1) Prof. Angus McIntosh presented on the vision of "Green Towns" and principles of sustainable urban development at the Green Vision 2013 conference in Manchester. 2) The presentation examined case studies of existing towns and developments that incorporated environmental, economic, and social sustainability including Bournville, Cumbernauld, Port Sunlight, and Vauban, Germany. 3) Key principles that could guide master plans and policymakers included focusing on sustained occupier demand, investment performance, climate change mitigation, and creating a strong culture and sense of place that respects people and the environment.

1. Real Estate Forecasting LimitedReal Estate Forecasting Limited
Prof. Angus McIntosh
Economic and sustainable property consultant
Real Estate Forecasting Ltd.
Visiting Professor
Oxford Brookes University
Green Towns: a vision for the future
Green Vision 2013: Manchester
8 May 2013

2. Real Estate Forecasting Limited
Environmental
Sustainability
Economic
Sustainability
Social
Sustainability
Equity
Viable Live-able
Source: Various
“Green Towns” & Urban Sustainable
Development
Sustained
Occupier
Market
Demand.
Investment
Performance
Climate
Change.
Air,
Water
and
Ground
Pollution
Culture.
Respect for
People.
Sense of
place.
Working and
living
environment

3. Real Estate Forecasting Limited
Key principles of sustainable urban
development
• To guide Master Plans
• Assist Local & National Governments
• Influence investors
• Focus Groups: Lodz, Stockholm, London, Paris, Milan
• ULI Members Questionnaire – 286 respondents
• Case Studies

4. Real Estate Forecasting Limited
Bournville Village Trust founded 1900
25,000 residents, 8,000
homes on 1,000 acres
(400ha)
40% residents “social”
leaseholders – an active
tenant mix programme
10% land always open
space
Pioneered low carbon
house 1970s. Consent of
Trust needed for building
alterations

5. Real Estate Forecasting Limited
Cumbernauld New Town 1955
Glasgow satellite hilltop
town built by Cumbernauld
Development Corporation
50,000 residents
No pedestrian crossings
Two times winner of the
Carbuncle Award. 2002
voted the worst town in
Scotland

6. Real Estate Forecasting Limited
Bournville: Spirit & Culture

7. Real Estate Forecasting Limited
Bournville: Spirit & Culture

8. Real Estate Forecasting Limited
Cumbernauld: Spirit & Culture

9. Real Estate Forecasting Limited
Bournville:
Retail

10. Real Estate Forecasting Limited
Cumbernauld: Retail

11. Real Estate Forecasting Limited
Bournville: Home & Identity

12. Real Estate Forecasting Limited
Cumbernauld: Home & Identity

13. Real Estate Forecasting Limited
Bournville and Cumbernauld: Park
Land

14. Real Estate Forecasting Limited
Port Sunlight, Cheshire - (Unilever)

15. Real Estate Forecasting Limited
Port Sunlight, Cheshire - (Unilever)

16. Real Estate Forecasting Limited
Vauban, Freiburg, Germany

17. Real Estate Forecasting Limited
Freiburg, Germany: a city with a vision &
long-term management strategy

18. Real Estate Forecasting Limited
The Transition Handbook – after peak oil
LOCAL RESILIENCE•UK
- Totnes
- Lewes
- Falmouth
- Penwith
- Bristol
•Ireland
- Kinsale
•Germany
- Freiburg

19. Real Estate Forecasting Limited
Environmental
Sustainability
Economic
Sustainability
Social
Sustainability
Equity
Viable Live-able
Source: King Sturge
“Green Towns” & Urban sustainable
development
Sustained
Occupier
Market
Demand.
Investment
Performance
Climate
Change.
Air,
Water
and
Ground
Pollution
Culture.
Respect for
People.
Sense of
place.
Working and
living
environment
GOVERNANCE

20. Real Estate Forecasting LimitedReal Estate Forecasting Limited
Prof. Angus McIntosh
Economic and sustainable property consultant
Real Estate Forecasting Ltd.
Visiting Professor
Oxford Brookes University
Green Towns: a vision for the future
Green Vision 2013: Manchester
8 May 2013