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How can labour market data
influence an Hourglass?
Dr Jamie Mackay | Business Development Manager for HE
e: Jamie.Mackay@economicmodelling.co.uk | t: 07740 344750
Recap
• Universities engaging with and producing
practical solutions to real world problems
Contributors to UK Economy
• £39.9bn (2.8% of GDP) in 2011
(Universities UK, 2015)
• Turn innovative ideas and research
discoveries into new businesses
• Foster entrepreneurship and employability
(on and off campus)
• Contributions felt locally, regionally and
nationally
Contributors to UK Economy
Making the (regional)
difference
University Alliance:
• High quality teaching, critical to creating the
world’s future leaders and problem
solvers… preparing students for a career in
industry and the professions
• >20,462 business links (incl. ~14,000
SMEs)
• 21% of all turnover and 30% of all jobs from
UK graduate start-ups
• Leaders in cities and regions.
Making the regional difference
• Providing skills and knowledge for
employers
• Creating businesses and jobs
• R&D activity to (e.g.) raise productivity
• Attracting investment and talent to the
region - domestic and foreign
• Support delivery of LEP strategic priorities
Insights into regional
economies - GB
Insights into regional
economies - GB
2,736,892 76,440
11,519
Insights into regional
economies - GB
Insights into regional
economies - GB
Insights into regional economies
– Yorkshire and the Humber
Insights into regional economies
– Yorkshire and the Humber
201,340 6,441
960
Insights into regional economies
– Yorkshire and the Humber
Insights into regional economies
– Yorkshire and the Humber
Industry description (4-digit) 2016 - 2019 Change
Hospital activities 5,971
Activities auxiliary to financial services and insurance activities 3,484
Activities of head offices 3,057
Public administration and defence; compulsory social security 2,954
Restaurants and mobile food service activities 2,773
Construction of other civil engineering projects n.e.c. 2,021
Social work activities without accommodation for the elderly and disabled 1,922
Maintenance and repair of motor vehicles 1,891
Other social work activities without accommodation n.e.c. 1,766
Warehousing and storage 1,672
Insights into regional economies
– Yorkshire and the Humber
Job description (4-digit) Annual Openings
Care workers and home carers 3,931
Sales and retail assistants 3,881
Cleaners and domestics 3,210
Nurses 2,812
Other administrative occupations n.e.c. 2,801
Elementary storage occupations 2,454
Kitchen and catering assistants 1,971
Large goods vehicle drivers 1,691
Nursing auxiliaries and assistants 1,675
Primary and nursery education teaching professionals 1,647
Insights into regional economies
– Yorkshire and the Humber
Job description (Graduate-level, 4-digit) Annual Openings
Nurses 2,812
Primary and nursery education teaching professionals 1,647
Sales accounts and business development managers 1,642
Secondary education teaching professionals 1,267
Medical practitioners 1,215
Production managers and directors in manufacturing 952
Financial managers and directors 770
Business and financial project management professionals 723
Programmers and software development professionals 711
Chartered and certified accountants 625
Graduates and diversity
• More ‘WP’ cohorts attending university
• HE in FE also important for ‘WP’ –
particularly in more rural communities
• Access to HE enables ‘second chance’ for
adult learners
• More representative boardrooms?
• Changes to recruitment processes and
procedures (e.g. Deloitte, EY, KPMG,
PwC)
Graduates and Economic Growth
• 1% increase in graduates
associated with 7.5% increase
in average productivity three
years later
• On average, each graduate
contributes an extra £80k in
tax and social contributions
across their working life
Graduates and Economic Growth
• Higher employment rates
• Lower unemployment rates
• High-skilled employment
• Higher earnings
• More mobile in the labour market…
Introducing Generation Z
Ref.: www.visioncritical.com/generation-z-infographics
• Born 1995-2010 (I’m Gen. X!)
• Cool experience > Cool product
• DIY > Buy
• Tech savvy, digital natives (digital
immigrants)
• Innovative, online researchers wanting to
boost their people management skills and
become entrepreneurs rather than employees
• If they don’t like it, they’ll move on!
Hourglass
Economy…
> 70%
61 – 70%
51 – 60%
41 – 50%
31 – 40%
< 31%
* Reference: Ball, C. 2015. Loyals, Stayers, Returners and Incomers: Graduate migration patterns.
HECSU.
31 – 40%
21 – 30%
11 – 20%
0 – 10%
‘Loyal’ graduates from 2012/13 employed after
six months in each region*
‘Returner’ graduates from 2012/13 employed
after six months in each region*
Introducing Generation Z
References:
The UK Graduate Careers Survey 2015, High Fliers Research
Accenture Strategy 2015 UK University Graduate Employment Study, Accenture
• More career-focused than predecessors
• Researching careers in first year
• Undertaking work experience; including
placements and internships
• Higher salary expectations - £41k by 5yrs
(although these are not always met!)
• Feel underemployed by some businesses
• Commonly looking to work in SMEs
Taking stock
• Continue to engage real world problems
and produce practical problems
• Regionalism / Devolution agenda
• Historically, universities perceived as
supply-driven producers of workforce
talent
• But…
Taking stock
• This traditional model is missing the
needs / demands of:
– the labour market
– the local / regional / national economies
– (the learners themselves)
• So, here’s a new vision:
A new vision
(Ref. Andy Westwood)
Universities take on a larger role in balancing
supply/demand components of education
and the labour market:
Shaping and communicating
your portfolio of courses
• Where are your students coming from?
• What are your students’ expectations?
• Where are your graduates going?
• How does your curriculum portfolio map
to the needs of these regions?
• What is the competition doing?
Employer-focused provision
Employer-focused provision
• Addressing real world problem of perpetual
skills gaps
• Help HEIs grow regional economies
• Entry into labour force and transferability of
skills beyond - including overseas
• Impact on productivity immediately (rather
than waiting 3-4 years)
• Widening participation and social mobility
• Social capital in classroom + workplace
Employer-focused provision
Communicating the value of work-based
routes to key stakeholders:
• Internal colleagues
• Employers
• Schools / Colleges
• Prospective Apprentices
• Parents / Carers
How can labour market data
influence an Hourglass?
1. Universities as Economic Developers
2. Higher level skills enable mobility
3. Regional insights are key
4. Balancing supply / demand components of
education and the labour market
5. Labour market data can both inform
strategic direction and communicate
valuable messages to prospective learners
Any questions?
Dr Jamie Mackay | Business Development Manager for HE
e: Jamie.Mackay@economicmodelling.co.uk | t: 07740 344750
Dr Jamie Mackay | Business Development Manager for HE
e: Jamie.Mackay@economicmodelling.co.uk | t: 07740 344750

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How can labour market data influence an Hourglass?

  • 1. How can labour market data influence an Hourglass? Dr Jamie Mackay | Business Development Manager for HE e: Jamie.Mackay@economicmodelling.co.uk | t: 07740 344750
  • 2. Recap • Universities engaging with and producing practical solutions to real world problems
  • 3. Contributors to UK Economy • £39.9bn (2.8% of GDP) in 2011 (Universities UK, 2015) • Turn innovative ideas and research discoveries into new businesses • Foster entrepreneurship and employability (on and off campus) • Contributions felt locally, regionally and nationally
  • 5. Making the (regional) difference University Alliance: • High quality teaching, critical to creating the world’s future leaders and problem solvers… preparing students for a career in industry and the professions • >20,462 business links (incl. ~14,000 SMEs) • 21% of all turnover and 30% of all jobs from UK graduate start-ups • Leaders in cities and regions.
  • 6. Making the regional difference • Providing skills and knowledge for employers • Creating businesses and jobs • R&D activity to (e.g.) raise productivity • Attracting investment and talent to the region - domestic and foreign • Support delivery of LEP strategic priorities
  • 8. Insights into regional economies - GB 2,736,892 76,440 11,519
  • 11. Insights into regional economies – Yorkshire and the Humber
  • 12. Insights into regional economies – Yorkshire and the Humber 201,340 6,441 960
  • 13. Insights into regional economies – Yorkshire and the Humber
  • 14. Insights into regional economies – Yorkshire and the Humber Industry description (4-digit) 2016 - 2019 Change Hospital activities 5,971 Activities auxiliary to financial services and insurance activities 3,484 Activities of head offices 3,057 Public administration and defence; compulsory social security 2,954 Restaurants and mobile food service activities 2,773 Construction of other civil engineering projects n.e.c. 2,021 Social work activities without accommodation for the elderly and disabled 1,922 Maintenance and repair of motor vehicles 1,891 Other social work activities without accommodation n.e.c. 1,766 Warehousing and storage 1,672
  • 15. Insights into regional economies – Yorkshire and the Humber Job description (4-digit) Annual Openings Care workers and home carers 3,931 Sales and retail assistants 3,881 Cleaners and domestics 3,210 Nurses 2,812 Other administrative occupations n.e.c. 2,801 Elementary storage occupations 2,454 Kitchen and catering assistants 1,971 Large goods vehicle drivers 1,691 Nursing auxiliaries and assistants 1,675 Primary and nursery education teaching professionals 1,647
  • 16. Insights into regional economies – Yorkshire and the Humber Job description (Graduate-level, 4-digit) Annual Openings Nurses 2,812 Primary and nursery education teaching professionals 1,647 Sales accounts and business development managers 1,642 Secondary education teaching professionals 1,267 Medical practitioners 1,215 Production managers and directors in manufacturing 952 Financial managers and directors 770 Business and financial project management professionals 723 Programmers and software development professionals 711 Chartered and certified accountants 625
  • 17. Graduates and diversity • More ‘WP’ cohorts attending university • HE in FE also important for ‘WP’ – particularly in more rural communities • Access to HE enables ‘second chance’ for adult learners • More representative boardrooms? • Changes to recruitment processes and procedures (e.g. Deloitte, EY, KPMG, PwC)
  • 18. Graduates and Economic Growth • 1% increase in graduates associated with 7.5% increase in average productivity three years later • On average, each graduate contributes an extra £80k in tax and social contributions across their working life
  • 19. Graduates and Economic Growth • Higher employment rates • Lower unemployment rates • High-skilled employment • Higher earnings • More mobile in the labour market…
  • 20. Introducing Generation Z Ref.: www.visioncritical.com/generation-z-infographics • Born 1995-2010 (I’m Gen. X!) • Cool experience > Cool product • DIY > Buy • Tech savvy, digital natives (digital immigrants) • Innovative, online researchers wanting to boost their people management skills and become entrepreneurs rather than employees • If they don’t like it, they’ll move on!
  • 22. > 70% 61 – 70% 51 – 60% 41 – 50% 31 – 40% < 31% * Reference: Ball, C. 2015. Loyals, Stayers, Returners and Incomers: Graduate migration patterns. HECSU. 31 – 40% 21 – 30% 11 – 20% 0 – 10% ‘Loyal’ graduates from 2012/13 employed after six months in each region* ‘Returner’ graduates from 2012/13 employed after six months in each region*
  • 23. Introducing Generation Z References: The UK Graduate Careers Survey 2015, High Fliers Research Accenture Strategy 2015 UK University Graduate Employment Study, Accenture • More career-focused than predecessors • Researching careers in first year • Undertaking work experience; including placements and internships • Higher salary expectations - £41k by 5yrs (although these are not always met!) • Feel underemployed by some businesses • Commonly looking to work in SMEs
  • 24. Taking stock • Continue to engage real world problems and produce practical problems • Regionalism / Devolution agenda • Historically, universities perceived as supply-driven producers of workforce talent • But…
  • 25. Taking stock • This traditional model is missing the needs / demands of: – the labour market – the local / regional / national economies – (the learners themselves) • So, here’s a new vision:
  • 26. A new vision (Ref. Andy Westwood) Universities take on a larger role in balancing supply/demand components of education and the labour market:
  • 27. Shaping and communicating your portfolio of courses • Where are your students coming from? • What are your students’ expectations? • Where are your graduates going? • How does your curriculum portfolio map to the needs of these regions? • What is the competition doing?
  • 29. Employer-focused provision • Addressing real world problem of perpetual skills gaps • Help HEIs grow regional economies • Entry into labour force and transferability of skills beyond - including overseas • Impact on productivity immediately (rather than waiting 3-4 years) • Widening participation and social mobility • Social capital in classroom + workplace
  • 30. Employer-focused provision Communicating the value of work-based routes to key stakeholders: • Internal colleagues • Employers • Schools / Colleges • Prospective Apprentices • Parents / Carers
  • 31. How can labour market data influence an Hourglass? 1. Universities as Economic Developers 2. Higher level skills enable mobility 3. Regional insights are key 4. Balancing supply / demand components of education and the labour market 5. Labour market data can both inform strategic direction and communicate valuable messages to prospective learners
  • 32. Any questions? Dr Jamie Mackay | Business Development Manager for HE e: Jamie.Mackay@economicmodelling.co.uk | t: 07740 344750
  • 33. Dr Jamie Mackay | Business Development Manager for HE e: Jamie.Mackay@economicmodelling.co.uk | t: 07740 344750

Editor's Notes

  1. Small: 2,736,892 Medium: 76,440 Large: 11,519
  2. Small: 2,736,892 Medium: 76,440 Large: 11,519
  3. Small: 201,340 Medium: 6,441 Large: 960
  4. Small: 201,340 Medium: 6,441 Large: 960
  5. Where are your students coming from? Local? National? Overseas? What are your students’ expectations? Accessibility and inclusivity? Flexible delivery? Graduate employability? Where are your graduates going? Local? National? Overseas? How does your curriculum portfolio map to the needs of these regions? What is the competition doing? Other universities? Alternative / private providers? Colleges?
  6. Addressing real world problem of perpetual skills gaps - use of strategic and tactical LMI HEIs use these to grow regional economies - working with employers to address skills needs Recognise that occupations exist in different industries - transferable skills and career progression BUT need to ensure HDAs not too narrow in skills training Enable learners to be more productive immediately rather than waiting 3-4 years WP and Social mobility - Engage career-focused YP and debt-adverse Social capital in classroom as well as workplace
  7. Different audiences are going to have slightly different questions But most of these will likely focus on ‘employment’. Moreover, sustainable employment Exciting renaissance for HE - proud that SHU is at the forefront!