The document discusses the challenges of long-term thinking in education policy given that students today will be working 15-20 years in the future in an increasingly complex system. While long-term visions are important, educational policymaking is often short-term and reactive to current political pressures. It notes that accurately predicting the future is very challenging, as shown by quotes from experts in 1929 claiming stocks had reached a permanent plateau, in the early 20th century dismissing the military value of airplanes, and in 2000 looking forward to changes.