Niteen S Dharmawat, Co Founder, Aurum Capital, presented the business analysis of Greaves Cotton Ltd in the Tamilnadu Investors' Association (TIA) 20-20 Summit in Chennai on 18 Feb 2023.
Please go through the Disclosure. This is not a buy/sell/hold recommendation. It is the business analysis of the company.
This presentation provides stock screening criteria, methodology, the ways to avoid traps, important considerations to identify the stocks, how to design portfolio to minimize risk, when to sell, several case studies.
This presentation was delivered in a Pune investor meet. Provides stock screening criteria, methodology, the ways to avoid trap, important consideration to identify the stocks
This presentation provides stock screening criteria, methodology, the ways to avoid traps, important considerations to identify the stocks, how to design portfolio to minimize risk, when to sell, several case studies.
This presentation was delivered in a Pune investor meet. Provides stock screening criteria, methodology, the ways to avoid trap, important consideration to identify the stocks
How to screen stocks so as to avoid common mistakes and uncommon lossesNiteen S Dharmawat
This presentation covers several new case studies.
It covers investing principles to screen stocks, avoid common mistakes backed by several real case studies from the Indian market
Objectives-
Quick screening to avoid major mistakes
What are the parameters that you must see
Sources to get the lists
Case studies covering failures and frauds
Delayed gratification: Most important quality
This presentation tries to give a perspective on understanding cyclicals. Understanding of business and market cycles. With examples from Indian market. This was presented at CFA society, Delhi on Dec 14, 2019 and at FOF, PPFAS on Dec 20, 2019
Aurum Capital Newsletter - Mar 31 2023.pdfAurumCapital
The last Financial Year (Apr 2022-Mar 2023) has been a very tough year for Indian equity markets, on the back of a couple of very good years following the deep correction in the markets in Mar 2020 (CoVid meltdown). Markets were expected to be tough and we had indicated these in our previous newsletters. Despite all this we have managed a 24% return, significantly beating the benchmarks (explained in the charts below). We had calibrated our list of stocks in such a way to avoid big drawdowns and that is reflected from the fact that we currently have almost half of our stocks in largecaps from about 15% at the start of the year. We are fairly satisfied with the returns generated in our list of stocks.
This document discusses investor behavior and provides advice for investors. It emphasizes having the right temperament including conviction, discipline, and patience. Investors should focus on the long term, control their emotions, and avoid herd behavior. They should also keep their analysis and strategies simple, buy companies for their fundamentals, and reward winning investments. The document concludes by introducing Aurum Capital, a research advisory company started by the authors to provide stock research and portfolio advising services.
Ultratech Cement is India's largest cement company. It has a capacity of 64 million tonnes and is the number 1 cement brand. The company has various plants and grinding units across India as well as in other countries. It started in 1983 and grew over the years through mergers and acquisitions. Ultratech Cement provides a wide range of cement products and has a large market share. It is a profitable company with strong financials and aims to further grow in the cement sector.
Tech Adoption and Strategy for Innovation & Growthaccenture
Accenture presents the benefits of investing in technology at scale by discussing the importance of tech adoption and strategy through case studies. View more.
This presentation is delivered at Tamilnadu Investor Association (TIA) 20-20 Ideas Summit in Chennai. It covers the company details, business operations and how they have been doing. It is for study purpose. Please read the important disclaimer. If you do not agree with the disclaimer please do not read the presentation.
A transformation time for Indian tax system GST which was born out of patience & struggle; the uniformed tax system which is expected to roll out on 1st of July is a turning point in the Indian tax regime. The implementation of GST will bring lot more benefits at the consumer end. The main objective of GST is to eliminate excessive taxation. In the run-up to one of the biggest tax reforms in the country, the market is abuzz with new rules and guidelines about the Goods and Services Tax (GST).
Steel 360 Magazine June'17 Issue.
1. The document is a report on the fundamental analysis of Tata Motors that analyzes the company's performance from economic, industry, and company perspectives.
2. It discusses the importance of fundamental analysis in evaluating companies and outlines the steps involved, which include macroeconomic analysis, industry analysis, company situational analysis, and financial analysis.
3. The analysis finds that Tata Motors' revenue declined slightly in recent years but has generally increased over the long term, and it is the largest commercial vehicle manufacturer in India and globally by volume.
This document discusses contra investing in cyclical stocks. It begins with disclosures about the author and purpose of the presentation. Then it discusses that successful investing requires understanding business, market and economic cycles. It emphasizes having patience and overcoming fear and greed when contra investing. The rest of the document provides examples of case studies of successful contra investments in cyclical sectors like metals, paper, polymers etc. It also lists currently in-favor and not-in-favor sectors for contra investing opportunities.
The document analyzes the Indian automobile industry for investment purposes. It begins with an overview of the industry's growth and current position. It then outlines the objectives of the analysis, which are to examine the industry's growth trends, qualitatively analyze companies and competitors like Tata Motors and Maruti Suzuki, and apply fundamental and technical tools. The analysis then covers the economy, industry environment and dynamics, and financial performance and position of key companies through various metrics and comparisons. It finds that while the industry was impacted by the economic slowdown, the long term outlook remains positive due to growing incomes and demand.
The document summarizes key credit concerns regarding the highly leveraged Adani Group, an Indian conglomerate that has pursued aggressive expansion largely through debt funding. This has pressured credit metrics and raised governance risks. While the group has solid banking relationships, there is little evidence of equity injections to reduce leverage. Continued high-risk expansion across new sectors could lead to a debt trap if not addressed. The document retains a cautious outlook on the group's growth plans.
The document discusses the benefits of exercise for mental health. Regular physical activity can help reduce anxiety and depression and improve mood and cognitive functioning. Exercise causes chemical changes in the brain that may help protect against mental illness and improve symptoms.
L.E.K. Consulting’s annual Media & Entertainment Study
was conducted between December 2018 and January
2019. We surveyed around 2,000 households on their
entertainment choices, preferences and viewing habits.
This Executive Insights analyzes key findings about
movie theater attendance and subscription services.
Value Investing In Cylicals - A Practioner's InsightsJiten Parmar
The document provides insights from Jiten Parmar on value investing in cyclical stocks. It discusses various strategies for cyclical investing including understanding business and market cycles, having patience, and overcoming greed and fear. It also covers approaches for contrarian and contra-cyclical investing such as buying when prospects are poor and ratios are down, and selling when prospects improve. Several case studies of investments in cyclical sectors like metals and sugar are also presented.
Common mistakes and uncommon losses: Real case studies from the Indian market. This presentation covers the case studies of the companies where the investment went down the drain.
The presentation was delivered at CFA Institute on 7th Mar 2020.
This presentation covers case studies as if we are in that time period and to check if numbers could tell us upcoming problems.
Added 3 new case studies and a quiz
Case study 1: Slide# 37-41
Case study 2: Slide# 42-47
Case study 3: Slide# 48-52
Quiz: Slide# 58
It also covers investing principles to screen stocks, avoid common mistakes backed by several real case studies from the Indian market
Objectives-
Quick screening to avoid major mistakes
What are the parameters that you must see
Sources to get the lists
Case studies covering failures and frauds
Delayed gratification: Most important quality
Exide Industries is a leading manufacturer of lead acid batteries for automotive, telecom, traction, UPS, naval and motive power markets. The Company sells its products under EXIDE, SF, SONIC and Standard Furukawa Brands. In the international market, the products are sold under DYNEX, INDEX and SONIC brands.
How to screen stocks so as to avoid common mistakes and uncommon lossesNiteen S Dharmawat
This presentation covers several new case studies.
It covers investing principles to screen stocks, avoid common mistakes backed by several real case studies from the Indian market
Objectives-
Quick screening to avoid major mistakes
What are the parameters that you must see
Sources to get the lists
Case studies covering failures and frauds
Delayed gratification: Most important quality
This presentation tries to give a perspective on understanding cyclicals. Understanding of business and market cycles. With examples from Indian market. This was presented at CFA society, Delhi on Dec 14, 2019 and at FOF, PPFAS on Dec 20, 2019
Aurum Capital Newsletter - Mar 31 2023.pdfAurumCapital
The last Financial Year (Apr 2022-Mar 2023) has been a very tough year for Indian equity markets, on the back of a couple of very good years following the deep correction in the markets in Mar 2020 (CoVid meltdown). Markets were expected to be tough and we had indicated these in our previous newsletters. Despite all this we have managed a 24% return, significantly beating the benchmarks (explained in the charts below). We had calibrated our list of stocks in such a way to avoid big drawdowns and that is reflected from the fact that we currently have almost half of our stocks in largecaps from about 15% at the start of the year. We are fairly satisfied with the returns generated in our list of stocks.
This document discusses investor behavior and provides advice for investors. It emphasizes having the right temperament including conviction, discipline, and patience. Investors should focus on the long term, control their emotions, and avoid herd behavior. They should also keep their analysis and strategies simple, buy companies for their fundamentals, and reward winning investments. The document concludes by introducing Aurum Capital, a research advisory company started by the authors to provide stock research and portfolio advising services.
Ultratech Cement is India's largest cement company. It has a capacity of 64 million tonnes and is the number 1 cement brand. The company has various plants and grinding units across India as well as in other countries. It started in 1983 and grew over the years through mergers and acquisitions. Ultratech Cement provides a wide range of cement products and has a large market share. It is a profitable company with strong financials and aims to further grow in the cement sector.
Tech Adoption and Strategy for Innovation & Growthaccenture
Accenture presents the benefits of investing in technology at scale by discussing the importance of tech adoption and strategy through case studies. View more.
This presentation is delivered at Tamilnadu Investor Association (TIA) 20-20 Ideas Summit in Chennai. It covers the company details, business operations and how they have been doing. It is for study purpose. Please read the important disclaimer. If you do not agree with the disclaimer please do not read the presentation.
A transformation time for Indian tax system GST which was born out of patience & struggle; the uniformed tax system which is expected to roll out on 1st of July is a turning point in the Indian tax regime. The implementation of GST will bring lot more benefits at the consumer end. The main objective of GST is to eliminate excessive taxation. In the run-up to one of the biggest tax reforms in the country, the market is abuzz with new rules and guidelines about the Goods and Services Tax (GST).
Steel 360 Magazine June'17 Issue.
1. The document is a report on the fundamental analysis of Tata Motors that analyzes the company's performance from economic, industry, and company perspectives.
2. It discusses the importance of fundamental analysis in evaluating companies and outlines the steps involved, which include macroeconomic analysis, industry analysis, company situational analysis, and financial analysis.
3. The analysis finds that Tata Motors' revenue declined slightly in recent years but has generally increased over the long term, and it is the largest commercial vehicle manufacturer in India and globally by volume.
This document discusses contra investing in cyclical stocks. It begins with disclosures about the author and purpose of the presentation. Then it discusses that successful investing requires understanding business, market and economic cycles. It emphasizes having patience and overcoming fear and greed when contra investing. The rest of the document provides examples of case studies of successful contra investments in cyclical sectors like metals, paper, polymers etc. It also lists currently in-favor and not-in-favor sectors for contra investing opportunities.
The document analyzes the Indian automobile industry for investment purposes. It begins with an overview of the industry's growth and current position. It then outlines the objectives of the analysis, which are to examine the industry's growth trends, qualitatively analyze companies and competitors like Tata Motors and Maruti Suzuki, and apply fundamental and technical tools. The analysis then covers the economy, industry environment and dynamics, and financial performance and position of key companies through various metrics and comparisons. It finds that while the industry was impacted by the economic slowdown, the long term outlook remains positive due to growing incomes and demand.
The document summarizes key credit concerns regarding the highly leveraged Adani Group, an Indian conglomerate that has pursued aggressive expansion largely through debt funding. This has pressured credit metrics and raised governance risks. While the group has solid banking relationships, there is little evidence of equity injections to reduce leverage. Continued high-risk expansion across new sectors could lead to a debt trap if not addressed. The document retains a cautious outlook on the group's growth plans.
The document discusses the benefits of exercise for mental health. Regular physical activity can help reduce anxiety and depression and improve mood and cognitive functioning. Exercise causes chemical changes in the brain that may help protect against mental illness and improve symptoms.
L.E.K. Consulting’s annual Media & Entertainment Study
was conducted between December 2018 and January
2019. We surveyed around 2,000 households on their
entertainment choices, preferences and viewing habits.
This Executive Insights analyzes key findings about
movie theater attendance and subscription services.
Value Investing In Cylicals - A Practioner's InsightsJiten Parmar
The document provides insights from Jiten Parmar on value investing in cyclical stocks. It discusses various strategies for cyclical investing including understanding business and market cycles, having patience, and overcoming greed and fear. It also covers approaches for contrarian and contra-cyclical investing such as buying when prospects are poor and ratios are down, and selling when prospects improve. Several case studies of investments in cyclical sectors like metals and sugar are also presented.
Common mistakes and uncommon losses: Real case studies from the Indian market. This presentation covers the case studies of the companies where the investment went down the drain.
The presentation was delivered at CFA Institute on 7th Mar 2020.
This presentation covers case studies as if we are in that time period and to check if numbers could tell us upcoming problems.
Added 3 new case studies and a quiz
Case study 1: Slide# 37-41
Case study 2: Slide# 42-47
Case study 3: Slide# 48-52
Quiz: Slide# 58
It also covers investing principles to screen stocks, avoid common mistakes backed by several real case studies from the Indian market
Objectives-
Quick screening to avoid major mistakes
What are the parameters that you must see
Sources to get the lists
Case studies covering failures and frauds
Delayed gratification: Most important quality
Exide Industries is a leading manufacturer of lead acid batteries for automotive, telecom, traction, UPS, naval and motive power markets. The Company sells its products under EXIDE, SF, SONIC and Standard Furukawa Brands. In the international market, the products are sold under DYNEX, INDEX and SONIC brands.
Common mistakes and uncommon losses real case studies from the indian marketNiteen S Dharmawat
Common mistakes and uncommon losses: Real case studies from the Indian market. This presentation covers the case studies of the companies where the investment went down the drain. It was delivered in "Small-Cap Investor Summit 2.0" organized by "The Investment Lab" in Mumbai on 14th Dec 2019.
A thorough analysis of company , industry and economy goes behind our stock ideas for you. With these picks, you may earn superior returns over a medium to long term period. Visit https://simplehai.axisdirect.in/share-stock-prices/nse/Minda-Corporation-Ltd-14978 for more
A thorough analysis of company , industry and economy goes behind our stock ideas for you. With these picks, you may earn superior returns over a medium to long term period. Visit https://simplehai.axisdirect.in/share-stock-prices/nse/PPAP-Automotive-Ltd-23818 for more
A thorough analysis of company , industry and economy goes behind our stock ideas for you. With these picks, you may earn superior returns over a medium to long term period. Visit https://simplehai.axisdirect.in/share-stock-prices/nse/Minda-Corporation-Ltd-14978 for more
Bharti Airtel added 22.28 lakh users in September, increasing its total customer base to 23.52 crore with a 32.08% market share. The technical outlook for Bharti Airtel stock is positive, as it has broken out of a falling trend line and is trading above short and long term moving averages, with momentum indicators pointing to positive momentum. Allcargo Logistics plans to set up a Container Freight Station facility in Kolkata with an investment of Rs. 35 crore to capitalize on growing container traffic in eastern India. The technical outlook for Allcargo Logistics is also positive as it has broken out of an ascending triangle pattern and is trading above moving averages with momentum
The document provides a "Pick of the Week" stock recommendation. It recommends Minda Industries Ltd. as the pick, with a target price of Rs. 1,170, representing a potential upside of 12% from the current market price of Rs. 1,044. The recommendation is based on Minda Industries' position as an indirect play on the expanding automobile sector in India, its ongoing business consolidation efforts, and diversified revenue sources across two-wheeler and passenger vehicle segments. The document outlines the company's financials, investment rationale, and risk-return profile of pick of the week ideas.
The document provides a "Pick of the Week" stock recommendation. It recommends buying shares of I G Petrochemicals Ltd., an Indian petrochemicals company, with a target price of Rs 717, representing an upside potential of 12% from the current market price of Rs 640. Some key points justifying the recommendation are IGPL's market leadership in phthalic anhydride production, expected capacity expansion increasing revenues, and improved margins from higher capacity utilization rates and entry into downstream products. The recommendation is based on fundamental analysis and an investment horizon of 6-9 months.
A thorough analysis of company , industry and economy goes behind our stock ideas for you. With these picks, you may earn superior returns over a medium to long term period. Visit https://simplehai.axisdirect.in/share-stock-prices/nse/Steel-Strips-Wheels-Ltd-1338 for more
A thorough analysis of company , industry and economy goes behind our stock ideas for you. With these picks, you may earn superior returns over a medium to long term period. Visit https://simplehai.axisdirect.in/share-stock-prices/nse/PPAP-Automotive-Ltd-23818 for more
A thorough analysis of company , industry and economy goes behind our stock ideas for you. With these picks, you may earn superior returns over a medium to long term period. Visit https://simplehai.axisdirect.in/share-stock-prices/nse/GMM-Pfaudler-Ltd-888 for more
Sterling tools beat its peers in operating marginShailesh Saraf
Sterling Tools has expanded its operating margin to 20.9% while its peers in the auto ancillary sector saw margins drop. This is due to Sterling diversifying its client base and obtaining better prices. Sterling focuses on high priced fasteners and has increased its market share with key customers like Maruti Suzuki. Sterling's varied portfolio and growth in customer segments like commercial vehicles has helped drive revenue growth of 10-12% despite demand fluctuations in any one segment.
A thorough analysis of company , industry and economy goes behind our stock ideas for you. With these picks, you may earn superior returns over a medium to long term period. Visit https://simplehai.axisdirect.in/share-stock-prices/nse/Himadri-Speciality-Chemical-Ltd-2780 for more
The document is a presentation on a study of selected mutual fund schemes' ranking in relation to their assets under management (AUM) from 2003-2015. It includes an industry overview of mutual funds, summaries of various research papers on mutual fund performance and rankings, and data analysis comparing the annual ranking and AUM of 10 popular mutual fund schemes over the study period. The data shows varying relationships between scheme rankings and AUMs year to year.
A thorough analysis of company , industry and economy goes behind our stock ideas for you. With these picks, you may earn superior returns over a medium to long term period. Visit https://simplehai.axisdirect.in/share-stock-prices/nse/Minda-Industries-Ltd-12295 for more
Idea Cellular Ltd. is recommended as a buy with a price target of Rs. 185-230. The technical outlook is positive as the stock has taken support at Rs. 130 and is trending higher. Company outlook is also positive due to expected robust subscriber growth, improving EBITDA margins, and potential value unlocking from hiving off its tower business. On the financial front, net sales increased 64% YoY while EBITDA and PAT grew 69% and 259% YoY respectively due to margin expansion and lower costs.
Alteryx provides an end-to-end data analytics platform consisting of four integrated elements. While Alteryx has experienced strong growth, it faces significant competition from large companies like Microsoft and diminishing customer growth. A DCF valuation results in a target price of $86.97, representing a 37% downside, leading to a recommendation to sell the stock. Key risks include Alteryx's weak competitive position against larger rivals and overreliance on acquisitions for product growth.
This newsletter provides analysis and recommendations on stocks including Nelco, Shree Pushkar Chem, Virinchi Technologies Limited, Vodafone Idea Limited. For Nelco, the analysis notes it is trading above moving averages and recommends buying with a target of 255+. For Shree Pushkar Chem, it notes an inverted head and shoulders pattern and recommends buying with a stop loss of 125. For Virinchi Technologies, it provides an overview of the company and its business areas and recommends buying at the current price or on dips with medium-term targets of 16-30 over 6-9 months. For Vodafone Idea, it notes the company's fund raising plans and recommends it as a midterm pick to buy
This investor presentation by Alteryx provides an overview of the company and its analytics platform. Key points include:
- Alteryx reported 50% revenue growth in Q1 2018 with a 132% net revenue retention rate and over 3,700 total customers.
- The Alteryx analytics platform unifies data preparation, blending, analysis, and predictive modeling into a single workflow without coding.
- Alteryx has expanded its platform through acquisitions and new product releases to support a range of use cases from citizen data scientists to data scientists.
- Alteryx serves a diverse base of blue chip customers across many industries and sees opportunities for continued growth through new customers, expanded use by existing customers, and international
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Greaves Cotton Ltd
1. 1
Niteen S Dharmawat
Co-Founder, Aurum Capital
Website: https://aurumcapital.in
Twitter: @CapitalAurum / @niteen_india
Email: info@aurumcapital.in
Greaves Cotton Ltd…
PEOPLE. PHYGITAL. PROGRESS.
18th Feb 2023
2. 2
Important Disclosure:
The information herein is used as per the available sources of bseindia.com/nseindia.com/brokers websites, company’s annual reports &
other public/private database sources. Aurum Capital is not responsible for any discrepancy in the data. Investors should seek advice of
their independent financial advisor prior to taking any investment decision based on this report or for necessary explanation of its
contents.
Future estimates, if any, mentioned herein are personal opinions & views of the analyst. Analyst Name – Niteen S Dharmawat. We are
also registered on the SCORES website. Our Research Analyst Registration Number: INH000008118. Aurum Capital and its Partners do
not have any disciplinary action from any of the regulators.
Readers/attendees/viewers are responsible for all outcomes arising of buying / selling particular scrip/ scrips mentioned here in. This
presentation indicates opinion of the author to understand the company and its business operations and it is not a recommendation
to buy or sell or hold securities. Aurum Capital & its representatives have vested interest in the security/ies at the time of this
publication, and its partners / company have positions / financial interest in the security/ies discussed here.
Aurum Capital, or its associates are not paid or compensated at any point of time, in last 12 months by any way from the companies
mentioned in the report.
Aurum Capital, or its representatives do not have more than 1% of the company’s total shareholding. Analyst ownership of the stock:
No. Aurum Capital’s partner’s ownership of the stock: Yes. Recommendation to client: Yes. Served as a director / employee of
mentioned companies in report: No. Any material conflict of interest at the time of publishing report: No
The views expressed in this post accurately reflect the author’s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and
no part of the compensations, if any was, is or will be, directly indirectly, related to specific recommendation or views expressed in the
report.
3. 3
Aurum Capital is a SEBI registered Research Analyst (SEBI Registration No:
INH000008118) services company. Started by Jiten Parmar and Niteen
Dharmawat, who together have more than 4 decades of experience investing in
equities and guiding and mentoring fellow investors.
This rich industry background helps us understand companies, complexities of
business and tipping points that make or break a company. Our approach is not
limited to just number crunching but going beyond. We focus on the business,
strategic direction, the competitive landscape, the governance process, the
background of the promoters, turnarounds, to name a few. Often these are more
critical items than just numbers. Jiten and Niteen have successfully waded through
multiple bear and bull market cycles.
4. Twitter - @niteen_india
About Greaves Cotton
4
Background…
This is a case study to understand business and not a stock recommendation
We own this stock and we may exit too without any notice
162 years of rich legacy & trust
One of the leading diversified engineering companies with presence in Automotive, Non-Automotive, Aftermarket,
Retail, Electric mobility solutions & Finance.
In Automotive segment
provides wide range of fuel-agnostic powertrain solutions for Diesel, CNG, Petrol powered 3-wheeled
commercial vehicles.
ventured into last mile personal mobility segment with Ampere Electric for electric 2 wheelers, smaller
electric industrial products and electric 3 wheelers.
In non-automotive segment
wide portfolio of products in gensets, farm & application driven industries in marine, light construction &
other industrial applications.
6 state-of-the-art manufacturing facilities l 500+ Greaves Retail outlets l 6500+ smaller spare parts retail outlets l
15000+ mechanics and 350+ dealer touch points.
CMP: 132 (17 Feb 2023) 52H/L: 210.8/124.35 Book value: 66.1
Market Cap: ₹ 3070Cr.; Enterprise Value: ₹ 1825 Cr. Net Debt: Net cash/No debt
Source: The company announcements, Annual Reports/Quarterly results, publically available data, Aurum Capital research
5. Twitter - @niteen_india
Business case… (1/2)
5
Background…
This is a case study to understand business and not a stock recommendation
We own this stock and we may exit too without any notice
Source: The company announcements, Annual Reports/Quarterly results, publically available data, Aurum Capital research
E-mobility business recorded highest ever primary sales of 14.8K units in the month of Jan’23
The Company inaugurated its largest EV manufacturing facility and an Experience Centre at Ranipet, Tamil
Nadu. This will herald a new fast-paced growth for EV segment.
New EV Battery safety norms of Phase 1 and Phase 2 had some headwinds on revenues. The company has
moved well past this.
EBITDA margins are higher in E 2-W and E 3-W should improve EBITDA with increasing volumes
Greaves Retail - a one-stop shop for all customer needs in the mobility ecosystem.
Customer retention of over 50% has been a major contributing factor for the growth
Greaves Finance initiated for tech-enabled financing for electric vehicles with deep understanding of asset
risk.
6. Twitter - @niteen_india
Business case… (2/2)
6
Background…
This is a case study to understand business and not a stock recommendation
We own this stock and we may exit too without any notice
Source: The company announcements, Annual Reports/Quarterly results, publically available data, Aurum Capital research
Play on the EV space in India.
Overall monthly sales-wise now at 6th in the Indian market
Decent base in EV 2-W segment and looking to expand to EV 3-W space. These are the two spaces within the EV gambit
where we are more positive and where we believe there has been and will be the fastest adoption.
Government stopped giving FAME (Faster Adoption and Manufacturing of Electric Vehicles) scheme subsidy to Hero Electric and
Okinawa as they didn't meet 50% domestic norms. Now they are selling at substantial premium than they were till Dec 2022.
Greaves continue to get subsidy and likely to get higher market share.
Acquired Bestway Agencies Pvt Ltd which sells e-Rickshaws under the ELE brand to expand into EV 3-W space
To acquire 100% stake in Excel Controlinkage Pvt Ltd at INR 385Crs. Excel Controlinkage is India’s leading manufacturer of motion
control systems with integrated capabilities to manufacture Push Pull Cables, Levers & Sensors. It would also give a push to its EV
ecosystem.
Saudi Arabia-based family-owned, Abdul Latif Jameel Capital has invested USD 220 million in GEM (Greaves Electric Mobility) for
36% stake. This deal itself values the GEM subsidiary at upwards of 3000 crore which is close to the total company’s market cap.
7. Twitter - @niteen_india
Corporate Structure
7
Background…
This is a case study to understand business and not a stock recommendation
We own this stock and we may exit too without any notice
Source: The company announcements, Annual Reports/Quarterly results, publically available data, Aurum Capital research
Electric Mobility: 46%
Powertrain + Retail: 54%
8. Twitter - @niteen_india
Electric Mobility Product Range
8
2W
This is a case study to understand business and not a stock recommendation
We own this stock and we may exit too without any notice
Source: The company announcements, Annual Reports/Quarterly results, publically available data, Aurum Capital research
FY22 AR
New business initiatives
contributed 49% of the
total consolidated
revenue for FY 2021-22.
9. Twitter - @niteen_india
Electric Mobility Product Range
9
3W
This is a case study to understand business and not a stock recommendation
We own this stock and we may exit too without any notice
Source: The company announcements, Annual Reports/Quarterly results, publically available data, Aurum Capital research
Q3FY23 updates
Unveiled six new 2W & 3W
EVs catering to diverse
consumer segments and
price points
Bookings open for Ampere
Primus
10. Twitter - @niteen_india
Manufacturing footprint
10
Background…
This is a case study to understand business and not a stock recommendation
We own this stock and we may exit too without any notice
Source: The company announcements, Annual Reports/Quarterly results, publically available data, Aurum Capital research
11. Twitter - @niteen_india
Stagnant stock price
11
8 years+…
This is a case study to understand business and not a stock recommendation
We own this stock and we may exit too without any notice
Source: The company announcements, Annual Reports/Quarterly results, publically available data, Aurum Capital research, Google chart
12. Twitter - @niteen_india
Performance stuck too…
12
8 years+…
This is a case study to understand business and not a stock recommendation
We own this stock and we may exit too without any notice
Source: The company announcements, Annual Reports/Quarterly results, publically available data, Aurum Capital research, Google chart
13. Twitter - @niteen_india
Strong Balance sheet…
13
No equity dilution + Buy backs+ Expanded Fas + Cash…
This is a case study to understand business and not a stock recommendation
We own this stock and we may exit too without any notice
Source: The company announcements, Annual Reports/Quarterly results, publically available data, Aurum Capital research, Google chart
14. Twitter - @niteen_india
Cashflow from Operations…
14
So far so good…
This is a case study to understand business and not a stock recommendation
We own this stock and we may exit too without any notice
Source: The company announcements, Annual Reports/Quarterly results, publically available data, Aurum Capital research, Google chart
Narration Mar-13 Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22
CFO 107.84 155.47 225.10 230.11 114.43 279.62 145.34 101.63 146.80 -62.78
Net profit 148.02 123.40 83.63 200.88 180.66 202.19 164.71 129.17 -18.78 -35.30
15. Twitter - @niteen_india
Key Committees and Auditors
15
Independent and Top Class…
Audit Committee
Nomination and Remuneration Committee
Statutory Auditor:
• Deloitte Haskins & Sells LLP
Internal Auditor:
• Ernst & Young LLP
Source: The company announcements, Annual Reports/Quarterly results, Red Herring Prospectus, publically available data
16. Twitter - @niteen_india
Risks
16
& Mitigation…
Regulatory Risks:
o The electric mobility business is dependent on subsidies, and any significant delay in receiving them could
impact the credit profile of the company.
o Both electric mobility and the conventional diesel auto industry are subject to regulatory changes which
could impact the company’s revenue in case of any adverse regulatory changes.
War escalation can hit supplies of major raw materials
Continuous increase in raw material cost could impact profitability of the company
Powertrain business has increased competitive environment especially in agriculture and marine segment this is
due to non-availability of large range of engines of >700 HP
Greaves Electric Mobility (GEM)
o Risk of technology change or adoption in medium and long-term
o Risk of competitiveness in multi-brand parts
o Risk of missing operating cash flows considering the fast growth in EV segment
Greaves Finance
o Risk of lower realization of value in case of NPAs.