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John Browne
says drillers will
have to be ‘very
thoughtful’
about the land
atop the shale
formations.
By Edward Robinson photographs By alan clarke
former bp ceo John Browne has become the
controversial face of hydraulic fracturing,
which his opponents say could despoil the U.K.
landscape, including the lancashire hills.
bloomberg markets 41
old energy | new ideas
42 bloomberg markets May 2014
is pelting about 30 protesters who’ve
converged at the gate of a natural gas
drilling site near Manchester, Eng-
land. On the other side of a fence
topped with razor wire, a 10-story-
high rig is boring into shale to deter-
mine if it’s suitable for hydraulic
fracturing, or fracking. The demon-
strators unfurl a banner: “Fracking
will poison our children.” As a pha-
lanx of police officers pushes the pro-
testers back, a convoy of supply
trucks inches out of the gate and past
an encampment of tents and trailers
sporting placards decrying the drill-
ing practice. “Fracking will not lower
gas prices, Lord Browne,” one reads
on this January morning.
The following week, the man the
protesters call “the fracking czar” is
seated in a solariumlike conference
room overlooking the rooftops of
Mayfair in central London. John
Browne, a former chief executive offi-
cer of oil giant BP Plc, is clad in a crisp,
white dress shirt, enameled cuff links,
a royal-blue necktie and dark trousers.
Browne, an independent member of
the House of Lords and a nonexecutive
director in the U.K. government’s
Cabinet Office, is lamenting how the
protests may slow his efforts to bring
America’s shale boom to Britain.
Browne says fracking would secure a
new domestic energy source, create
thousands of jobs, generate billions of
pounds in tax revenue and be a far
cheaper alternative than constructing
nuclearplants.“Shalegascouldbevery,
very important for this country; it
could be transformative,” says Browne,
66, who’s now chairman of Cuadrilla
Resources Ltd., a British exploration
firm that plans to frack the English
countryside. “It’s like the opening of
Alaska or western Siberia or the Gulf of
Mexico.”
Browne, who was trained as a pe-
troleum engineer, played a part in
each of those pivotal events during 38
years at BP, including 12 as CEO. Now,
seven years after leaving BP, he’s at
the forefront of a push by major en-
ergy companies and wildcatters to
take fracking global. Hydraulic frac-
turing—in which drillers blast water,
sand and chemicals into shale deep
beneath the earth to release oil and
natural gas—is revolutionizing the
energy game in the world’s No. 1 econ-
omy: After steadily declining for
about 25 years, U.S. oil production
surged 47 percent from 2008 to 2013,
according to data compiled by Bloom-
berg. And the Department of Energy
forecasts that the U.S., which im-
ported 6 percent of the gas it used in
2012, will be a net exporter of the hy-
drocarbon by 2018.
Even as evidence mounts that
fracking operations drain aquifers
and spew methane into the air, energy
firms are fanning out across mam-
moth shale deposits in China, Russia,
India, South Africa, Australia, Argen-
tina and elsewhere. Royal Dutch Shell
Plc, based in The Hague, has joined
forces with Beijing-based China Pe-
troleum & Chemical Corp., or Sino-
pec, in central and southern China to
exploit the world’s largest shale gas–
laden formations. And San Ramon,
California–based Chevron Corp. has
agreed to invest as much as $16 bil-
lion in partnership with YPF SA, Ar-
gentina’s state oil producer, to drill in
the Vaca Muerta formation near the
Andes. That deposit alone could mul-
tiply the South American nation’s oil
reserves eightfold and make it a
power in natural gas exports, accord-
ing to the U.S. Energy Information
Administration, or EIA.
U.S. wildcatters, who started the
shale boom in the mid-2000s, are
ready to pounce now that Mexican
President Enrique Pena Nieto has
opened his country to foreign petro-
leum investment. One choice target:
the gas-rich Eagle Ford formation
that snakes from Texas into the Mex-
ican state of Tamaulipas. “It’s the
best shale play in Texas, but when
you hit Mexico, there’s no activity,”
says Chris Wright, CEO of Liberty Re-
sources II LLC, a Denver-based pro-
ducer that fracks oil in North Dakota.
old energy | new ideas
May 2014 bloomberg markets 43
openingspread:groomer:khandizjoni
Even relatively small Britain is sit-
ting on a gas mother lode. The Bow-
land-Hodder formation, a belt of
shale that stretches across England’s
midsection, holds more than 37 tril-
lion cubic meters (1,300 trillion cu-
bic feet) of natural gas, according to
estimates from the British Geolog-
ical Survey. That’s almost the same
size as the Marcellus deposit under
the Appalachian Mountains, the No. 1
shale gas find in the U.S. The mineral
is so impermeable that it yields only
a fraction of its hydrocarbons to pro-
ducers. The Marcellus is on course to
give up about 9 percent, according to
data from the Marcellus Center for
Outreach and Research at Pennsyl-
vania State University in University
Park. If the Bowland performs sim-
ilarly, Britain will have enough gas
to meet its needs for more than 40
years, according to data from the BGS
and the EIA.
Such a windfall would be welcome
in a country that expects to import 70
percent of its natural gas by 2020 as
its North Sea reserves dwindle, says
Michael Fallon, the U.K. energy min-
ister. “Shale gas is coming to the U.K.
one way or another,” says Fallon,
Prime Minister David Cameron’s
point man on shale gas development.
“It would be far nicer if it came from
underneath Britain rather than be
imported from the U.S. or elsewhere.”
Later this year, the U.K. government
plans to issue a new round of oil and
gas exploration licenses for an area
covering about 60 percent of Eng-
land, Scotland and Wales.
The shale boom is striking as the
world’s leading economies struggle to
find a balance between promoting
economic growth and addressing cli-
mate change. The U.S., the European
Union and China, among others, have
vowed to reduce greenhouse gas
emissions over the next two decades
by relying more on wind, sunlight and
other renewable resources. In the
midst of a brutal winter that left re-
cord snowfall and flooding in the
Northern Hemisphere, the European
Commission in January proposed re-
ducing carbon dioxide emissions to
40 percent below 1990 levels by 2030.
Yet soaring demand for energy
worldwide will require an investment
of about $37 trillion over the next 21
years on new infrastructure for elec-
tricity and fuel production, according
to the Paris-based International En-
ergy Agency. Forecasting that renew-
able sources would account for just 18
percent of energy usage by 2035,
compared with 13 percent in 2011, it
suggested the world may be entering
a “Golden Age of Gas.” “We are defi-
nitely going to have to burn hydrocar-
bons for a considerable amount of
time; we have no choice,” says
Browne, who became the first CEO of
an oil major to acknowledge that fos-
sil fuels contributed to climate
change, in a 1997 speech he gave at
Stanford University.
Even the green-leaning EU may
find shale irresistible, says Fadel
Gheit, an oil industry analyst at
Oppenheimer & Co. in New York.
Natural gas, which is composed pri-
marily of methane, emits half the
carbon dioxide of coal when burned
in power plants, according to the U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency.
It could offer the 28-nation bloc
relief from steep energy prices. Eu-
ropean manufacturers pay more than
twice what they would in the U.S. for
electricity, the European Commis-
sion says.
Then there’s the Russia angle. The
EU imports about 30 percent of its
natural gas from its neighbor to the
‘shale gas could be very, very
important for this country,’
former bp ceo john browne says.
‘it could be transformative.’
A drilling-site
protest near
Manchester,
England.
Activists, left
to right,
opposite, gave
their names as
Beth, Gigi, Mac,
Maggie and
John-Jo.
Toptobottom:JOHNNYEGGITT/AFP/GettyImages;RalphCrane/Time&LifePictures/GettyImages;HultonArchive/GettyImages;GillesBASSIGNAC/Gamma-RaphoviaGettyImages
44 bloomberg markets May 2014
east, with several pipelines traversing
strife-torn Ukraine on Russia’s south-
west flank. On March 3, natural gas
futures in Germany, the U.K. and
other European markets spiked as
much as 10 percent as Russian troops
took control of Ukraine’s Crimea
region.
Europe’s vulnerability contrasts
with the energy security that the U.S.
has derived from its shale bonanza.
Following approval from the Obama
administration, American producers
will begin exporting natural gas in
2015. Meanwhile, U.S. Senator Lisa
Murkowski, an Alaska Republican, is
leading an effort for suspension of the
39-year-old ban on oil exports. The
State Department’s Bureau of Energy
Resources, formed in 2011, plans to
use American hydrocarbons as a new
tool of foreign policy.
Browne says the upheaval in
Ukraine should spur European politi-
cal leaders to clear the way for shale
gas. “I hope this reminds people that
having indigenous sources is a good
thing,” he says. Germany, Spain and
the Scandinavian nations have ap-
proved shale exploration, and Cua-
drilla has leased sites in the
Netherlands. “John Browne is on the
right track,” Gheit says. “Fracking has
transformed our thinking in the U.S.
about our energy future. And Europe
will have to finally wake up and real-
ize that it needs to make some hard
choices about developing its own do-
mestic resources.”
Renewable energy advocates coun-
ter that shale gas may deepen depen-
dence on hydrocarbons and worsen
global warming. The impact of meth-
ane, in its unburned form, on climate
change is 20 times that of carbon di-
oxide, according to the EPA. In Au-
gust, a study conducted by scientists
from the U.S. National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration found
that natural gas wells in Utah were re-
leasing 6 to 12 percent of their output
into the air.
Such leakage could erase the ad-
vantage natural gas has over coal,
says Nicholas Stern, chairman of the
Grantham Research Institute on Cli-
mate Change and the Environment at
the London School of Economics and
Political Science. He says he’s con-
cerned policy makers will embrace
shale at the expense of alternatives
such as wind and solar power. “It is
important that policies to encourage
the development of shale gas do not
create uncertainty and undermine
the confidence of investors about the
future for low-carbon energy sources
in the U.K.,” Stern said in an e-mailed
response to questions. “It would not
be helpful, for instance, if the promo-
tion of shale gas by the government
slowed down the deployment of wind
farms.” U.K. Energy Minister Fallon
says the government remains com-
mitted to renewable energy, citing
the 66 million pounds ($110 million)
in investments it’s making to spur the
development of offshore wind farms
and other projects.
Even if natural gas supplants coal
in the U.K. or throughout the EU, the
dirtier fossil fuel will still be burned
elsewhere, says Matthew Spencer, the
director of Green Alliance, a London-
based environmental group. U.S. coal
exports to Brazil, Germany and other
markets have doubled since fracking
took off in 2005, as American utilities
have opted for cheap natural gas, ac-
cording to the DOE. Spencer says the
influx of shale gas may have the per-
verse effect of forcing coal producers
to lower prices to compete. That, in
turn, will make coal more attractive
to burn, increasing carbon dioxide
emissions, the No. 1 cause of atmo-
spheric warming, according to the
EPA. “Even though gas is a cleaner
fuel, the growth of shale runs a loco-
motive through our attempts to limit
climate change,” Spencer says. “If
shale gas development isn’t accompa-
nied by a constraint of coal, then it’s
going to be a disaster.”
Browne’s shale play vaults him into
the center of yet another historic
shift in the global energy industry.
Only this time he’s not running a
company with 97,000 employees that
‘if shale gas development isn’t
accompanied by a constraint of coal,
then it’s going to be a disaster,’
green alliance’s spencer says.
1969
Posted to Alaska’s North Slope as
a petroleum engineer for BP.
1981
Manages oil production from the Forties field in
the North Sea off Scotland.
1988
Leads BP’s deep-water
exploration of the Gulf
of Mexico.
1997
Becomes the first industry
head to acknowledge
climate change. Three
years later, he refurbishes
the company logo.
2003
Forges a joint British-
Russian oil venture,
TNK-BP, winning over
President Vladimir Putin.
2014
Leads the fracking push in the U.K. against strong
public opposition.
Source: Bloomberg
Browne’s Pivot
Points
His 45-year career
mirrors the evolution
of the modern oil
industry.
old energy | new ideas
46 bloomberg markets May 2014
million in exploration costs. Cuadrilla
paid £1,000 for the license.
Browne has become the face of
fracking in the U.K.—so much so
that the protesters at the drilling site
near Manchester singled him out
even though another company, IGas
Energy Plc, not Cuadrilla, is the
operator there. Browne has been
steepedinthepetroleumtradesincehe
spent part of his childhood amid Iran’s
oil fields. His father, John, worked for
BP, and his mother, Paula, a Hungarian
of Jewish descent who was imprisoned
in Auschwitz, was a hatmaker. Browne
says one of his most vivid boyhood
memories is of a well fire that burned
for more than a month.
After earning a degree in physics
from the University of Cambridge
in 1969, Browne joined British Pe-
troleum as a field engineer and was
produced almost 4 million barrels of
oil equivalent a day in more than 100
countries. Today, Browne, an elegant
man with wavy brown hair and
amused eyes, is a partner at River-
stone Holdings LLC, a New York–
based private-equity firm with $27
billion invested in energy companies
ranging from biofuel makers to pipe-
line operators. In 2010, a Riverstone
fund acquired a 41 percent stake in
Cuadrilla for $58 million, and Browne
joined its board. Based in Lichfield,
England, the seven-year-old company
is named after the team of helpers
who aid the matador in a bullfight.
Cuadrilla’s primary asset: the gov-
ernment-issued shale gas exploration
license for a huge chunk of the Bow-
land deposit in Lancashire, a county
in northwestern England. In Febru-
ary, the company said it planned to
apply to the local county council for
permits to frack eight exploratory
wells there, the biggest such opera-
tion to date in the U.K. The geology
looks so promising that in June, Cen-
trica Plc, a publicly traded energy
company based in Windsor, England,
bought a 25 percent interest in Cua-
drilla’s Bowland license for £40 mil-
lion and agreed to pay up to £120
dispatched that November to the oil
rush then dawning on Alaska’s for-
bidding North Slope. During the next
25 years, Browne managed some of
BP’s most-valued exploration and
production projects, including the
now-legendary Forties field in the
North Sea and deep-water explora-
tion in the Gulf of Mexico.
Browne kicked off the era of the oil
supermajor after he became CEO in
1995. In 1998, he executed the $62 bil-
lion takeover of Amoco Corp., the big-
gest oil deal of its kind up to then. The
next year, Exxon Corp. acquired Mo-
bil Corp. for $88 billion. Big Oil was in
full swing.
Browne broke from industry ortho-
doxy in 2000 by pledging to address
global warming with investments in
renewable energy projects. He short-
ened the company’s official name to
BP, adopted the slogan “Beyond pe-
troleum” and replaced the company’s
shield logo with a sunburst in green,
yellow and white.
Finding oil remained paramount,
and in the early 2000s, Browne—
abetted by his friend Tony Blair,
then–U.K. prime minister—negoti-
ated one-on-one with Russian Presi-
dent Vladimir Putin to open Siberia
in a big way to Western petroleum
companies. That led to the formation
in 2003 of TNK-BP, a joint venture
that has since unwound and left the
British company with a 20 percent
stake in OAO Rosneft, Russia’s No. 1
oil concern.
By 2006, Browne had become
one of the most influential oilmen
of his era and a member of the Brit-
ish establishment. He was enno-
bled by Elizabeth II in 2001, when
Blair was in office, as Lord Browne
of Madingley, after a village near
old energy | new ideas
IGas Energy’s 10-story-high rig
drills into the gas-rich Bowland-
Hodder formation.
‘cuadrilla is not doing this in the
national interest,’ says ian roberts,
co-founder of an anti-fracking
group. ‘it’s self-interest.’
bottom:benjaminrasmussen/bloombergmarkets
50 bloomberg markets May 2014
Denver-based oilman Chris Wright
says opposition by local residents in
England could stymie fracking there.
Cambridge where he lived. He served
as president of the Royal Academy
of Engineering, became a director of
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and was
a regular at the annual World Eco-
nomic Forum in Davos, Switzerland.
His green credentials got him her-
alded as “the Sun King” in a 2002
Financial Times profile.
Then a spate of disasters battered
Browne’s fortunes—and those of BP,
which began to lose its green luster.
In 2005, an explosion killed 15 BP
workers at a refinery near Houston
that had inadequate safety practices,
according to a commission led by for-
mer U.S. Secretary of State James
Baker. The next year, a BP pipeline in
Alaska dumped more than 212,000
gallons of crude onto the tundra.
Those events foreshadowed others
that occurred after Browne left BP,
including the worst oil spill in history,
the 2010 Deepwater Horizon rig
blowout in the Gulf of Mexico.
In January 2007, Browne, a gay
man who’d kept his sexual orienta-
tion a secret, faced a personal crisis. A
former boyfriend gave an account of
his relationship with the BP CEO to
the Mail on Sunday newspaper. Seek-
ing an injunction to block its publica-
tion, Browne misled the court, saying
in a witness statement that they’d
met while jogging in a park rather
than through an escort agency. He re-
signed as CEO on May 1, 2007.
Browne has now become an ad-
vocate for addressing homophobia
in the corporate world. He’s written
a book, The Glass Closet, to be pub-
lished in May by WH Allen, that tells
his own story and those of other men
and women who’ve struggled with
whether to come out in their pro-
fessional lives. “I wrote it because
I never want anyone to go through
what I went through,” he says.
In his new business incarnation,
Browne will seek to overcome the op-
position of many Britons who find
unconscionable his plans for their
densely populated island kingdom,
which is only slightly larger than
Minnesota. Because gas output from
shale typically falls 70 percent after
the first 12 months of operation, Cua-
drilla and other operators would have
to drill 2,000 to 3,000 new wells a
year to match the annual volume of
imported natural gas, says David
King, a former U.K. government chief
scientific adviser who’s now the For-
eign Office’s special representative
for climate change. “If you want to
keep up production, you have to keep
up fracking,” King told the House of
Lords Economic Affairs Committee
in January.
Dozens of community groups have
joined forces with environmental or-
ganizations to appeal to local county
councils not to approve fracking ap-
plications. In one stratagem organized
‘if I have to raise cows on radioactive
grass, who’s going to buy my milk?’
dairy farmer andrew pemberton
says. ‘I’m out of business.’
old energy | new ideas
Andrew Pemberton keeps 130 cows
on his dairy farm, which is located
downstream from a proposed drill site.
52 bloomberg markets May 2014
Argentina 
Canada 
Where the Shale Is
Twenty years after a Texas wildcatter named George Mitchell blasted shale
with water, energy firms are racing to frack the mineral for oil and natural
gas around the globe.
*Extractable quantities. Sources: Bloomberg, company reports, U.S. Energy Information Administration
Top shale gas finds*
(trillions of cubic feet)
1	China	 1,115
2	Argentina	 802
3	Algeria	 707
4	U.S.	 665
5	Canada	 573
Top shale oil finds*
(Billions of barrels)
1	Russia	 75
2	U.S.	 58
3	China	 32
4	Argentina	 27
5	Libya	 26
shale formations
containing oil and gas,
as of May 2013
The Marcellus mother lode is
expected to make the U.S. a net
exporter of gas by 2018.
players: EQT, Range Resources,
Southwestern Energy
4 2
U.S.  2 4
5
by Greenpeace, homeowners are ask-
ing the courts to block Cuadrilla and
other operators from drilling horizon-
tally under their land, a key maneuver
in fracking. Unlike in the U.S., Brit-
ish property owners don’t hold title to
the oil and gas under their land—the
Crown does. So drillers such as Cua-
drilla can’t win grass-roots support by
paying out royalties in exchange for
drilling rights, which is a crucial in-
strument U.S. operators have used to
lock up sites.
At the Manchester-area site oper-
ated by IGas, a London firm that’s
one-fifth owned by Hong Kong–based
explorer Cnooc Ltd., demonstrators
have been blocking an access road
and trying to slow delivery vehicles
since December. “It’s going to be
amazingly political,” says Garry
White, a spokesman for Charles
Stanley & Co., a London investment
firm that held 515,681 shares in IGas
as of March 10. “As projects get de-
layed, operators will have to raise
capital, so as a shareholder you have
to ask whether you’ll get diluted out.”
As of that date, IGas shares had re-
turned 26 percent in 12 months.
Browne says he’d rather face public
opprobrium, legal challenges and en-
vironmental regulations in Britain
than the political uncertainty that
prevails in other countries. “This is
the next place to go to,” Browne says.
“It’s easier than us going to China,
where there was a land-grab free-for-
all with lots of Chinese companies, or
Argentina, or India, or South Africa.
There are rules in Europe, and they
are slavishly applied. And we are
quite sure we can operate within
those rules.”
Browne’s shale bet will be decided
in a bucket-shaped piece of land
called the Fylde that juts into the
Irish Sea north of Liverpool. Framed
by the gritty seaside city of Blackpool
to the west and the moors of the Bow-
land Fells to the east, this coastal
plain is quilted with rich pastureland,
rural villages and some industry.
(Defense contractor BAE Systems Plc
assembles jet fighters here.) It sits on
a part of the Bowland shale that’s
1,800 meters (6,000 feet) thick.
Cuadrilla has been testing the rock
here since 2007. “We have no doubt
there’s a lot of gas here,” says Andrew
Quarles van Ufford, Cuadrilla’s tech-
nical director.
In 2010, Cuadrilla’s operations in
the Fylde got off to a shaky start—lit-
erally—when its drilling triggered
two tremors registering 2.3 and 1.5 on
the Richter scale. The events alarmed
old energy | new ideas
May 2014 bloomberg markets 53
1Russia 
5libya 
The Bowland-Hodder
formation may yield a 40-year
supply of natural gas for the U.K.
players: Cuadrilla Resources,
IGas, Total
The Bazhenov formation may double
Russia’s crude output.
players: Exxon Mobil, Lukoil, Rosneft
Australia’s little-explored
Canning Basin has
geology similar to
North Dakota’s booming
Bakken formation.
players: Apache, Buru
Energy, Mitsubishi
The Neuquen Basin
may multiply
Argentina’s oil
reserves eightfold.
players: Chevron,
Shell, YPF
China  3 1
Algeria  3
and chemical storage tanks. Up to
18,750 cubic meters of water pumped
into each well to frack the shale will
come back to the surface as mud and
wastewater, enough to fill about eight
Olympic-sized swimming pools for
each well. The assessment concludes
according to a strategic environmen-
tal assessment released by the U.K.
Department of Energy and Climate
Change in December. Tanker trucks
hauling water and equipment will
make dozens of trips every day to the
well sites, which will teem with rigs
local residents, and the national gov-
ernment declared a moratorium to
evaluate seismic risk, which has since
been lifted.
If the company eventually moves
to full-scale production, the Fylde
will become a less tranquil place,
54 bloomberg markets May 2014
that fracking may harm air quality,
contaminate groundwater and de-
spoil the landscape. It says regulators
and local officials can prevent these
adverse effects by making sure the
wells are properly constructed and
that wastewater is safely removed
from drilling sites.
That’s cold comfort for Andrew
Pemberton, a dairy farmer located
about 1½ kilometers south of one of
the proposed fracking sites. On a wet
February afternoon, Pemberton,
wearing blue coveralls and waterproof
Wellington boots, is churning up grass
and beets for his 130 milk cows in a
whirring machine that looks like a gi-
ant kitchen mixer. He says he’s anx-
ious because a network of dykes and
brooks drains his land southward: If
a well ruptured or wastewater spilled
upstream from his farm, it could con-
taminate his pastures.
What’s more, the U.K. Environ-
ment Agency found in 2011 that the
flowback water from Cuadrilla’s
fracked well contained high levels of
radium, a naturally occurring radio-
active byproduct of uranium that can
cause cancer. “I’m not a bloody tree-
hugger, but if I have to raise cows on
radioactive grass, who’s going to buy
my milk?” Pemberton, 57, says. “I’m
out of business.”
Browne says fracking and farming
can coexist because the shale lies
thousands of meters below the water
table. By making sure the wells re-
main intact, there will be little danger
that wastewater will leak near the
surface, he says. To minimize the sur-
face area of land affected by drill
sites, Cuadrilla plans to bore two to
four lateral underground shafts from
each vertical well. “We’ll have to be
very thoughtful here about how much
land we use on top of the shale; this is
not Texas,” Browne says. “Public
pressure is an amazing innovator of
technology.”
Even so, government and industry
are using old-fashioned largess to
win fracking support. In January,
Prime Minister Cameron announced
that county councils would be enti-
tled to keep 100 percent of the taxes
drillers pay—twice what municipal
bodies normally collect. The U.K. On-
shore Operators Group, the industry
lobby, pledged to pay £100,000 per
well to boroughs and villages. In Lan-
cashire, Cuadrilla has sponsored soc-
cer teams, a theater group and a
young engineers contest for students
with a prize of £10,000 for the win-
ning high school.
Ian Roberts, co-founder of Resi-
dents Action on Fylde Fracking, de-
cries these gestures as “bribes.” His
organization is urging the Lancashire
County Council to reject Cuadrilla’s
fracking applications in coming
months. “Cuadrilla is not doing this
in the national interest; it’s self-in-
terest,” says Roberts, a retired hu-
man resources manager at HM
Revenue & Customs, the British tax
collection agency. “We still have the
power to stop it,” adds Tina Rothery,
another leader of the group.
Viewed from abroad, this sort of
local opposition is off-putting for en-
ergy companies. Liberty Resources’
Wright says it presents an obstacle
to development. “I looked at the
Bowland four years ago, but the pro-
cess in England has been very slow
and cumbersome, and that’s because
the locals aren’t on board yet,”
Wright says.
As Browne sizes up the challenge
before him, he reflects on how a
technique promoted by a Texas wild-
catter named George Mitchell in the
early 1990s is changing the world’s
biggest industry. Shale, a mineral
composed primarily of quartz and
clay that happens to be a superb con-
tainer for oil and gas molecules, is
everywhere. And as nations around
the globe grasp the potential for
greater energy independence, there’s
little chance they’ll leave their shale
untouched.
For Browne, the engineer son of an
oilman, exploration has always been
about measuring the probabilities:
You focus on a promising piece of
ground, analyze the rock and drill test
wells. Browne says fracking is inevita-
ble. “When you look at the balance of
risk and reward, it’s evident that this
is something that’s going to be done,”
he says. And whether his compatriots
like it or not, Browne’s test well is
Britain.
edward robinson is a senior writer
at bloomberg markets in london.
edrobinson@bloomberg.net
You can use the Bloomberg Industries natural gas production dashboard to
find research and data related to European shale gas. Type BI NGASE <Go>
and click on Themes. Scroll down to the theme entitled “The Challenge
From Shale Gas in Europe” and click on it to display recent research pieces.
For information on the portfolio of Riverstone Holdings, John Browne’s
private-equity firm, type 312903Z US <Equity> DES <Go> and click on Port-
folio. To watch a recent appearance by Browne on Charlie Rose, type NSN
N27U0R6S972R <Go> 97 <Go>. JON ASMUNDSSON
Digging into shaleBloombergTıps
‘when you look at the balance of
risk and reward, it’s evident that
this is something that’s going to
be done,’ browne says.
old energy | new ideas

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Fracking the UK

  • 1. John Browne says drillers will have to be ‘very thoughtful’ about the land atop the shale formations.
  • 2. By Edward Robinson photographs By alan clarke former bp ceo John Browne has become the controversial face of hydraulic fracturing, which his opponents say could despoil the U.K. landscape, including the lancashire hills. bloomberg markets 41 old energy | new ideas
  • 3. 42 bloomberg markets May 2014 is pelting about 30 protesters who’ve converged at the gate of a natural gas drilling site near Manchester, Eng- land. On the other side of a fence topped with razor wire, a 10-story- high rig is boring into shale to deter- mine if it’s suitable for hydraulic fracturing, or fracking. The demon- strators unfurl a banner: “Fracking will poison our children.” As a pha- lanx of police officers pushes the pro- testers back, a convoy of supply trucks inches out of the gate and past an encampment of tents and trailers sporting placards decrying the drill- ing practice. “Fracking will not lower gas prices, Lord Browne,” one reads on this January morning. The following week, the man the protesters call “the fracking czar” is seated in a solariumlike conference room overlooking the rooftops of Mayfair in central London. John Browne, a former chief executive offi- cer of oil giant BP Plc, is clad in a crisp, white dress shirt, enameled cuff links, a royal-blue necktie and dark trousers. Browne, an independent member of the House of Lords and a nonexecutive director in the U.K. government’s Cabinet Office, is lamenting how the protests may slow his efforts to bring America’s shale boom to Britain. Browne says fracking would secure a new domestic energy source, create thousands of jobs, generate billions of pounds in tax revenue and be a far cheaper alternative than constructing nuclearplants.“Shalegascouldbevery, very important for this country; it could be transformative,” says Browne, 66, who’s now chairman of Cuadrilla Resources Ltd., a British exploration firm that plans to frack the English countryside. “It’s like the opening of Alaska or western Siberia or the Gulf of Mexico.” Browne, who was trained as a pe- troleum engineer, played a part in each of those pivotal events during 38 years at BP, including 12 as CEO. Now, seven years after leaving BP, he’s at the forefront of a push by major en- ergy companies and wildcatters to take fracking global. Hydraulic frac- turing—in which drillers blast water, sand and chemicals into shale deep beneath the earth to release oil and natural gas—is revolutionizing the energy game in the world’s No. 1 econ- omy: After steadily declining for about 25 years, U.S. oil production surged 47 percent from 2008 to 2013, according to data compiled by Bloom- berg. And the Department of Energy forecasts that the U.S., which im- ported 6 percent of the gas it used in 2012, will be a net exporter of the hy- drocarbon by 2018. Even as evidence mounts that fracking operations drain aquifers and spew methane into the air, energy firms are fanning out across mam- moth shale deposits in China, Russia, India, South Africa, Australia, Argen- tina and elsewhere. Royal Dutch Shell Plc, based in The Hague, has joined forces with Beijing-based China Pe- troleum & Chemical Corp., or Sino- pec, in central and southern China to exploit the world’s largest shale gas– laden formations. And San Ramon, California–based Chevron Corp. has agreed to invest as much as $16 bil- lion in partnership with YPF SA, Ar- gentina’s state oil producer, to drill in the Vaca Muerta formation near the Andes. That deposit alone could mul- tiply the South American nation’s oil reserves eightfold and make it a power in natural gas exports, accord- ing to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, or EIA. U.S. wildcatters, who started the shale boom in the mid-2000s, are ready to pounce now that Mexican President Enrique Pena Nieto has opened his country to foreign petro- leum investment. One choice target: the gas-rich Eagle Ford formation that snakes from Texas into the Mex- ican state of Tamaulipas. “It’s the best shale play in Texas, but when you hit Mexico, there’s no activity,” says Chris Wright, CEO of Liberty Re- sources II LLC, a Denver-based pro- ducer that fracks oil in North Dakota. old energy | new ideas
  • 4. May 2014 bloomberg markets 43 openingspread:groomer:khandizjoni Even relatively small Britain is sit- ting on a gas mother lode. The Bow- land-Hodder formation, a belt of shale that stretches across England’s midsection, holds more than 37 tril- lion cubic meters (1,300 trillion cu- bic feet) of natural gas, according to estimates from the British Geolog- ical Survey. That’s almost the same size as the Marcellus deposit under the Appalachian Mountains, the No. 1 shale gas find in the U.S. The mineral is so impermeable that it yields only a fraction of its hydrocarbons to pro- ducers. The Marcellus is on course to give up about 9 percent, according to data from the Marcellus Center for Outreach and Research at Pennsyl- vania State University in University Park. If the Bowland performs sim- ilarly, Britain will have enough gas to meet its needs for more than 40 years, according to data from the BGS and the EIA. Such a windfall would be welcome in a country that expects to import 70 percent of its natural gas by 2020 as its North Sea reserves dwindle, says Michael Fallon, the U.K. energy min- ister. “Shale gas is coming to the U.K. one way or another,” says Fallon, Prime Minister David Cameron’s point man on shale gas development. “It would be far nicer if it came from underneath Britain rather than be imported from the U.S. or elsewhere.” Later this year, the U.K. government plans to issue a new round of oil and gas exploration licenses for an area covering about 60 percent of Eng- land, Scotland and Wales. The shale boom is striking as the world’s leading economies struggle to find a balance between promoting economic growth and addressing cli- mate change. The U.S., the European Union and China, among others, have vowed to reduce greenhouse gas emissions over the next two decades by relying more on wind, sunlight and other renewable resources. In the midst of a brutal winter that left re- cord snowfall and flooding in the Northern Hemisphere, the European Commission in January proposed re- ducing carbon dioxide emissions to 40 percent below 1990 levels by 2030. Yet soaring demand for energy worldwide will require an investment of about $37 trillion over the next 21 years on new infrastructure for elec- tricity and fuel production, according to the Paris-based International En- ergy Agency. Forecasting that renew- able sources would account for just 18 percent of energy usage by 2035, compared with 13 percent in 2011, it suggested the world may be entering a “Golden Age of Gas.” “We are defi- nitely going to have to burn hydrocar- bons for a considerable amount of time; we have no choice,” says Browne, who became the first CEO of an oil major to acknowledge that fos- sil fuels contributed to climate change, in a 1997 speech he gave at Stanford University. Even the green-leaning EU may find shale irresistible, says Fadel Gheit, an oil industry analyst at Oppenheimer & Co. in New York. Natural gas, which is composed pri- marily of methane, emits half the carbon dioxide of coal when burned in power plants, according to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. It could offer the 28-nation bloc relief from steep energy prices. Eu- ropean manufacturers pay more than twice what they would in the U.S. for electricity, the European Commis- sion says. Then there’s the Russia angle. The EU imports about 30 percent of its natural gas from its neighbor to the ‘shale gas could be very, very important for this country,’ former bp ceo john browne says. ‘it could be transformative.’ A drilling-site protest near Manchester, England. Activists, left to right, opposite, gave their names as Beth, Gigi, Mac, Maggie and John-Jo.
  • 5. Toptobottom:JOHNNYEGGITT/AFP/GettyImages;RalphCrane/Time&LifePictures/GettyImages;HultonArchive/GettyImages;GillesBASSIGNAC/Gamma-RaphoviaGettyImages 44 bloomberg markets May 2014 east, with several pipelines traversing strife-torn Ukraine on Russia’s south- west flank. On March 3, natural gas futures in Germany, the U.K. and other European markets spiked as much as 10 percent as Russian troops took control of Ukraine’s Crimea region. Europe’s vulnerability contrasts with the energy security that the U.S. has derived from its shale bonanza. Following approval from the Obama administration, American producers will begin exporting natural gas in 2015. Meanwhile, U.S. Senator Lisa Murkowski, an Alaska Republican, is leading an effort for suspension of the 39-year-old ban on oil exports. The State Department’s Bureau of Energy Resources, formed in 2011, plans to use American hydrocarbons as a new tool of foreign policy. Browne says the upheaval in Ukraine should spur European politi- cal leaders to clear the way for shale gas. “I hope this reminds people that having indigenous sources is a good thing,” he says. Germany, Spain and the Scandinavian nations have ap- proved shale exploration, and Cua- drilla has leased sites in the Netherlands. “John Browne is on the right track,” Gheit says. “Fracking has transformed our thinking in the U.S. about our energy future. And Europe will have to finally wake up and real- ize that it needs to make some hard choices about developing its own do- mestic resources.” Renewable energy advocates coun- ter that shale gas may deepen depen- dence on hydrocarbons and worsen global warming. The impact of meth- ane, in its unburned form, on climate change is 20 times that of carbon di- oxide, according to the EPA. In Au- gust, a study conducted by scientists from the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration found that natural gas wells in Utah were re- leasing 6 to 12 percent of their output into the air. Such leakage could erase the ad- vantage natural gas has over coal, says Nicholas Stern, chairman of the Grantham Research Institute on Cli- mate Change and the Environment at the London School of Economics and Political Science. He says he’s con- cerned policy makers will embrace shale at the expense of alternatives such as wind and solar power. “It is important that policies to encourage the development of shale gas do not create uncertainty and undermine the confidence of investors about the future for low-carbon energy sources in the U.K.,” Stern said in an e-mailed response to questions. “It would not be helpful, for instance, if the promo- tion of shale gas by the government slowed down the deployment of wind farms.” U.K. Energy Minister Fallon says the government remains com- mitted to renewable energy, citing the 66 million pounds ($110 million) in investments it’s making to spur the development of offshore wind farms and other projects. Even if natural gas supplants coal in the U.K. or throughout the EU, the dirtier fossil fuel will still be burned elsewhere, says Matthew Spencer, the director of Green Alliance, a London- based environmental group. U.S. coal exports to Brazil, Germany and other markets have doubled since fracking took off in 2005, as American utilities have opted for cheap natural gas, ac- cording to the DOE. Spencer says the influx of shale gas may have the per- verse effect of forcing coal producers to lower prices to compete. That, in turn, will make coal more attractive to burn, increasing carbon dioxide emissions, the No. 1 cause of atmo- spheric warming, according to the EPA. “Even though gas is a cleaner fuel, the growth of shale runs a loco- motive through our attempts to limit climate change,” Spencer says. “If shale gas development isn’t accompa- nied by a constraint of coal, then it’s going to be a disaster.” Browne’s shale play vaults him into the center of yet another historic shift in the global energy industry. Only this time he’s not running a company with 97,000 employees that ‘if shale gas development isn’t accompanied by a constraint of coal, then it’s going to be a disaster,’ green alliance’s spencer says. 1969 Posted to Alaska’s North Slope as a petroleum engineer for BP. 1981 Manages oil production from the Forties field in the North Sea off Scotland. 1988 Leads BP’s deep-water exploration of the Gulf of Mexico. 1997 Becomes the first industry head to acknowledge climate change. Three years later, he refurbishes the company logo. 2003 Forges a joint British- Russian oil venture, TNK-BP, winning over President Vladimir Putin. 2014 Leads the fracking push in the U.K. against strong public opposition. Source: Bloomberg Browne’s Pivot Points His 45-year career mirrors the evolution of the modern oil industry. old energy | new ideas
  • 6. 46 bloomberg markets May 2014 million in exploration costs. Cuadrilla paid £1,000 for the license. Browne has become the face of fracking in the U.K.—so much so that the protesters at the drilling site near Manchester singled him out even though another company, IGas Energy Plc, not Cuadrilla, is the operator there. Browne has been steepedinthepetroleumtradesincehe spent part of his childhood amid Iran’s oil fields. His father, John, worked for BP, and his mother, Paula, a Hungarian of Jewish descent who was imprisoned in Auschwitz, was a hatmaker. Browne says one of his most vivid boyhood memories is of a well fire that burned for more than a month. After earning a degree in physics from the University of Cambridge in 1969, Browne joined British Pe- troleum as a field engineer and was produced almost 4 million barrels of oil equivalent a day in more than 100 countries. Today, Browne, an elegant man with wavy brown hair and amused eyes, is a partner at River- stone Holdings LLC, a New York– based private-equity firm with $27 billion invested in energy companies ranging from biofuel makers to pipe- line operators. In 2010, a Riverstone fund acquired a 41 percent stake in Cuadrilla for $58 million, and Browne joined its board. Based in Lichfield, England, the seven-year-old company is named after the team of helpers who aid the matador in a bullfight. Cuadrilla’s primary asset: the gov- ernment-issued shale gas exploration license for a huge chunk of the Bow- land deposit in Lancashire, a county in northwestern England. In Febru- ary, the company said it planned to apply to the local county council for permits to frack eight exploratory wells there, the biggest such opera- tion to date in the U.K. The geology looks so promising that in June, Cen- trica Plc, a publicly traded energy company based in Windsor, England, bought a 25 percent interest in Cua- drilla’s Bowland license for £40 mil- lion and agreed to pay up to £120 dispatched that November to the oil rush then dawning on Alaska’s for- bidding North Slope. During the next 25 years, Browne managed some of BP’s most-valued exploration and production projects, including the now-legendary Forties field in the North Sea and deep-water explora- tion in the Gulf of Mexico. Browne kicked off the era of the oil supermajor after he became CEO in 1995. In 1998, he executed the $62 bil- lion takeover of Amoco Corp., the big- gest oil deal of its kind up to then. The next year, Exxon Corp. acquired Mo- bil Corp. for $88 billion. Big Oil was in full swing. Browne broke from industry ortho- doxy in 2000 by pledging to address global warming with investments in renewable energy projects. He short- ened the company’s official name to BP, adopted the slogan “Beyond pe- troleum” and replaced the company’s shield logo with a sunburst in green, yellow and white. Finding oil remained paramount, and in the early 2000s, Browne— abetted by his friend Tony Blair, then–U.K. prime minister—negoti- ated one-on-one with Russian Presi- dent Vladimir Putin to open Siberia in a big way to Western petroleum companies. That led to the formation in 2003 of TNK-BP, a joint venture that has since unwound and left the British company with a 20 percent stake in OAO Rosneft, Russia’s No. 1 oil concern. By 2006, Browne had become one of the most influential oilmen of his era and a member of the Brit- ish establishment. He was enno- bled by Elizabeth II in 2001, when Blair was in office, as Lord Browne of Madingley, after a village near old energy | new ideas IGas Energy’s 10-story-high rig drills into the gas-rich Bowland- Hodder formation. ‘cuadrilla is not doing this in the national interest,’ says ian roberts, co-founder of an anti-fracking group. ‘it’s self-interest.’
  • 7. bottom:benjaminrasmussen/bloombergmarkets 50 bloomberg markets May 2014 Denver-based oilman Chris Wright says opposition by local residents in England could stymie fracking there. Cambridge where he lived. He served as president of the Royal Academy of Engineering, became a director of Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and was a regular at the annual World Eco- nomic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. His green credentials got him her- alded as “the Sun King” in a 2002 Financial Times profile. Then a spate of disasters battered Browne’s fortunes—and those of BP, which began to lose its green luster. In 2005, an explosion killed 15 BP workers at a refinery near Houston that had inadequate safety practices, according to a commission led by for- mer U.S. Secretary of State James Baker. The next year, a BP pipeline in Alaska dumped more than 212,000 gallons of crude onto the tundra. Those events foreshadowed others that occurred after Browne left BP, including the worst oil spill in history, the 2010 Deepwater Horizon rig blowout in the Gulf of Mexico. In January 2007, Browne, a gay man who’d kept his sexual orienta- tion a secret, faced a personal crisis. A former boyfriend gave an account of his relationship with the BP CEO to the Mail on Sunday newspaper. Seek- ing an injunction to block its publica- tion, Browne misled the court, saying in a witness statement that they’d met while jogging in a park rather than through an escort agency. He re- signed as CEO on May 1, 2007. Browne has now become an ad- vocate for addressing homophobia in the corporate world. He’s written a book, The Glass Closet, to be pub- lished in May by WH Allen, that tells his own story and those of other men and women who’ve struggled with whether to come out in their pro- fessional lives. “I wrote it because I never want anyone to go through what I went through,” he says. In his new business incarnation, Browne will seek to overcome the op- position of many Britons who find unconscionable his plans for their densely populated island kingdom, which is only slightly larger than Minnesota. Because gas output from shale typically falls 70 percent after the first 12 months of operation, Cua- drilla and other operators would have to drill 2,000 to 3,000 new wells a year to match the annual volume of imported natural gas, says David King, a former U.K. government chief scientific adviser who’s now the For- eign Office’s special representative for climate change. “If you want to keep up production, you have to keep up fracking,” King told the House of Lords Economic Affairs Committee in January. Dozens of community groups have joined forces with environmental or- ganizations to appeal to local county councils not to approve fracking ap- plications. In one stratagem organized ‘if I have to raise cows on radioactive grass, who’s going to buy my milk?’ dairy farmer andrew pemberton says. ‘I’m out of business.’ old energy | new ideas Andrew Pemberton keeps 130 cows on his dairy farm, which is located downstream from a proposed drill site.
  • 8. 52 bloomberg markets May 2014 Argentina  Canada  Where the Shale Is Twenty years after a Texas wildcatter named George Mitchell blasted shale with water, energy firms are racing to frack the mineral for oil and natural gas around the globe. *Extractable quantities. Sources: Bloomberg, company reports, U.S. Energy Information Administration Top shale gas finds* (trillions of cubic feet) 1 China 1,115 2 Argentina 802 3 Algeria 707 4 U.S. 665 5 Canada 573 Top shale oil finds* (Billions of barrels) 1 Russia 75 2 U.S. 58 3 China 32 4 Argentina 27 5 Libya 26 shale formations containing oil and gas, as of May 2013 The Marcellus mother lode is expected to make the U.S. a net exporter of gas by 2018. players: EQT, Range Resources, Southwestern Energy 4 2 U.S.  2 4 5 by Greenpeace, homeowners are ask- ing the courts to block Cuadrilla and other operators from drilling horizon- tally under their land, a key maneuver in fracking. Unlike in the U.S., Brit- ish property owners don’t hold title to the oil and gas under their land—the Crown does. So drillers such as Cua- drilla can’t win grass-roots support by paying out royalties in exchange for drilling rights, which is a crucial in- strument U.S. operators have used to lock up sites. At the Manchester-area site oper- ated by IGas, a London firm that’s one-fifth owned by Hong Kong–based explorer Cnooc Ltd., demonstrators have been blocking an access road and trying to slow delivery vehicles since December. “It’s going to be amazingly political,” says Garry White, a spokesman for Charles Stanley & Co., a London investment firm that held 515,681 shares in IGas as of March 10. “As projects get de- layed, operators will have to raise capital, so as a shareholder you have to ask whether you’ll get diluted out.” As of that date, IGas shares had re- turned 26 percent in 12 months. Browne says he’d rather face public opprobrium, legal challenges and en- vironmental regulations in Britain than the political uncertainty that prevails in other countries. “This is the next place to go to,” Browne says. “It’s easier than us going to China, where there was a land-grab free-for- all with lots of Chinese companies, or Argentina, or India, or South Africa. There are rules in Europe, and they are slavishly applied. And we are quite sure we can operate within those rules.” Browne’s shale bet will be decided in a bucket-shaped piece of land called the Fylde that juts into the Irish Sea north of Liverpool. Framed by the gritty seaside city of Blackpool to the west and the moors of the Bow- land Fells to the east, this coastal plain is quilted with rich pastureland, rural villages and some industry. (Defense contractor BAE Systems Plc assembles jet fighters here.) It sits on a part of the Bowland shale that’s 1,800 meters (6,000 feet) thick. Cuadrilla has been testing the rock here since 2007. “We have no doubt there’s a lot of gas here,” says Andrew Quarles van Ufford, Cuadrilla’s tech- nical director. In 2010, Cuadrilla’s operations in the Fylde got off to a shaky start—lit- erally—when its drilling triggered two tremors registering 2.3 and 1.5 on the Richter scale. The events alarmed old energy | new ideas
  • 9. May 2014 bloomberg markets 53 1Russia  5libya  The Bowland-Hodder formation may yield a 40-year supply of natural gas for the U.K. players: Cuadrilla Resources, IGas, Total The Bazhenov formation may double Russia’s crude output. players: Exxon Mobil, Lukoil, Rosneft Australia’s little-explored Canning Basin has geology similar to North Dakota’s booming Bakken formation. players: Apache, Buru Energy, Mitsubishi The Neuquen Basin may multiply Argentina’s oil reserves eightfold. players: Chevron, Shell, YPF China  3 1 Algeria  3 and chemical storage tanks. Up to 18,750 cubic meters of water pumped into each well to frack the shale will come back to the surface as mud and wastewater, enough to fill about eight Olympic-sized swimming pools for each well. The assessment concludes according to a strategic environmen- tal assessment released by the U.K. Department of Energy and Climate Change in December. Tanker trucks hauling water and equipment will make dozens of trips every day to the well sites, which will teem with rigs local residents, and the national gov- ernment declared a moratorium to evaluate seismic risk, which has since been lifted. If the company eventually moves to full-scale production, the Fylde will become a less tranquil place,
  • 10. 54 bloomberg markets May 2014 that fracking may harm air quality, contaminate groundwater and de- spoil the landscape. It says regulators and local officials can prevent these adverse effects by making sure the wells are properly constructed and that wastewater is safely removed from drilling sites. That’s cold comfort for Andrew Pemberton, a dairy farmer located about 1½ kilometers south of one of the proposed fracking sites. On a wet February afternoon, Pemberton, wearing blue coveralls and waterproof Wellington boots, is churning up grass and beets for his 130 milk cows in a whirring machine that looks like a gi- ant kitchen mixer. He says he’s anx- ious because a network of dykes and brooks drains his land southward: If a well ruptured or wastewater spilled upstream from his farm, it could con- taminate his pastures. What’s more, the U.K. Environ- ment Agency found in 2011 that the flowback water from Cuadrilla’s fracked well contained high levels of radium, a naturally occurring radio- active byproduct of uranium that can cause cancer. “I’m not a bloody tree- hugger, but if I have to raise cows on radioactive grass, who’s going to buy my milk?” Pemberton, 57, says. “I’m out of business.” Browne says fracking and farming can coexist because the shale lies thousands of meters below the water table. By making sure the wells re- main intact, there will be little danger that wastewater will leak near the surface, he says. To minimize the sur- face area of land affected by drill sites, Cuadrilla plans to bore two to four lateral underground shafts from each vertical well. “We’ll have to be very thoughtful here about how much land we use on top of the shale; this is not Texas,” Browne says. “Public pressure is an amazing innovator of technology.” Even so, government and industry are using old-fashioned largess to win fracking support. In January, Prime Minister Cameron announced that county councils would be enti- tled to keep 100 percent of the taxes drillers pay—twice what municipal bodies normally collect. The U.K. On- shore Operators Group, the industry lobby, pledged to pay £100,000 per well to boroughs and villages. In Lan- cashire, Cuadrilla has sponsored soc- cer teams, a theater group and a young engineers contest for students with a prize of £10,000 for the win- ning high school. Ian Roberts, co-founder of Resi- dents Action on Fylde Fracking, de- cries these gestures as “bribes.” His organization is urging the Lancashire County Council to reject Cuadrilla’s fracking applications in coming months. “Cuadrilla is not doing this in the national interest; it’s self-in- terest,” says Roberts, a retired hu- man resources manager at HM Revenue & Customs, the British tax collection agency. “We still have the power to stop it,” adds Tina Rothery, another leader of the group. Viewed from abroad, this sort of local opposition is off-putting for en- ergy companies. Liberty Resources’ Wright says it presents an obstacle to development. “I looked at the Bowland four years ago, but the pro- cess in England has been very slow and cumbersome, and that’s because the locals aren’t on board yet,” Wright says. As Browne sizes up the challenge before him, he reflects on how a technique promoted by a Texas wild- catter named George Mitchell in the early 1990s is changing the world’s biggest industry. Shale, a mineral composed primarily of quartz and clay that happens to be a superb con- tainer for oil and gas molecules, is everywhere. And as nations around the globe grasp the potential for greater energy independence, there’s little chance they’ll leave their shale untouched. For Browne, the engineer son of an oilman, exploration has always been about measuring the probabilities: You focus on a promising piece of ground, analyze the rock and drill test wells. Browne says fracking is inevita- ble. “When you look at the balance of risk and reward, it’s evident that this is something that’s going to be done,” he says. And whether his compatriots like it or not, Browne’s test well is Britain. edward robinson is a senior writer at bloomberg markets in london. edrobinson@bloomberg.net You can use the Bloomberg Industries natural gas production dashboard to find research and data related to European shale gas. Type BI NGASE <Go> and click on Themes. Scroll down to the theme entitled “The Challenge From Shale Gas in Europe” and click on it to display recent research pieces. For information on the portfolio of Riverstone Holdings, John Browne’s private-equity firm, type 312903Z US <Equity> DES <Go> and click on Port- folio. To watch a recent appearance by Browne on Charlie Rose, type NSN N27U0R6S972R <Go> 97 <Go>. JON ASMUNDSSON Digging into shaleBloombergTıps ‘when you look at the balance of risk and reward, it’s evident that this is something that’s going to be done,’ browne says. old energy | new ideas