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MARCELLUS SHALE
             and

    MARYLAND
        Drew P. Cobbs
  Maryland Petroleum Council


 Hagerstown-Washington County
     Chamber of Commerce
         July 11, 2012
State Distribution of the Marcellus Shale Play
                                                                               Marcellus Shale in Maryland
State                                   Areal % of Marcellus
Maryland                                                               1.09
New York                                                               20.06
Ohio                                                                   18.19
Pennsylvania                                                           35.35
Virginia                                                                3.85
West Virginia                                                          21.33
Sources: U.S. Energy Information Administration, “Review of Emerging
Resources: U.S. Shale Gas and Shale Oil Plays,” July 2011.


                Marcellus Shale Formation
Shale Gas Offsets Declines in Other U.S. Natural Gas
                Production Sources
Natural Gas Facts and Usage

• Cleanest-Burning Fossil Fuel
   – 30 percent less CO2 than oil
   – 45 percent less CO2 than coal
   – Virtually no SO2, Mercury or
     Particulates
   Residential Use: 22 percent
      Heat, hot water, ovens/stoves
   Industrial/Commercial Use:
     44 percent
   Electrical Generation Use:
      32 percent
   Transportation Use: 3 percent
Electricity generation capacity additions
          by fuel type, 2010-2035
Adequate natural gas supply at competitive prices
            helps grow the U.S. economy

                                            U.S. Industrial Demand for Natural Gas
 Lower gas prices have helped
  U.S. industry
                                           23

 Chemical and fertilizer                  22

  facilities are seeing increased          21

  utilization with lower gas               20




                                    bcfd
  prices                                   19

                                           18
 Energy-intensive industry can            17
  be more competitive in the               16
  global market                            15
                                            2000   2005   2010   2015   2020     2025      2030
 Additional potential demand
  from natural gas vehicles
                                                                           Source: Wood Mackenzie
Example of Shale Gas Benefits
Potential benefits of shale gas, according to a recent study of the American
Chemistry Council:

- 17,000 new high-paying jobs in the U.S. chemical industry

- 395,000 additional jobs outside the chemical industry

- $4.4 billion more in federal, state, and local tax revenue, annually

- A $32.8 billion increase in U.S. chemical production

- $16.2 billion in capital investment by the chemical industry to build new
  petrochemical and derivatives capacity

- $132.4 billion in U.S. economic output
“The Potential Economic & Fiscal Impacts of Natural Gas Production in Western Maryland,”
                study issued 3/1/12 for the Maryland Petroleum Council finds that:

•Approximately 365 wells would be operating over that period and, according to the Marcellus Shale
Education and Training Center, it requires approximately 420 individuals across 150 occupations to
bring a single Marcellus well online.


•In 2025 – the peak year of drilling activity – 1,814 Marylanders will enjoy employment opportunities
related to well drilling and maintenance, royalty payments and expanded state and local government
spending.


•Western Maryland could produce $300 million annually in natural gas output in constant $2011 by
the year 2025.


•The State of Maryland would collect $214 million in revenue over the course of developing the
Marcellus Shale play.


•Garrett County would collect approximately $162 million and Allegany County $65 million in revenue.


•Roughly $441 million in 2011 constant dollars of total positive fiscal impact would be experienced
over the course of the Western Maryland Marcellus Shale development.
Economic Impact of Marcellus Shale on Pennsylvania

                          2009               2010                2011         2012               2015              2020
 Employmen                 60,168            139,889             156,695      181,335           215,979            256,420
 t
 Value
 Added
 (millions $)                4,703             11,161             12,844        14,531            17,195                20,246
 State &
 Local Taxes
 (millions $)                   573              1,085             1,231          1,402             1,677                2,003
 Output
 Bcfe*/day                       0.3                1.3              3.5             6.7              12.0                17.5



*bcfe is billion cubic feet of natural gas equivalents per day

Source: Timothy J. Considine, Robert Watson, Seth Blumsack, “The Pennsylvania Marcellus Natural Gas Industry: Status,
Economic Impacts and Future Potential,” Penn State, July 20,2011
Potential Jobs Related to Natural Gas




Construction Industry    Drilling Industry     Chemical Industry




  Trucking Industry     Hospitality Industry     Steel Industry
Employment Opportunities


 Direct Employers            •
                                 Direct or Contracted Jobs
• Oil & Gas Operators             Laborers
                             •    Truck Drivers
• Oil & Gas Service          •    Equipment Operators
  Companies                  •    Welders
                             •    Surveyors
• Law Firms                  •    Lawyers
• Engineering Firms          •    Accountants
                             •    Engineers
• Construction Contractors   •    Environmental Scientists
• Electrical Contractors     •    Archeologists
                             •    Botanists
• Land Service Providers     •    Electricians
                             •    Mechanics
• Pipeline Contractors
Costs of Shale Gas Production


                                             Records of the Pennsylvania
                                             Department of Environmental
                                             Protection show that from
                                             2008 to 2010, the typical Marcellus
                                             shale gas well generates about:
                                             $14,000 in mainly reversible
                                             environmental impacts
                                              $4 million in economic benefits
                                             http://www.manhattan-
                                             institute.org/pdf/eper_09.pdf




1220 L Street, NW •
Washington, DC 20005-4070 •             15
www.api.org
Proper well construction provides groundwater protection
1220 L Street, NW •
Washington, DC 20005-4070 •   17
www.api.org
Water Usage By Industry

                                          5,930
                              6,000
Millions of Gallons per Day




                              5,000


                              4,000


                              3,000


                              2,000                    1,680
                                                                      1,550


                              1,000
                                                                                     268      182
                                                                                                         30
                                 0
                                          Power       Industrial       Public        Other   Mining   Marcellus
                                        generation                 water systems                        Shale
                                                                                                       Drilling

                                      Source: USGS, Pennsylvania Water Consumption
Industry Best Practices

 API HF1, Hydraulic Fracturing Operations—Well
  Construction and Integrity
 API HF2, Water Management Associated with Hydraulic
  Fracturing Guidance
 API HF3, Practices for Mitigating Surface Impacts
 RP51R, Environmental Protection for Onshore Oil and Gas
  Production Operations and Leases
 RP65-Part2, Isolating Potential Flow Zones During Well
  Construction
The Shale Gas End Game

               ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS         ECONOMY
               Smaller production            U.S. energy security.
               footprints.
                                             Domestic jobs.
               Lower lifecycle emissions     Revitalize chemical and
               for electricity generation    manufacturing sector
               Lower lifecycle water use     Cheaper natural gas for
               for electricity generation.   consumers.




1220 L Street, NW •
Washington, DC 20005-4070 •
www.api.org
THANK YOU


For more information visit
www.api.org
www.strongerinc.org
www.fracfocus.org
The growth of shale gas is leading to lower natural gas
   and electric power prices and increased productivity

  •    Without shale gas production, US natural gas prices would be at least 100%
       higher than they are
  •    Reduction of 10% in electricity costs nationwide over the forecast period
  •    By 2017, lower prices will result in an initial impact of 2.9% higher industrial
       production. By 2035, industrial production will be 4.7% higher.
  •    By 2025 inexpensive natural gas could save U.S. manufacturers $11.6 billion a
       year in costs and create more than 500,000 jobs. (PricewaterhouseCoopers)
  •    Chemicals production in particular stands to benefit from an extended period of
       low natural gas prices.
  •    Savings from lower gas prices will add an annual average of $926 per year in
       disposable household income between 2012 and 2015. In 2035, this would
       increase to just over $2,000 per household.




Source: IHS Global Insight
Growth in the shale gas industry contributes to the
               broader economy, tax revenues, and jobs

  • The shale gas contribution to GDP was more than $76 billion in 2010.
    This will increase to $118 billion by 2015 and will triple to $231 billion in
    2035.
  • In 2010 shale gas production contributed $18.6 billion in federal, state
    and local government tax and federal royalty revenues. By 2035, these
    receipts will more than triple to just over $57 billion. On a cumulative
    basis, the shale industry will generate more than $933 billion in federal,
    state, and local tax and royalty revenues over the next 25 years.
  • In 2010, the shale gas industry supported 600,000 jobs; this will grow to
    nearly 870,000 in 2015 and to over 1.6 million by 2035.




Source: IHS Global Insight

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July 11 hagerstown part 2

  • 1. MARCELLUS SHALE and MARYLAND Drew P. Cobbs Maryland Petroleum Council Hagerstown-Washington County Chamber of Commerce July 11, 2012
  • 2.
  • 3. State Distribution of the Marcellus Shale Play Marcellus Shale in Maryland State Areal % of Marcellus Maryland 1.09 New York 20.06 Ohio 18.19 Pennsylvania 35.35 Virginia 3.85 West Virginia 21.33 Sources: U.S. Energy Information Administration, “Review of Emerging Resources: U.S. Shale Gas and Shale Oil Plays,” July 2011. Marcellus Shale Formation
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6. Shale Gas Offsets Declines in Other U.S. Natural Gas Production Sources
  • 7. Natural Gas Facts and Usage • Cleanest-Burning Fossil Fuel – 30 percent less CO2 than oil – 45 percent less CO2 than coal – Virtually no SO2, Mercury or Particulates Residential Use: 22 percent Heat, hot water, ovens/stoves Industrial/Commercial Use: 44 percent Electrical Generation Use: 32 percent Transportation Use: 3 percent
  • 8. Electricity generation capacity additions by fuel type, 2010-2035
  • 9. Adequate natural gas supply at competitive prices helps grow the U.S. economy U.S. Industrial Demand for Natural Gas  Lower gas prices have helped U.S. industry 23  Chemical and fertilizer 22 facilities are seeing increased 21 utilization with lower gas 20 bcfd prices 19 18  Energy-intensive industry can 17 be more competitive in the 16 global market 15 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030  Additional potential demand from natural gas vehicles Source: Wood Mackenzie
  • 10. Example of Shale Gas Benefits Potential benefits of shale gas, according to a recent study of the American Chemistry Council: - 17,000 new high-paying jobs in the U.S. chemical industry - 395,000 additional jobs outside the chemical industry - $4.4 billion more in federal, state, and local tax revenue, annually - A $32.8 billion increase in U.S. chemical production - $16.2 billion in capital investment by the chemical industry to build new petrochemical and derivatives capacity - $132.4 billion in U.S. economic output
  • 11. “The Potential Economic & Fiscal Impacts of Natural Gas Production in Western Maryland,” study issued 3/1/12 for the Maryland Petroleum Council finds that: •Approximately 365 wells would be operating over that period and, according to the Marcellus Shale Education and Training Center, it requires approximately 420 individuals across 150 occupations to bring a single Marcellus well online. •In 2025 – the peak year of drilling activity – 1,814 Marylanders will enjoy employment opportunities related to well drilling and maintenance, royalty payments and expanded state and local government spending. •Western Maryland could produce $300 million annually in natural gas output in constant $2011 by the year 2025. •The State of Maryland would collect $214 million in revenue over the course of developing the Marcellus Shale play. •Garrett County would collect approximately $162 million and Allegany County $65 million in revenue. •Roughly $441 million in 2011 constant dollars of total positive fiscal impact would be experienced over the course of the Western Maryland Marcellus Shale development.
  • 12. Economic Impact of Marcellus Shale on Pennsylvania 2009 2010 2011 2012 2015 2020 Employmen 60,168 139,889 156,695 181,335 215,979 256,420 t Value Added (millions $) 4,703 11,161 12,844 14,531 17,195 20,246 State & Local Taxes (millions $) 573 1,085 1,231 1,402 1,677 2,003 Output Bcfe*/day 0.3 1.3 3.5 6.7 12.0 17.5 *bcfe is billion cubic feet of natural gas equivalents per day Source: Timothy J. Considine, Robert Watson, Seth Blumsack, “The Pennsylvania Marcellus Natural Gas Industry: Status, Economic Impacts and Future Potential,” Penn State, July 20,2011
  • 13. Potential Jobs Related to Natural Gas Construction Industry Drilling Industry Chemical Industry Trucking Industry Hospitality Industry Steel Industry
  • 14. Employment Opportunities Direct Employers • Direct or Contracted Jobs • Oil & Gas Operators Laborers • Truck Drivers • Oil & Gas Service • Equipment Operators Companies • Welders • Surveyors • Law Firms • Lawyers • Engineering Firms • Accountants • Engineers • Construction Contractors • Environmental Scientists • Electrical Contractors • Archeologists • Botanists • Land Service Providers • Electricians • Mechanics • Pipeline Contractors
  • 15. Costs of Shale Gas Production Records of the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection show that from 2008 to 2010, the typical Marcellus shale gas well generates about: $14,000 in mainly reversible environmental impacts $4 million in economic benefits http://www.manhattan- institute.org/pdf/eper_09.pdf 1220 L Street, NW • Washington, DC 20005-4070 • 15 www.api.org
  • 16. Proper well construction provides groundwater protection
  • 17. 1220 L Street, NW • Washington, DC 20005-4070 • 17 www.api.org
  • 18.
  • 19. Water Usage By Industry 5,930 6,000 Millions of Gallons per Day 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,680 1,550 1,000 268 182 30 0 Power Industrial Public Other Mining Marcellus generation water systems Shale Drilling Source: USGS, Pennsylvania Water Consumption
  • 20. Industry Best Practices  API HF1, Hydraulic Fracturing Operations—Well Construction and Integrity  API HF2, Water Management Associated with Hydraulic Fracturing Guidance  API HF3, Practices for Mitigating Surface Impacts  RP51R, Environmental Protection for Onshore Oil and Gas Production Operations and Leases  RP65-Part2, Isolating Potential Flow Zones During Well Construction
  • 21. The Shale Gas End Game ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS ECONOMY Smaller production U.S. energy security. footprints. Domestic jobs. Lower lifecycle emissions Revitalize chemical and for electricity generation manufacturing sector Lower lifecycle water use Cheaper natural gas for for electricity generation. consumers. 1220 L Street, NW • Washington, DC 20005-4070 • www.api.org
  • 22. THANK YOU For more information visit www.api.org www.strongerinc.org www.fracfocus.org
  • 23. The growth of shale gas is leading to lower natural gas and electric power prices and increased productivity • Without shale gas production, US natural gas prices would be at least 100% higher than they are • Reduction of 10% in electricity costs nationwide over the forecast period • By 2017, lower prices will result in an initial impact of 2.9% higher industrial production. By 2035, industrial production will be 4.7% higher. • By 2025 inexpensive natural gas could save U.S. manufacturers $11.6 billion a year in costs and create more than 500,000 jobs. (PricewaterhouseCoopers) • Chemicals production in particular stands to benefit from an extended period of low natural gas prices. • Savings from lower gas prices will add an annual average of $926 per year in disposable household income between 2012 and 2015. In 2035, this would increase to just over $2,000 per household. Source: IHS Global Insight
  • 24. Growth in the shale gas industry contributes to the broader economy, tax revenues, and jobs • The shale gas contribution to GDP was more than $76 billion in 2010. This will increase to $118 billion by 2015 and will triple to $231 billion in 2035. • In 2010 shale gas production contributed $18.6 billion in federal, state and local government tax and federal royalty revenues. By 2035, these receipts will more than triple to just over $57 billion. On a cumulative basis, the shale industry will generate more than $933 billion in federal, state, and local tax and royalty revenues over the next 25 years. • In 2010, the shale gas industry supported 600,000 jobs; this will grow to nearly 870,000 in 2015 and to over 1.6 million by 2035. Source: IHS Global Insight

Editor's Notes

  1. Manufacturers and chemical and fertilizer facilities that rely heavily on natural gas benefit from growth in supply.Lower natural gas prices help these industrial users of natural gas to compete in the global marketplace.A healthy industrial sector benefits the entire U.S. economy – it creates jobs and revenues.American Chemistry Council March 2011 report “Shale and New Petrochemicals Investment” hypothesizes that increased use of shale gas (by 25%) could generate:17,000 new high-skilled, high-educated jobs in chemical sector395,000 additional jobs outside chemical sector$4 billion more in fed, state & local tax revenues annually$16 billion in capital investment$132 billion in U.S. economic output