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3
Collecting Information
and
Forecasting Demand
1
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-2
Chapter Questions
 What are the components of a modern
marketing information system?
 What are useful internal records?
 What makes up a marketing intelligence
system?
 What are some influential macro
environment developments?
 How can companies accurately measure
and forecast demand?
What is a
Marketing Information System?
A marketing information system
consists of people, equipment, and
procedures to gather, sort, analyze,
evaluate, and distribute needed, timely,
and accurate information to
marketing decision makers.
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-3
Case Study: MEDC
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-4
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-5
Table 3.2 Information Needs Probes
 What decisions do you regularly make?
 What information do you need to make these
decisions?
 What information do you regularly get?
 What studies do you periodically request?
 What information would you want that you are
not getting now?
 What are the four most helpful improvements
that could be made in the present marketing
information system?
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-6
Internal Records and
Marketing Intelligence
 Order-to-payment cycle
 Sales information system
 Databases, warehousing, data mining
 Marketing intelligence system
Database Management
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-7
What is a
Marketing Intelligence System?
A marketing intelligence system is
a set of procedures and sources that
managers use to obtain everyday
information about developments in
the marketing environment.
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-8
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-9
Steps to Quality Marketing Intelligence
 Train sales force to scan for new developments
 Motivate channel members to share intelligence
 Hire external experts to collect intelligence
 Network externally
 Utilize a customer advisory panel
 Utilize government data sources
 Purchase information
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-10
Sources of Competitive Information
 Independent customer goods and service
review forums
 Distributor or sales agent feedback sites
 Combination sites offering customer reviews
and expert opinions
 Customer complaint sites
 Public blogs
Needs and Trends
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-11
Fad
Trend
Megatrend
Major Forces in the Environment
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-12
Demographic
Economic
Socio-cultural
Natural
Technological
Political-legal
Population and Demographics
 Population growth
 Population age mix
 Ethnic markets
 Educational groups
 Household patterns
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-13
Perspective on the Global
Demographic Environment
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-14
Economic Environment
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-15
Consumer Psychology
Income Distribution
Income, Savings, Debt, Credit
Economic Environment and
Consumer Psychology
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-16
Income Distribution
 Subsistence economies
 Raw-material-exporting economies
 Industrializing economies
 Industrial economies
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-17
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-18
Social-Cultural Environment
 Views of themselves
 Views of others
 Views of organizations
 Views of society
 Views of nature
 Views of the universe
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-19
Table 3.4 Most Popular
American Leisure Activities
 Reading
 TV Watching
 Spending time with
family
 Going to movies
 Fishing
 Computer activities
 Gardening
 Renting movies
 Walking
 Exercise
Socio-Cultural Influences
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-20
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-21
Natural Environment
 Shortage of raw materials
 Increased energy costs
 Anti-pollution pressures
 Governmental protections
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-22
Keys to Avoiding
Green Marketing Myopia
 Consumer Value Positioning
 Calibration of Consumer Knowledge
 Credibility of Product Claims
Consumer Environmental
Segments
 Genuine Greens
 Not Me Greens
 Go-with-the-Flow Greens
 Dream Greens
 Business First Greens
 Mean Greens
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-23
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-24
Technological Environment
 Pace of change
 Opportunities for innovation
 Varying R&D budgets
 Increased regulation of change
The Political-Legal Environment
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-25
Business Legislation
Growth of Special Interest Groups
Forecasting and
Demand Measurement
 How can we measure market demand?
 Potential market
 Available market
 Target market
 Penetrated market
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-26
A Vocabulary for
Demand Measurement
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-27
Market Demand
Market Forecast
Market Potential
Company Demand
Company Sales Forecast
Company Sales Potential
Market Demand Functions
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-28
Estimating Current Demand:
Total Market Potential
 Calculations
 Multiple potential
number of buyers by
average quantity each
purchases times price
 Chain-ratio method
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-29
Estimating Current Demand:
Area Market Potential
Market-Buildup
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-30
Estimating Current Demand:
Area Market Potential
Multiple-Factor Index
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-31
Estimating Future Demand
 Survey of Buyers’ Intentions
 Composite of Sales Force Opinions
 Expert Opinion
 Past-Sales Analysis
 Market-Test Method
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-32
For Review
 What are the components of a modern
marketing information system?
 What are useful internal records?
 What makes up a marketing intelligence
system?
 What are some influential macroenvironment
developments?
 How can companies accurately measure and
forecast demand?
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-33

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Kotler_MM_14e_03_sppt.ppt

  • 2. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-2 Chapter Questions  What are the components of a modern marketing information system?  What are useful internal records?  What makes up a marketing intelligence system?  What are some influential macro environment developments?  How can companies accurately measure and forecast demand?
  • 3. What is a Marketing Information System? A marketing information system consists of people, equipment, and procedures to gather, sort, analyze, evaluate, and distribute needed, timely, and accurate information to marketing decision makers. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-3
  • 4. Case Study: MEDC Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-4
  • 5. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-5 Table 3.2 Information Needs Probes  What decisions do you regularly make?  What information do you need to make these decisions?  What information do you regularly get?  What studies do you periodically request?  What information would you want that you are not getting now?  What are the four most helpful improvements that could be made in the present marketing information system?
  • 6. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-6 Internal Records and Marketing Intelligence  Order-to-payment cycle  Sales information system  Databases, warehousing, data mining  Marketing intelligence system
  • 7. Database Management Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-7
  • 8. What is a Marketing Intelligence System? A marketing intelligence system is a set of procedures and sources that managers use to obtain everyday information about developments in the marketing environment. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-8
  • 9. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-9 Steps to Quality Marketing Intelligence  Train sales force to scan for new developments  Motivate channel members to share intelligence  Hire external experts to collect intelligence  Network externally  Utilize a customer advisory panel  Utilize government data sources  Purchase information
  • 10. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-10 Sources of Competitive Information  Independent customer goods and service review forums  Distributor or sales agent feedback sites  Combination sites offering customer reviews and expert opinions  Customer complaint sites  Public blogs
  • 11. Needs and Trends Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-11 Fad Trend Megatrend
  • 12. Major Forces in the Environment Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-12 Demographic Economic Socio-cultural Natural Technological Political-legal
  • 13. Population and Demographics  Population growth  Population age mix  Ethnic markets  Educational groups  Household patterns Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-13
  • 14. Perspective on the Global Demographic Environment Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-14
  • 15. Economic Environment Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-15 Consumer Psychology Income Distribution Income, Savings, Debt, Credit
  • 16. Economic Environment and Consumer Psychology Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-16
  • 17. Income Distribution  Subsistence economies  Raw-material-exporting economies  Industrializing economies  Industrial economies Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-17
  • 18. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-18 Social-Cultural Environment  Views of themselves  Views of others  Views of organizations  Views of society  Views of nature  Views of the universe
  • 19. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-19 Table 3.4 Most Popular American Leisure Activities  Reading  TV Watching  Spending time with family  Going to movies  Fishing  Computer activities  Gardening  Renting movies  Walking  Exercise
  • 20. Socio-Cultural Influences Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-20
  • 21. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-21 Natural Environment  Shortage of raw materials  Increased energy costs  Anti-pollution pressures  Governmental protections
  • 22. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-22 Keys to Avoiding Green Marketing Myopia  Consumer Value Positioning  Calibration of Consumer Knowledge  Credibility of Product Claims
  • 23. Consumer Environmental Segments  Genuine Greens  Not Me Greens  Go-with-the-Flow Greens  Dream Greens  Business First Greens  Mean Greens Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-23
  • 24. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-24 Technological Environment  Pace of change  Opportunities for innovation  Varying R&D budgets  Increased regulation of change
  • 25. The Political-Legal Environment Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-25 Business Legislation Growth of Special Interest Groups
  • 26. Forecasting and Demand Measurement  How can we measure market demand?  Potential market  Available market  Target market  Penetrated market Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-26
  • 27. A Vocabulary for Demand Measurement Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-27 Market Demand Market Forecast Market Potential Company Demand Company Sales Forecast Company Sales Potential
  • 28. Market Demand Functions Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-28
  • 29. Estimating Current Demand: Total Market Potential  Calculations  Multiple potential number of buyers by average quantity each purchases times price  Chain-ratio method Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-29
  • 30. Estimating Current Demand: Area Market Potential Market-Buildup Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-30
  • 31. Estimating Current Demand: Area Market Potential Multiple-Factor Index Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-31
  • 32. Estimating Future Demand  Survey of Buyers’ Intentions  Composite of Sales Force Opinions  Expert Opinion  Past-Sales Analysis  Market-Test Method Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-32
  • 33. For Review  What are the components of a modern marketing information system?  What are useful internal records?  What makes up a marketing intelligence system?  What are some influential macroenvironment developments?  How can companies accurately measure and forecast demand? Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 3-33