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Have the Liberals made
things more affordable
Paul Young CPA CGA
October 1, 2019
Paul Young - Bio
• CPA, CGA
• Academia (PF1, FA4, MU1 and MS2)
• SME – Risk Management
• SME – Emerging Technology
• SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting
• SME – Public Policy
• SME – Financial Solutions
• SME – Cost to Serve modeling
• SME – Supply Chain Management
Contact information:
Paul_Young_CGA@Hotmail.com
Agenda
• Consumer Price Index
• Housing Prices
• Carbon Taxation
• Transit (Tax Credits vs Carbon Tax Credit)
• 80% of the Middle Class is paying higher taxes
• The wealthiest are paying less of the federal taxes
• Household Spending
• Child Tax Benefit / After Tax income
• Poverty
• Principal Residency / Speculator tax
• Trudeau’s policies are not keeping pace with
higher household costs. Trudeau thinks he can
provide a smoke screen on Child benefit. The
average net benefit for a family is about $1,200
(based on median income)
Introduction
• The liberal ran on a platform saying they would make things more
affordable. This presentation discuss key policy changes as part of
people assessing did the Liberals make lives either more affordable
or less affordable
Overall Cost of living by major area
Consumer Price Index
Source - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/190717/dq190717a-eng.htm
• The Liberals pushed a carbon tax onto
taxpayers by adding a carbon tax to price
of a liter.
• Inflation on average is about 1.9% which is
consistent with the past 17+ years
• Wage growth has at times not kept pace
with inflation -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga
/2019-election-wages-and-inflation-
canada-august-2019
• Government does set policies that impact
inflation
• Payroll taxes
• Income tax rates
• Regulations
• Hydro rates
• There are many factors that impact
inflation that are outside of government
control
• Commodity Prices
• Wage increases (Private Sector)
Housing Prices
Who would you trust to make housing more affordable?
@justintrudeau that introduced a Ponzi scheme for first-
time buyers
https://www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/british-
columbia/article-experts-question-rollout-of-federal-
housing-funds/
@andrewscheer new policy includes looking 30 yr
mortgages and a review of the stress test
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-
housing-and-real-estate-canada-june-2019 or
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-
housing-affordability-canada-june-2019
Source - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/t1/tbl1/en/cv.action?pid=1810020501#timeframe and http://www.rbc.com/economics/economic-reports/canadian-housing-
forecast.html
Household Costs / Carbon Pricing CAN environmental ranking has dropped one position under
your watch
No where do you mentioned either the dumping of sewage into
waterways or the impact of cruise ships.
No where do you mentioned that carbon tax hurts family
$1K+/yr (ex-tax credit)
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-
environment-climate-change-issues-and-concerns-canada-
september-2019
@cathmckenna
You allow sewage into waterways
Cruise ship have emissions issues
Oil is going by rail
Canada already taxed pollution way before your carbon tax
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-
environment-climate-change-issues-and-concerns-canada-
september-2019
Tax Impact I like to know @justintrudeau why he
thinks carbon tax refund $300 is better
than the transit tax credit ($400-675)
under Harper.
You would think the transit tax credit
encourage people to use transit which it
did when you look at ridership
Trudeau said people were no using the
tax credit and/or ridership was not
going up.
http://cutaactu.ca/en/news-
media/latest-news/transit-ridership-
growing-canada “2017 saw a 1.5%
increase in Canadian transit trips
over the previous year, according to
new data released by CUTA. ”
Source - https://globalnews.ca/news/5368001/canada-average-carbon-tax-
rebates/beta/?utm_expid=.kz0UD5JkQOCo6yMqxGqECg.1&utm_referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com%2F or https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-
Liberals voted against a motion to stop rising cost of fuel and
food
Source - https://www.spencerfernando.com/2018/05/08/trudeau-liberals-vote-against-motion-to-lower-gas-grocery-prices/#respond
http://business.financialpost.com/pmn/business-pmn/newsalert-statistics-canada-says-cpi-in-march-up-2-3-from-year-ago-2
• Liberals said they would make things
affordable for Canadians -
https://www.liberal.ca/trudeau-unveils-
liberal-platform-for-a-strong-middle-class/
• 80% of Canadians are paying higher
taxes -
https://globalnews.ca/news/3769136/t
axes-middle-class-liberals/
• Carbon Taxes are regressive as they hurt
the low to middle class more in terms of
costs -
https://twitter.com/LindaFrum/status/
989957835692957696
• CPP hikes mean less after tax income
• https://www.slideshare.net/paulyo
ungcga/2019-election-retirement-
payroll-tax-cpp-canada-august-2019
• Jobs in goods producing sector lag
service sector -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungc
ga/2019-election-job-quality-and-
employment-canada-june-2019
Bottom line:
• Trudeau is not making things more affordable!
Wealthiest Who do you trust to more when it comes to taxing
the Top !%
@justinTrudeau who refuses to go after tax havens
and/or loss moneys during his so called tax hike -
https://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/article-
high-income-earners-paid-46-billion-less-in-taxes-in-
2016-despite/
@Andrewscheer who was part of a government that
brought in more tax fairness -
https://globalnews.ca/news/1356467/tax-cuts-since-
2005-net-canadians-30b-pbo/
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-
election-top-1-wealthiest-canada-june-2019
Household Spending
• Liberals forced a carbon tax which has impacted
household budget, i.e. transit and heating costs -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/carbon
-tax-and-pollution-taxation-all-you-need-to-know-
canada-april-2019
• Liberals claim the CPC policies led to high
consumer debt, but say little about their own
policies -
https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/entry/consumer-
debt-canada_ca_5d5c07d5e4b0d1e113685b39
• Liberals tout their record on jobs, but do never
discuss issues with either a slowing economy
(https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-
election-gdp-and-economy-canada-june-2019) or
job quality issues
(https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/real-
truth-about-economy-and-jobs-august-2019)
Household Spending (CPC vs LPC
• Ralph Goodale (circa 2015) – Source - https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/ralph-goodale/mr-harpers-economic-
recor_b_8020980.html “Canadians are stuck with $158-billion in new Harper debt -- without much to show
for it. There are 160,000 more jobless Canadians today than before Stephen Harper took power. Job
quality is at a 25-year low. Household debt is near a record high. Canada's trade deficit this year has
topped $13-billion. (Liberals have the highest household debt now
Poverty
• Liberal tout only one policy (Child Tax benefit). The problem is other policies like carbon taxation have had a
large impact on the poor
• Food bank usage continues to be on the rise - http://enfieldweeklypress.com/2019/08/24/food-bank-usage-
at-a-critical-level/
• Low income depend on public transit. Public transit has been impacted by carbon taxation -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/election-2019-transit-canada-june-2019 (Majority of buses and
trains are still supply by diesel
Taxation, After Tax Income and Household
Spending
Taxing the Rich
Canada net worth
Source - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/pub/11-626-x/11-626-x2019003-eng.htm or https://business.financialpost.com/news/economy/canadians-average-net-worth-shrinks-for-first-time-in-a-decade-amid-bank-
of-canada-rate-hikes or https://environicsanalytics.com/en-ca/resources/blogs/ea-blog/2019/09/18/wealthscapes-2019-report-canadians-display-financial-prudence
Harper 2015 Net worth
Trudeau seen the first
drop in net worth in
more than a decade
Turns out that Harper
Policies help with the
net worth for people
Blog – Taxation and After Tax
Who would be better for the middle class?
@justintrudeau who increase taxes on the middle class
https://www.fraserinstitute.org/article/trudeau-government-continues-to-spread-
misinformation-about-middle-class-tax-burden
@andrewscheer who was part of previous governments that led to Canada having one of the
best middle class in the world.
https://www.stcatharinesstandard.ca/opinion-story/9581143-andrew-scheer-in-his-own-
words-young-families-are-the-future-of-our-country-/?fbclid=iwar0tvoaxeqkbsp2ooe-
l7dszpqvetxwpxcfgke5ofmeozh1yrierlxag0ku
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-middle-class-canada-august-2019
Speculator Principal Capital Gain Tax
Adam Vaughan tax on principal residency is really call a speculator tax. Here are what people need to know about the speculator
tax:
• There have been many people that buy a condo before it is built. These people put down a down payment. The condo gets
built then these people sell it at the market value. CRA calls these people Condo Flippers “
https://business.financialpost.com/personal-finance/taxes/condo-flippers-beware-the-taxman-is-watching-you-and-has-new-
tools-at-his-disposal-to-take-action
• Starting with 2016 it was mandatory to report your principal residency on your tax return.
https://www.canada.ca/en/revenue-agency/services/tax/individuals/topics/about-your-tax-return/tax-return/completing-a-
tax-return/personal-income/line-127-capital-gains/principal-residence-other-real-estate/sale-your-principal-residence.html
• Many properties are held for longer period of times as such this speculator tax would not apply to them. However, there is
nothing stopping another government reviewing the capital gain exemption as part of future tax policies.
• This one-off policy will not fix the issues with supply and demand including urban vs rural strategy.
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-rural-areas-and-affairs-canada or
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/urban-planning-issues-facing-urban-planners-april-2019
• This policy will not fix houses that need major repairs. Many people are not doing the maintenance of their houses as such
future owners could be on the hook for housing improvement costs - https://globalnews.ca/news/3766695/homeownership-
costs-canadians-forget/
•
• Here is my presentation on affordable housing - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-who-do-you-trust-
more-to-make-housing-more-affordable
Federal Govt
– Fiscal
Management
• GDP growth is 2% on
avg for Trudeau
• Trudeau has no
balance budget
What’s next
• Removing the carbon tax
• All levels of government need to stop looking for ways to
tax people and start fixing issues with the tax code as well
as finding better ways to deliver government -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-
fiscally-responsible-government-canada-september-2019 or
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-
tax-reforms-and-fairness-canada-september-2019
• Fixing policies that will ensure Canada is more competitive
when it comes to attracting FDI -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-
canada-competitivenes-september-2019
• All governments along with the private sector need to fix
the systemic issues with housing -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-
housing-affordability-canada-june-2019
• All levels of government along with private sector need to
work together as part of address the skill gap issues -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-
human-capital-and-skills-management-canada-september-
2019

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Have the Liberals made lives for Canadians more affordable?

  • 1. Have the Liberals made things more affordable Paul Young CPA CGA October 1, 2019
  • 2. Paul Young - Bio • CPA, CGA • Academia (PF1, FA4, MU1 and MS2) • SME – Risk Management • SME – Emerging Technology • SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting • SME – Public Policy • SME – Financial Solutions • SME – Cost to Serve modeling • SME – Supply Chain Management Contact information: Paul_Young_CGA@Hotmail.com
  • 3. Agenda • Consumer Price Index • Housing Prices • Carbon Taxation • Transit (Tax Credits vs Carbon Tax Credit) • 80% of the Middle Class is paying higher taxes • The wealthiest are paying less of the federal taxes • Household Spending • Child Tax Benefit / After Tax income • Poverty • Principal Residency / Speculator tax • Trudeau’s policies are not keeping pace with higher household costs. Trudeau thinks he can provide a smoke screen on Child benefit. The average net benefit for a family is about $1,200 (based on median income)
  • 4. Introduction • The liberal ran on a platform saying they would make things more affordable. This presentation discuss key policy changes as part of people assessing did the Liberals make lives either more affordable or less affordable
  • 5. Overall Cost of living by major area
  • 6. Consumer Price Index Source - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/190717/dq190717a-eng.htm • The Liberals pushed a carbon tax onto taxpayers by adding a carbon tax to price of a liter. • Inflation on average is about 1.9% which is consistent with the past 17+ years • Wage growth has at times not kept pace with inflation - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga /2019-election-wages-and-inflation- canada-august-2019 • Government does set policies that impact inflation • Payroll taxes • Income tax rates • Regulations • Hydro rates • There are many factors that impact inflation that are outside of government control • Commodity Prices • Wage increases (Private Sector)
  • 7. Housing Prices Who would you trust to make housing more affordable? @justintrudeau that introduced a Ponzi scheme for first- time buyers https://www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/british- columbia/article-experts-question-rollout-of-federal- housing-funds/ @andrewscheer new policy includes looking 30 yr mortgages and a review of the stress test https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election- housing-and-real-estate-canada-june-2019 or https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election- housing-affordability-canada-june-2019 Source - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/t1/tbl1/en/cv.action?pid=1810020501#timeframe and http://www.rbc.com/economics/economic-reports/canadian-housing- forecast.html
  • 8. Household Costs / Carbon Pricing CAN environmental ranking has dropped one position under your watch No where do you mentioned either the dumping of sewage into waterways or the impact of cruise ships. No where do you mentioned that carbon tax hurts family $1K+/yr (ex-tax credit) https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election- environment-climate-change-issues-and-concerns-canada- september-2019 @cathmckenna You allow sewage into waterways Cruise ship have emissions issues Oil is going by rail Canada already taxed pollution way before your carbon tax https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election- environment-climate-change-issues-and-concerns-canada- september-2019
  • 9. Tax Impact I like to know @justintrudeau why he thinks carbon tax refund $300 is better than the transit tax credit ($400-675) under Harper. You would think the transit tax credit encourage people to use transit which it did when you look at ridership Trudeau said people were no using the tax credit and/or ridership was not going up. http://cutaactu.ca/en/news- media/latest-news/transit-ridership- growing-canada “2017 saw a 1.5% increase in Canadian transit trips over the previous year, according to new data released by CUTA. ” Source - https://globalnews.ca/news/5368001/canada-average-carbon-tax- rebates/beta/?utm_expid=.kz0UD5JkQOCo6yMqxGqECg.1&utm_referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com%2F or https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-
  • 10. Liberals voted against a motion to stop rising cost of fuel and food Source - https://www.spencerfernando.com/2018/05/08/trudeau-liberals-vote-against-motion-to-lower-gas-grocery-prices/#respond http://business.financialpost.com/pmn/business-pmn/newsalert-statistics-canada-says-cpi-in-march-up-2-3-from-year-ago-2 • Liberals said they would make things affordable for Canadians - https://www.liberal.ca/trudeau-unveils- liberal-platform-for-a-strong-middle-class/ • 80% of Canadians are paying higher taxes - https://globalnews.ca/news/3769136/t axes-middle-class-liberals/ • Carbon Taxes are regressive as they hurt the low to middle class more in terms of costs - https://twitter.com/LindaFrum/status/ 989957835692957696 • CPP hikes mean less after tax income • https://www.slideshare.net/paulyo ungcga/2019-election-retirement- payroll-tax-cpp-canada-august-2019 • Jobs in goods producing sector lag service sector - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungc ga/2019-election-job-quality-and- employment-canada-june-2019 Bottom line: • Trudeau is not making things more affordable!
  • 11. Wealthiest Who do you trust to more when it comes to taxing the Top !% @justinTrudeau who refuses to go after tax havens and/or loss moneys during his so called tax hike - https://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/article- high-income-earners-paid-46-billion-less-in-taxes-in- 2016-despite/ @Andrewscheer who was part of a government that brought in more tax fairness - https://globalnews.ca/news/1356467/tax-cuts-since- 2005-net-canadians-30b-pbo/ https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019- election-top-1-wealthiest-canada-june-2019
  • 12. Household Spending • Liberals forced a carbon tax which has impacted household budget, i.e. transit and heating costs - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/carbon -tax-and-pollution-taxation-all-you-need-to-know- canada-april-2019 • Liberals claim the CPC policies led to high consumer debt, but say little about their own policies - https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/entry/consumer- debt-canada_ca_5d5c07d5e4b0d1e113685b39 • Liberals tout their record on jobs, but do never discuss issues with either a slowing economy (https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019- election-gdp-and-economy-canada-june-2019) or job quality issues (https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/real- truth-about-economy-and-jobs-august-2019)
  • 13. Household Spending (CPC vs LPC • Ralph Goodale (circa 2015) – Source - https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/ralph-goodale/mr-harpers-economic- recor_b_8020980.html “Canadians are stuck with $158-billion in new Harper debt -- without much to show for it. There are 160,000 more jobless Canadians today than before Stephen Harper took power. Job quality is at a 25-year low. Household debt is near a record high. Canada's trade deficit this year has topped $13-billion. (Liberals have the highest household debt now
  • 14. Poverty • Liberal tout only one policy (Child Tax benefit). The problem is other policies like carbon taxation have had a large impact on the poor • Food bank usage continues to be on the rise - http://enfieldweeklypress.com/2019/08/24/food-bank-usage- at-a-critical-level/ • Low income depend on public transit. Public transit has been impacted by carbon taxation - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/election-2019-transit-canada-june-2019 (Majority of buses and trains are still supply by diesel
  • 15. Taxation, After Tax Income and Household Spending
  • 16.
  • 18. Canada net worth Source - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/pub/11-626-x/11-626-x2019003-eng.htm or https://business.financialpost.com/news/economy/canadians-average-net-worth-shrinks-for-first-time-in-a-decade-amid-bank- of-canada-rate-hikes or https://environicsanalytics.com/en-ca/resources/blogs/ea-blog/2019/09/18/wealthscapes-2019-report-canadians-display-financial-prudence Harper 2015 Net worth Trudeau seen the first drop in net worth in more than a decade Turns out that Harper Policies help with the net worth for people
  • 19. Blog – Taxation and After Tax Who would be better for the middle class? @justintrudeau who increase taxes on the middle class https://www.fraserinstitute.org/article/trudeau-government-continues-to-spread- misinformation-about-middle-class-tax-burden @andrewscheer who was part of previous governments that led to Canada having one of the best middle class in the world. https://www.stcatharinesstandard.ca/opinion-story/9581143-andrew-scheer-in-his-own- words-young-families-are-the-future-of-our-country-/?fbclid=iwar0tvoaxeqkbsp2ooe- l7dszpqvetxwpxcfgke5ofmeozh1yrierlxag0ku https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-middle-class-canada-august-2019
  • 20. Speculator Principal Capital Gain Tax Adam Vaughan tax on principal residency is really call a speculator tax. Here are what people need to know about the speculator tax: • There have been many people that buy a condo before it is built. These people put down a down payment. The condo gets built then these people sell it at the market value. CRA calls these people Condo Flippers “ https://business.financialpost.com/personal-finance/taxes/condo-flippers-beware-the-taxman-is-watching-you-and-has-new- tools-at-his-disposal-to-take-action • Starting with 2016 it was mandatory to report your principal residency on your tax return. https://www.canada.ca/en/revenue-agency/services/tax/individuals/topics/about-your-tax-return/tax-return/completing-a- tax-return/personal-income/line-127-capital-gains/principal-residence-other-real-estate/sale-your-principal-residence.html • Many properties are held for longer period of times as such this speculator tax would not apply to them. However, there is nothing stopping another government reviewing the capital gain exemption as part of future tax policies. • This one-off policy will not fix the issues with supply and demand including urban vs rural strategy. https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-rural-areas-and-affairs-canada or https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/urban-planning-issues-facing-urban-planners-april-2019 • This policy will not fix houses that need major repairs. Many people are not doing the maintenance of their houses as such future owners could be on the hook for housing improvement costs - https://globalnews.ca/news/3766695/homeownership- costs-canadians-forget/ • • Here is my presentation on affordable housing - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-who-do-you-trust- more-to-make-housing-more-affordable
  • 21. Federal Govt – Fiscal Management • GDP growth is 2% on avg for Trudeau • Trudeau has no balance budget
  • 22. What’s next • Removing the carbon tax • All levels of government need to stop looking for ways to tax people and start fixing issues with the tax code as well as finding better ways to deliver government - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election- fiscally-responsible-government-canada-september-2019 or https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election- tax-reforms-and-fairness-canada-september-2019 • Fixing policies that will ensure Canada is more competitive when it comes to attracting FDI - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election- canada-competitivenes-september-2019 • All governments along with the private sector need to fix the systemic issues with housing - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election- housing-affordability-canada-june-2019 • All levels of government along with private sector need to work together as part of address the skill gap issues - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election- human-capital-and-skills-management-canada-september- 2019

Editor's Notes

  1. Source - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/pub/11-626-x/11-626-x2019003-eng.htm or https://business.financialpost.com/news/economy/canadians-average-net-worth-shrinks-for-first-time-in-a-decade-amid-bank-of-canada-rate-hikes or https://environicsanalytics.com/en-ca/resources/blogs/ea-blog/2019/09/18/wealthscapes-2019-report-canadians-display-financial-prudence or https://environicsanalytics.com/en-ca/resources/media-room/press-releases/2016/09/07/wealthscapes-2016-reveals-continuing-improvement-in-canadians-finances