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Educational Webinar for
    Homeowners
                          December 18, 2010




http://stevenwblack.com
background




13 years Experience



                      http://stevenwblack.com
background




        Top-Producing Realtor in Napa



http://www.flickr.com/photos/johnjoh/1060267344/                http://stevenwblack.com
background




                   Been through it personally



http://www.flickr.com/photos/smswigart/5147001743/                http://stevenwblack.com
background




        Driven by passion to help other
         Americans keep their homes

http://www.flickr.com/photos/bondomania/2636802659/           http://stevenwblack.com
we’re going to talk about


            Why we’re here
            Who is affected
            How it happens
            What you can do

                              http://stevenwblack.com
the fine print


*   Steven W. Black & Associates offers
    information on the state of the market
    and insight into what has worked in
    the past. Each situation is unique and
    you are responsible for the use of
    the information presented.

                                        ✴ Steven W. Black & Associates offers information
                                          on the state of the market and insight into what
                                          has worked in the past. Each situation is unique
                                          and you are responsible for the use of the
                                          information presented.

                                                          http://stevenwblack.com
the fine print


*   Steven W. Black & Associates offers
    information on the state of Don’tmarket are happy to
                                 the worry, we
                                  o er help specific to your
    and insight into what has workedafter this presentation
                               situation in
    the past. Each situation is unique and
    you are responsible for the use of
    the information presented.

                                            ✴ Steven W. Black & Associates offers information
                                              on the state of the market and insight into what
                                              has worked in the past. Each situation is unique
                                              and you are responsible for the use of the
                                              information presented.

                                                              http://stevenwblack.com
Why Are We Here?



http://www.flickr.com/photos/joao_trindade/4363157652
how it SHOULD work




Change in financial situation

ARM Adjusts
Job Loss
Injury
etc.



                               http://stevenwblack.com
how it SHOULD work




Change in financial situation   Loan Modification

ARM Adjusts                    Priniciple reduction
Job Loss                       Restructuring
Injury                          (interest rate )
etc.                           Enabled by TARP



                                                      http://stevenwblack.com
how it SHOULD work




Change in financial situation   Loan Modification            one.
                                                         D
                                                         D
ARM Adjusts                    Priniciple reduction
Job Loss                       Restructuring
Injury                          (interest rate )
etc.                           Enabled by TARP



                                                      http://stevenwblack.com
How it Really Works



                      http://stevenwblack.com
how it really works




Change in financial situation

ARM Adjusts
Job Loss
Injury
etc.



                                  http://stevenwblack.com
how it really works




Change in financial situation   Loan Modification

ARM Adjusts                    Rarely happens
Job Loss                       ~10% include
Injury                          principle reduction
etc.                           Where is TARP?



                                                      http://stevenwblack.com
how it really works




Change in financial situation   Loan Modification   Short Sale

ARM Adjusts                    Rarely happens     Bank drives
Job Loss                       ~10% include        terms of sale
Injury                          principle         Multiple Offers
etc.                            reduction
                               Where is TARP?


                                                               http://stevenwblack.com
how it really works




                                                                               e--
                                                                              re e
                                                                             or
                                                                          Fo ur
                                                                          F
Change in financial situation   Loan Modification   Short Sale              c los
                                                                          c !!!!!
                                                                               !
ARM Adjusts                    Rarely happens     Bank drives
Job Loss                       ~10% include        terms of sale
Injury                          principle         Multiple Offers
etc.                            reduction
                               Where is TARP?


                                                               http://stevenwblack.com
Who is Directly Affected?



http://www.flickr.com/photos/billward/4461521050/   http://stevenwblack.com
who is directly affected?




home purchased in the last 13 years




                              http://stevenwblack.com
who is directly affected?




home purchased in the last 13 years
                           that’s back to 1997




                                                 http://stevenwblack.com
who is directly affected?




   refinanced in the last 13 years
                           that’s back to 1997




                                                 http://stevenwblack.com
Who is Indirectly Affected?



                       http://stevenwblack.com
who is indirectly affected?




                                             friends and family



http://www.flickr.com/photos/srogan/2284111398/                   http://stevenwblack.com
who is indirectly affected?




                                                    communities



http://www.flickr.com/photos/familymwr/4841981088                 http://stevenwblack.com
who is indirectly affected?



              local businesses
                  schools
                 marriages
                 taxpayers
                                 http://stevenwblack.com
who is indirectly affected?




                   Everyone.



                               http://stevenwblack.com
Who Profits?



              http://stevenwblack.com
bank profits *
                                                                                                                  $60




                                                                                                                  $45



                                                                                                                           In
                                                                                                                  $30
                                                                                                                        Billions

                                                                                                                  $15



          3/08 6/08            9/08 12/08            3/09        6/09         9/09   12/09                        $0
                                                                                             3/10   6/10   9/10

* Source: Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC; http://www.fdic.gov)                                             http://stevenwblack.com
bank profits *
                                                                                                                  $60




                                                                                                                  $45



                                                                                                                           In
                                                                                                                  $30
                                                                                                                        Billions

                                                                                                                  $15



          3/08 6/08            9/08 12/08            3/09        6/09         9/09   12/09                        $0
                                                                                             3/10   6/10   9/10

* Source: Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC; http://www.fdic.gov)                                             http://stevenwblack.com
bank profits *                                                     $51 Billion
                                                                                                                    292% annual increase
                                                                                                                  $60
                                                                                                                   34% quarterly increase
                                                                  $38 Billion
                                                           533% annual increase
                                                          124% quarterly increase                                 $45



                                                                                                                             In
                                                                                                                  $30
                                                                                                                          Billions

                                                                                                                  $15



          3/08 6/08            9/08 12/08            3/09        6/09         9/09   12/09                        $0
                                                                                             3/10   6/10   9/10

* Source: Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC; http://www.fdic.gov)                                               http://stevenwblack.com
How it Happens



                 http://stevenwblack.com
pine st. napa

                              $220,000
                                         2 Bedroom
                                         1 Bath
                                         ~0.3 Acre
Regular Sale




                              $165,000



                              $110,000



                              $55,000

 870 ft2


Oct 28, 2010
               Dec 10, 2010



                                                http://stevenwblack.com
pine st. napa

                                                               $220,000
                                                                                                              2 Bedroom
                                                                                                              1 Bath
                                                                                                              ~0.3 Acre
 Regular Sale




                                                               $165,000


                                   Sold by REO
                                   Bank owned
                                                               $110,000



                                                               $55,000

  870 ft2
                                    1150 ft2
Oct 28, 2010
                                     Dec 10, 2010


* Intentionally pulled one of the lowest comps in timeframe closest to close of escrow of affected property
                                                                                                                     http://stevenwblack.com
pine st. napa

                                                               $220,000
                                                                                                              2 Bedroom
                                                                                                              1 Bath
                                                                                                              ~0.3 Acre
 Regular Sale




                                                               $165,000


                                   Sold by REO
                                   Bank owned
                                                               $110,000



                                                               $55,000

  870 ft2
                                    1150 ft2                                       $50,100 devaluation
Oct 28, 2010
                                     Dec 10, 2010
                                                                                         for a house 32% larger
                                                                                               in ~5 weeks

* Intentionally pulled one of the lowest comps in timeframe closest to close of escrow of affected property
                                                                                                                     http://stevenwblack.com
westwood neighborhood

                               $230,000
                                          2 Bedroom
                                          1 Bath
                                          ~0.12 Acre
Regular Sale




                               $172,500



                               $115,000



                               $57,500

 880 ft2


Sept 4, 2009
               Sept 18, 2009



                                                  http://stevenwblack.com
westwood neighborhood

                                                               $230,000
                                                                                                              2 Bedroom
                                                                                                              1 Bath
                                                                                                              ~0.12 Acre
 Regular Sale




                                                               $172,500


                                   Sold by REO
                                   Bank owned
                                                               $115,000



                                                              $57,500

  880 ft2
                                    760 ft2
Sept 4, 2009
                                     Sept 18, 2009


* Intentionally pulled one of the lowest comps in timeframe closest to close of escrow of affected property
                                                                                                                      http://stevenwblack.com
westwood neighborhood

                                                               $230,000
                                                                                                                    2 Bedroom
                                                                                                                    1 Bath
                                                                                                                    ~0.12 Acre
 Regular Sale




                                                               $172,500


                                   Sold by REO
                                   Bank owned
                                                               $115,000



                                                              $57,500

  880 ft2
                                    760 ft2
Sept 4, 2009                                                                          $81,800 devaluation
                                     Sept 18, 2009                                                     in 14 days

* Intentionally pulled one of the lowest comps in timeframe closest to close of escrow of affected property
                                                                                                                            http://stevenwblack.com
Ja
                                     n   31
                                            ,   20
                                 Ap               07
                                     r1                Regular Sale
                                         0,
                                            20
                               M               07
                                  ay
                                      29
                                          ,2
                                             00
                               Oc               7
                                   t2
                                       6,
                                          20
                                              07
                               Oc
                                   t3
                                       1,
                                          20
                                             07
                               N
                                  ov
                                     9,
                                         20
                                            07
                               Ap
                                   r4
                                       ,2
                                          00
                            Ap               8
                                r2
                                                                                                             autumn run neighborhood




                                    3,
                                       20
                                           08
                           M
                              ar
                                 24
                                     ,2
                                        00
                           M                9
                             ay
                                 11
                                    ,2
                                       00
                                           9
                           Ju
                              l2
                                 9,
                                    20
                                        09
                          M
                            ar
                               26
                                   ,2
                                      01
                                          0
                          N
                           ov
                               12
                                  ,2
                                     01
                                         0
                                                             $350,000
                                                                        $700,000
                                                                                   $1,050,000
                                                                                                $1,400,000




http://stevenwblack.com
Ja
                                     n   31
                                            ,   20
                                 Ap               07
                                     r1                 Regular Sale
                                         0,
                                            20
                               M               07
                                  ay
                                      29
                                          ,2
                                             00
                               Oc               7
                                   t2
                                       6,
                                          20
                                              07
                               Oc
                                   t3
                                       1,
                                          20
                                             07
                               N
                                  ov
                                     9,
                                         20
                                            07
                               Ap
                                   r4
                                       ,2
                                          00
                            Ap               8
                                r2
                                                                                                              autumn run neighborhood




                                    3,
                                       20
                                           08
                           M                           Bank owned
                              ar
                                 24
                                     ,2
                                        00
                           M                9
                             ay
                                 11
                                    ,2
                                       00
                                           9
                                                 *



                           Ju
                              l2
                                 9,
                                    20
                                        09
                                                *




                          M
                            ar
                               26
                                   ,2
                                      01
                                          0
                          N
                           ov
                               12
                                  ,2
                                     01
                                         0
                                                              $350,000
                                                                         $700,000
                                                                                    $1,050,000
                                                                                                 $1,400,000




http://stevenwblack.com
autumn run neighborhood
                                                                               $1,400,000



                        $765,000 devaluation                                   $1,050,000
                              over 3 years while
                        bank profits are at record highs
                                                                               $700,000
         Regular Sale




                                                          Bank owned
                                                                               $350,000




                                                                       *   *
         07


                                   07


                                    7

                                  07


                                 07
                                 00
       20




                                07
                                20




                                 8


                               08
                              20




                                9
                              00
                              20
                              ,2




                               9
                             20




                            00
     ,




                            09



                              0
                             0,
  31




                           00
                           20




                             0
                           ,2
                          29


                           6,




                          01
                           1,




                         01
                         r1




                         ,2
                         9,




                        20
   n




                        ,2
                       t2




                       r4
                       t3




                        3,




                       ,2
                      ay




                      ,2
Ja


         Ap




                     24
                      ov




                    r2




                     11



                     9,
                   Oc


                   Oc




                   26
                   Ap
                   M




                   12
                   N




                  l2
                  ar


                 ay
                Ap




                ar



               ov
               Ju
               M


               M




              M



              N
                                                                               http://stevenwblack.com
autumn run neighborhood



                                 *911 Napa Properties in
                              foreclosure/pre-foreclosure/
                                       bank owned


* Source: Foreclosure Radar (http://www.foreclosureradar.com)   http://stevenwblack.com
What Can You Do?



                   http://stevenwblack.com
what you can do




                                                   Get Educated




http://www.flickr.com/photos/yourdon/3405811164/                  http://stevenwblack.com
what you can do

                                                                  Being here is a
                                                                   great start!



                                                   Get Educated




http://www.flickr.com/photos/yourdon/3405811164/                         http://stevenwblack.com
what you can do




                                                               Get Help




http://www.flickr.com/photos/soldiersmediacenter/4748766022/              http://stevenwblack.com
what you can do


                                                                      *
                                                               Get Help




http://www.flickr.com/photos/soldiersmediacenter/4748766022/
                                                                          *   Or someone like us
                                                                                            http://stevenwblack.com
Next Steps



             http://stevenwblack.com
next steps




Upcoming Webinars:           Professional Assistance:
  How to Choose a Realtor      Steven W. Black & Associates
   Protecting your Home            Real Estate Lawyer
                                           CPA




                                                   http://stevenwblack.com
we are here for you


  http://stevenwblack.com
  info@stevenwblack.com
       @stevenwblack
           Facebook
        1.707.931.4700

                            http://stevenwblack.com
Questions
   &
Answers

            http://stevenwblack.com
finishing up

     We Encourage Sharing
 You are free to download and distribute this presentation under
the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-Non-Commercial-
                        ShareAlike license

That means you can use the information in this presentation for
non-commercial means as long as you share your work under the
               same license and give credit to
                Steven W. Black & Associates


                                                         http://stevenwblack.com

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Educational Webinar for Homeowners

  • 1. Educational Webinar for Homeowners December 18, 2010 http://stevenwblack.com
  • 2. background 13 years Experience http://stevenwblack.com
  • 3. background Top-Producing Realtor in Napa http://www.flickr.com/photos/johnjoh/1060267344/ http://stevenwblack.com
  • 4. background Been through it personally http://www.flickr.com/photos/smswigart/5147001743/ http://stevenwblack.com
  • 5. background Driven by passion to help other Americans keep their homes http://www.flickr.com/photos/bondomania/2636802659/ http://stevenwblack.com
  • 6. we’re going to talk about Why we’re here Who is affected How it happens What you can do http://stevenwblack.com
  • 7. the fine print * Steven W. Black & Associates offers information on the state of the market and insight into what has worked in the past. Each situation is unique and you are responsible for the use of the information presented. ✴ Steven W. Black & Associates offers information on the state of the market and insight into what has worked in the past. Each situation is unique and you are responsible for the use of the information presented. http://stevenwblack.com
  • 8. the fine print * Steven W. Black & Associates offers information on the state of Don’tmarket are happy to the worry, we o er help specific to your and insight into what has workedafter this presentation situation in the past. Each situation is unique and you are responsible for the use of the information presented. ✴ Steven W. Black & Associates offers information on the state of the market and insight into what has worked in the past. Each situation is unique and you are responsible for the use of the information presented. http://stevenwblack.com
  • 9. Why Are We Here? http://www.flickr.com/photos/joao_trindade/4363157652
  • 10. how it SHOULD work Change in financial situation ARM Adjusts Job Loss Injury etc. http://stevenwblack.com
  • 11. how it SHOULD work Change in financial situation Loan Modification ARM Adjusts Priniciple reduction Job Loss Restructuring Injury (interest rate ) etc. Enabled by TARP http://stevenwblack.com
  • 12. how it SHOULD work Change in financial situation Loan Modification one. D D ARM Adjusts Priniciple reduction Job Loss Restructuring Injury (interest rate ) etc. Enabled by TARP http://stevenwblack.com
  • 13. How it Really Works http://stevenwblack.com
  • 14. how it really works Change in financial situation ARM Adjusts Job Loss Injury etc. http://stevenwblack.com
  • 15. how it really works Change in financial situation Loan Modification ARM Adjusts Rarely happens Job Loss ~10% include Injury principle reduction etc. Where is TARP? http://stevenwblack.com
  • 16. how it really works Change in financial situation Loan Modification Short Sale ARM Adjusts Rarely happens Bank drives Job Loss ~10% include terms of sale Injury principle Multiple Offers etc. reduction Where is TARP? http://stevenwblack.com
  • 17. how it really works e-- re e or Fo ur F Change in financial situation Loan Modification Short Sale c los c !!!!! ! ARM Adjusts Rarely happens Bank drives Job Loss ~10% include terms of sale Injury principle Multiple Offers etc. reduction Where is TARP? http://stevenwblack.com
  • 18. Who is Directly Affected? http://www.flickr.com/photos/billward/4461521050/ http://stevenwblack.com
  • 19. who is directly affected? home purchased in the last 13 years http://stevenwblack.com
  • 20. who is directly affected? home purchased in the last 13 years that’s back to 1997 http://stevenwblack.com
  • 21. who is directly affected? refinanced in the last 13 years that’s back to 1997 http://stevenwblack.com
  • 22. Who is Indirectly Affected? http://stevenwblack.com
  • 23. who is indirectly affected? friends and family http://www.flickr.com/photos/srogan/2284111398/ http://stevenwblack.com
  • 24. who is indirectly affected? communities http://www.flickr.com/photos/familymwr/4841981088 http://stevenwblack.com
  • 25. who is indirectly affected? local businesses schools marriages taxpayers http://stevenwblack.com
  • 26. who is indirectly affected? Everyone. http://stevenwblack.com
  • 27. Who Profits? http://stevenwblack.com
  • 28. bank profits * $60 $45 In $30 Billions $15 3/08 6/08 9/08 12/08 3/09 6/09 9/09 12/09 $0 3/10 6/10 9/10 * Source: Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC; http://www.fdic.gov) http://stevenwblack.com
  • 29. bank profits * $60 $45 In $30 Billions $15 3/08 6/08 9/08 12/08 3/09 6/09 9/09 12/09 $0 3/10 6/10 9/10 * Source: Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC; http://www.fdic.gov) http://stevenwblack.com
  • 30. bank profits * $51 Billion 292% annual increase $60 34% quarterly increase $38 Billion 533% annual increase 124% quarterly increase $45 In $30 Billions $15 3/08 6/08 9/08 12/08 3/09 6/09 9/09 12/09 $0 3/10 6/10 9/10 * Source: Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC; http://www.fdic.gov) http://stevenwblack.com
  • 31. How it Happens http://stevenwblack.com
  • 32. pine st. napa $220,000 2 Bedroom 1 Bath ~0.3 Acre Regular Sale $165,000 $110,000 $55,000 870 ft2 Oct 28, 2010 Dec 10, 2010 http://stevenwblack.com
  • 33. pine st. napa $220,000 2 Bedroom 1 Bath ~0.3 Acre Regular Sale $165,000 Sold by REO Bank owned $110,000 $55,000 870 ft2 1150 ft2 Oct 28, 2010 Dec 10, 2010 * Intentionally pulled one of the lowest comps in timeframe closest to close of escrow of affected property http://stevenwblack.com
  • 34. pine st. napa $220,000 2 Bedroom 1 Bath ~0.3 Acre Regular Sale $165,000 Sold by REO Bank owned $110,000 $55,000 870 ft2 1150 ft2 $50,100 devaluation Oct 28, 2010 Dec 10, 2010 for a house 32% larger in ~5 weeks * Intentionally pulled one of the lowest comps in timeframe closest to close of escrow of affected property http://stevenwblack.com
  • 35. westwood neighborhood $230,000 2 Bedroom 1 Bath ~0.12 Acre Regular Sale $172,500 $115,000 $57,500 880 ft2 Sept 4, 2009 Sept 18, 2009 http://stevenwblack.com
  • 36. westwood neighborhood $230,000 2 Bedroom 1 Bath ~0.12 Acre Regular Sale $172,500 Sold by REO Bank owned $115,000 $57,500 880 ft2 760 ft2 Sept 4, 2009 Sept 18, 2009 * Intentionally pulled one of the lowest comps in timeframe closest to close of escrow of affected property http://stevenwblack.com
  • 37. westwood neighborhood $230,000 2 Bedroom 1 Bath ~0.12 Acre Regular Sale $172,500 Sold by REO Bank owned $115,000 $57,500 880 ft2 760 ft2 Sept 4, 2009 $81,800 devaluation Sept 18, 2009 in 14 days * Intentionally pulled one of the lowest comps in timeframe closest to close of escrow of affected property http://stevenwblack.com
  • 38. Ja n 31 , 20 Ap 07 r1 Regular Sale 0, 20 M 07 ay 29 ,2 00 Oc 7 t2 6, 20 07 Oc t3 1, 20 07 N ov 9, 20 07 Ap r4 ,2 00 Ap 8 r2 autumn run neighborhood 3, 20 08 M ar 24 ,2 00 M 9 ay 11 ,2 00 9 Ju l2 9, 20 09 M ar 26 ,2 01 0 N ov 12 ,2 01 0 $350,000 $700,000 $1,050,000 $1,400,000 http://stevenwblack.com
  • 39. Ja n 31 , 20 Ap 07 r1 Regular Sale 0, 20 M 07 ay 29 ,2 00 Oc 7 t2 6, 20 07 Oc t3 1, 20 07 N ov 9, 20 07 Ap r4 ,2 00 Ap 8 r2 autumn run neighborhood 3, 20 08 M Bank owned ar 24 ,2 00 M 9 ay 11 ,2 00 9 * Ju l2 9, 20 09 * M ar 26 ,2 01 0 N ov 12 ,2 01 0 $350,000 $700,000 $1,050,000 $1,400,000 http://stevenwblack.com
  • 40. autumn run neighborhood $1,400,000 $765,000 devaluation $1,050,000 over 3 years while bank profits are at record highs $700,000 Regular Sale Bank owned $350,000 * * 07 07 7 07 07 00 20 07 20 8 08 20 9 00 20 ,2 9 20 00 , 09 0 0, 31 00 20 0 ,2 29 6, 01 1, 01 r1 ,2 9, 20 n ,2 t2 r4 t3 3, ,2 ay ,2 Ja Ap 24 ov r2 11 9, Oc Oc 26 Ap M 12 N l2 ar ay Ap ar ov Ju M M M N http://stevenwblack.com
  • 41. autumn run neighborhood *911 Napa Properties in foreclosure/pre-foreclosure/ bank owned * Source: Foreclosure Radar (http://www.foreclosureradar.com) http://stevenwblack.com
  • 42. What Can You Do? http://stevenwblack.com
  • 43. what you can do Get Educated http://www.flickr.com/photos/yourdon/3405811164/ http://stevenwblack.com
  • 44. what you can do Being here is a great start! Get Educated http://www.flickr.com/photos/yourdon/3405811164/ http://stevenwblack.com
  • 45. what you can do Get Help http://www.flickr.com/photos/soldiersmediacenter/4748766022/ http://stevenwblack.com
  • 46. what you can do * Get Help http://www.flickr.com/photos/soldiersmediacenter/4748766022/ * Or someone like us http://stevenwblack.com
  • 47. Next Steps http://stevenwblack.com
  • 48. next steps Upcoming Webinars: Professional Assistance: How to Choose a Realtor Steven W. Black & Associates Protecting your Home Real Estate Lawyer CPA http://stevenwblack.com
  • 49. we are here for you http://stevenwblack.com info@stevenwblack.com @stevenwblack Facebook 1.707.931.4700 http://stevenwblack.com
  • 50. Questions & Answers http://stevenwblack.com
  • 51. finishing up We Encourage Sharing You are free to download and distribute this presentation under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-Non-Commercial- ShareAlike license That means you can use the information in this presentation for non-commercial means as long as you share your work under the same license and give credit to Steven W. Black & Associates http://stevenwblack.com