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M O H A M M A D S A E E D S A F F A R I
A L L A M E H T A B A T A B A E I U N I V E R S I T Y
2 4 D E C , 2 0 1 9
Game Theory and its
Applications
Content
 Definitions
 Prisoner’s Dilemma
 Matching Pennies
 Battle of Sexes
 High-Definition Standards War
 Laboratory Experiments
 Terrorism
Game Theory - Saeed Saffari
2
Dec 24, 2019
Definitions
 Game Theory
 Game
 Strategy
 Pay Off
 Rationality
 Common knowledge
 Equilibrium
Game Theory - Saeed Saffari
Back
3
Dec 24, 2019
Prisoner’s
Dilemma
 Two suspects arrested for a crime
 Prisoners decide whether to confess or not to
confess
 If both confess, both sentenced to 3 years of
jail
 If both do not confess, then both will be
sentenced to 2 years of jail
 If one confesses and the other does not, then
the confessor sentenced to 1 year of jail and
the non-confessor sentenced to 10 years of jail
 What should each prisoner do?
Game Theory - Saeed Saffari
4
Dec 24, 2019
Games
Game Theory - Saeed Saffari
 Normal Form representation – Payoff Matrix
Confess Not Confess
Confess -3 , -3 -1 , -10
Not Confess -10 , -1 -2 , -2
Prisoner 1
Prisoner 2
 Extensive Form
 Dominant Strategy
Back
5
Dec 24, 2019
Matching
Pennies
Game Theory - Saeed Saffari
 Normal Form representation – Payoff Matrix
Heads Tails
Heads 1 , -1 -1 , 1
Tails -1 , 1 1 , -1
A
B
 Extensive Form
Back
6
Dec 24, 2019
Battle of
Sexes
 A couple deciding how to spend the evening
 Wife would like to go for a Ballet performance
 Husband would like to go for a Boxing match
 Both however want to spend the time together
 Scope for strategic interaction
Game Theory - Saeed Saffari
7
Dec 24, 2019
Games
Game Theory - Saeed Saffari
 Normal Form representation – Payoff Matrix
Ballet Boxing
Ballet 2 , 1 0 , 0
Boxing 0 , 0 1 , 2
Wife
Husband
 Extensive Form
8
Dec 24, 2019
Mixed-Strategy
Game Theory - Saeed Saffari
 Wife’s best response to Husband’s Mixed strategy:
Ballet Boxing
Ballet 2 , 1 0 , 0
Boxing 0 , 0 1 , 2
Wife
Husband
h 1 - h
w
1 - w
(h)(2) + (1-h)(0)
= 2h
(h)(0) + (1-h)(1)
= 1-h
 Best-response function
allowing for mixed
strategies
Python code
9
Dec 24, 2019
The Sequential Battle of Sexes
Game Theory - Saeed Saffari
Always
go to
Ballet
Follow
his wife
Do the
opposite
Always
go to
Boxing
Back
10
Dec 24, 2019
High-Definition
Standards War  Toshiba launched its HD-DVD player.
 Sony launched its Blu-Ray player.
 After that, Sony contracted with Disney and
Toshiba contracted with Paramount.
 The outcome of the standards war hinged more on
the strategic behavior of consumers than the firms
involved. (Table)
 In 2008, Sony win the War. Why?
Game Theory - Saeed Saffari
11
Dec 24, 2019
Games
Game Theory - Saeed Saffari
 Standard Game:
 After Bundling Blu-Ray:
Blue-Ray HD-DVD
Blue-Ray 1 , 1 0 , 0
HD-DVD 0 , 0 1 , 1
Consumer A
Consumer B
Back
Blue-Ray HD-DVD
Blue-Ray 2 , 1 1 , 0
HD-DVD 1 , 1 1 , 1
Consumer A
(have a PlayStation 3)
Consumer B
12
Dec 24, 2019
Laboratory
Experiments  Prisoner’s Dilemma
 Repeat the game
 Ultimatum Game
 Splitting money with some conditional rules
 Dictator Game
 Splitting money with no conditional rules
Game Theory - Saeed Saffari
Back
13
Dec 24, 2019
Terrorism
 Defending Targets against Terrorism
 The Government wants to minimize the expected damage
 Terrorism wants to maximize expected damage.
 We have two target.(Target 1 has more damage)
 Assume terrorist can attack one of two targets.
 The Government is protecting Target 1 with (𝑆1) probability.
 Terrorism is successful in attack with (1 − 𝑆1) probability.
 Bargaining with Terrorists
Game Theory - Saeed Saffari
Target 1 Target 2
Target 1 0 , -10 -5 , 5
Target 2 -10 , 10 0 , -5
Government
Terrorism
14
Dec 24, 2019
Sources
 Walter Nicholson, Christopher Snyder. (2014). Intermediate
microeconomics and its application (12th ed.).Chapter 5, Game Theory.
 Ghahreman Abdoli. (1395). Game Theory and It’s Application.
 H. E. Lapan and T. Sandler, ‘‘To Bargain or not to Bargain: That is the
Question,’’ American Economic Review (May 1988): 16–20.
 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prisoner%27s_dilemma
 http://www.econport.org/econport/request?page=man_gametheory_e
xp_prisondil
 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dictator_game
 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ultimatum_game
 https://towardsdatascience.com/algorithmic-game-theory-with-
nashpy-a73caf14296b
 youtube.com
 Farshad Fatemi Online courses.
Game Theory - Saeed Saffari
15
Dec 24, 2019
ANY QUESTION..?
THANK YOU
Game Theory - Saeed Saffari
16
Dec 24, 2019

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Game theory and its applications

  • 1. M O H A M M A D S A E E D S A F F A R I A L L A M E H T A B A T A B A E I U N I V E R S I T Y 2 4 D E C , 2 0 1 9 Game Theory and its Applications
  • 2. Content  Definitions  Prisoner’s Dilemma  Matching Pennies  Battle of Sexes  High-Definition Standards War  Laboratory Experiments  Terrorism Game Theory - Saeed Saffari 2 Dec 24, 2019
  • 3. Definitions  Game Theory  Game  Strategy  Pay Off  Rationality  Common knowledge  Equilibrium Game Theory - Saeed Saffari Back 3 Dec 24, 2019
  • 4. Prisoner’s Dilemma  Two suspects arrested for a crime  Prisoners decide whether to confess or not to confess  If both confess, both sentenced to 3 years of jail  If both do not confess, then both will be sentenced to 2 years of jail  If one confesses and the other does not, then the confessor sentenced to 1 year of jail and the non-confessor sentenced to 10 years of jail  What should each prisoner do? Game Theory - Saeed Saffari 4 Dec 24, 2019
  • 5. Games Game Theory - Saeed Saffari  Normal Form representation – Payoff Matrix Confess Not Confess Confess -3 , -3 -1 , -10 Not Confess -10 , -1 -2 , -2 Prisoner 1 Prisoner 2  Extensive Form  Dominant Strategy Back 5 Dec 24, 2019
  • 6. Matching Pennies Game Theory - Saeed Saffari  Normal Form representation – Payoff Matrix Heads Tails Heads 1 , -1 -1 , 1 Tails -1 , 1 1 , -1 A B  Extensive Form Back 6 Dec 24, 2019
  • 7. Battle of Sexes  A couple deciding how to spend the evening  Wife would like to go for a Ballet performance  Husband would like to go for a Boxing match  Both however want to spend the time together  Scope for strategic interaction Game Theory - Saeed Saffari 7 Dec 24, 2019
  • 8. Games Game Theory - Saeed Saffari  Normal Form representation – Payoff Matrix Ballet Boxing Ballet 2 , 1 0 , 0 Boxing 0 , 0 1 , 2 Wife Husband  Extensive Form 8 Dec 24, 2019
  • 9. Mixed-Strategy Game Theory - Saeed Saffari  Wife’s best response to Husband’s Mixed strategy: Ballet Boxing Ballet 2 , 1 0 , 0 Boxing 0 , 0 1 , 2 Wife Husband h 1 - h w 1 - w (h)(2) + (1-h)(0) = 2h (h)(0) + (1-h)(1) = 1-h  Best-response function allowing for mixed strategies Python code 9 Dec 24, 2019
  • 10. The Sequential Battle of Sexes Game Theory - Saeed Saffari Always go to Ballet Follow his wife Do the opposite Always go to Boxing Back 10 Dec 24, 2019
  • 11. High-Definition Standards War  Toshiba launched its HD-DVD player.  Sony launched its Blu-Ray player.  After that, Sony contracted with Disney and Toshiba contracted with Paramount.  The outcome of the standards war hinged more on the strategic behavior of consumers than the firms involved. (Table)  In 2008, Sony win the War. Why? Game Theory - Saeed Saffari 11 Dec 24, 2019
  • 12. Games Game Theory - Saeed Saffari  Standard Game:  After Bundling Blu-Ray: Blue-Ray HD-DVD Blue-Ray 1 , 1 0 , 0 HD-DVD 0 , 0 1 , 1 Consumer A Consumer B Back Blue-Ray HD-DVD Blue-Ray 2 , 1 1 , 0 HD-DVD 1 , 1 1 , 1 Consumer A (have a PlayStation 3) Consumer B 12 Dec 24, 2019
  • 13. Laboratory Experiments  Prisoner’s Dilemma  Repeat the game  Ultimatum Game  Splitting money with some conditional rules  Dictator Game  Splitting money with no conditional rules Game Theory - Saeed Saffari Back 13 Dec 24, 2019
  • 14. Terrorism  Defending Targets against Terrorism  The Government wants to minimize the expected damage  Terrorism wants to maximize expected damage.  We have two target.(Target 1 has more damage)  Assume terrorist can attack one of two targets.  The Government is protecting Target 1 with (𝑆1) probability.  Terrorism is successful in attack with (1 − 𝑆1) probability.  Bargaining with Terrorists Game Theory - Saeed Saffari Target 1 Target 2 Target 1 0 , -10 -5 , 5 Target 2 -10 , 10 0 , -5 Government Terrorism 14 Dec 24, 2019
  • 15. Sources  Walter Nicholson, Christopher Snyder. (2014). Intermediate microeconomics and its application (12th ed.).Chapter 5, Game Theory.  Ghahreman Abdoli. (1395). Game Theory and It’s Application.  H. E. Lapan and T. Sandler, ‘‘To Bargain or not to Bargain: That is the Question,’’ American Economic Review (May 1988): 16–20.  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prisoner%27s_dilemma  http://www.econport.org/econport/request?page=man_gametheory_e xp_prisondil  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dictator_game  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ultimatum_game  https://towardsdatascience.com/algorithmic-game-theory-with- nashpy-a73caf14296b  youtube.com  Farshad Fatemi Online courses. Game Theory - Saeed Saffari 15 Dec 24, 2019
  • 16. ANY QUESTION..? THANK YOU Game Theory - Saeed Saffari 16 Dec 24, 2019