This presentation provides stock screening criteria, methodology, the ways to avoid traps, important considerations to identify the stocks, how to design portfolio to minimize risk, when to sell, several case studies.
How to screen stocks so as to avoid common mistakes and uncommon lossesNiteen S Dharmawat
This presentation covers several new case studies.
It covers investing principles to screen stocks, avoid common mistakes backed by several real case studies from the Indian market
Objectives-
Quick screening to avoid major mistakes
What are the parameters that you must see
Sources to get the lists
Case studies covering failures and frauds
Delayed gratification: Most important quality
Value Investing In Cylicals - A Practioner's InsightsJiten Parmar
The document provides insights from Jiten Parmar on value investing in cyclical stocks. It discusses various strategies for cyclical investing including understanding business and market cycles, having patience, and overcoming greed and fear. It also covers approaches for contrarian and contra-cyclical investing such as buying when prospects are poor and ratios are down, and selling when prospects improve. Several case studies of investments in cyclical sectors like metals and sugar are also presented.
This presentation provides stock screening criteria, methodology, the ways to avoid traps, important considerations to identify the stocks, how to design portfolio to minimize risk, when to sell, several case studies.
How to screen stocks so as to avoid common mistakes and uncommon lossesNiteen S Dharmawat
This presentation covers several new case studies.
It covers investing principles to screen stocks, avoid common mistakes backed by several real case studies from the Indian market
Objectives-
Quick screening to avoid major mistakes
What are the parameters that you must see
Sources to get the lists
Case studies covering failures and frauds
Delayed gratification: Most important quality
Value Investing In Cylicals - A Practioner's InsightsJiten Parmar
The document provides insights from Jiten Parmar on value investing in cyclical stocks. It discusses various strategies for cyclical investing including understanding business and market cycles, having patience, and overcoming greed and fear. It also covers approaches for contrarian and contra-cyclical investing such as buying when prospects are poor and ratios are down, and selling when prospects improve. Several case studies of investments in cyclical sectors like metals and sugar are also presented.
Common mistakes and uncommon losses: Real case studies from the Indian market. This presentation covers the case studies of the companies where the investment went down the drain.
The presentation was delivered at CFA Institute on 7th Mar 2020.
This presentation covers case studies as if we are in that time period and to check if numbers could tell us upcoming problems.
Added 3 new case studies and a quiz
Case study 1: Slide# 37-41
Case study 2: Slide# 42-47
Case study 3: Slide# 48-52
Quiz: Slide# 58
It also covers investing principles to screen stocks, avoid common mistakes backed by several real case studies from the Indian market
Objectives-
Quick screening to avoid major mistakes
What are the parameters that you must see
Sources to get the lists
Case studies covering failures and frauds
Delayed gratification: Most important quality
This presentation tries to give a perspective on understanding cyclicals. Understanding of business and market cycles. With examples from Indian market. This was presented at CFA society, Delhi on Dec 14, 2019 and at FOF, PPFAS on Dec 20, 2019
This presentation was delivered in a Pune investor meet. Provides stock screening criteria, methodology, the ways to avoid trap, important consideration to identify the stocks
A project report on technical analysis at share khanBabasab Patil
The document provides an overview of the stock market and technical analysis. It discusses the industry overview including definitions of a stock market and its key participants. It also examines the importance of stock markets and covers topics such as market indices, derivative instruments, investment strategies, taxation, irrational behavior and crashes. The document then provides a profile of Sharekhan, an Indian stock broker, outlining its services, achievements and competitors. It closes with an introduction to the Indian cement industry and profiles three major cement companies - ACC, Ultratech and Grasim.
A study of technical analysis in different sectors stocksProjects Kart
1) Fundamental analysis determines a stock's intrinsic value by analyzing factors like the economy, industry, and company. It identifies underpriced and overpriced stocks based on comparing intrinsic value to market value.
2) Technical analysis predicts future stock price movements by studying historical price data and trading volumes. It analyzes charts and patterns to identify trends but does not consider fundamental company factors.
3) The study analyzes 5 stocks from the Nifty index using limited technical analysis tools to predict future stock behavior and help investors make informed buy/sell decisions. It has limitations such as only analyzing a few stocks and tools.
The Unit Trust of India (UTI) scam involved large-scale mismanagement and fraudulent investments by UTI managers that led to losses of thousands of crores of rupees belonging to small investors. UTI's flagship scheme US-64 was changed from debt-based to equity-linked and liberalized, allowing large-scale speculative investments in stocks like those promoted by Ketan Parekh. These collapsed, eroding over half of UTI's portfolio value within a year. The scam benefited large corporations and influential individuals but hurt millions of small investors who lost a major portion of their savings. It highlighted the need for better regulation of public savings managed by government institutions.
The document provides information about KNR Constructions, an Indian infrastructure company. It discusses KNR's history since 1995, financial performance, order backlog, and key business segments. It also analyzes KNR's share price performance since its IPO in 2008, noting it increased over 14 times in value while many peers declined significantly. The document emphasizes KNR maintained conservative financial management with no equity dilution, and executed projects on time.
This document discusses investor behavior and provides advice for investors. It emphasizes having the right temperament including conviction, discipline, and patience. Investors should focus on the long term, control their emotions, and avoid herd behavior. They should also keep their analysis and strategies simple, buy companies for their fundamentals, and reward winning investments. The document concludes by introducing Aurum Capital, a research advisory company started by the authors to provide stock research and portfolio advising services.
With resolution of Central Government for reforms, transparency and governance in Corporate Sector, sentiments in the Capital Market has turned positive. Companies Act 2013 has also helped in reinstating the confidence of small shareholders in Capital Market.
As the capital market has grown global, it has generated ample need and huge opportunities for pools of ready money for investments in specific sectors. In such a scenario, several new Investor and Market friendly laws like AIF/ REITs and InvIT have been introduced. SEBI has also recently simplified some norms of AIFs. These type of funds will help in rapid development and growth of various sector of the country.
The document summarizes the timeline of events in the legal battle between the Sahara India conglomerate and SEBI regarding the repayment of Rs. 24,000 crore to investors in optionally fully convertible bonds. Key events include the Supreme Court ordering Sahara to repay the amount in 2012, SEBI freezing Sahara accounts and seizing properties in 2013 when repayment was not made, and the Supreme Court extending the parole of Sahara chief Subrata Roy but insisting he pay Rs. 600 crore by February or face arrest. The legal issues involve whether the bonds were a public issue requiring regulatory approvals.
Equity research fundamental and technical analysis and its impact on stock p...ramoo07
This document provides a project report on equity research and analysis conducted at Reliance Money. It includes an introduction to the company, objectives of the project, research methodology used, data presentation and analysis, findings, suggestions and conclusions. The report was submitted in partial fulfillment of an MBA degree and analyzes the impact of fundamental and technical analysis on stock prices. It acknowledges those who provided guidance and assistance with the project.
Alternate investments - Other Asset classesBFSI academy
This document discusses various types of alternative investments that can be used to diversify an investment portfolio beyond traditional stocks and bonds. It describes private equity, real estate, commodities, and art/antiques as common alternative investment classes. For each class, it provides details on investment vehicles, strategies, and limitations to consider. Private equity is structured through limited partnerships that invest capital over fund life cycles. Real estate exposure can come through direct property purchases, real estate funds, or real estate investment trusts. Commodities can be invested in physically or through commodity derivatives.
Technical analysis a study on selected stocks conducted at religare securit...Projects Kart
Technical analysis is a method of evaluating securities such as stocks by analyzing statistics generated from market activity, like prices and trading volume. Technical analysts believe historical patterns in prices and volumes can help predict future price movements. The document discusses various technical analysis tools like charts, indicators, and patterns that analysts use to identify trends and make predictions. It also outlines some key assumptions of technical analysis, such as the idea that stock prices already reflect all publicly available information.
The document provides an overview of Kleiner Perkins (KP19) and their investment strategy and portfolio. In the past 48 years, KP has invested in over 1,000 companies, with 225 IPOs, 200 M&As, creating $3 trillion in market cap and returning $30 billion to investors. Their 2019 investments focused on enterprise (SaaS, infrastructure, security), healthcare, fintech, hardtech, and consumer sectors. They have an experienced team with technical backgrounds investing early in founders pursuing transformative goals.
This document provides an overview of different forms of private equity funding. It discusses why companies need funds and when equity financing is preferred over debt. It then describes various forms of private equity including angel investors, venture capital, growth-stage private equity, buyout funds, and mezzanine debt. The document reviews recent trends in private equity deals and sectors. It also outlines the general private equity investment process, valuation methods, deal structures, exit options, and considerations for private equity funding. In the conclusion, it notes that private equity is operating in a challenging environment with a large pipeline of future exits.
This document discusses investor temperament and traits of successful long-term investors. It emphasizes that temperament is the most important aspect, focusing on conviction from thorough research, discipline by ignoring short-term noise and herd behavior, patience through market cycles, and simplicity by focusing on key factors and not overanalyzing. Successful investors are convinced in the companies they invest in, disciplined in their process, patient for the long-term, and keep their approach simple.
The Sahara case stems from a 2008 RBI ruling barring Sahara India Financial Corporation from raising fresh deposits, as Sahara's business practices were suspected to operate as a Ponzi scheme. In response, Sahara issued optionally fully convertible debentures (OFCDs) through two companies to collect funds, but had poor records of investor identities. SEBI alleged the funds were improperly rotated between Sahara group companies. The Supreme Court ultimately ordered Sahara to repay over Rs. 24,000 crore collected through OFCDs to SEBI for distribution to investors, but Sahara claimed most was already repaid. When Sahara failed to comply fully, a non-bailable warrant was issued for its chief.
2023 Q2 Crypto Industry Report | CoinGeckoCoinGecko
After the exuberance of Q1, the crypto market took Q2 to consolidate the gains and increased slightly by 0.14%, from a total market cap of $1.238 trillion on March 31, 2023, to $1.240 trillion on June 30, 2023. April and May were relatively quiet months, particularly after Ethereum’s Shapella upgrade on April 12 as the market was absent of any strong overarching narrative. Prices of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) are now hovering around $30,000 and $1,900 respectively, with BTC climbing 6.9%, while ETH increased by 6.0% in Q2.
Our comprehensive 2023 Q2 Crypto Industry Report covers everything from the crypto market landscape to analyzing Bitcoin and Ethereum, deep diving into the decentralized finance (DeFi) and non-fungible token (NFT) ecosystems, and reviewing how centralized exchanges (CEX) and decentralized exchanges (DEX) have performed.
Common mistakes and uncommon losses real case studies from the indian marketNiteen S Dharmawat
Common mistakes and uncommon losses: Real case studies from the Indian market. This presentation covers the case studies of the companies where the investment went down the drain. It was delivered in "Small-Cap Investor Summit 2.0" organized by "The Investment Lab" in Mumbai on 14th Dec 2019.
This presentation is delivered at Tamilnadu Investor Association (TIA) 20-20 Ideas Summit in Chennai. It covers the company details, business operations and how they have been doing. It is for study purpose. Please read the important disclaimer. If you do not agree with the disclaimer please do not read the presentation.
Common mistakes and uncommon losses: Real case studies from the Indian market. This presentation covers the case studies of the companies where the investment went down the drain.
The presentation was delivered at CFA Institute on 7th Mar 2020.
This presentation covers case studies as if we are in that time period and to check if numbers could tell us upcoming problems.
Added 3 new case studies and a quiz
Case study 1: Slide# 37-41
Case study 2: Slide# 42-47
Case study 3: Slide# 48-52
Quiz: Slide# 58
It also covers investing principles to screen stocks, avoid common mistakes backed by several real case studies from the Indian market
Objectives-
Quick screening to avoid major mistakes
What are the parameters that you must see
Sources to get the lists
Case studies covering failures and frauds
Delayed gratification: Most important quality
This presentation tries to give a perspective on understanding cyclicals. Understanding of business and market cycles. With examples from Indian market. This was presented at CFA society, Delhi on Dec 14, 2019 and at FOF, PPFAS on Dec 20, 2019
This presentation was delivered in a Pune investor meet. Provides stock screening criteria, methodology, the ways to avoid trap, important consideration to identify the stocks
A project report on technical analysis at share khanBabasab Patil
The document provides an overview of the stock market and technical analysis. It discusses the industry overview including definitions of a stock market and its key participants. It also examines the importance of stock markets and covers topics such as market indices, derivative instruments, investment strategies, taxation, irrational behavior and crashes. The document then provides a profile of Sharekhan, an Indian stock broker, outlining its services, achievements and competitors. It closes with an introduction to the Indian cement industry and profiles three major cement companies - ACC, Ultratech and Grasim.
A study of technical analysis in different sectors stocksProjects Kart
1) Fundamental analysis determines a stock's intrinsic value by analyzing factors like the economy, industry, and company. It identifies underpriced and overpriced stocks based on comparing intrinsic value to market value.
2) Technical analysis predicts future stock price movements by studying historical price data and trading volumes. It analyzes charts and patterns to identify trends but does not consider fundamental company factors.
3) The study analyzes 5 stocks from the Nifty index using limited technical analysis tools to predict future stock behavior and help investors make informed buy/sell decisions. It has limitations such as only analyzing a few stocks and tools.
The Unit Trust of India (UTI) scam involved large-scale mismanagement and fraudulent investments by UTI managers that led to losses of thousands of crores of rupees belonging to small investors. UTI's flagship scheme US-64 was changed from debt-based to equity-linked and liberalized, allowing large-scale speculative investments in stocks like those promoted by Ketan Parekh. These collapsed, eroding over half of UTI's portfolio value within a year. The scam benefited large corporations and influential individuals but hurt millions of small investors who lost a major portion of their savings. It highlighted the need for better regulation of public savings managed by government institutions.
The document provides information about KNR Constructions, an Indian infrastructure company. It discusses KNR's history since 1995, financial performance, order backlog, and key business segments. It also analyzes KNR's share price performance since its IPO in 2008, noting it increased over 14 times in value while many peers declined significantly. The document emphasizes KNR maintained conservative financial management with no equity dilution, and executed projects on time.
This document discusses investor behavior and provides advice for investors. It emphasizes having the right temperament including conviction, discipline, and patience. Investors should focus on the long term, control their emotions, and avoid herd behavior. They should also keep their analysis and strategies simple, buy companies for their fundamentals, and reward winning investments. The document concludes by introducing Aurum Capital, a research advisory company started by the authors to provide stock research and portfolio advising services.
With resolution of Central Government for reforms, transparency and governance in Corporate Sector, sentiments in the Capital Market has turned positive. Companies Act 2013 has also helped in reinstating the confidence of small shareholders in Capital Market.
As the capital market has grown global, it has generated ample need and huge opportunities for pools of ready money for investments in specific sectors. In such a scenario, several new Investor and Market friendly laws like AIF/ REITs and InvIT have been introduced. SEBI has also recently simplified some norms of AIFs. These type of funds will help in rapid development and growth of various sector of the country.
The document summarizes the timeline of events in the legal battle between the Sahara India conglomerate and SEBI regarding the repayment of Rs. 24,000 crore to investors in optionally fully convertible bonds. Key events include the Supreme Court ordering Sahara to repay the amount in 2012, SEBI freezing Sahara accounts and seizing properties in 2013 when repayment was not made, and the Supreme Court extending the parole of Sahara chief Subrata Roy but insisting he pay Rs. 600 crore by February or face arrest. The legal issues involve whether the bonds were a public issue requiring regulatory approvals.
Equity research fundamental and technical analysis and its impact on stock p...ramoo07
This document provides a project report on equity research and analysis conducted at Reliance Money. It includes an introduction to the company, objectives of the project, research methodology used, data presentation and analysis, findings, suggestions and conclusions. The report was submitted in partial fulfillment of an MBA degree and analyzes the impact of fundamental and technical analysis on stock prices. It acknowledges those who provided guidance and assistance with the project.
Alternate investments - Other Asset classesBFSI academy
This document discusses various types of alternative investments that can be used to diversify an investment portfolio beyond traditional stocks and bonds. It describes private equity, real estate, commodities, and art/antiques as common alternative investment classes. For each class, it provides details on investment vehicles, strategies, and limitations to consider. Private equity is structured through limited partnerships that invest capital over fund life cycles. Real estate exposure can come through direct property purchases, real estate funds, or real estate investment trusts. Commodities can be invested in physically or through commodity derivatives.
Technical analysis a study on selected stocks conducted at religare securit...Projects Kart
Technical analysis is a method of evaluating securities such as stocks by analyzing statistics generated from market activity, like prices and trading volume. Technical analysts believe historical patterns in prices and volumes can help predict future price movements. The document discusses various technical analysis tools like charts, indicators, and patterns that analysts use to identify trends and make predictions. It also outlines some key assumptions of technical analysis, such as the idea that stock prices already reflect all publicly available information.
The document provides an overview of Kleiner Perkins (KP19) and their investment strategy and portfolio. In the past 48 years, KP has invested in over 1,000 companies, with 225 IPOs, 200 M&As, creating $3 trillion in market cap and returning $30 billion to investors. Their 2019 investments focused on enterprise (SaaS, infrastructure, security), healthcare, fintech, hardtech, and consumer sectors. They have an experienced team with technical backgrounds investing early in founders pursuing transformative goals.
This document provides an overview of different forms of private equity funding. It discusses why companies need funds and when equity financing is preferred over debt. It then describes various forms of private equity including angel investors, venture capital, growth-stage private equity, buyout funds, and mezzanine debt. The document reviews recent trends in private equity deals and sectors. It also outlines the general private equity investment process, valuation methods, deal structures, exit options, and considerations for private equity funding. In the conclusion, it notes that private equity is operating in a challenging environment with a large pipeline of future exits.
This document discusses investor temperament and traits of successful long-term investors. It emphasizes that temperament is the most important aspect, focusing on conviction from thorough research, discipline by ignoring short-term noise and herd behavior, patience through market cycles, and simplicity by focusing on key factors and not overanalyzing. Successful investors are convinced in the companies they invest in, disciplined in their process, patient for the long-term, and keep their approach simple.
The Sahara case stems from a 2008 RBI ruling barring Sahara India Financial Corporation from raising fresh deposits, as Sahara's business practices were suspected to operate as a Ponzi scheme. In response, Sahara issued optionally fully convertible debentures (OFCDs) through two companies to collect funds, but had poor records of investor identities. SEBI alleged the funds were improperly rotated between Sahara group companies. The Supreme Court ultimately ordered Sahara to repay over Rs. 24,000 crore collected through OFCDs to SEBI for distribution to investors, but Sahara claimed most was already repaid. When Sahara failed to comply fully, a non-bailable warrant was issued for its chief.
2023 Q2 Crypto Industry Report | CoinGeckoCoinGecko
After the exuberance of Q1, the crypto market took Q2 to consolidate the gains and increased slightly by 0.14%, from a total market cap of $1.238 trillion on March 31, 2023, to $1.240 trillion on June 30, 2023. April and May were relatively quiet months, particularly after Ethereum’s Shapella upgrade on April 12 as the market was absent of any strong overarching narrative. Prices of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) are now hovering around $30,000 and $1,900 respectively, with BTC climbing 6.9%, while ETH increased by 6.0% in Q2.
Our comprehensive 2023 Q2 Crypto Industry Report covers everything from the crypto market landscape to analyzing Bitcoin and Ethereum, deep diving into the decentralized finance (DeFi) and non-fungible token (NFT) ecosystems, and reviewing how centralized exchanges (CEX) and decentralized exchanges (DEX) have performed.
Common mistakes and uncommon losses real case studies from the indian marketNiteen S Dharmawat
Common mistakes and uncommon losses: Real case studies from the Indian market. This presentation covers the case studies of the companies where the investment went down the drain. It was delivered in "Small-Cap Investor Summit 2.0" organized by "The Investment Lab" in Mumbai on 14th Dec 2019.
This presentation is delivered at Tamilnadu Investor Association (TIA) 20-20 Ideas Summit in Chennai. It covers the company details, business operations and how they have been doing. It is for study purpose. Please read the important disclaimer. If you do not agree with the disclaimer please do not read the presentation.
Niteen S Dharmawat, Co Founder, Aurum Capital, presented the business analysis of Greaves Cotton Ltd in the Tamilnadu Investors' Association (TIA) 20-20 Summit in Chennai on 18 Feb 2023.
Please go through the Disclosure. This is not a buy/sell/hold recommendation. It is the business analysis of the company.
A project report on fundamental analysis of mahindra&mahindra companyBabasab Patil
- Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) is an Indian automotive and farm equipment manufacturer and the flagship company of the Mahindra Group.
- M&M has a significant presence in key sectors of the Indian economy and is one of the most respected companies in India.
- The document provides an executive summary and theoretical background on fundamental analysis and discusses strengths and weaknesses of this valuation approach before discussing investment valuation.
Learn the tools and methodologies Fidelity uses in assessing a company's quality. Using a number of stock story examples, you will learn how to identify whether a company’s management is unique and whether it is well positioned to benefit from future trends.
Mahindra & Mahindra's farm equipment sector reported a 22% decline in domestic sales and a 26% fall in exports for August 2015 compared to the same period last year, while its stock price has been declining and technical indicators suggest further downside; Sun Pharmaceutical completed an acquisition that expands its global opiates business; and Asian stock markets opened mixed on Wednesday following global market declines driven by concerns over China's economic slowdown.
EPIC RESEARCH SINGAPORE - Daily SGX Singapore report of 23 December 2014Epic Research Singapore
Epic Research private limited have best technical research team, Our research team provide Daily report on SGX Singapore and SGX Exchange, You can get Daily Favorable Tips & future Strategy for SGX Stocks Market.
can someone please assist me with analysis of this case atud.pdfakshpatil4
can someone please assist me with analysis of this case atudy
VAKRANGEE: ANATOMY OF STOCK VALUATION 1 Poga Gupti and Zahid Jamar wrote this
case solby to provide matorial for chas discussion. The authors do not intond to iflustrate either
oflective or innflloctive handing of a managonial sihution. The authors may have disguised certain
names and other idantifying information to protect confidentilith. This publication may not be
transmitted, pholocopied, digitinod, or othorwise reproduced in any form or by any moans without
the pormissian of the copynight holder. Reproduction of this material is not covered under
autherization by any reproduction rights organization. To arder copies or nequest pemission to
reproduce materials, contact Ney Pubbishing. Avey Business School, Westem Cogyright 92020,
Ney Business School Foundation Vorsion: 20200703 On April 20, 2018, Priyankar Khandelwal
was furious as he watched the stock value from his fund seemingly evaporate right in front of his
eyes. Khandelwal, the fund manager at Principal First, had been managing the mid-sized
information technology (IT) fund for the previous five years. Khandelwal asked his assistant to put
in a sell order to cover his long position 2 in Vakrangee Limited (Vakrangee) at a substantial loss.
He had bought the stock in the beginning of October 2017. The stock hit a high in Jamuary 2018
but had subsequently been sliding (see Exhibit 1). In his fund, Khandelwal had allocated a
substantial amount to Vakrangee in the initial investment. Based on the current market price of the
stock, there was a net loss of 169 million 3 and a loss of 592 million unrealized from the top for the
fund. 4 This loss caused the net asset value of the fund to fall by 35 per cent year to date,
because Khandelwal had not hedged his position. Khandelwal's clients were irate, and more than
25 per cent of his firm's investors had withdrawn their money from the fund. Principal First had
also reprimanded him and put him on notice. Khandelwal wondered where he went wrong in his
analysis of Vakrangee. He had done the valuation exercise himself, checked and cross-checked
his assumptions, looked at industry and credit reports, and had found it to be a good stock with
good future prospects. What had he missed? What could he have done better? PRINCIPAL
FIRST Principal First was a Mumbai-based boutique investment management and investment
advisory firm. The investment objective of the firm was to deliver notable risk-adjusted retums
consistently while ensuring capital preservation. The firm was founded in 2005 and had been an
carly investor in the Indian alternative 'This case was awarded an honourable mention in the the
ISB-lvey Global Case Compettion 2018. The prize was sponsored by ISB. 2 A long position was
the buying of a stock, commodity, or currency with the expectation that it (would] rise in value;
"Long Position (Long)," Investopedia, March 20, 2020, accessed April 6, 2010, www.
investopedia.com/terms/Vi.
#ChoiceBroking #Pickoftheweek: Asian Paints Limited was established way back on February 1,1942 and today stands as India’s largest and Asia’s
third largest paint company. Asian Paints operates in 17 countries and has 25 paint manufacturing facilities in the world servicing consumers in over 65 countries.
Discovering a wealth creator portfolio: Author Maneesh NathManeesh Nath
MicroCap Review, The Official Magazine for the MicroCap Stock Market, is pleased to bring to you the Summer 2020 edition of the MicroCap Review. This issue of MicroCap Review, includes new content from expert writers and commentators, like Maneesh Nath, as well as featuring articles on public MicroCap companies. For more information MicroCapReview magazine, go to: www.MicroCapReview.com
https://issuu.com/stocknewsnow/docs/microcap_review_summer_2020_final/70
This document summarizes a study on target customer behavior and marketing approach for IDBI Federal Life Insurance Company. It identifies key managerial problems such as lack of brand awareness and trust. Through qualitative and quantitative research involving surveys and segmentation, it analyzes customer perceptions, preferences and behavior across different income and age groups. The results show gaps in IDBI Federal's marketing activities and awareness. Recommendations focus on targeting specific income segments, positioning products as lower risk options, and boosting marketing efforts through referrals and newspapers.
CapitalHeight provides day market highlight and you will get stocks to watch for day, profitable stocks details from capitalheight, Technically and fundamentally analysis we will provide on daily basis to make strategy to earn from market. CapitalHeight ensure that by which strategy you can get maximum profit.
Venture capital has the potential to significantly impact Peru's economy by funding high-growth startups and small businesses. However, Peru currently has very limited exposure to venture capital and a nascent entrepreneurial ecosystem. To develop a successful venture capital industry, Peru must build critical mass in key areas like innovation capacity, entrepreneur activity, and investment capital within a trusted environment. Establishing public policies that support venture capital can help catalyze the growth of Peru's entrepreneurial ecosystem.
Epic Research is a leading global financial services provider. Headquartered in Indore, India, Epic has offices and representatives in U.S.A., Singapore, Australia and Middle East. With its full fledged research operations, Epic Research has proven itself as Investment Advisory Company that produces and delivers high accuracy tips and recommendations for the Singapore market .We Provide Services In :SGX Equities,SGX Derivatives - Futures and Options,Global Commodities – Bullion, Energy and Agri,Global Forex – Major currency pairs
This document is a research report on promotional strategies for retail jewelry showrooms during unstable market conditions. It was written by Pranay Kothari and examines the case of a fictional company called XYZ (Pvt.) Ltd., a high-end jewelry producer facing cash flow issues. The report includes an executive summary, research proposal, literature review, analysis of XYZ's financial position using tools like ratios and cash flow forecasts, a discussion of potential promotional strategies, and conclusions with recommendations. The goal is to identify promotions that can increase XYZ's sales and reduce liquidity problems without compromising quality or brand image. Primary research included interviews with XYZ's Director and Finance Head, while secondary research reviewed annual reports and business journals.
1. The document is a report on the fundamental analysis of Tata Motors that analyzes the company's performance from economic, industry, and company perspectives.
2. It discusses the importance of fundamental analysis in evaluating companies and outlines the steps involved, which include macroeconomic analysis, industry analysis, company situational analysis, and financial analysis.
3. The analysis finds that Tata Motors' revenue declined slightly in recent years but has generally increased over the long term, and it is the largest commercial vehicle manufacturer in India and globally by volume.
Understanding the Banking Sector by Ashish Kila (CIO, Perfect Research) at Be...perfectresearch
This is the video of the presentation made by our CIO Ashish Kila at the Best Ideas 2019 Conference hosted by MOI Global. (Manual of Ideas)
For more details, please refer to:-
MOI Global Website at https://moiglobal.com/ashish-kila-201901/
Our Blog at http://perfectresearch.blogspot.in
Disclaimer:
-We are not SEBI registered Investment Advisors
-Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as investment advice. The stocks mentioned in the post are for educational purpose only and are not recommendations
- The purpose of this post is to highlight a framework which an investor can apply to any company.
-This is not an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy/sell the securities/instruments mentioned.
-All the posts on this blog, including this one, are for educational and discussion purposes only.
-Please do not take buy/sell or any investment decision based on articles you read on the blog. These are only meant to provide information and initiate discussion. The final decision is and always should be of the reader only.
-There are no warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness, or results obtained from any information set forth.
-Perfect Group’s officers, directors, employees, principals and/or contributing authors may have positions in and may, from time to time, make purchases or sales of the securities or other investments discussed or evaluated in this letter.
The document discusses the performance of the Indian stock market and debt market. It says that the Nifty and Sensex indexes are maintaining bullish momentum. Domestic mutual fund managers are regularly buying stocks due to high liquidity in the market. The debt market is also performing well due to upgrades in corporate debt ratings. Hybrid and dynamic allocation funds have outperformed many equity funds in recent months. It warns that investors should be cautious during bull markets to avoid high-risk products.
1) The document argues that Facebook is overvalued based on its current market capitalization of $265 billion.
2) For the same amount of money, one could purchase a conglomerate of companies including BlackRock, Kroger, Nordstroms, Estee Lauder, PayPal, Colgate, and Ford, which would generate a higher total annual net income of $13 billion compared to Facebook's $2.9 billion.
3) While Facebook has strong leadership and products, the document concludes that for investors, the conglomerate would be a better use of funds than purchasing Facebook at its current valuation.
Bharti Airtel added 22.28 lakh users in September, increasing its total customer base to 23.52 crore with a 32.08% market share. The technical outlook for Bharti Airtel stock is positive, as it has broken out of a falling trend line and is trading above short and long term moving averages, with momentum indicators pointing to positive momentum. Allcargo Logistics plans to set up a Container Freight Station facility in Kolkata with an investment of Rs. 35 crore to capitalize on growing container traffic in eastern India. The technical outlook for Allcargo Logistics is also positive as it has broken out of an ascending triangle pattern and is trading above moving averages with momentum
The Steadfast and Reliable Bull: Taurus Zodiac Signmy Pandit
Explore the steadfast and reliable nature of the Taurus Zodiac Sign. Discover the personality traits, key dates, and horoscope insights that define the determined and practical Taurus, and learn how their grounded nature makes them the anchor of the zodiac.
Discover the Beauty and Functionality of The Expert Remodeling Serviceobriengroupinc04
Unlock your kitchen's true potential with expert remodeling services from O'Brien Group Inc. Transform your space into a functional, modern, and luxurious haven with their experienced professionals. From layout reconfiguration to high-end upgrades, they deliver stunning results tailored to your style and needs. Visit obriengroupinc.com to elevate your kitchen's beauty and functionality today.
Best Competitive Marble Pricing in Dubai - ☎ 9928909666Stone Art Hub
Stone Art Hub offers the best competitive Marble Pricing in Dubai, ensuring affordability without compromising quality. With a wide range of exquisite marble options to choose from, you can enhance your spaces with elegance and sophistication. For inquiries or orders, contact us at ☎ 9928909666. Experience luxury at unbeatable prices.
During the budget session of 2024-25, the finance minister, Nirmala Sitharaman, introduced the “solar Rooftop scheme,” also known as “PM Surya Ghar Muft Bijli Yojana.” It is a subsidy offered to those who wish to put up solar panels in their homes using domestic power systems. Additionally, adopting photovoltaic technology at home allows you to lower your monthly electricity expenses. Today in this blog we will talk all about what is the PM Surya Ghar Muft Bijli Yojana. How does it work? Who is eligible for this yojana and all the other things related to this scheme?
SATTA MATKA DPBOSS KALYAN MATKA RESULTS KALYAN CHART KALYAN MATKA MATKA RESULT KALYAN MATKA TIPS SATTA MATKA MATKA COM MATKA PANA JODI TODAY BATTA SATKA MATKA PATTI JODI NUMBER MATKA RESULTS MATKA CHART MATKA JODI SATTA COM INDIA SATTA MATKA MATKA TIPS MATKA WAPKA ALL MATKA RESULT LIVE ONLINE MATKA RESULT KALYAN MATKA RESULT DPBOSS MATKA 143 MAIN MATKA KALYAN MATKA RESULTS KALYAN CHART
SATTA MATKA DPBOSS KALYAN MATKA RESULTS KALYAN CHART KALYAN MATKA MATKA RESULT KALYAN MATKA TIPS SATTA MATKA MATKA COM MATKA PANA JODI TODAY BATTA SATKA MATKA PATTI JODI NUMBER MATKA RESULTS MATKA CHART MATKA JODI SATTA COM INDIA SATTA MATKA MATKA TIPS MATKA WAPKA ALL MATKA RESULT LIVE ONLINE MATKA RESULT KALYAN MATKA RESULT DPBOSS MATKA 143 MAIN MATKA KALYAN MATKA RESULTS KALYAN CHART INDIA MATKA KALYAN SATTA MATKA 420 INDIAN MATKA SATTA KING MATKA FIX JODI FIX FIX FIX SATTA NAMBAR MATKA INDIA SATTA BATTA
𝐔𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐢𝐥 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐅𝐮𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐄𝐧𝐞𝐫𝐠𝐲 𝐄𝐟𝐟𝐢𝐜𝐢𝐞𝐧𝐜𝐲 𝐰𝐢𝐭𝐡 𝐍𝐄𝐖𝐍𝐓𝐈𝐃𝐄’𝐬 𝐋𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐬𝐭 𝐎𝐟𝐟𝐞𝐫𝐢𝐧𝐠𝐬
Explore the details in our newly released product manual, which showcases NEWNTIDE's advanced heat pump technologies. Delve into our energy-efficient and eco-friendly solutions tailored for diverse global markets.
❼❷⓿❺❻❷❽❷❼❽ Dpboss Matka Result Satta Matka Guessing Satta Fix jodi Kalyan Final ank Satta Matka Dpbos Final ank Satta Matta Matka 143 Kalyan Matka Guessing Final Matka Final ank Today Matka 420 Satta Batta Satta 143 Kalyan Chart Main Bazar Chart vip Matka Guessing Dpboss 143 Guessing Kalyan night
Unlocking WhatsApp Marketing with HubSpot: Integrating Messaging into Your Ma...Niswey
50 million companies worldwide leverage WhatsApp as a key marketing channel. You may have considered adding it to your marketing mix, or probably already driving impressive conversions with WhatsApp.
But wait. What happens when you fully integrate your WhatsApp campaigns with HubSpot?
That's exactly what we explored in this session.
We take a look at everything that you need to know in order to deploy effective WhatsApp marketing strategies, and integrate it with your buyer journey in HubSpot. From technical requirements to innovative campaign strategies, to advanced campaign reporting - we discuss all that and more, to leverage WhatsApp for maximum impact. Check out more details about the event here https://events.hubspot.com/events/details/hubspot-new-delhi-presents-unlocking-whatsapp-marketing-with-hubspot-integrating-messaging-into-your-marketing-strategy/
The Role of White Label Bookkeeping Services in Supporting the Growth and Sca...YourLegal Accounting
Effective financial management is important for expansion and scalability in the ever-changing US business environment. White Label Bookkeeping services is an innovative solution that is becoming more and more popular among businesses. These services provide a special method for managing financial duties effectively, freeing up companies to concentrate on their main operations and growth plans. We’ll look at how White Label Bookkeeping can help US firms expand and develop in this blog.
Enhancing Adoption of AI in Agri-food: IntroductionCor Verdouw
Introduction to the Panel on: Pathways and Challenges: AI-Driven Technology in Agri-Food, AI4Food, University of Guelph
“Enhancing Adoption of AI in Agri-food: a Path Forward”, 18 June 2024
SATTA MATKA DPBOSS KALYAN MATKA RESULTS KALYAN CHART KALYAN MATKA MATKA RESULT KALYAN MATKA TIPS SATTA MATKA MATKA COM MATKA PANA JODI TODAY BATTA SATKA MATKA PATTI JODI NUMBER MATKA RESULTS MATKA CHART MATKA JODI SATTA COM INDIA SATTA MATKA MATKA TIPS MATKA WAPKA ALL MATKA RESULT LIVE ONLINE MATKA RESULT KALYAN MATKA RESULT DPBOSS MATKA 143 MAIN MATKA KALYAN MATKA RESULTS KALYAN CHART
Adani Group's Active Interest In Increasing Its Presence in the Cement Manufa...Adani case
Time and again, the business group has taken up new business ventures, each of which has allowed it to expand its horizons further and reach new heights. Even amidst the Adani CBI Investigation, the firm has always focused on improving its cement business.
Adani Group's Active Interest In Increasing Its Presence in the Cement Manufa...
Understanding Markets
1. 1
Twitter - @niteen_india
Niteen S Dharmawat
Understanding markets
(Everything that you wanted to know about)
16th Sep 2022
Co-Founder, Aurum Capital
Website: https://aurumcapital.in
Twitter: @CapitalAurum / @niteen_india
Email: info@aurumcapital.in
2. 2
Twitter - @niteen_india
IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER:
The information herein is used as per the available sources of bseindia.com/nseindia.com/brokers websites, company’s annual
reports & other public/private database sources. Aurum Capital is not responsible for any discrepancy in the data. Investors
should seek advice of their independent financial advisor prior to taking any investment decision based on this report or for
necessary explanation of its contents.
Future estimates mentioned herein are personal opinions & views of the analyst. Analyst Name – Niteen S Dharmawat. For
queries / grievances – support@aurumcapital.in. SEBI registration No: INH000008118
Readers/attendees/viewers are responsible for all outcomes arising of buying / selling particular scrip/ scrips mentioned here in.
This presentation indicates opinion of the author to understand the case studies and it is not a recommendation to buy or sell
securities. Aurum Capital & its representatives may have vested interest in the mentioned securities at the time of this
publication, and its partners / company may have positions / financial interest in the securities discussed.
Aurum Capital, or its associates are not paid or compensated at any point of time, in last 12 months by any way from the
companies mentioned in the report.
Aurum Capital, or its representatives do not have more than 1% of the company’s total shareholding. Ownership of the stock:
may own/may have recommended to clients. Served as a director / employee of mentioned companies in report: No. Any
material conflict of interest at the time of publishing report: No
The views expressed in this post accurately reflect the author’s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or
issuers; and no part of the compensations, if any was, is or will be, directly indirectly, related to specific recommendation or
views expressed in the report.
3. 3
Twitter - @niteen_india
Aurum Capital is a SEBI registered Research Analyst (SEBI Registration No:
INH000008118) and Investment Advisory (SEBI Registration No: INA000011024)
services company. Started by Jiten Parmar and Niteen S Dharmawat, who together
have more than 4 decades of experience investing in equities and guiding and
mentoring fellow investors.
This rich industry background helps us understand companies, complexities of
business and tipping points that make or break a company. Our approach is not
limited to just number crunching but going beyond. We focus on the business,
strategic direction, the competitive landscape, the governance process, the
background of the promoters, turnarounds, to name a few. Often these are more
critical items than just numbers. Jiten and Niteen have successfully waded through
multiple bear and bull market cycles.
4. 4
Twitter - @niteen_india
Understanding Markets
4
Agenda…
Pessimism v/s Optimism
Wealth Creation Formula
Case study: Which stock would you buy A or B
Actors change, pattern repeats: Year 1720, 2000 and 2021
Large companies safe?
Portfolio construction
Manage behavioural aspects
Analyse stocks quick and fast
Case studies
Caselets
5. Twitter - @niteen_india
Buying the Pessimism v/s Optimism
5
Misconceptions
1) Bear markets are bad
2) Bull markets are all rosy
6. Twitter - @niteen_india
The Wealth Creation Formula
6
Right Focus – Right results
If a horse covers 10kms in 1 hour
and speed is maintained then
how much distance will it cover in
2nd hour and 3rd hour?
Add on…
Return charts in investment
10X, 20X, 30X…
Question to answer
Wealth
Creation
Formula
What investors
focus on
What investors
ignore
7. Twitter - @niteen_india
Which stock would you buy for 5 years?
7
Stock B
Rs 9785
Stock A
Rs 27
Please note that this is not a recommendation of any sort. This is just a case study for education purpose.
8. Twitter - @niteen_india
Price v/s Value?
8
Penny stock mentality:
How much it will fall from here?
Do you know the name of this stock and current price?
Bad Hint: Service industry, tyres and fuel important for this.
Rs 27 in Feb2012
Rs 7 in Aug 2012
Ever high Rs 290 in Dec 2007
Rs 9785 in Feb2012 Rs 11000 in Aug 2012
Expensive stock mentality:
How much it can go up from here?
Do you know the name of this stock?
Hint: Tyres manufacturer and crude is a critical item.
Ever high Rs 93,887 in Sep 2022
Stock B
Stock A
Now 0
Now 92,500+
Source: Google graph, screener/ace database
Please note that
these are not
recommendations of
any sort. This is just
a case study for
education purpose.
9. Twitter - @niteen_india 9
How many of you agree:
Investment in large companies is safe?
Raise your hands
10. Twitter - @niteen_india 10
Company Value lost from peak
99.6% from 2007 levels
98% from year 2014 levels
92% from 2015 levels
85% from 2018 levels
94% from 2000 levels
88% from 2008 levels
Scandal. Merged with Tech
Mahindra in 2009. Massive
wealth erosion
Large companies means lower risk: Not always
Once NIFTY 50 Constituents
Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NIFTY_50, Aurum Capital Research
Please note: this is not an opinion/
recommendations of any sort on
any of the stocks. This is just for
education purpose.
Company Value lost from peak
96% from 2018 levels
94% from 2019 levels
99.4% from 2008 levels
97.8% from 2017 levels
85% from 2010 levels
81% from 2017 levels
90% from 2018 levels
11. Twitter - @niteen_india 11
Company Value lost from peak
82% from 2007 levels
65% from 2015 levels
97.6% from 2008 levels
67% from 2014 levels
93% from 2008 levels
68% from 2018 levels
Merged with Daiichi Sankyo,
later on sold to Sun Pharma.
Corp governance issues
reported
Large companies means lower risk: Not always
Once NIFTY 50 Constituents
Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NIFTY_50, Aurum Capital Research
Please note: this is not an opinion/
recommendations of any sort on
any of the stocks. This is just for
education purpose.
Company Value lost from peak
97% from 2008 levels
88% from 2014 levels
67% from 2008 levels
99.8% from 2008 levels
93.5% from 2008 levels
79.7% from 2014 levels
12. Twitter - @niteen_india 12
Pre-Covid Year 2020: Nothing changes
Investors lost 34K+ Crores in 2 years in these 15 stocks…
Company Name
Market cap
declined by
Cox & Kings 99%
Talwalkars Healthclubs 99%
Reliance Home Finance 97%
Reliance Capital 96%
Sintex Plastics Technology 96%
Mcleod Russel India 96%
Kridhan Infra 96%
Sical Logistics 95%
Dewan Housing Finance 94%
Sintex Industries 93%
Jet Airways 90%
Jain Irrigation Systems 89%
Reliance Communications 89%
Reliance Power 86%
PC Jeweller 86%
Total 34,435 Crore
Majority of these end
up in retail portfolio
Please note: this is not an opinion/
recommendations of any sort on
any of the stocks. This is just for
education purpose.
Source: ACE Database
The market value decline is taken from 52 week high to price as on 13 Feb 2020
Many of these were
large companies
13. Twitter - @niteen_india
Year 1720: South Sea Company Stock
13
Rush for the Gold…
This is a case study and not a recommendation
Source: Google, publically available data
Sir Isaac Newton lost fortunes and
went almost bankrupt to speculation in
The South Sea Company stock.
He is also quoted as stating:
"I can calculate the movement of the
stars, but not the madness of men”.
14. Twitter - @niteen_india 14
Year 2000: A repetitive grim reality
Date Price Shares
2-Feb-00 1,549 119,642
3-Feb-00 1,673 68,309
4-Feb-00 1,807 82,375
7-Feb-00 1,855 3,126,844
8-Feb-00 1,877 2,358,212
9-Feb-00 1,817 2,394,038
10-Feb-00 1,848 1,788,398
11-Feb-00 1,842 1,570,270
14-Feb-00 1,875 1,336,249
15-Feb-00 1,823 975,591
16-Feb-00 1,791 808,272
17-Feb-00 1,841 843,279
18-Feb-00 1,948 2,350,699
21-Feb-00 2,104 528,893
22-Feb-00 2,272 1,301,678
23-Feb-00 2,090 1,424,987
24-Feb-00 1,952 1,454,274
25-Feb-00 1,810 1,469,617
28-Feb-00 1,770 879,915
29-Feb-00 1,628 2,157,518
1-Mar-00 1,759 1,030,278
In year 2000
Low of 200 Rs
High of 2000+
Time V/S Return V/S Valuations
Rs 0.28
This is a case study and not a recommendation
15. Twitter - @niteen_india
Year 2021: NASDAQ
15
Rush for the Gold post Covid…
This is a case study and not a recommendation
Source: Google, publically available data
18. Twitter - @niteen_india
International Funds & Equity Funds with overseas investments… from India
18
Rush for the Gold post Covid…
Source: - Returns, publically available data
This is a case study and
not a recommendation
• Out of total 89 fund analyzed
• 56 launched between 1998-2020 (67%)
• 33 Launched between 2020-2022(33%)
• Out of 33 funds launched between 2020-2022
• 21 are negative
• 11 are positive
• Out 11 positive
• Only 1 has beaten the benchmark index
in the last one year
• During this period, we have got several investor
enquires asking if we can provide research on
the NASDAQ listed company.
• In fact one investor showed us how to open
account and trade in the US market.
• None asked post carnage
19. Twitter - @niteen_india
Importance of human behaviour
19
To win over Algo trades there is only one way: Control your emotions.
Your biggest enemy, when investing, is within yourself.
Success will only come when you learn to control your emotions.
Apparently, one of the easiest ones but the most difficult to follow.
This is a case study and not a recommendation
21. Twitter - @niteen_india 21
Before we understand how to save ourselves from the potential landmines…
Most important: prepare a list of what not to do?
Make an Excel sheet (Detailed PPT/Word doc even better)
Write the name of the script, buy price
Write very briefly the reasons for investment: it could be your research finding or
someone recommended you to buy
Also, your expectations from the investment
Commitment
22. Twitter - @niteen_india 22
Classify your portfolio… My way… You may evolve yours
Portfolio A: 70-90% funds
High conviction
Long term: 3-5 Years
Not more than 5-15 stocks
Portfolio B: 10-20% funds
Still unsure about Long term
Want few more quarters, ratify investment thesis
Medium term: 1-3 years, move to A else drop
Portfolio C: 0-10%
Tips /Respect quota
Time duration: 1min-1year
If develops conviction based on research move to B
Discipline is the key
24. Twitter - @niteen_india 24
High Debt companies (Sustainability is the key, else failure is guaranteed)
How to avoid potential landmines
Majority of the failures are because of one/all of these
Poor operating cash flows (Failure guaranteed)
Consistent Equity dilution
Poor Skin in the game of the promoter(sometimes false alarm too)
Fancy/darling sector: Extremely high valuations of the company/sector (in majority of
the cases – time/value or both corrections)
When you see that the story is all-round, least you can do is “do not buy optimism”
25. Twitter - @niteen_india
How to quickly analyze a company
25
Annual Reports
• Cash flow statement (most important, least understood)
• Balance-sheet
• P&L
27. Twitter - @niteen_india 27
A Scooter Manufacturer… A quick example
Cash
Credit
Cash recorded
in OCF
P&L
Sales, Profits
recognized
Cash
Received
Yes Bad debts
No
Warning sign:
Check Receivables…
28. Twitter - @niteen_india 28
Exceptions
- Companies that sells more and more cash through lending
- e.g.: Banks and Financial Institutions
Other helpful parameters along with OCF
- Equity dilution?
- Promoters unpledged holding in the company
- Trend in receivables
- Interest paid v/s net profit
(a ratio of more than 0.4/0.5 is risk)
- Investing and financial cash flows
Exceptions
29. Twitter - @niteen_india 29
- OCF = Net Income + Depreciation & Amortization – Working Capital Investment
- Positive OCF by decreasing inventory/receivables (non cash working capital) or
increasing in payables
- Decrease in inventory, receivable numbers
- liquidating items like inventory, receivables (you are supposed to get this from
your customers and sell it off in the market at some discount) or
- Increase in payables numbers
- Supposed to pay to suppliers but don’t pay at the time of preparing the Cash
flow
- These are not sustainable items
Can OCF be manipulated?
Caution: if you notice marked changes in these numbers from last year’s numbers
30. Twitter - @niteen_india 30
What are the free/paid resources for quick screening
bseindia.com / nseindia.com
Websites/app (Free/paid)
Screener.in
StockEdge
tijorifinance.com
trendlyne.com
moneycontrol.com
researchbytes.com
reportjunction.com
stockflare.com
Paid database
CapitalMarket/ACE
Brokers websites for financial data
Annual reports (most important)
31. Twitter - @niteen_india
Cashflow
31
1) CFO v/s NI
2) WC changes
3) Taxes Paid
4) CFI trend
5) CFF trend
Screener.in
Draw top 5 conclusions in
60 seconds and move on
32. Twitter - @niteen_india
Balance Sheet
32
1) Equity Dilution
2) Share capital (equity / preferential)
3) Borrowings (ST/LT) v/s interest component from last quarter
Screener.in
Draw top 3 conclusions in
60 seconds and move on
33. Twitter - @niteen_india
P&L
33
1) Sales trend
2) Operating performance
3) Interest component
4) Depreciation
5) Tax paid
6) Dividend payout ratio
Screener.in
Draw top 6 conclusions in
120 seconds and move on
34. Twitter - @niteen_india
Quarterly results
34
1) Sales trend
2) Operating performance
3) Interest component
4) Depreciation
5) Tax paid
Screener.in
Draw top 5 conclusions in
60 seconds and move on
36. Twitter - @niteen_india 36
A vertically integrated multinational medical technology Group
From Rs140 to
now Rs3
Rs 244
on Jan 4 2008*
As on Dec 2007
• FII holding 25.49%
• MFs holding 4.3%
Rs 221
on Feb 17 2012*
As on Dec 2012
• FII holding 37.34%
• MFs holding 0.07%
• Strong FII holding
• Increased holding by 12% in 5
years (equity dilution)
Year Mar 2008 Mar 2009 Mar 2010 Mar 2011 Mar 2012
Share
Capital
94 161 183 186 242
Source: Google graph, screener/ace database
This is a case study and not a
recommendation
37. Twitter - @niteen_india 37
A Small Cap company operating in Gas & Petroleum sector
TIPs take you to PITs: after reading Google news/Forums
• Someone I know bought few lac
shares, despite my warning,
believing Google news with a target
price of 100 in next few years.
2006 2007 2008 2009
CFO 0.12 1.12 -27.87 112.69
2006 2007 2008 2009
Capital 5.03 5.03 794.00 794.00
2006 2007 2008 2009
Sales 0.02 0.03 0.08 0.03
• Corporate Insolvency filed
• SEBI barred 8 entities from securities market for 10
years in the case of manipulations related to GDR
issuance, while two have been asked to return
'unlawful gains' of $92 million
Source: Google graph, screener/ace database
This is a case study and not a
recommendation
38. Twitter - @niteen_india 38
A specialist across the varieties of cables
Parameter Mar 2010 Mar 2011 Mar 2012 Mar 2013 Mar 2014 Mar 2015 Mar 2016
Net Profit 10.59 15.22 23.81 57.91 100.09 159.99 163.48
CFO 4.81 4.47 14.81 31.12 20.89 -46.69 21.57
Signal
Fast growing cables manufacturer
High double digit growth in Profit and Sales
High 20s ROE and ROCE numbers
From Rs235 to Rs29 in one month
• Promoter holding 41.19%
• 100% pledged
From Rs6 to now Rs235 in four year
From 235 to now Rs0
Source: Google graph, screener/ace database
This is a case study and not a
recommendation
39. Twitter - @niteen_india 39
Manufacturing and exporting Public Address Systems - Woofers, Amplifiers, Computer
Speakers, Personal Speaker System, Headphones, and Earphones
• Some prominent investors in IPO/Post-IPO
• Widely discussed/pushed in SM/WhatsApp groups
• Promoter absconding now
• Debt taken from Banks/FIs: NPA
Listing At: NSE SME
Issue Open: May 9, 2018 - May 11, 2018
Issue Price: ₹140 Per Equity Share
Issue Size: 46.66 Cr
CMP: Trading banned
• The Company also trading in the fabric???
• Strong presence in African Continent, UAE, South America,
Singapore, Dubai, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Nepal
• Products sold in 56 countries across 6 continents
• In India, 17 States, dealer network of more than 240
• Opened showrooms in Dehradun, Saharanpur, Chomu, Guwahati,
Jeopur, Patna, Raxaul, Bhagalpur, Calicut and Hyderabad which
are run by dealers.
Source: company website, publically available info
Board of directors
Source: Google graph, screener/ace database, company website
This is a case study and not
a recommendation
40. Twitter - @niteen_india 40
Education and training company based in Chennai
‘Darling’ of punters
Several stories around the business model
FII holding close to 28%
Some prominent names on the board could also not save it
CBI caught one of the directors of the company in a bribery case
Parameter Mar-11 Mar-10 Mar-09 Mar-08
Net Profit 67.64 45.45 22.08 13.8
CFO 16.01 25.13 -8.98 13.31
Signal
In INR Crs
Poor
shareholding
pattern
From Rs350 to
now Rs0
The company has gone into liquidation in 2016
Source: Google graph, screener/ace database
This is a case study and not a
recommendation
41. Twitter - @niteen_india 41
Education sector proved to be a perfect educator for investors…
Source: Google graph, screener/ace database
Part of a large corporate
Claim to be tech savvy
Now a part of a large corporate
• Contingent liabilities of Rs.524.89 Cr.
• Promoters have pledged 82.74% of their holding
Mar-13 Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19
CFO 26.99 16.69 17.02 32.34 -79.28 -65.4 -44.17
PAT 18.05 21.03 29.72 32.35 5.84 -131.83 9.12
Signal
• Poor cashflow
• Pledging by the promoter
This is a case study and not a
recommendation
42. Twitter - @niteen_india 42
Education sector proved to be a perfect educator for investors…
Source: Google graph, screener
Marquee funds got
educated
From Rs500 to Rs14
Mar-12 Mar-13 Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16
CFO 6 -14 35 59 -14
PAT 22 33 44 61 7
Signal
• 200Cr revenue in 2015 and 100Crs debt, Story led growth
• Growth funded through debt, no cash flow backing
• Poor shareholding (less than 30%), pledged too
• Whose who holding 46%+: Matrix Partners, FC VI India Venture, Bajaj
Holdings and Investment, Elara India,Aditya Birla Pvt Equity, ON Mauritius,
Reliance Capital, Macquarie Fund, Mondrian Emerging Markets, SwedBank
Robur Global, Credit Suisse, Marwadi Shares, Macquarie, Ontario Pension
• Part of that highly visible
Modern Education club of 4
• Rest 3 are defunct
From 1101 to 1
Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-08 Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-11
CFO 13 13 52 191 224 284
PAT 14 29 71 133 276 337
Signal
• Poor shareholding pattern
• Story led growth
• Growth funded through debt, no cash flow backing
This is a case study and not a
recommendation
43. Twitter - @niteen_india 43
One more…Education case study 1/4
Source: screener
Complex case… but still can figure it out
2012
Shareholding
a
This is a case study and not a
recommendation
44. Twitter - @niteen_india 44
One more…Education case study 2/4
Source: screener
Complex case… but still can figure it out
2014
Shareholding
a
This is a case study and not a
recommendation
45. Twitter - @niteen_india 45
One more…Education case study 3/4
Source: screener
Complex case… but still can figure it out
Stock Price
• 2007: 500
• 2012: 350
• 2014: 11
• Now: 0
This is a case study and not a
recommendation
46. Twitter - @niteen_india 46
One more…Education case study 4/4
Source: screener
FIIs + MFs+ Body
corp holding more
than 46% in 2012 got
educated
From Rs500 to Rs0
Complex case… but still can figure it out
Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-08 Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-11
CFO 2 -3 25 76 106 136
PAT 5 12 45 81 112 124
Signal
• Operating Cashflow was not that bad.
• Devil was in detail, look at:
• Investing cash flow/Share capital/Borrowing numbers/ Receivables/
Interest paid
CF/BS/P&L Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-08 Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-11 Remarks
CFI -9 -44 -383 -105 -304 -567 CFI
Share Capital 4 14 17 17 20 22 Equity dilution
Borrowings 1 0 168 226 287 795 4.73X in 3 years
Trade receivables 9 26 71 176 191 245 3.45X in 3 years
Sales 21.00 69.70 200 347 418 516 2.58X in 3 years
Interest 0.02 1.5 2 13 31 58 Interest cost capitalized
Consistent equity dilution
Borrowings and Trade receivables growing faster than Sale
CFI numbers suggest that investments but where?
This is a case study and not a
recommendation
47. Twitter - @niteen_india 47
Buying the Pessimism
(If executed well could lead to disproportionate returns )
48. Twitter - @niteen_india
What is pessimism?
48
Background…
A tendency to see the worst aspect of things or
believe that the worst will happen.
Examples
End of markets when corrections happen
End of sectors when darling sector collapse
End of a company when events happen
• Evaluate each case
independently/ rationally
50. Twitter - @niteen_india
What is pessimism?
50
The news headline will look like this…
23 Mar 2020
Non-market
& you get to read this
51. Twitter - @niteen_india
What is pessimism?
51
The news headline will look like this…
23 Mar 2020
Hugo Erken, Senior
economist & country
analyst for North
America, Mexico and
India, Robobank
FinTwit account with 400k+ followers asking to
stop short selling: 18 Mar 2020
53. Twitter - @niteen_india
Time Correction
53
Meme stock… but prior 10 years
10 years: 6.6X
CAGR: 21% in 10 years + Dividends
5 years stagnation
5 year: 4X+Dividend
54. Twitter - @niteen_india
Price corrections: permanently dead
54
Infra stocks… post 2009 carnage
Punj Lloyd, JP Associates, GMR, IVRCL: Lost 95-98%
(1 Lac became 2k or 5k)
It's only when the tide
goes out you know
who's swimming naked:
Warren Buffett
57. Twitter - @niteen_india 57
Buying the Pessimism
Case study: Paper sector in 2020-21
(Cyclical and multiple parameters affecting it)
58. Twitter - @niteen_india
Paper Stocks
58
Headwinds & Tailwinds
Source: screener, publically available data
• Stocks were down by ~60-70% in a year and a half between 2018 –2020
• Stock were already coming down before COVID-19
• Sector was facing headwinds
• No one wanted to publically own this sector
• “Experts” were sighting lack of demand and deteriorating pricing power as a possible reasons for the “death” of the sector
• Difficult period did help companies put their acts together and there will come “external” unknown reasons to rebound
• Now when mojo is back everyone is on another extreme and counting on the “global shortfall”, “multi year bull run” and
“uninterrupted paper demand” and huge growth!!!
• There are certain things that never change
59. Twitter - @niteen_india
Paper Stocks
59
West Coast Paper Mills & JK Paper
Source: screener, publically available data
This is a case study and not a recommendation
Recommended stock to our clients, we own it too. We may exit too without any notice.
2018-2020 & 2020-2022
625
• Our estimate: in good times it could achieve
800-1000Crs EBITDA while it came to 261Crs in FY21
• Our estimate: in good times it could achieve
1200-1400Crs EBITDA while it came to 563Crs in FY21
Recommended on
02-Sep-2020 @185.
Still in coverage
Recommended on
22-Feb-2021 @137
Not under coverage anymore
60. Twitter - @niteen_india
Paper Stock
60
West Coast Paper Mills
Source: screener, publically available data
This is a case study and not a recommendation
It is a recommended stock to our clients, we own it too. We may exit too without any notice
61. Twitter - @niteen_india
Paper Stock
61
West Coast Paper Mills
Source: screener, publically available data
This is a case study and not a recommendation
It is a recommended stock to our clients, we own it too. We may exit too without any notice
62. Twitter - @niteen_india
Paper Stocks
62
JK Paper
Source: screener, publically available data
This is a case study and not a recommendation
It was a recommended stock to our clients, we own it too. We may exit too without any notice
63. Twitter - @niteen_india
Paper Stocks
63
JK Paper
Source: screener, publically available data
This is a case study and not a recommendation
It was a recommended stock to our clients, we own it too. We may exit too without any notice
64. Twitter - @niteen_india 64
Buying the Pessimism
Case study: Capital Goods 2020-2021
[Multiyear issues, tired (read “dead”) investors ]
65. Twitter - @niteen_india
Capital Goods sector
65
Headwinds, Headwinds and only Headwinds
Source:
IBEF Presentation 2019, Engineering & Capital Goods
Care Report, Capital goods sector Aug 2020
• Capital Goods industry is often called the ‘mother of all
manufacturing industry’.
• By definition, any good (plant, machinery, equipment) that
is used to manufacture other products (either directly or
indirectly) is called a Capital Good.
• The Capital Goods industry contributes ~2% of GDP in
India. In China it is 4.1%, in Germany 3.4%, and in South
Korea 2.8%.
• The performance of capital goods sector is directly linked
to the overall manufacturing sector.
• While the exports were stagnant during 8 years, the capex
in domestic economy was almost stagnant
• One of the major contributor in Engineering exports is Iron
and Steel & products made of Iron and Steel. If remove
this contribution then Capital Good sectors should have a
negative demand
• This sector has the highest number of stocks
recommended put together in in our two research services
66. Twitter - @niteen_india
Capital Goods sector
66
Headwinds, Headwinds and only Headwinds
While imports were rising and expected to rise further
Titbit
• The country meets almost 40%
of its demand of Capital Goods
through imports.
Source:
IBEF Presentation 2019, Engineering & Capital Goods
Care Report, Capital goods sector Aug 2020
67. Twitter - @niteen_india
Capital Goods sector
67
Negative CAGR for a 6 year period & Stagnant Utilization
Source:
IBEF Presentation 2019, Engineering & Capital Goods
Care Report, Capital goods sector Aug 2020
68. Twitter - @niteen_india
Capital Goods sector
68
TD Power Systems Ltd
This is a case study and not a recommendation
It is a recommended stock to our clients, we own it too. We may exit too without any notice
Source: screener, publically available data
?
69. Twitter - @niteen_india
Capital Goods sector
69
TD Power Systems Ltd
This is a case study and not a recommendation
It is a recommended stock to our clients, we own it too. We may exit too without any notice
Source: screener, publically available data
Zero debt; cash positive
No equity dilution; buy-back
70. Twitter - @niteen_india
Capital Goods sector
70
TD Power Systems Ltd
This is a case study and not a recommendation
It is a recommended stock to our clients, we own it too. We may exit too without any notice
IPO @ ₹261 on
Aug 26, 2011
Recommended here on 10-Feb-2021 @150
Source: Google, publically available data
71. Twitter - @niteen_india
Capital Goods sector
71
TD Power Systems Ltd
This is a case study and not a recommendation
It is a recommended stock to our clients, we own it too. We may exit too without any notice
Source: screener, publically available data
?
72. Twitter - @niteen_india
Capital Goods sector
72
TD Power Systems Ltd
This is a case study and not a recommendation
It is a recommended stock to our clients, we own it too. We may exit too without any notice
Source: screener, publically available data
Q3FY21 results declared on 04-Feb-2021
Recommended on 10-Feb-2021 @150
73. Twitter - @niteen_india
Capital Goods sector
73
Apar Industries Ltd
This is a case study and not a recommendation
It is a recommended stock to our clients, we own it too. We may exit too without any notice
Source: screener, publically available data
74. Twitter - @niteen_india
Capital Goods sector
74
Apar Industries Ltd
This is a case study and not a recommendation
It is a recommended stock to our clients, we own it too. We may exit too without any notice
Source: screener, publically available data
Q3FY21 results declared on 04-Feb-2021
Recommended on 21-May-2021 @524
75. Twitter - @niteen_india
Capital Goods sector
75
Apar Industries Ltd
This is a case study and not a recommendation
It is a recommended stock to our clients, we own it too. We may exit too without any notice
Recommended here on 21-Ma-2021 @524
1321.05
Source: Google, publically available data
76. Twitter - @niteen_india
Summary
76
Cashflow, Debt, Equity dilution, promoters unpledged holding are very critical parameters
Follow the rule of 3 parts of portfolio (A, B and C) covered initially
Strict about the buy and sell pricing; esp. buy
Never run behind the stocks; if something is gone let it go; don’t crib let others earn too
Keep a buy range; similar to sell range. If stock going below buy range reevaluate your
assumptions/if anything fundamentally wrong with the company?
Always study the company, business model and if you do not understand do not invest
Study by CFA Institute (number of stocks in the portfolio and diversifying risk)
Patience, patience and patience
Critical factors
77. Twitter - @niteen_india 77
Buying the Pessimism
Case study: IPCA Labs
• 4.4X returns
• 40%+ XIRR
• 4.5 years
78. Twitter - @niteen_india
IPCA Labs
78
Brief profile
• Incorporated in 1949.
• Incorporated under the name The Indian Pharmaceutical Combine
Association (IPCA).
• Fully-integrated manufactures over 350 formulations and 80 APIs for
various therapeutic segments
• One of the 20 largest formulation companies in India
• Business segments:
• API Business (30% revenue):
• produces over 80 APIs at 12 production facilities
• Export of 79% of the APIs and Intermediates business to 70
countries
• Focus on backward integration, superior supply chain reliability
and cost competitiveness
• Formulations (70% revenue):
• Manufactures over 350 formulations
• Leaders in Pain, Rheumatology, Antimalarials, and Haircare
therapies
• Co's leading brands include Zerodol, Hydroxychloroquine Sulfate,
and Solvin.
• Three manufacturing sites still under US FDA import alert
• Geographical Mix – FY21: Europe -28%, Africa -20%, America – 21%,
Asia – 17%, CIS – 7%, Australia – 7%
2009-2014
• Post 2009 crash
• 15X in 5 years
This is a case study and not a recommendation
79. Twitter - @niteen_india
Ban, Ban, Ban…
79
Test the patience…
• Outperforming pharma during last 5 years, peak in 2014
• IPCA peaked at ~450
• US FDA bans imports from IPCA Labs plant in MP: 2015
• US FDA issues import alert to 2 plants of IPCA Labs: 2015
• Bought 10% of quantity in 2015 @310
Peak of pharma sector in 2014
IPCA peaked at ~450
Price adjusted to split in the ratio of 2:1
2013-2015
2016-2018
• Brexit impacted
• Anti-malarial drug Hydroxychloroquine banned by WHO
• USA-China trade issues
• Chinese raw material supply/price issue
• 90% quantity between 2016-2018
• Bought 30% of quantity in 2016 @230
• Bought 20% of quantity in 2017 @210
• Bought 40% of quantity in 2018 @320
This is a case study and not a recommendation
Source: screener, publically available data
80. Twitter - @niteen_india
IPCA Labs
80
Profit & Loss…
This is a case study and not a recommendation
Topline: 2X
Bottomline: 2.33X
Stock price: 15X
Topline: 1.64X
Bottomline: 2.37X
How about buying the
pessimism?
Stock price: 2X Stock price: 4.4X
40%+ XIRR
81. Twitter - @niteen_india
IPCA Labs
81
Balance Sheet…
This is a case study and not a recommendation
Source: screener, publically available data
82. Twitter - @niteen_india
IPCA Labs
82
Cash Flows
This is a case study and not a recommendation
Source: screener, publically available data
83. Twitter - @niteen_india
IPCA Labs
83
Corporate actions
This is a case study and not a recommendation
2016 ₹ 0.00
Source: screener, publically available data
84. Twitter - @niteen_india
Patience, Patience, Patience…
84
Slow and steady accumulation helps…
• USFDA issue did not get resolve
• Operations in other countries started showing
results
• COVID happened in 2020: game changer
• Got special approval to ship Hydroxychloroquine
in the USA market
• Stock touched a peak of ~1250
• Peak revenue, peak profit, peak share price
• Fully exited in Oct 2020. Overall:
• 4.4X returns
• 40%+ XIRR
• Total duration ~4.5 years from start till end
• Did we consider recommending it to our clients?
• Yes at 425. But missed it: Why?
Overall
• 4.4X returns
• 40%+ XIRR
• 4.5 years (avg duration)
This is a case study and not a recommendation
Source: screener, publically available data
85. Twitter - @niteen_india 85
Buying the Pessimism
Case study: COVID wave
(should I invest in Hotel/Tourism sector in Apr-2021 (2nd wave peak in India)
• Negatively impacted sector
• Survival was in question
86. Twitter - @niteen_india
India’s 10 Hotels v/s IPCA
86
Buying The Pessimism
This is a case study and not a recommendation
IPCA 27,500
During Corona 2nd Wave Peak
(Mar-Apr 2021)
No Company
Market cap
(in crores)
1 Indian Hotels 7,735
2 EIH Ltd 3,306
3 Chalet Hotels 3,160
4 Delta Corp 1,674
5 Lemon Tree 1,264
6 Wonderla 638
7 TajGVK 585
8 EIH Associated Hotels 552
9 Advani Hotels 139
10 Sinclairs Hotel 78
Total market cap 19,131
Total debt ~ 10,000
55,000 rooms + Restaurants + Iconic brands
available at a Market Cap of 19k + Debt 10k (EV 29K)
<<
ARR < INR 3500
Occupancy < 20-30%
No one wanted to talk about this sector publically
Source: screener, publically available data
87. Twitter - @niteen_india
India’s Top 10 Hotels v/s IPCA
87
Buying The Pessimism
This is a case study and not a recommendation
No Company
Market cap
(in crores)
1 Indian Hotels 38,860
2 EIH Ltd 10,040
3 Chalet Hotels 6,780
4 Delta Corp 5,640
5 Lemon Tree 5,510
6 Wonderla 1,910
7 TajGVK 1,118
8 EIH Associated Hotels 1,058
9 Advani Hotels 376
10 Sinclairs Hotel 282
Total market cap 71,574
IPCA 23,200
Today
• 1.4 year and basket is up 3.7X+ from bottom
• Even if bought staggered it is 1.5-2X
>>
ARR > INR 8000+
Occupancy > 70-75%
(Rooms not available at Leisure locations)
Everyone wants to own a hotel stock/book a hotel
Source: screener, publically available data
88. Twitter - @niteen_india
Some of the Hotel properties
88
Pessimism gives the best price but it comes at the cost of patience
Source: screener, publically available data
This is a case study and not a recommendation
89. Twitter - @niteen_india
Some of the tweets on Hotel industry
89
This is a case study and not a recommendation
Source: screener, publically available data
90. Twitter - @niteen_india
Some of the tweets on Hotel industry
90
This is a case study and not a recommendation
Source: screener, publically available data
92. Twitter - @niteen_india 92
Case 1: A cable manufacturer: Manufacturing numbers
1) a series of acquisitions
2) Cash from operating activity not in line with net profit declared by the company
3) Almost every year Equity dilution from 14Cr to 16Cr in to 18Cr to 21 Crs to 28Crs to 37Crs
4) Borrowing going up
5) Interest cost not in line with the debt amount. Interest cost capitalized
6) Receivable nos going up faster than revenue numbers
7) Other Liabilities going up too and need to see any contingent liabilities
8) Poor Promoters holding at 29% only but no pledging
93. Twitter - @niteen_india 93
Case 2: A pioneer in making ready to use steel for construction purposes
1) a series of acquisitions esp overseas
2) Cash from operating activity not in line with net profit declared by the company
3) Equity dilution from 12Cr in 2013 to 14Cr in 2015 to 15Cr in 2016
4) Borrowing going up
5) Receivable nos going up faster than revenue numbers
6) Fixed assets going up but no CWIP. Buying companies
7) High loans and advances. Need to investigate the related party transactions
8) Promoters holding is decent but pledging is a concern
9) Interest cost not in line with the debt amount. Interest cost capitalized
94. Twitter - @niteen_india 94
Case 3: A leader in the Security Surveillance domain, the first company of its kind
1) Poor Cashflow from operations, consistently negative
2) Investing cashflow but no CWIP but Fixed Assets growing
3) Equity dilution from 13crs to 17 to 18crs
4) Trade receivables growing rapidly and numbers are likely to be hidden here
5) Loans and advances gone up 3X need to investigate further related party transactions
6) Sales growing faster than profit, the company does not have pricing power
7) Interest cost not in line with the debt amount. Interest cost capitalized
8) Promoters holding is just 23.07% and in that also 42.48% of promoter holding pledged
95. Twitter - @niteen_india
Aurum Capital is a SEBI registered Research Analyst (SEBI Registration No:
INH000008118) and Investment Advisory (SEBI Registration No: INA000011024)
services company. Started by Jiten Parmar and Niteen S Dharmawat, who together
have more than 4 decades of experience investing in equities and guiding and
mentoring fellow investors.
This rich industry background helps us understand companies, complexities of
business and tipping points that make or break a company. Our approach is not
limited to just number crunching but going beyond. We focus on the business,
strategic direction, the competitive landscape, the governance process, the
background of the promoters, turnarounds, to name a few. Often these are more
critical items than just numbers. Jiten and Niteen have successfully waded through
multiple bear and bull market cycles.
96. Twitter - @niteen_india
IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER:
The information herein is used as per the available sources of bseindia.com/nseindia.com, company’s annual reports & other
public/private database sources. Aurum Capital is not responsible for any discrepancy in the above mentioned data. Investors
should seek advice of their independent financial advisor prior to taking any investment decision based on this report or for
necessary explanation of its contents.
Future estimates mentioned herein are personal opinions & views of the analyst. Analyst Name – Niteen S Dharmawat. For
queries / grievances – support@aurumcapital.in. SEBI registration No: INA000011024
Readers are responsible for all outcomes arising of buying / selling particular scrip/ scrips mentioned here in. This report
indicates opinion of the author & is not a recommendation to buy or sell securities. Aurum Capital & its representatives have
vested interest in above mentioned securities at the time of this publication, and its partners / company have positions / financial
interest in the securities mentioned above.
Aurum Capital, or its associates are not paid or compensated at any point of time, in last 12 months by any way from the
companies mentioned in the report.
Aurum Capital, or its representatives do not have more than 1% of the company’s total shareholding. Ownership of the stock:
may have advised to clients. Served as a director / employee of mentioned companies in report: No. Any material conflict of
interest at the time of publishing report: No
The views expressed in this post accurately reflect the author’s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or
issuers; and no part of the compensations, if any was, is or will be, directly indirectly, related to specific recommendation or
views expressed in the report.
99. Twitter - @niteen_india 99
Always look for consolidated numbers and not standalone
Go through notes to the financial statements for details
(P&L): net profits and sales are positive, rising or falling;
(CF, P&L): operating cash flow after working capital adjustments is positive or
negative and compare with NP
(B/S and P&L): net debt is rising or falling and interest amount;
B/S: Balance Sheet CF: Cash Flow P&L: Profit and Loss
Annual Report
Financial statements
100. Twitter - @niteen_india 100
(CF, P&L): Is company paying Taxes while showing profits?
(P&L) Component of other income? If high then see previous years/quarters’ numbers
also. If one off then remove from net profit, if consistent then dig more to find
sustainability
(P&L) What are the main expenditure heads: employee costs, raw material
dependencies (e.g. crude prices)
(P&L, CF): Interest paid v/s net profit v/s OCF
(P&L, B/S notes) Inventory trends: Finished good, WIP v/s sales numbers
Annual Report
Financial statements
B/S: Balance Sheet CF: Cash Flow P&L: Profit and Loss
101. Twitter - @niteen_india 101
• Salary of the directors, revision in the salary, in line with the growth/profit
numbers?
• Members of audit and salary committees
• Composition of board of directors, how many of them are independent?
• Directors attendance in board meetings
• Independent auditors report
Annual Report
Others
102. Twitter - @niteen_india 102
- Corporate Announcements
- Esp. negative news (mandatory to disclose but still companies skip)
- Analyst conference calls
- Equal opportunity
- Treatment for negative/tough questions
Corporate announcements & Con-calls
Governance
103. Twitter - @niteen_india
Annual Report
103
Chairman / CEO’s statement and Management Discussion and Analysis
Must read the first two and last two paragraphs in detail.
Find the answer for:
Is management staying focused?
What are the management’s stated plans to take the business forward:
Expanding capacity, Rationalizing underperforming areas, Introducing new
products /services to existing customers, Investing to raise margins (e.g.
new product features, service add-ons) via R&D, marketing, etc
104. Twitter - @niteen_india 104
Negative list: flowery language, away from the reality like throwing big industry
numbers/future growth
Positive list: clearly elaborating risks while talking about opportunities,
conservative in approach,
Look for: The results of operations, Changes in financial condition and Risk
management strategies
Annual Report
Chairman / CEO’s statement and Management Discussion and Analysis
Warning: These days Annual Reports are also written by the
IR companies. They may use the language/terminologies
that is liked by the investors. So beware. Important to see
what was said in previous years and what was delivered.