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LETTER                                                                                                                                                                 doi:10.1038/nature10684




One or more bound planets per Milky Way star from
microlensing observations
A. Cassan1,2,3, D. Kubas1,2,4, J.-P. Beaulieu1,2,25, M. Dominik1,5, K. Horne1,5, J. Greenhill1,6, J. Wambsganss1,3, J. Menzies1,7,
A. Williams1,8, U. G. Jørgensen1,9, A. Udalski10,11, D. P. Bennett1,12, M. D. Albrow1,13, V. Batista1,2, S. Brillant1,4, J. A. R. Caldwell1,14,
A. Cole1,6, Ch. Coutures1,2, K. H. Cook1,15, S. Dieters1,6, D. Dominis Prester1,16, J. Donatowicz1,17, P. Fouque1,18, K. Hill1,6,
                                                                                                                     ´
N. Kains1,19, S. Kane1,20, J.-B. Marquette1,2, R. Martin1,8, K. R. Pollard1,13, K. C. Sahu1,14, C. Vinter1,9, D. Warren1,6, B. Watson1,6,
M. Zub1,3, T. Sumi21,22, M. K. Szymanski10,11, M. Kubiak10,11, R. Poleski10,11, I. Soszynski10,11, K. Ulaczyk10,11, G. Pietrzynski10,11,23
                                       ´                                                                                            ´
& Ł. Wyrzykowski10,11,24


Most known extrasolar planets (exoplanets) have been discovered                                        with the PLANET 2002–07 strategy. This leaves us with three compatible
using the radial velocity1,2 or transit3 methods. Both are biased                                      detections: OGLE 2005-BLG-071Lb (refs 16, 17) a Jupiter-like planet of
towards planets that are relatively close to their parent stars, and                                   mass M < 3.8 MJ and semi-major axis a < 3.6 AU; OGLE 2007-BLG-
studies find that around 17–30% (refs 4, 5) of solar-like stars host a                                 349Lb (ref. 18), a Neptune-like planet (M < 0.2 MJ, a < 3 AU); and the
planet. Gravitational microlensing6–9, on the other hand, probes
                                                                                                                                                            48




                                                                                                                                                                                                   1
planets that are further away from their stars. Recently, a popu-




                                                                                                                                                                                14
                                                                                                                                                                  34
                                                                                                                                                                  42




                                                                                                                                                                                              2
                                                                                                                                                                                          4
                                                                                                                                                                                      8
                                                                                                                                                                 24
                                                                                                                             1
lation of planets that are unbound or very far from their stars was




                                                                                                                                                                                                       0.4
                                                                                                                        3
discovered by microlensing10. These planets are at least as numerous                                                 103
                                                                                                                      10
as the stars in the Milky Way10. Here we report a statistical analysis of




                                                                                                                                      4


                                                                                                                                                14
microlensing data (gathered in 2002–07) that reveals the fraction of                                                                                                   J
bound planets 0.5–10 AU (Sun–Earth distance) from their stars. We
find that 17z6 % of stars host Jupiter-mass planets (0.3–10 MJ, where                                                   2


                                                                                                                                        2
              {9                                                                                                     102
                                                                                                                      10                                                         S
                                                                                                       Mass, M (M)




MJ 5 318 M› and M› is Earth’s mass). Cool Neptunes (10–30 M›)                                                                                           8
                                                                                                        Mass (M⊕




                                                                                                                                                                  4




                                                                                                                                                                           1
and super-Earths (5–10 M›) are even more common: their respec-




                                                                                                                                                                      2
                                                                                                                                        1
tive abundances per star are 52z22 % and 62z35 %. We conclude that




                                                                                                                                                                           4
                                  {29           {37




                                                                                                                                                                           0.
stars are orbited by planets as a rule, rather than the exception.
                                                                                                                                      0.

                                                                                                                                                                                               N
                                                                                                                                       4


                                                                                                                                                                                          U
   Gravitational microlensing is very rare: fewer than one star per                                                  10
million undergoes a microlensing effect at any time. Until now, the
planet-search strategy7 has been mainly split into two levels. First,
wide-field survey campaigns such as the Optical Gravitational
Lensing Experiment (OGLE; ref. 11) and Microlensing Observations
in Astrophysics (MOA; ref. 12) cover millions of stars every clear night                                               1                        E
to identify and alert the community to newly discovered stellar micro-                                                 0.1                     1                                 10
lensing events as early as possible. Then, follow-up collaborations such                                                                     Semi-major axis, a a (AU)
                                                                                                                                              Semi-major axis, (AU)
as the Probing Lensing Anomalies Network (PLANET; ref. 13) and the                                     Figure 1 | Survey-sensitivity diagram. Blue contours, expected number of
Microlensing Follow-Up Network (mFUN; refs 14, 15) monitor                                             detections from our survey if all lens stars have exactly one planet with orbit size
selected candidates at a very high rate to search for very short-lived                                 a and mass M. Red points, all microlensing planet detections in the time span
light curve anomalies, using global networks of telescopes.                                            2002–07, with error bars (s.d.) reported from the literature. White points,
   To ease the detection-efficiency calculation, the observing strategy                                planets consistent with PLANET observing strategy. Red letters, planets of our
should remain homogeneous for the time span considered in the ana-                                     Solar System, marked for comparison: E, Earth; J, Jupiter; S, Saturn; U,Uranus;
                                                                                                       N, Neptune. This diagram shows that the sensitivity of our survey extends
lysis. As detailed in the Supplementary Information, this condition is
                                                                                                       roughly from 0.5 AU to 10 AU for planetary orbits, and from 5 M› to 10 MJ. The
fulfilled for microlensing events identified by OGLE and followed up by                                majority of all detected planets have masses below that of Saturn, although the
PLANET in the six-year time span 2002207. Although a number of                                         sensitivity of the survey is much lower for such planets than for more massive,
microlensing planets were detected by the various collaborations                                       Jupiter-like planets. Low-mass planets are thus found to be much more
between 2002 and 2007 (Fig. 1), only a subset of them are consistent                                   common than giant planets.
1
                                                                                                          ´
 Probing Lensing Anomalies Network (PLANET) Collaboration, Institut d’Astrophysique de Paris, Universite Pierre & Marie Curie, UMR7095 UPMC–CNRS 98 bis boulevard Arago, 75014 Paris, France.
2
 Institut d’Astrophysique de Paris, Universite Pierre & Marie Curie, UMR7095 UPMC–CNRS 98 bis boulevard Arago, 75014 Paris, France. 3Astronomischen Rechen-Instituts (ARI), Zentrum fur Astronomie,
                                             ´                                                                                                                                             ¨
Heidelberg University, Monchhofstrasse 12–14, 69120 Heidelberg, Germany. 4European Southern Observatory, Alonso de Cordoba 3107, Vitacura, Casilla 19001, Santiago, Chile. 5Scottish Universities
                          ¨
Physics Alliance (SUPA), University of St Andrews, School of Physics & Astronomy, North Haugh, St Andrews, KY16 9SS, UK. 6University of Tasmania, School of Maths and Physics, Private bag 37, GPO
Hobart, Tasmania 7001, Australia. 7South African Astronomical Observatory, PO Box 9 Observatory 7935, South Africa. 8Perth Observatory, Walnut Road, Bickley, Perth 6076, Australia. 9Niels Bohr Institute
and Centre for Star and Planet Formation, Juliane Mariesvej 30, 2100 Copenhagen, Denmark. 10Optical Gravitational Lensing Experiment (OGLE) Collaboration, Warsaw University Observatory, Al.
Ujazdowskie 4, 00-478 Warszawa, Poland. 11Warsaw University Observatory, Al. Ujazdowskie 4, 00-478 Warszawa, Poland. 12University of Notre Dame, Physics Department, 225 Nieuwland Science Hall,
Notre Dame, Indiana 46530, USA. 13University of Canterbury, Department of Physics & Astronomy, Private Bag 4800, Christchurch 8140, New Zealand. 14Space Telescope Science Institute, 3700 San
Martin Drive, Baltimore, Maryland 21218, USA. 15Institute of Geophysics and Planetary Physics, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, PO Box 808, California 94550, USA. 16Department of Physics,
University of Rijeka, Omladinska 14, 51000 Rijeka, Croatia. 17Technical University of Vienna, Department of Computing, Wiedner Hauptstrasse 10, 1040 Vienna, Austria. 18Laboratoire Astrophysique de
Toulouse (LATT), Universite de Toulouse, CNRS, 31400 Toulouse, France. 19European Southern Observatory Headquarters, Karl-Schwarzschild-Strasse 2, 85748 Garching, Germany. 20NASA Exoplanet
                            ´
Science Institute, Caltech, MS 100-22, 770 South Wilson Avenue, Pasadena, California 91125, USA. 21Microlensing Observations in Astrophysics (MOA) Collaboration, Department of Earth and Space
Science, Osaka University, Osaka 560-0043, Japan. 22Department of Earth and Space Science, Osaka University, Osaka 560-0043, Japan. 23Universidad de Concepcion, Departamento de Fisica, Casilla
                                                                                                                                                                     ´
160-C, Concepcion, Chile. 24Institute of Astronomy, University of Cambridge, Madingley Road, Cambridge CB3 0HA, UK. 25Department of Physics and Astronomy, University College London, Gower Street,
                  ´
London WC1E 6BT, UK.


                                                                                                                                  1 2 J A N U A RY 2 0 1 2 | VO L 4 8 1 | N AT U R E | 1 6 7
                                                            ©2012 Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved
RESEARCH LETTER

super-Earth planet OGLE 2005-BLG-390Lb (refs 19, 20; M < 5.5 M›,                 a
a < 2.6 AU).                                                                                             10               Cool-planet mass function
   To compute the detection efficiency for the 2002–07 PLANET
seasons, we selected a catalogue of unperturbed (that is, single-lens-                                                                                            Microlensing
                                                                                                                                                                  (slope)
like) microlensing events using a standard procedure21, as explained in
the Supplementary Information. For each light curve, we defined the




                                                                                f = dN/(dlogM×dloga)
                                                                                                          1                                     Microlensing
planet-detection efficiency e(logd,logq) as the probability that a detect-                                                                      (normalization)
able planet signal would arise if the lens star had one companion
planet, with mass ratio q and projected orbital separation d (in
Einstein-ring radius units; ref. 22). The efficiency was then trans-                                     -1
                                                                                                       10 –1
formed23 to e(loga,logM). The survey sensitivity S(loga,logM) was
obtained by summing the detection efficiencies over all individual
microlensing events. It provided the number of planets that our survey
would expect to detect if all lens stars had exactly one planet of mass M                                -2                                        Doppler
and semi-major axis a.                                                                                 10 –2                                       (normalization, slope)
   We used 2004 as a representative season from the PLANET survey.                                             E                    UN            S          J
Among the 98 events monitored, 43 met our quality-control criteria               b                       50
and were processed24. Most of the efficiency comes from the 26 most                                                PLANET 2002–07 sensitivity
densely covered light curves, which provide a representative and reli-                                   40
able sub-sample of events. We then computed the survey sensitivity for
                                                                                                         30




                                                                                S(logM)
the whole time span 2002–07 by weighting each observing season
relative to 2004, according to the number of events observed by
                                                                                                         20
PLANET for different ranges of peak magnification. This is described
in the Supplementary Information, and illustrated in Supplementary
                                                                                                         10
Fig. 2. The resulting planet sensitivity is plotted in blue in Fig. 1, where
the labelled contours show the corresponding expected number of                                           0
                                                                                 c
detections. The figure shows that the core sensitivity covers                                            10
                                                                                                                   PLANET 2002–07 detections
0.5210 AU for masses between those of Uranus/Neptune and ten times
the mass of Jupiter, and extends (with limited sensitivity) down to                                       8
                                                                                   dk/dlogM




about 5 M›. As inherent to the microlensing technique, our sample                                         6
of event-host stars probes the natural mass distribution of stars in the
Milky Way (K–M dwarfs), in the typical mass range of 0.1421.0 M[                                          4
(see Supplementary Fig. 3).                                                                               2
   To derive the actual abundance of exoplanets from our survey, we                                       0
proceeded as follows. Let the planetary mass function, f(loga,logM) ;                                          1               10              100                 1,000
dN/(dloga 3 dlogM), where N is the average number of planets per                                                                           Mass (M⊕)
star. We then integrate the product f(loga,logM) S(loga,logM) over
loga and logM. This gives E(f), the number of detections we can expect          Figure 2 | Cool-planet mass function. a, The cool-planet mass function, f, for
from our survey. For k (fractional) detections, the model then predicts         the orbital range 0.5210 AU as derived by microlensing. Red solid line, best fit
a Poisson probability distribution P(kjE) 5 e2EEk/k!. A Bayesian ana-           for this study, based on combining the results from PLANET 2002–07 and
                                                                                previous microlensing estimates18,25 for slope (blue line; error, light-blue shaded
lysis assuming an uninformative uniform prior P(logf) ; 1 finally
                                                                                area, s.d.) and normalization (blue point; error bars, s.d.). We find dN/
yields the probability distribution P(logfjk) that is used to constrain         (dloga dlogM) 5 1020.62 6 0.22 (M/MSat) 0.73 6 0.17, where N is the average
the planetary mass function.                                                    number of planets per star, a the semi-major axis and M the planet mass. The
   Although our derived planet-detection sensitivity extends over               pivot point of the power-law mass function is at the mass of Saturn
almost three orders of magnitude of planet masses (roughly 5 M› to              (MSat 5 95 M›). The grey shaded area is the 68% confidence interval around
10 MJ), it covers fewer than 1.5 orders of magnitude in orbit sizes             the median (dash-dotted black line). For comparison, the constraint from
(0.5210 AU), thus providing little information about the dependence             Doppler measurements27 (green line and point; error, green shaded area, s.d.) is
of f on a. Within these limits, however, we find that the mass function is      also displayed. Differences can arise because the Doppler technique focuses
approximately consistent with a flat distribution in loga (that is, f does      mostly on solar-like stars, whereas microlensing a priori probes all types of host
                                                                                stars. Moreover, microlensing planets are located further away from their stars
not explicitly depend on a). The planet-detection sensitivity integrated
                                                                                and are cooler than Doppler planets. These two populations of planets may
over loga, or S(logM), is displayed in Fig. 2b. The distribution prob-          then follow a rather different mass function. b, PLANET 2002–07 sensitivity, S:
abilities of the mass for the three detections (computed according to           the expected number of detections if all stars had exactly one planet, regardless
the mass-error bars reported in the literature) are plotted in Fig. 2c          of its orbit. c, PLANET 2002–07 detections, k. Thin black curves, distribution
(black curves), as is their sum (red curve).                                    probabilities of the mass for the three detections contained in the PLANET
   To study the dependence of f on mass, we assume that to the first            sample; red line, the sum of these distributions.
order, f is well-approximated by a power-law model: f 5 f0 (M/M0)a,
where f0 (the normalization factor) and a (the slope of the power-law)          10 planet detections. We obtained f 5 1020.62 6 0.22 (M/M0)20.73 6 0.17
are the parameters to be derived and M0 a fiducial mass (in practice,           (red line in Fig. 2a) with a pivot point at M0 < 95 M›; that is, at
the pivot point of the mass function). Previous works18,25–27 on planet         Saturn’s mass. The median of f and the 68% confidence interval around
frequency have demonstrated that a power law provides a fair descrip-           the median are marked by the dashed lines and the grey area.
tion of the global behaviour of f with planetary mass. Apart from the              Hence, microlensing delivers a determination of the full planetary
constraint based on our PLANET data, we also made use in our ana-               mass function of cool planets in the separation range 0.5210 AU. Our
lysis of the previous constraints obtained by microlensing: an estimate         measurements confirm that low-mass planets are very common, and
of the normalization18 f0 (0.36 6 0.15) and an estimate of the slope25          that the number of planets increases with decreasing planet mass, in
a (20.68 6 0.2), displayed respectively as the blue point and the blue          agreement with the predictions of the core-accretion theory of planet
lines in Fig. 2. The new constraint presented here therefore relies on          formation28. The first microlensing study of the abundances of cool gas
1 6 8 | N AT U R E | VO L 4 8 1 | 1 2 J A N U A RY 2 0 1 2
                                                  ©2012 Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved
LETTER RESEARCH

giants21 found that fewer than 33% of M dwarfs have a Jupiter-like                            20. Kubas, D. et al. Limits on additional planetary companions to OGLE 2005-BLG-
                                                                                                  390L. Astron. Astrophys. 483, 317–324 (2008).
planet between 1.524 AU, and even lower limits of 18% have been                               21. Gaudi, B. S. et al. Microlensing constraints on the frequency of Jupiter-mass
reported29,30. These limits are compatible with our measurement of                                companions: analysis of 5 years of PLANET photometry. Astrophys. J. 566,
5z2 % for masses ranging from Saturn to 10 times Jupiter, in the same
 {2
                                                                                                  463–499 (2002).
                                                                                              22. Einstein, A. Lens-like action of a star by the deviation of light in the gravitational
orbit range.                                                                                      field. Science 84, 506–507 (1936).
   From our derived planetary mass function, we estimate that within                          23. Dominik, M. Stochastic distributions of lens and source properties for observed
0.5210 AU (that is, for a wider range of orbital separations than pre-                            galactic microlensing events. Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 367, 669–692 (2006).
                                                                                              24. Cassan, A. An alternative parameterisation for binary-lens caustic-crossing events.
vious studies), on average 17z6 % of stars host a ‘Jupiter’ (0.3210 MJ)
                                {9                                                                Astron. Astrophys. 491, 587–595 (2008).
and 52z22 % of stars host Neptune-like planets (10230 M›). Taking
        {29                                                                                   25. Sumi, T. et al. A cold Neptune-mass planet OGLE-2007-BLG-368Lb: cold
the full range of planets that our survey can detect (0.5210 AU, 5 M› to                          Neptunes are common. Astrophys. J. 710, 1641–1653 (2010).
                                                                                              26. Howard, A. W. et al. The occurrence and mass distribution of close-in super-Earths,
10 MJ), we find that on average every star has 1:6z0:72 planets. This
                                                       {0:89                                      Neptunes, and Jupiters. Science 330, 653–655 (2010).
result is consistent with every star of the Milky Way hosting (on                             27. Cumming, A. et al. The Keck Planet Search: Detectability and the minimum mass
average) one planet or more in an orbital-distance range of 0.5–                                  and orbital period distribution of extrasolar planets. Publ. Astron. Soc. Pacif. 120,
10 AU. Planets around stars in our Galaxy thus seem to be the rule                                531–554 (2008).
                                                                                              28. Pollack, J. B. et al. Formation of the giant planets by concurrent accretion of solids
rather than the exception.                                                                        and gas. Icarus 124, 62–85 (1996).
                                                                                              29. Tsapras, Y. et al. Microlensing limits on numbers and orbits of extrasolar planets
Received 19 January; accepted 28 October 2011.                                                    from the 1998–2000 OGLE events. Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 343, 1131–1144
                                                                                                  (2003).
1.    Mayor, M. & Queloz, D. A. Jupiter-mass companion to a solar-type star. Nature 378,      30. Snodgrass, C. et al. The abundance of Galactic planets from OGLE-III 2002
      355–359 (1995).                                                                             microlensing data. Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 351, 967–975 (2004).
2.    Marcy, G. W. & Butler, R. P. A planetary companion to 70 Virginis. Astrophys. J. 464,
                                                                                              Supplementary Information is linked to the online version of the paper at
      L147–L151 (1996).
                                                                                              www.nature.com/nature.
3.    Charbonneau, D., Brown, T. M., Latham, D. W. & Mayor, M. Detection of planetary
      transits across a Sun-like star. Astrophys. J. 529, L45–L48 (2000).                     Acknowledgements Support for the PLANET project was provided by the HOLMES
4.    Howard, A. et al. Planet occurrence within 0.25 AU of Solar-type stars from Kepler.     grant from the French Agence Nationale de la Recherche (ANR), the French National
      Astrophys. J. (submitted); preprint at http://arxiv.org/abs/1103.2541 (2011).           Centre for Scientific Research (CNRS), NASA, the US National Science Foundation, the
5.    Mayor, M. et al. The HARPS search for southern extra-solar planets XXXIV.               Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory/National Nuclear Security Administration/
      Occurrence, mass distribution and orbital properties of super-Earths and                Department of Energy, the French National Programme of Planetology, the Program of
      Neptune-mass planets. Astron. Astrophys. (submitted); preprint at http://arxiv.org/     International Cooperation in Science France–Australia, D. Warren, the German
      abs/1109.2497 (2011).                                                                   Research Foundation, the Instrument Center for Danish Astronomy and the Danish
6.    Mao, S. & Paczynski, B. Gravitational microlensing by double stars and planetary        Natural Science Research Council. The OGLE collaboration is grateful for funding from
      systems. Astrophys. J. 374, L37–L40 (1991).                                             the European Research Council Advanced Grants Program. K.Ho. acknowledges
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      microlenses. Astrophys. J. 396, 104–114 (1992).                                         Research Fellow.
8.    Bennett, D. P. & Rhie, S. H. Detecting Earth-mass planets with gravitational
      microlensing. Astrophys. J. 472, 660–664 (1996).                                        Author Contributions A.Ca. led the analysis and conducted the modelling and
9.    Wambsganss, J. Discovering Galactic planets by gravitational microlensing:              statistical analyses. A.Ca. and D.K. selected light curves from 2002–07 PLANET/OGLE
      magnification patterns and light curves. Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 284, 172–188         microlensing seasons, analysed the data and wrote the Letter and Supplement. D.K.
      (1997).                                                                                 computed the magnification maps used for the detection-efficiency calculations.
10.   Sumi, T. et al. Unbound or distant planetary mass population detected by                J.-P.B. and Ch.C. wrote the software for online data reduction at the telescopes. J.-P.B.
      gravitational microlensing. Nature 473, 349–352 (2011).                                 led the PLANET collaboration, with M.D., J.G., J.M. and A.W.; P.F. and M.D.A. contributed
11.   Udalski, A. The Optical Gravitational Lensing Experiment. Real time data analysis       to online and offline data reduction. M.D. contributed to the conversion of the detection
      systems in the OGLE-III survey. Acta Astronaut. 53, 291–305 (2003).                     efficiencies to physical parameter space and developed the PLANET real-time display
                                                                                              system with A.W., M.D.A. and Ch.C.; K.Ho. and A.Ca. developed and tested the Bayesian
12.   Bond, I. A. et al. Real-time difference imaging analysis of MOA Galactic bulge
                                                                                              formulation for fitting the two-parameter power-law mass function. J.G. edited the
      observations during 2000. Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 327, 868–880 (2001).
                                                                                              manuscript, conducted the main data cleaning and managed telescope operations at
13.   Albrow, M. et al. The 1995 pilot campaign of PLANET: searching for microlensing
                                                                                              Mount Canopus (1 m) in Hobart. J.W. wrote the original magnification maps software,
      anomalies through precise, rapid, round-the-clock monitoring. Astrophys. J. 509,
                                                                                              discussed the main implications and edited the manuscript. J.M., A.W. and U.G.J.
      687–702 (1998).
                                                                                              respectively managed telescope operations in South Africa (South African
14.   Gould, A. et al. Microlens OGLE-2005-BLG-169 implies that cool Neptune-like
                                                                                              Astronomical Observatory 1 m), Australia (Perth 0.61 m) and La Silla (Danish 1.54 m).
      planets are common. Astrophys. J. 644, L37–L40 (2006).
                                                                                              A.U. led the OGLE campaign and provided the final OGLE photometry. D.P.B, V.B., S.B.,
15.   Gaudi, B. S. et al. Discovery of a Jupiter/Saturn analog with gravitational
                                                                                              J.A.R.C., A.Co., K.H.C., S.D., D.D.P., J.D., P.F., K.Hi., N.K., S.K., J.-B.M., R.M., K.R.P., K.C.S.,
      microlensing. Science 319, 927–930 (2008).
                                                                                              C.V., D.W., B.W. and M.Z. were involved in the PLANET observing strategy and/or
16.   Udalski, A. et al. A Jovian-mass planet in microlensing event OGLE-2005-BLG-071.        PLANET data acquisition, reduction, real-time analysis and/or commented on the
      Astrophys. J. 628, L109–L112 (2005).                                                    manuscript. T.S. commented on the manuscript. M.K.S., M.K., R.P., I.S., K.U., G.P. and
17.   Dong, S. et al. OGLE-2005-BLG-071Lb, the most massive M dwarf planetary                 Ł.W. contributed to OGLE data.
      companion? Astrophys. J. 695, 970–987 (2009).
18.   Gould, A. et al. Frequency of solar-like systems and of ice and gas giants beyond the   Author Information Reprints and permissions information is available at
      snow line from high-magnification microlensing events in 2005–2008. Astrophys.          www.nature.com/reprints. The authors declare no competing financial interests.
      J. 720, 1073–1089 (2010).                                                               Readers are welcome to comment on the online version of this article at
19.   Beaulieu, J.-P. et al. Discovery of a cool planet of 5.5 Earth masses through           www.nature.com/nature. Correspondence and requests for materials should be
      gravitational microlensing. Nature 439, 437–440 (2006).                                 addressed to A.C. (cassan@iap.fr).




                                                                                                                         1 2 J A N U A RY 2 0 1 2 | VO L 4 8 1 | N AT U R E | 1 6 9
                                                        ©2012 Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved

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Exoplanets per milk_way_stars

  • 1. LETTER doi:10.1038/nature10684 One or more bound planets per Milky Way star from microlensing observations A. Cassan1,2,3, D. Kubas1,2,4, J.-P. Beaulieu1,2,25, M. Dominik1,5, K. Horne1,5, J. Greenhill1,6, J. Wambsganss1,3, J. Menzies1,7, A. Williams1,8, U. G. Jørgensen1,9, A. Udalski10,11, D. P. Bennett1,12, M. D. Albrow1,13, V. Batista1,2, S. Brillant1,4, J. A. R. Caldwell1,14, A. Cole1,6, Ch. Coutures1,2, K. H. Cook1,15, S. Dieters1,6, D. Dominis Prester1,16, J. Donatowicz1,17, P. Fouque1,18, K. Hill1,6, ´ N. Kains1,19, S. Kane1,20, J.-B. Marquette1,2, R. Martin1,8, K. R. Pollard1,13, K. C. Sahu1,14, C. Vinter1,9, D. Warren1,6, B. Watson1,6, M. Zub1,3, T. Sumi21,22, M. K. Szymanski10,11, M. Kubiak10,11, R. Poleski10,11, I. Soszynski10,11, K. Ulaczyk10,11, G. Pietrzynski10,11,23 ´ ´ & Ł. Wyrzykowski10,11,24 Most known extrasolar planets (exoplanets) have been discovered with the PLANET 2002–07 strategy. This leaves us with three compatible using the radial velocity1,2 or transit3 methods. Both are biased detections: OGLE 2005-BLG-071Lb (refs 16, 17) a Jupiter-like planet of towards planets that are relatively close to their parent stars, and mass M < 3.8 MJ and semi-major axis a < 3.6 AU; OGLE 2007-BLG- studies find that around 17–30% (refs 4, 5) of solar-like stars host a 349Lb (ref. 18), a Neptune-like planet (M < 0.2 MJ, a < 3 AU); and the planet. Gravitational microlensing6–9, on the other hand, probes 48 1 planets that are further away from their stars. Recently, a popu- 14 34 42 2 4 8 24 1 lation of planets that are unbound or very far from their stars was 0.4 3 discovered by microlensing10. These planets are at least as numerous 103 10 as the stars in the Milky Way10. Here we report a statistical analysis of 4 14 microlensing data (gathered in 2002–07) that reveals the fraction of J bound planets 0.5–10 AU (Sun–Earth distance) from their stars. We find that 17z6 % of stars host Jupiter-mass planets (0.3–10 MJ, where 2 2 {9 102 10 S Mass, M (M) MJ 5 318 M› and M› is Earth’s mass). Cool Neptunes (10–30 M›) 8 Mass (M⊕ 4 1 and super-Earths (5–10 M›) are even more common: their respec- 2 1 tive abundances per star are 52z22 % and 62z35 %. We conclude that 4 {29 {37 0. stars are orbited by planets as a rule, rather than the exception. 0. N 4 U Gravitational microlensing is very rare: fewer than one star per 10 million undergoes a microlensing effect at any time. Until now, the planet-search strategy7 has been mainly split into two levels. First, wide-field survey campaigns such as the Optical Gravitational Lensing Experiment (OGLE; ref. 11) and Microlensing Observations in Astrophysics (MOA; ref. 12) cover millions of stars every clear night 1 E to identify and alert the community to newly discovered stellar micro- 0.1 1 10 lensing events as early as possible. Then, follow-up collaborations such Semi-major axis, a a (AU) Semi-major axis, (AU) as the Probing Lensing Anomalies Network (PLANET; ref. 13) and the Figure 1 | Survey-sensitivity diagram. Blue contours, expected number of Microlensing Follow-Up Network (mFUN; refs 14, 15) monitor detections from our survey if all lens stars have exactly one planet with orbit size selected candidates at a very high rate to search for very short-lived a and mass M. Red points, all microlensing planet detections in the time span light curve anomalies, using global networks of telescopes. 2002–07, with error bars (s.d.) reported from the literature. White points, To ease the detection-efficiency calculation, the observing strategy planets consistent with PLANET observing strategy. Red letters, planets of our should remain homogeneous for the time span considered in the ana- Solar System, marked for comparison: E, Earth; J, Jupiter; S, Saturn; U,Uranus; N, Neptune. This diagram shows that the sensitivity of our survey extends lysis. As detailed in the Supplementary Information, this condition is roughly from 0.5 AU to 10 AU for planetary orbits, and from 5 M› to 10 MJ. The fulfilled for microlensing events identified by OGLE and followed up by majority of all detected planets have masses below that of Saturn, although the PLANET in the six-year time span 2002207. Although a number of sensitivity of the survey is much lower for such planets than for more massive, microlensing planets were detected by the various collaborations Jupiter-like planets. Low-mass planets are thus found to be much more between 2002 and 2007 (Fig. 1), only a subset of them are consistent common than giant planets. 1 ´ Probing Lensing Anomalies Network (PLANET) Collaboration, Institut d’Astrophysique de Paris, Universite Pierre & Marie Curie, UMR7095 UPMC–CNRS 98 bis boulevard Arago, 75014 Paris, France. 2 Institut d’Astrophysique de Paris, Universite Pierre & Marie Curie, UMR7095 UPMC–CNRS 98 bis boulevard Arago, 75014 Paris, France. 3Astronomischen Rechen-Instituts (ARI), Zentrum fur Astronomie, ´ ¨ Heidelberg University, Monchhofstrasse 12–14, 69120 Heidelberg, Germany. 4European Southern Observatory, Alonso de Cordoba 3107, Vitacura, Casilla 19001, Santiago, Chile. 5Scottish Universities ¨ Physics Alliance (SUPA), University of St Andrews, School of Physics & Astronomy, North Haugh, St Andrews, KY16 9SS, UK. 6University of Tasmania, School of Maths and Physics, Private bag 37, GPO Hobart, Tasmania 7001, Australia. 7South African Astronomical Observatory, PO Box 9 Observatory 7935, South Africa. 8Perth Observatory, Walnut Road, Bickley, Perth 6076, Australia. 9Niels Bohr Institute and Centre for Star and Planet Formation, Juliane Mariesvej 30, 2100 Copenhagen, Denmark. 10Optical Gravitational Lensing Experiment (OGLE) Collaboration, Warsaw University Observatory, Al. Ujazdowskie 4, 00-478 Warszawa, Poland. 11Warsaw University Observatory, Al. Ujazdowskie 4, 00-478 Warszawa, Poland. 12University of Notre Dame, Physics Department, 225 Nieuwland Science Hall, Notre Dame, Indiana 46530, USA. 13University of Canterbury, Department of Physics & Astronomy, Private Bag 4800, Christchurch 8140, New Zealand. 14Space Telescope Science Institute, 3700 San Martin Drive, Baltimore, Maryland 21218, USA. 15Institute of Geophysics and Planetary Physics, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, PO Box 808, California 94550, USA. 16Department of Physics, University of Rijeka, Omladinska 14, 51000 Rijeka, Croatia. 17Technical University of Vienna, Department of Computing, Wiedner Hauptstrasse 10, 1040 Vienna, Austria. 18Laboratoire Astrophysique de Toulouse (LATT), Universite de Toulouse, CNRS, 31400 Toulouse, France. 19European Southern Observatory Headquarters, Karl-Schwarzschild-Strasse 2, 85748 Garching, Germany. 20NASA Exoplanet ´ Science Institute, Caltech, MS 100-22, 770 South Wilson Avenue, Pasadena, California 91125, USA. 21Microlensing Observations in Astrophysics (MOA) Collaboration, Department of Earth and Space Science, Osaka University, Osaka 560-0043, Japan. 22Department of Earth and Space Science, Osaka University, Osaka 560-0043, Japan. 23Universidad de Concepcion, Departamento de Fisica, Casilla ´ 160-C, Concepcion, Chile. 24Institute of Astronomy, University of Cambridge, Madingley Road, Cambridge CB3 0HA, UK. 25Department of Physics and Astronomy, University College London, Gower Street, ´ London WC1E 6BT, UK. 1 2 J A N U A RY 2 0 1 2 | VO L 4 8 1 | N AT U R E | 1 6 7 ©2012 Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved
  • 2. RESEARCH LETTER super-Earth planet OGLE 2005-BLG-390Lb (refs 19, 20; M < 5.5 M›, a a < 2.6 AU). 10 Cool-planet mass function To compute the detection efficiency for the 2002–07 PLANET seasons, we selected a catalogue of unperturbed (that is, single-lens- Microlensing (slope) like) microlensing events using a standard procedure21, as explained in the Supplementary Information. For each light curve, we defined the f = dN/(dlogM×dloga) 1 Microlensing planet-detection efficiency e(logd,logq) as the probability that a detect- (normalization) able planet signal would arise if the lens star had one companion planet, with mass ratio q and projected orbital separation d (in Einstein-ring radius units; ref. 22). The efficiency was then trans- -1 10 –1 formed23 to e(loga,logM). The survey sensitivity S(loga,logM) was obtained by summing the detection efficiencies over all individual microlensing events. It provided the number of planets that our survey would expect to detect if all lens stars had exactly one planet of mass M -2 Doppler and semi-major axis a. 10 –2 (normalization, slope) We used 2004 as a representative season from the PLANET survey. E UN S J Among the 98 events monitored, 43 met our quality-control criteria b 50 and were processed24. Most of the efficiency comes from the 26 most PLANET 2002–07 sensitivity densely covered light curves, which provide a representative and reli- 40 able sub-sample of events. We then computed the survey sensitivity for 30 S(logM) the whole time span 2002–07 by weighting each observing season relative to 2004, according to the number of events observed by 20 PLANET for different ranges of peak magnification. This is described in the Supplementary Information, and illustrated in Supplementary 10 Fig. 2. The resulting planet sensitivity is plotted in blue in Fig. 1, where the labelled contours show the corresponding expected number of 0 c detections. The figure shows that the core sensitivity covers 10 PLANET 2002–07 detections 0.5210 AU for masses between those of Uranus/Neptune and ten times the mass of Jupiter, and extends (with limited sensitivity) down to 8 dk/dlogM about 5 M›. As inherent to the microlensing technique, our sample 6 of event-host stars probes the natural mass distribution of stars in the Milky Way (K–M dwarfs), in the typical mass range of 0.1421.0 M[ 4 (see Supplementary Fig. 3). 2 To derive the actual abundance of exoplanets from our survey, we 0 proceeded as follows. Let the planetary mass function, f(loga,logM) ; 1 10 100 1,000 dN/(dloga 3 dlogM), where N is the average number of planets per Mass (M⊕) star. We then integrate the product f(loga,logM) S(loga,logM) over loga and logM. This gives E(f), the number of detections we can expect Figure 2 | Cool-planet mass function. a, The cool-planet mass function, f, for from our survey. For k (fractional) detections, the model then predicts the orbital range 0.5210 AU as derived by microlensing. Red solid line, best fit a Poisson probability distribution P(kjE) 5 e2EEk/k!. A Bayesian ana- for this study, based on combining the results from PLANET 2002–07 and previous microlensing estimates18,25 for slope (blue line; error, light-blue shaded lysis assuming an uninformative uniform prior P(logf) ; 1 finally area, s.d.) and normalization (blue point; error bars, s.d.). We find dN/ yields the probability distribution P(logfjk) that is used to constrain (dloga dlogM) 5 1020.62 6 0.22 (M/MSat) 0.73 6 0.17, where N is the average the planetary mass function. number of planets per star, a the semi-major axis and M the planet mass. The Although our derived planet-detection sensitivity extends over pivot point of the power-law mass function is at the mass of Saturn almost three orders of magnitude of planet masses (roughly 5 M› to (MSat 5 95 M›). The grey shaded area is the 68% confidence interval around 10 MJ), it covers fewer than 1.5 orders of magnitude in orbit sizes the median (dash-dotted black line). For comparison, the constraint from (0.5210 AU), thus providing little information about the dependence Doppler measurements27 (green line and point; error, green shaded area, s.d.) is of f on a. Within these limits, however, we find that the mass function is also displayed. Differences can arise because the Doppler technique focuses approximately consistent with a flat distribution in loga (that is, f does mostly on solar-like stars, whereas microlensing a priori probes all types of host stars. Moreover, microlensing planets are located further away from their stars not explicitly depend on a). The planet-detection sensitivity integrated and are cooler than Doppler planets. These two populations of planets may over loga, or S(logM), is displayed in Fig. 2b. The distribution prob- then follow a rather different mass function. b, PLANET 2002–07 sensitivity, S: abilities of the mass for the three detections (computed according to the expected number of detections if all stars had exactly one planet, regardless the mass-error bars reported in the literature) are plotted in Fig. 2c of its orbit. c, PLANET 2002–07 detections, k. Thin black curves, distribution (black curves), as is their sum (red curve). probabilities of the mass for the three detections contained in the PLANET To study the dependence of f on mass, we assume that to the first sample; red line, the sum of these distributions. order, f is well-approximated by a power-law model: f 5 f0 (M/M0)a, where f0 (the normalization factor) and a (the slope of the power-law) 10 planet detections. We obtained f 5 1020.62 6 0.22 (M/M0)20.73 6 0.17 are the parameters to be derived and M0 a fiducial mass (in practice, (red line in Fig. 2a) with a pivot point at M0 < 95 M›; that is, at the pivot point of the mass function). Previous works18,25–27 on planet Saturn’s mass. The median of f and the 68% confidence interval around frequency have demonstrated that a power law provides a fair descrip- the median are marked by the dashed lines and the grey area. tion of the global behaviour of f with planetary mass. Apart from the Hence, microlensing delivers a determination of the full planetary constraint based on our PLANET data, we also made use in our ana- mass function of cool planets in the separation range 0.5210 AU. Our lysis of the previous constraints obtained by microlensing: an estimate measurements confirm that low-mass planets are very common, and of the normalization18 f0 (0.36 6 0.15) and an estimate of the slope25 that the number of planets increases with decreasing planet mass, in a (20.68 6 0.2), displayed respectively as the blue point and the blue agreement with the predictions of the core-accretion theory of planet lines in Fig. 2. The new constraint presented here therefore relies on formation28. The first microlensing study of the abundances of cool gas 1 6 8 | N AT U R E | VO L 4 8 1 | 1 2 J A N U A RY 2 0 1 2 ©2012 Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved
  • 3. LETTER RESEARCH giants21 found that fewer than 33% of M dwarfs have a Jupiter-like 20. Kubas, D. et al. Limits on additional planetary companions to OGLE 2005-BLG- 390L. Astron. Astrophys. 483, 317–324 (2008). planet between 1.524 AU, and even lower limits of 18% have been 21. Gaudi, B. S. et al. Microlensing constraints on the frequency of Jupiter-mass reported29,30. These limits are compatible with our measurement of companions: analysis of 5 years of PLANET photometry. Astrophys. J. 566, 5z2 % for masses ranging from Saturn to 10 times Jupiter, in the same {2 463–499 (2002). 22. Einstein, A. Lens-like action of a star by the deviation of light in the gravitational orbit range. field. Science 84, 506–507 (1936). From our derived planetary mass function, we estimate that within 23. Dominik, M. Stochastic distributions of lens and source properties for observed 0.5210 AU (that is, for a wider range of orbital separations than pre- galactic microlensing events. Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 367, 669–692 (2006). 24. Cassan, A. An alternative parameterisation for binary-lens caustic-crossing events. vious studies), on average 17z6 % of stars host a ‘Jupiter’ (0.3210 MJ) {9 Astron. Astrophys. 491, 587–595 (2008). and 52z22 % of stars host Neptune-like planets (10230 M›). Taking {29 25. Sumi, T. et al. A cold Neptune-mass planet OGLE-2007-BLG-368Lb: cold the full range of planets that our survey can detect (0.5210 AU, 5 M› to Neptunes are common. Astrophys. J. 710, 1641–1653 (2010). 26. Howard, A. W. et al. The occurrence and mass distribution of close-in super-Earths, 10 MJ), we find that on average every star has 1:6z0:72 planets. This {0:89 Neptunes, and Jupiters. Science 330, 653–655 (2010). result is consistent with every star of the Milky Way hosting (on 27. Cumming, A. et al. The Keck Planet Search: Detectability and the minimum mass average) one planet or more in an orbital-distance range of 0.5– and orbital period distribution of extrasolar planets. Publ. Astron. Soc. Pacif. 120, 10 AU. Planets around stars in our Galaxy thus seem to be the rule 531–554 (2008). 28. Pollack, J. B. et al. Formation of the giant planets by concurrent accretion of solids rather than the exception. and gas. Icarus 124, 62–85 (1996). 29. Tsapras, Y. et al. Microlensing limits on numbers and orbits of extrasolar planets Received 19 January; accepted 28 October 2011. from the 1998–2000 OGLE events. Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 343, 1131–1144 (2003). 1. Mayor, M. & Queloz, D. A. Jupiter-mass companion to a solar-type star. Nature 378, 30. Snodgrass, C. et al. The abundance of Galactic planets from OGLE-III 2002 355–359 (1995). microlensing data. Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 351, 967–975 (2004). 2. Marcy, G. W. & Butler, R. P. A planetary companion to 70 Virginis. Astrophys. J. 464, Supplementary Information is linked to the online version of the paper at L147–L151 (1996). www.nature.com/nature. 3. Charbonneau, D., Brown, T. M., Latham, D. W. & Mayor, M. Detection of planetary transits across a Sun-like star. Astrophys. J. 529, L45–L48 (2000). Acknowledgements Support for the PLANET project was provided by the HOLMES 4. Howard, A. et al. Planet occurrence within 0.25 AU of Solar-type stars from Kepler. grant from the French Agence Nationale de la Recherche (ANR), the French National Astrophys. J. (submitted); preprint at http://arxiv.org/abs/1103.2541 (2011). Centre for Scientific Research (CNRS), NASA, the US National Science Foundation, the 5. Mayor, M. et al. The HARPS search for southern extra-solar planets XXXIV. Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory/National Nuclear Security Administration/ Occurrence, mass distribution and orbital properties of super-Earths and Department of Energy, the French National Programme of Planetology, the Program of Neptune-mass planets. Astron. Astrophys. (submitted); preprint at http://arxiv.org/ International Cooperation in Science France–Australia, D. Warren, the German abs/1109.2497 (2011). Research Foundation, the Instrument Center for Danish Astronomy and the Danish 6. Mao, S. & Paczynski, B. Gravitational microlensing by double stars and planetary Natural Science Research Council. The OGLE collaboration is grateful for funding from systems. Astrophys. J. 374, L37–L40 (1991). the European Research Council Advanced Grants Program. K.Ho. acknowledges 7. Gould, A. & Loeb, A. Discovering planetary systems through gravitational support from the Qatar National Research Fund. M.D. is a Royal Society University microlenses. Astrophys. J. 396, 104–114 (1992). Research Fellow. 8. Bennett, D. P. & Rhie, S. H. Detecting Earth-mass planets with gravitational microlensing. Astrophys. J. 472, 660–664 (1996). Author Contributions A.Ca. led the analysis and conducted the modelling and 9. Wambsganss, J. Discovering Galactic planets by gravitational microlensing: statistical analyses. A.Ca. and D.K. selected light curves from 2002–07 PLANET/OGLE magnification patterns and light curves. Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 284, 172–188 microlensing seasons, analysed the data and wrote the Letter and Supplement. D.K. (1997). computed the magnification maps used for the detection-efficiency calculations. 10. Sumi, T. et al. Unbound or distant planetary mass population detected by J.-P.B. and Ch.C. wrote the software for online data reduction at the telescopes. J.-P.B. gravitational microlensing. Nature 473, 349–352 (2011). led the PLANET collaboration, with M.D., J.G., J.M. and A.W.; P.F. and M.D.A. contributed 11. Udalski, A. The Optical Gravitational Lensing Experiment. Real time data analysis to online and offline data reduction. M.D. contributed to the conversion of the detection systems in the OGLE-III survey. Acta Astronaut. 53, 291–305 (2003). efficiencies to physical parameter space and developed the PLANET real-time display system with A.W., M.D.A. and Ch.C.; K.Ho. and A.Ca. developed and tested the Bayesian 12. Bond, I. A. et al. 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A.U. led the OGLE campaign and provided the final OGLE photometry. D.P.B, V.B., S.B., 15. Gaudi, B. S. et al. Discovery of a Jupiter/Saturn analog with gravitational J.A.R.C., A.Co., K.H.C., S.D., D.D.P., J.D., P.F., K.Hi., N.K., S.K., J.-B.M., R.M., K.R.P., K.C.S., microlensing. Science 319, 927–930 (2008). C.V., D.W., B.W. and M.Z. were involved in the PLANET observing strategy and/or 16. Udalski, A. et al. A Jovian-mass planet in microlensing event OGLE-2005-BLG-071. PLANET data acquisition, reduction, real-time analysis and/or commented on the Astrophys. J. 628, L109–L112 (2005). manuscript. T.S. commented on the manuscript. M.K.S., M.K., R.P., I.S., K.U., G.P. and 17. Dong, S. et al. OGLE-2005-BLG-071Lb, the most massive M dwarf planetary Ł.W. contributed to OGLE data. companion? Astrophys. J. 695, 970–987 (2009). 18. Gould, A. et al. Frequency of solar-like systems and of ice and gas giants beyond the Author Information Reprints and permissions information is available at snow line from high-magnification microlensing events in 2005–2008. Astrophys. www.nature.com/reprints. The authors declare no competing financial interests. J. 720, 1073–1089 (2010). Readers are welcome to comment on the online version of this article at 19. Beaulieu, J.-P. et al. Discovery of a cool planet of 5.5 Earth masses through www.nature.com/nature. Correspondence and requests for materials should be gravitational microlensing. Nature 439, 437–440 (2006). addressed to A.C. (cassan@iap.fr). 1 2 J A N U A RY 2 0 1 2 | VO L 4 8 1 | N AT U R E | 1 6 9 ©2012 Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved