND CASH CONVERSION CYCLE) TOTAL RAW MATERIALS, & POWER & FUEL AS A % OF SALES = 30% (FY2019) THREAT OF NEW ENTRANTS SCORE - (4/5) MODERATELY LOW BARRIERS TO ENTRY – MODERATE • ANTI-DUMPING DUTY IS MAKING IT HARDER FOR THE FOREIGN BRANDS • ECONOMIES OF SCALE HELPING INCUMBENTS DETER NEW ENTRANTS MARKET SHARE – LA OPALA IS A MARKET LEADER SETTING UP NEW COMPANIES • CAPEX REQUIRED – MODERATELY HIGH • TECHNICAL KNOW-HOW (INCLUDING EXACT COMPOSITION OF RAW MATERIALS) – DIFFICULT TO ACQUIRE (& IMITATE) • RAW MATERIAL AVAILABILITY – ? FOR NEW PLAYERS – EASE OF BUILDING NEW BRANDS – MODERATE DISTRIBUTION CHANNEL • IMMITABILITY – MODERATELY DIFFICULT • THOUGH, ONLINE SELLING SEEMS TO BE MAKING IT EASIER FOR NEW ENTRANTS THREAT OF SUBSTITUTES SCORE - (3/5) MODERATE THERE ALREADY ARE MANY OTHER SEGMENTS OF TABLEWARE COMPETITION FROM THE UNORGANIZED CROCKERY SECTOR REDUCES THE PRICING POWER OF LA OPALA PRODUCT INNOVATIONS COULD TAKE AWAY OPALWARE SEGMENT’s MARKET SHARE VERY LESS MICROWAVE- FRIENDLY SUBSTITUTES, AS OF NOW RETAILER’s SWITCHING COSTS • B/W ALL TABLEWARE SEGMENTS – MODERATE CUSTOMER’s SWITCHING COSTS • B/W ALL TABLEWARE SEGMENTS – • REAL & IMAGINARY – MODERATE
  • 160. PART 4 - OPERATIONS ANALYSIS B. SWOT ANALYSIS 162 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 161. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 163 STRENGTHS EXPERIENCED PROMOTERS WITH LONG TRACK RECORD (30 YEARS) WELL ESTABLISHED, & TOUGH TO IMMITATE… •BRAND •DISTRIBUTION NETWORK ECONOMIES OF SCALE • COST OF PRODUCTION IS SIMILAR TO BUT GREATER MARGINS THAN CHINESE PRODUCERS (FY 2014) VERY HIGH EFFICIENCY HUGE GROSS, OPERATING, EBITDA, EBIT, PBT, PAT, OCF MARGINS STRONG CAPITAL STRUTURE, HUGE CASH RESERVES AND FREE CASH FLOWS. •DEBT-FREE, STRONG BALANCE SHEET WEEKNESSES HIGH NEPOTISM SHUSHIL, AJIT, NIDHI JHUNJHUNWALA FAMILY HENCE, LACKS A STRONG SECOND-TIER MANAGEMENT TEAM BRAND MIGHT HAVE HARD TIME SELLING IN FOREIGN MARKETS, AS LEADERS LIKE CORELLE, BORMIOLLI ROCCO, ETC. ARE DOMINANT THERE REQUIRES HUGE ADVERTISEMENT & SALES PROMO. EXPENDITURES TO SUSTAIN THE BRAND’s OCCUPIED CONSUMER MIND SPACE THE PRODUCT IS STILL NOT AS DURABLE AS STEELWARE, AND ALSO LA OPALA FACES HUGE COMPETITION FROM UNORGANIZED CROCKERY SECTOR RAW MATERIALS, & FUEL PRICES – VERY VOLATILE HENCE THE CO. DOESN’T HAVE ANY LONG TERM AGREEMENTS FOR THEIR PROCUREMENT CO.’S BUSINESS IS WORKING CAPITAL INTENSIVE MARKED BY HIGH AVERAGE INVENTORY PERIOD. AS THE COMPANY SELLS LARGE VARIETY OF PRODUCTS WHICH COME IN DIFFERENT SHAPES, SIZES, COLOURS AND DESIGNS, IT HAS TO MAINTAIN SUFFICIENT AMOUNT OF INVENTORY OF EACH OF ITS PRODUCT TYPE. OPPORTUNITIES NEW ENTRANTS GROWING THE SIZE OF THE PIE BY MARKETING ABOUT THE SEGMENT OUTSOURCING PRODUCTION, FOCUS ON MARKETING • TO MAKE THE COMPANY ASSET-LIGHT, • TO GENERATE HIGH ROI USING THE BRAND USING BIO-FUEL OF IN-HOUSE RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES TO REDUCE THE POWER & FUEL COSTS AND DEPENDENCE IF THE DE-GLOBALIZATION AND PROTECTIONISM TREND STRENGTHENS, THE DOMESTIC PLAYERS MAY GAIN HIGHER BARGAINING POWERS ALONG WITH HIGHER ANTI-DUMPING DUTIES RUPEE DEPRECIATION WOULD INCREASE THE COMPETITIVENESS OF GLOBAL PLAYERS IF LA OPALA’s NEW R&D FACILITY COULD COME UP WITH A PRODUCT AS DURABLE AS STEELWARE (IF NOT MORE), THE COMPANY WOULD CAPTURE A HUGE CHUNK OF STEELWARE’s MAKET SHARE THREATS NEW ENTRANTS, INCLUDING THE THREAT FROM THE UNORGANIZED SECTOR TAKING AWAY LA OPALA’s CONSUMER MIND SPACE, PRICING POWER, BARGAINING POWER, & MIGHT REDUCE SWITCHING COSTS TO THEIR BRANDS PRODUCT INNOVATIONS COULD LEAD TO PRODUCTS BETTER THAN OPALWARE MAJOR CAPACITY EXPANSION MIGHT COINCIDE WITH THE COVID RECESSION, MIGHT NOT YIELD GOOD ASSET TURNOVER RETURNS HIGH NEPOTISM IN THE TOP MANAGEMENT MIGHT LEAD TO A DOWNFALL ONCE THE ANTI-DUMPING DUTY GETS LIFTED OF REDUCED, LA OPALA MIGHT LOSE MARKET SHARE RUPEE APPRECIATION WOULD INCREASE THE COMPETITIVENESS OF GLOBAL PLAYERS FURTHER TIE-UPS OF FOREIGN BRANDS WITH DOMESTIC PLAYERS COULD EFFECT THE LA OPALA’s GROWTH
  • 163. PART 5 - SHAREHOLDING PATTERNS A. INSIDERS 165 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 164. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 166 SOURCE: INVESTOPEDIA.COM
  • 165. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 167 SOURCE: TRENDLYNE.COM; MONEYCONTROL.COM; BSE; NSE 65% 65% 65% 65% 65% 66% 53% 53% 63% 64% 64% 64% 64% 64% 64% 66% 67% 67% 68% 68% 68% 68% 68% 68% 68% 69% 51% 53% 55% 57% 59% 61% 63% 65% 67% 69% 56 58 60 62 64 66 68 70 72 74 76 F Y 2 0 0 1 F Y 2 0 0 2 F Y 2 0 0 3 F Y 2 0 0 4 F Y 2 0 0 5 F Y 2 0 0 6 F Y 2 0 0 7 F Y 2 0 0 8 F Y 2 0 0 9 F Y 2 0 1 0 F Y 2 0 1 1 F Y 2 0 1 2 F Y 2 0 1 3 F Y 2 0 1 4 F Y 2 0 1 5 F Y 2 0 1 6 F Y 2 0 1 7 F Y 2 0 1 8 F Y 2 0 1 9 F Y 2 0 2 0 HOLDING % ADJUSTED NO. OF SHARES Millions PROMOTER GROUP ADJUSTED SHARES (ADJ. FOR BONUSES, SPLITS) ADJUSTED SHARES (ADJ. FOR PRIVATE PLACEMENT, BONUSES, SPLITS) HOLDING % (ACTUAL) HOLDING % (ADJUSTED FOR PRIVATE PLACEMENT) POST- PRIVATE PLACEMENT
  • 166. PART 5 - SHAREHOLDING PATTERNS B. OUTSIDERS 168 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 167. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 169 SOURCE: TRENDLYNE.COM; MONEYCONTROL.COM; BSE; NSE 2.63% 2.17% 3.10% 4.37% 4.41% 4.41% 1.78% 2.42% 2.76% 2.28% 3.25% 4.58% 4.62% 4.62% 1.00% 1.50% 2.00% 2.50% 3.00% 3.50% 4.00% 4.50% 5.00% 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 SEP-2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 HOLDING % ADJUSTED NO. OF SHARES Millions SUMEET NAGAR’s ‘MALABAR INDIA FUND LTD.’ ADJUSTED SHARES (ADJ. FOR BONUSES, SPLITS) ADJUSTED SHARES (ADJ. FOR PRIVATE PLACEMENT, BONUSES, SPLITS) HOLDING % (ACTUAL) HOLDING % (ADJUSTED FOR PRIVATE PLACEMENT) POST- PRIVATE PLACEMENT
  • 168. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 170 SOURCE: TRENDLYNE.COM; MONEYCONTROL.COM; BSE; NSE 4.53% 4.53% 4.53% 4.53% 4.53% 4.53% 2.48% 0 0 2.56% 2.56% 2.56% 2.16% 0 1.00% 2.00% 3.00% 4.00% 5.00% 6.00% 7.00% 8.00% 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 SEP-2014 FY2015 FY2016/SEP-2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 HOLDING % ADJUSTED NO. OF SHARES (FOR BONUSES & SPLITS) Millions PRIVATE PLACEMENT - SUMIR CHADHA, SANDEEP SINGHAL, & KP BALARAJ’s ‘WESTBRIDGE CROSSOVER FUND LLC’ (& ‘JWALAMUKHI INVESTMENT HOLDINGS’) JWALAMUKHI INVESTMENT HOLDINGS' ADJUSTED SHARES (ADJ. FOR BONUSES & SPLITS) WESTBRIDGE CROSSOVER FUND LLC's ADJUSTED SHARES (ADJ. FOR BONUSES & SPLITS) HOLDING % (ADJUSTED FOR PRIVATE PLACEMENT) HOLDING % (ACTUAL)
  • 170. PART 6 - VALUATION A. BALANCE SHEETS 172 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 171. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 173 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.4 1.1 1.4 2.1 4.5 7.7 11.1 13.6 9.7 8.6 5.6 4.6 -22 6 19 -3 -1 -1 -3 -9 88 43 19 26 18 15 9 7 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2017 (IND-AS) FY2018 FY2019 DEC 2019 TTM P/NCAVPS (NO. OF TIMES) P/BV (NO. OF TIMES) PRICE –TO– BOOK VALUE, & NET CURRENT ASSET VALUE PRICE TO BOOK PRICE TO (ADJUSTED) BOOK PRICE TO NET CURRENT ASSET VALUE PER SHARE (NCAVPS) SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN; IN.INVESTING.COM NOTE: • NET CURRENT ASSET VALUE = CURRENT ASSETS – (TOTAL LIABILITIES) • USEFUL FOR ANALYZING COMPANIES THAT’RE IN LIQUIDATION PROCESS
  • 172. PART 6 - VALUATION B. P&L 174 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 173. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 175 0.4 0.4 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.0 1.1 0.9 1.2 2.3 4.3 9.5 13.3 12.7 12.1 8.6 7.2 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.0 2.2 4.3 9.4 13.3 12.7 12.1 8.6 7.3 0.3 0.5 1.0 2.0 4.0 8.0 16.0 FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2017 (IND-AS) FY2018 FY2019 DEC 2019 TTM NO. OF TIMES EV, & PRICE –TO– SALES EV/SALES PRICE/SALES SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN; IN.INVESTING.COM
  • 174. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 176 5 5 6 8 17 10 6 4 5 8 15 31 38 30 26 18 16 5 5 8 8 28 20 15 7 9 15 25 50 56 48 43 32 24 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2017 (IND-AS) FY2018 FY2019 DEC 2019 TTM NO. OF TIMES EV/EBITDA, & P/E ENTERPRISE VALUE/EBITDA PRICE TO EPS SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN; IN.INVESTING.COM
  • 175. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 177 21% 19% 12% 13% 4% 5% 7% 15% 11% 7% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 4% 13.5% 10.7% 6.5% 4.2% 2.7% 0.0% 1.9% 2.5% 1.9% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2017 (IND-AS) FY2018 FY2019 DEC 2019 TTM YIELD % EARNINGS & DIVIDEND YIELD % EARNINGS YIELD % DIVIDEND YIELD % SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN; IN.INVESTING.COM
  • 176. PART 6 - VALUATION C. CASH FLOWS 178 AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020
  • 177. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 179 35% 31% 28% 35% 79% 29% 17% 17% 16% 18% 17% 17% 16% 15% 16% 22% 20% 20% 24% 18% 0% 11% 12% 12% 13% 14% 14% 15% 13% 13% 13% 65% 69% 72% 65% 21% 71% 83% 83% 84% 82% 83% 83% 84% 85% 84% 78% 80% 80% 76% 82% 100% 89% 89% 88% 87% 86% 86% 85% 87% 87% 87% 15% 25% 35% 45% 55% 65% 75% 85% 95% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2017 (IND-AS) FY2018 FY2019 EARNINGS PAYOUT RATIO % DIVIDEND PAYOUT RATIO % DIVIDEND PAYOUT, & EARNINGS RETENTION (N.P., & C.P.) DIVIDEND PAYOUT RATIO (NET PROFIT) (%) DIVIDEND PAYOUT RATIO (CASH PROFIT) (%) EARNINGS RETENTION RATIO (%) CASH EARNINGS RETENTION RATIO (%) SOURCE: MONEYCONTROL.COM
  • 178. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 180 1 4 8 12 6 -4 3 4 8 11 19 45 54 41 39 47 63 24 125 38 53 13 99 43 43 61 38 55 219 54 71 70 136 -50 -35 -20 -5 10 25 40 55 70 85 100 115 130 145 160 175 190 205 220 FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2017 (IND-AS) FY2018 FY2019 SEPT. 2019 TTM NO. OF TIMES PRICE –TO– OCF, FCF, & FCFE P/CF P/FCF P/FCFE SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN; IN.INVESTING.COM
  • 179. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 181 SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS; MONEYCONTROL.COM; SCREENER.IN; IN.INVESTING.COM 75% 26% 12% 8% 18% 33% 25% 12% 9% 5% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 4% 1% 3% 2% 8% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 0% 2% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 3% 5% 11% 21% 43% 85% FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 (INDIAN GAAP) FY2017 (IND-AS) FY2018 FY2019 SEPT. 2019 TTM YIELD % OCF, FCF, & FCFE YIELDS % CF Yield % FCF Yield % FCFE Yield % GAP – SHIFT TO IND-AS GAP – NEGATIVE YIELDS %
  • 181. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 183 1.0 2.0 4.0 8.0 16.0 32.0 64.0 128.0 256.0 M a r - 1 9 9 6 M a r - 1 9 9 7 M a r - 1 9 9 8 M a r - 1 9 9 9 M a r - 2 0 0 0 M a r - 2 0 0 1 M a r - 2 0 0 2 M a r - 2 0 0 3 M a r - 2 0 0 4 M a r - 2 0 0 5 M a r - 2 0 0 6 M a r - 2 0 0 7 M a r - 2 0 0 8 M a r - 2 0 0 9 M a r - 2 0 1 0 M a r - 2 0 1 1 M a r - 2 0 1 2 M a r - 2 0 1 3 M a r - 2 0 1 4 M a r - 2 0 1 5 M a r - 2 0 1 6 M a r - 2 0 1 7 M a r - 2 0 1 8 M a r - 2 0 1 9 M a r - 2 0 2 0 CLOSING PRICE PER SHARE (in Rs.) ADJUSTED HISTORICAL PRICE TRAJECTORY ADJUSTED PRICE Expon. (ADJUSTED PRICE) 3 per. Mov. Avg. (ADJUSTED PRICE) SOURCE: IN.INVESTING.COM
  • 183. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 185
  • 184. AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 186
  • 185. GRACIAS (SPANISH FOR: “THE END!” “THANK YOU”) AAYUSH AGRAWAL | JUNE 2020 187 LA FIN! SOURCE: GOOGLE TRANSLATOR
  • 186. FOR MORE INFORMATION: ANALYST: AAYUSH AGRAWAL EMAIL ID: xxxxxxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx PHONE: xxxxxxxxxxxxx LINKEDIN: www.linkedin.com/in/cfa-aayush-agrawal/ JUNE 2020 188