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The global economy experienced its deepest recession since WWII in late 2008 and early 2009, as evidenced by double-digit declines in GDP across major economies like the US, Japan, Germany, and South Africa. Exports also contracted sharply in countries like China and Brazil. The World Bank President called for increased financial aid to developing countries impacted by a crisis they did not cause, and emphasized that empowering developing economies and helping them pursue long-term prosperity should be the goal of development finance. Commodity prices significantly declined from recent highs, with oil falling over 60% and wheat dropping over 70%, while gold held steady and alternative energy sources like corn lost value.
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2008 Recession
The document discusses the 2008 recession and its causes and impacts. It notes that while a recession is technically defined as declining economic activity over several months, the US was likely already in a recession. It identifies several factors contributing to the recession, including households having no savings, consumers being out of available credit, lower economic activity following interest rate cuts in 2001, and increased government spending driven by the wars in Iraq. It also discusses risks like rising inflation if the dollar declines in value or demand for treasury bonds decreases.
Recession 2008
The document discusses the 2008 recession and defines what constitutes a recession. It states that a recession is when a country's GDP decreases for two consecutive quarters. It then explains some of the key causes of recessions, including overproduction when supply exceeds demand, and a loss of confidence among consumers and producers that leads to a reduction in spending. Finally, it outlines some actions governments and central banks can take to try to stimulate the economy and recover from a recession, such as fiscal policies like tax cuts, and monetary policies that aim to increase the money supply.
Recession 2008 : Comparison with The Great Depression
The document compares the 2008 recession to the Great Depression of the 1930s. It discusses the causes of each event, including the housing bubble and subprime mortgage crisis that contributed to the 2008 recession. For the Great Depression, it mentions the 1929 stock market crash, bank failures, reduction in purchasing, American economic policies, and drought conditions as causes. Both events led to declines in GDP, increases in unemployment, and changes in prices - inflation during the recession and deflation during the depression. The document provides an overview of the key economic impacts of each historical downturn.
Global Economic Outlook
The document summarizes the current state of the global economy and forecasts what may happen in the near future. It notes that the US is entering its deepest recession in decades due to the housing market crash and falling consumer spending. However, Asian economies are less dependent on US demand and continue growing rapidly, making Asia the main driver of global economic growth. While a US recession will impact Asia, the effects are expected to be smaller than in previous downturns due to Asia's growing domestic demand and trade with other regions. Over the long run, the economic shift towards Asia will further weaken the US dollar and American influence on the global economy.
Japans Economy Oleh Bilyy
Japan's economy has slowed with a 4.6% drop in the Nikkei and shrinking GDP for two consecutive quarters. As the second largest economy, a recession in Japan could significantly impact the global economy. However, others argue that even a severe Japanese recession may have limited effects because Japan only accounts for 13% of global GDP. Japan benefited from close ties to the US during the Cold War, but now faces economic problems as exports, especially of cars, electronics, and computers, have declined. International trade, particularly with countries like the US, Taiwan, and South Korea, remains important for Japan's economy.
Sior 2016
The document discusses recent economic and market trends. It notes that the current US economic expansion is the third longest on record. While corporate profits are flat and consumer confidence varies, indicators like small business hiring plans and the leading economic index remain positive. Real estate investment and pricing outlooks are mixed, with continued home price growth expected but less foreign buying pressure. Pension funds are increasing their real estate allocations as other asset classes underperform. Low inflation and interest rates globally are prompting further monetary stimulus. Commodity price declines are hurting resource-dependent economies.
Recession
The document discusses recessions and business cycles. It defines a recession as a significant decline in national output (GDP) that typically lasts 6-18 months. Recessions increase unemployment as firms hire fewer workers when production declines. The business cycle refers to the economy regularly fluctuating between periods of growth (booms) and contraction (recessions). While called a "cycle," the fluctuations can be unpredictable in length. A depression is a more severe economic downturn than a recession, as seen in the Great Depression in the US. The Great Recession of 2008 was the worst global recession since WWII. Potential causes of recessions discussed include high interest rates, high inflation, and reduced consumer confidence.
Global Recession Of 2007
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2008 Recession
The document discusses the 2008 recession and its causes and impacts. It notes that while a recession is technically defined as declining economic activity over several months, the US was likely already in a recession. It identifies several factors contributing to the recession, including households having no savings, consumers being out of available credit, lower economic activity following interest rate cuts in 2001, and increased government spending driven by the wars in Iraq. It also discusses risks like rising inflation if the dollar declines in value or demand for treasury bonds decreases.
Recession 2008
The document discusses the 2008 recession and defines what constitutes a recession. It states that a recession is when a country's GDP decreases for two consecutive quarters. It then explains some of the key causes of recessions, including overproduction when supply exceeds demand, and a loss of confidence among consumers and producers that leads to a reduction in spending. Finally, it outlines some actions governments and central banks can take to try to stimulate the economy and recover from a recession, such as fiscal policies like tax cuts, and monetary policies that aim to increase the money supply.
Recession 2008 : Comparison with The Great Depression
The document compares the 2008 recession to the Great Depression of the 1930s. It discusses the causes of each event, including the housing bubble and subprime mortgage crisis that contributed to the 2008 recession. For the Great Depression, it mentions the 1929 stock market crash, bank failures, reduction in purchasing, American economic policies, and drought conditions as causes. Both events led to declines in GDP, increases in unemployment, and changes in prices - inflation during the recession and deflation during the depression. The document provides an overview of the key economic impacts of each historical downturn.
Global Economic Outlook
The document summarizes the current state of the global economy and forecasts what may happen in the near future. It notes that the US is entering its deepest recession in decades due to the housing market crash and falling consumer spending. However, Asian economies are less dependent on US demand and continue growing rapidly, making Asia the main driver of global economic growth. While a US recession will impact Asia, the effects are expected to be smaller than in previous downturns due to Asia's growing domestic demand and trade with other regions. Over the long run, the economic shift towards Asia will further weaken the US dollar and American influence on the global economy.
Japans Economy Oleh Bilyy
Japan's economy has slowed with a 4.6% drop in the Nikkei and shrinking GDP for two consecutive quarters. As the second largest economy, a recession in Japan could significantly impact the global economy. However, others argue that even a severe Japanese recession may have limited effects because Japan only accounts for 13% of global GDP. Japan benefited from close ties to the US during the Cold War, but now faces economic problems as exports, especially of cars, electronics, and computers, have declined. International trade, particularly with countries like the US, Taiwan, and South Korea, remains important for Japan's economy.
Sior 2016
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Recession
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Global Forecasting December 2010
The global economic recovery is slowing, with weak private sector job growth causing concern. However, additional fiscal stimulus in 2011 will support growth and prevent recession. Inflation remains low while excess housing supply will further reduce home prices. Europe is recovering but the fiscal crisis raises risks, and unemployment is only moderate due to wage subsidies. Export performance in Japan will deteriorate in 2011 due to slowing Chinese growth and yen strength. Chinese growth has been supported by stimulus but this has exacerbated imbalances.
Dec 2010 EIU Global Economic Forecast
The global economic recovery is slowing in 2011, with weak private sector job growth and downward pressure on housing prices posing concerns. While inflation remains low, fiscal stimulus programs will support growth. Europe is recovering but the fiscal crisis raises risks, and Greece may need to restructure its debt. Export growth in Japan will decline due to slowing Chinese growth and currency strength. Chinese growth has been driven by stimulus but imbalances remain a problem.
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The presentation predicts the influence of ASEAN power!
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The document discusses recessions over time and analyzes the current global recession of 2009. It compares factors like duration, impact on unemployment and GDP, and leading economic indicators. While the 2009 recession is more widespread than previous recessions, emerging economies like India and China are still expected to see growth. The recovery may take until 2014, led by growth returning to China and India, but the conditions of the 2009 recession are not expected to be as severe as the Great Depression.
devaluation of Japaneses currency
Japan devalued the yen to boost exports and employment by making Japanese goods cheaper overseas. A weaker yen benefits Japan's export-reliant economy but places pressure on other countries by making their goods more expensive internationally. While helping Japanese businesses, devaluing the yen also risks higher inflation worldwide and flight of bond investors concerned about Japan's large debt levels. China warned that currency devaluation could hurt global growth.
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The document discusses an investment framework called "Weather Map Investing" that aims to identify major economic forces ("storm systems") that will persist long enough to exploit for significant investment gains. It identifies 5 major storm systems: (1) Reflation from unprecedented central bank stimulus, (2) Regulatory fallout from new financial and healthcare regulations, (3) The ongoing EU debt crisis, (4) Japan's monetary and economic policies under "Abenomics", and (5) Geopolitical realignment in the wake of the financial crisis and wars. The document argues these storm systems will drive profound changes in asset prices and represent opportunities to deploy capital at attractive returns. However, it also notes risks include global political conflicts,
Why Today Is Different From The Great Depression
While there are some similarities between today's financial crisis and the Great Depression, such as excessive debt and asset price deflation, there are also key differences:
1) The economic contraction today is far less severe, with estimates of unemployment peaking at around 10% compared to 25% during the Depression.
2) The banking system, while distressed, is not near collapse as hundreds of banks failed during the Depression due to lack of deposit insurance.
3) Monetary policy response has been extraordinary, with the Federal Reserve taking ambitious action unlike the passive role during the 1930s.
4) Government policy response has already been more forceful than in the early years of the Depression, enacting stimulus packages, bank
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EIU Global Economic Forecast - August 2010
Read the latest Economist Intelligence Unit economic forecast for August. Includes regional outlooks for the US, Western Europe, Japan, and Emerging Markets. Also forecasts for commodities and exchange rates. Visit www.eiu.com/gfs to view more.
Recession around the world
The document summarizes the global recession that started in 2008. It began with defaults on housing loans in the US, which caused liquidity issues for financial institutions and investment banks. This spread to other markets as these institutions withdrew investments from developing countries. As demand slowed in the US, it impacted other economies. The recession affected many nations as growth rates declined and some required IMF aid, with casualties seen worldwide as the slowdown process gripped the global economy.
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Economist Intelligence Unit Global Economic Forecast Oct 2010
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Future Of US Budget-Alternative Forecast
1) By 2028, the US economy had struggled for decades with persistent budget deficits, rising debt, and stagnant economic growth following tax cuts in the early 2000s and high spending on security.
2) This led to downgrades of US debt and a loss of confidence in the US dollar, bringing the economy to the brink of meltdown in 2018.
3) However, by 2028 China had become a global economic leader and the US had partnered closely with China, with Chinese knowledge workers holding many public offices and directing infrastructure rebuilding in the US.
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Final report 2011
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The global economy is recovering but growth remains heavily dependent on short-term factors like the end of destocking and fiscal stimulus. Unemployment remains high in many countries and household demand is subdued. Europe is recovering but the fiscal crisis raises risks and unemployment has only moderately risen due to wage subsidies. Japan's recovery will be supported by fiscal stimulus and exports but weak domestic demand is causing deflation. China's growth was supported by stimulus but this exacerbated imbalances.
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Global Forecasting December 2010
The global economic recovery is slowing, with weak private sector job growth causing concern. However, additional fiscal stimulus in 2011 will support growth and prevent recession. Inflation remains low while excess housing supply will further reduce home prices. Europe is recovering but the fiscal crisis raises risks, and unemployment is only moderate due to wage subsidies. Export performance in Japan will deteriorate in 2011 due to slowing Chinese growth and yen strength. Chinese growth has been supported by stimulus but this has exacerbated imbalances.
Dec 2010 EIU Global Economic Forecast
The global economic recovery is slowing in 2011, with weak private sector job growth and downward pressure on housing prices posing concerns. While inflation remains low, fiscal stimulus programs will support growth. Europe is recovering but the fiscal crisis raises risks, and Greece may need to restructure its debt. Export growth in Japan will decline due to slowing Chinese growth and currency strength. Chinese growth has been driven by stimulus but imbalances remain a problem.
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The presentation predicts the influence of ASEAN power!
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The document discusses recessions over time and analyzes the current global recession of 2009. It compares factors like duration, impact on unemployment and GDP, and leading economic indicators. While the 2009 recession is more widespread than previous recessions, emerging economies like India and China are still expected to see growth. The recovery may take until 2014, led by growth returning to China and India, but the conditions of the 2009 recession are not expected to be as severe as the Great Depression.
devaluation of Japaneses currency
Japan devalued the yen to boost exports and employment by making Japanese goods cheaper overseas. A weaker yen benefits Japan's export-reliant economy but places pressure on other countries by making their goods more expensive internationally. While helping Japanese businesses, devaluing the yen also risks higher inflation worldwide and flight of bond investors concerned about Japan's large debt levels. China warned that currency devaluation could hurt global growth.
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The document discusses an investment framework called "Weather Map Investing" that aims to identify major economic forces ("storm systems") that will persist long enough to exploit for significant investment gains. It identifies 5 major storm systems: (1) Reflation from unprecedented central bank stimulus, (2) Regulatory fallout from new financial and healthcare regulations, (3) The ongoing EU debt crisis, (4) Japan's monetary and economic policies under "Abenomics", and (5) Geopolitical realignment in the wake of the financial crisis and wars. The document argues these storm systems will drive profound changes in asset prices and represent opportunities to deploy capital at attractive returns. However, it also notes risks include global political conflicts,
Why Today Is Different From The Great Depression
While there are some similarities between today's financial crisis and the Great Depression, such as excessive debt and asset price deflation, there are also key differences:
1) The economic contraction today is far less severe, with estimates of unemployment peaking at around 10% compared to 25% during the Depression.
2) The banking system, while distressed, is not near collapse as hundreds of banks failed during the Depression due to lack of deposit insurance.
3) Monetary policy response has been extraordinary, with the Federal Reserve taking ambitious action unlike the passive role during the 1930s.
4) Government policy response has already been more forceful than in the early years of the Depression, enacting stimulus packages, bank
Economist Intelligence Unit Global Forecast Update 9 13_10
The EIU has downgraded its forecast for the US in 2010 to 2.3% (from 2.8%) previously. Read about the latest economic forecast for the world, updated from August.
EIU Global Economic Forecast - August 2010
Read the latest Economist Intelligence Unit economic forecast for August. Includes regional outlooks for the US, Western Europe, Japan, and Emerging Markets. Also forecasts for commodities and exchange rates. Visit www.eiu.com/gfs to view more.
Recession around the world
The document summarizes the global recession that started in 2008. It began with defaults on housing loans in the US, which caused liquidity issues for financial institutions and investment banks. This spread to other markets as these institutions withdrew investments from developing countries. As demand slowed in the US, it impacted other economies. The recession affected many nations as growth rates declined and some required IMF aid, with casualties seen worldwide as the slowdown process gripped the global economy.
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Future Of US Budget-Alternative Forecast
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2) This led to downgrades of US debt and a loss of confidence in the US dollar, bringing the economy to the brink of meltdown in 2018.
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EIU Global Economic Forecast Nov 2010
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Global economy under crisis
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The document discusses the global economic crisis and its effects. It provides an agenda for the discussion, including introductions, examining the crisis as an opportunity, and the impacts on the global and East Asian economies. Strategies are proposed to support existing economic development efforts through marketing, convening collaborations, and promoting the region globally to enhance current initiatives and extend US business targets. The crisis is seen as a chance to address long-term challenges through job creation and fiscal sustainability.
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The document discusses the global economic crisis and its impact. It notes that the crisis presents an opportunity to address long-term challenges. It then provides details on the economic downturn in various countries and regions, including the US, Japan, Germany, South Africa, China, and Brazil. It also discusses calls from the World Bank for increased financial aid to developing nations. Further, it outlines impacts to commodities markets and strategies for economic recovery and development in East Asia.
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The document discusses the global economic crisis and its impact. It notes that the crisis presents an opportunity to address long-term challenges. It then provides details on the economic downturn in various countries and regions, including the US, Japan, Germany, South Africa, China, and Brazil. It also discusses calls from the World Bank for increased financial aid to developing nations. Furthermore, it outlines strategies for economic development in East Asia and Thailand and Vietnam specifically. The document concludes with discussing a two-pronged approach to economic promotion focusing on supporting existing efforts and proactively promoting new opportunities.
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The document discusses the global economic crisis and its impact. It notes that the crisis presents an opportunity to address long-term challenges. It then provides details on the economic downturn in various countries and regions, including the US, Japan, Germany, South Africa, China, and Brazil. It also discusses calls from the World Bank for increased financial aid to developing nations. Furthermore, it outlines strategies for economic development in East Asia and countries like Thailand and Vietnam. The document concludes by outlining a two-pronged approach for an organization to support existing economic development efforts and proactively promote new opportunities.
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The document discusses the global economic crisis and its impact. It notes that the crisis presents an opportunity to address long-term challenges. It then provides details on the economic downturn in various countries and regions, including the US, Japan, Germany, South Africa, China, and Brazil. It also discusses calls from the World Bank for increased financial aid to developing nations. Furthermore, it outlines strategies for economic development in East Asia and countries like Thailand and Vietnam. The document concludes by outlining a two-pronged approach for an organization to support existing economic efforts and promote new opportunities for enhanced growth.
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The document summarizes the state of the global economy and strategies for economic recovery. It notes that the deepest global recession since WWII is underway, with major economies like the US, Japan, Germany, South Africa, China, and Brazil all experiencing significant declines in GDP. The World Bank has called for increased aid to boost economies. East Asian economies are seen as strengthening in the next phase of recovery due to underlying regional political stability. Specific strategies discussed include supporting existing economic development efforts, proactively promoting the region to enhance current efforts, and emerging strategies around international business attraction.
Global economy under crisis
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The document discusses the global economic crisis and its impact. It notes that the crisis presents an opportunity to address long-term challenges. It then provides details on the economic downturn in various countries and regions, including the US, Japan, Germany, South Africa, China, and Brazil. The World Bank is calling for increased aid to developing countries affected by the crisis. Commodity markets have also declined substantially. The document then focuses on the East Asia economy and prospects for recovery in Thailand and Vietnam. It outlines a two-prong strategy to support existing economic development efforts and also proactively promote new opportunities to enhance current efforts.
titleringongingong
The document discusses the global economic crisis and its impact. It notes that the crisis presents an opportunity to address long-term challenges. It then provides details on the economic situation in various countries and regions. This includes the US, Japan, Germany, South Africa, China, and Brazil all experiencing declines. The World Bank calls for increased aid to developing nations. Commodity markets are also discussed as being down. The document outlines strategies for economic development in East Asia and Thailand and Vietnam specifically. It proposes a two prong approach for organizations to support existing efforts and also proactively promote new economic opportunities.
Global economy under crisis
The document discusses the global economic crisis and its impact. It notes that the crisis presents an opportunity to address long-term challenges. It then provides details on the economic downturn in various countries and regions, including the US, Japan, Germany, South Africa, China, and Brazil. The World Bank is calling for increased aid to developing countries affected by the crisis. Commodity markets have also declined substantially. The document then focuses on the East Asia economy and prospects for recovery in Thailand and Vietnam. It outlines a two-prong strategy to support existing economic development efforts and also proactively promote new opportunities to enhance current work.
Japanese debt crisis
This report gives a complete overview of the reasons behind mounting debt of japan and the political and financial reforms in the country to counter the debt problem.
Wp933 japan report 2008
This document summarizes the key discussions and conclusions from a conference on challenges and opportunities for Japan in the global economy. The conference highlighted that the global financial crisis requires an international response due to economic interconnectivity. Japan is well positioned to take advantage of opportunities from global turmoil due to its large cash reserves. However, Japan needs to engage more globally and demonstrate leadership on issues like climate change. Its relationship with China is also critical and both countries need to resolve bilateral issues to create a true partnership.
Wp933 Japan Report 2008
This document summarizes the key discussions and conclusions from a conference on challenges and opportunities for Japan in the global economy. The conference highlighted that the global financial crisis requires an international response due to economic interconnectivity. Japan is well positioned to take advantage of opportunities from global turmoil due to its large cash reserves. However, Japan needs to engage more globally and demonstrate leadership on issues like climate change. Its relationship with China is also critical and both countries need to resolve bilateral issues to create a true partnership.
Wp933 japan report 2008
This document summarizes the key discussions and conclusions from a conference on challenges and opportunities for Japan in the global economy. The conference highlighted that the global financial crisis requires an international response due to economic interconnectivity. Japan is well positioned to take advantage of opportunities from global turmoil due to its large cash reserves. However, Japan needs to engage more globally and demonstrate leadership on issues like climate change. Its relationship with China is also critical and both countries need to resolve bilateral issues to create a true partnership.
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The global economy experienced its deepest recession since WWII in late 2008 and early 2009, as evidenced by double-digit declines in GDP across major economies like the US, Japan, Germany, and South Africa. Exports also contracted sharply in countries like China and Brazil. The World Bank President called for increased financial aid to developing countries impacted by a crisis they did not cause, and emphasized that empowering developing economies and helping them pursue long-term prosperity should be the goal of development finance. Commodity prices significantly declined from recent highs, with oil falling over 60% and wheat dropping over 70%, while gold held steady and alternative energy sources like corn lost value.
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Thailand has strong economic fundamentals and momentum to move forward despite its ongoing political issues. Vietnam and its Prime Minister Nguyễn Tấn Dũng will continue Vietnam's strong economic growth. Both Thailand and Vietnam are positioned for economic progress in Southeast Asia.
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Thailand has strong economic fundamentals and momentum to move forward despite its ongoing political issues. Vietnam and its Prime Minister Nguyễn Tấn Dũng will continue Vietnam's strong economic growth. Both Thailand and Vietnam are positioned for economic progress in Southeast Asia.
Test+Upload
Thailand has strong economic fundamentals and momentum to move forward despite its ongoing political issues. Vietnam and its Prime Minister Nguyễn Tấn Dũng will continue Vietnam's strong economic growth. Both Thailand and Vietnam are positioned for economic progress in Southeast Asia.
Test+Upload
Thailand has strong economic fundamentals and momentum to move forward despite its ongoing political issues. Vietnam and its Prime Minister Nguyễn Tấn Dũng will continue Vietnam's strong economic growth. Both Thailand and Vietnam are positioned for economic progress in Southeast Asia.
Test+Upload
Thailand has strong economic fundamentals and momentum to move forward despite its ongoing political issues. Vietnam and its Prime Minister Nguyễn Tấn Dũng will continue Vietnam's strong economic growth. Both Thailand and Vietnam are positioned for economic progress in Southeast Asia.
Test+Upload
Thailand has strong economic fundamentals and momentum to move forward despite its ongoing political issues. Vietnam and its Prime Minister Nguyễn Tấn Dũng will continue Vietnam's strong economic growth. Both Thailand and Vietnam are positioned for economic progress in Southeast Asia.
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first+polik
- 1. Global economy from boom to bust United States has been in recession since December 2007 Deepest global recession since WWII. Japan’s GDP dropped an unprecedented 13.7% in Q42008 Germany’s GDP fell by 8% in Q42008. South Africa’s exports contracted 16% In January China’s exports fell 25% in Feb 2009 Brazil’s GDP contracted 3.6% in the fourth quarter
- 2. World Bank calls for aid boost The World Bank President called on donors to boost financial aid to developing nations which find themselves at the mercy of a crisis that “is not of their making” Empowering developing and emerging countries and economies is imperative Helping nations pursue economic development and long-term prosperity should be the goal of development finance.
- 3. Commodities market Oil - $56.45 vs. recent high of $147.96 Gold has been rather steady, around $850. Wheat fell back to $5 after visiting $18 in just less than 6 months! Alternative energy resource such as corn has lost its value