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8th annual new york
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October 1, 2012 • new york, ny
Underfollowed ad Undervalued:
More Small Cap Bargains
Guy Gottfried, Rational Investment GrOUP

Join us for the 8th Annual Spring Value Investing Congress in Las Vegas!

To register and benefit from a special discount go to www.ValueInvestingCongress.com/SAVE
Underfollowed and Undervalued:
More Small Cap Bargains
Guy Gottfried, Rational Investment Group
(647) 346-0464 guygottfried@rationalig.com
From the Father of Value Investing
“Investment is most intelligent when it is most businesslike.”
-Benjamin Graham


Do I understand the business?



Is the balance sheet sound?



Am I partnering with the right people?



Am I getting a great deal?

Rarely worth compromising on these criteria; why not insist on the complete
package before committing your hard-earned capital?
Investment Idea: ClubLink Enterprises (TSX: CLK)

Golf Club and Tourism Operator
Snapshot
Price

Diluted Shares O/S

$7.55*

26.7 million

Market Cap

Dividend

$201 million*

$0.30* (4.0% yield)

*All financial figures pertaining to ClubLink are in Canadian dollars unless otherwise noted
ClubLink: Two Segments
Golf



51 golf clubs in Canada and US
Three geographic clusters: Southern Ontario/Muskoka, Quebec/Eastern
Ontario, Florida

Rail, Tourism & Port




Three docks providing four berths in Port of Skagway, Alaska
White Pass & Yukon Route: railway built in 1898 during Klondike Gold
Rush, now operated as tourist excursion between Skagway and Yukon
Why is ClubLink Worth Your Attention?


Two high-quality, predictable and growing businesses trading at
5.5x free cash flow (FCF)



Golf and tourism business each worth more than stock price



Tremendous growth opportunity in distressed industry and
financial strength to fully exploit it



Excellent management and capital allocation
Why is It So Cheap?


No sell-side coverage or conference calls



Illiquid due to high insider ownership



Unusual business: owns two totally unrelated divisions; named
after golf segment yet also runs tourist operation in Alaska



Recently-acquired Florida golf clubs significantly under-earning;
masks true earnings power and magnitude of US opportunity
Brief History


1997: outside investor Rai Sahi wins proxy contest against metals
distributor Russel Metals, begins divesting non-core assets





2001: Tri-White buys 25% stake in ClubLink Corp. (LNK) held by
ClubCorp (US golf club owner)




Spins off White Pass via rights offering into public firm called Tri-White
Rights offering underfollowed, Sahi takes control of Tri-White

In ensuing years, uses additional purchases, buybacks by LNK to boost
ownership to over 70%

2009: Acquires rest of LNK, changes name from Tri-White to
ClubLink Enterprises
Asset Quality: Golf


Canada’s largest golf club owner with some of top clubs in country




Highly cash flow generative




7 of its 39 Canadian clubs ranked among 100 best in Canada*

Annual dues and portion of entry fees paid upfront, no cash taxes for
years due to accelerated depreciation

Competitive advantage: scale allows members to enjoy numerous
clubs under one membership


Creates compelling acquisition economics; each acquisition enhances
value of both acquired club and rest of network

*Source: SCOREGolf magazine 2012 rankings
Asset Quality: Tourism


80% of all Alaska cruise ship passengers dock at ClubLink’s
docks in Port of Skagway (e.g. 81% in 2011)



Approximately half of cruise passengers arriving in Skagway
take White Pass excursion



White Pass recognized as one of 36 International Historic
Civil Engineering Landmarks (others incl. Panama Canal, Eiffel
Tower, Statue of Liberty)

White Pass: Alaska’s most popular excursion and truly
irreplaceable asset
Cruise lines promote White Pass to their passengers, bringing
business to ClubLink with little effort by company itself
Tourism Segment: Revenue and Profitability
45.0
40.0

40%

38%

41%

40%

37%

39%

38%

40%

45%
40%

35.0

35%

30.0

30%

25.0

25%

20.0
15.0

31.9

34.3

10.0
5.0
0.0

12.6
2004

13.1
2005

40.0

35.9

14.8

14.7
2006

38.8

2007

Revenue

38.1

15.4
2008

EBIT

15.0
2009

35.3

13.3
2010

36.5

20%
15%

14.5
2011

10%
5%
0%

EBIT margin

Earnings resilient during economic decline, will reach all-time high in 2013
Note: amounts in millions of US dollars (segment’s local currency)
Terrific Owner-Operator



CEO Rai Sahi: control investor whose whole career built on
opportunistic acquisitions



Outstanding capital allocator, aggressive buyer of stock



Has issued options only once in past eight years (131K granted
– less than 0.5% of outstanding shares)
History of Shrewd Capital Allocation


Repurchases: 19% of shares in past 12 years, 5% in H1 2012




Purchase of initial 25% stake in LNK from ClubCorp – 2001




Impressive given stock’s low float (Sahi owns 66% of company)

ClubCorp desperate for cash to avoid violating covenants; sold to Tri-White
at 17% discount to LNK market price, greater discount to intrinsic value

Buyout of remaining 28% interest in LNK – 2009


Takeover done at ~15% discount to midpoint of bankers’ valuation of LNK;
valuation prepared amid one of worst market crashes in history
Florida/US: A Massive Opportunity


Florida golf market significantly overbuilt



Many lenders pulled out of golf industry in 2008-2009



ClubLink entered FL in 2010, has since acquired 11 clubs at
fraction of replacement cost



Potential to expand dramatically in FL and elsewhere in US at
extremely attractive prices
US Acquisitions at Fire-Sale Prices
Approx. cost to develop 18-hole club on turnkey basis: $15 million to $18 million

Cost of FL Acquisitions ($ millions)

12.0

10.0

9.5

7.5

8.0

6.0

4.9

4.0

3.0

2.0
0.0
Sun City Center

(6 clubs*)

Heron Bay

Woodlands

(36-hole club)

Palm-Aire

(54-hole, 2 clubhouses)

Spent $25 million acquiring properties with replacement
cost considerably over $100 million
*Excluding one club closed by previous owner. Management is reviewing options for this facility.
Insider Buying: Rai Sahi

Shares
(thousands)

Past five years

Year-to-date

Average
Price

Cost
(thousands)

% of Shares
Outstanding

1,466

$7.34

$10,757

6%

462

$6.80

$3,140

2%
Balance Sheet Strength



Weighted average maturity of long-term debt: 2022



Approximately three-quarters of debt comprised of fullyamortizing mortgages on golf clubs; avg. maturity: 2025




Paying higher interest rate in order to minimize refinancing risk

Numerous unencumbered assets
Consolidated P/FCF
Op. cash flow before changes in WC

$40.8

Non-recurring items*

(2.6)

Maintenance capex

(8.8)

Taxes

(2.9)

Consolidated FCF

$26.5

Per share

$0.99

P/FCF

7.6

While already attractive, consolidated multiple does not adjust for assets
that generate no FCF but are nonetheless highly valuable
*Amounts in millions. Non-recurring items include prior-year property tax refunds, severance and other one-time items.
Valuable Assets Contributing No FCF


Florida clubs: sustained losses in 2011, breaking even on
trailing twelve-month basis




Capable of material cash flow in normalized environment

Development assets: 757 acres of surplus land, up to
seven potential future 18-hole equivalent courses

These holdings presently making no money yet have
substantial hard asset value
P/FCF Excluding Florida Clubs,
Development Assets
FL clubs
Development assets
Value

Per share

$35
21
$56

$2.11

Price excl. FL clubs, dev. assets

5.44

FCF per share

0.99

P/FCF

5.5

Truly compelling valuation for high-quality business with outstanding
management and strong growth prospects
Note: amounts in millions
FCF Multiple: Golf Segment Only
EBITDA
Membership fee instalments
Land lease rent
Interest
Allocation of corporate costs
Maintenance capex
Taxes
FCF: golf segment
Per share
Price excl. FL clubs, dev. assets
P/FCF: golf

$39.5
10.0
(5.3)
(19.6)
(2.2)
(5.5)
(1.4)
$15.5
$0.58
5.44
9.3

Golf business alone worth more than ClubLink’s stock price, valuing
tourism segment’s irreplaceable assets below zero
Note: amounts in millions
FCF Multiple: Tourism Segment Only
EBITDA
Land lease rent
Interest
Allocation of corporate costs
Maintenance capex
Taxes
FCF: tourism segment
Per share
Price excl. FL clubs, dev. assets
P/FCF: tourism

$17.8
(0.2)
(1.2)
(0.5)
(3.5)
(1.5)
$11.0
$0.41
5.31
13.2

Even smaller tourism segment singlehandedly justifies entire stock price;
ultimately, either way one looks at it, investors get one of ClubLink’s two
businesses for free
Note: amounts in millions
Catalysts


Normalizing of results from existing Florida portfolio and
incremental acquisitions highlight earnings power and
growth potential of US golf operation



Built-in growth in tourism segment: passengers to Port of
Skagway scheduled to rise 10% next year*; earnings/FCF
will grow at greater rate due to operating leverage



Continued aggressive repurchases
*Source: Cruise Line Agencies of Alaska
Conclusion: ClubLink
High-quality business available at depressed valuation
Enormous growth potential

History of exemplary capital allocation, aggressive insider buying
4% dividend yield while you wait
Investment Idea: Canam Group (TSX: CAM)

Construction Products Manufacturer
Snapshot
Price

Diluted Shares O/S

$5.05*

42.1 million

Market Cap

Enterprise Value

$213 million*

$476 million*

*All financial figures pertaining to Canam are in Canadian dollars unless otherwise noted
Background


Main product lines: steel joists and decks, structural steel, steel
bridges



Largest steel joist and deck producer in Canada (75% market
share), third in US (15% market share, top three control 90%)



Largest Canadian producer of steel bridges (35-40% of market)



20 manufacturing facilities in Canada and US
Why is Canam Worth Your Attention?



Valued at paltry 3.8x normalized FCF



Just 2.7x FCF excluding non-core assets being actively monetized



Intelligent management: exploited economic downturn to execute
substantial repurchases, takeovers at extraordinary prices



Trades at 69% of meaningfully understated book value
Why is It So Cheap?


US operations (approximately two-thirds of revenue in normal
environment) remain mired in severe cyclical downturn



Industry slump has masked significant acquisitions, repurchases
and capital investments in recent years that have substantially
boosted earnings power



Multiple non-core investments – unrelated to business,
generate minimal earnings, create confusion
Management That Thinks Like Owners
Canam founded over 50 years ago and still run by Dutil family;
owns 16% of company
“The theme is very simple... we went through some very, very nice years...
didn’t go overboard on capex, didn’t go overboard on share buybacks, didn’t
go overboard on dividends, didn’t go overboard on acquisitions. And it was to
prepare ourselves for a period where the dollar goes a little further.”
-CEO Marc Dutil

That period arrived starting in late
2008 – and Canam pounced
Investments Since Economic Slowdown
From 2008 to 2011, Canam opportunistically deployed capital into acquisitions,
buybacks and capex initiatives that have materially enhanced intrinsic value per share

120
100
80

60

$112

40

$64

20

$39

0

Acquisitions

Note: amounts in millions

Repurchases

Growth Capex
Transformative Acquisitions


Purchased two US companies in 2010 – cyclical trough



FabSouth: structural steel producer with six plants in FL, GA
and NC



United Steel Deck: deck manufacturer; Canam acquired two
plants in IL and NJ plus machinery and equipment of third

Together, these deals will boost Canam’s
normalized FCF by 50% or more
Transaction Valuation: FabSouth
Cost

$83.2

EBITDA

$29.8

Maintenance capex

(1.5)

Taxes

(8.5)

FCF

$19.8

EBITDA multiple

2.8

FCF multiple

4.2

FabSouth also came with some $20 million in real estate (owned all its plants),
making actual purchase price even cheaper
Note: amounts in millions of US dollars
Transaction Valuation: United Steel Deck
Cost

$23.8

EBITDA
Maintenance capex
Taxes
FCF

$11.0
(1.5)
(2.9)
$6.7

EBITDA multiple

2.2

FCF multiple

3.6

Canam recorded US$7.2 million gain (30% of cost) – acquired working
capital and real estate alone worth more than purchase price
Note: amounts in millions of US dollars
Share Count Reduction
60.0

50.0

49.4

42.1

40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0

-4.1

-3.2

(8%)

(7%)

0.0
-10.0

Q2 2008

Repurchases:
8/08-1/09

Repurchases:
11/11-6/12

Present

Retired 15% of outstanding shares at average cost of $5.37; at current prices,
Canam is almost certain to execute another large buyback in coming year
Note: amounts in millions
Financially Sound


Weighted average maturity of long-term debt: Nov. 2016


Excluding US revolvers in process of being renewed: Apr. 2017



Only 27% of debt currently subject to earnings-based covenants



$263 million in debt backed by $527 million of net WC, land and
buildings at cost, and non-core assets being actively monetized


Land and buildings at cost understate real estate value

Debt not only manageable but also incurred for good reason; accretive
investments highlighted earlier account for 82% of present debt levels
Real Estate
St. Gedeon, QC
Mississauga, ON
Washington, MO
Point of Rocks, MD
Jacksonville, FL
Boucherville, QC
Calgary, AB
Laval, QC
Sunnyside, WA (2 plants)
Quebec City, QC
Total
% of total owned sq. ft.
Average year acquired

Square Feet
(thousands) Built/Bought
480
1960
215
1984
145
1984
250
1986
206
1995
108
1996
133
1996
80
1997
250
1997
229
1998
2,097
67%
1989

Canam owns every one of its 20 facilities – 3.1 million sq. ft. in total, of which 2.1
million owned on average since late 1980s
P/FCF Based on Average EBITDA in Last Cycle
Average EBITDA in last cycle

$63

Contribution from acquisitions

40

Pension adjustment

(2)

Interest

(15)

Maintenance capex

(12)

Taxes

(19)

FCF

$56

Per share
P/FCF

Note: amounts in millions

$1.32
3.8
P/FCF Based on Results Prior to
Economic Downturn*
2008

2007

2006

2005

Op. cash flow before
changes in working capital

$68.5

$66.9

$56.5

$64.5

Stock-based compensation

(1.6)

(0.9)

(0.4)

(0.2)

Pension adjustment

(1.1)

(0.9)

(0.9)

(1.2)

Maintenance capex

(12.0)

(12.0)

(12.0)

(12.0)

FCF

$53.9

$53.0

$43.2

$51.2

Per share

$1.28

$1.26

$1.03

$1.21

3.9

4.0

4.9

4.2

P/FCF

Using either methodology, Canam egregiously cheap
*Amounts in millions. Results in these years were above mid-cycle levels; however, this is more than offset by absence of
results from FabSouth and United Steel Deck (acquired in 2010) and other factors.
Non-Core Assets
For more accurate valuation, we must adjust for assets unrelated to Canam’s
business, which it is in process of disposing

Alta Industriel*
Long-term debenture from Manac*
Note receivable from Placements CMI
Aviation CMP/SEC GIPZ
United Steel Structures
Investment in LP
Est. recovery from BC Place supplier
Value of non-core assets
Per share
Non-core assets: % of price

$16.6
3.7
13.0
15.2
10.0
6.0
5.0
$69.5
$1.65
33%

*Amounts in millions. For conservatism, book values of Alta Industriel, Manac debenture have been discounted by 25%.
FCF Multiple Adjusted for Non-Core Assets
FCF
Income from JVs and associates
Distribution from LP
FCF excl. non-core assets
Per share

$55.5
(0.6)
(1.8)
$53.0
$1.26

Share price
Non-core investments per share
Share price excl. non-core assets

$5.05
(1.65)
$3.40

Implied P/FCF: core business

2.7

As undervalued as Canam appears on surface, in fact it is even cheaper
Note: amounts in millions
Price to Tangible Book Value
Reported equity
Intangible assets
Goodwill
Tangible BV
Per share
P/TBV

$357
(9)
(39)
$309
$7.33
69%

Book value understated due to real estate: company has owned
vast majority of its facilities for average of 23 years
Note: amounts in millions
Catalysts


Rebound in US operations – earnings, FCF will skyrocket



Market underestimates degree to which earnings power has
grown due to investments in recent years
Improvement already visible: consolidated EBITDA totaled
$20.5 million in H1 2012 vs. $(14.7) million in H1 2011



Continued monetization of non-core assets, debt repayment



Resumption of dividends as earnings rebound


Canam previously paid dividends; reinstating payout will attract
investors who sold out following their suspension
Conclusion: Canam
Numbers speak for themselves: stock incredibly undervalued

Weathered serious downturn, results now turning corner

Shareholder-friendly management with record of
shrewd acquisitions and buybacks

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Guy gottfired 2012 investment ideas

  • 1. www.ValueInvestingCongress.com 8th annual new york value investing congress • October 1, 2012 • new york, ny Underfollowed ad Undervalued: More Small Cap Bargains Guy Gottfried, Rational Investment GrOUP Join us for the 8th Annual Spring Value Investing Congress in Las Vegas! To register and benefit from a special discount go to www.ValueInvestingCongress.com/SAVE
  • 2. Underfollowed and Undervalued: More Small Cap Bargains Guy Gottfried, Rational Investment Group (647) 346-0464 guygottfried@rationalig.com
  • 3. From the Father of Value Investing “Investment is most intelligent when it is most businesslike.” -Benjamin Graham  Do I understand the business?  Is the balance sheet sound?  Am I partnering with the right people?  Am I getting a great deal? Rarely worth compromising on these criteria; why not insist on the complete package before committing your hard-earned capital?
  • 4. Investment Idea: ClubLink Enterprises (TSX: CLK) Golf Club and Tourism Operator
  • 5. Snapshot Price Diluted Shares O/S $7.55* 26.7 million Market Cap Dividend $201 million* $0.30* (4.0% yield) *All financial figures pertaining to ClubLink are in Canadian dollars unless otherwise noted
  • 6. ClubLink: Two Segments Golf   51 golf clubs in Canada and US Three geographic clusters: Southern Ontario/Muskoka, Quebec/Eastern Ontario, Florida Rail, Tourism & Port   Three docks providing four berths in Port of Skagway, Alaska White Pass & Yukon Route: railway built in 1898 during Klondike Gold Rush, now operated as tourist excursion between Skagway and Yukon
  • 7. Why is ClubLink Worth Your Attention?  Two high-quality, predictable and growing businesses trading at 5.5x free cash flow (FCF)  Golf and tourism business each worth more than stock price  Tremendous growth opportunity in distressed industry and financial strength to fully exploit it  Excellent management and capital allocation
  • 8. Why is It So Cheap?  No sell-side coverage or conference calls  Illiquid due to high insider ownership  Unusual business: owns two totally unrelated divisions; named after golf segment yet also runs tourist operation in Alaska  Recently-acquired Florida golf clubs significantly under-earning; masks true earnings power and magnitude of US opportunity
  • 9. Brief History  1997: outside investor Rai Sahi wins proxy contest against metals distributor Russel Metals, begins divesting non-core assets    2001: Tri-White buys 25% stake in ClubLink Corp. (LNK) held by ClubCorp (US golf club owner)   Spins off White Pass via rights offering into public firm called Tri-White Rights offering underfollowed, Sahi takes control of Tri-White In ensuing years, uses additional purchases, buybacks by LNK to boost ownership to over 70% 2009: Acquires rest of LNK, changes name from Tri-White to ClubLink Enterprises
  • 10. Asset Quality: Golf  Canada’s largest golf club owner with some of top clubs in country   Highly cash flow generative   7 of its 39 Canadian clubs ranked among 100 best in Canada* Annual dues and portion of entry fees paid upfront, no cash taxes for years due to accelerated depreciation Competitive advantage: scale allows members to enjoy numerous clubs under one membership  Creates compelling acquisition economics; each acquisition enhances value of both acquired club and rest of network *Source: SCOREGolf magazine 2012 rankings
  • 11. Asset Quality: Tourism  80% of all Alaska cruise ship passengers dock at ClubLink’s docks in Port of Skagway (e.g. 81% in 2011)  Approximately half of cruise passengers arriving in Skagway take White Pass excursion  White Pass recognized as one of 36 International Historic Civil Engineering Landmarks (others incl. Panama Canal, Eiffel Tower, Statue of Liberty) White Pass: Alaska’s most popular excursion and truly irreplaceable asset
  • 12. Cruise lines promote White Pass to their passengers, bringing business to ClubLink with little effort by company itself
  • 13. Tourism Segment: Revenue and Profitability 45.0 40.0 40% 38% 41% 40% 37% 39% 38% 40% 45% 40% 35.0 35% 30.0 30% 25.0 25% 20.0 15.0 31.9 34.3 10.0 5.0 0.0 12.6 2004 13.1 2005 40.0 35.9 14.8 14.7 2006 38.8 2007 Revenue 38.1 15.4 2008 EBIT 15.0 2009 35.3 13.3 2010 36.5 20% 15% 14.5 2011 10% 5% 0% EBIT margin Earnings resilient during economic decline, will reach all-time high in 2013 Note: amounts in millions of US dollars (segment’s local currency)
  • 14. Terrific Owner-Operator  CEO Rai Sahi: control investor whose whole career built on opportunistic acquisitions  Outstanding capital allocator, aggressive buyer of stock  Has issued options only once in past eight years (131K granted – less than 0.5% of outstanding shares)
  • 15. History of Shrewd Capital Allocation  Repurchases: 19% of shares in past 12 years, 5% in H1 2012   Purchase of initial 25% stake in LNK from ClubCorp – 2001   Impressive given stock’s low float (Sahi owns 66% of company) ClubCorp desperate for cash to avoid violating covenants; sold to Tri-White at 17% discount to LNK market price, greater discount to intrinsic value Buyout of remaining 28% interest in LNK – 2009  Takeover done at ~15% discount to midpoint of bankers’ valuation of LNK; valuation prepared amid one of worst market crashes in history
  • 16. Florida/US: A Massive Opportunity  Florida golf market significantly overbuilt  Many lenders pulled out of golf industry in 2008-2009  ClubLink entered FL in 2010, has since acquired 11 clubs at fraction of replacement cost  Potential to expand dramatically in FL and elsewhere in US at extremely attractive prices
  • 17. US Acquisitions at Fire-Sale Prices Approx. cost to develop 18-hole club on turnkey basis: $15 million to $18 million Cost of FL Acquisitions ($ millions) 12.0 10.0 9.5 7.5 8.0 6.0 4.9 4.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 Sun City Center (6 clubs*) Heron Bay Woodlands (36-hole club) Palm-Aire (54-hole, 2 clubhouses) Spent $25 million acquiring properties with replacement cost considerably over $100 million *Excluding one club closed by previous owner. Management is reviewing options for this facility.
  • 18. Insider Buying: Rai Sahi Shares (thousands) Past five years Year-to-date Average Price Cost (thousands) % of Shares Outstanding 1,466 $7.34 $10,757 6% 462 $6.80 $3,140 2%
  • 19. Balance Sheet Strength  Weighted average maturity of long-term debt: 2022  Approximately three-quarters of debt comprised of fullyamortizing mortgages on golf clubs; avg. maturity: 2025   Paying higher interest rate in order to minimize refinancing risk Numerous unencumbered assets
  • 20. Consolidated P/FCF Op. cash flow before changes in WC $40.8 Non-recurring items* (2.6) Maintenance capex (8.8) Taxes (2.9) Consolidated FCF $26.5 Per share $0.99 P/FCF 7.6 While already attractive, consolidated multiple does not adjust for assets that generate no FCF but are nonetheless highly valuable *Amounts in millions. Non-recurring items include prior-year property tax refunds, severance and other one-time items.
  • 21. Valuable Assets Contributing No FCF  Florida clubs: sustained losses in 2011, breaking even on trailing twelve-month basis   Capable of material cash flow in normalized environment Development assets: 757 acres of surplus land, up to seven potential future 18-hole equivalent courses These holdings presently making no money yet have substantial hard asset value
  • 22. P/FCF Excluding Florida Clubs, Development Assets FL clubs Development assets Value Per share $35 21 $56 $2.11 Price excl. FL clubs, dev. assets 5.44 FCF per share 0.99 P/FCF 5.5 Truly compelling valuation for high-quality business with outstanding management and strong growth prospects Note: amounts in millions
  • 23. FCF Multiple: Golf Segment Only EBITDA Membership fee instalments Land lease rent Interest Allocation of corporate costs Maintenance capex Taxes FCF: golf segment Per share Price excl. FL clubs, dev. assets P/FCF: golf $39.5 10.0 (5.3) (19.6) (2.2) (5.5) (1.4) $15.5 $0.58 5.44 9.3 Golf business alone worth more than ClubLink’s stock price, valuing tourism segment’s irreplaceable assets below zero Note: amounts in millions
  • 24. FCF Multiple: Tourism Segment Only EBITDA Land lease rent Interest Allocation of corporate costs Maintenance capex Taxes FCF: tourism segment Per share Price excl. FL clubs, dev. assets P/FCF: tourism $17.8 (0.2) (1.2) (0.5) (3.5) (1.5) $11.0 $0.41 5.31 13.2 Even smaller tourism segment singlehandedly justifies entire stock price; ultimately, either way one looks at it, investors get one of ClubLink’s two businesses for free Note: amounts in millions
  • 25. Catalysts  Normalizing of results from existing Florida portfolio and incremental acquisitions highlight earnings power and growth potential of US golf operation  Built-in growth in tourism segment: passengers to Port of Skagway scheduled to rise 10% next year*; earnings/FCF will grow at greater rate due to operating leverage  Continued aggressive repurchases *Source: Cruise Line Agencies of Alaska
  • 26. Conclusion: ClubLink High-quality business available at depressed valuation Enormous growth potential History of exemplary capital allocation, aggressive insider buying 4% dividend yield while you wait
  • 27. Investment Idea: Canam Group (TSX: CAM) Construction Products Manufacturer
  • 28. Snapshot Price Diluted Shares O/S $5.05* 42.1 million Market Cap Enterprise Value $213 million* $476 million* *All financial figures pertaining to Canam are in Canadian dollars unless otherwise noted
  • 29. Background  Main product lines: steel joists and decks, structural steel, steel bridges  Largest steel joist and deck producer in Canada (75% market share), third in US (15% market share, top three control 90%)  Largest Canadian producer of steel bridges (35-40% of market)  20 manufacturing facilities in Canada and US
  • 30. Why is Canam Worth Your Attention?  Valued at paltry 3.8x normalized FCF  Just 2.7x FCF excluding non-core assets being actively monetized  Intelligent management: exploited economic downturn to execute substantial repurchases, takeovers at extraordinary prices  Trades at 69% of meaningfully understated book value
  • 31. Why is It So Cheap?  US operations (approximately two-thirds of revenue in normal environment) remain mired in severe cyclical downturn  Industry slump has masked significant acquisitions, repurchases and capital investments in recent years that have substantially boosted earnings power  Multiple non-core investments – unrelated to business, generate minimal earnings, create confusion
  • 32. Management That Thinks Like Owners Canam founded over 50 years ago and still run by Dutil family; owns 16% of company “The theme is very simple... we went through some very, very nice years... didn’t go overboard on capex, didn’t go overboard on share buybacks, didn’t go overboard on dividends, didn’t go overboard on acquisitions. And it was to prepare ourselves for a period where the dollar goes a little further.” -CEO Marc Dutil That period arrived starting in late 2008 – and Canam pounced
  • 33. Investments Since Economic Slowdown From 2008 to 2011, Canam opportunistically deployed capital into acquisitions, buybacks and capex initiatives that have materially enhanced intrinsic value per share 120 100 80 60 $112 40 $64 20 $39 0 Acquisitions Note: amounts in millions Repurchases Growth Capex
  • 34. Transformative Acquisitions  Purchased two US companies in 2010 – cyclical trough  FabSouth: structural steel producer with six plants in FL, GA and NC  United Steel Deck: deck manufacturer; Canam acquired two plants in IL and NJ plus machinery and equipment of third Together, these deals will boost Canam’s normalized FCF by 50% or more
  • 35. Transaction Valuation: FabSouth Cost $83.2 EBITDA $29.8 Maintenance capex (1.5) Taxes (8.5) FCF $19.8 EBITDA multiple 2.8 FCF multiple 4.2 FabSouth also came with some $20 million in real estate (owned all its plants), making actual purchase price even cheaper Note: amounts in millions of US dollars
  • 36. Transaction Valuation: United Steel Deck Cost $23.8 EBITDA Maintenance capex Taxes FCF $11.0 (1.5) (2.9) $6.7 EBITDA multiple 2.2 FCF multiple 3.6 Canam recorded US$7.2 million gain (30% of cost) – acquired working capital and real estate alone worth more than purchase price Note: amounts in millions of US dollars
  • 37. Share Count Reduction 60.0 50.0 49.4 42.1 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 -4.1 -3.2 (8%) (7%) 0.0 -10.0 Q2 2008 Repurchases: 8/08-1/09 Repurchases: 11/11-6/12 Present Retired 15% of outstanding shares at average cost of $5.37; at current prices, Canam is almost certain to execute another large buyback in coming year Note: amounts in millions
  • 38. Financially Sound  Weighted average maturity of long-term debt: Nov. 2016  Excluding US revolvers in process of being renewed: Apr. 2017  Only 27% of debt currently subject to earnings-based covenants  $263 million in debt backed by $527 million of net WC, land and buildings at cost, and non-core assets being actively monetized  Land and buildings at cost understate real estate value Debt not only manageable but also incurred for good reason; accretive investments highlighted earlier account for 82% of present debt levels
  • 39. Real Estate St. Gedeon, QC Mississauga, ON Washington, MO Point of Rocks, MD Jacksonville, FL Boucherville, QC Calgary, AB Laval, QC Sunnyside, WA (2 plants) Quebec City, QC Total % of total owned sq. ft. Average year acquired Square Feet (thousands) Built/Bought 480 1960 215 1984 145 1984 250 1986 206 1995 108 1996 133 1996 80 1997 250 1997 229 1998 2,097 67% 1989 Canam owns every one of its 20 facilities – 3.1 million sq. ft. in total, of which 2.1 million owned on average since late 1980s
  • 40. P/FCF Based on Average EBITDA in Last Cycle Average EBITDA in last cycle $63 Contribution from acquisitions 40 Pension adjustment (2) Interest (15) Maintenance capex (12) Taxes (19) FCF $56 Per share P/FCF Note: amounts in millions $1.32 3.8
  • 41. P/FCF Based on Results Prior to Economic Downturn* 2008 2007 2006 2005 Op. cash flow before changes in working capital $68.5 $66.9 $56.5 $64.5 Stock-based compensation (1.6) (0.9) (0.4) (0.2) Pension adjustment (1.1) (0.9) (0.9) (1.2) Maintenance capex (12.0) (12.0) (12.0) (12.0) FCF $53.9 $53.0 $43.2 $51.2 Per share $1.28 $1.26 $1.03 $1.21 3.9 4.0 4.9 4.2 P/FCF Using either methodology, Canam egregiously cheap *Amounts in millions. Results in these years were above mid-cycle levels; however, this is more than offset by absence of results from FabSouth and United Steel Deck (acquired in 2010) and other factors.
  • 42. Non-Core Assets For more accurate valuation, we must adjust for assets unrelated to Canam’s business, which it is in process of disposing Alta Industriel* Long-term debenture from Manac* Note receivable from Placements CMI Aviation CMP/SEC GIPZ United Steel Structures Investment in LP Est. recovery from BC Place supplier Value of non-core assets Per share Non-core assets: % of price $16.6 3.7 13.0 15.2 10.0 6.0 5.0 $69.5 $1.65 33% *Amounts in millions. For conservatism, book values of Alta Industriel, Manac debenture have been discounted by 25%.
  • 43. FCF Multiple Adjusted for Non-Core Assets FCF Income from JVs and associates Distribution from LP FCF excl. non-core assets Per share $55.5 (0.6) (1.8) $53.0 $1.26 Share price Non-core investments per share Share price excl. non-core assets $5.05 (1.65) $3.40 Implied P/FCF: core business 2.7 As undervalued as Canam appears on surface, in fact it is even cheaper Note: amounts in millions
  • 44. Price to Tangible Book Value Reported equity Intangible assets Goodwill Tangible BV Per share P/TBV $357 (9) (39) $309 $7.33 69% Book value understated due to real estate: company has owned vast majority of its facilities for average of 23 years Note: amounts in millions
  • 45. Catalysts  Rebound in US operations – earnings, FCF will skyrocket   Market underestimates degree to which earnings power has grown due to investments in recent years Improvement already visible: consolidated EBITDA totaled $20.5 million in H1 2012 vs. $(14.7) million in H1 2011  Continued monetization of non-core assets, debt repayment  Resumption of dividends as earnings rebound  Canam previously paid dividends; reinstating payout will attract investors who sold out following their suspension
  • 46. Conclusion: Canam Numbers speak for themselves: stock incredibly undervalued Weathered serious downturn, results now turning corner Shareholder-friendly management with record of shrewd acquisitions and buybacks