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Addressing the competition  September 2006  Presentation to The Blackstone Group
Preface  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Table of contents ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The success of buyout business
Will be dependent on …  ,[object Object],Note: Alpha means the return in excess of a benchmark index.  Source: Thomson Financial / NVCA  US Private Equity Performance Index (Through 31 December 2005)  11.0 7.3 -1.1 10.1 6.3 S&P 500 13.3 9.2 5.2 16.3 31.3 All buyouts 20 year 10 year  5 year  3 year 1 year
See more spectacular returns Source: CalPERS AIM Program Fund Performance Review (as of March 31, 2006)  38.0 200 2003 TPG Partners IV 32.1 100 1996 Thomas H Lee Equity Fund III 74.5 100 1997 Permira Europe I  46.8 150 2002 KKR Millennium Fund  36.6 150 2000 Hellman & Friedman Capital Partners IV  46.6 125 2001 First Reserve Fund IX 46.0 50 1995 Doughty Hanson Fund III 34.2 200 2001 CVC European Equity Partners III 46.3 56 2003 Carlyle Europe Partners II  63.1 200 2003 Blackstone Capital Partners IV 38.2 250 2001 Apollo Investment Fund V  Net IRR (%) Capital committed  (US$ m) Vintage year  Fund description
Evolving trend of competition
Competition from every angle  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Existing rivals Ex partners or units Industry players Advisors Others  Hedge funds Investment banks Legal counsels Strategy consultants Big 4 audit firms Corporate buyers Family groups Potential LPs Unlikely competitors
A few observations  Existing rivals Ex partners or units Investment banks Strategy consultants Competitors differentiate from others in terms of fund size, geographical focus, sector expertise etc.  Recent example is Lee Equity Partners, formed by founder of Thomas H Lee Partners. Also in Jan 2005, Lion Capital was spun off from Hicks Muse Tate & Furst.  Bain Capital was founded in 1984 by three partners of Bain & Co. Should we expect McKinsey Capital soon given its corporate networks & industry knowledge?  Apart from aggressive players like Goldman Sachs and Macquarie, Bank of America is targeting to raise US$1 billion private equity fund.
A few observations (continued) Hedge funds Corporate buyers Family groups Potential LPs Eton Park Capital, a hedge fund formed by ex Goldman Sachs star trader Eric Mindich in 2004, is competing with buyout firms for private equity deals.  Universal Music Group of Vivendi beat seven bidders in Sept (incl. Goldman Sachs Capital Partners) to clinch BMG, making it the world’s biggest music publisher.  China Life, the largest insurance company in China, did a PIPE transaction of US$400m in CITIC Securities in June.  Terry Gou, the richest man in Taiwan and owner of the world’s largest EMS provider, will likely establish a private equity firm in 2008 to target technology sector.
How to differentiate?
A number of alternatives … Listed Fund Mega  Fund Distressed Fund Hedge Fund Sector Fund Mezzanine Fund
Right approach?  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
How to outbid rivals?
Look at LBO history first 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 2000s 1990s 1956: The first LBO might be the US$49m purchase by McLean Industries, Inc. of Waterman Steamship Corporation. 1969: A “bootstrap" transaction was  characterized by Victor Posner's hostile takeover of Sharon Steel Corp.  1981: A legendary LBO was Wesray’s acquisition of Gibson Greetings Cards for US$80m, with equity portion of only US$1m. The IPO in 1983 valued the company at US$330m.  1989: The second largest LBO was RJR Nabisco, acquired by KKR for US$31.4 billion.  2006: HCA agreed to sell itself to three private equity firms (Bain, KKR and ML) & the family of Senator Bill Frist for US$33 billion.
Changes in financing structure Source: Solera Capital LLC  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Levers  70% or less 75% 90% Debt to  equity ratio  8-10x earnings 6-7x earnings  4-5x earnings  Purchase Late 1990s   And beyond? Early 1990s   Late 1990s Mid 1980s    Early 1990s Typical LBO
Creative use of financial tools ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
ROA versus ROE ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Now, IRR versus effective IRR  ,[object Object],[object Object],2,331 805 1,526 5-year target returns (US$ m) 1,000 10.0% 500 Debt  18.4% 25.0% 500 Equity  Effective IRR Required rate of return Fund portion  (US$ m)  Type of capital
An idea of “fusion” ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Typical LBO Financing (%)
How much more could be paid? ,[object Object],Note: Assuming an investment horizon of 5 years.  81.6% 64.8% 50.8% 39.0% 29.0% 20.3% 12.7% 6% 41.9% 34.8% 28.4% 22.6% 17.3% 12.5% 8.0% 14% 51.1% 42.0% 34.0% 26.8% 20.3% 14.5% 9.2% 12% 60.7% 49.4% 39.5% 30.9% 23.3% 16.5% 10.4% 10% 70.9% 57.0% 45.2% 35.0% 26.2% 18.4% 11.6% 8% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% Required rate of return (debt)   Debt fusion (%)
Well, how to do it then  Fund I Equity LPs Rating Agency Target A Debt LPs $  Investment returns net mgmt fee and carried interest  $  Guaranteed return backed by recaps, bonds issued by Fund I, etc. Target B Target C Credit rating
Search for debt LPs ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Thank You & Prepared By   Leo Wong email: wong_leo@yahoo.com

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How to outbid PE rivals in auction

  • 1. Addressing the competition September 2006 Presentation to The Blackstone Group
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  • 4. The success of buyout business
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  • 6. See more spectacular returns Source: CalPERS AIM Program Fund Performance Review (as of March 31, 2006) 38.0 200 2003 TPG Partners IV 32.1 100 1996 Thomas H Lee Equity Fund III 74.5 100 1997 Permira Europe I 46.8 150 2002 KKR Millennium Fund 36.6 150 2000 Hellman & Friedman Capital Partners IV 46.6 125 2001 First Reserve Fund IX 46.0 50 1995 Doughty Hanson Fund III 34.2 200 2001 CVC European Equity Partners III 46.3 56 2003 Carlyle Europe Partners II 63.1 200 2003 Blackstone Capital Partners IV 38.2 250 2001 Apollo Investment Fund V Net IRR (%) Capital committed (US$ m) Vintage year Fund description
  • 7. Evolving trend of competition
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  • 9. A few observations Existing rivals Ex partners or units Investment banks Strategy consultants Competitors differentiate from others in terms of fund size, geographical focus, sector expertise etc. Recent example is Lee Equity Partners, formed by founder of Thomas H Lee Partners. Also in Jan 2005, Lion Capital was spun off from Hicks Muse Tate & Furst. Bain Capital was founded in 1984 by three partners of Bain & Co. Should we expect McKinsey Capital soon given its corporate networks & industry knowledge? Apart from aggressive players like Goldman Sachs and Macquarie, Bank of America is targeting to raise US$1 billion private equity fund.
  • 10. A few observations (continued) Hedge funds Corporate buyers Family groups Potential LPs Eton Park Capital, a hedge fund formed by ex Goldman Sachs star trader Eric Mindich in 2004, is competing with buyout firms for private equity deals. Universal Music Group of Vivendi beat seven bidders in Sept (incl. Goldman Sachs Capital Partners) to clinch BMG, making it the world’s biggest music publisher. China Life, the largest insurance company in China, did a PIPE transaction of US$400m in CITIC Securities in June. Terry Gou, the richest man in Taiwan and owner of the world’s largest EMS provider, will likely establish a private equity firm in 2008 to target technology sector.
  • 12. A number of alternatives … Listed Fund Mega Fund Distressed Fund Hedge Fund Sector Fund Mezzanine Fund
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  • 14. How to outbid rivals?
  • 15. Look at LBO history first 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 2000s 1990s 1956: The first LBO might be the US$49m purchase by McLean Industries, Inc. of Waterman Steamship Corporation. 1969: A “bootstrap" transaction was characterized by Victor Posner's hostile takeover of Sharon Steel Corp. 1981: A legendary LBO was Wesray’s acquisition of Gibson Greetings Cards for US$80m, with equity portion of only US$1m. The IPO in 1983 valued the company at US$330m. 1989: The second largest LBO was RJR Nabisco, acquired by KKR for US$31.4 billion. 2006: HCA agreed to sell itself to three private equity firms (Bain, KKR and ML) & the family of Senator Bill Frist for US$33 billion.
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  • 22. Well, how to do it then Fund I Equity LPs Rating Agency Target A Debt LPs $ Investment returns net mgmt fee and carried interest $ Guaranteed return backed by recaps, bonds issued by Fund I, etc. Target B Target C Credit rating
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  • 24. Thank You & Prepared By Leo Wong email: wong_leo@yahoo.com