SlideShare a Scribd company logo
Life Science Trends
                                           February 2012




Strictly Private and Confidential
Within Healthcare, Slowing Revenue Outlook For Nearly Every Subsector
                                                                                                                                                           (1)
                                                                                                                                          Change in CAGR
                                                                                                                       22%
            Generics
                                                                                                            19%                                     -
                                                                                                                20%
   Managed Care
                                                      5%                                                                                            -
                                                                                                            19%
      Healthcare IT
                                                                                                                                    25%          +
                                                                                                         18%
                  CROs
                                                 4%                                                                                                 -
                                                                                                     17%
                 Biotech
                                                                    8%                                                                              -
                                                                                                   16%
            MedTech
                                                          6%                                                                                        -
                                                                                             14%
Specialty Pharma
                                                                                                   16%                                           +
                                                                                       12%
      Supply Chain
                                                                    8%                                                                              -
                                                                                  11%
             Facilities
                                                                    8%                                                                              -
                                                               7%
Life Science Tools
                                                 4%                                                                                                 -
                                                      5%
      Major Pharma
                                   1%                                                                                                               -
                          0%                      5%                    10%                  15%            20%               25%             30%

                                                                    2004-2008 Revenue CAGR                 2008-2012 Revenue CAGR
  1    Source:    Wall Street Research.
       (1)        Represents growth trend when comparing periods 2004-2008 to 2008-2012.
Declining R&D Productivity
NME approval peaked in the mid 1990’s, followed by a period of decline starting around 2000; while R&D
spend continued to grow.



                                        $50                                                                                                                               60

                                         45
    In du stry R & D S pe nd ( $ bn )




                                                                                                                                                                          50
                                         40

                                         35




                                                                                                                                                                               F D A N M E A pp ro va ls
                                                                                                                                                                          40
                                         30

                                         25                                                                                                                               30

                                         20
                                                                                                                                                                          20
                                         15




                                                                                                                                                                                                    (1)
                                         10
                                                                                                                                                                          10
                                          5

                                          0                                                                                                                               0
                                              1970                 1975                 1980                 1985                 1990               1995   2000   2005


                                                                                                              Number of FDA NME Approvals




2    Source:                              Rodney Zenmmel, PhD., McKinsey & Company, FDA, PhRMA.
     (1)                                  Includes NCEs and BLAs. BLAs included 1986 onward; biologic approvals in prior years assumed negligible.
Life Science IPOs Since 2003
The financial crisis clearly impacted the biotech IPO market as volumes are off significantly over the past
few years. Valuations continue to be challenged as does the short term aftermarket performance.


 # of Biotech IPOs Per Year Since 2003                                                           Average Performance Offer + 30 Days
                                                                                                                8.8%                 7.3%
                 21
                                       19
                                                                                                                                                0.1%         N/A               0.8%             N/A

                                                  14
                                                                                                                          (5.5%)                                                       (4.0%)
                            10                                                                      (9.1%)
                                                                            9
                                                                                   7
       6


                                                                     1                    1
                                                              0
                                                                                                                                                                     (31.5%)
                                                                                                     2003       2004       2005      2006       2007         2008      2009    2010    2011     2012
      2003      2004       2005       2006       2007        2008   2009   2010   2011   2012

Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds.                                      Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds.




 Average Market Cap At Pricing Over Last Ten Years                                               Average Offering Size Over Last Ten Years
     $273       $279                             $278                      $285
                           $260                                                                                                                                                 $78
                                                                                                                            $72
                                                                                                      $65                                        $66                   $68               $65
                                                                    $213                 $207                    $62
                                      $202
                                                                                                                                                                                                  $55
                                                                                                                                      $52
                                                                                  $157




                                                             N/A                                                                                              N/A

     2003       2004       2005       2006       2007        2008   2009   2010   2011   2012         2003      2004       2005       2006       2007         2008     2009     2010     2011    2012

Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds.                                      Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds.




3
Life Science IPOs (Cont’d)
The majority of IPOs continue to be priced below the marketing ranges, with particular valuation sensitivity
experienced over the past 2 years. Later stage assets are dominating the IPO landscape currently.


 Above / Below / Within Range                                                                                     Average File-to-Offer (%) Per Year
                 10%       10%          5%
                                                                                                 14%                                                                             N/A                              N/A
                                        16%
                 19%                                  36%
                                                                                                                       (8%)                                                                (9%)
                           40%
                                                                                                                                             (14%)
     100%                                                                       100%    100%             100%                                                       (19%)
                                        79%                                                      86%
                 71%
                                                      64%                                                                           (27%)              (27%)
                           50%




      2003       2004      2005         2006          2007       2008           2009     2010    2011    2012                                                                                             (43%)
                                                                                                                                                                                                  (46%)
                                        Below     Within Range        Above                                            2003         2004     2005      2006         2007         2008     2009     2010   2011    2012

Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds.                                                       Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds.




 Clinical Stage at IPO Since 2003                                                                                 NBI Annual Performance Over Last Ten Years
                                                                                                                       46%

                   1

                                          5
                  12                                   2                                                                                                                                          16%     15%
                                          5                                                                                                                                                                        12%
                             1                         5                                                                              6%                                    5%
                                                                                           1                                                    3%
                             4                                                                     1                                                           1%
                   6         2            9            6                                   8
        6                                                                                          6
                   2         3
                                                       1                          1                        1
      2003       2004      2005         2006          2007        2008          2009      2010    2011    2012                                                                          (13%)
                                                                                                                       2003           2004      2005       2006             2007        2008      2009    2010    2011
                                  I or Pre-Clinical    II    III or NDA Filed     Commercial

Source: SEC filings.                                                                                             Source: Factset.




4
Life Science FOs Since 2003
Although the biotech follow-on market has experienced strong volume, deal size has declined in recent
years as has the market cap of the average issuer. Follow-ons have tended to perform well in aftermarket.


 # of Biotech Follow-Ons Per Year Since 2003                                                      Average Performance Offer + 30 Days
                                                                                                      17.7%
                           49                                                       49
                                                                            45
                 43                                                  42
      40
                                      36
                                                 33

                                                                                                                                                                                   8.6%

                                                                                                                                                                     5.6%   6.1%
                                                              14
                                                                                                                 4.3%       4.4%       3.9%
                                                                                           7                                                     2.2%         2.6%

                                                                                                                                                                                          N/A

     2003       2004      2005       2006       2007         2008   2009    2010   2011   2012         2003      2004       2005       2006       2007        2008   2009   2010   2011   2012

Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds.                                       Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds.




 Average Market Cap At Pricing Over Last Ten Years                                                Average Offering Size Over Last Ten Years
                                               $1852
                                                                                                                                       $156      $154                $158

                                     $1466                          $1500
                                                                                                                            $130


                                                                                                       $94        $94                                         $95                  $94
                           $837                              $879
                                                                                                                                                                            $74
     $582       $641                                                               $610                                                                                                   $60
                                                                            $559
                                                                                          $353




      2003      2004       2005      2006       2007         2008   2009    2010   2011   2012        2003       2004       2005       2006      2007         2008   2009   2010   2011   2012

Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds.                                       Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds.




5
Life Science M&A Transactions: 2007 – 2012 YTD
M&A over the past 5 years highlighted important trends, including pharma’s need for greater access to
antibody platforms, larger biopharmas buying their partners, and pharma’s need for enhanced pipelines.
Public and Private Life Science Acquisitions, 2007-2012 YTD
(total transaction value in billions of USD, # of transactions)




                           $300                                                                                                                                              40


                                                                                                                                                                             35
                             250
                                                                                                                $228
                                                                                                                  8                                                          30
Transaction Value ($bn)




                             200
                                                                                                                                                                             25




                                                                                                                                                                                   # Transactions
                             150                                                                                                                                             20



                                                                                                                 220                                                         15
                             100
                                                                                                                                                          $83
                                                                                                                                 $71
                                                                                                                                                                             10
                                                                                                                                 11                       31
                                                 $48                                  $47
                              50                                                                    2
                                                  12                                                                                                                         5
                                                                                                                                  59                      52
                                                  36                                  45
                               0                                                                                                                                             0
                                                 -
                                                2007                                  -
                                                                                     2008                        -
                                                                                                                2009             -
                                                                                                                                2010                   2011-- YTD


                                             Public Acquisitions           Private Acquisitions         Total # Acquisitions   # Public Acquisitions      # Private Acquisitions




6                         Source:   MergerMarket, EvaluatePharma, Company information.
                          Note:     Public and Private transaction values include earn-outs and CVRs.
Life Science Trends, presented by Chris Hite on Financing Panel
Life Science Trends, presented by Chris Hite on Financing Panel
Life Science Trends, presented by Chris Hite on Financing Panel
Life Science Trends, presented by Chris Hite on Financing Panel

More Related Content

Similar to Life Science Trends, presented by Chris Hite on Financing Panel

2013 cloud it metering survey results
2013 cloud it metering survey results 2013 cloud it metering survey results
2013 cloud it metering survey results Valencell, Inc.
 
Marketing ROI Graphs
Marketing ROI GraphsMarketing ROI Graphs
Marketing ROI Graphs
GailGuge
 
Novoenzymes 2008 Q2 Financial Statement 2008
Novoenzymes 2008 Q2 Financial Statement 2008Novoenzymes 2008 Q2 Financial Statement 2008
Novoenzymes 2008 Q2 Financial Statement 2008
earningsreport
 
agilent Q208_Revenue_Distribution_Graphs
agilent Q208_Revenue_Distribution_Graphsagilent Q208_Revenue_Distribution_Graphs
agilent Q208_Revenue_Distribution_Graphsfinance38
 
agilent Q307_Revenue_Distribution_Graphs
agilent Q307_Revenue_Distribution_Graphsagilent Q307_Revenue_Distribution_Graphs
agilent Q307_Revenue_Distribution_Graphsfinance38
 
The Shifting State of Endpoint Risk: Key Strategies to Implement in 2012
The Shifting State of Endpoint Risk: Key Strategies to Implement in 2012The Shifting State of Endpoint Risk: Key Strategies to Implement in 2012
The Shifting State of Endpoint Risk: Key Strategies to Implement in 2012
Lumension
 
Exposantenmeeting_Uw beurscampagne Solids
Exposantenmeeting_Uw beurscampagne SolidsExposantenmeeting_Uw beurscampagne Solids
Exposantenmeeting_Uw beurscampagne SolidseasyFairs_belgium
 
Microsoft Cloud Computing Research April 2012
Microsoft Cloud Computing Research April 2012Microsoft Cloud Computing Research April 2012
Microsoft Cloud Computing Research April 2012
Amarach Research
 
Corporate Governance Project Short Report 0120
Corporate Governance Project Short  Report 0120Corporate Governance Project Short  Report 0120
Corporate Governance Project Short Report 0120szezso
 
Sales Webinar | The Global Sales Industry - Where to Spend Your Time in 2013
Sales Webinar | The Global Sales Industry - Where to Spend Your Time in 2013 Sales Webinar | The Global Sales Industry - Where to Spend Your Time in 2013
Sales Webinar | The Global Sales Industry - Where to Spend Your Time in 2013
Altify
 
Dealmaker Index - Sales Effectiveness Study | The Global Sales Industry - Whe...
Dealmaker Index - Sales Effectiveness Study | The Global Sales Industry - Whe...Dealmaker Index - Sales Effectiveness Study | The Global Sales Industry - Whe...
Dealmaker Index - Sales Effectiveness Study | The Global Sales Industry - Whe...Altify
 
Step Zero: New Qualitative Assessment Allowed for Assessing Goodwill
Step Zero: New Qualitative Assessment Allowed for Assessing Goodwill Step Zero: New Qualitative Assessment Allowed for Assessing Goodwill
Step Zero: New Qualitative Assessment Allowed for Assessing Goodwill
DecosimoCPAs
 
2009 Payroll Performance Study Demographics
2009 Payroll Performance Study Demographics2009 Payroll Performance Study Demographics
2009 Payroll Performance Study Demographics
fcheek
 
0903 10 Core Tools To Drive Growth
0903 10 Core Tools To Drive Growth0903 10 Core Tools To Drive Growth
0903 10 Core Tools To Drive Growth
Alvin Chua
 
ARMTechCon 2011 Embedded Software Store Launch
ARMTechCon 2011 Embedded Software Store LaunchARMTechCon 2011 Embedded Software Store Launch
ARMTechCon 2011 Embedded Software Store Launch
Avnet Electronics Marketing
 
IDC e o SCM para 2009
IDC e o SCM para 2009IDC e o SCM para 2009
IDC e o SCM para 2009
Sergio Grisa
 

Similar to Life Science Trends, presented by Chris Hite on Financing Panel (20)

Health care survey 2011 v4
Health care survey 2011 v4Health care survey 2011 v4
Health care survey 2011 v4
 
2013 cloud it metering survey results
2013 cloud it metering survey results 2013 cloud it metering survey results
2013 cloud it metering survey results
 
Healthcare Marketing Survey 2012
Healthcare Marketing Survey 2012Healthcare Marketing Survey 2012
Healthcare Marketing Survey 2012
 
Marketing ROI Graphs
Marketing ROI GraphsMarketing ROI Graphs
Marketing ROI Graphs
 
Novoenzymes 2008 Q2 Financial Statement 2008
Novoenzymes 2008 Q2 Financial Statement 2008Novoenzymes 2008 Q2 Financial Statement 2008
Novoenzymes 2008 Q2 Financial Statement 2008
 
agilent Q208_Revenue_Distribution_Graphs
agilent Q208_Revenue_Distribution_Graphsagilent Q208_Revenue_Distribution_Graphs
agilent Q208_Revenue_Distribution_Graphs
 
agilent Q307_Revenue_Distribution_Graphs
agilent Q307_Revenue_Distribution_Graphsagilent Q307_Revenue_Distribution_Graphs
agilent Q307_Revenue_Distribution_Graphs
 
The Shifting State of Endpoint Risk: Key Strategies to Implement in 2012
The Shifting State of Endpoint Risk: Key Strategies to Implement in 2012The Shifting State of Endpoint Risk: Key Strategies to Implement in 2012
The Shifting State of Endpoint Risk: Key Strategies to Implement in 2012
 
Exposantenmeeting_Uw beurscampagne Solids
Exposantenmeeting_Uw beurscampagne SolidsExposantenmeeting_Uw beurscampagne Solids
Exposantenmeeting_Uw beurscampagne Solids
 
Microsoft Cloud Computing Research April 2012
Microsoft Cloud Computing Research April 2012Microsoft Cloud Computing Research April 2012
Microsoft Cloud Computing Research April 2012
 
Corporate Governance Project Short Report 0120
Corporate Governance Project Short  Report 0120Corporate Governance Project Short  Report 0120
Corporate Governance Project Short Report 0120
 
Sales Webinar | The Global Sales Industry - Where to Spend Your Time in 2013
Sales Webinar | The Global Sales Industry - Where to Spend Your Time in 2013 Sales Webinar | The Global Sales Industry - Where to Spend Your Time in 2013
Sales Webinar | The Global Sales Industry - Where to Spend Your Time in 2013
 
Dealmaker Index - Sales Effectiveness Study | The Global Sales Industry - Whe...
Dealmaker Index - Sales Effectiveness Study | The Global Sales Industry - Whe...Dealmaker Index - Sales Effectiveness Study | The Global Sales Industry - Whe...
Dealmaker Index - Sales Effectiveness Study | The Global Sales Industry - Whe...
 
Step Zero: New Qualitative Assessment Allowed for Assessing Goodwill
Step Zero: New Qualitative Assessment Allowed for Assessing Goodwill Step Zero: New Qualitative Assessment Allowed for Assessing Goodwill
Step Zero: New Qualitative Assessment Allowed for Assessing Goodwill
 
2009 Payroll Performance Study Demographics
2009 Payroll Performance Study Demographics2009 Payroll Performance Study Demographics
2009 Payroll Performance Study Demographics
 
0903 10 Core Tools To Drive Growth
0903 10 Core Tools To Drive Growth0903 10 Core Tools To Drive Growth
0903 10 Core Tools To Drive Growth
 
Roche Genentech Acquisition Analysis
Roche   Genentech Acquisition AnalysisRoche   Genentech Acquisition Analysis
Roche Genentech Acquisition Analysis
 
185 sspcc4 b_brunelle
185 sspcc4 b_brunelle185 sspcc4 b_brunelle
185 sspcc4 b_brunelle
 
ARMTechCon 2011 Embedded Software Store Launch
ARMTechCon 2011 Embedded Software Store LaunchARMTechCon 2011 Embedded Software Store Launch
ARMTechCon 2011 Embedded Software Store Launch
 
IDC e o SCM para 2009
IDC e o SCM para 2009IDC e o SCM para 2009
IDC e o SCM para 2009
 

More from CEDPrograms

North Carolina Innovators Report: 2013
North Carolina Innovators Report: 2013North Carolina Innovators Report: 2013
North Carolina Innovators Report: 2013
CEDPrograms
 
North Carolina Innovators Report: 2014
North Carolina Innovators Report: 2014North Carolina Innovators Report: 2014
North Carolina Innovators Report: 2014
CEDPrograms
 
North Carolina Innovators Report: 2015
North Carolina Innovators Report: 2015North Carolina Innovators Report: 2015
North Carolina Innovators Report: 2015
CEDPrograms
 
North Carolina Entrepreneurial Ecosystem: 2015 Update
North Carolina Entrepreneurial Ecosystem: 2015 UpdateNorth Carolina Entrepreneurial Ecosystem: 2015 Update
North Carolina Entrepreneurial Ecosystem: 2015 Update
CEDPrograms
 
State of the Industry Report, presented by R.T. (Terry) Hisey
State of the Industry Report, presented by R.T. (Terry) HiseyState of the Industry Report, presented by R.T. (Terry) Hisey
State of the Industry Report, presented by R.T. (Terry) Hisey
CEDPrograms
 
SBIR/STTR Programs at NIEHS, presented by Dan Shaughnessy
SBIR/STTR Programs at NIEHS, presented by Dan ShaughnessySBIR/STTR Programs at NIEHS, presented by Dan Shaughnessy
SBIR/STTR Programs at NIEHS, presented by Dan ShaughnessyCEDPrograms
 
Building Value (Entrepreneur Workshop), presented by Gautham Aggarwal
Building Value (Entrepreneur Workshop), presented by Gautham AggarwalBuilding Value (Entrepreneur Workshop), presented by Gautham Aggarwal
Building Value (Entrepreneur Workshop), presented by Gautham AggarwalCEDPrograms
 
DoD Funding Overview (Grants Workshop)
DoD Funding Overview (Grants Workshop)DoD Funding Overview (Grants Workshop)
DoD Funding Overview (Grants Workshop)CEDPrograms
 
SBIR/STTR Introduction, presented by John Ujvari
SBIR/STTR Introduction, presented by John UjvariSBIR/STTR Introduction, presented by John Ujvari
SBIR/STTR Introduction, presented by John UjvariCEDPrograms
 
CED CleanLinks Forum Feb. 9, 2012 -- ABB Technology Ventures
CED CleanLinks Forum Feb. 9, 2012 -- ABB Technology VenturesCED CleanLinks Forum Feb. 9, 2012 -- ABB Technology Ventures
CED CleanLinks Forum Feb. 9, 2012 -- ABB Technology Ventures
CEDPrograms
 

More from CEDPrograms (10)

North Carolina Innovators Report: 2013
North Carolina Innovators Report: 2013North Carolina Innovators Report: 2013
North Carolina Innovators Report: 2013
 
North Carolina Innovators Report: 2014
North Carolina Innovators Report: 2014North Carolina Innovators Report: 2014
North Carolina Innovators Report: 2014
 
North Carolina Innovators Report: 2015
North Carolina Innovators Report: 2015North Carolina Innovators Report: 2015
North Carolina Innovators Report: 2015
 
North Carolina Entrepreneurial Ecosystem: 2015 Update
North Carolina Entrepreneurial Ecosystem: 2015 UpdateNorth Carolina Entrepreneurial Ecosystem: 2015 Update
North Carolina Entrepreneurial Ecosystem: 2015 Update
 
State of the Industry Report, presented by R.T. (Terry) Hisey
State of the Industry Report, presented by R.T. (Terry) HiseyState of the Industry Report, presented by R.T. (Terry) Hisey
State of the Industry Report, presented by R.T. (Terry) Hisey
 
SBIR/STTR Programs at NIEHS, presented by Dan Shaughnessy
SBIR/STTR Programs at NIEHS, presented by Dan ShaughnessySBIR/STTR Programs at NIEHS, presented by Dan Shaughnessy
SBIR/STTR Programs at NIEHS, presented by Dan Shaughnessy
 
Building Value (Entrepreneur Workshop), presented by Gautham Aggarwal
Building Value (Entrepreneur Workshop), presented by Gautham AggarwalBuilding Value (Entrepreneur Workshop), presented by Gautham Aggarwal
Building Value (Entrepreneur Workshop), presented by Gautham Aggarwal
 
DoD Funding Overview (Grants Workshop)
DoD Funding Overview (Grants Workshop)DoD Funding Overview (Grants Workshop)
DoD Funding Overview (Grants Workshop)
 
SBIR/STTR Introduction, presented by John Ujvari
SBIR/STTR Introduction, presented by John UjvariSBIR/STTR Introduction, presented by John Ujvari
SBIR/STTR Introduction, presented by John Ujvari
 
CED CleanLinks Forum Feb. 9, 2012 -- ABB Technology Ventures
CED CleanLinks Forum Feb. 9, 2012 -- ABB Technology VenturesCED CleanLinks Forum Feb. 9, 2012 -- ABB Technology Ventures
CED CleanLinks Forum Feb. 9, 2012 -- ABB Technology Ventures
 

Recently uploaded

Pensions and housing - Pensions PlayPen - 4 June 2024 v3 (1).pdf
Pensions and housing - Pensions PlayPen - 4 June 2024 v3 (1).pdfPensions and housing - Pensions PlayPen - 4 June 2024 v3 (1).pdf
Pensions and housing - Pensions PlayPen - 4 June 2024 v3 (1).pdf
Henry Tapper
 
What website can I sell pi coins securely.
What website can I sell pi coins securely.What website can I sell pi coins securely.
What website can I sell pi coins securely.
DOT TECH
 
Globalization (Nike) Presentation PPT Poster Infographic.pdf
Globalization (Nike) Presentation PPT Poster Infographic.pdfGlobalization (Nike) Presentation PPT Poster Infographic.pdf
Globalization (Nike) Presentation PPT Poster Infographic.pdf
VohnArchieEdjan
 
Tdasx: Unveiling the Trillion-Dollar Potential of Bitcoin DeFi
Tdasx: Unveiling the Trillion-Dollar Potential of Bitcoin DeFiTdasx: Unveiling the Trillion-Dollar Potential of Bitcoin DeFi
Tdasx: Unveiling the Trillion-Dollar Potential of Bitcoin DeFi
nimaruinazawa258
 
Donald Trump Presentation and his life.pptx
Donald Trump Presentation and his life.pptxDonald Trump Presentation and his life.pptx
Donald Trump Presentation and his life.pptx
SerdarHudaykuliyew
 
how to sell pi coins effectively (from 50 - 100k pi)
how to sell pi coins effectively (from 50 - 100k  pi)how to sell pi coins effectively (from 50 - 100k  pi)
how to sell pi coins effectively (from 50 - 100k pi)
DOT TECH
 
Tax System, Behaviour, Justice, and Voluntary Compliance Culture in Nigeria -...
Tax System, Behaviour, Justice, and Voluntary Compliance Culture in Nigeria -...Tax System, Behaviour, Justice, and Voluntary Compliance Culture in Nigeria -...
Tax System, Behaviour, Justice, and Voluntary Compliance Culture in Nigeria -...
Godwin Emmanuel Oyedokun MBA MSc PhD FCA FCTI FCNA CFE FFAR
 
Instant Issue Debit Cards - School Designs
Instant Issue Debit Cards - School DesignsInstant Issue Debit Cards - School Designs
Instant Issue Debit Cards - School Designs
egoetzinger
 
APP I Lecture Notes to students 0f 4the year
APP I  Lecture Notes  to students 0f 4the yearAPP I  Lecture Notes  to students 0f 4the year
APP I Lecture Notes to students 0f 4the year
telilaalilemlem
 
SWAIAP Fraud Risk Mitigation Prof Oyedokun.pptx
SWAIAP Fraud Risk Mitigation   Prof Oyedokun.pptxSWAIAP Fraud Risk Mitigation   Prof Oyedokun.pptx
SWAIAP Fraud Risk Mitigation Prof Oyedokun.pptx
Godwin Emmanuel Oyedokun MBA MSc PhD FCA FCTI FCNA CFE FFAR
 
An Overview of the Prosocial dHEDGE Vault works
An Overview of the Prosocial dHEDGE Vault worksAn Overview of the Prosocial dHEDGE Vault works
An Overview of the Prosocial dHEDGE Vault works
Colin R. Turner
 
Instant Issue Debit Cards
Instant Issue Debit CardsInstant Issue Debit Cards
Instant Issue Debit Cards
egoetzinger
 
What price will pi network be listed on exchanges
What price will pi network be listed on exchangesWhat price will pi network be listed on exchanges
What price will pi network be listed on exchanges
DOT TECH
 
一比一原版(UoB毕业证)伯明翰大学毕业证如何办理
一比一原版(UoB毕业证)伯明翰大学毕业证如何办理一比一原版(UoB毕业证)伯明翰大学毕业证如何办理
一比一原版(UoB毕业证)伯明翰大学毕业证如何办理
nexop1
 
GeM ppt in railway for presentation on gem
GeM ppt in railway  for presentation on gemGeM ppt in railway  for presentation on gem
GeM ppt in railway for presentation on gem
CwierAsn
 
Financial Assets: Debit vs Equity Securities.pptx
Financial Assets: Debit vs Equity Securities.pptxFinancial Assets: Debit vs Equity Securities.pptx
Financial Assets: Debit vs Equity Securities.pptx
Writo-Finance
 
Instant Issue Debit Cards - High School Spirit
Instant Issue Debit Cards - High School SpiritInstant Issue Debit Cards - High School Spirit
Instant Issue Debit Cards - High School Spirit
egoetzinger
 
The European Unemployment Puzzle: implications from population aging
The European Unemployment Puzzle: implications from population agingThe European Unemployment Puzzle: implications from population aging
The European Unemployment Puzzle: implications from population aging
GRAPE
 
一比一原版(GWU,GW毕业证)加利福尼亚大学|尔湾分校毕业证如何办理
一比一原版(GWU,GW毕业证)加利福尼亚大学|尔湾分校毕业证如何办理一比一原版(GWU,GW毕业证)加利福尼亚大学|尔湾分校毕业证如何办理
一比一原版(GWU,GW毕业证)加利福尼亚大学|尔湾分校毕业证如何办理
obyzuk
 
The WhatsPump Pseudonym Problem and the Hilarious Downfall of Artificial Enga...
The WhatsPump Pseudonym Problem and the Hilarious Downfall of Artificial Enga...The WhatsPump Pseudonym Problem and the Hilarious Downfall of Artificial Enga...
The WhatsPump Pseudonym Problem and the Hilarious Downfall of Artificial Enga...
muslimdavidovich670
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Pensions and housing - Pensions PlayPen - 4 June 2024 v3 (1).pdf
Pensions and housing - Pensions PlayPen - 4 June 2024 v3 (1).pdfPensions and housing - Pensions PlayPen - 4 June 2024 v3 (1).pdf
Pensions and housing - Pensions PlayPen - 4 June 2024 v3 (1).pdf
 
What website can I sell pi coins securely.
What website can I sell pi coins securely.What website can I sell pi coins securely.
What website can I sell pi coins securely.
 
Globalization (Nike) Presentation PPT Poster Infographic.pdf
Globalization (Nike) Presentation PPT Poster Infographic.pdfGlobalization (Nike) Presentation PPT Poster Infographic.pdf
Globalization (Nike) Presentation PPT Poster Infographic.pdf
 
Tdasx: Unveiling the Trillion-Dollar Potential of Bitcoin DeFi
Tdasx: Unveiling the Trillion-Dollar Potential of Bitcoin DeFiTdasx: Unveiling the Trillion-Dollar Potential of Bitcoin DeFi
Tdasx: Unveiling the Trillion-Dollar Potential of Bitcoin DeFi
 
Donald Trump Presentation and his life.pptx
Donald Trump Presentation and his life.pptxDonald Trump Presentation and his life.pptx
Donald Trump Presentation and his life.pptx
 
how to sell pi coins effectively (from 50 - 100k pi)
how to sell pi coins effectively (from 50 - 100k  pi)how to sell pi coins effectively (from 50 - 100k  pi)
how to sell pi coins effectively (from 50 - 100k pi)
 
Tax System, Behaviour, Justice, and Voluntary Compliance Culture in Nigeria -...
Tax System, Behaviour, Justice, and Voluntary Compliance Culture in Nigeria -...Tax System, Behaviour, Justice, and Voluntary Compliance Culture in Nigeria -...
Tax System, Behaviour, Justice, and Voluntary Compliance Culture in Nigeria -...
 
Instant Issue Debit Cards - School Designs
Instant Issue Debit Cards - School DesignsInstant Issue Debit Cards - School Designs
Instant Issue Debit Cards - School Designs
 
APP I Lecture Notes to students 0f 4the year
APP I  Lecture Notes  to students 0f 4the yearAPP I  Lecture Notes  to students 0f 4the year
APP I Lecture Notes to students 0f 4the year
 
SWAIAP Fraud Risk Mitigation Prof Oyedokun.pptx
SWAIAP Fraud Risk Mitigation   Prof Oyedokun.pptxSWAIAP Fraud Risk Mitigation   Prof Oyedokun.pptx
SWAIAP Fraud Risk Mitigation Prof Oyedokun.pptx
 
An Overview of the Prosocial dHEDGE Vault works
An Overview of the Prosocial dHEDGE Vault worksAn Overview of the Prosocial dHEDGE Vault works
An Overview of the Prosocial dHEDGE Vault works
 
Instant Issue Debit Cards
Instant Issue Debit CardsInstant Issue Debit Cards
Instant Issue Debit Cards
 
What price will pi network be listed on exchanges
What price will pi network be listed on exchangesWhat price will pi network be listed on exchanges
What price will pi network be listed on exchanges
 
一比一原版(UoB毕业证)伯明翰大学毕业证如何办理
一比一原版(UoB毕业证)伯明翰大学毕业证如何办理一比一原版(UoB毕业证)伯明翰大学毕业证如何办理
一比一原版(UoB毕业证)伯明翰大学毕业证如何办理
 
GeM ppt in railway for presentation on gem
GeM ppt in railway  for presentation on gemGeM ppt in railway  for presentation on gem
GeM ppt in railway for presentation on gem
 
Financial Assets: Debit vs Equity Securities.pptx
Financial Assets: Debit vs Equity Securities.pptxFinancial Assets: Debit vs Equity Securities.pptx
Financial Assets: Debit vs Equity Securities.pptx
 
Instant Issue Debit Cards - High School Spirit
Instant Issue Debit Cards - High School SpiritInstant Issue Debit Cards - High School Spirit
Instant Issue Debit Cards - High School Spirit
 
The European Unemployment Puzzle: implications from population aging
The European Unemployment Puzzle: implications from population agingThe European Unemployment Puzzle: implications from population aging
The European Unemployment Puzzle: implications from population aging
 
一比一原版(GWU,GW毕业证)加利福尼亚大学|尔湾分校毕业证如何办理
一比一原版(GWU,GW毕业证)加利福尼亚大学|尔湾分校毕业证如何办理一比一原版(GWU,GW毕业证)加利福尼亚大学|尔湾分校毕业证如何办理
一比一原版(GWU,GW毕业证)加利福尼亚大学|尔湾分校毕业证如何办理
 
The WhatsPump Pseudonym Problem and the Hilarious Downfall of Artificial Enga...
The WhatsPump Pseudonym Problem and the Hilarious Downfall of Artificial Enga...The WhatsPump Pseudonym Problem and the Hilarious Downfall of Artificial Enga...
The WhatsPump Pseudonym Problem and the Hilarious Downfall of Artificial Enga...
 

Life Science Trends, presented by Chris Hite on Financing Panel

  • 1. Life Science Trends February 2012 Strictly Private and Confidential
  • 2. Within Healthcare, Slowing Revenue Outlook For Nearly Every Subsector (1) Change in CAGR 22% Generics 19% - 20% Managed Care 5% - 19% Healthcare IT 25% + 18% CROs 4% - 17% Biotech 8% - 16% MedTech 6% - 14% Specialty Pharma 16% + 12% Supply Chain 8% - 11% Facilities 8% - 7% Life Science Tools 4% - 5% Major Pharma 1% - 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 2004-2008 Revenue CAGR 2008-2012 Revenue CAGR 1 Source: Wall Street Research. (1) Represents growth trend when comparing periods 2004-2008 to 2008-2012.
  • 3. Declining R&D Productivity NME approval peaked in the mid 1990’s, followed by a period of decline starting around 2000; while R&D spend continued to grow. $50 60 45 In du stry R & D S pe nd ( $ bn ) 50 40 35 F D A N M E A pp ro va ls 40 30 25 30 20 20 15 (1) 10 10 5 0 0 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 Number of FDA NME Approvals 2 Source: Rodney Zenmmel, PhD., McKinsey & Company, FDA, PhRMA. (1) Includes NCEs and BLAs. BLAs included 1986 onward; biologic approvals in prior years assumed negligible.
  • 4. Life Science IPOs Since 2003 The financial crisis clearly impacted the biotech IPO market as volumes are off significantly over the past few years. Valuations continue to be challenged as does the short term aftermarket performance. # of Biotech IPOs Per Year Since 2003 Average Performance Offer + 30 Days 8.8% 7.3% 21 19 0.1% N/A 0.8% N/A 14 (5.5%) (4.0%) 10 (9.1%) 9 7 6 1 1 0 (31.5%) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds. Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds. Average Market Cap At Pricing Over Last Ten Years Average Offering Size Over Last Ten Years $273 $279 $278 $285 $260 $78 $72 $65 $66 $68 $65 $213 $207 $62 $202 $55 $52 $157 N/A N/A 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds. Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds. 3
  • 5. Life Science IPOs (Cont’d) The majority of IPOs continue to be priced below the marketing ranges, with particular valuation sensitivity experienced over the past 2 years. Later stage assets are dominating the IPO landscape currently. Above / Below / Within Range Average File-to-Offer (%) Per Year 10% 10% 5% 14% N/A N/A 16% 19% 36% (8%) (9%) 40% (14%) 100% 100% 100% 100% (19%) 79% 86% 71% 64% (27%) (27%) 50% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 (43%) (46%) Below Within Range Above 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds. Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds. Clinical Stage at IPO Since 2003 NBI Annual Performance Over Last Ten Years 46% 1 5 12 2 16% 15% 5 12% 1 5 6% 5% 1 3% 4 1 1% 6 2 9 6 8 6 6 2 3 1 1 1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 (13%) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 I or Pre-Clinical II III or NDA Filed Commercial Source: SEC filings. Source: Factset. 4
  • 6. Life Science FOs Since 2003 Although the biotech follow-on market has experienced strong volume, deal size has declined in recent years as has the market cap of the average issuer. Follow-ons have tended to perform well in aftermarket. # of Biotech Follow-Ons Per Year Since 2003 Average Performance Offer + 30 Days 17.7% 49 49 45 43 42 40 36 33 8.6% 5.6% 6.1% 14 4.3% 4.4% 3.9% 7 2.2% 2.6% N/A 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds. Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds. Average Market Cap At Pricing Over Last Ten Years Average Offering Size Over Last Ten Years $1852 $156 $154 $158 $1466 $1500 $130 $94 $94 $95 $94 $837 $879 $74 $582 $641 $610 $60 $559 $353 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds. Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds. 5
  • 7. Life Science M&A Transactions: 2007 – 2012 YTD M&A over the past 5 years highlighted important trends, including pharma’s need for greater access to antibody platforms, larger biopharmas buying their partners, and pharma’s need for enhanced pipelines. Public and Private Life Science Acquisitions, 2007-2012 YTD (total transaction value in billions of USD, # of transactions) $300 40 35 250 $228 8 30 Transaction Value ($bn) 200 25 # Transactions 150 20 220 15 100 $83 $71 10 11 31 $48 $47 50 2 12 5 59 52 36 45 0 0 - 2007 - 2008 - 2009 - 2010 2011-- YTD Public Acquisitions Private Acquisitions Total # Acquisitions # Public Acquisitions # Private Acquisitions 6 Source: MergerMarket, EvaluatePharma, Company information. Note: Public and Private transaction values include earn-outs and CVRs.