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Stocks vs. Options vs. Futures
                 Stocks       Options            Futures
Minimum       $25,000      $25,000        As low as $3,000
acct. balance                             (depends on broker)
to day trade
Leverage      Between 0x   Around 15x for Between 8x and 87x
              and 2x       ATM option
Equivalents   500 shares   10 ATM calls   1 future contract
Capital       100% short   100% short     1256 contracts = 40%
gains:        term         term           short term 60% long
daytrading                                term

                                          Non-1256 contracts =
                                          100% short term
Advantages of Trading the ES
       (S&P e-mini)
ο‚ž No pattern day trading rule
ο‚ž Efficient use of capital
ο‚ž 1256 contract means 60% gains/losses
  taxed at long term rate
ο‚ž VOLATILE!
Futures Basics
ο‚ž Futures trade on margin
ο‚ž Initial margin amount is set by the exchange
  and is subject to change
    ο‚— Example: ES is set by CME at $5,625 per contract
ο‚ž   Each future has a different tick amount, dollar
    value per tick, and trading hours, expiration
    dates
    ο‚— Know these before considering trading a specific
     future
Futures Basics
ο‚ž   Futures are speculations about future prices,
    NOT what the future will actually bring
ο‚ž   Always a buyer and seller
ο‚ž   No difference between buying and selling
ο‚ž   Contracts have expiration dates similar to
    options
    ο‚— But no greeks (other than delta)
ο‚ž   At expiration, held contracts must be
    performed
    ο‚— Goods exchanged, cash settled, etc
    ο‚— Never hold over expiration!
Futures Naming Format
ο‚ž   /XXY#
    ο‚— XX = Symbol name
      β—‹ S&P 500 e-mini = ES
    ο‚— Y = month code
      β—‹ June = M
    ο‚— # = last digit of the year
      β—‹ 2009 = 9
ο‚ž   Example:
    ο‚— June 2009 S&P e-mini = /ESM9
Types of Futures
ο‚ž   Commodity Futures
    ο‚— Gold, Corn, Wheat, Oil, Natural Gas, etc.
ο‚ž   Index Futures
    ο‚— S&P 500, Dow, NASDAQ, Russell 2000, FTSE,
      Nikkei, etc.
ο‚ž   Forex Futures
    ο‚— Euro, Pound, Yen, Aussie, etc.
ο‚ž   Interest Rates
    ο‚— 30 year Treasury bond, 10 year, etc.
ο‚ž   Weather
    ο‚— Cooling, Heating, Hurricanes, Snowfall, etc.
How Futures Margin Works
ο‚ž   Trader puts up a performance bond (margin) to
    guarantee against losses
    ο‚— ES - $5,625 initial margin controls $43,300
ο‚ž Gains and losses are settled immediately
ο‚ž Margin call if account less than 80% of initial
  margin
ο‚ž Intraday margins are set by the broker (like
  TOS) and not by the exchange
    ο‚— These vary from as low as $500 to as high as the
      initial $5,625
    ο‚— TOS is 25% of the initial margin = $1,406.25 (30x
      leverage)
Why Trade the ES (S&P
         500 e-mini)
ο‚ž Most liquid of all futures products
ο‚ž Widely followed and discussed
ο‚ž Best representative of the market as a
  whole
ο‚ž Best way to introduce yourself into the
  futures market
ο‚ž Some people make their entire living off
  of this one product
ES Basics
ο‚ž   Tick size = 0.25 point
ο‚ž   Tick dollar increment = $12.50
ο‚ž   4 ticks per point
ο‚ž   1 point = $50
ο‚ž   Average daily range – currently around 25 points
    ο‚— $50 * 25 = $1,250
ο‚ž   Trading Hours: 24/5
    ο‚— Intraday hours: 9:30am to 4:15pm EST
    ο‚— Closed from 4:15pm to 4:30pm EST daily
    ο‚— Weekly: Open Sunday 6pm to Friday 4:15pm EST
ο‚ž   For more information check out www.CME.com
Importance of Volume
ο‚ž Volume and liquidity are very important for
  short term futures trading
ο‚ž Bid / Ask should be 1 tick wide
ο‚ž Daytraders need to get in and out quickly
ο‚ž Each future has different time frames when
  volume is heaviest
    ο‚— Examples:
      β—‹ S&P (ES) – best during US market hours
      β—‹ Euro currency (6E) best during European market
        hours
Importance of Commissions
ο‚ž If you trade with any volume,
  commissions are vital
ο‚ž Scenario 1: 10 round-trip trades per day,
  5 contracts, $3.50 commissions ($7 RT)
    ο‚— 10 * 5 * $7 = $350 per day
    ο‚— $350 * 5 = $1,750 per week
    ο‚— $1,750 * 4 = $7,000 per month
    ο‚— $7,000 * 12 =   $84,000 per year
Importance of Commissions
ο‚ž   Scenario 2: 10 round-trip trades per
    day, 5 contracts, $2.20 commissions
    ($4.40 RT)
    ο‚— 10 * 5 * $4.40 = $220 per day
    ο‚— $220 * 5 = $1,100 per week
    ο‚— $1,100 * 4 = $4,400 per month
    ο‚— $4,400 * 12 =   $52,800 per year
Importance of Commissions
           $3.50 comm.   $2.20 comm.   Savings

Daily         $350          $220        $130

Weekly       $1,750        $1,100       $650

Monthly      $7,000        $4,400      $2,600

Yearly       $84,000       $52,800     $31,200




   $31,200 = Annual salary working
       full time at $15 per hour
Profit Potential:
               Conservative
ο‚ž   Using scenario 2 from before:
    ο‚— 10 trades per day, 5 contracts, $2.20
        commissions
    ο‚—   Assume conservative average of 2 points per
        day
    ο‚—   2 points * 5 contracts * $50 per point = $500
    ο‚—   $500 - $220 commissions = $280 per day
    ο‚—   $280 * 5 = $1,400 per week
    ο‚—   $1,400 * 4 = $5,600 per month
    ο‚—   $5,600 * 12 = $67,200 per year
Profit Potential: Aggressive
ο‚ž   Same scenario:
    ο‚— 10 trades per day, 5 contracts, $2.20
        commissions
    ο‚—   Now assume aggressive average of 6 points
        per day
    ο‚—   6 points * 5 contracts * $50 per point = $1,500
    ο‚—   $1,500 - $220 commissions = $1,280 per day
    ο‚—   $1,280 * 5 = $6,400 per week
    ο‚—   $6,400 * 4 = $25,600 per month
    ο‚—   $25,600 * 12 = $307,200 per year
Choosing a Broker
1. Software / Tools
2. Commissions
3. Data Feed
4. Intraday Margin
     ο‚—    $500 to $5,625
5.       Customer Service
Recommended Brokers
ο‚ž www.mirusfutures.com
ο‚ž www.thinkorswim.com
ο‚ž www.interactivebrokers.com
ο‚ž www.infinityfutures.com
ο‚ž www.alaron.com
ο‚ž www.mfglobalfutures.com
ο‚ž www.pfgbest.com
Tools of the Trade: Charts
ο‚ž Futures can be fast movers
ο‚ž Many futures day traders prefer to use
  tick or constant volume bar charts
ο‚ž Warning: Prophet charts are terrible for
  intraday futures trading
ο‚ž Recommend TOS charts or NinjaTrader
  charts with a good data feed
Tools of the Trade: DOM
              Ladder
ο‚ž Allows you to set multiple price targets
  and stops
ο‚ž Easy visual representation of the market
ο‚ž Shows depth of market (DOM)
Tools of the Trade:
             Technicals
ο‚ž Moving Averages
ο‚ž Oscillators
ο‚ž Trendlines
ο‚ž Price Patterns
ο‚ž Pivot Points
ο‚ž Fibonacci Retracements
ο‚ž Value Areas
    ο‚— **too deep to go into all these today**
LEVERAGE WARNING!!!
ο‚ž The majority of futures traders blow out
  their account very quickly
ο‚ž Respect the leverage!
ο‚ž Start in Simulation / Papermoney
ο‚ž Do not hold overnight yet
ο‚ž ALWAYS have a stop loss in place
ο‚ž Progress to 1 live contract after
  consecutive long term successes
ο‚ž Continue progression slowly
ES Daytrading Presentation

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ES Daytrading Presentation

  • 1.
  • 2. Stocks vs. Options vs. Futures Stocks Options Futures Minimum $25,000 $25,000 As low as $3,000 acct. balance (depends on broker) to day trade Leverage Between 0x Around 15x for Between 8x and 87x and 2x ATM option Equivalents 500 shares 10 ATM calls 1 future contract Capital 100% short 100% short 1256 contracts = 40% gains: term term short term 60% long daytrading term Non-1256 contracts = 100% short term
  • 3. Advantages of Trading the ES (S&P e-mini) ο‚ž No pattern day trading rule ο‚ž Efficient use of capital ο‚ž 1256 contract means 60% gains/losses taxed at long term rate ο‚ž VOLATILE!
  • 4. Futures Basics ο‚ž Futures trade on margin ο‚ž Initial margin amount is set by the exchange and is subject to change ο‚— Example: ES is set by CME at $5,625 per contract ο‚ž Each future has a different tick amount, dollar value per tick, and trading hours, expiration dates ο‚— Know these before considering trading a specific future
  • 5.
  • 6. Futures Basics ο‚ž Futures are speculations about future prices, NOT what the future will actually bring ο‚ž Always a buyer and seller ο‚ž No difference between buying and selling ο‚ž Contracts have expiration dates similar to options ο‚— But no greeks (other than delta) ο‚ž At expiration, held contracts must be performed ο‚— Goods exchanged, cash settled, etc ο‚— Never hold over expiration!
  • 7. Futures Naming Format ο‚ž /XXY# ο‚— XX = Symbol name β—‹ S&P 500 e-mini = ES ο‚— Y = month code β—‹ June = M ο‚— # = last digit of the year β—‹ 2009 = 9 ο‚ž Example: ο‚— June 2009 S&P e-mini = /ESM9
  • 8. Types of Futures ο‚ž Commodity Futures ο‚— Gold, Corn, Wheat, Oil, Natural Gas, etc. ο‚ž Index Futures ο‚— S&P 500, Dow, NASDAQ, Russell 2000, FTSE, Nikkei, etc. ο‚ž Forex Futures ο‚— Euro, Pound, Yen, Aussie, etc. ο‚ž Interest Rates ο‚— 30 year Treasury bond, 10 year, etc. ο‚ž Weather ο‚— Cooling, Heating, Hurricanes, Snowfall, etc.
  • 9. How Futures Margin Works ο‚ž Trader puts up a performance bond (margin) to guarantee against losses ο‚— ES - $5,625 initial margin controls $43,300 ο‚ž Gains and losses are settled immediately ο‚ž Margin call if account less than 80% of initial margin ο‚ž Intraday margins are set by the broker (like TOS) and not by the exchange ο‚— These vary from as low as $500 to as high as the initial $5,625 ο‚— TOS is 25% of the initial margin = $1,406.25 (30x leverage)
  • 10. Why Trade the ES (S&P 500 e-mini) ο‚ž Most liquid of all futures products ο‚ž Widely followed and discussed ο‚ž Best representative of the market as a whole ο‚ž Best way to introduce yourself into the futures market ο‚ž Some people make their entire living off of this one product
  • 11.
  • 12. ES Basics ο‚ž Tick size = 0.25 point ο‚ž Tick dollar increment = $12.50 ο‚ž 4 ticks per point ο‚ž 1 point = $50 ο‚ž Average daily range – currently around 25 points ο‚— $50 * 25 = $1,250 ο‚ž Trading Hours: 24/5 ο‚— Intraday hours: 9:30am to 4:15pm EST ο‚— Closed from 4:15pm to 4:30pm EST daily ο‚— Weekly: Open Sunday 6pm to Friday 4:15pm EST ο‚ž For more information check out www.CME.com
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16. Importance of Volume ο‚ž Volume and liquidity are very important for short term futures trading ο‚ž Bid / Ask should be 1 tick wide ο‚ž Daytraders need to get in and out quickly ο‚ž Each future has different time frames when volume is heaviest ο‚— Examples: β—‹ S&P (ES) – best during US market hours β—‹ Euro currency (6E) best during European market hours
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19. Importance of Commissions ο‚ž If you trade with any volume, commissions are vital ο‚ž Scenario 1: 10 round-trip trades per day, 5 contracts, $3.50 commissions ($7 RT) ο‚— 10 * 5 * $7 = $350 per day ο‚— $350 * 5 = $1,750 per week ο‚— $1,750 * 4 = $7,000 per month ο‚— $7,000 * 12 = $84,000 per year
  • 20. Importance of Commissions ο‚ž Scenario 2: 10 round-trip trades per day, 5 contracts, $2.20 commissions ($4.40 RT) ο‚— 10 * 5 * $4.40 = $220 per day ο‚— $220 * 5 = $1,100 per week ο‚— $1,100 * 4 = $4,400 per month ο‚— $4,400 * 12 = $52,800 per year
  • 21. Importance of Commissions $3.50 comm. $2.20 comm. Savings Daily $350 $220 $130 Weekly $1,750 $1,100 $650 Monthly $7,000 $4,400 $2,600 Yearly $84,000 $52,800 $31,200 $31,200 = Annual salary working full time at $15 per hour
  • 22. Profit Potential: Conservative ο‚ž Using scenario 2 from before: ο‚— 10 trades per day, 5 contracts, $2.20 commissions ο‚— Assume conservative average of 2 points per day ο‚— 2 points * 5 contracts * $50 per point = $500 ο‚— $500 - $220 commissions = $280 per day ο‚— $280 * 5 = $1,400 per week ο‚— $1,400 * 4 = $5,600 per month ο‚— $5,600 * 12 = $67,200 per year
  • 23. Profit Potential: Aggressive ο‚ž Same scenario: ο‚— 10 trades per day, 5 contracts, $2.20 commissions ο‚— Now assume aggressive average of 6 points per day ο‚— 6 points * 5 contracts * $50 per point = $1,500 ο‚— $1,500 - $220 commissions = $1,280 per day ο‚— $1,280 * 5 = $6,400 per week ο‚— $6,400 * 4 = $25,600 per month ο‚— $25,600 * 12 = $307,200 per year
  • 24. Choosing a Broker 1. Software / Tools 2. Commissions 3. Data Feed 4. Intraday Margin ο‚— $500 to $5,625 5. Customer Service
  • 25. Recommended Brokers ο‚ž www.mirusfutures.com ο‚ž www.thinkorswim.com ο‚ž www.interactivebrokers.com ο‚ž www.infinityfutures.com ο‚ž www.alaron.com ο‚ž www.mfglobalfutures.com ο‚ž www.pfgbest.com
  • 26. Tools of the Trade: Charts ο‚ž Futures can be fast movers ο‚ž Many futures day traders prefer to use tick or constant volume bar charts ο‚ž Warning: Prophet charts are terrible for intraday futures trading ο‚ž Recommend TOS charts or NinjaTrader charts with a good data feed
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29. Tools of the Trade: DOM Ladder ο‚ž Allows you to set multiple price targets and stops ο‚ž Easy visual representation of the market ο‚ž Shows depth of market (DOM)
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32. Tools of the Trade: Technicals ο‚ž Moving Averages ο‚ž Oscillators ο‚ž Trendlines ο‚ž Price Patterns ο‚ž Pivot Points ο‚ž Fibonacci Retracements ο‚ž Value Areas ο‚— **too deep to go into all these today**
  • 33. LEVERAGE WARNING!!! ο‚ž The majority of futures traders blow out their account very quickly ο‚ž Respect the leverage! ο‚ž Start in Simulation / Papermoney ο‚ž Do not hold overnight yet ο‚ž ALWAYS have a stop loss in place ο‚ž Progress to 1 live contract after consecutive long term successes ο‚ž Continue progression slowly