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Andreas	
  Dengel	
  

© German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence   -   andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012   -   Page 1
Agenda	
  


                                       Some	
  words	
  about	
  the	
  world‘s	
  food	
  situations	
  	
  

                                       The	
  iGreen	
  project	
  

                                       Agricultural	
  knowledge	
  management	
  –	
  two	
  
                                       perspectives	
  

                                       Consolidating	
  knowledge	
  and	
  decision	
  support	
  
                                       services	
  
                                               Crop	
  forecasting	
  
                                               Logistic	
  planning	
  
                                               Soil	
  quality	
  map	
  adjustment	
  
                                       Summary	
  and	
  conclusions	
  

             © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence   -   andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012   -   Page 2
Agriculture	
  must	
  provide	
  food	
  for	
  an	
  extra	
  2	
  billion	
  people	
  but	
  80%	
  of	
  	
  
  extra	
  agricultural	
  food	
  can	
  be	
  provided	
  only	
  through	
  yield	
  increase!	
  	
  


                                               9	
  billion	
  people 	
                                                                                     Extra	
  agricultural
                                                                                                                                                             food	
  production  	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                      	
  

                                                      by	
  2050!	
                                                                                                     100%	
  


                                                                                                                                               ≤20%	
                                               ≥80%	
  
                                                                                                                                By	
  increasing	
  arable	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                      By	
  increasing	
  yield	
  
                                                                                                                                           land	
  

                                                                                                                               Amount	
  of	
  arable	
  land	
                      Too	
  many	
  factors	
  
                                                                                                                               in	
  developed	
  countries	
                        High	
  complexity!  	
  
             World	
  demand	
  for	
  cereal	
  (bn	
  tonnes2	
                                                                       (mn	
  hectares)
                                                                                                                                                       	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                      ?	
  
                                                                )

                                            +43%	
                                                                                             -­‐0.2%	
  
                                                                                                                                     625	
  
                                                                      3,0	
                                                                                   575	
  

                        2,1	
  




                       2010	
                                        2050	
                                                         2010	
                   2050	
  

Source: 	
  (1) 	
  UN,	
  World	
  population	
  to	
  exceed	
  9	
  billion	
  by	
  2050.	
  http://www.un.org/esa/population/publications/wpp2008/pressrelease.pdf,	
  2008	
  
        	
  (2) 	
  N.	
  Alexandratos,	
  J.	
  Bruinsma,	
  G.	
  Boedeker,	
  J.	
  Schmidhuber,	
  S.	
  Broca,	
  P.	
  Shettym,	
  and	
  MG	
  Ottaviani.	
  World	
  agriculture:	
  towards	
  2030/2050.   	
  
        	
      	
  Interim	
  Report.	
  Prospects	
  For	
  Food,	
  Nutrition,	
  Agriculture	
  and	
  Major	
  Commodity	
  Groups,	
  2006.	
  

                                                 © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence                      -      andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012                 -     Page 3
IT	
  can	
  help	
  to	
  improve	
  and	
  economize	
  methods,	
  procedures	
  and	
  agricultural	
  
technologies	
  to	
  produce	
  more	
  efficiently	
  and	
  save	
  resources	
  


            ¨  Precision	
  farming:	
  
               	
  Linked	
  and	
  controlled	
  by	
  GPS,	
  seed,	
  fertilizer	
  and	
  
               	
  pesticides	
  are	
  yielded	
  exactly	
  where	
  they	
  are	
  needed	
  


            ¨  Digital	
  soil	
  quality	
  maps:	
  
                Continuous	
  measure	
  lead	
  to	
  updated	
  guidelines	
  helping	
  
                to	
  plan	
  the	
  supply	
  of	
  nutrients	
  or	
  predict	
  harvest	
  


            ¨  Analysis	
  of	
  high-­‐resolution	
  images	
  from	
  space:	
  
                Controlled	
  specialized	
  satellites	
  take	
  pictures	
  of	
  
                agricultural	
  region	
  all	
  over	
  the	
  world	
  


            ¨  Field	
  robots	
  will	
  take	
  over	
  some	
  agricultural	
  tasks:	
  
                Equipped	
  vehicles	
  (not	
  only	
  for	
  harvesting)	
  are	
  staffed	
  
                with	
  sensors	
  to	
  measure	
  the	
  state	
  of	
  crop	
  and	
  soil	
  



                           © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence   -   andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012   -   Page 4
 
                        What	
  are	
  the	
  
ideas	
  of	
  the	
  iGreen	
  project?	
  
                                          	
  
   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence   -   andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012   -   Page 5
iGreen	
  builds	
  on	
  an	
  alliance	
  of	
  23	
  partners	
  from	
  science,	
  business	
  and	
  public	
  
institutions	
  




                                                                                   Connec4vity	
  

                                                                       private	
                         public
                                                                                                              	
                             (interna'onal)	
  
                                                                                                                                             	
  
                                                                                                                                             (na'onal)	
  
                                       iis                                                                                                   	
  
                                                                                                                                             (regional)	
  


                                                                                                                     EPP                     (na4onwide)	
  
                                                                                                                                             e.v.




                         Interests	
  of	
  the	
  agricultural	
  sector	
                 Interests	
  of	
  the	
  social	
  community	
  
                                                                                     Applica4on	
   Consul'ng	
  services	
  
                                          Das Bildelement mit der
                                          Beziehungs-ID rId7
                                                                                  Management
                                                                                           	
  
                                          wurde in der Datei nicht


                                                                     Farmers	
  /	
  agricultural	
  service	
  	
  
                                          gefunden.




                                                                           supply	
  agency	
  	
  

                           © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence                      -     andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012   -    Page 6
iGreen	
  strikes	
  a	
  new	
  path	
  in	
  public-­‐private	
  knowledge	
  management	
  having	
  a	
  
focus	
  in	
  agriculture	
  

        ¨  The	
  goal	
  of	
  iGreen	
  is	
  to	
  develop	
  location-­‐bases	
  services	
  and	
  knowledge	
  sharing	
  
            networks	
  for	
  combining	
  distributed,	
  heterogeneous	
  public	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  private	
  
            information	
  sources	
  

        ¨  Built	
  on	
  that,	
  we	
  aim	
  at	
  the	
  development	
  of	
  mobile	
  decision	
  assistants	
  using	
  Web	
  
            services	
  for	
  a	
  decentralized	
  support	
  of	
  
                                      energy-­‐efficient,	
  economic,     	
  
                           environmental-­‐adapted	
  and	
  collaboratively-­‐organized	
  
           	
  production	
  and	
  planning	
  processes	
  

        ¨  There	
  are	
  many	
  high-­‐potential	
  application	
  fields	
  for	
  the	
  iGreen	
  
            platform,	
  such	
  as	
  agriculture,	
  forestry,	
  water	
  supply	
  and	
  
            distribution,	
  urban	
  development	
  and	
  landscaping,	
  or	
  nature	
  
            conservation	
  


        ¨  in	
  iGreen	
  we	
  exemplary	
  focus	
  on	
  crop	
  production	
  


                             © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence   -   andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012   -   Page 7
In	
  crop	
  production	
  there	
  is	
  whole	
  bunch	
  of	
  relevant	
  questions	
  having	
  a	
  space-­‐
time	
  relationship	
  that	
  have	
  to	
  be	
  answered	
  for	
  making	
  decisions	
  

	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Which	
  kind	
  of	
  plant	
  species	
  	
                                                	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  When	
  should	
  we	
  apply	
  what	
  
                                    	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  should	
  we	
  cultivate	
  	
                                      kind	
  of	
  fertilizer	
  	
  and	
  to	
  which	
  dose?	
  
                                             	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  at	
  what	
  location?	
  	
  
                                                                                          How	
  much	
  pesticides	
                                                                         When	
  is	
  the	
  best	
  
                                                                                       	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  should	
  we	
  apply	
  at	
                                            time	
  for	
  the	
  harvest?	
  
                                                                                                                     what	
  time?	
  
                                                                                                                                                      	
  	
  	
  	
  What	
  market	
  prices	
  
                                                                                                                                                                    	
  	
  	
  	
  may	
  we	
  expect?	
  




                                                                         © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence                                                                 -        andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012   -   Page 8
Public	
  country-­‐wide	
  institutions	
  in	
  Germany	
  act	
  as	
  competence	
  centers	
  and	
  
provide	
  best-­‐practice	
  advice	
  about	
  crop	
  production	
  for	
  farmers	
  


                                                             Competence	
  
                                                               Center	
  



                                 Support	
  for	
  Data	
  Management	
                                              Compendium	
  about        	
  
                                    and	
  Model	
  Generation	
  	
                                            Best-­‐Practice	
  Crop	
  Protection	
  


                          Advise	
  in	
  Grade	
  and	
  Seed	
                                                                  Regional	
  Data       	
  
                                     Selection      	
                                                                         About	
  Fields	
  and	
  Lots 	
  


               Consulting	
  about	
  Fertilizer	
                                                                               Data	
  Base	
  about	
  Crop	
  Experiment
                                                                                                                                                                           	
  
                 Combination	
  and	
  Use   	
                                                                                                    Results   	
  


       Tools	
  for	
  Prognoses	
  and	
                                                                                                   News	
  about	
  Market	
  Development
                                                                                                                                                                                 	
  
       Statistical	
  Data	
  Analysis 	
                            Information	
  about	
  how	
  to	
  combat	
  
                                                                          pest	
  and	
  plant	
  diseases	
  
                                                                                                            	
  
                                                                       (best	
  time,	
  conditions	
  and	
  strategies)
                                                                                                                        	
  




                                   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence                    -     andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012            -     Page 9
Some	
  examples	
  about	
  the	
  services	
  from	
  the	
  competence	
  centers	
  



                                                   Competence	
  
                                                     Center	
  



        Pest Immigration
                                                                                  Data Interpolation Methods (MR, Kriging, spline, ....)




                                2009                             2011



    Exposition       Gradient          Regional          Risc Map
                                        Factor                                          Weather Station Information (Point⇒Zone)

                 +                 +                =
                                                                                                     ⇒                     ⇒



                           © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence   -   andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012   -   Page 10
Yield	
  depends	
  on	
  many	
  factors	
  –	
  Experts	
  and	
  Decision	
  Support	
  Systems	
  
help	
  farmers	
  to	
  optimize	
  yields	
  

       Ecological	
  
                                                      Social	
  factors	
  
         factors	
  
                                                                                                                                                 Yield	
  
  •  Soil	
  quality	
                               •  Transfer	
  of	
  skills	
  
                                                       and	
  roles	
  
  •  Weather	
  
    condition	
                                      •  Security	
  of	
  land	
  
    (rainfall)	
                                       tenure	
  
  •  Sun	
  exposition	
                             •  Access	
  to	
  land	
  

                                    ?	
  
     Economical	
                                          Political	
  
       factors	
                                            factors	
                                                         +	
  Ecological	
  factors	
  
  •  Fuel,	
  fertilizers,	
                         •  Agricultural	
                                                        +	
  Economical	
  factors	
  
    pesticides	
  prices	
                             subventions	
                                                          +	
  Political	
  factors	
  
  •  Product	
  selling	
                            •  Quotas	
                                                              +	
  Social	
  factors	
  
    prices	
  (Market)	
                                                                                                      +	
  Model(s)	
  
                                                     •  Other	
                                                               ________________	
  
  •  …	
                                               restrictions	
  
                                                                                                                              	
  	
  	
  Optimized	
  Yield	
  




   So	
  how	
  to	
  get	
  all	
  of	
  these	
  factors	
  combined?	
  

                                 © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence   -   andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012   -      Page 11
iGreen	
  profits	
  from	
  recent	
  technological	
  advances	
  that,	
  in	
  the	
  intended	
  
combination,	
  will	
  strongly	
  influence	
  agricultural	
  progresses	
  

                                                                                                                            Soil	
  Quality	
  Estimation	
  
    ¨  Public	
  information	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  product	
  and	
  expert	
  knowledge	
  
        are	
  increasingly	
  digitized	
  and	
  available	
  via	
  the	
  internet,	
  such	
  
        as	
  different	
  kinds	
  of	
  maps	
  or	
  weather	
  data	
  
                                                                                                                                                        Methods	
  
                                                                                                                     Thematical	
  Maps	
  


                               ¨  Accessing	
  the	
  internet	
  is	
  possible	
  from	
  
                                   almost	
  all	
  locations	
  via	
  mobile	
  devices	
  

                               ¨  GPS	
  devices	
  for	
  positioning	
  are	
  easy	
  to	
  
                                   buy	
  or	
  are	
  even	
  part	
  of	
  a	
  mobile	
  phone	
  


    ¨  Agricultural	
  engineering	
  provides	
  more	
  and	
  more	
  software	
  
        interfaces	
  for	
  the	
  automatic	
  situation-­‐adaptive	
  control	
  (on-­‐board	
  
        terminals,	
  sensor	
  technology,	
  …	
  


   So	
  we	
  are	
  going	
  to	
  establish	
  a	
  Service	
  and	
  Knowledge	
  Network	
  

                            © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence   -   andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012      -       Page 12
The	
  iGreen	
  Planning	
  System	
  combines	
  knowledge	
  subjects	
  and	
  information	
  
objects	
  for	
  a	
  participative	
  public-­‐private	
  knowledge	
  management	
  



    Agro	
  Databases	
  
    Geo	
  Catalogue	
  
                                                                Data	
  Provision	
  
                                                                                                                          Competence	
  
                                                                                                                            Center	
  
                                                                        Planning	
  
                                                                        System	
  
   Global	
  Optimization	
                                                                                                         Public	
  
   Local	
  Optimization	
                                                                                                         Private	
  
                                                                                                         Free	
  Service	
  
                                            	
  



                                                                                                         for	
  Farmers	
  
                                              Feedback




                                                         Feedback	
                     Prognoses	
  

                     Farmers	
                                  Location-­‐based	
  
                                                              Decision	
  Assistance	
  

                        © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence     -     andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012   -   Page 13
Flexible	
  Data	
  Management	
  is	
  a	
  challenge	
  




        “	

           Before you start talking about sensor data,
        please provide me first an option to file, manage
                    and employ the data
                                                                                “
                                                                            Farmer	
  and	
  Contractor	
  Marx	
  



       ¨  The	
  only	
  condition	
  is	
  individual	
  data	
  ownership	
  	
  
           	
  -­‐   	
  local	
  filing	
  combined	
  with	
  controlled	
  interchange	
  within	
  the	
  iGreen	
  network	
  




                               © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence   -   andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012   -   Page 14
 
          Public-­‐private	
  
 knowledge	
  management	
  
                          	
  
© German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence   -   andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012   -   Page 15
Knowledge	
  Management	
  is	
  a	
  process	
  for	
  improving	
  organizational	
  capabilities	
  by	
  
    better	
  use	
  of	
  individual	
  and	
  collective	
  knowledge	
  resources	
  

   1.  	
  Knowledge	
  Goals:	
  Define	
  all	
  capabilities	
  an	
                                                                                                                               Definition	
  

           organization	
  should	
  build	
  on	
  
   2.  	
  Knowledge	
  Identification:	
  Identify	
  internal	
  and	
                                                                           Identify	
                                 Acquire	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                            knowledge    	
  
           external	
  knowledge	
  of	
  the	
  organization	
                                                                                  knowledge     	
  
   3.  	
  Knowledge	
  Acquisition:	
  Critical	
  capabilities	
  must	
  be	
                                                  Define
                                                                                                                                knowledge
                                                                                                                                           	
  
                                                                                                                                                	
  
                                                                                                                                                                      2	
           3	
  
           bought	
  or	
  otherwise	
  obtained	
  
   4. 	
  Knowledge	
  Development:	
  Produce	
  new	
  internal	
  	
                                                           Goals	
   1	
  

                                                                                                                                                            wledge!
           and	
  external	
  knowledge	
  (individual	
  &	
  collective	
  level)	
                                                                                                                      Develop	
  
   5.  	
  Knowledge	
  Dissemination:	
  Define	
  who	
  should	
  	
                                                                                  Kno
                                                                                                                                 Feedback	
                                                               knowledge    	
  
             know	
  what	
  and	
  at	
  what	
  level	
  of	
  detail,	
  and	
  how	
  the	
  
             organization	
  can	
  support	
  this	
  distribution	
  process	
   knowledge
                                                                                                  Control 8	
  
                                                                                                        	
  
                                                                                                             	
                                        Mana gement!                                     4	
  

   6. 	
  Knowledge	
  Utilization:	
  Productive	
  deployment	
  of	
  
             organizational	
  knowledge	
  in	
  the	
  business/production	
   Preserve	
  
                                                                                                                                                          Cycle!
                                                                                                                                                    7	
  
             process	
  of	
  the	
  organization	
                              knowledge    	
  
   7.  	
  Knowledge	
  Preservation:	
  Identify	
  valuable	
                                                                                                                     5	
  
             knowledge,	
  store	
  it,	
  and	
  regularly	
  integrate	
  it	
  into	
                                                            Use 6	
  
                                                                                                                                                       	
                                   Distribute	
  
             the	
  organizational	
  knowledge	
  base	
  	
                                                                                    knowledge  	
                              knowledge      	
  
   8. Knowledge	
  Controlling:	
  Compare	
  initial	
  knowledge	
  
             goals	
  with	
  results	
  of	
  organizational	
  knowledge	
  magt.	
  


                                                    © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence                         -     andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012            -   Page 16

Source:	
  G.J.B.	
  Probst,	
  S.	
  Raub,	
  and	
  K.	
  Romhardt.	
  Wissen	
  managen.	
  Gabler,	
  1997.	
  ISBN	
  3409193170.	
  	
  
In	
  terms	
  of	
  knowledge	
  management,	
  both	
  experts	
  and	
  farmers	
  have	
  their	
  own	
  
   knowledge	
  management	
  cycle	
  


                                                                        Decision	
  Support	
  System	
  (DSS)	
  


         Disseminate	
  	
                                                                                                        Identify	
                                   Acquire	
  
                                                               Use	
                                                             knowledge     	
                             knowledge    	
  
          knowledge	
  
                                  5	
               6	
     knowledge  	
                                                                             2	
             3	
  
                                                                                                       Define      	
  
                                                                            Preserve	
               knowledge              	
  
                                                               7	
         knowledge     	
             Goals	
                  1	
  
                                                                                                Increase	
  Yields     	
                                                                    Develop	
  
                                                                                                              Feedback	
                                                                    knowledge    	
  
                                                                                  Control
                                                                                        	
  
                                                                         8	
   knowledge	
   Control	
   8	
                                                                              4	
  
             4	
                                                                             knowledge  	
  
                                                                            Feedback	
  
 Develop	
                                                                     Define     	
  
knowledge    	
  
                                                                       1	
   knowledge	
                 Preserve	
               7	
  
                                                                               Goals	
                  knowledge     	
  
                                                                       Develop	
  DSS	
  
                                  3	
                                                                                                                                 5	
  
              Acquire 	
                        2	
                                                                                Use 6	
  
                                                                                                                                      	
                                      Distribute	
  
             knowledge     	
                        Identify	
                                                                 knowledge  	
                                 knowledge      	
  
                 	
                                 knowledge     	
  



                                          © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence            -     andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012                   -   Page 17
In	
  terms	
  of	
  knowledge	
  management,	
  both	
  experts	
  and	
  farmers	
  have	
  their	
  own	
  
   knowledge	
  management	
  cycle	
  


                                                                        Decision	
  Support	
  System	
  (DSS)	
  


         Disseminate	
  	
                                                                                                        Identify	
                                   Acquire	
  
                                                               Use	
                                                             knowledge     	
                             knowledge    	
  
          knowledge	
  
                                  5	
               6	
     knowledge  	
                                                                             2	
             3	
  
                                                                                                       Define      	
  
                                                                                                     knowledge              	
  
                                                               7	
        Preserve	
                    Goals	
                  1	
  
                                                                         knowledge     	
  
                                                                                                Increase	
  Yields     	
                                                                    Develop	
  
                                                                                                              Feedback	
                                                                    knowledge    	
  
                                                                                  Control
                                                                                        	
  
                                                                         8	
   knowledge	
    Control 8	
  
                                                                                                    	
                                                                                    4	
  
             4	
                                                                             knowledge   	
  
                                                                            Feedback	
  
 Develop	
                                                                     Define     	
  
knowledge    	
  
                                                                       1	
   knowledge	
                 Preserve	
               7	
  
                                                                               Goals	
                  knowledge     	
  
                                                                       Develop	
  DSS	
  
                                  3	
                                                                                                                                 5	
  
              Acquire 	
                        2	
                                                                                Use 6	
  
                                                                                                                                      	
                                      Distribute	
  
             knowledge     	
                        Identify	
                                                                 knowledge  	
                                 knowledge      	
  
                 	
                                 knowledge     	
  



                                          © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence            -     andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012                   -   Page 18
In	
  terms	
  of	
  knowledge	
  management,	
  both	
  experts	
  and	
  farmers	
  have	
  their	
  own	
  
   knowledge	
  management	
  cycle	
  


                                                                  Decision	
  Support	
  System	
  (DSS)	
  


         Disseminate	
  	
                                                                                                                                  Acquire	
  
          knowledge	
                                                                                                                                      knowledge    	
  
                                  5	
                                                                                                              3	
  
                                                                                                Define      	
  
                                                                                              knowledge              	
  
                                                                                                 Goals	
                  1	
  
                                                                                         Increase	
  Yields     	
                                                      Develop	
  
                                                                                                                                                                       knowledge    	
  
                                                                                                                                                                     4	
  
             4	
  
 Develop	
                                                              Define     	
  
knowledge    	
  
                                                                1	
   knowledge	
  
                                                                        Goals	
  
                                                                Develop	
  DSS	
  
                                  3	
  
              Acquire 	
                                                                                                    Use 6	
  
                                                                                                                               	
  
             knowledge     	
                                                                                            knowledge  	
  
                 	
  


                                          © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence     -     andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012       -   Page 19
In	
  terms	
  of	
  knowledge	
  management,	
  both	
  experts	
  and	
  farmers	
  have	
  their	
  own	
  
    knowledge	
  management	
  cycle	
  


                                                                  Decision	
  Support	
  System	
  (DSS)	
                                   No	
  better	
  
                                                                                                                                         decision	
  support	
  !	
  

           Disseminate	
  	
                                                                                                                                          Acquire	
  
            knowledge	
                                                                                                                                              knowledge    	
  
                                  5	
                                                                                                                        3	
  
                                                                                                       Define     	
  
                                                                                                     knowledge             	
  
                                                                                                       Goals	
                  1	
  
                                                                                             Increase	
  Yields       	
                                                          Develop	
  
                                                                                              Not	
  Possible!	
                                                                 knowledge    	
  
                                                                                                                                                                               4	
  
                 4	
  
 Develop    	
                                                           Define     	
  
knowledge        	
  
                                                                 1	
   knowledge	
  
No	
  better	
                                                           Goals	
  
 advice	
  
                                                     Soil Type   Develop	
  DSS	
  
                                3	
                      S


                    Acquire	
                                                                                                    Use 6	
  
                                                         SI
                                                         IS
                                                         SL
                                                         sL                                                                         	
  
              knowledge    	
  
                                                         L
                                                         LT
                                                         T
                                                         Mo
                                                                                                                              knowledge  	
  
               No	
  better	
  
                      	
  
             map	
  material!	
                                      Soil	
  quality	
  map	
  from	
  	
  the	
  1950’s   	
  
                                                                      	
  (Low	
  definition	
  and	
  outdated)       	
  
                                          © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence          -     andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012         -    Page 20
Available	
  agricultural	
  technology	
  allows	
  farmers	
  to	
  derive	
  accurate	
  and	
  up	
  to	
  
  date	
  soil	
  quality	
  maps	
  
  GPS	
  Technology	
  combined	
  with	
  agricultural	
  sensors	
  to	
  measure	
  the	
  yield	
  


                                                  Moisture	
  Sensor	
  
       Mass	
  Flow	
  Sensor	
  
                                                                            GPS	
  Receiver	
  




                                                                               Task	
  Computer	
  
                                                                                User	
  Interface	
  




                                                                                                            Soil	
  quality	
  map	
  from	
  the	
      Soil	
  quality	
  map	
  from	
  
                                                                                                            1950’s	
  :	
                                precision	
  ag.:	
  
                                                                                                            •  Outdated	
                                •  Up	
  to	
  date	
  
Source: 	
  R.	
  Grisso,	
  M.	
  Alley,	
  and	
  P.	
  McCellan.	
  Precision	
  farming	
  tools:	
  
           yield	
  monitor.	
  Precision	
  Farming,	
  pages	
  442–502,	
  2003.	
  	
                   •  Low	
  resolution	
                       •  High	
  resolution	
  

                                                    © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence              -    andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012      -   Page 21
A	
  collaborative	
  knowledge	
  management	
  approach	
  can	
  lead	
  to	
  better	
  agricultural	
  
     decision	
  support	
  


                                                                                                                                             Better	
  Decision	
  
                                                                                                                                                Support    	
  
                                                                                            Win-­‐Win	
                                                                        Acquire	
  
            Disseminate	
  	
  
             knowledge	
  
                                   5	
  
                                                                                            Situation  	
                                                                     knowledge    	
  
                                                                                                               Define      	
                                          3	
  
                                                                                                             knowledge              	
  
                                                                                                               Goals	
                   1	
  
                                                                                                       Increase	
  Yields      	
                                                          Develop	
  
                                                                                                           Possible  	
                                                                   knowledge    	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                        4	
  
                  4	
  
 Develop   	
                                                                         Define     	
  
knowledge       	
  
                                                                              1	
   knowledge	
  
Better	
  DSS       	
                                                                Goals	
  
                                                       Yield in	
  t/ha
                                                                              Develop	
  DSS	
  
                                 3	
  
                                                            0	
  -­‐2
                                                            2,01	
  – 4



                                                                                                                                          Use 6	
  
                                                            4.01	
  – 6


                     Acquire	
                              6.01	
  – 8
                                                            >8
                                                                                                                                             	
  
               knowledge    	
                                                                                                         knowledge  	
  
                                                                          Yield	
  maps	
  
                      	
  
                 Better	
  
                                                                          (High	
  definition	
  &	
  up-­‐to-­‐date)	
  
              map	
  material!	
  

                                           © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence                   -     andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012          -   Page 22
Farmers	
  can	
  collaboratively	
  contribute	
  to	
  the	
  acquisition	
  of	
  better	
  geo-­‐data	
  and	
  
 get	
  in	
  return	
  better	
  decision	
  support	
  

Partial	
  collaboration:	
                                                           Full	
  collaboration:	
  
Data	
  is	
  only	
  shared	
  with	
  the	
  experts	
                              Data	
  is	
  shared	
  within	
  the	
  community	
  
                                                                         Geo-­‐Data	
  
                                                                         Information	
  Supply	
  




                               © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence   -   andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012   -   Page 23
 
  Scenario	
  planning	
  allows	
  
                 crop	
  forecast	
  
                                 	
  
© German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence   -   andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012   -   Page 24
Examples	
  of	
  Applications	
  and	
  Evaluations	
  
The	
  collaborative	
  contribution	
  was	
  implemented	
  in	
  applications	
  for	
  biomass	
  and	
  
logistics	
  planning	
  

                  Biomass	
  Planning	
  	
  
     Goal	
       • Computing	
  the	
  optimal	
  biomass	
  yield	
  
                    based	
  on:	
  
                    –  list	
  of	
  fields	
  
                    –  production	
  plan	
  
                    –  soil	
  quality	
  
                    –  weather	
  conditions	
  
  Resources	
     • Experts	
  provide	
  models	
  and	
  weather	
  data	
  
                  • Farmers	
  provide	
  accurate	
  soil	
  quality	
  
                    maps	
  using	
  precision	
  agriculture	
  and	
  a	
  
                    production	
  plan	
  


  Approach	
      • Soils	
  quality	
  maps	
  provided	
  by	
  a	
  farmer	
  
                    are	
  used	
  to	
  improve	
  results	
  but	
  remain	
  
                    confidential	
  
                  • Models	
  are	
  improved	
  and	
  benefit	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
                    the	
  whole	
  community	
  


                     Partial	
  collaboration!	


                             © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence                                        -   andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012    -    Page 25
Tasks	
  and	
  their	
  dependencies	
  of	
  Biomass-­‐Yield-­‐Models	
  (BYM)	
  are	
  transformed	
  
  into	
  a	
  scientific	
  workflow	
  
    Computational	
  steps	
  for	
  scientific	
  simulations	
  or	
  data-­‐analysis	
  steps	
  

                                                                                                                                                            n  Advantages	
  of	
  scientific	
  workflows:	
  
                                                                                                                                                                •  Data	
  flow	
  approach	
  based	
  on	
  visual	
  programming	
  
                                                                                                                                                                •  Modularity	
  and	
  reusability	
  
                                                                                                                                                                •  Provenance	
  information	
  to	
  better	
  interpret	
  results	
  and	
  
                                                                                                                                                                   debug	
  errors	
  




                                                                                        © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence                                                                                    -          andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012          -   Page 26
Source:	
  B.	
  Ludäscher,	
  I.	
  Altintas,	
  C.	
  Berkley,	
  D.	
  Higgins,	
  E.	
  Jaeger,	
  M.	
  Jones,	
  E.A.	
  Lee,	
  J.	
  Tao,	
  and	
  Y.	
  Zhao.	
  Scientific	
  workflow	
  management	
  and	
  the	
  Kepler	
  system:	
  Research	
  articles.	
  
Concurr.	
  Comput.	
  :	
  Pract.	
  Exper.,	
  18:1039-­‐1065,	
  August	
  2006.	
  ISSN	
  1532-­‐0626.	
  doi:	
  10.1002/cpe.v18:10.	
  
Based	
  on	
  various	
  public	
  sources	
  we	
  have	
  developed	
  a	
  Crop	
  Forecast	
  System	
  
   aiming	
  at	
  supporting	
  the	
  farmer	
  in	
  making	
  decisions	
  

                                                                                                                                                      Pre-­‐given	
  Goal	
  



                                                                             Rain	
                                                                          Result	
  Map	
       Crop	
  Forecast	
  

                               Region	
                                                     Intermediate	
  
                                                                                               Result	
                              BYM	
  
                                                                                                                                                             Result	
  Table	
  
                                                                                                                        Filter	
  
                                                                  Soil	
  Quality	
  

                                                                                                                                                             Result	
  Chart	
  




                    Agricltural	
  Crop	
  Land	
  Online	
  
                    Rheinland-­‐Pfalz	
  (FLOrlp)                     	
  
                                                                                                                                                            Biomass	
  
                                                                                                                                                            Yield	
  
                                                                                                                                                            Models	
  
                                                                                                                 	
  
                                                                                           Soil	
  Quality	
  Data
                                                                                                                                                            (BYM)	
  

*	
  Zentralstelle	
  der	
  Länder	
  für	
  EDV-­‐gestützte	
  Entscheidungshilfen	
  
	
  	
  und	
  Programme	
  im	
  Pflanzenschutz	
  	
  



                                                                              © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence             -   andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012      -   Page 27
A	
  Mashup	
  of	
  maps	
  and	
  tabular	
  information	
  provides	
  a	
  intuitive	
  platform	
  for	
  
biomass	
  planning	
  



                                      Excel	
  and	
  Google	
  Earth	
  export	
  
                                                                                                    Ecological	
  or	
  conventional	
  yield	
  




                                                                                                                3	
  rainfall	
  scenarios	
  (dry,	
  normal,	
  wet)
                                                                                                                                                                     	
  




                         Results	
  for	
  fields	
  

                  Results	
  for	
  subfields	
  




                             © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence     -   andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012        -     Page 28
In	
  Google	
  Earth	
  subfield-­‐related	
  information	
  may	
  be	
  accessed	
  via	
  any	
  mobile	
  
device	
  




                        © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence   -   andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012   -   Page 29
Exporting	
  the	
  information	
  to	
  an	
  Excel	
  spreadsheet	
  (with	
  Macros)	
  supports	
  
realizing	
  a	
  production	
  plan	
  




                       © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence   -   andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012   -   Page 30




                                 © andreas.dengel@dfki.de -
We	
  have	
  tested	
  the	
  forecast	
  on	
  a	
  farm	
  by	
  evaluating	
  four	
  tours*	
  


                               Biomass	
  (t)
                                            	
  

                                -­‐15%	
                     One	
  field	
  not	
  be	
  
                                                               harvested       	
  

                                      1.215                 Weed	
  infestations	
  


                                                                                    -­‐2%	
  

      -­‐10%	
                                           -­‐19%	
  
                                                                                667       651
    512                                                550
             459                                                443




     Tour	
  1	
              Tour	
  2	
               Tour	
  3	
              Tour	
  4	
  
     Forecast	
            Real	
  


 *	
  16	
  fields	
  to	
  be	
  harvested;	
  avg.	
  dist.	
  betw.	
  field	
  and	
  silo:	
  9.5	
  km;	
  average	
  exploitable	
  acreage:	
  2.44	
  ha	
  	


                                              © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence                   -     andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012                   -   Page 31
 
      Logistic	
  planning	
  allows	
  
      to	
  remarkably	
  save	
  fuel	
  
                                      	
  
© German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence   -   andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012   -   Page 32
Examples	
  of	
  Applications	
  and	
  Evaluations	
  
The	
  collaborative	
  contribution	
  was	
  implemented	
  in	
  applications	
  for	
  biomass	
  and	
  
logistics	
  planning	
  

                  Biomass	
  Planning	
  	
                                                                                  Logistics	
  Planning	
  
     Goal	
       • Computing	
  the	
  optimal	
  biomass	
  yield	
                                                        • Computing	
  	
  the	
  optimal	
  logistics	
  plan,	
  
                    based	
  on:	
                                                                                             i.e.,	
  route	
  and	
  costs	
  	
  for:	
  
                    –  list	
  of	
  fields	
                                                                                   –  harvester(s)	
  	
  
                    –  production	
  plan	
                                                                                    –  tractor(s)	
  with	
  trailers	
  
                    –  soil	
  quality	
  
                    –  weather	
  conditions	
  
  Resources	
     • Experts	
  provide	
  models	
  and	
  weather	
  data	
                                                 • Experts	
  provide	
  models	
  
                  • Farmers	
  provide	
  accurate	
  soil	
  quality	
                                                      • Farmers	
  provide	
  accurate	
  GPS-­‐Tracks	
  and	
  
                    maps	
  using	
  precision	
  agriculture	
  and	
  a	
                                                    meta-­‐information	
  about	
  their	
  routes	
  using	
  
                    production	
  plan	
                                                                                       precision	
  agriculture	
  and	
  number	
  of	
  
                                                                                                                               harvesters	
  and	
  tractors	
  available	
  

  Approach	
      • Soils	
  quality	
  maps	
  provided	
  by	
  a	
  farmer	
                                              • GPS-­‐Tracks	
  and	
  meta-­‐information	
  
                    are	
  used	
  to	
  improve	
  results	
  but	
  remain	
                                                 provided	
  by	
  a	
  farmer	
  are	
  sanitized	
  and	
  
                    confidential	
                                                                                              shared	
  with	
  the	
  whole	
  community	
  
                  • Models	
  are	
  improved	
  and	
  benefit	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
         • Models	
  are	
  improved	
  and	
  benefit	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
                    the	
  whole	
  community	
                                                                                the	
  whole	
  community	
  


                                                                                                                                           Full	
  collaboration!	


                             © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence                                        -   andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012                         -      Page 33
Current	
  available	
  route	
  guidance	
  systems	
  do	
  not	
  provide	
  information	
  about	
  
road	
  narrowing	
  nor	
  bridge	
  weights	
  limits	
  




                       © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence   -   andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012   -   Page 34
This	
  way,	
  we	
  also	
  developed	
  a	
  first	
  collaborative	
  open-­‐source	
  routing	
  system	
  
for	
  utilities	
  vehicles	
  (CRUV)	
  




                                                               Vehicle	
  type	
  (car,	
  lorry,	
  tractor)
                                                                                                            	
  

                                      -­‐ Road	
  types:	
  Motorway,	
  highway,	
  	
  	
  
                                      	
  country	
  road,	
  field	
  path	
  with	
  priorities	
  
                                      	
  (preferred,	
  normal,	
  avoid,	
  forbidden)	
  
                                      -­‐ Tunnels	
  and	
  bridges	
  with	
  priorities	
  




                                            Vehicle	
  length,	
  weight,	
  height,	
  width	
  




                                                  Rules	
  based	
  on	
  user	
  meta-­‐information	
  	
  stored	
  in	
  Open	
  Street	
  Maps	
  




                        © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence               -     andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012           -    Page 35
Compared	
  to	
  Map24,	
  there	
  is	
  no	
  difference	
  in	
  quality	
  in	
  traditional	
  route	
  
planning	
  




                 CRUV:	
  186	
  km	
                                                      Map24:	
  186	
  km	
  

                         © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence   -   andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012   -   Page 36
However,	
  CRUV	
  reveals	
  its	
  advantages	
  when	
  including	
  the	
  additional	
  
information,	
  e.g.	
  with	
  bridges	
  and	
  maximal	
  weight	
  allowed	
  




                  Google	
  Maps	
  does	
  not	
  
                 support	
  the	
  kind	
  of	
  query!	
  




             GoogleMaps:	
  1,5	
  km	
                                                         CRUV:	
  2,8	
  km	
  	
  



                           © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence   -   andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012   -   Page 37
A	
  logistic	
  planer	
  	
  computes	
  transportation	
  costs	
  based	
  on	
  the	
  results	
  from	
  the	
  
CRUV	
  and	
  biomass	
  planner	
  

                                                                                                               Overview	
  with	
  Biomass	
  and	
  costs	
  




                                                                                                         Field	
  repartition	
  with	
  respect	
  to	
  the	
  driving	
  distance	
  


                                                                                                   Max.	
  driving	
  distance	
  d	
  
                                                                                                   between	
  field	
  and	
  POI	
  




       List	
  of	
  Fields	
  (<	
  d):	
                                                                         Point	
  of	
  interest	
  (ex:	
  
       -­‐ Size	
                                                                                                     Biogas	
  plant)	
  
       -­‐ Driving	
  distance	
  
       -­‐ Crop	
  
       -­‐ Yield	
  
       -­‐ Transportation	
  costs	
  




        Slope	
  (of	
  the	
  road)
                                   	
                                   Route	
  between	
  POI	
  based	
  on	
  driving	
  distance	
  



                                          © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence       -     andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012                   -   Page 38
We	
  have	
  tested	
  the	
  forecast	
  on	
  a	
  farm	
  by	
  evaluating	
  four	
  tours*	
  


                               Biomass	
  (t)
                                            	
                                                                            Transportation	
  costs	
  (EUR)
                                                                                                                                                         	
  
                                                                                                                                                     +4%	
  
                                -­‐15%	
                     One	
  field	
  not	
  be	
                                                                                                 Higher	
  fuel	
  
                                                               harvested       	
                                                                                                      consumption	
  
                                                                                                                                              14.077
                                                                                                                                                                                       due	
  to	
  dry	
  soil
                                                                                                                                                                                                              	
  
                                      1.215                 Weed	
  infestations	
  
                                                                                                                                                                               +57%	
  
                                                                                                                            -­‐3%	
                                                                       +8%	
  
                                                                                    -­‐2%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                     8.003
      -­‐10%	
                                           -­‐19%	
                                                        6.714 6.542                                                                          6.816
                                                                                667       651                                                                                                        6.320
    512                                                550                                                                                                                   5.086
             459                                                443




     Tour	
  1	
              Tour	
  2	
               Tour	
  3	
              Tour	
  4	
                              Tour	
  1	
              Tour	
  2	
                Tour	
  3	
              Tour	
  4	
  
     Forecast	
            Real	
                                                                                              Forecast	
          Real	
  


 *	
  16	
  fields	
  to	
  be	
  harvested;	
  avg.	
  dist.	
  betw.	
  field	
  and	
  silo:	
  9.5	
  km;	
  average	
  exploitable	
  acreage:	
  2.44	
  ha	
  	


                                              © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence                   -     andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012                   -    Page 39
The	
  goals	
  of	
  iGreen	
  are	
  very	
  relevant	
  for	
  many	
  social	
  systems	
  

  ¨  iGreen	
  follows	
  an	
  approach	
  leading	
  to	
  more	
  accurate	
  and	
  geographically	
  differentiated	
  
      agricultural	
  forecast	
  by	
  
       -­‐  leveraging	
  existing	
  farmers	
  GPS-­‐based	
  precision	
  agriculture	
  technology	
  
       -­‐  collaboratively	
  acquiring	
  accurate,	
  high-­‐resolution,	
  and	
  up-­‐to-­‐dare	
  geo-­‐data	
  
       -­‐  allowing	
  public	
  agricultural	
  institutions,	
  in	
  return,	
  to	
  use	
  this	
  geo-­‐data	
  to	
  provide	
  farmers	
  
            with	
  better	
  decision	
  support	
  tools	
  

  ¨  Biomass	
  Planner	
  
       -­‐  A	
  decision	
  support	
  system	
  relying	
  on	
  this	
  approach	
  to	
  provide	
  better	
  biomass	
  planning	
  
       -­‐  Both	
  the	
  biomass	
  model	
  and	
  soil	
  quality	
  maps	
  are	
  improved	
  but	
  no	
  data	
  is	
  shared	
  with	
  
            the	
  community.	
  Only	
  the	
  improved	
  model	
  benefits	
  the	
  community	
  

  ¨  Logistic	
  Planner	
  
       -­‐  A	
  decision	
  support	
  system	
  relying	
  on	
  this	
  approach	
  to	
  
            provide	
  better	
  logistics	
  planning	
  
       -­‐  Both	
  the	
  model	
  and	
  the	
  geo-­‐data	
  are	
  shared	
  with	
  the	
  
            community	
  


                               © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence   -   andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012   -   Page 40
e the!
                   to clos
          re going agement!
  So, we a ge Man
             d
      Knowle                               	
  
               Cycle!
                              Moreover,	
  
        existing	
  soil	
  quality	
  maps	
  
may	
  be	
  continuously	
  improved	
  
                                           	
  
        © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence   -   andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012   -   Page 41
Remember	
  that	
  forecast	
  is	
  based	
  on	
  the	
  data	
  coming	
  from	
  existing	
  soil	
  quality	
  
maps!	
  




                         © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence   -   andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012   -   Page 42
Digital	
  soil	
  quality	
  maps	
  provided	
  by	
  state	
  government	
  allow	
  farmers	
  to	
  get	
  an	
  
overview	
  about	
  the	
  quality	
  of	
  their	
  fields	
  




                          40	
                                                                                    Additional	
  
                                                                                                                  information	
  may	
  be	
  
                                                                                                                  accessed	
  via	
  the	
  lot	
  
                                                                                                                  No.	
  
                                      33	
                                                44	
  


                                                        61	
  

                                                                                                       53	
  




                         © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence   -   andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012   -    Page 43
Agricultural	
  engineering	
  provides	
  relevant	
  location-­‐based	
  data	
  

                                                                                             Humidity	
  
                                                                                               Sensor	
  
     Recording	
  of	
  location,	
  crop,	
  humidity,	
  
     and	
  fuel	
  consumption:	
  




                                                                         Melt	
  Flow	
  
                                                                           Sensor    	
  

                               © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence    -    andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012   -   Page 44
Location-­‐based	
  recording	
  of	
  crop	
  data	
  leads	
  to	
  an	
  up-­‐date	
  of	
  soil	
  quality	
  maps	
  


             Recorded	
  on          	
  29-­‐09-­‐2008   	
  Average	
  Value      	
  12,23	
  t/ha	
  
             Try	
  Solids           	
  100,40	
  t      	
  Humidity              	
  73,55	
  %	
  
                                                                                                                            CROP	
  (t/ha)	
  
                                                                                                                            from	
     to	
  




                     HISTOGRAM	
  




                             © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence   -     andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012   -   Page 45
Decision	
  support	
  in	
  crop	
  production	
  provides	
  important	
  contributions	
  for	
  
increasing	
  efficiency,	
  saving	
  resources,	
  and	
  reducing	
  environmental	
  impact	
  

Exemplary	
  result	
  (10	
  farmers	
  in	
  the	
  north	
  of	
  the	
  German	
  state	
  Rhineland-­‐Palatinate):	
  

      ¨  Winter	
  wheat	
  is	
  the	
  most	
  important	
  crop	
  in	
  Germany	
  having	
  a	
  total	
  
          acreage	
  of	
  3	
  Mio	
  hectares.	
  Experts	
  estimate	
  that	
  each	
  hectare	
  of	
  
          winter	
  wheat	
  requires	
  about	
  200	
  kg	
  of	
  nitrate	
  per	
  year.	
  Nitrate	
  
          production	
  causes	
  about	
  50%	
  of	
  energy	
  consumption	
  in	
  crop	
  
          production	
  

      ¨  Using	
  location-­‐adaptive	
  fertilizer	
  dispersion	
  for	
  wheat	
  production	
  
          based	
  on	
  improved	
  soil	
  quality	
  maps	
  ,	
  it	
  was	
  possible	
  to	
  save	
  ca.	
  5%	
  
          of	
  nitrates	
  without	
  reducing	
  the	
  amount	
  of	
  crop	
  


    ¨  The	
  German	
  agriculture	
  may	
  …	
  	
  

                  ...	
  lead	
  to	
  possible	
  energy	
  saving	
  potential	
  of	
  30.000	
  tons	
  of	
  nitrate	
  per	
  year	
  
                  ...	
  avoid	
  climate-­‐relevant	
  emissions	
  of	
  257,000	
  tons	
  of	
  CO2	
  annually	
  
                  ...	
  reduces	
  the	
  amount	
  of	
  nitrate-­‐containing	
  nutriments	
  in	
  bodies	
  of	
  water	
  


                                 © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence   -   andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012     -   Page 46
The	
  goals	
  of	
  iGreen	
  are	
  very	
  relevant	
  for	
  many	
  social	
  systems	
  


    ¨  Food	
  production	
  is	
  not	
  a	
  task	
  just	
  of	
  agriculture,	
  but	
  a	
  central	
  aim	
  of	
  the	
  global	
  society	
  

    ¨  In	
  case	
  of	
  crisis,	
  food	
  security	
  has	
  to	
  be	
  guaranteed	
  by	
  both,	
  federal	
  and	
  private	
  
        organizations	
  (this	
  is	
  part	
  of	
  the	
  food	
  precaution	
  law	
  and	
  food	
  ensuring	
  law	
  in	
  Germany)	
  



    ¨  iGreen	
  use	
  cases	
  and	
  demonstrators	
  prove	
  the	
  new	
  options	
  based	
  on	
  real	
  application	
  
        scenarios	
  

    ¨  iGreen	
  SDK	
  provides	
  general	
  and	
  fundamental	
  components	
  as	
  open	
  source	
  

    ¨  iGreen	
  documents	
  (processes,	
  scenarios,	
  interfaces)	
  
        provide	
  excellent	
  guidelines,	
  e.g.	
  who	
  communicates	
  with	
  
        whom	
  ,why,	
  and	
  with	
  what	
  tools	
  	
  


                           Long-­‐term	
  Public-­‐Private	
  Partnerships	
  are	
  of	
  
                           major	
  importance	
  


                               © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence   -   andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012      -   Page 47
Thank	
  you,	
  questions	
  are	
  welcome!	
  




                       © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence   -   andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012   -   Page 48

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iGreen: Co-creative Mobile Services in Agriculture - A Knowledge Management Perspective

  • 1. Andreas  Dengel   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 1
  • 2. Agenda   Some  words  about  the  world‘s  food  situations     The  iGreen  project   Agricultural  knowledge  management  –  two   perspectives   Consolidating  knowledge  and  decision  support   services   Crop  forecasting   Logistic  planning   Soil  quality  map  adjustment   Summary  and  conclusions   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 2
  • 3. Agriculture  must  provide  food  for  an  extra  2  billion  people  but  80%  of     extra  agricultural  food  can  be  provided  only  through  yield  increase!     9  billion  people   Extra  agricultural food  production     by  2050!   100%   ≤20%   ≥80%   By  increasing  arable   By  increasing  yield   land   Amount  of  arable  land   Too  many  factors   in  developed  countries   High  complexity!   World  demand  for  cereal  (bn  tonnes2   (mn  hectares)   ?   ) +43%   -­‐0.2%   625   3,0   575   2,1   2010   2050   2010   2050   Source:  (1)  UN,  World  population  to  exceed  9  billion  by  2050.  http://www.un.org/esa/population/publications/wpp2008/pressrelease.pdf,  2008    (2)  N.  Alexandratos,  J.  Bruinsma,  G.  Boedeker,  J.  Schmidhuber,  S.  Broca,  P.  Shettym,  and  MG  Ottaviani.  World  agriculture:  towards  2030/2050.      Interim  Report.  Prospects  For  Food,  Nutrition,  Agriculture  and  Major  Commodity  Groups,  2006.   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 3
  • 4. IT  can  help  to  improve  and  economize  methods,  procedures  and  agricultural   technologies  to  produce  more  efficiently  and  save  resources   ¨  Precision  farming:    Linked  and  controlled  by  GPS,  seed,  fertilizer  and    pesticides  are  yielded  exactly  where  they  are  needed   ¨  Digital  soil  quality  maps:   Continuous  measure  lead  to  updated  guidelines  helping   to  plan  the  supply  of  nutrients  or  predict  harvest   ¨  Analysis  of  high-­‐resolution  images  from  space:   Controlled  specialized  satellites  take  pictures  of   agricultural  region  all  over  the  world   ¨  Field  robots  will  take  over  some  agricultural  tasks:   Equipped  vehicles  (not  only  for  harvesting)  are  staffed   with  sensors  to  measure  the  state  of  crop  and  soil   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 4
  • 5.   What  are  the   ideas  of  the  iGreen  project?     © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 5
  • 6. iGreen  builds  on  an  alliance  of  23  partners  from  science,  business  and  public   institutions   Connec4vity   private   public   (interna'onal)     (na'onal)   iis   (regional)   EPP (na4onwide)   e.v. Interests  of  the  agricultural  sector   Interests  of  the  social  community   Applica4on   Consul'ng  services   Das Bildelement mit der Beziehungs-ID rId7 Management   wurde in der Datei nicht Farmers  /  agricultural  service     gefunden. supply  agency     © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 6
  • 7. iGreen  strikes  a  new  path  in  public-­‐private  knowledge  management  having  a   focus  in  agriculture   ¨  The  goal  of  iGreen  is  to  develop  location-­‐bases  services  and  knowledge  sharing   networks  for  combining  distributed,  heterogeneous  public  as  well  as  private   information  sources   ¨  Built  on  that,  we  aim  at  the  development  of  mobile  decision  assistants  using  Web   services  for  a  decentralized  support  of   energy-­‐efficient,  economic,   environmental-­‐adapted  and  collaboratively-­‐organized    production  and  planning  processes   ¨  There  are  many  high-­‐potential  application  fields  for  the  iGreen   platform,  such  as  agriculture,  forestry,  water  supply  and   distribution,  urban  development  and  landscaping,  or  nature   conservation   ¨  in  iGreen  we  exemplary  focus  on  crop  production   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 7
  • 8. In  crop  production  there  is  whole  bunch  of  relevant  questions  having  a  space-­‐ time  relationship  that  have  to  be  answered  for  making  decisions                    Which  kind  of  plant  species              When  should  we  apply  what            should  we  cultivate     kind  of  fertilizer    and  to  which  dose?            at  what  location?     How  much  pesticides   When  is  the  best                should  we  apply  at   time  for  the  harvest?   what  time?          What  market  prices          may  we  expect?   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 8
  • 9. Public  country-­‐wide  institutions  in  Germany  act  as  competence  centers  and   provide  best-­‐practice  advice  about  crop  production  for  farmers   Competence   Center   Support  for  Data  Management   Compendium  about   and  Model  Generation     Best-­‐Practice  Crop  Protection   Advise  in  Grade  and  Seed   Regional  Data   Selection   About  Fields  and  Lots   Consulting  about  Fertilizer   Data  Base  about  Crop  Experiment   Combination  and  Use   Results   Tools  for  Prognoses  and   News  about  Market  Development   Statistical  Data  Analysis   Information  about  how  to  combat   pest  and  plant  diseases     (best  time,  conditions  and  strategies)   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 9
  • 10. Some  examples  about  the  services  from  the  competence  centers   Competence   Center   Pest Immigration Data Interpolation Methods (MR, Kriging, spline, ....) 2009 2011 Exposition Gradient Regional Risc Map Factor Weather Station Information (Point⇒Zone) + + = ⇒ ⇒ © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 10
  • 11. Yield  depends  on  many  factors  –  Experts  and  Decision  Support  Systems   help  farmers  to  optimize  yields   Ecological   Social  factors   factors   Yield   •  Soil  quality   •  Transfer  of  skills   and  roles   •  Weather   condition   •  Security  of  land   (rainfall)   tenure   •  Sun  exposition   •  Access  to  land   ?   Economical   Political   factors   factors   +  Ecological  factors   •  Fuel,  fertilizers,   •  Agricultural   +  Economical  factors   pesticides  prices   subventions   +  Political  factors   •  Product  selling   •  Quotas   +  Social  factors   prices  (Market)   +  Model(s)   •  Other   ________________   •  …   restrictions        Optimized  Yield   So  how  to  get  all  of  these  factors  combined?   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 11
  • 12. iGreen  profits  from  recent  technological  advances  that,  in  the  intended   combination,  will  strongly  influence  agricultural  progresses   Soil  Quality  Estimation   ¨  Public  information  as  well  as  product  and  expert  knowledge   are  increasingly  digitized  and  available  via  the  internet,  such   as  different  kinds  of  maps  or  weather  data   Methods   Thematical  Maps   ¨  Accessing  the  internet  is  possible  from   almost  all  locations  via  mobile  devices   ¨  GPS  devices  for  positioning  are  easy  to   buy  or  are  even  part  of  a  mobile  phone   ¨  Agricultural  engineering  provides  more  and  more  software   interfaces  for  the  automatic  situation-­‐adaptive  control  (on-­‐board   terminals,  sensor  technology,  …   So  we  are  going  to  establish  a  Service  and  Knowledge  Network   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 12
  • 13. The  iGreen  Planning  System  combines  knowledge  subjects  and  information   objects  for  a  participative  public-­‐private  knowledge  management   Agro  Databases   Geo  Catalogue   Data  Provision   Competence   Center   Planning   System   Global  Optimization   Public   Local  Optimization   Private   Free  Service     for  Farmers   Feedback Feedback   Prognoses   Farmers   Location-­‐based   Decision  Assistance   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 13
  • 14. Flexible  Data  Management  is  a  challenge   “ Before you start talking about sensor data, please provide me first an option to file, manage and employ the data “ Farmer  and  Contractor  Marx   ¨  The  only  condition  is  individual  data  ownership      -­‐  local  filing  combined  with  controlled  interchange  within  the  iGreen  network   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 14
  • 15.   Public-­‐private   knowledge  management     © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 15
  • 16. Knowledge  Management  is  a  process  for  improving  organizational  capabilities  by   better  use  of  individual  and  collective  knowledge  resources   1.   Knowledge  Goals:  Define  all  capabilities  an   Definition   organization  should  build  on   2.   Knowledge  Identification:  Identify  internal  and   Identify   Acquire   knowledge   external  knowledge  of  the  organization   knowledge   3.   Knowledge  Acquisition:  Critical  capabilities  must  be   Define knowledge     2   3   bought  or  otherwise  obtained   4.   Knowledge  Development:  Produce  new  internal     Goals   1   wledge! and  external  knowledge  (individual  &  collective  level)   Develop   5.   Knowledge  Dissemination:  Define  who  should     Kno Feedback   knowledge   know  what  and  at  what  level  of  detail,  and  how  the   organization  can  support  this  distribution  process   knowledge Control 8       Mana gement! 4   6.   Knowledge  Utilization:  Productive  deployment  of   organizational  knowledge  in  the  business/production   Preserve   Cycle! 7   process  of  the  organization   knowledge   7.   Knowledge  Preservation:  Identify  valuable   5   knowledge,  store  it,  and  regularly  integrate  it  into   Use 6     Distribute   the  organizational  knowledge  base     knowledge   knowledge   8. Knowledge  Controlling:  Compare  initial  knowledge   goals  with  results  of  organizational  knowledge  magt.   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 16 Source:  G.J.B.  Probst,  S.  Raub,  and  K.  Romhardt.  Wissen  managen.  Gabler,  1997.  ISBN  3409193170.    
  • 17. In  terms  of  knowledge  management,  both  experts  and  farmers  have  their  own   knowledge  management  cycle   Decision  Support  System  (DSS)   Disseminate     Identify   Acquire   Use   knowledge   knowledge   knowledge   5   6   knowledge   2   3   Define   Preserve   knowledge   7   knowledge   Goals   1   Increase  Yields   Develop   Feedback   knowledge   Control   8   knowledge   Control   8   4   4   knowledge   Feedback   Develop   Define   knowledge   1   knowledge   Preserve   7   Goals   knowledge   Develop  DSS   3   5   Acquire   2   Use 6     Distribute   knowledge   Identify   knowledge   knowledge     knowledge   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 17
  • 18. In  terms  of  knowledge  management,  both  experts  and  farmers  have  their  own   knowledge  management  cycle   Decision  Support  System  (DSS)   Disseminate     Identify   Acquire   Use   knowledge   knowledge   knowledge   5   6   knowledge   2   3   Define   knowledge   7   Preserve   Goals   1   knowledge   Increase  Yields   Develop   Feedback   knowledge   Control   8   knowledge   Control 8     4   4   knowledge   Feedback   Develop   Define   knowledge   1   knowledge   Preserve   7   Goals   knowledge   Develop  DSS   3   5   Acquire   2   Use 6     Distribute   knowledge   Identify   knowledge   knowledge     knowledge   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 18
  • 19. In  terms  of  knowledge  management,  both  experts  and  farmers  have  their  own   knowledge  management  cycle   Decision  Support  System  (DSS)   Disseminate     Acquire   knowledge   knowledge   5   3   Define   knowledge   Goals   1   Increase  Yields   Develop   knowledge   4   4   Develop   Define   knowledge   1   knowledge   Goals   Develop  DSS   3   Acquire   Use 6     knowledge   knowledge     © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 19
  • 20. In  terms  of  knowledge  management,  both  experts  and  farmers  have  their  own   knowledge  management  cycle   Decision  Support  System  (DSS)   No  better   decision  support  !   Disseminate     Acquire   knowledge   knowledge   5   3   Define   knowledge   Goals   1   Increase  Yields   Develop   Not  Possible!   knowledge   4   4   Develop   Define   knowledge   1   knowledge   No  better   Goals   advice   Soil Type Develop  DSS   3   S Acquire   Use 6   SI IS SL sL   knowledge   L LT T Mo knowledge   No  better     map  material!   Soil  quality  map  from    the  1950’s    (Low  definition  and  outdated)   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 20
  • 21. Available  agricultural  technology  allows  farmers  to  derive  accurate  and  up  to   date  soil  quality  maps   GPS  Technology  combined  with  agricultural  sensors  to  measure  the  yield   Moisture  Sensor   Mass  Flow  Sensor   GPS  Receiver   Task  Computer   User  Interface   Soil  quality  map  from  the   Soil  quality  map  from   1950’s  :   precision  ag.:   •  Outdated   •  Up  to  date   Source:  R.  Grisso,  M.  Alley,  and  P.  McCellan.  Precision  farming  tools:   yield  monitor.  Precision  Farming,  pages  442–502,  2003.     •  Low  resolution   •  High  resolution   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 21
  • 22. A  collaborative  knowledge  management  approach  can  lead  to  better  agricultural   decision  support   Better  Decision   Support   Win-­‐Win   Acquire   Disseminate     knowledge   5   Situation   knowledge   Define   3   knowledge   Goals   1   Increase  Yields   Develop   Possible   knowledge   4   4   Develop   Define   knowledge   1   knowledge   Better  DSS   Goals   Yield in  t/ha Develop  DSS   3   0  -­‐2 2,01  – 4 Use 6   4.01  – 6 Acquire   6.01  – 8 >8   knowledge   knowledge   Yield  maps     Better   (High  definition  &  up-­‐to-­‐date)   map  material!   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 22
  • 23. Farmers  can  collaboratively  contribute  to  the  acquisition  of  better  geo-­‐data  and   get  in  return  better  decision  support   Partial  collaboration:   Full  collaboration:   Data  is  only  shared  with  the  experts   Data  is  shared  within  the  community   Geo-­‐Data   Information  Supply   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 23
  • 24.   Scenario  planning  allows   crop  forecast     © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 24
  • 25. Examples  of  Applications  and  Evaluations   The  collaborative  contribution  was  implemented  in  applications  for  biomass  and   logistics  planning   Biomass  Planning     Goal   • Computing  the  optimal  biomass  yield   based  on:   –  list  of  fields   –  production  plan   –  soil  quality   –  weather  conditions   Resources   • Experts  provide  models  and  weather  data   • Farmers  provide  accurate  soil  quality   maps  using  precision  agriculture  and  a   production  plan   Approach   • Soils  quality  maps  provided  by  a  farmer   are  used  to  improve  results  but  remain   confidential   • Models  are  improved  and  benefit                             the  whole  community   Partial  collaboration! © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 25
  • 26. Tasks  and  their  dependencies  of  Biomass-­‐Yield-­‐Models  (BYM)  are  transformed   into  a  scientific  workflow   Computational  steps  for  scientific  simulations  or  data-­‐analysis  steps   n  Advantages  of  scientific  workflows:   •  Data  flow  approach  based  on  visual  programming   •  Modularity  and  reusability   •  Provenance  information  to  better  interpret  results  and   debug  errors   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 26 Source:  B.  Ludäscher,  I.  Altintas,  C.  Berkley,  D.  Higgins,  E.  Jaeger,  M.  Jones,  E.A.  Lee,  J.  Tao,  and  Y.  Zhao.  Scientific  workflow  management  and  the  Kepler  system:  Research  articles.   Concurr.  Comput.  :  Pract.  Exper.,  18:1039-­‐1065,  August  2006.  ISSN  1532-­‐0626.  doi:  10.1002/cpe.v18:10.  
  • 27. Based  on  various  public  sources  we  have  developed  a  Crop  Forecast  System   aiming  at  supporting  the  farmer  in  making  decisions   Pre-­‐given  Goal   Rain   Result  Map   Crop  Forecast   Region   Intermediate   Result   BYM   Result  Table   Filter   Soil  Quality   Result  Chart   Agricltural  Crop  Land  Online   Rheinland-­‐Pfalz  (FLOrlp)   Biomass   Yield   Models     Soil  Quality  Data (BYM)   *  Zentralstelle  der  Länder  für  EDV-­‐gestützte  Entscheidungshilfen      und  Programme  im  Pflanzenschutz     © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 27
  • 28. A  Mashup  of  maps  and  tabular  information  provides  a  intuitive  platform  for   biomass  planning   Excel  and  Google  Earth  export   Ecological  or  conventional  yield   3  rainfall  scenarios  (dry,  normal,  wet)   Results  for  fields   Results  for  subfields   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 28
  • 29. In  Google  Earth  subfield-­‐related  information  may  be  accessed  via  any  mobile   device   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 29
  • 30. Exporting  the  information  to  an  Excel  spreadsheet  (with  Macros)  supports   realizing  a  production  plan   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 30 © andreas.dengel@dfki.de -
  • 31. We  have  tested  the  forecast  on  a  farm  by  evaluating  four  tours*   Biomass  (t)   -­‐15%   One  field  not  be   harvested   1.215 Weed  infestations   -­‐2%   -­‐10%   -­‐19%   667 651 512 550 459 443 Tour  1   Tour  2   Tour  3   Tour  4   Forecast   Real   *  16  fields  to  be  harvested;  avg.  dist.  betw.  field  and  silo:  9.5  km;  average  exploitable  acreage:  2.44  ha   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 31
  • 32.   Logistic  planning  allows   to  remarkably  save  fuel     © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 32
  • 33. Examples  of  Applications  and  Evaluations   The  collaborative  contribution  was  implemented  in  applications  for  biomass  and   logistics  planning   Biomass  Planning     Logistics  Planning   Goal   • Computing  the  optimal  biomass  yield   • Computing    the  optimal  logistics  plan,   based  on:   i.e.,  route  and  costs    for:   –  list  of  fields   –  harvester(s)     –  production  plan   –  tractor(s)  with  trailers   –  soil  quality   –  weather  conditions   Resources   • Experts  provide  models  and  weather  data   • Experts  provide  models   • Farmers  provide  accurate  soil  quality   • Farmers  provide  accurate  GPS-­‐Tracks  and   maps  using  precision  agriculture  and  a   meta-­‐information  about  their  routes  using   production  plan   precision  agriculture  and  number  of   harvesters  and  tractors  available   Approach   • Soils  quality  maps  provided  by  a  farmer   • GPS-­‐Tracks  and  meta-­‐information   are  used  to  improve  results  but  remain   provided  by  a  farmer  are  sanitized  and   confidential   shared  with  the  whole  community   • Models  are  improved  and  benefit                             • Models  are  improved  and  benefit                         the  whole  community   the  whole  community   Full  collaboration! © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 33
  • 34. Current  available  route  guidance  systems  do  not  provide  information  about   road  narrowing  nor  bridge  weights  limits   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 34
  • 35. This  way,  we  also  developed  a  first  collaborative  open-­‐source  routing  system   for  utilities  vehicles  (CRUV)   Vehicle  type  (car,  lorry,  tractor)   -­‐ Road  types:  Motorway,  highway,        country  road,  field  path  with  priorities    (preferred,  normal,  avoid,  forbidden)   -­‐ Tunnels  and  bridges  with  priorities   Vehicle  length,  weight,  height,  width   Rules  based  on  user  meta-­‐information    stored  in  Open  Street  Maps   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 35
  • 36. Compared  to  Map24,  there  is  no  difference  in  quality  in  traditional  route   planning   CRUV:  186  km   Map24:  186  km   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 36
  • 37. However,  CRUV  reveals  its  advantages  when  including  the  additional   information,  e.g.  with  bridges  and  maximal  weight  allowed   Google  Maps  does  not   support  the  kind  of  query!   GoogleMaps:  1,5  km   CRUV:  2,8  km     © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 37
  • 38. A  logistic  planer    computes  transportation  costs  based  on  the  results  from  the   CRUV  and  biomass  planner   Overview  with  Biomass  and  costs   Field  repartition  with  respect  to  the  driving  distance   Max.  driving  distance  d   between  field  and  POI   List  of  Fields  (<  d):   Point  of  interest  (ex:   -­‐ Size   Biogas  plant)   -­‐ Driving  distance   -­‐ Crop   -­‐ Yield   -­‐ Transportation  costs   Slope  (of  the  road)   Route  between  POI  based  on  driving  distance   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 38
  • 39. We  have  tested  the  forecast  on  a  farm  by  evaluating  four  tours*   Biomass  (t)   Transportation  costs  (EUR)   +4%   -­‐15%   One  field  not  be   Higher  fuel   harvested   consumption   14.077 due  to  dry  soil   1.215 Weed  infestations   +57%   -­‐3%   +8%   -­‐2%   8.003 -­‐10%   -­‐19%   6.714 6.542 6.816 667 651 6.320 512 550 5.086 459 443 Tour  1   Tour  2   Tour  3   Tour  4   Tour  1   Tour  2   Tour  3   Tour  4   Forecast   Real   Forecast   Real   *  16  fields  to  be  harvested;  avg.  dist.  betw.  field  and  silo:  9.5  km;  average  exploitable  acreage:  2.44  ha   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 39
  • 40. The  goals  of  iGreen  are  very  relevant  for  many  social  systems   ¨  iGreen  follows  an  approach  leading  to  more  accurate  and  geographically  differentiated   agricultural  forecast  by   -­‐  leveraging  existing  farmers  GPS-­‐based  precision  agriculture  technology   -­‐  collaboratively  acquiring  accurate,  high-­‐resolution,  and  up-­‐to-­‐dare  geo-­‐data   -­‐  allowing  public  agricultural  institutions,  in  return,  to  use  this  geo-­‐data  to  provide  farmers   with  better  decision  support  tools   ¨  Biomass  Planner   -­‐  A  decision  support  system  relying  on  this  approach  to  provide  better  biomass  planning   -­‐  Both  the  biomass  model  and  soil  quality  maps  are  improved  but  no  data  is  shared  with   the  community.  Only  the  improved  model  benefits  the  community   ¨  Logistic  Planner   -­‐  A  decision  support  system  relying  on  this  approach  to   provide  better  logistics  planning   -­‐  Both  the  model  and  the  geo-­‐data  are  shared  with  the   community   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 40
  • 41. e the! to clos re going agement! So, we a ge Man d Knowle   Cycle! Moreover,   existing  soil  quality  maps   may  be  continuously  improved     © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 41
  • 42. Remember  that  forecast  is  based  on  the  data  coming  from  existing  soil  quality   maps!   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 42
  • 43. Digital  soil  quality  maps  provided  by  state  government  allow  farmers  to  get  an   overview  about  the  quality  of  their  fields   40   Additional   information  may  be   accessed  via  the  lot   No.   33   44   61   53   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 43
  • 44. Agricultural  engineering  provides  relevant  location-­‐based  data   Humidity   Sensor   Recording  of  location,  crop,  humidity,   and  fuel  consumption:   Melt  Flow   Sensor   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 44
  • 45. Location-­‐based  recording  of  crop  data  leads  to  an  up-­‐date  of  soil  quality  maps   Recorded  on  29-­‐09-­‐2008  Average  Value  12,23  t/ha   Try  Solids  100,40  t  Humidity  73,55  %   CROP  (t/ha)   from   to   HISTOGRAM   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 45
  • 46. Decision  support  in  crop  production  provides  important  contributions  for   increasing  efficiency,  saving  resources,  and  reducing  environmental  impact   Exemplary  result  (10  farmers  in  the  north  of  the  German  state  Rhineland-­‐Palatinate):   ¨  Winter  wheat  is  the  most  important  crop  in  Germany  having  a  total   acreage  of  3  Mio  hectares.  Experts  estimate  that  each  hectare  of   winter  wheat  requires  about  200  kg  of  nitrate  per  year.  Nitrate   production  causes  about  50%  of  energy  consumption  in  crop   production   ¨  Using  location-­‐adaptive  fertilizer  dispersion  for  wheat  production   based  on  improved  soil  quality  maps  ,  it  was  possible  to  save  ca.  5%   of  nitrates  without  reducing  the  amount  of  crop   ¨  The  German  agriculture  may  …     ...  lead  to  possible  energy  saving  potential  of  30.000  tons  of  nitrate  per  year   ...  avoid  climate-­‐relevant  emissions  of  257,000  tons  of  CO2  annually   ...  reduces  the  amount  of  nitrate-­‐containing  nutriments  in  bodies  of  water   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 46
  • 47. The  goals  of  iGreen  are  very  relevant  for  many  social  systems   ¨  Food  production  is  not  a  task  just  of  agriculture,  but  a  central  aim  of  the  global  society   ¨  In  case  of  crisis,  food  security  has  to  be  guaranteed  by  both,  federal  and  private   organizations  (this  is  part  of  the  food  precaution  law  and  food  ensuring  law  in  Germany)   ¨  iGreen  use  cases  and  demonstrators  prove  the  new  options  based  on  real  application   scenarios   ¨  iGreen  SDK  provides  general  and  fundamental  components  as  open  source   ¨  iGreen  documents  (processes,  scenarios,  interfaces)   provide  excellent  guidelines,  e.g.  who  communicates  with   whom  ,why,  and  with  what  tools     Long-­‐term  Public-­‐Private  Partnerships  are  of   major  importance   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 47
  • 48. Thank  you,  questions  are  welcome!   © German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - andreas.dengel@dfki.de 2012 - Page 48