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GFW PARTNERSHIP MEETING
WASHINGTON, DC | FEBRUARY 8TH & 9TH
PHOTO: CIFOR #GFWPartners17
#GFWPartners17Presenters: Eric Dinerstein, Stuart Butchart, Neil Burgess, Samantha Hill, Andy Purvis
PARALLEL DISCUSSIONS 1:
FORESTS AND BIODIVERSITY
BIODIVERSITY
GFW B: A vision for
more proactive
conservation of
forest-dependent
biodiversity
Case studies: habitat
assessments for tigers and apes
The First Ever Global Summit for an
Endangered Species in St. Petersburg,
Russia, November 2010
Tracking changes and preventing loss in critical
tiger habitat
Tiger Conservation Landscapes
Tracking changes and preventing loss in critical
ape habitat
Jan 18 2017
Forest
loss in ape
habitat,
Gunung
Leuser
National
Park,
Sumatra,
Indonesia
2003 -
2014
2003 2004 2005
2007 2008 2009
2010 2012 2014
Nature Needs Half…but which half?
(Dinerstein et al. in press by March 2017 Bioscience)
A Vision for Global Forest Watch – Year One
GLAD alert filtering Integrate Range wide assessments into operational programs
PREDICTS BII and Range Rarity to offer a
Global Map (a continuous layer)
Impact of forest
change on
biodiversity
intactness
PREDICTS BII and Hotspots of Range Rarity to offer a
Global Map (a continuous layer)
A Vision for Global Forest Watch Years 5-10
Laser-guided Imaging Spectroscopy
Google Earth is an Ecological Lie
by Omission
Current
Protected Area Network
Making Plans
to Save
More
Biodiversity
Mapping forest biodiversity signficance
Stuart Butchart, BirdLife International
Manages the World Database on Key Biodiversity Areas
– information on 15,000 of the most important sites for
nature on the planet
Manages the IUCN Red List
– information on the extinction risk of 80,000 species
Manages the World Database on Protected Areas
– information on 200,000 protected areas
Developed the PREDICTS model
- Based on a global database of terrestrial species'
responses to human pressures
Developed work on revised ecoregions and their
protection status, & landscape priorities for charismatic
species (tiger and apes)
Global Forest Watch Biodiversity
Why integrate tree cover & loss with other
biodiversity datasets?
Reassessed the status of 11,000
forest-dependent vertebrates
Quantified threats to the largest
biodiversity site network in the world
www.biodiversitymapping.org based on BirdLife International and NatureServe 2016
Richness of species with
small distributions
Each cell scored for its aggregate contribution to the distributions of all species
occurring in the cell
Buchanan et al 2011 PloS ONE 6(12): e29080
Biodiversity importance of
remaining forest (2012)
Biodiversity importance of
remaining forest (2012)
Biodiversity importance of lost
forest (2000-2012)
Biodiversity importance of lost
forest (2000-2012)
Methods
• Bird, mammal and amphibian forest species ranges from BirdLife & IUCN
• Refined ranges by altitudinal limits
• Calculated areas of tree cover in each species range for 2000 and 2012
• Weighted each range as inverse of area of tree cover
• Summed weighted species ranges to create importance layers for 2000 and 2012
• Mapped remaining tree cover in 2012 using importance layer for 2012
• Mapped tree cover loss 2000-2012 using importance layer for 2000
• In future, add other taxonomic groups (e.g. reptiles, conifers, cycads, rattans,
gingers, monarchs and swallowtails by 2020)
What does it tell you?
• Which areas of forest loss represent the most significant losses of forest biodiversity
(in terms of their aggregate contributions to species distributions)
• Which areas of remaining forest are the most significant for biodiversity (in terms of
their contributions to species distributions)
How might it be used?
• Filtering GLAD alerts
• Informing land-use planning decisions
• Prioritising protected area expansion
• Targeting investments in forest conservation
• Screening potential business operations
Mapping how forest change
impacts biodiversity
Neil Burgess, Samantha Hill, Andy Purvis
PhotobyNeilPalmer(CIAT)
#PredictsProject
Projecting Responses of Ecological
Diversity In Changing Terrestrial Systems:
the PREDICTS project
MethodologyGlobal Forest Change
Forest loss
Forest gain
Forest cover 2000
Forest cover 2010
Pressure maps
Other pressures
Human population density
Proximity to roads
PREDICTS
model
Map of forest
change impact on
biodiversity
CSIRO downscaled
land use map
Where has
forest
been lost?
Where has
forest
been
gained?
Where forest
has been lost,
what is the land
being used for?
Other
pressures that
influence
biodiversity?
Patterns
of loss and
gain
Database has 767 studies, 32,078 sites,
98 countries, > 300 ecoregions
Database described in Hudson, Newbold et al. 2014 Ecol & Evol
Database is publically accessible: data.nhm.ac.uk
Taxonomic coverage of 51,000 species
Measuring site-level biodiversity
CroplandPrimary vegetation
5 species richness 4
Measuring site-level biodiversity
CroplandPrimary vegetation
15 abundance 14
Measuring site-level biodiversity
CroplandPrimary vegetation
15 abundance of original species 6
Biodiversity Intactness
Newbold et al. 2016 Science 353(6296)
Results
Results
Results
Results
Results
Biodiversity
intactness
Short-term goals:
Refine models
Refine maps
Extend to global area
Biodiversity Intactness
What does it tell you?
• How native species assemblages are impacted by:
• forest change (including regeneration)
• the use of cleared areas of forest (i.e. is the area used for
agriculture, urbanisation etc.)
• other human pressures (e.g. the introduction of roads)
• Where we can find areas of: intact biodiversity, recovery, and
dramatic degradation
How might it be used?
• Gathering statistics (at regional to national levels) on progress
towards retaining biodiversity*
• Advise land-use planners and businesses on:
• the consequences of development to biodiversity
• where development would be most harmful to biodiversity
• Advise protected-area planners on hotspots of intactness
• Filtering GLAD alerts
* for instance, the BII was already used as an indicator in the 2016 UK State of Nature Report
Long-term goals:
Temporal BII
Fragmentation
Extend database
Annual updates
Biodiversity
intactness
2001 2012
20122001
Temporal
Biodiversity
Intactness
Long-term goals:
Temporal BII
Fragmentation
Extend database
Annual updates
Biodiversity
intactness
2001 2012
In the future… Biodiversity Intactness as an
interactive tool?
Prioritizing Deforestation Alerts in the GFW Platform
for Rapid Reaction Responses in Areas of High
Conservation Importance in Tropical Forests
Eric Dinerstein, Neil Burgess, and Anup Joshi
On Behalf of the Global Forest Watch
Biodiversity Working Group
• Slide from Carolyn on GLAD alerts from Peru
GLAD Alerts
□ Ecoregions & Landscapes
Intact Forests
Carbon Density
Imperiled
Ecoregions
□ Species and Sites □ User Defined Chest
of Drawers
PREDICTS
KBAs
IUCN maps of
range rarity
Option 1. Filtering GLAD Alerts by Ecoregions
and Landscapes
Potapov et al. 2017
© Bernardo Roca-Rey Ross
Two conservation targets:
Intact forest landscapes
and fragments holding the
last remaining population
of a critically endangered
species (AZE)
Option 2. The Sites or Hotspots of Rarity
Approach (a continuous layer)
Impact of forest
change on
biodiversity
intactness
Option 2. The Sites or Hotspots of Rarity Approach
(a continuous layer)
Option 3. The User Defined Approach (chest
of drawers)
Monarch breeding and
overwintering sites
Key Biodiversity Areas
Tiger Conservation
Landscapes
More layers can be added
Known breeding and non-breeding sites of threatened
migratory birds or butterflies
Alliance For Zero Extinction Sites
Important Bird Areas
Key Biodiversity Areas
Protected Areas (IUCN I-VI)
Tiger Conservation Landscapes
Priority Ape Polygons
Protected Areas with 10km buffer for African and Asiatic
elephant populations in forested habitat
And prioritized by the end user
Known breeding and non-breeding sites of
threatened migratory birds or butterflies
Alliance For Zero Extinction Sites
Important Bird Areas
Key Biodiversity Areas
Protected Areas (IUCN I-VI)
Tiger Conservation Landscapes
Priority Ape Polygons
Forested PAs + 10km buffer for African
and Asiatic elephants
Peru
GLAD alerts for
all KBAs in Peru
Glad alerts for all
forested PAs in
Tiger Conservation
Landscapes in
Sumatra
Sumatra
PHOTO: Jeffrey Rolinc (Flickr)
• Who could use these data? How do we reach them?
• What can these data be used to accomplish?
• What will be the main challenges we will face?
• Other than a map, how can we display data so it is best understood? How do we best
communicate these data and insights?
• In an ideal world, what would GFWB look like in one year? Five years? Ten years?

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GFW Partner Meeting 2017 - Parallel Discussions 1: Forests and Biodiversity

  • 1. GFW PARTNERSHIP MEETING WASHINGTON, DC | FEBRUARY 8TH & 9TH PHOTO: CIFOR #GFWPartners17
  • 2. #GFWPartners17Presenters: Eric Dinerstein, Stuart Butchart, Neil Burgess, Samantha Hill, Andy Purvis PARALLEL DISCUSSIONS 1: FORESTS AND BIODIVERSITY
  • 3. BIODIVERSITY GFW B: A vision for more proactive conservation of forest-dependent biodiversity
  • 4. Case studies: habitat assessments for tigers and apes
  • 5. The First Ever Global Summit for an Endangered Species in St. Petersburg, Russia, November 2010
  • 6. Tracking changes and preventing loss in critical tiger habitat
  • 8. Tracking changes and preventing loss in critical ape habitat Jan 18 2017
  • 9.
  • 10. Forest loss in ape habitat, Gunung Leuser National Park, Sumatra, Indonesia 2003 - 2014 2003 2004 2005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2012 2014
  • 11. Nature Needs Half…but which half? (Dinerstein et al. in press by March 2017 Bioscience)
  • 12.
  • 13. A Vision for Global Forest Watch – Year One GLAD alert filtering Integrate Range wide assessments into operational programs
  • 14.
  • 15. PREDICTS BII and Range Rarity to offer a Global Map (a continuous layer) Impact of forest change on biodiversity intactness
  • 16. PREDICTS BII and Hotspots of Range Rarity to offer a Global Map (a continuous layer)
  • 17. A Vision for Global Forest Watch Years 5-10
  • 19. Google Earth is an Ecological Lie by Omission
  • 20. Current Protected Area Network Making Plans to Save More Biodiversity
  • 21.
  • 22. Mapping forest biodiversity signficance Stuart Butchart, BirdLife International
  • 23. Manages the World Database on Key Biodiversity Areas – information on 15,000 of the most important sites for nature on the planet Manages the IUCN Red List – information on the extinction risk of 80,000 species Manages the World Database on Protected Areas – information on 200,000 protected areas Developed the PREDICTS model - Based on a global database of terrestrial species' responses to human pressures Developed work on revised ecoregions and their protection status, & landscape priorities for charismatic species (tiger and apes) Global Forest Watch Biodiversity
  • 24. Why integrate tree cover & loss with other biodiversity datasets? Reassessed the status of 11,000 forest-dependent vertebrates Quantified threats to the largest biodiversity site network in the world
  • 25.
  • 26. www.biodiversitymapping.org based on BirdLife International and NatureServe 2016 Richness of species with small distributions
  • 27. Each cell scored for its aggregate contribution to the distributions of all species occurring in the cell Buchanan et al 2011 PloS ONE 6(12): e29080
  • 30. Biodiversity importance of lost forest (2000-2012)
  • 31. Biodiversity importance of lost forest (2000-2012)
  • 32. Methods • Bird, mammal and amphibian forest species ranges from BirdLife & IUCN • Refined ranges by altitudinal limits • Calculated areas of tree cover in each species range for 2000 and 2012 • Weighted each range as inverse of area of tree cover • Summed weighted species ranges to create importance layers for 2000 and 2012 • Mapped remaining tree cover in 2012 using importance layer for 2012 • Mapped tree cover loss 2000-2012 using importance layer for 2000 • In future, add other taxonomic groups (e.g. reptiles, conifers, cycads, rattans, gingers, monarchs and swallowtails by 2020)
  • 33. What does it tell you? • Which areas of forest loss represent the most significant losses of forest biodiversity (in terms of their aggregate contributions to species distributions) • Which areas of remaining forest are the most significant for biodiversity (in terms of their contributions to species distributions) How might it be used? • Filtering GLAD alerts • Informing land-use planning decisions • Prioritising protected area expansion • Targeting investments in forest conservation • Screening potential business operations
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36. Mapping how forest change impacts biodiversity Neil Burgess, Samantha Hill, Andy Purvis PhotobyNeilPalmer(CIAT)
  • 37. #PredictsProject Projecting Responses of Ecological Diversity In Changing Terrestrial Systems: the PREDICTS project
  • 38. MethodologyGlobal Forest Change Forest loss Forest gain Forest cover 2000 Forest cover 2010 Pressure maps Other pressures Human population density Proximity to roads PREDICTS model Map of forest change impact on biodiversity CSIRO downscaled land use map Where has forest been lost? Where has forest been gained? Where forest has been lost, what is the land being used for? Other pressures that influence biodiversity? Patterns of loss and gain
  • 39. Database has 767 studies, 32,078 sites, 98 countries, > 300 ecoregions Database described in Hudson, Newbold et al. 2014 Ecol & Evol Database is publically accessible: data.nhm.ac.uk
  • 40. Taxonomic coverage of 51,000 species
  • 41. Measuring site-level biodiversity CroplandPrimary vegetation 5 species richness 4
  • 43. Measuring site-level biodiversity CroplandPrimary vegetation 15 abundance of original species 6 Biodiversity Intactness Newbold et al. 2016 Science 353(6296)
  • 50. Biodiversity Intactness What does it tell you? • How native species assemblages are impacted by: • forest change (including regeneration) • the use of cleared areas of forest (i.e. is the area used for agriculture, urbanisation etc.) • other human pressures (e.g. the introduction of roads) • Where we can find areas of: intact biodiversity, recovery, and dramatic degradation How might it be used? • Gathering statistics (at regional to national levels) on progress towards retaining biodiversity* • Advise land-use planners and businesses on: • the consequences of development to biodiversity • where development would be most harmful to biodiversity • Advise protected-area planners on hotspots of intactness • Filtering GLAD alerts * for instance, the BII was already used as an indicator in the 2016 UK State of Nature Report
  • 51. Long-term goals: Temporal BII Fragmentation Extend database Annual updates Biodiversity intactness 2001 2012
  • 53. Long-term goals: Temporal BII Fragmentation Extend database Annual updates Biodiversity intactness 2001 2012
  • 54. In the future… Biodiversity Intactness as an interactive tool?
  • 55.
  • 56. Prioritizing Deforestation Alerts in the GFW Platform for Rapid Reaction Responses in Areas of High Conservation Importance in Tropical Forests Eric Dinerstein, Neil Burgess, and Anup Joshi On Behalf of the Global Forest Watch Biodiversity Working Group
  • 57.
  • 58. • Slide from Carolyn on GLAD alerts from Peru
  • 59. GLAD Alerts □ Ecoregions & Landscapes Intact Forests Carbon Density Imperiled Ecoregions □ Species and Sites □ User Defined Chest of Drawers PREDICTS KBAs IUCN maps of range rarity
  • 60. Option 1. Filtering GLAD Alerts by Ecoregions and Landscapes
  • 61.
  • 62.
  • 63.
  • 64.
  • 66.
  • 67. © Bernardo Roca-Rey Ross Two conservation targets: Intact forest landscapes and fragments holding the last remaining population of a critically endangered species (AZE)
  • 68. Option 2. The Sites or Hotspots of Rarity Approach (a continuous layer) Impact of forest change on biodiversity intactness
  • 69. Option 2. The Sites or Hotspots of Rarity Approach (a continuous layer)
  • 70. Option 3. The User Defined Approach (chest of drawers) Monarch breeding and overwintering sites Key Biodiversity Areas Tiger Conservation Landscapes
  • 71. More layers can be added Known breeding and non-breeding sites of threatened migratory birds or butterflies Alliance For Zero Extinction Sites Important Bird Areas Key Biodiversity Areas Protected Areas (IUCN I-VI) Tiger Conservation Landscapes Priority Ape Polygons Protected Areas with 10km buffer for African and Asiatic elephant populations in forested habitat
  • 72. And prioritized by the end user Known breeding and non-breeding sites of threatened migratory birds or butterflies Alliance For Zero Extinction Sites Important Bird Areas Key Biodiversity Areas Protected Areas (IUCN I-VI) Tiger Conservation Landscapes Priority Ape Polygons Forested PAs + 10km buffer for African and Asiatic elephants Peru GLAD alerts for all KBAs in Peru Glad alerts for all forested PAs in Tiger Conservation Landscapes in Sumatra Sumatra
  • 73. PHOTO: Jeffrey Rolinc (Flickr) • Who could use these data? How do we reach them? • What can these data be used to accomplish? • What will be the main challenges we will face? • Other than a map, how can we display data so it is best understood? How do we best communicate these data and insights? • In an ideal world, what would GFWB look like in one year? Five years? Ten years?