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Epic research daily agri report 15th july 2016
1. DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT
15 July 2016
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2. Market Views
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
TURMERIC
AUG 8030 8066 7900 7974 -0.94 7585
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
7894
SUPP. 2
7814
PIVOT
7980
Turmeric short term
trend is bearish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
8060
RES. 2
8146
CORIANDER
AUG 7685 7715 7638 7638 -1.18 3390
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
7612
SUPP. 2
7587
PIVOT
7664
Coriander short term
trend is bearish and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
7689
RES. 2
7741
GUARGUM
OCT 7220 7400 7040 7090 -0.42 61656
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
6953
SUPP. 2
6817
PIVOT
7177
Guargum short term
trend is bearish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
7313
RES. 2
7537
CASTORSEED
- - - - - - -
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
-
SUPP. 2
-
PIVOT
-
-
RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
-
RES. 2
-
3. Most Active Contract
3
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value
Pre.
Close
%
Change
CASTORSEED - - -
CHANA 8710 8868 -1.78
CORIANDER 7809 7897 -1.11
GUARGUM 7090 7420 -0.42
JEERA 18340 18735 -2.11
MUSTARD
SEED
4924 4884 +0.82
SOYABEAN 3811 3851 -1.04
TURMERIC 8128 8164 -0.44
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
GUAR GUM 20-07-2016 6820.00 120.00 1.79%
COTTON SEED OIL CAKE
AKOLA
20-07-2016 2690.00 36.00 1.36%
SOY BEAN 20-07-2016 3650.00 29.00 0.80%
RAPESEED-MUSTARD
SEED
20-07-2016 4924.00 37.00 0.76%
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
GUAR SEED 10 MT 20-07-2016 3560.00 -76.00 -2.09%
JEERA 20-07-2016 18340.00 -280.00 -1.50%
4. Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
Considering the demand-and-supply gap, as reflected from the price
trend in chana, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) has
tightened the margin (upfront payment) of the only listed pulse due to its
huge run-up in the price. Chana price on Monday went up to Rs 7,900 a
quintal in the wholesale mandi Bikaner, according to NCDEX data, while
futures were quoting at Rs 7,800. With Monday’s margin, the total margin
on the buy side has increased to 95 per cent, which could force players with
long positions to square off as fast as possible.
The Centre has directed the Enforcement Directorate (ED) and other
authorities to conduct nationwide raid on go downs and warehouses to
recover around 125,000 tones of chana dal (gram) illegally stored by
traders on behalf of farmers, which has artificially pushed up prices in the
domestic market. Officials said the government has estimated that most of
these have been stored in Madhya Pradesh and Maharashtra, where the
crop is mainly grown. The Centre is also planning to write to all states to
bring down the gap between the retail and wholesale prices of pulses to 20-
25 per cent in metropolitan and other big cities by whatever means
possible. At present, the difference between the retail and wholesale prices
of pulses in some cities like Delhi is as high as 50 per cent, which is
unusual. By bringing down the gap between retail and wholesale prices,
retail traders would be dis-incentivised to store pulses beyond a reasonable
time. States have been directed to take all possible measures, including
random raids and checking. These decisions were taken at a high-level
meeting of officials from the ED, income tax department, Directorate of
Revenue Intelligence (DR), state police and the department of consumer
affairs to keep a check on pulses prices, particularly of chana, which have
shown a rising trend in the last few days. Data from the department of
consumer affairs showed that the average retail price of chana dal had gone
up around Rs 20 a kg in the past one month. With prices of other pulses
also ruling above Rs 100 a kg, the latest increase has threatened to further
push up retail inflation, which touched a 22-month high of 5.77 per cent in
June 2016 mainly due to costly food products.
Barley futures extended their gains on weak global coarse cereals
supplies coupled with poor sowing trend of kharif coarse cereals. As
per latest monthly report of United States Department of Agriculture,
the Global coarse grain supplies for 2016/17 are projected slightly
lower this month to 1302 Million tones on weak Corn and Barley
production. Global barley production for 2016/17 is lowered, mostly on
reductions for Turkey, Canada, Algeria, and Morocco, which more than
offset increases for Australia, Ukraine and Uruguay. The prices were
also supported by weak sowing scenario of kharif coarse cereals. As
per latest update from Ministry of Agriculture, the total sown area as on
8th July, 2016 as per reports received from States, stands at 75.02 lakh
hectare as compared to 77.32lakh hectare at this time last year. The
NCDEX August futures augmented by 0.22 percent to close at Rs 1604
per quintal.
Soybean sowing in Maharashtra was recorded at 3.55 million
hectares, a drop of 320,000 hectares, against 3.87 million hectares,
whereas, Rajasthan saw the highest drop of 19.3 per cent in soybean
sowing at 854,000 hectares, as against 1.05 million hectares during
kharif 2013, according to Soybean Processors Association of India
(SOPA).
Coriander and jeera prices fell by Rs 100 per quintal in the national
capital today owing to subdued demand from retailers and stockiest at
higher levels amid sufficient stocks position. Coriander prices eased by
Rs 100 to finish at Rs 8,000-14,200 per quintal. Jeera common and
jeera best quality also declined by Rs 100 each to conclude at Rs
18,900-19,100 and Rs 21,200-21,700 per quintal. Market men said
subdued demand from retailers and stockiest at higher levels against
sufficient stocks, mainly pulled down coriander and jeera prices.
5. Technical Outlook
5
SELL CORIANDER AUG BELOW 7040 TARGET 6995 6895 SL
ABOVE 7105
SELL GUARGUM OCT BELOW 7620 TARGET 7570 7500 SL
ABOVE 7680
SELL TURMERIC AUG BELOW 7945 TARGET 7901 7841 SL
ABOVE 8005
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