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An overview of the US subprime crisis
Structure of this update ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Subprime Mortgage Market is in trouble ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
A wobbly subprime market ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Implications of the current state ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
… Implications… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
How did we get here… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Sub prime business ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Negative aspects of subprime lending ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Economics and default risk Incomes tend to rise; ability to borrow improves  Banks are also keen  to lend so that the boom is reflected in their balance sheets as well Competition leads to lower rates; riskier credit decisions, customers tend to bargain Lower profitability is a result; profits and risk based pricing are important to build reserves for future bad times Borrowers take larger loans, second house, become speculators Banks search for growth in profits by seeking more borrowers; at better rates= subprime borrowers Because of many buyers funded by loans, property prices go sky-high If property prices correct downwards, weaker borrowers/ those who took loans recently are impacted: default Increasing instances of default alert the banks and they tighten their criteria, foreclosing if LTV drops Foreclosures releases property into the market, prices drop further  BOOM RECESSION As prices drop, LTV drops further; as banks get scared they call back loans quicker than before In boom times, everyone does well
Theoretical background ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What is being done ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What is being done ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Two heroes: Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Role of Fannie Mae/ Freddie Mac ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Things to watch Signals and impact in the Bond and CDO market
How did subprime lending impact banking sector? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
CDOs and Mortgage Defaults
Story of a CDO sold by Credit Suisse ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
This particular issue had ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The role of ratings… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
However, CDO building/ Securitisation is… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
… CDOs continued.. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
… CDOs continued.. ,[object Object],[object Object]
Mortgage/ subprime exposure ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Bond Market ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Bond markets  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
In Conclusion… ,[object Object]
Soothing words from the Fed ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The last word has not been said on this topic…

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Housing Market In USA

  • 1. An overview of the US subprime crisis
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10. Economics and default risk Incomes tend to rise; ability to borrow improves Banks are also keen to lend so that the boom is reflected in their balance sheets as well Competition leads to lower rates; riskier credit decisions, customers tend to bargain Lower profitability is a result; profits and risk based pricing are important to build reserves for future bad times Borrowers take larger loans, second house, become speculators Banks search for growth in profits by seeking more borrowers; at better rates= subprime borrowers Because of many buyers funded by loans, property prices go sky-high If property prices correct downwards, weaker borrowers/ those who took loans recently are impacted: default Increasing instances of default alert the banks and they tighten their criteria, foreclosing if LTV drops Foreclosures releases property into the market, prices drop further BOOM RECESSION As prices drop, LTV drops further; as banks get scared they call back loans quicker than before In boom times, everyone does well
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16. Things to watch Signals and impact in the Bond and CDO market
  • 17.
  • 18. CDOs and Mortgage Defaults
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29.
  • 30. The last word has not been said on this topic…