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K E Y N O T E 
                                                                                 INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH
India Morning Note
Tuesday, March 27, 2012

Domestic Markets Snapshot                                  Views on markets today
 Name of Index         Mar 23       Mar 26    Change (%)
                                                           • Indian markets fell ~2% yesterday to their lowest
                                                             close in nearly two months, as uncertainty over short-
 Sensex              17,361.74    17,052.78     -1.78%
                                                             term capital gain taxes for some derivative products
 CNX Nifty            5,278.20     5,184.25     -1.78%       sold to foreign investors sparked fears over
 BSE Mid-cap          6,350.92     6,249.17     -1.60%       widespread selling. Certain provisions in the 2012/13
 BSE IT               6,095.08     6,011.44     -1.37%       general budget announced earlier this month raised
 BSE Banks           11,860.42    11,570.74     -2.44%       the prospect the government could tax so-called
                                                             participatory notes, or P-Notes, under a provision of
FII Activity                                     (`Cr)       the General Anti-Avoidance Rule (GAAR) intended to
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net       crack down on tax evasion. P-Notes are derivative
 22-Mar                 4,941         4,611        330       products that allow foreign investors to invest into
                                                             Indian equities via countries such as Mauritius that
 21-Mar                 3,488         2,836        652
                                                             have tax treaties with India. Banking stocks like ICICI
 Total Mar             45,903        37,106       8797       Bank and Axis Bank were among the hardest hit, as
 2012 YTD             178,960      133,865       45095       higher crude prices have reduced hopes of a possible
MF Activity                                       (`Cr)      rate cut next month, while investors also await
                                                             government's borrowing plan for April-September due
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net       this week. All sectoral indices closed on negative note
 23-Mar                   374          286          88       with real estate, power, bank and metal stocks were
 22-Mar                   554          619          -66      major losers. Maruti Suzuki lost ~1% as its chairman
 Total Mar              8,273         9,353      -1080       R.C. Bhargava the company plans to cut car
                                                             production by half by 2015 at its factory at Gurgaon
 2012 YTD              33,633        38,740       -5107
                                                             due to various logistical and environmental issues. EIH
Volume & Advances / Declines                                 Associated Hotels gained 6.28% after the company
                                      NSE          BSE       said its board of directors will meet on 28 March 2012
                                                             to consider rights issue of equity shares.
 Trading Volume (Cr)                69.17         31.19
                                                           • Market breadth was weak at ~0.47x as investors sold
 Turnover (`Cr)                    10,690         3,801
                                                             large cap stocks. On provisional basis, both FIIs and
 Advances                             345          919       domestic institutions sold equities worth `1.35bn and
 Declines                           1,156         1,955      `2.01bn, respectively.
 Unchanged                             51          113     • Asian shares gained sharply, welcoming comments
 Total                              1,552         2,987      from Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke that
                                                             signalled  U.S.  monetary    policy  will remain
Global Markets
                                                             accommodative.
 Index                     Latest Values      Change (%)
                                                           • We expect a positive opening for the Indian markets,
 DJIA                            13,241.63       1.23%       tracking the cues from the Asian markets and short
 NASDAQ                           3,122.57       1.78%       recovery after recent losses. However, F&O expiry
 Nikkei *                        10,193.43       1.75%       may bring volatility.
 Hang Seng *                     20,937.60       1.30%     Economic and Corporate Developments
* as of 8.25AM IST                                         • The country's coal production is projected to increase
Currencies / Commodities Snapshot                            by over 43% to 795mn tonnes (mt) by 2016-17, from
                                                             an estimated 554 mt in the current fiscal, Parliament
                                    Latest     Previous      was informed on Monday. The projection is based on
                                    Quote         Close
                                                             obtaining necessary clearances and availability of
 Indian Rupee per $                  51.13        51.02
                                                             requisite land for coal mining.
 Indian Rupee per €                  68.25        68.15
                                                           • The government has allowed another 1mn tonnes of
 NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl)            106.89        107.03      unrestricted white sugar exports, a government
 Gold ($/oz)                      1,686.20     1,685.60      source said on Monday, bringing the total approved so
 Silver ($/oz)                       32.75        32.73      far to 3 million tonne, in line with what the industry
                                                             and markets expected.

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                                  K E Y N O T E 
                                                                              INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH

TOP GAINERS                                             Buzzing Stocks
(BSE A-Group)                                           • ICICI Bank asked ailing Kingfisher Airlines for more
                    Previous   Current    Change          security on its `600Cr loan, after the airline’s stock
 Company Name
                    Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)          hit an all-time low on Monday.
 Max India           171.70     178.40       3.90
                                                        • Switzerland-based cement maker Holcim, one of the
 Jaiprakash Asso      79.55      81.60       2.58
                                                          top players in the global cement industry, expects
 Mphasis             419.70     429.20       2.26         the Indian construction market to more than double
 Dish TV India        57.90      59.20       2.25         by 2020. Holcim, which entered India in the middle
 Thermax             475.00     483.30       1.75         of the last decade, has its presence in the country
(BSE Mid-Cap)                                             through two established brands — ACC and Ambuja
                                                          Cements. Collectively, these companies have the
                    Previous   Current    Change          largest market share in India.
 Company Name
                    Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
 Hotel Leela          32.05      34.15       6.55       • Gammon Infrastructure Projects has bagged a
 Ballarpur Inds       22.70      23.85       5.07         contract from the National Highways Authority of
 VAARAD               31.55      33.10       4.91         India (NHAI) for four-laning a national highway in
 Gujarat Pipavav      55.65      58.10       4.40         Haryana at an estimated cost of `934.93Cr.
 Max India           171.70     178.40       3.90       • Persistent Systems, an outsourced software product
                                                          development (OPD) services company and Precision
TOP LOSERS                                                Automation & Robotics India Ltd (PARI) and
                                                          Maharashtra University of Health Sciences (MUHS),
(BSE A-Group)
                                                          Nashik are working in this area to reduce the cost of
                    Previous   Current    Change          development of robots, advance technology and
 Company Name
                    Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
                                                          ultimately resulting in reducing cost of the surgery.
 Manappuram Fin       36.35      32.35     -11.00
 Opto Circuits       274.90    254.75       -7.33       • Larsen and Toubro (L&T) has started the delivery of
 Shree Renuk Sug      32.85      30.45      -7.31
                                                          $40mn (approximately `200Cr) worth of equipment
                                                          used in nuclear reactors to the US, according to MV
 HDIL                 95.50      88.80      -7.02
                                                          Kotwal, member of the board and president (heavy
 IRB Infra           193.70    180.30       -6.92
                                                          engineering), L&T.
(BSE Mid-Cap)                                           US markets
                    Previous   Current    Change        U.S. stocks erased a week’s worth of losses Monday,
 Company Name
                    Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
                                                        surging after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke
 Manappuram Fin       36.35      32.35     -11.00
                                                        signaled the central bank is committed to a policy
 MVL                  11.50      10.30     -10.43
                                                        that’s helped stocks rally for three years.
 D B REALTY            94.00     86.25      -8.24
 Opto Circuits       274.90     254.75      -7.33
                                                        The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 160.90 points, or
                                                        1.2%, to 13,241.63, gathering momentum throughout
 Shree Renuk Sug       32.85     30.45      -7.31
                                                        the day to more than recoup its 152-point loss, or 1.2%,
                                                        last week — its worst week of the year. The S&P 500
                                                        Index gained 19.40 points, or 1.4%, to 1,416.51. The
                                                        Nasdaq Composite Index added 54.65 points, or 1.8%,
                                                        to 3,122.57.




Keynote Capitals Institutional Research             (research@keynotecapitals.net)            (+9122-30266000)
                                  K E Y N O T E  
                                                                                                                                                        INSTIT UT IONAL     R ES EAR C H 

 India and Global Economic Calendar

   Countries /                 Tuesday                                Wednesday                                  Thursday                                    Friday

   Regions                       27/Mar                                   28/Mar                                   29/Mar                                    30/Mar

   India                                                                                                                                        Forex Reserves Data

                                                                                                                                                Trade Deficit - RBI;
                                                                                                                                                External Debt


   US               S&P/Case-Shiller                         Durable Goods                             US GDP Data                              Personal
                    Home Price Indices                       Orders                                                                             Consumption
                    (YoY)                                                                                                                       Expenditure - Price
                                                                                                                                                Index (Feb) (YoY &
                                                                                                                                                MoM)

                    Consumer                                 Durable Goods                                                                      Core Personal
                    Confidence                               Orders ex                                                                          Consumption
                                                             Transportation                                                                     Expenditure - Price
                                                                                                                                                Index (Feb) (YoY &
                                                                                                                                                MoM)

                    Richmond Fed                             EIA Crude Oil Stocks                                                               Personal Income
                    Manufacturing Index                      change                                                                             (Feb, MoM); Chicago
                                                                                                                                                Purchasing
                                                                                                                                                Managers' Index
                                                                                                                                                (Mar)

   Global           UK's Gross Domestic                      Eurozone's M3                             Germany                                  Eurozone Consumer
                    Product (QoQ) and                        Money Supply (YoY)                        Unemployment data                        Price Index (YoY)
                    (YoY)                                    anf for (3m)

                    UK's Total Business                      Germany's                                 UK GFK consumer                          Construction Orders
                    Investment (YoY)                         Consumer Price                            spending                                 (YoY); Housing
                    and (QoQ)                                Index (YoY) and                                                                    Starts (YoY)
                                                             (MoM)

                    UK's CBI Distributive                                                              Japan
                    Trades Survey -                                                                    manufacturing, CPI
                    Realized (MoM)                                                                     & Unemployment
                                                                                                       data




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Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to
various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day,
unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before
acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.

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Keynote capitals india morning note march 27-'12

  • 1. K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH India Morning Note Tuesday, March 27, 2012 Domestic Markets Snapshot Views on markets today Name of Index Mar 23 Mar 26 Change (%) • Indian markets fell ~2% yesterday to their lowest close in nearly two months, as uncertainty over short- Sensex 17,361.74 17,052.78 -1.78% term capital gain taxes for some derivative products CNX Nifty 5,278.20 5,184.25 -1.78% sold to foreign investors sparked fears over BSE Mid-cap 6,350.92 6,249.17 -1.60% widespread selling. Certain provisions in the 2012/13 BSE IT 6,095.08 6,011.44 -1.37% general budget announced earlier this month raised BSE Banks 11,860.42 11,570.74 -2.44% the prospect the government could tax so-called participatory notes, or P-Notes, under a provision of FII Activity (`Cr) the General Anti-Avoidance Rule (GAAR) intended to Date Buy Sell Net crack down on tax evasion. P-Notes are derivative 22-Mar 4,941 4,611 330 products that allow foreign investors to invest into Indian equities via countries such as Mauritius that 21-Mar 3,488 2,836 652 have tax treaties with India. Banking stocks like ICICI Total Mar 45,903 37,106 8797 Bank and Axis Bank were among the hardest hit, as 2012 YTD 178,960 133,865 45095 higher crude prices have reduced hopes of a possible MF Activity (`Cr) rate cut next month, while investors also await government's borrowing plan for April-September due Date Buy Sell Net this week. All sectoral indices closed on negative note 23-Mar 374 286 88 with real estate, power, bank and metal stocks were 22-Mar 554 619 -66 major losers. Maruti Suzuki lost ~1% as its chairman Total Mar 8,273 9,353 -1080 R.C. Bhargava the company plans to cut car production by half by 2015 at its factory at Gurgaon 2012 YTD 33,633 38,740 -5107 due to various logistical and environmental issues. EIH Volume & Advances / Declines Associated Hotels gained 6.28% after the company NSE BSE said its board of directors will meet on 28 March 2012 to consider rights issue of equity shares. Trading Volume (Cr) 69.17 31.19 • Market breadth was weak at ~0.47x as investors sold Turnover (`Cr) 10,690 3,801 large cap stocks. On provisional basis, both FIIs and Advances 345 919 domestic institutions sold equities worth `1.35bn and Declines 1,156 1,955 `2.01bn, respectively. Unchanged 51 113 • Asian shares gained sharply, welcoming comments Total 1,552 2,987 from Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke that signalled U.S. monetary policy will remain Global Markets accommodative. Index Latest Values Change (%) • We expect a positive opening for the Indian markets, DJIA 13,241.63 1.23% tracking the cues from the Asian markets and short NASDAQ 3,122.57 1.78% recovery after recent losses. However, F&O expiry Nikkei * 10,193.43 1.75% may bring volatility. Hang Seng * 20,937.60 1.30% Economic and Corporate Developments * as of 8.25AM IST • The country's coal production is projected to increase Currencies / Commodities Snapshot by over 43% to 795mn tonnes (mt) by 2016-17, from an estimated 554 mt in the current fiscal, Parliament Latest Previous was informed on Monday. The projection is based on Quote Close obtaining necessary clearances and availability of Indian Rupee per $ 51.13 51.02 requisite land for coal mining. Indian Rupee per € 68.25 68.15 • The government has allowed another 1mn tonnes of NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 106.89 107.03 unrestricted white sugar exports, a government Gold ($/oz) 1,686.20 1,685.60 source said on Monday, bringing the total approved so Silver ($/oz) 32.75 32.73 far to 3 million tonne, in line with what the industry and markets expected. Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-30266000) Keynote Capitals Institutional Research is also available on Bloomberg KNTE <GO>, Thomson One Analytics, Reuters Knowledge, Capital IQ, TheMarkets.com and securities.com Keynote Capitals Institutional Research - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubscribe from this mailing list, please reply to unsubscribe@keynotecapitals.net
  • 2.                                   K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH TOP GAINERS Buzzing Stocks (BSE A-Group) • ICICI Bank asked ailing Kingfisher Airlines for more Previous Current Change security on its `600Cr loan, after the airline’s stock Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) hit an all-time low on Monday. Max India 171.70 178.40 3.90 • Switzerland-based cement maker Holcim, one of the Jaiprakash Asso 79.55 81.60 2.58 top players in the global cement industry, expects Mphasis 419.70 429.20 2.26 the Indian construction market to more than double Dish TV India 57.90 59.20 2.25 by 2020. Holcim, which entered India in the middle Thermax 475.00 483.30 1.75 of the last decade, has its presence in the country (BSE Mid-Cap) through two established brands — ACC and Ambuja Cements. Collectively, these companies have the Previous Current Change largest market share in India. Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) Hotel Leela 32.05 34.15 6.55 • Gammon Infrastructure Projects has bagged a Ballarpur Inds 22.70 23.85 5.07 contract from the National Highways Authority of VAARAD 31.55 33.10 4.91 India (NHAI) for four-laning a national highway in Gujarat Pipavav 55.65 58.10 4.40 Haryana at an estimated cost of `934.93Cr. Max India 171.70 178.40 3.90 • Persistent Systems, an outsourced software product development (OPD) services company and Precision TOP LOSERS Automation & Robotics India Ltd (PARI) and Maharashtra University of Health Sciences (MUHS), (BSE A-Group) Nashik are working in this area to reduce the cost of Previous Current Change development of robots, advance technology and Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) ultimately resulting in reducing cost of the surgery. Manappuram Fin 36.35 32.35 -11.00 Opto Circuits 274.90 254.75 -7.33 • Larsen and Toubro (L&T) has started the delivery of Shree Renuk Sug 32.85 30.45 -7.31 $40mn (approximately `200Cr) worth of equipment used in nuclear reactors to the US, according to MV HDIL 95.50 88.80 -7.02 Kotwal, member of the board and president (heavy IRB Infra 193.70 180.30 -6.92 engineering), L&T. (BSE Mid-Cap) US markets Previous Current Change U.S. stocks erased a week’s worth of losses Monday, Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) surging after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke Manappuram Fin 36.35 32.35 -11.00 signaled the central bank is committed to a policy MVL 11.50 10.30 -10.43 that’s helped stocks rally for three years. D B REALTY 94.00 86.25 -8.24 Opto Circuits 274.90 254.75 -7.33 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 160.90 points, or 1.2%, to 13,241.63, gathering momentum throughout Shree Renuk Sug 32.85 30.45 -7.31 the day to more than recoup its 152-point loss, or 1.2%, last week — its worst week of the year. The S&P 500 Index gained 19.40 points, or 1.4%, to 1,416.51. The Nasdaq Composite Index added 54.65 points, or 1.8%, to 3,122.57. Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-30266000)
  • 3.                                   K E Y N O T E                                                                                                                                       INSTIT UT IONAL     R ES EAR C H  India and Global Economic Calendar Countries / Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Regions 27/Mar 28/Mar 29/Mar 30/Mar India Forex Reserves Data Trade Deficit - RBI; External Debt US S&P/Case-Shiller Durable Goods US GDP Data Personal Home Price Indices Orders Consumption (YoY) Expenditure - Price Index (Feb) (YoY & MoM) Consumer Durable Goods Core Personal Confidence Orders ex Consumption Transportation Expenditure - Price Index (Feb) (YoY & MoM) Richmond Fed EIA Crude Oil Stocks Personal Income Manufacturing Index change (Feb, MoM); Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index (Mar) Global UK's Gross Domestic Eurozone's M3 Germany Eurozone Consumer Product (QoQ) and Money Supply (YoY) Unemployment data Price Index (YoY) (YoY) anf for (3m) UK's Total Business Germany's UK GFK consumer Construction Orders Investment (YoY) Consumer Price spending (YoY); Housing and (QoQ) Index (YoY) and Starts (YoY) (MoM) UK's CBI Distributive Japan Trades Survey - manufacturing, CPI Realized (MoM) & Unemployment data KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD. 4th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Building, 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Mumbai 400 001. INDIA Tel. : 9122-2269 4322 / 24 / 25 • www.keynotecapitals.com Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day, unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.