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K E Y N O T E 
                                                                                 INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH
India Morning Note
Friday, December 9, 2011

Domestic Markets Snapshot                                  Views on markets today
                                                           • Indian markets dropped sharply and closed on
 Name of Index          Dec 7        Dec 8    Change (%)     negative note yesterday bucking the overall trend of
 Sensex              16,877.06    16488.24      -2.30%       global equities, as investors worried about the
 CNX Nifty            5,062.60     4,943.65     -2.35%       slowdown in the Indian economy after news reports
 BSE Mid-cap          5,771.80     5,669.70     -1.77%       suggest that industrial production data for October
                                                             2011 will be shrank sharply to 7%. Investors kept
 BSE IT               5,808.75     5,782.01     -0.46%
                                                             selling shares in spite of softening food prices and
 BSE Banks           10,552.51    10,266.84     -2.71%       sharp gains in the European markets. Food inflation
FII Activity                                     (`Cr)       sharply eased to 6.60% for the week ended November
                                                             26 as against 8.0% in the previous week. Brokerage
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net       CLSA also lowered its 12-month target for the
 7-Dec                  2,842         2,763         79       benchmark Sensex to 17,000 from 18,200, citing
 5-Dec                  1,513         1,301        212       earnings cuts for the current fiscal year ending March
 Total Dec              9,364         7,456       1908       and the next year. All sectoral indices closed on
                                                             negative note with capital goods, real estate, metal
 2011 YTD             577,809      578,846        -1037
                                                             and power stocks were major losers. Capital goods
MF Activity                                       (`Cr)      index fall ~4.4% after Barclays Capital said the sector
                                                             was undergoing a cyclical deceleration in orders and
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net
                                                             earnings. Auto stocks were major losers after an
 5-Dec                    271          186          85
                                                             industry body said they may just break even this year
 2-Dec                    548          386         163       and warned it would cut its sales outlook on the back
 Total Dec               1370         1365            5      of rising finance costs and increasing prices. Crompton
 2011 YTD             123,595      118,144        5452       Greaves fell 3.6% after Morgan Stanley started
                                                             coverage on the stock with an "underweight" rating
Volume & Advances / Declines                                 and said it expects the firm's earnings to be under
                                      NSE          BSE       pressure for the next 12-18 months.
 Trading Volume (`Cr)              10,010         1,995    • Market breadth was week at ~0.44x as investors sold
                                                             large cap stocks. FIIs bought equities worth `0.26bn
 Advances                             333          842
                                                             while domestic institutions sold equities of `1.97bn.
 Declines                           1,151         1,910
                                                           • Asian markets are down tracking the US markets, after
 Unchanged                             53          116       European Central Bank hinted that it is not willing to
 Total                              1,537         2,868      purchase European bonds to ease liquidity.
                                                           • We expect Indian markets to open lower today
Global Markets
                                                             following the Asian markets. However, the slide may
 Index                     Latest Values      Change (%)     be limited, as a sharp decline in India as well as
 DJIA                            11,997.70        -1.6%      China's inflation. The investors are waiting for
 NASDAQ                           2,596.38        -2.0%      production and price data early next week.
 Nikkei *                         8,541.69        -1.4%
                                                           Economic and Corporate Developments
                                                           • Food inflation fell sharply to 6.60% for the week ended
 Hang Seng *                     18,753.61        -1.9%
                                                             November 26, reflecting a decline in prices of essential
* as of 8.25AM IST                                           items like vegetables, onions, potatoes and wheat.
Currencies / Commodities Snapshot                            Fuel Inflation remained at 15.53%.
                                                           • Ratings agency Crisil lowered its growth forecast for
                                    Latest     Previous
                                    Quote         Close      the Indian economy in 2011-12 to 7%, from the earlier
 Indian Rupee per $                  51.70        51.76
                                                             estimate of 7.6%, due to global slowdown and weak
                                                             domestic investment climate.
 Indian Rupee per €                  68.93        69.07
                                                           • The European Central Bank cut interest rates by a
 NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl)              98.08        98.34      quarter of a point to counter the twin threats of
 Gold ($/oz)                      1,711.90     1,709.80      recession and deflation in the Eurozone, and is
 Silver ($/oz)                       31.79        31.48      expected to unveil fresh measures to help banks hurt
                                                             by the bloc's debt crisis.

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                                  K E Y N O T E 
                                                                               INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH

TOP GAINERS                                              Buzzing Stocks
(BSE A-Group)                                            • The Kerala State Industrial Development Corporation
                    Previous     Current    Change         (KSIDC) and GAIL Gas Limited (GGL) have set up a
 Company Name                                              joint venture —Kerala GAIL Gas Limited — to
                    Close (`)   Price (`)      (%)
 United Brew          434.25     474.80       9.34         implement supplementary gas infrastructure in the
 UTV Software         950.90     979.85       3.04         state.
 Wipro                403.75     413.25       2.35       • Britannia Industries, India’s largest biscuits and
 United Phos          132.85     135.95       2.33         Bakery Company, is understood to have finally
 Piramal Health       368.40     376.95       2.32         decided to unlock value at its sprawling
                                                           headquarters property in Bangalore.
(BSE Mid-Cap)
                                                         • The corporate headquarters, christened Britannia
                     Previous   Current     Change
 Company Name                                              Gardens, sprawls over nearly seven acres on the Old
                     Close(`)   Price(`)       (%)
 SKS Microfinance     112.95      118.55       4.96        Airport Road, leading on to Whitefield, one of the
 VAARAD                 33.85      35.50       4.87        major technology hubs towards the east of
                                                           Bangalore.
 Bombay Rayon         225.20      234.10       3.95
 SREI Infra             27.40      28.30       3.28      • Nearly 15 months after first announcing the deal,
 UTV Software         950.90      979.85       3.04        Vedanta Resources on Thursday announced the
                                                           completion of its acquisition of a controlling stake in
TOP LOSERS                                                 Cairn India. Vedanta has acquired 58.5% in Cairn
                                                           India for a total consideration of $8.67bn, the third-
(BSE A-Group)
                                                           largest acquisition ever by an Indian enterprise
                    Previous    Current     Change         globally.
 Company Name
                    Close(`)    Price(`)       (%)
                                                         • Dish TV, the country’s largest direct-to-home
 GMR Infra             21.15       19.55      -7.57
                                                           television company, is reaching out to private equity
 CESC                 260.85     242.00       -7.23
                                                           and institutional investors for a fresh round of fund
 Manap Gen Fin         58.35       54.20      -7.11
                                                           raising, which could turn out to be the highest in the
 IB Real Est           56.55       52.60      -6.98
                                                           sector.
 JSW ENERGY            46.75       43.75      -6.42
                                                         • The service tax commissioner's office here has
(BSE Mid-Cap)                                              frozen bank accounts of both the airlines, Air India
                     Previous   Current     Change         and Kingfisher Airlines for not depositing tax of
 Company Name                                              `220Cr they had collected from passengers and
                     Close(`)   Price(`)       (%)
 VIP Inds             114.95      103.75      -9.74        clients.
 NCC                    42.05      38.70      -7.97      • Fortis Healthcare plans to invest up to `30Cr to set
 CESC                 260.85      242.00      -7.23        up 50 standalone dialysis centres across the country
 GVK Power              11.54      10.71      -7.19        in the next two years for treatment of patients
 Manap Gen Fin          58.35      54.20      -7.11        suffering from kidney failure.
                                                         US markets
                                                         US stocks declined sharply overnight, as the investors
                                                         worried that Germany opposed some measures in the
                                                         draft proposals for Eurozone debt resolution.
                                                         The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 198.67 points, or
                                                         1.6%, to 11,997.70. The Standard & Poor’s 500 lost
                                                         26.66 points, or 2.1%, to 1,234.35. The Nasdaq
                                                         Composite declined 52.83 points, or 2%, to 2,596.38.




Keynote Capitals Institutional Research               (research@keynoteindia.net)             (+9122-30266000)
                                  K E Y N O T E  
                                                                                                                                                        INSTIT UT IONAL     R ES EAR C H 

 India and Global Economic Calendar

   Countries /      Friday                                   Monday                                    Wednesday                                Thursday

   Regions          Dec. 9                                   Dec. 12                                   Dec. 14                                  Dec. 15

   India            Forex Reserves Data                      IIP Data                                  Monthly Inflation                        Weekly Inflation Data


                    Weekly Supplement
                    of RBI




   US               International Trade                                                                                                         Producer price index
                    Reuters/Michigan
                    Consumer Sentiment                                                                                                          Current Account
                    Index
                                                                                                                                                Net long term
                                                                                                                                                treasury International
                                                                                                                                                capital
                                                                                                                                                Industrial production
                                                                                                                                                Philadelphia Fed
                                                                                                                                                Manufacturing Survey




                    Germany Trade                                                                      Japan Industrial
                                                                                                                                                Hungary- Industrial
   Global           Balance & Consumer                                                                 Production data and
                                                                                                                                                output
                    Price                                                                              Manufacturing Index
                                                                                                       UK Unemployment
                    UK Producer Price                                                                                                           Switzerland-
                                                                                                       Rate and Average
                    Input and Output                                                                                                            Industrial production
                                                                                                       Earning growth rate
                                                                                                                                                Germany- Purchasing
                    UK Trade Balance &
                                                                                                                                                Managers Index
                    Goods Trade Balance
                                                                                                                                                Manufacturing
                    Canada International
                    Merchandise Trade &
                    Labour Productivity




                                               KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD.
           4th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Building, 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Mumbai 400 001. INDIA
                                       Tel. : 9122-2269 4322 / 24 / 25                            •   www.keynoteindia.net

Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to
various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day,
unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before
acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.

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Keynote capitals india morning note december 9-'11

  • 1. K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH India Morning Note Friday, December 9, 2011 Domestic Markets Snapshot Views on markets today • Indian markets dropped sharply and closed on Name of Index Dec 7 Dec 8 Change (%) negative note yesterday bucking the overall trend of Sensex 16,877.06 16488.24 -2.30% global equities, as investors worried about the CNX Nifty 5,062.60 4,943.65 -2.35% slowdown in the Indian economy after news reports BSE Mid-cap 5,771.80 5,669.70 -1.77% suggest that industrial production data for October 2011 will be shrank sharply to 7%. Investors kept BSE IT 5,808.75 5,782.01 -0.46% selling shares in spite of softening food prices and BSE Banks 10,552.51 10,266.84 -2.71% sharp gains in the European markets. Food inflation FII Activity (`Cr) sharply eased to 6.60% for the week ended November 26 as against 8.0% in the previous week. Brokerage Date Buy Sell Net CLSA also lowered its 12-month target for the 7-Dec 2,842 2,763 79 benchmark Sensex to 17,000 from 18,200, citing 5-Dec 1,513 1,301 212 earnings cuts for the current fiscal year ending March Total Dec 9,364 7,456 1908 and the next year. All sectoral indices closed on negative note with capital goods, real estate, metal 2011 YTD 577,809 578,846 -1037 and power stocks were major losers. Capital goods MF Activity (`Cr) index fall ~4.4% after Barclays Capital said the sector was undergoing a cyclical deceleration in orders and Date Buy Sell Net earnings. Auto stocks were major losers after an 5-Dec 271 186 85 industry body said they may just break even this year 2-Dec 548 386 163 and warned it would cut its sales outlook on the back Total Dec 1370 1365 5 of rising finance costs and increasing prices. Crompton 2011 YTD 123,595 118,144 5452 Greaves fell 3.6% after Morgan Stanley started coverage on the stock with an "underweight" rating Volume & Advances / Declines and said it expects the firm's earnings to be under NSE BSE pressure for the next 12-18 months. Trading Volume (`Cr) 10,010 1,995 • Market breadth was week at ~0.44x as investors sold large cap stocks. FIIs bought equities worth `0.26bn Advances 333 842 while domestic institutions sold equities of `1.97bn. Declines 1,151 1,910 • Asian markets are down tracking the US markets, after Unchanged 53 116 European Central Bank hinted that it is not willing to Total 1,537 2,868 purchase European bonds to ease liquidity. • We expect Indian markets to open lower today Global Markets following the Asian markets. However, the slide may Index Latest Values Change (%) be limited, as a sharp decline in India as well as DJIA 11,997.70 -1.6% China's inflation. The investors are waiting for NASDAQ 2,596.38 -2.0% production and price data early next week. Nikkei * 8,541.69 -1.4% Economic and Corporate Developments • Food inflation fell sharply to 6.60% for the week ended Hang Seng * 18,753.61 -1.9% November 26, reflecting a decline in prices of essential * as of 8.25AM IST items like vegetables, onions, potatoes and wheat. Currencies / Commodities Snapshot Fuel Inflation remained at 15.53%. • Ratings agency Crisil lowered its growth forecast for Latest Previous Quote Close the Indian economy in 2011-12 to 7%, from the earlier Indian Rupee per $ 51.70 51.76 estimate of 7.6%, due to global slowdown and weak domestic investment climate. Indian Rupee per € 68.93 69.07 • The European Central Bank cut interest rates by a NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 98.08 98.34 quarter of a point to counter the twin threats of Gold ($/oz) 1,711.90 1,709.80 recession and deflation in the Eurozone, and is Silver ($/oz) 31.79 31.48 expected to unveil fresh measures to help banks hurt by the bloc's debt crisis. Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynoteindia.net) (+9122-30266000) Keynote Capitals Institutional Research is also available on Bloomberg KNTE <GO>, Thomson One Analytics, Reuters Knowledge, Capital IQ, TheMarkets.com and securities.com Keynote Capitals Institutional Research - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubscribe from this mailing list, please reply to unsubscribe@keynotecapitals.net
  • 2.                                   K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH TOP GAINERS Buzzing Stocks (BSE A-Group) • The Kerala State Industrial Development Corporation Previous Current Change (KSIDC) and GAIL Gas Limited (GGL) have set up a Company Name joint venture —Kerala GAIL Gas Limited — to Close (`) Price (`) (%) United Brew 434.25 474.80 9.34 implement supplementary gas infrastructure in the UTV Software 950.90 979.85 3.04 state. Wipro 403.75 413.25 2.35 • Britannia Industries, India’s largest biscuits and United Phos 132.85 135.95 2.33 Bakery Company, is understood to have finally Piramal Health 368.40 376.95 2.32 decided to unlock value at its sprawling headquarters property in Bangalore. (BSE Mid-Cap) • The corporate headquarters, christened Britannia Previous Current Change Company Name Gardens, sprawls over nearly seven acres on the Old Close(`) Price(`) (%) SKS Microfinance 112.95 118.55 4.96 Airport Road, leading on to Whitefield, one of the VAARAD 33.85 35.50 4.87 major technology hubs towards the east of Bangalore. Bombay Rayon 225.20 234.10 3.95 SREI Infra 27.40 28.30 3.28 • Nearly 15 months after first announcing the deal, UTV Software 950.90 979.85 3.04 Vedanta Resources on Thursday announced the completion of its acquisition of a controlling stake in TOP LOSERS Cairn India. Vedanta has acquired 58.5% in Cairn India for a total consideration of $8.67bn, the third- (BSE A-Group) largest acquisition ever by an Indian enterprise Previous Current Change globally. Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) • Dish TV, the country’s largest direct-to-home GMR Infra 21.15 19.55 -7.57 television company, is reaching out to private equity CESC 260.85 242.00 -7.23 and institutional investors for a fresh round of fund Manap Gen Fin 58.35 54.20 -7.11 raising, which could turn out to be the highest in the IB Real Est 56.55 52.60 -6.98 sector. JSW ENERGY 46.75 43.75 -6.42 • The service tax commissioner's office here has (BSE Mid-Cap) frozen bank accounts of both the airlines, Air India Previous Current Change and Kingfisher Airlines for not depositing tax of Company Name `220Cr they had collected from passengers and Close(`) Price(`) (%) VIP Inds 114.95 103.75 -9.74 clients. NCC 42.05 38.70 -7.97 • Fortis Healthcare plans to invest up to `30Cr to set CESC 260.85 242.00 -7.23 up 50 standalone dialysis centres across the country GVK Power 11.54 10.71 -7.19 in the next two years for treatment of patients Manap Gen Fin 58.35 54.20 -7.11 suffering from kidney failure. US markets US stocks declined sharply overnight, as the investors worried that Germany opposed some measures in the draft proposals for Eurozone debt resolution. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 198.67 points, or 1.6%, to 11,997.70. The Standard & Poor’s 500 lost 26.66 points, or 2.1%, to 1,234.35. The Nasdaq Composite declined 52.83 points, or 2%, to 2,596.38. Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynoteindia.net) (+9122-30266000)
  • 3.                                   K E Y N O T E                                                                                                                                       INSTIT UT IONAL     R ES EAR C H  India and Global Economic Calendar Countries / Friday Monday Wednesday Thursday Regions Dec. 9 Dec. 12 Dec. 14 Dec. 15 India Forex Reserves Data IIP Data Monthly Inflation Weekly Inflation Data Weekly Supplement of RBI US International Trade Producer price index Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Current Account Index Net long term treasury International capital Industrial production Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey Germany Trade Japan Industrial Hungary- Industrial Global Balance & Consumer Production data and output Price Manufacturing Index UK Unemployment UK Producer Price Switzerland- Rate and Average Input and Output Industrial production Earning growth rate Germany- Purchasing UK Trade Balance & Managers Index Goods Trade Balance Manufacturing Canada International Merchandise Trade & Labour Productivity KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD. 4th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Building, 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Mumbai 400 001. INDIA Tel. : 9122-2269 4322 / 24 / 25 • www.keynoteindia.net Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day, unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.