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Gaelectric Trading and Market Services
Implementing I-SEM -
The Regulatory Drivers
presentation to
IWEA Spring Conference
29th March 2017
GTAMS Key Information
GTAMS Market Offering
Advisory Asset
Optimisation
Corporate
Greening
Electricity
Trading
New Entrant
Services
Power Purchase
Agreements
Supplier Lite
Services
Agreements
Market
Forecasting
GTAMS – Your Energy Partner
▪ We do not focus simply on “the transaction”; a single point in
time.
▪ Our success is possible given our focus is to support the life
cycle, from business planning & development to operations
and importantly beyond that, the ongoing drive to create
value in partnership with our clients.
▪ We are relationship focused; ensuring future opportunities
translate to value for our partners is an integral part of our
DNA.
▪ Our solutions are client focused, meaning you receive a
named contract manager, and have regular access to our
trading team for the purpose of executing trades and
developing strategy.
GTAMS Approach
• Initially – a well
understood
concept by most
• Now – A myriad of
decisions, policies
and registration
procedures
I-SEM High
Level
Design
Dec 2014
I-SEM Energy
Trading
Arrangements
2015
I-SEM Market
Rules Working
Groups
2015/2016
I-SEM
Trading and
Settlement
Code
2017
RO
Detailed
Design
2016
SEMOpx
Detailed
Rules
2017
Capacity
Market
Code
2017
I-SEM
Forward
Market
2017
I-SEM
BLG/TLG
/PMG
2016/2017
I-SEM - The Key Regulatory Driver
FTR’s
2017
I-SEM - The Key Regulatory Driver
• Breaking it down to the core principles which drive
business strategy;
Energy
Was: A single day-ahead
Market
Now: Three markets – Day-
Ahead, Intraday and
Balancing Market
Subsidy
Was: Explicit payment based on availability
Now: Auction clearing price with penalties for non-
delivery
Capacity
Was: Payment to top up generators to price floor
Now: Awaiting a review of existing REFIT interaction with
the I-SEM. A revised support scheme will also be
designed to interact with the I-SEM
How have we got to this point?
2
1
3
4
2011/2012 – Evolution v Revolution
1. A False Start
18/24 month process where high-level
design was translated to detailed rules
through working groups
3. The Detailed Design
Key market readiness processes
• IT Upgrades
• Market Onboarding
• Market Modelling
• Contract Pricing and Negotiation
4. Implementation
Series of decision documents setting out
high-level principles market structures
2. The High Level Design
Go Live – 23rd May
2018
Where to Next?
7642
April2017
July2017
December2017
December2017
23rdMay2018
August2017
December2017
Market Trial
Registration
Deadline
I-SEM Go-Live2018 RO
Auction
Go Live
Registration
Deadline
325 BDs
to Go….
April2018
End of Market
Trial
Start of Market
Trial
Capacity
Market
Registration
Deadline
Begin Market
Trial
Registrations!
Have I got Options? How do I prepare?
• There is no single strategy for all
– speak to your counterparty /
potential counterparty about
potential plans for your asset.
• Alternatives exist!
• For each option, projects must
consider;
– Costs & Risks
– Security & Benefits
– Bankability
– Implementation Risk & Timelines
Option 3
Option 4
Option 1
Option 2
AoLR
Direct Sales
Third Party PPA
Supplier Lite
Enter into PPA with 3rd party
intermediary
Map existing Supplier Lite
structure to new markets
- Manage yourself
- 3rd Party Trading House
Market Operator offering
standardised trading
service through AOLR
Sell directly to market
without PPA
• Awaiting an announcement on REFIT, existing projects must consider;
– Reference Market / Guaranteed Floor / Other?
• Current: REFIT calculated against System Marginal Price
• Will I-SEM create a reference market? Day Ahead? Or
• Is REFIT a guaranteed floor irrespective of markets traded in? Or
• A combination? Commercial incentives for ex-ante trades??
• New Projects must consider;
– Post REFIT??
• What will subsidy for new projects look like? CfD? Market Premium?
• How will contract be awarded? Auction? Annually?
The above interacts strongly with registration/trading strategy and overall market
efficiency!!!
How does REFIT Interact?
A Little More Detail – I-SEM Entity Models
• Participation in the Balancing Market is mandatory
• Transferring existing Day-Ahead registration to BM
quite straightforward
• Projects face a number of options when deciding how to
register/on-board with DA/ID exchanges
• Participants have choice between on-boarding with
Nordpool or SEMOpx/ECC for Day-Ahead/Intraday
• Clients preparations will depend on project
I. Scale of activity
II. Project Sponsor Preferences
III. Sponsor/Lender comfort re; structure
• Preparations can be complex & time consuming
GTAMS advice: Start registration activity now
Will I-SEM improve Market Dynamics?
• I-SEM presents clear challenges and the design is incomplete,
however the market is scoped in theory to provide more
opportunity.
• Potential includes:
– A functioning Forward Market
– An IDM with scope for batteries and assetless units to support liquidity
• DS3 needs to be a driver for entry
– Flexibility in trading strategies; more power to the generator to
determine an appropriate solution
– Reduced curtailment via efficient interconnection
– Capacity Contracts?
Opportunities for Liquidity
• Forecast updates and transparency on system conditions will
drive willingness to trade intraday
– System/Market Operators must ensure quick publication of data
– Currently 20-30 minute publication timelines in GB
• The following Liquidity sources should be encouraged
through market design
– Shared intraday order book across EPEX & Nordpool
– Coupling of Intraday Auctions with GB – clarity?
– Assetless units trading across markets
– Incentivising flexible generation/demand
• Should consider DS3
Concerns for Market Participants
REFIT Liquidity Registration Balancing
1 3 42
Conclusion
Opportunities Exist
Accepting the new market
dynamics- there are numerous
routes to market opening up to
cater for all participants
Engage Engage Engage
Speak to the existing counterparty-
open dialogue with others where
strategy is inflexible to your needs.
Engage with lenders - Project
finance is key!!
Project Finance –
Understand lender risk
Maintaining security of the
structure #1 priority, trading
strategy must be robust – no room
for “over-promise-under-deliver”.
Registration is
(nearly) Open
Ex-Ante registration is open in
April- start early or engage
market support to assist re; most
suitable solution.
Liquidity is a Challenge
– Innovation Required
Intraday liquidity is a concern;
assetless trading increases the
churn, however DS3 needs to
deliver market entry for flexibility
Subsidy Design
Participants need clarity to
progress their revised trading
strategy; timing??
For further information our solutions, contact the GTAMS Power Marketing Division;
GTAMS “In-Focus” Blog:
http://www.gaelectric.ie/gtams/in-focus/
Follow us on our GTAMS LinkedIn
Call us on: +353 (0)1 643 0800
Thank You

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Implementing I-SEM - The Regulatory Drivers, by Brian Kennedy

  • 1. Gaelectric Trading and Market Services Implementing I-SEM - The Regulatory Drivers presentation to IWEA Spring Conference 29th March 2017
  • 3. GTAMS Market Offering Advisory Asset Optimisation Corporate Greening Electricity Trading New Entrant Services Power Purchase Agreements Supplier Lite Services Agreements Market Forecasting
  • 4. GTAMS – Your Energy Partner ▪ We do not focus simply on “the transaction”; a single point in time. ▪ Our success is possible given our focus is to support the life cycle, from business planning & development to operations and importantly beyond that, the ongoing drive to create value in partnership with our clients. ▪ We are relationship focused; ensuring future opportunities translate to value for our partners is an integral part of our DNA. ▪ Our solutions are client focused, meaning you receive a named contract manager, and have regular access to our trading team for the purpose of executing trades and developing strategy. GTAMS Approach
  • 5. • Initially – a well understood concept by most • Now – A myriad of decisions, policies and registration procedures I-SEM High Level Design Dec 2014 I-SEM Energy Trading Arrangements 2015 I-SEM Market Rules Working Groups 2015/2016 I-SEM Trading and Settlement Code 2017 RO Detailed Design 2016 SEMOpx Detailed Rules 2017 Capacity Market Code 2017 I-SEM Forward Market 2017 I-SEM BLG/TLG /PMG 2016/2017 I-SEM - The Key Regulatory Driver FTR’s 2017
  • 6. I-SEM - The Key Regulatory Driver • Breaking it down to the core principles which drive business strategy; Energy Was: A single day-ahead Market Now: Three markets – Day- Ahead, Intraday and Balancing Market Subsidy Was: Explicit payment based on availability Now: Auction clearing price with penalties for non- delivery Capacity Was: Payment to top up generators to price floor Now: Awaiting a review of existing REFIT interaction with the I-SEM. A revised support scheme will also be designed to interact with the I-SEM
  • 7. How have we got to this point? 2 1 3 4 2011/2012 – Evolution v Revolution 1. A False Start 18/24 month process where high-level design was translated to detailed rules through working groups 3. The Detailed Design Key market readiness processes • IT Upgrades • Market Onboarding • Market Modelling • Contract Pricing and Negotiation 4. Implementation Series of decision documents setting out high-level principles market structures 2. The High Level Design Go Live – 23rd May 2018
  • 8. Where to Next? 7642 April2017 July2017 December2017 December2017 23rdMay2018 August2017 December2017 Market Trial Registration Deadline I-SEM Go-Live2018 RO Auction Go Live Registration Deadline 325 BDs to Go…. April2018 End of Market Trial Start of Market Trial Capacity Market Registration Deadline Begin Market Trial Registrations!
  • 9. Have I got Options? How do I prepare? • There is no single strategy for all – speak to your counterparty / potential counterparty about potential plans for your asset. • Alternatives exist! • For each option, projects must consider; – Costs & Risks – Security & Benefits – Bankability – Implementation Risk & Timelines Option 3 Option 4 Option 1 Option 2 AoLR Direct Sales Third Party PPA Supplier Lite Enter into PPA with 3rd party intermediary Map existing Supplier Lite structure to new markets - Manage yourself - 3rd Party Trading House Market Operator offering standardised trading service through AOLR Sell directly to market without PPA
  • 10. • Awaiting an announcement on REFIT, existing projects must consider; – Reference Market / Guaranteed Floor / Other? • Current: REFIT calculated against System Marginal Price • Will I-SEM create a reference market? Day Ahead? Or • Is REFIT a guaranteed floor irrespective of markets traded in? Or • A combination? Commercial incentives for ex-ante trades?? • New Projects must consider; – Post REFIT?? • What will subsidy for new projects look like? CfD? Market Premium? • How will contract be awarded? Auction? Annually? The above interacts strongly with registration/trading strategy and overall market efficiency!!! How does REFIT Interact?
  • 11. A Little More Detail – I-SEM Entity Models • Participation in the Balancing Market is mandatory • Transferring existing Day-Ahead registration to BM quite straightforward • Projects face a number of options when deciding how to register/on-board with DA/ID exchanges • Participants have choice between on-boarding with Nordpool or SEMOpx/ECC for Day-Ahead/Intraday • Clients preparations will depend on project I. Scale of activity II. Project Sponsor Preferences III. Sponsor/Lender comfort re; structure • Preparations can be complex & time consuming GTAMS advice: Start registration activity now
  • 12. Will I-SEM improve Market Dynamics? • I-SEM presents clear challenges and the design is incomplete, however the market is scoped in theory to provide more opportunity. • Potential includes: – A functioning Forward Market – An IDM with scope for batteries and assetless units to support liquidity • DS3 needs to be a driver for entry – Flexibility in trading strategies; more power to the generator to determine an appropriate solution – Reduced curtailment via efficient interconnection – Capacity Contracts?
  • 13. Opportunities for Liquidity • Forecast updates and transparency on system conditions will drive willingness to trade intraday – System/Market Operators must ensure quick publication of data – Currently 20-30 minute publication timelines in GB • The following Liquidity sources should be encouraged through market design – Shared intraday order book across EPEX & Nordpool – Coupling of Intraday Auctions with GB – clarity? – Assetless units trading across markets – Incentivising flexible generation/demand • Should consider DS3
  • 14. Concerns for Market Participants REFIT Liquidity Registration Balancing 1 3 42
  • 15. Conclusion Opportunities Exist Accepting the new market dynamics- there are numerous routes to market opening up to cater for all participants Engage Engage Engage Speak to the existing counterparty- open dialogue with others where strategy is inflexible to your needs. Engage with lenders - Project finance is key!! Project Finance – Understand lender risk Maintaining security of the structure #1 priority, trading strategy must be robust – no room for “over-promise-under-deliver”. Registration is (nearly) Open Ex-Ante registration is open in April- start early or engage market support to assist re; most suitable solution. Liquidity is a Challenge – Innovation Required Intraday liquidity is a concern; assetless trading increases the churn, however DS3 needs to deliver market entry for flexibility Subsidy Design Participants need clarity to progress their revised trading strategy; timing??
  • 16. For further information our solutions, contact the GTAMS Power Marketing Division; GTAMS “In-Focus” Blog: http://www.gaelectric.ie/gtams/in-focus/ Follow us on our GTAMS LinkedIn Call us on: +353 (0)1 643 0800 Thank You