A presentation on how Eurocontrol is using SAS to forecast flight traffic. See http://www.business-analytics.biz

1. Forecasting Flight Traffic at Eurocontrol in Unprecedented Times Dr David Marsh Manager, Forecasting and Analysis EUROCONTROL Andrew Pease Analytics Solutions Manager SAS EMEA Data Management and Analytics CoE

2. Let’s take a ride…

4. Eurocontrol Gonna’ Work It Out….

7. Constantly Growing Challenge Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2009 Medium-Term Forecast Statistics Short-Term Forecast Forecast Monitor Industry Monitor Long-Term Forecast Traffic Analysis Facts-on-Demand Service Unit Forecast

9. Second Technical Challenge: Generating Thousands of Forecasts Original Seasonal Trend-Cycle Irregular

10. Third Technical Challenge: Regularly Publishing Results in Reports

12. Back To Forecasting: Three Forecasts, Many Techniques Trends Economy Low-Cost Carriers Airport Capacity High-Speed Train Load Factors, Aircraft Size Price Demography, Hubbing Free Trade, Open Skies Environment... + + Short- Term Medium- Term Long- Term 1 – 2 years 7 years 20 years

14. Importance of different factors in Long-Term Forecast