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“Explaining Social Behavior”
        Explanation
          Jon Elster
Explanation: General
• Main task of social science is to explain social
  phenomena
• Event-event pattern of explanation
• Fact-event, event-fact, and fact-fact
  explanation
• Nonevents
   – Kitty Genovese case
The Structure of Explanations
• First; is fact a fact or did the event actually
  take place?
• Puzzles
   – Explanatory puzzles should be addressed in the
     five-step sequence. This is called the hypothetico-
     deductive method
hypothetico-deductive method:

1. Choose the theory
2. Specify a hypothesis
3. Identify plausible accounts that might provide
   alternative explanations
4. For each rival accounts, refute it by pointing to
   additional testable (not observed) implications
5. Strengthen the proposed hypothesis by showing
   testable (observed) implications
Broadway shows example
Why do more Broadway shows receive
standing ovations today than twenty years
ago?
Statement should be distinguished from casual
                explanation
1. True casual statements. Ex: food poisoning
2. Statements about correlations. Ex: Alexis de Tocqueville about
    marriage for love
   – Direction of causality is also important
3. Statements about necessitation
4. Statements about storytelling
5. Statistical explanations
6. Answers to “why questions”
7. Predictions
The End
Farhad Safarov

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Explanation

  • 1. “Explaining Social Behavior” Explanation Jon Elster
  • 2. Explanation: General • Main task of social science is to explain social phenomena • Event-event pattern of explanation • Fact-event, event-fact, and fact-fact explanation • Nonevents – Kitty Genovese case
  • 3. The Structure of Explanations • First; is fact a fact or did the event actually take place? • Puzzles – Explanatory puzzles should be addressed in the five-step sequence. This is called the hypothetico- deductive method
  • 4. hypothetico-deductive method: 1. Choose the theory 2. Specify a hypothesis 3. Identify plausible accounts that might provide alternative explanations 4. For each rival accounts, refute it by pointing to additional testable (not observed) implications 5. Strengthen the proposed hypothesis by showing testable (observed) implications
  • 5. Broadway shows example Why do more Broadway shows receive standing ovations today than twenty years ago?
  • 6. Statement should be distinguished from casual explanation 1. True casual statements. Ex: food poisoning 2. Statements about correlations. Ex: Alexis de Tocqueville about marriage for love – Direction of causality is also important 3. Statements about necessitation 4. Statements about storytelling 5. Statistical explanations 6. Answers to “why questions” 7. Predictions