"Who is the best catering to hedge funds? To answer that question, Alpha turned to its sister publication, Institutional Investor, which for more than 34 years has surveyed money managers of all types...
This article summarizes an interview with Joe Walsh, president of Amherst Securities, about the firm's role in the securitization space and outlook. Key points:
- Amherst is a leading broker-dealer specializing in mortgage-backed securities, serving institutional investors in new issue and secondary markets.
- The firm has expanded into ABS and CMBS, seeing these as natural extensions of its RMBS expertise. It aims to provide better data, analysis and market understanding.
- Walsh sees opportunities in the second half of 2020 as market volatility has increased uncertainty over the economic recovery trajectory and asset performance.
- Fundamental performance may differ from expectations due to economic, political and regulatory factors, creating both
Attached for your reference are “Quick Tips” regarding methods one can use to minimize your becoming a victim of cyber crime while using social media.
You are encouraged to share these tips with your friends, family and co-workers.
Also included is this “smart card” for LinkedIn for increased security awareness.
UNCLASSIFIED - TLP: WHITE. TLP: WHITE information may be distributed without restriction, subject to copyright controls.
Source: FBI.
Corporate Earnings Watch - Expected Stock Price Movement on AnnouncementRYAN RENICKER
Actionable trade ideas for stock market investors and traders seeking alpha by overlaying their portfolios with options, other derivatives, ETFs, and disciplined and applied Game Theory for hedge fund managers and other active fund managers worldwide. Ryan Renicker, CFA
Attached for your reference are “Quick Tips” regarding methods one can use to minimize your becoming a victim of cyber crime while using social media.
You are encouraged to share these tips with your friends, family and co-workers.
UNCLASSIFIED - TLP: WHITE. TLP: WHITE information may be distributed without restriction, subject to copyright controls.
Source: FBI.
Attached for your reference are “Quick Tips” regarding methods one can use to minimize your becoming a victim of cyber crime while using social media.
You are encouraged to share these tips with your friends, family and co-workers.
Also included is this “smart card” for Facebook for increased security awareness.
UNCLASSIFIED - TLP: WHITE. TLP: WHITE information may be distributed without restriction, subject to copyright controls.
Source: FBI.
The document provides guidance on privacy settings and information sharing for Google+ profiles. It recommends only connecting with people you know, assuming anything shared can be seen publicly, and avoiding posting photos that clearly show your or your family's face. It also gives directions to adjust privacy settings to share only with circles selected, limit profile information to your circles, and adjust account settings to opt-out of sharing notifications, connections to other accounts and services. The document stresses limiting one's presence and digital footprint on Google+ for privacy.
This document provides guidelines for safely using Twitter. It recommends only connecting with people you know, assuming anything you post is public, and ensuring family also practices privacy. It advises avoiding posting photos that clearly show your face. The document also outlines how to configure privacy settings to limit visibility of tweets, followers, and profile information to approved accounts only. It provides tips like avoiding hashtags and location data, changing usernames periodically, and using nicknames instead of real names or photos.
Advisory to Financial Institutions on E-Mail Compromise Fraud SchemesRyan Renicker CFA
"The Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) is issuing this advisory to help financial institutions guard against a growing number of e-mail fraud schemes, in which criminals
misappropriate funds by deceiving financial institutions and their customers into conducting wire transfers.
This advisory also provides red flags—developed in consultation with the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) and the U.S. Secret Service (USSS)—that financial institutions may use to identify and prevent such e-mail fraud schemes."
Source: FinCEN Advisory FIN-2016-A003, September 6, 2016
This article summarizes an interview with Joe Walsh, president of Amherst Securities, about the firm's role in the securitization space and outlook. Key points:
- Amherst is a leading broker-dealer specializing in mortgage-backed securities, serving institutional investors in new issue and secondary markets.
- The firm has expanded into ABS and CMBS, seeing these as natural extensions of its RMBS expertise. It aims to provide better data, analysis and market understanding.
- Walsh sees opportunities in the second half of 2020 as market volatility has increased uncertainty over the economic recovery trajectory and asset performance.
- Fundamental performance may differ from expectations due to economic, political and regulatory factors, creating both
Attached for your reference are “Quick Tips” regarding methods one can use to minimize your becoming a victim of cyber crime while using social media.
You are encouraged to share these tips with your friends, family and co-workers.
Also included is this “smart card” for LinkedIn for increased security awareness.
UNCLASSIFIED - TLP: WHITE. TLP: WHITE information may be distributed without restriction, subject to copyright controls.
Source: FBI.
Corporate Earnings Watch - Expected Stock Price Movement on AnnouncementRYAN RENICKER
Actionable trade ideas for stock market investors and traders seeking alpha by overlaying their portfolios with options, other derivatives, ETFs, and disciplined and applied Game Theory for hedge fund managers and other active fund managers worldwide. Ryan Renicker, CFA
Attached for your reference are “Quick Tips” regarding methods one can use to minimize your becoming a victim of cyber crime while using social media.
You are encouraged to share these tips with your friends, family and co-workers.
UNCLASSIFIED - TLP: WHITE. TLP: WHITE information may be distributed without restriction, subject to copyright controls.
Source: FBI.
Attached for your reference are “Quick Tips” regarding methods one can use to minimize your becoming a victim of cyber crime while using social media.
You are encouraged to share these tips with your friends, family and co-workers.
Also included is this “smart card” for Facebook for increased security awareness.
UNCLASSIFIED - TLP: WHITE. TLP: WHITE information may be distributed without restriction, subject to copyright controls.
Source: FBI.
The document provides guidance on privacy settings and information sharing for Google+ profiles. It recommends only connecting with people you know, assuming anything shared can be seen publicly, and avoiding posting photos that clearly show your or your family's face. It also gives directions to adjust privacy settings to share only with circles selected, limit profile information to your circles, and adjust account settings to opt-out of sharing notifications, connections to other accounts and services. The document stresses limiting one's presence and digital footprint on Google+ for privacy.
This document provides guidelines for safely using Twitter. It recommends only connecting with people you know, assuming anything you post is public, and ensuring family also practices privacy. It advises avoiding posting photos that clearly show your face. The document also outlines how to configure privacy settings to limit visibility of tweets, followers, and profile information to approved accounts only. It provides tips like avoiding hashtags and location data, changing usernames periodically, and using nicknames instead of real names or photos.
Advisory to Financial Institutions on E-Mail Compromise Fraud SchemesRyan Renicker CFA
"The Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) is issuing this advisory to help financial institutions guard against a growing number of e-mail fraud schemes, in which criminals
misappropriate funds by deceiving financial institutions and their customers into conducting wire transfers.
This advisory also provides red flags—developed in consultation with the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) and the U.S. Secret Service (USSS)—that financial institutions may use to identify and prevent such e-mail fraud schemes."
Source: FinCEN Advisory FIN-2016-A003, September 6, 2016
The Waterside Convention 2011 - Kempen Capital Management - Nieuw leiderschap...Marnix van Eerde
The document discusses the shift in asset management from a profession to a marketing-driven industry, and argues that the ladder is leaning against the wrong wall. It suggests that the trend should move back towards privately-owned, entrepreneurial asset managers that specialize and focus on long-term client interests over short-term performance. Smaller asset managers with specialized strategies tend to outperform larger "supermarket" managers over time. New leadership is needed that prioritizes employee ownership, long-term clients, conservative innovation, and alignment with client interests through a commitment to stewardship over salesmanship.
The document is a presentation by Foord Asset Management discussing their investment philosophy, performance, and macroeconomic outlook. It provides an overview of their long-term value investing approach, top-performing unit trusts, and analysis of economic conditions in the US, Europe, China, and South Africa. They remain optimistic about global growth and see equities as the preferred asset class, though note some short-term risks.
This is a synopsis and first chapter of a book on how to raise money for any startup or small business. It completely outlines the 12-step process, describes possible sources of funding including VC and angels and provides a back door info on how Venture Capitalists (VC) work. A must read for any entrepreneur.
China has rapidly become the second largest economy in the world and is expected to contribute two-fifths of global growth in 2012, however it faces significant challenges including a potential real estate slump, a growing bad debt problem in its financial system, and difficulties transitioning to a more consumption-based economy. The upcoming leadership change also brings uncertainty as the new leaders will need to navigate domestic and global economic issues while addressing issues such as corruption, inequality, and environmental degradation.
This document discusses the growth of long-short Ucits funds in Europe and whether they should be considered hedge funds. It finds that only 40% of surveyed long-short funds describe themselves as hedge funds. The document analyzes the funds launched in the past nine months by asset size, fees, and performance. While the funds aim to generate positive returns in all markets, performance data is limited and average returns are below long-only equity funds. Overall the document examines the characteristics and popularity of these new long-short Ucits funds.
Netwealth portfolio construction series: Investment Moneyball - Taking advant...netwealthInvest
Discover how you can apply the Moneyball theory to potentially discover good investment opportunities at good prices by finding market anomalies to take advantage of. Paul Moore, founder and Chief Investment Officer of PM Capital, discusses.
Objective Capital Rare Earths, Speciality and Minor Metals Investment Summit
Investing in the Exotic and Speciality Metals Sector
18 March 2010
by Adam Darling, Barclays Capital
This article highlights 15 top-performing mutual funds over the past 5 years. It begins by discussing the difficult market environment for funds since 2005, with the average annual return just 2% compared to inflation. However, some funds delivered much better returns. The top-performing fund highlighted is the Yacktman fund, which returned 40% over 5 years compared to just 4,000% for a market index fund. The article then examines the BlackRock Global Allocation fund in more detail as the top global fund. It achieved an average annual return of 7.7% over 15 years by taking advantage of market downturns to buy stocks and bonds at lower prices. The fund aims to limit risk by diversifying across
Catalyst Market operates in Poland for 3 years. The main objective of the establishment of this market was to set up a trading platform for investors eager to invest on debt market and issuers looking for capital to boost their growth.
The Covered Bond Report, January-February 2012Neil Day
The article discusses potential changes to covered bond issuance in Canada as the country develops its first covered bond legislation. Specifically, it focuses on how ending the use of mortgages insured by the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) as collateral could impact future issuance. Key points:
- Six of the seven major Canadian bank issuers currently rely entirely on CMHC-insured mortgages for collateral. CMHC is nearing its C$600 billion cap on mortgage insurance.
- Without CMHC insurance, issuers may have to use uninsured mortgages, which would require higher overcollateralization due to greater credit risk. This raises questions if a proposed 10% cap would be sufficient.
This document provides an overview and analysis of private equity deals from 2001 to 2010 based on data from PitchBook. Some key findings include:
- There were 17,361 private equity deals totaling $1.73 trillion in invested capital over the decade.
- Lower middle-market companies accounted for 81% of deals.
- Private equity investment multiples peaked at 11.5x in 2008 before declining during the financial crisis.
- The average time between investments dropped from six months in 2002 to 2.5 months in 2007, indicating increased deal velocity.
- Add-on deals accounted for 46% of PE buyouts by the end of the decade.
- Texas saw more PE deals
The document discusses how companies that achieve the top position ("top dog") in their sector tend to underperform relative to other companies in that sector over time. It finds that on average, the top dog in each sector lags the sector average by 3.5% in the following year, 3.9% over 3 years, and 3.3% per year for the next decade. This "too big to succeed" phenomenon may be partly due to increased scrutiny from competitors, politicians, and the public when a company becomes the sector leader. The document also finds some evidence that top dog underperformance is worse during periods of larger government spending and regulation.
U.S. Election Cliffhangers - BlackRock Investment Institutedtresemer
Financial markets can only focus on one scary thing at a time. The European debt crisis has been the shark closest to the boat for years. Now the US fiscal cliff - a perfect storm of tax hikes and spending cuts that may go into effect Jan. 1 - is moveing to the fore.
This document discusses common investment challenges such as randomness of returns, picking winning stocks, timing the market, picking active managers, and the costs of indexing. It then outlines an investment approach focused on strategic partnerships with institutional managers, academically sound portfolio construction, keeping costs low, and HonorVise portfolios. Key points include reviewing evidence that stock returns are random, individual stock picking is difficult, market timing rarely works, and costs are lower with index funds. The approach focuses on dimensions of expected returns including size, value, and market factors.
Piper Jaffray is a leading middle market investment bank. It has over 100 years of experience guiding clients through mergers and acquisitions, equity and debt offerings, and restructurings. The document provides an overview of Piper Jaffray's services, industry expertise, and recent transactions in various sectors such as technology, healthcare, consumer products, and energy.
The vision of advertising driven by savvy “experts” and their big ideas appears as a romantic memory. Increased consumer expectations, forged in yesterday’s mass media world, eclipse the capacity to artfully deliver results. The digitally connected world we find ourselves in brings new media, communications channels, and technology . . . to embrace, not to fear.
Join this engaging conversation to examine how trends in consumer expectations are increasingly matched to trends in media and technology innovation. Culminating in a case study presented by Nick Primola, SVP Citizens Bank, we examine how mathematics and technology are leveraged to define situational success as customers experience the brand, rather than situation comedy.
FinCEN Statement on Providing Banking Services to Money Services BusinessesRyan Renicker CFA
"FinCEN Statement on Providing Banking Services to Money Services Businesses. The Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (“FinCEN”), as the agency primarily responsible for administering the Bank Secrecy Act, is issuing this Statement to
reiterate expectations regarding banking institutions’ obligations under the Bank Secrecy Act for money services businesses.
Money services businesses (“MSBs”), including money transmitters important to the global flow of remittances, are losing access to banking services, which may in part be a result
of concerns about regulatory scrutiny, the perceived risks presented by money services business accounts, and the costs and burdens associated with maintaining such accounts. "
National CFA Charterholder Compensation Survey 2015Ryan Renicker CFA
Some insights into the value of successfully completing (and retaining) the CFA Charter.
Source: CFA Societies Canada - 11 August 2015
https://www.cfasociety.org/saskatchewan/JobLine1/CFA%20Charterholder%20Compensation%20Survey%20-%20Summary%20-%20FINAL%20v2.pdf
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The Waterside Convention 2011 - Kempen Capital Management - Nieuw leiderschap...Marnix van Eerde
The document discusses the shift in asset management from a profession to a marketing-driven industry, and argues that the ladder is leaning against the wrong wall. It suggests that the trend should move back towards privately-owned, entrepreneurial asset managers that specialize and focus on long-term client interests over short-term performance. Smaller asset managers with specialized strategies tend to outperform larger "supermarket" managers over time. New leadership is needed that prioritizes employee ownership, long-term clients, conservative innovation, and alignment with client interests through a commitment to stewardship over salesmanship.
The document is a presentation by Foord Asset Management discussing their investment philosophy, performance, and macroeconomic outlook. It provides an overview of their long-term value investing approach, top-performing unit trusts, and analysis of economic conditions in the US, Europe, China, and South Africa. They remain optimistic about global growth and see equities as the preferred asset class, though note some short-term risks.
This is a synopsis and first chapter of a book on how to raise money for any startup or small business. It completely outlines the 12-step process, describes possible sources of funding including VC and angels and provides a back door info on how Venture Capitalists (VC) work. A must read for any entrepreneur.
China has rapidly become the second largest economy in the world and is expected to contribute two-fifths of global growth in 2012, however it faces significant challenges including a potential real estate slump, a growing bad debt problem in its financial system, and difficulties transitioning to a more consumption-based economy. The upcoming leadership change also brings uncertainty as the new leaders will need to navigate domestic and global economic issues while addressing issues such as corruption, inequality, and environmental degradation.
This document discusses the growth of long-short Ucits funds in Europe and whether they should be considered hedge funds. It finds that only 40% of surveyed long-short funds describe themselves as hedge funds. The document analyzes the funds launched in the past nine months by asset size, fees, and performance. While the funds aim to generate positive returns in all markets, performance data is limited and average returns are below long-only equity funds. Overall the document examines the characteristics and popularity of these new long-short Ucits funds.
Netwealth portfolio construction series: Investment Moneyball - Taking advant...netwealthInvest
Discover how you can apply the Moneyball theory to potentially discover good investment opportunities at good prices by finding market anomalies to take advantage of. Paul Moore, founder and Chief Investment Officer of PM Capital, discusses.
Objective Capital Rare Earths, Speciality and Minor Metals Investment Summit
Investing in the Exotic and Speciality Metals Sector
18 March 2010
by Adam Darling, Barclays Capital
This article highlights 15 top-performing mutual funds over the past 5 years. It begins by discussing the difficult market environment for funds since 2005, with the average annual return just 2% compared to inflation. However, some funds delivered much better returns. The top-performing fund highlighted is the Yacktman fund, which returned 40% over 5 years compared to just 4,000% for a market index fund. The article then examines the BlackRock Global Allocation fund in more detail as the top global fund. It achieved an average annual return of 7.7% over 15 years by taking advantage of market downturns to buy stocks and bonds at lower prices. The fund aims to limit risk by diversifying across
Catalyst Market operates in Poland for 3 years. The main objective of the establishment of this market was to set up a trading platform for investors eager to invest on debt market and issuers looking for capital to boost their growth.
The Covered Bond Report, January-February 2012Neil Day
The article discusses potential changes to covered bond issuance in Canada as the country develops its first covered bond legislation. Specifically, it focuses on how ending the use of mortgages insured by the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) as collateral could impact future issuance. Key points:
- Six of the seven major Canadian bank issuers currently rely entirely on CMHC-insured mortgages for collateral. CMHC is nearing its C$600 billion cap on mortgage insurance.
- Without CMHC insurance, issuers may have to use uninsured mortgages, which would require higher overcollateralization due to greater credit risk. This raises questions if a proposed 10% cap would be sufficient.
This document provides an overview and analysis of private equity deals from 2001 to 2010 based on data from PitchBook. Some key findings include:
- There were 17,361 private equity deals totaling $1.73 trillion in invested capital over the decade.
- Lower middle-market companies accounted for 81% of deals.
- Private equity investment multiples peaked at 11.5x in 2008 before declining during the financial crisis.
- The average time between investments dropped from six months in 2002 to 2.5 months in 2007, indicating increased deal velocity.
- Add-on deals accounted for 46% of PE buyouts by the end of the decade.
- Texas saw more PE deals
The document discusses how companies that achieve the top position ("top dog") in their sector tend to underperform relative to other companies in that sector over time. It finds that on average, the top dog in each sector lags the sector average by 3.5% in the following year, 3.9% over 3 years, and 3.3% per year for the next decade. This "too big to succeed" phenomenon may be partly due to increased scrutiny from competitors, politicians, and the public when a company becomes the sector leader. The document also finds some evidence that top dog underperformance is worse during periods of larger government spending and regulation.
U.S. Election Cliffhangers - BlackRock Investment Institutedtresemer
Financial markets can only focus on one scary thing at a time. The European debt crisis has been the shark closest to the boat for years. Now the US fiscal cliff - a perfect storm of tax hikes and spending cuts that may go into effect Jan. 1 - is moveing to the fore.
This document discusses common investment challenges such as randomness of returns, picking winning stocks, timing the market, picking active managers, and the costs of indexing. It then outlines an investment approach focused on strategic partnerships with institutional managers, academically sound portfolio construction, keeping costs low, and HonorVise portfolios. Key points include reviewing evidence that stock returns are random, individual stock picking is difficult, market timing rarely works, and costs are lower with index funds. The approach focuses on dimensions of expected returns including size, value, and market factors.
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The vision of advertising driven by savvy “experts” and their big ideas appears as a romantic memory. Increased consumer expectations, forged in yesterday’s mass media world, eclipse the capacity to artfully deliver results. The digitally connected world we find ourselves in brings new media, communications channels, and technology . . . to embrace, not to fear.
Join this engaging conversation to examine how trends in consumer expectations are increasingly matched to trends in media and technology innovation. Culminating in a case study presented by Nick Primola, SVP Citizens Bank, we examine how mathematics and technology are leveraged to define situational success as customers experience the brand, rather than situation comedy.
Similar to Institutional lnvestor Magazine’s Alpha Hedge Fund Rankings - Top Ranked Analysts - Published in 2005 (20)
FinCEN Statement on Providing Banking Services to Money Services BusinessesRyan Renicker CFA
"FinCEN Statement on Providing Banking Services to Money Services Businesses. The Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (“FinCEN”), as the agency primarily responsible for administering the Bank Secrecy Act, is issuing this Statement to
reiterate expectations regarding banking institutions’ obligations under the Bank Secrecy Act for money services businesses.
Money services businesses (“MSBs”), including money transmitters important to the global flow of remittances, are losing access to banking services, which may in part be a result
of concerns about regulatory scrutiny, the perceived risks presented by money services business accounts, and the costs and burdens associated with maintaining such accounts. "
National CFA Charterholder Compensation Survey 2015Ryan Renicker CFA
Some insights into the value of successfully completing (and retaining) the CFA Charter.
Source: CFA Societies Canada - 11 August 2015
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Enhanced Call Overwriting - Groundbreaking Study Published in 2005Ryan Renicker CFA
- Lehman Brothers provides research on companies it also does business with, so its research may not be entirely objective. Investors should consider this and other factors when making investment decisions.
- The document discusses strategies for overwriting index call options, such as the S&P 500, to potentially enhance returns. It finds that enhanced strategies that adjust the level of overwriting based on implied volatility can further improve risk-adjusted returns compared to static overwriting strategies.
- Specifically, an enhanced strategy that overwrites with fewer calls when implied volatility is high, and more calls when implied volatility is low, performed best in backtests, outperforming simple overwriting strategies and the underlying indices on an absolute and risk-adjusted basis.
Ryan Renicker argues that the S&P 500 reached its low point for 2009 on March 2nd based on 3 factors: 1) money market funds holdings are at extraordinary high levels compared to equity holdings, 2) there is extreme pessimism in the markets which will likely lead to upside surprises, and 3) economic indicators are beginning to stabilize or rise slightly while markets discount the future. Renicker predicts the financial sector will lead the rally in US equities and recommends being bullish on US stocks, but bearish on Russia, Argentina, Mexico, and gold.
Credit Market Imperfection and Sectoral Asymmetry of Chinese Business CycleRyan Renicker CFA
This paper analyzes the role of credit market imperfection and sectoral asymmetry as a
means through which shocks to the real economy are propagated and amplified. Drawing
on firm-level data to calibrate the model, our simulations capture two key stylized facts of
the Chinese economy: that credit constraints are more binding in nontradable sectors than
in tradable industries and that output volatility is much greater in China than in industrial
economies. We find that the driving force behind our simulation results is strongly related
to the on-uniform nature of credit market imperfections in China and their implications
for resource allocation and the way in which the economy reacts to shocks. Correctly
capturing these macro-financial interactions are essential to understand the dynamic behavior of the Chinese economy.
Prepared by Yuanyan Sophia Zhang (IMF)
Stock Pickers Guide, May 2002, CSFB Quantitative & Equity Derivatives Str...Ryan Renicker CFA
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The document discusses the benefits of meditation for reducing stress and anxiety. It notes that meditation can help calm the mind and body by lowering heart rate and easing muscle tension. Regular meditation practice of 10-20 minutes per day is recommended to experience stress-reducing benefits.
Using Volatility Instruments As Extreme Downside Hedges-August 23, 2010Ryan Renicker CFA
“Long volatility” is thought to be an effective hedge against a long equity portfolio, especially during periods of extreme market volatility. This study examines using volatility futures and variance futures as extreme downside hedges, and compares their effectiveness against traditional “long volatility” hedging instruments such as out-of-the-money put options. Our results show that CBOE VIX and variance futures are more effective extreme downside hedges than out-of-the-money put options on the S&P 500 index, especially when reasonable actual and/or estimated costs of rolling contracts have taken into account. In particular, using 1-month rolling as well as 3-month rolling VIX futures presents a cost-effective choice as hedging instruments for extreme downside risk protection as well as for upside preservation.
Enhanced Call Overwriting*
Systematically overwriting the S&P 500 with 1-month at-the-money calls, rebalanced on a monthly basis at expiration, outperformed the S&P 500 Index during our sample period (1996 – 2005). This “base case” overwriting strategy also generated superior risk-adjusted returns versus the index.
Overwriting portfolios with out-of-the-money calls tends to outperform at-the-money overwriting during market rallies, but provides less protection during market downturns. However, out-of-the money overwriting also results in relatively higher return variability and inferior risk-adjusted performance.
During the sample period, overwriting the S&P 500 with short-dated options, rebalanced more frequently, outperformed overwriting with longer-dated options, rebalanced less frequently. We discuss possible explanations for these performance differences.
We find that going long the market during periods of heightened short-term anxiety, inferred from the presence of relatively high S&P 500 1-month at-the-money implied volatility, has, on average, been a winning strategy. To a slightly lesser extent, having relatively less exposure to the market during periods of complacency – or relatively low implied market implied volatility – was also beneficial.
We create an “enhanced” overwriting strategy – whereby investors systematically overwrite the S&P 500 or Nasdaq 100 with disproportionately fewer (more) calls against the indices when risk expectations are relatively high (low).
Our enhanced overwriting portfolios handily outperformed the base case overwrite portfolios and the respective underlying indices, on an absolute and risk-adjusted basis. For example, the average annual return for the S&P 500 enhanced overwriting portfolio from 1997 – 2005 was 7.9%, versus 6.6% for the base case overwrite portfolio and 5.5% for the S&P 500 Index.
Overwriting with fewer calls when implied volatility is rich, and more calls when implied volatility is cheap, could improve the absolute and risk-adjusted performance of index-oriented overwriting portfolios.
This goes against the conventional tendency for investors to sell calls against their positions when implied volatility is high.
*Renicker, Ryan and Devapriya Mallick., “Enhanced Call Overwriting.”, Lehman,Brothers Global Equity Research Nov 17, 2005.
Hedge Fund Predictability Under the Magnifying Glass:The Economic Value of Fo...Ryan Renicker CFA
This document summarizes a study that examines the predictability of individual hedge fund returns based on macroeconomic variables. The study finds that a large proportion (over 60%) of hedge fund returns can be predicted using factors like default spreads, dividend yields, and market volatility. However, exploiting this predictability out-of-sample is challenging due to estimation risk and model uncertainty. The study finds that a combination strategy that averages predictive signals from multiple factors delivers superior risk-adjusted performance compared to strategies relying on single factors alone. This strategy is also more robust, especially during periods of financial crisis when predictor values deviate significantly from historical averages.
Hedge Fund Predictability Under the Magnifying Glass:The Economic Value of Fo...
Institutional lnvestor Magazine’s Alpha Hedge Fund Rankings - Top Ranked Analysts - Published in 2005
1. ing priorities between hedge funds
and traditional money managers.
Many analysts who were runners-
up or unranked in //s All-America
poll rise to the top when only the
ballots cast by hedge funds are
counted. More than 230 hedge
fund firms, running assets of more
than $545 billion, voted in the
All-America team. Nearly one
third of the first teams in the
hedge fund voting, 22 out of 71,
differ from the overall 2005 All-
America team. Of the 312 posi-
tions in 69 categories where there
was sufficient hedge fund voting
to declare winners, 169, or 54 per-
cent, are occupied by analysts
other than those who won them
in the full All-America survey.
What do hedge funds want
from analysts? They're looking
for access to management, quick
responses to their questions and, More of hedge funds' No. 1 picks (left to right): Nikos Theodosopoulos, Mark Connelly,
increasingly, unique sources of Amanda Tepper, Robert Willens, Robert Ohmes, Ryan Renicker, Mark Edelstone, Matthew Fassler.
information such as surveys and
proprietary analysis of industry trends and company valua-
tions. "I'm not looking for stock picks," says Brayden The Leaders
Mathews, an analyst at Agnos Group, a technology-only
hedge fund based in Harrison, New York, with $400 million RANK TOTAL TEAM POSITIONS
Hedge fund Hedge fund
to $500 million in assets. "That's my job." 2005 2004 Firm 2005 ' 2004
Hedge funds value conferences, investor trips and man- 1 1 Lehman Brothers 46 40
agement meetings where company executives are willing 2 2 Morgan Stanley 30 32
to engage in open discussions. "What's not useful is a 30- 3 8 Bear, Stearns & Co. 28 25
minute presentation, of which 25 minutes is the manage- 4 4 Merrill Lynch 27 30
ment talking and only five minutes is open for questions," 5 6 Citigroup 22 28
says Mathews. "I can listen to those on my own." 5 7 Credit Suisse First Boston 22 26
Smaller hedge funds find Wall Street's help in meeting 5 4 UBS 22 30
company executives invaluable. "If you're not a very large 8 9 Bane of America Securities 21 20
8 3 Goldman, Sachs & Co. 21 31
institution, it's tough to get one-on-ones with manage-
10 10 J.P. Morgan Securities 20 19
ments," says Ron Miterko, head of U.S. equities at New
11 11 Deutsche Bank Securities 13 14
York-based hedge fund Craig Drill Capital, which has
11 12 Prudential Equity Group 13 11
less than $200 million in assets. 13 13 Sanford C. Bernstein & Co. 11 8
Hedge fund managers, with their relatively short-term 14 14 International Strategy & Investment Group 4 3
investment horizons, also value the sell side's take on mar- 15 15 Buckingham Research Group 2 2
ket sentiment. With a consensus of sell-side opinions and 15 — Wachovia Securities 2 0
a thoughtful Wall Street analyst's view of his clients' over- 17 19 CIBC World Markets 1
all opinion on a stock, a hedge fund manager can better 17 — Cross Research/Sole!! Securities 0
gauge a stock's direction over the near term. 17 19 Fulcrum Global Partners 1
The absolute-return crowd appreciates original research. 17 19 Raymond James & Associates 1
17 19 Legg Mason 1
Mathews praises Heather Bellini of UBS for being "calculat-
17 15 Piper Jaffray 2
ing" and "detailed," especially with regard to survey work.
17 — RBC Capital Markets 0
Bellini ranks first among hedge fund respondents in the
17 15" Stanford Washington Research Group 0
Software category, up from the second team in the All-
America survey and third in last year's hedge fund voting. * Ranking is for Schwab SoundView Capital Markets. Stanford Washington Research Group is the product of the
November 2004 acquisition of the Washington Research Group unit of Schwab SoundView Capital Markets by the
Although other software analysts publish surveys, Mathews Stanford Group.
says Bellini's chief information and chief financial officer
NOVEMBER/DECEMBER 2005 • INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR'S ALPHA • 57