Copies of the slides used to present the enhanced Hanover Seminar concet at this year's Counter terror Expo in London. For further details see www.sevenquestions.co.uk

1. Hanover Seminars
Peter Clarke
Malcolm Baker
Philip Hannah

2. Introductions
[who are we]?
[why are we here]?
[what we want to talk about]?
[why is it important]?
[how do we want you to leave]?

3. 20th
Century
Crises

4. 21stcenturycrises

5. PERSONAL REFLECTIONS
• TRAINED IN 20TH CENTURY CRISES –
BRADFORD, ZEEBRUGGE,
HILLSBOROUGH, CLAPHAM
• FACED WITH 21ST CENTURY CRISES –
BALI, RICIN, 7/7, 21/7, AIRLINES PLOT,
FOREST GATE, LITVINENKO
WHAT HAS CHANGED?
HOW CAN WE BE BETTER PREPARED?

6. complex

7. FROM
IRISH
TO
ISLAMIST....
Domes2c
Global
Tightly
Structured
Fluid
Avoid
Capture
Suicide
Restricted
Casual2es
Mass
Murder
Warnings
No
Warnings
Bombs
and
Bullets
Unconven2onal
Nego2able
Agenda
No
Poli2cal
Solu2on

8. 8
Humanitarian
Assistance
Centre
Help/Support Line
Crisis Support
team(s)
Temporary Mortuary
Body Holding Area(s)
Family and Friends
Reception Centre(s) Family Liaison
Officers
Rest Centre
Survivor Reception
Centre
Documentation team(s)
Casualty Clearing
Station(s)
Implement structures according to need & time.
Casualty
Bureau
Evacuation Assembly
Point

9. uncertain

10. UNCERTAINTY
• RISK OF INFORMATION OVERLOAD
AND CONSEQUENT LACK OF CLARITY
e.g BEHAVIOURAL INDICATORS
• ON 21/7, FEAR OF CBRN
• FRAGILITY OF PHONE SYSTEMS – 9/11
AND 7/7
• WILL THERE BE FURTHER ATTACKS?
9/11, 7/7 AND AIRLINES PLOT.

11. interconnected

12. Interconnected
Consequences

13. INTERCONNECTED
CONSEQUENCES
• CONTAMINATION
• PUBLIC
HEALTH
• CRIME
• INTELLIGENCE
• DIPLOMACY

14. unclear

15. UNCLEAR
• DESPITE
CLEAR
C2
AND
MODERN
COMMUNICATIONS
-­‐
LACK
OF
CLARITY
AS
TO
7/7
ATTACKS
FOR
SOME
HOURS
• DESPITE
MODERN
MEDICINE
AND
SCIENCE,
IT
TOOK
WEEKS
TO
UNDERSTAND
LITVINENKO’S
CONDITION.
• WHAT
IS
THE
INTELLIGENCE
ACTUALLY
TELLING
US
–
eg
FOREST
GATE?

16. UNCLEAR
• RISK
OF
INFORMATION
OVERLOAD
AND
CONSEQUENT
LACK
OF
CLARITY
e.g
BEHAVIOURAL
INDICATORS
• ON
21/7,
FEAR
OF
CBRN
• FRAGILITY
OF
PHONE
SYSTEMS
–
9/11
AND
7/7
• WILL
THERE
BE
FURTHER
ATTACKS?
9/11,
7/7
AND
AIRLINES
PLOT.

17. THE UK IEM MODEL
• ANTICIPATE
• ASSESS
• PREVENT
• PREPARE
• RESPOND
• RECOVER
But
does
our
training
and
exercising
actually
address
all
of
these?
Is
there
a
model
that
does?

18. “If it is broken …”

20. Hanover Seminars
Peter Clarke
Malcolm Baker
Philip Hannah

21. Hanover
Seminars

22. Building Resilience
• Horizon scanning
• Gap analysis
• Functional analysis
• Stakeholder analysis
• Relationships
• Trust & confidence
• Proven methodology

24. Co-ordination of Activity

25. Like a parachute …..…
… the mind only
works when
it is open

26. Many heads are better than one …
… a comprehensive approach to reduce
threats, vulnerability and risks.

27. strategic
overview

28. Hanover Seminars
Peter Clarke
Malcolm Baker
Philip Hannah

29. How does
it work?
What does it look like?

30. strategic
overview

31. “twin tracks”

32. tactical &
operational
focus

33. deep
dive

34. value of
wargaming

37. transparency

39. How much are you
leaving to chance?