Emma Grundy
IBM Predictive Analytics Solution Architect for SPSS Software




Driving evidence-based decision-making
with predictive analytics




                                                                Business Analytics software
                                                                            © 2011 IBM Corporation
Business Analytics software




              “To understand God's thoughts we must
            study statistics, for these are the measure of
                             His purpose”                    © 2011 IBM Corporation
Business Analytics software




                              © 2011 IBM Corporation
Business Analytics software




                              © 2011 IBM Corporation
Business Analytics software




 Cardiac department at Sequoia Hospital, California has several treatment options for
  patients both pre and post surgery.
 Every individual patient cold react differently to treatment options based on factors such as
  age and weight, family history, previous treatment etc.
 They wanted to be able to predicts risk the of mortality an individual patient would have for
  each treatment option to allow patients to make fully informed decisions.
 They needed also to apply global rules to patients based on medical knowledge and patient
  preference to influence outcome.
 Prior to implementation it could take up to two weeks for doctors to obtain this information.




                                                                                      © 2011 IBM Corporation
Business Analytics software

How do I chose the best post-op care for Mr Jones?




            A                  B                     C
                                                     © 2011 IBM Corporation
Business Analytics software



                    Who did the treatment A work for in the past?




                                                                    © 2011 IBM Corporation
Business Analytics software



                    Who did the treatment A work for in the past?


                                           Age
                                           Weight
                                           Family history
                                           Treatment history
                                           Medication
                                           Doctor
                                           Hospital
                                           Days in hospital
                                           Case Notes




                                                                    © 2011 IBM Corporation
Business Analytics software



                    How well does Mr Jones fit the profile?




                                                              © 2011 IBM Corporation
Business Analytics software

How do I chose the best post-op care for Mr Jones?

Profile for each
  treatment                       Treatment   Chance      Patient     Cost      Decision
                                                of      Preferences
                                              Success




                                              78%           3         £90



                                              81%           1         £80



                                              64%           4         £50

  Mr Jones
 preferences



                                                                       © 2011 IBM Corporation
Business Analytics software

How do I chose the best post-op care for Mr Jones?

Profile for each
  treatment                       Treatment   Chance      Patient     Cost      Decision
                                                of      Preferences
                                              Success




                                              78%           3         £90



                                              81%           1         £80



                                              64%           4         £50

  Mr Jones
 preferences



                                                                       © 2011 IBM Corporation
Business Analytics software

How do I chose the best post-op care for Mr Jones?




   “The hospital detected a pattern that certain heart
   patients developed problems with bleeding during
   surgery if they received a particular blood clot
   prevention drug in the days before the procedure. The
   analysis led physicians to delay surgery for those who
   have been on the drug”
   Audrey Fisher, MPH, director of cardiovascular services at
   Sequoia Hospital.




                                                        © 2011 IBM Corporation
Business Analytics software

Outcome for Sequoia Hospital

 The hospital's mortality rate for cardiac surgery, decreased from 3.8% to
  1.7%
 Since implementation the Society of Thoracic Surgeons, which tracks and
  evaluates procedures and outcomes for hospitals nationwide, gave
  Sequoia Hospital the highest ranking in America for their cardiac
  mortality and post op complications rate.


 "IBM predictive analytics is a life-saving technology as it allows us to
  quickly uncover the intelligence that matters most to allow our
  surgeons to make the best decision with precision and accuracy. Applying
  IBM predictive analytics to enormous amounts of information allows us to
  take evidenced-based diagnosis and patient care to the next level.“
            Audrey Fisher, MPH, director of cardiovascular services at Sequoia
            Hospital.

                                                                     © 2011 IBM Corporation
Business Analytics software




                              © 2011 IBM Corporation
For further information on IBM’s Smarter Healthcare Solutions please contact:

                       IBM Healthcare Portal:
    http://www-01.ibm.com/software/uk/analytics/spss/healthcare/

                         Marios Hajipavlou
                IBM SPSS Healthcare Account Manager

                     e-mail: Marioshaj@uk.ibm.com
                        Phone: 020 8818 4776




                                                               Business Analytics software
                                                                           © 2011 IBM Corporation

Emma Grundy: Decision-making with predictive analytics

  • 1.
    Emma Grundy IBM PredictiveAnalytics Solution Architect for SPSS Software Driving evidence-based decision-making with predictive analytics Business Analytics software © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 2.
    Business Analytics software “To understand God's thoughts we must study statistics, for these are the measure of His purpose” © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 3.
    Business Analytics software © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 4.
    Business Analytics software © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 5.
    Business Analytics software Cardiac department at Sequoia Hospital, California has several treatment options for patients both pre and post surgery.  Every individual patient cold react differently to treatment options based on factors such as age and weight, family history, previous treatment etc.  They wanted to be able to predicts risk the of mortality an individual patient would have for each treatment option to allow patients to make fully informed decisions.  They needed also to apply global rules to patients based on medical knowledge and patient preference to influence outcome.  Prior to implementation it could take up to two weeks for doctors to obtain this information. © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 6.
    Business Analytics software Howdo I chose the best post-op care for Mr Jones? A B C © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 7.
    Business Analytics software Who did the treatment A work for in the past? © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 8.
    Business Analytics software Who did the treatment A work for in the past?  Age  Weight  Family history  Treatment history  Medication  Doctor  Hospital  Days in hospital  Case Notes © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 9.
    Business Analytics software How well does Mr Jones fit the profile? © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 10.
    Business Analytics software Howdo I chose the best post-op care for Mr Jones? Profile for each treatment Treatment Chance Patient Cost Decision of Preferences Success 78% 3 £90 81% 1 £80 64% 4 £50 Mr Jones preferences © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 11.
    Business Analytics software Howdo I chose the best post-op care for Mr Jones? Profile for each treatment Treatment Chance Patient Cost Decision of Preferences Success 78% 3 £90 81% 1 £80 64% 4 £50 Mr Jones preferences © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 12.
    Business Analytics software Howdo I chose the best post-op care for Mr Jones? “The hospital detected a pattern that certain heart patients developed problems with bleeding during surgery if they received a particular blood clot prevention drug in the days before the procedure. The analysis led physicians to delay surgery for those who have been on the drug” Audrey Fisher, MPH, director of cardiovascular services at Sequoia Hospital. © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 13.
    Business Analytics software Outcomefor Sequoia Hospital  The hospital's mortality rate for cardiac surgery, decreased from 3.8% to 1.7%  Since implementation the Society of Thoracic Surgeons, which tracks and evaluates procedures and outcomes for hospitals nationwide, gave Sequoia Hospital the highest ranking in America for their cardiac mortality and post op complications rate.  "IBM predictive analytics is a life-saving technology as it allows us to quickly uncover the intelligence that matters most to allow our surgeons to make the best decision with precision and accuracy. Applying IBM predictive analytics to enormous amounts of information allows us to take evidenced-based diagnosis and patient care to the next level.“ Audrey Fisher, MPH, director of cardiovascular services at Sequoia Hospital. © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 14.
    Business Analytics software © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 15.
    For further informationon IBM’s Smarter Healthcare Solutions please contact: IBM Healthcare Portal: http://www-01.ibm.com/software/uk/analytics/spss/healthcare/ Marios Hajipavlou IBM SPSS Healthcare Account Manager e-mail: Marioshaj@uk.ibm.com Phone: 020 8818 4776 Business Analytics software © 2011 IBM Corporation