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ENERGY SUSTAINABILITY ASSESSMENT
ZAMBIA OUTLOOK-2017
SUSTAINABLE ENERGY GOVERNANCE
Lecturer: Robert LINDNER
Student: Mebeelo KAFUNGWA
INTRODUCTION
According to UNDESA, 2016;
•Current Population-16 million
•Urban share- about 45 percent
•Urbanization rate 3.2% and
•Total Population growth rate 3.06%
•Projected to 42 million by 2050
•75% have no access to electricity.
.
•Actively Engages in Southern African Power
Pool(SAPP) and bilateral Energy Markets.
ENERGY GOVERNANCE FRAMEWORK
PRESENT NATIONAL ENERGY SITUATION.
PRESENT ENERGY-MIX & GENERATION AT NATIONAL LEVEL.
INSTALLED NATIONAL GENERATION OF
ELECTRICITY CAPACITYTECHNOLOGIES
GENERATION SENT OUT BY LARGE HYDRO
PLANTS OWNED BY ZESCO-DECREASING
PRESENT ENERGY GENERATION SITUATION.
GENERATED POWER SENT OUT FROM
ZESCO DIESEL PLANTS-INCREASING
GENERATION SENT OUT BY SMALL & MINI
HYDRO PLANTS OWNED BY ZESCO-
INCREASING
PRESENT ENERGY GENERATION SITUATION.
GENERATED POWER SENT FROM ZESCO
AND IPP PLANTS. SOURCE: ERB, 2016
GENERATION SENT OUT BY INDEPENDENT
POWER PLANTS (IPP)-DECREASING
ZAMBIA ENERGY CONSUMPTION BY SOURCE. ADAPTED FROM: KAUNDA ET AL, 2013
PETROLEUM SEPARATED FINAL CONSUMPTION PRODUCTS BY % AND IMPORTS/YEAR
ENERGY CONSUMPTION BY ECONOMIC SECTOR AND TYPE OF FUEL
• Source. Ministry of Mines Energy andWater Development, 2010.
DEMAND VS SUPPLY OF ELECTRICITY AND MANAGERIAL PROGRAMS TO COMBAT
WHY POWER DEFICIT? & ENERGY GOVERNANCE STRATEGIES EMPLOYED.
BUYING ENERGY?
MAIN REASON FOR POWER DEFICIT IS LESS RAINFALL
BEEN EXPERIENCED AS PREDICTED BY IPCC ANNUAL
REPORTS. KARIBA DAM HAS LESSWATER…
GOVERNANCE PLANS TO ENERGY SUSTAINABILITY
REFiT model - A decentralized approach that
allows for alternative ownership and
management models and provides an
opportunity to empower local entrepreneurs and
communities. (Energy regulation Board, 2015)
a. REFIT Guidelines: Support Mechanisms and
Regulations;
b. REFiT Rules;
c. REFiT Standard Power Purchase
Agreements; for
REFiT projects;
d. REFiT Generation Licence;
e. REFiT Grid connection Guidelines; and
ZAMBIA'S SOLAR AND WIND POTENTIAL
ZAMBIA’S BIOFUELS AND GEOTHERMAL POTENTIAL
TRACKING FRAMEWORK FOR ENERGY SUSTAINABILITY
• In hope to promote renewables potential of SOLAR,WIND, BIOFUELS, GEOTHERMAL(80 hot
springs), MINI HYDRO Plants on so many rivers.
• Rural Electrification framework master plan with hope to achieve national vision 2030. REA,
ERB, ZESCO through REFit Strategy must support the private sector, individual households to
use solar.
• ZESCO should let go of the energy markets and allow other organizations like REA to create
their own customers and grid of renewables
• It is recommended that the indicator be schools all across the nation in reference to those that
are not connected to the grid.
• Track renewable energy funds to implementation phase and involve all stakeholders.
CONCLUSION
• Energy Storage technologies need to be promoted across the nation
• Energy efficiency technologies from generation pumps to household pumps
• This power crisis is a very huge opportunity to put out the policies that support renewables
and efficiency at both national and private household level
• Solar energy installation & awareness programs need to be effective to help reduce the 70%
biomass dependence(CIFOR, 2016); REDD+ Project, 2016)
• The Refit Program needs to be implemented at a faster rate before the country experiences
good rainy season, worry is financial support might be terminated without national power crisis
• If hydro power fails and the policy solution is to increase diesel power production and energy
imports, instead of establishing solar mini electric plants to meet the demand of electricity in
households, then at present
• Zambia is not on the right path to Energy Sustainability Achievement.

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Energy sustainability assessment-Zambia outlook-2017

  • 1. ENERGY SUSTAINABILITY ASSESSMENT ZAMBIA OUTLOOK-2017 SUSTAINABLE ENERGY GOVERNANCE Lecturer: Robert LINDNER Student: Mebeelo KAFUNGWA
  • 2. INTRODUCTION According to UNDESA, 2016; •Current Population-16 million •Urban share- about 45 percent •Urbanization rate 3.2% and •Total Population growth rate 3.06% •Projected to 42 million by 2050 •75% have no access to electricity. . •Actively Engages in Southern African Power Pool(SAPP) and bilateral Energy Markets.
  • 5. PRESENT ENERGY-MIX & GENERATION AT NATIONAL LEVEL. INSTALLED NATIONAL GENERATION OF ELECTRICITY CAPACITYTECHNOLOGIES GENERATION SENT OUT BY LARGE HYDRO PLANTS OWNED BY ZESCO-DECREASING
  • 6. PRESENT ENERGY GENERATION SITUATION. GENERATED POWER SENT OUT FROM ZESCO DIESEL PLANTS-INCREASING GENERATION SENT OUT BY SMALL & MINI HYDRO PLANTS OWNED BY ZESCO- INCREASING
  • 7. PRESENT ENERGY GENERATION SITUATION. GENERATED POWER SENT FROM ZESCO AND IPP PLANTS. SOURCE: ERB, 2016 GENERATION SENT OUT BY INDEPENDENT POWER PLANTS (IPP)-DECREASING
  • 8. ZAMBIA ENERGY CONSUMPTION BY SOURCE. ADAPTED FROM: KAUNDA ET AL, 2013
  • 9. PETROLEUM SEPARATED FINAL CONSUMPTION PRODUCTS BY % AND IMPORTS/YEAR
  • 10. ENERGY CONSUMPTION BY ECONOMIC SECTOR AND TYPE OF FUEL • Source. Ministry of Mines Energy andWater Development, 2010.
  • 11. DEMAND VS SUPPLY OF ELECTRICITY AND MANAGERIAL PROGRAMS TO COMBAT
  • 12. WHY POWER DEFICIT? & ENERGY GOVERNANCE STRATEGIES EMPLOYED. BUYING ENERGY? MAIN REASON FOR POWER DEFICIT IS LESS RAINFALL BEEN EXPERIENCED AS PREDICTED BY IPCC ANNUAL REPORTS. KARIBA DAM HAS LESSWATER…
  • 13. GOVERNANCE PLANS TO ENERGY SUSTAINABILITY REFiT model - A decentralized approach that allows for alternative ownership and management models and provides an opportunity to empower local entrepreneurs and communities. (Energy regulation Board, 2015) a. REFIT Guidelines: Support Mechanisms and Regulations; b. REFiT Rules; c. REFiT Standard Power Purchase Agreements; for REFiT projects; d. REFiT Generation Licence; e. REFiT Grid connection Guidelines; and
  • 14. ZAMBIA'S SOLAR AND WIND POTENTIAL
  • 15. ZAMBIA’S BIOFUELS AND GEOTHERMAL POTENTIAL
  • 16. TRACKING FRAMEWORK FOR ENERGY SUSTAINABILITY • In hope to promote renewables potential of SOLAR,WIND, BIOFUELS, GEOTHERMAL(80 hot springs), MINI HYDRO Plants on so many rivers. • Rural Electrification framework master plan with hope to achieve national vision 2030. REA, ERB, ZESCO through REFit Strategy must support the private sector, individual households to use solar. • ZESCO should let go of the energy markets and allow other organizations like REA to create their own customers and grid of renewables • It is recommended that the indicator be schools all across the nation in reference to those that are not connected to the grid. • Track renewable energy funds to implementation phase and involve all stakeholders.
  • 17. CONCLUSION • Energy Storage technologies need to be promoted across the nation • Energy efficiency technologies from generation pumps to household pumps • This power crisis is a very huge opportunity to put out the policies that support renewables and efficiency at both national and private household level • Solar energy installation & awareness programs need to be effective to help reduce the 70% biomass dependence(CIFOR, 2016); REDD+ Project, 2016) • The Refit Program needs to be implemented at a faster rate before the country experiences good rainy season, worry is financial support might be terminated without national power crisis • If hydro power fails and the policy solution is to increase diesel power production and energy imports, instead of establishing solar mini electric plants to meet the demand of electricity in households, then at present • Zambia is not on the right path to Energy Sustainability Achievement.