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Going Global:
The appliance of science in a complex
global context
Sir Mark Walport
Chief Scientific Adviser to HM Government
2 Going Global: The appliance of science in a complex global context
• Health, wellbeing, security & resilience
• Knowledge translated to economic
advantage
• The right science for emergencies
• Underpinning policy with evidence
• Advocacy and leadership for science
Government’s Chief Scientific Adviser
Credit: iStockphoto
3 Going Global: The appliance of science in a complex global context
How we gather the best advice:
Access to networks
• Government science and engineering network
• Public sector research establishments
• National academies and learned societies
• Academia
• Industry
4 Going Global: The appliance of science in a complex global context
Timescales of
Scientific Advice
Long-term and Strategic
Medium-term Current Issues
Foresight: Demography, ageing and the future of cities
Horizon Scanning: The internet of things
Annual reports: Risk and Innovation
Research: Energy capacity margins,
fracking, cybersecurity
Emergencies: SAGEs on flooding, Fukushima, Ebola
Emerging issues: Neonicotinoids, bovine TB, ash dieback
Short-term and Responsive
5 Going Global: The appliance of science in a complex global context
COBR
Scientific Advisory Group for
Emergencies
(SAGE)
Non-Governmental
Organisations
Government
Scientists
Industry Academia
• 2010 – Volcanic Ash
• 2011 – Fukushima
• 2012 – Olympics
• 2013 – Flooding
• 2014 – Ebola
• 2015 – Nepal Earthquake
• Operational response
• Impact management
• Recovery
• Public Information
The Importance of Embedded
Mechanisms
Home Office Rapid Diagnostics, 25th
June 20135
SACs
6 Going Global: The appliance of science in a complex global context
Ebola Outbreak:
What has SAGE considered?
• Modelling – what are the best
and reasonable worst case
scenarios?
• Risk to UK – how many
cases should we expect to
see?
• Screening – will it be
effective in identifying cases?
• Virus survival – how long
does the virus last on different
surfaces? Will it survive in
sewage?
• Vaccines –What clinical trials
do we need?
• What else can we do?
Cumulative cases 24 666
Cases in past 21 days 398
Cumulative deaths 10 179
WHO Ebola Situation Report - 18 March 2015
7 Going Global: The appliance of science in a complex global context
Horizon Scanning and Futures
• Confounding received wisdom
• Linking policy areas
• Avoiding unintended consequences
• Targeting investment in the right places
HOUSEHOLD
INCOME PER
WEEK,
ENGLAND
AND WALES
(GBP)
Ageing
Cities
8 Going Global: The appliance of science in a complex global context
Where does risk come in?
Natural Credit: Maccheek/PD Credit: CDC/EthleenLloyd
9 Going Global: The appliance of science in a complex global context
Where does risk come in?
Human
Credit: AP Credit: @Boston_to_a_T/Twitter
10 Going Global: The appliance of science in a complex global context
The National Risk Register
10
11 Going Global: The appliance of science in a complex global context
Innovation and Risk
Risk all pervasive in work as
GCSA
Innovation held back by badly
framed discussions about risk
•Communication
•Science meets values
•Regulation
12 Going Global: The appliance of science in a complex global context
Innovation has got us where we are
• Widespread electrification
• Improvements in healthcare
• Mass production systems
• Better transport links Credit: A_Werdan/PD
Credit: Foodcollection RF
13 Going Global: The appliance of science in a complex global context
Innovation is needed where we are going
The challenges we
face include:
•Climate change
•Water security
•Food and
agriculture
•Changing
demographics
Credit: Lindsey Bengtson/PDCredit: stockphoto
Credit: ‫שרגיאן‬ ‫יגאל‬/CC BY 2.5
14 Going Global: The appliance of science in a complex global context
Forms of innovation and risks
1. High level of acceptance but who pays?
2. Science meets values
3. My risk, your benefit
4. Unintended consequences
5. New challenges
Credit: istockphoto Credit: Sunil060902/CC-BY-SA-3.0 Credit: US Air Force/CC BY-NC 2.0
Credit: iStockphoto
15 Going Global: The appliance of science in a complex global context
The policy challenge:
Viewing difficult issues through varied lenses
science is part of the answer
Parkhill et al, Transforming the Energy System – Public Values, Attitudes and Acceptability, 2013 (UKERC)
Credit: Thomas Shahan/CC-BY-NC-ND-2.0
16 Going Global: The appliance of science in a complex global context
Conclusion
• We are in the fastest period of technological progress
we have ever seen – the link between R&D and national
prosperity will only get stronger
• Innovation is necessary to meet the challenges we all
face, we must properly balance the risks that this
presents
• Academia has a vital role to play both in terms of
economic growth, and ensuring government policy is
informed by the best information
Every effort has been made to trace copyright holders and to obtain their permission for the use of copyright material.
We apologise for any errors or omissions in the included attributions and would be grateful if notified of any corrections
that should be incorporated in future versions of this slide set. We can be contacted through contact@go-
science.gsi.gov.uk .
@uksciencechief
www.gov.uk/go-science

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Going Global: The appliance of science in a complex global context

  • 1. Going Global: The appliance of science in a complex global context Sir Mark Walport Chief Scientific Adviser to HM Government
  • 2. 2 Going Global: The appliance of science in a complex global context • Health, wellbeing, security & resilience • Knowledge translated to economic advantage • The right science for emergencies • Underpinning policy with evidence • Advocacy and leadership for science Government’s Chief Scientific Adviser Credit: iStockphoto
  • 3. 3 Going Global: The appliance of science in a complex global context How we gather the best advice: Access to networks • Government science and engineering network • Public sector research establishments • National academies and learned societies • Academia • Industry
  • 4. 4 Going Global: The appliance of science in a complex global context Timescales of Scientific Advice Long-term and Strategic Medium-term Current Issues Foresight: Demography, ageing and the future of cities Horizon Scanning: The internet of things Annual reports: Risk and Innovation Research: Energy capacity margins, fracking, cybersecurity Emergencies: SAGEs on flooding, Fukushima, Ebola Emerging issues: Neonicotinoids, bovine TB, ash dieback Short-term and Responsive
  • 5. 5 Going Global: The appliance of science in a complex global context COBR Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE) Non-Governmental Organisations Government Scientists Industry Academia • 2010 – Volcanic Ash • 2011 – Fukushima • 2012 – Olympics • 2013 – Flooding • 2014 – Ebola • 2015 – Nepal Earthquake • Operational response • Impact management • Recovery • Public Information The Importance of Embedded Mechanisms Home Office Rapid Diagnostics, 25th June 20135 SACs
  • 6. 6 Going Global: The appliance of science in a complex global context Ebola Outbreak: What has SAGE considered? • Modelling – what are the best and reasonable worst case scenarios? • Risk to UK – how many cases should we expect to see? • Screening – will it be effective in identifying cases? • Virus survival – how long does the virus last on different surfaces? Will it survive in sewage? • Vaccines –What clinical trials do we need? • What else can we do? Cumulative cases 24 666 Cases in past 21 days 398 Cumulative deaths 10 179 WHO Ebola Situation Report - 18 March 2015
  • 7. 7 Going Global: The appliance of science in a complex global context Horizon Scanning and Futures • Confounding received wisdom • Linking policy areas • Avoiding unintended consequences • Targeting investment in the right places HOUSEHOLD INCOME PER WEEK, ENGLAND AND WALES (GBP) Ageing Cities
  • 8. 8 Going Global: The appliance of science in a complex global context Where does risk come in? Natural Credit: Maccheek/PD Credit: CDC/EthleenLloyd
  • 9. 9 Going Global: The appliance of science in a complex global context Where does risk come in? Human Credit: AP Credit: @Boston_to_a_T/Twitter
  • 10. 10 Going Global: The appliance of science in a complex global context The National Risk Register 10
  • 11. 11 Going Global: The appliance of science in a complex global context Innovation and Risk Risk all pervasive in work as GCSA Innovation held back by badly framed discussions about risk •Communication •Science meets values •Regulation
  • 12. 12 Going Global: The appliance of science in a complex global context Innovation has got us where we are • Widespread electrification • Improvements in healthcare • Mass production systems • Better transport links Credit: A_Werdan/PD Credit: Foodcollection RF
  • 13. 13 Going Global: The appliance of science in a complex global context Innovation is needed where we are going The challenges we face include: •Climate change •Water security •Food and agriculture •Changing demographics Credit: Lindsey Bengtson/PDCredit: stockphoto Credit: ‫שרגיאן‬ ‫יגאל‬/CC BY 2.5
  • 14. 14 Going Global: The appliance of science in a complex global context Forms of innovation and risks 1. High level of acceptance but who pays? 2. Science meets values 3. My risk, your benefit 4. Unintended consequences 5. New challenges Credit: istockphoto Credit: Sunil060902/CC-BY-SA-3.0 Credit: US Air Force/CC BY-NC 2.0 Credit: iStockphoto
  • 15. 15 Going Global: The appliance of science in a complex global context The policy challenge: Viewing difficult issues through varied lenses science is part of the answer Parkhill et al, Transforming the Energy System – Public Values, Attitudes and Acceptability, 2013 (UKERC) Credit: Thomas Shahan/CC-BY-NC-ND-2.0
  • 16. 16 Going Global: The appliance of science in a complex global context Conclusion • We are in the fastest period of technological progress we have ever seen – the link between R&D and national prosperity will only get stronger • Innovation is necessary to meet the challenges we all face, we must properly balance the risks that this presents • Academia has a vital role to play both in terms of economic growth, and ensuring government policy is informed by the best information
  • 17. Every effort has been made to trace copyright holders and to obtain their permission for the use of copyright material. We apologise for any errors or omissions in the included attributions and would be grateful if notified of any corrections that should be incorporated in future versions of this slide set. We can be contacted through contact@go- science.gsi.gov.uk . @uksciencechief www.gov.uk/go-science

Editor's Notes

  1. My role is of course strongly influenced by the issues that the Government of the day cares about, such as health, economic well-being and security, including the country’s resilience to natural and man-made disasters: all aspects which you and Government colleagues play a part in addressing on a daily basis.
  2. European-Union-GDP-per-capita-map
  3. The role of science in a national or international emergency S&T advice needs to be made available at very short notice (typically in an hour or so in the first instance) I convene a Science Advisory Group in an Emergency (SAGE) based on pre-arranged lists of experts to help me advise the Prime Minister and Cabinet in ‘real-time’. SAGE needs to advise on the potential impacts of any emergency. Combined with legal, political, economic considerations by COBR who decide on national response [NJ: It would be good to give a couple of historic examples]; [i.e. presumably the likes of Fukushima, Icelandic volcanoes; could also cite recent examples of flooding, etc. where forecasts and preparedness have been fairly good]
  4. Having identified some possible future needs, we need to be sure that the GSE Profession is able to respond to these. Will we need more taxonomists to assess new species as climate change alters our wildlife? More cryptologists as we move towards an Internet of things? More anthropologists as the movement of people raises cultural conflicts? Eg. Data Science Scientists and engineers make a huge contribution to government in terms of data and analysis, a major cross-cutting theme for GO-Science   Over the past year we have worked with the Cabinet Office on the government data science programme which has catalysed a series of data science demonstrator projects   In particular we have worked with emergency response agencies to produce a live data visualisation tool for emergencies which is being used in COBR committee