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CLASS 11- PART A : STATISTICS FOR ECONOMICS
CHAPTER 1 : INTRODUCTION
ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES
a. Production
b. Consumption
c. Investment
d. Exchange
e. Distribution
NON-ECONOMICS ACTIVITIES
a. Social
b. Religious
c. Political
d. Charitable
e. Parental
Economic activities are those activities which are related to earn money and wealth for life. These
activities generate new income and increase the flow of goods and services. For example production,
consumption, investment, distribution.
Non economic activities are those activities which are not related to earn money and wealth. These
activities neither generate income nor increase the flow of goods & services.For example a teacher
teaching his own son.
CONSUMER : Consumer is an economic agent who buys the goods and services to satisfy his wants.
PRODUCER is one who produces goods and services for the generation of income.
SERVICE HOLDER : A person who is in job and gives his services as a factor of production and is getting paid
for it. E.g. Govt. Teacher.
SERVICE PROVIDER : A person who provides services to other for a payment. e.g. transporter, auto driver.
STATISTICS : Statistics is a method of taking decisions on the basis of numerical data.
Statistics can be defined in two ways:-
1. Singular sense: Statistic Means Statistical methods and techniques related to collection, organisation,
classification, Presentation, analysis and Interpretation of data.
2. Plural Sense: Statistics means Numerical facts and figures Which have been systematically collected for
a definite purpose in any field of study.
Characteristics of statistics in plural sense
1. Aggregate of facts
2. Numerically expressed
3. Affected by multiplicity of causes
4. Reasonable accuracy
5. Collected in a systematic manner
6. Pre-determined Purpose
7. Placed in relation to each other
Stages of statistics in singular sense
1. Collection of data
2. Organisation of data
3. Presentation of data
4. Analysis of data
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5. Interpretation of data
Statistical data
(1) Qualitative data – Not measured in numerical terms like beauty and intelligence.
(2) Quantitative data – Measured in numerical terms like price and Income.
Scope of Statistics
In the old days the use of statistics was restricted to deal with the affairs of the state. But now-a-days the
scope of statistics has spread to all those areas where numerical facts are used such as economics,
business industry, medicine, physics, chemistry and numerous other fields of knowledge.
Importance of Statistics in Economics
1. It enables an economist to present economic facts in precise and definite form.
2. Helps in condensing mass data info a few numerical measures.
3. Statistics is used in finding relationship between different economic factors.
4. Economics forecasting through statistical studies.
5. Helpful to formulate appropriate economic policies that solve economic problems.
6. Help to analyse the performance of policies applied before.
7. Economist try to find out cause and effect relationship between different sets of data.
8. Formulation of policies.
9. Used for inter-sectoral and inter-temporal comparisons.
10. It is a quantitative expression for economic problem.
Function of Statistics
1. Statistics simplifies complexities.
2. It expresses facts in numbers.
3.It presents data in condensed form.
4. Statistics compares different phenomena and reassures relationship between them.
5. Statistics is helpful in formation of policies.
6. Statistics is helpful in economic forecasting.
7. It facilitates comparisons.
8. It is useful in testing the laws of other sciences.
9. It helps in establishment of correlation between two facts.
Limitations of Statistics
1. Statistics does not study individuals.
2. Statistics results might lead to fallacious conclusions.
3. Statistics deals with quantitative facts only.
4. Statistics laws are true only on averages.
5. Only experts can make the best possible use of statistics.
6. Uniformity and homogeneity of data is essential.
7. Misuse of statistics is indeed its greatest limitation because misuse of statistics is possible.
8. Study of aggregates only
9. Without reference, results may prove to be wrong.
CHAPTER 2 : COLLECTION OF DATA
Data is a collection of facts and measurement.
Data is a tool which helps in reaching a sound conclusion by providing information therefore. For
statistical investigation, collection of data is the first and foremost.
SOURCES OF DATA
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1. Primary Source
2. Secondary Sources
a. Published sources
b. Un-published sources
Primary Data– Data originally collected in the process of investigation are known as primary data. This
is original form of data which are collected for the first time.It is collected directly from its source of
origin.
Methods of collecting primary data
There are three basic ways of collecting data :
(i) Personal interview OR Direct Personal Investigation
(ii) Mailing (questionnaire surveys)
(iii) Telephone interviews
(iv) Indirect verbal investigation
(v) Information from local sources
(vi) Enumerator method
Secondary data It refers to collection of data by some agency, which already collected the data and
processed. The data thus collected is called secondary data.
Point of difference between Primary and Secondary data :-
1. Accuracy,
2. Originality,
3. Cost,
4. Need of modification
BASIS FOR
COMPARISON
PRIMARY DATA SECONDARY DATA
Meaning Primary data refer to the first hand
data gathered by the researcher
himself.
Secondary data means data collected
by someone else earlier.
Data Real time data Past data
Process Very involved Quick and easy
Source Surveys, observations, experiments,
questionnaire, personal interview,
etc.
Government publications, websites,
books, journal articles, internal records
etc.
Cost effectiveness Expensive Economical
Collection time Long Short
Specific Always specific to the researcher’s
needs.
May or may not be specific to the
researcher’s need.
Accuracy and
Reliability
More Relatively less
Sources of secondary data
Published sources
1. Govt. publication
2. semi-Govt. Publication
3. Reports of committees & commissions
4. Private publications e.g., Journals and News papers research institute, publication of trade
association.
5. International publications
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Unpublished Sources
The statistical data needn’t always be published. There are various sources of unpublished statistical
material such as the records maintained by private firms, business enterprises, scholars, research
workers, etc. They may not like to release their data to any outside agency.
Other source : web-site
Important points to be kept in mind while drafting the questionnaire
A. Introduction and purpose of investigation
B. Reasonable number questions.
C. Questions should be small & clear.
D. Questions should be arranged logically.
E. Instructions should be clear.
F. Proper space for answer.
G. Questions should be relevant to the investigation.
H. Personal questions should be avoided.
I. Avoid questions of calculations.
J. Cross Verification.
K. The question should not be ambiguous.
L. The question should not use double negative like “don’t you”.
M. The question should not indicate alternative answers.
Pilot Survey: Before sending the questionnaire to the information. It should be pretested. As a result of
its short comings if any, can be removed. Such pretesting named as pilot survey.
A pilot survey is a preliminary survey used to gather information prior to conducting a survey on a
larger scale. Pilot surveys, typically taken by smaller groups, help determine the efficiency of the future
survey while also helping organizations smooth out difficulties before administering the main survey.
METHODS OF SAMPLING:
1. Random sampling
a. Simple or unrestricted random sampling
b. Restricted random sampling
i. Stratified
ii. Systematic
iii. Multistage or Cluster sampling
2. Non-Random Sampling
a. Judgment sampling
b. Quota sampling
c. Convenience sampling
Census survey : In this method every element of population is included in the investigation.
Sample survey : In this method a group of units representing all the units of the population is
investigated.
BASIS FOR
COMPARISON
CENSUS SAMPLING
Meaning A systematic method that collects
and records the data about the
members of the population is called
Census.
Sampling refers to a portion of the
population selected to represent the
entire group, in all its characteristics.
Enumeration Complete Partial
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Study of Each and every unit of the population Only a handful of units of the
population.
Time required It is a time consuming process. It is a fast process.
Cost Expensive method Economical method
Results Reliable and accurate Less reliable and accurate, due to the
margin of error in the data collected.
Error Not present. Depends on the size of the
population
Appropriate for Population of heterogeneous nature. Population of homogeneous nature.
Population or universe
In Statistics, population or universe simply refers to an aggregate of items to be studied for an
investigation.
Sample: A group of items taken from the population for investigation and representative of all the
items.
Sampling Errors: Sampling error is the difference between the result of studying a sample and the
result of the census of the whole population.
Non-Sampling Error: Can occur in any type of survey whether it be a census or sample survey.
Sampling errors
1. Biased errors
2. Unbiased errors
Non sampling errors
1. Error in data acquisition
2. Non Response error
3. Sampling Bias
CENSUS OF INDIA AND NATIONAL SAMPLE SURVEY ORGANIZATION:
The census of India provides the complete and continuous demographic record of population.
The NSSO was established by the Govt. of India to conduct nation wide survey on socio-economic
issues like employment, literacy, maternity, child care, utilisation of public distribution system etc.
The data-collected by NSSO survey are released through reports and its quarterly journal
‘’Sarvekshana’’.
Eg. Size, growth rate, distribution of population, density, population, projections, sex composition and
literacy.
These data are used by govt. of India for planning purpose.
CHAPTER 3: ORGANIZATION OF DATA
Organization of data refers to the systematic arrangement of collected figures (raw data), so that the
data becomes easy to understand and more convenient for further statistical treatment.
Classification is the process of arranging data into sequences and groups according to their common
characteristics of separating them in to different but related parts.
Characteristics of classification:
1. Homogeneity
2.Suitability
3. Clarity
4. Flexibility
5. Diversification
A variable is a characteristic which is capable of being measured and capable of change in its value
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from time to time.
BASIS OF CLASSIFICATION:
Raw data can be classified as:
1. Chronological classification: In such a classification data are classified either in ascending or in
descending order with reference to time such as years, quarters, months weeks etc.
2. Geographical/Spatial classification: The data are classified with reference to geographical
location/place such as countries, states , cities, districts, block etc.
3. Qualitative classification: Data are classified with reference to descriptive characteristics like sex,
caste, religion literacy etc.
4. Quantitative classification: Data are classified on the basis of some measurable characteristics such
as height, age, weight, income, marks of students.
5. conditional classification: When data are classified with respect to condition, the type of
classification is called conditional classification.
A mass of data in its original form is called raw data. It is an unorganized mass of various items.
A characteristic which is capable of being measured and changes its value overtime is called a variable.
It is of two types.
(a) Discrete
(b) Continuous
Discrete: Discrete variable are those variables that increase in jumps or in complete numbers and are not
fractional. Ex.-number of student in a class could be 2, 4, 10, 15,, 20, 25, etc. It does not take any
fractional value between them.
Continuous variable: Continuous variables are those variables that can takes any value i.e. integral
value or fractional value in a specified interval.Ex- Wages of workers in a factory.
A frequency distribution is a comprehensive way to classify raw data of a quantitative variable. It
shows how different values of a variable is distributed in different classes along with their corresponding
class frequencies.
The class mid-point or class mark is the middle value of a class. It lies halfway between the lower
class limit and the upper class limit of a class and can be ascertained in the following manner.
Class mid-point = upper class limit + lower class limit / 2.
Class frequency: It means the number of values in a particular class.
Class width:- It is the difference between the upper class limit and lower class limit
Class width = upper class Limit – Lower class Limit
Class Limits:- There are two ends of a class. The lowest value is called lower class limit and highest
value is called upper class limit.
The classes, by the exclusive method is formed in such a way that the upper class limit of one class
equals the lower class limit of the next class. eg 0-10, 10-20.
In comparison to the exclusive method, the inclusive method does not excludes the upper class limit in a
class interval. It includes the upper class in a class. Thus both class limits are parts of the class intervals
e.g., 0-9, 10-19.
The classification of data as a frequency distribution has an inherent short coming. While it summarizes
the raw data making it concise and comprehensible. It does not show the details that are found in raw
data. So there is a loss of information in classifying raw data.
Classification of data implies conversion of raw data in to statistical series.
The difference between Univariate and Bivariate Frequency distribution
BASIS UNIVARIATE FREQUENCY
DISTRIBUTION
BIVARIATE FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTION
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Meaning When data is classified on the basis
of single variable,the distribution is
known as univariate frequency
distribution.
when data is classified on the basis of two variables,
the distribution is known as bivariate frequency
distribution.
Alternate
Name
One-way frequency Two-way frequency
Example Height of students in a class Height and weight of students in a class
Broadly statistical series are of two types.
Types of series
1. Individual series
2. Frequency series
a. Discrete series Or Frequency Array
b. Frequency Distribution or Continuous series
Individual series are those series in which the items are listed singly. For example:
Sr. No. of workers Daily wages(in Rs.)
1 25
2 50
3 35
4 40
5 20
6 45
A discrete series or frequency array is that series in which data are prescribed in a way that exact
measurements of items are clearly shown. The example in following table illustrates a frequency array.
Frequency array of the size of household
Size of the household Number of household (Frequency)
1 5
2 15
3 25
4 35
5 10
6 5
A continuous series: It is that series in which items cannot be exactly measured. The items assume a
range of values and are placed within the range of limits. In other words, data are classified into
different classes with a range, the range is called class-intervals.
Frequency distribution or continuous series
Marks Frequency
10-20 4
20-30 5
30-40 8
40-50 5
50-60 4
8
60-70 3
CHAPTER 4: PRESENTATION OF DATA
The presentation of data means exhibition of data in such a clear and attractive manner that these can be
easily understood and analysed.
Forms of Presentation of data:
1. Textual/Descriptive Presentation
2. Tabular Presentation
3. Diagrammatic Presentation
4. Graphical Presentation
1. Textual/Descriptive Presentation of Data:- In this, data is presented in the form of text. This is
suitable when quantity of data is not too large.
2. Tabulation– It is the process of presenting data in the form of a table.
Parts or components of Table:
1. Table Number
2. Title
3. Caption Or Column Headings
4. Stubs Or Row Headings
5. Body of the Table
6. Unit of Measurement
7. Source
8. Head Note
9. Foot Note
Features of a good table:
(a) Compatible with the objective
(b) Helpful in comparison
(c) Ideal Size
(d) Stubs
(e) Headings
(f) Percentage and ratio
(g) Sources of Data
(h) Simplicity
Kinds of Table:
1. According to Purpose
2. According to originality
3. According to construction
Classification of tabular presentation of data
1. Qualitative Classification:- When classification is done according to attributes such as social status,
nationality, etc. It is called qualitative classification.
2. Quantitative Classification:- In this, the data are classified on the basis of characteristics which are
quantitative in nature. e.g., age, height, income, etc.
3. Temporal classification:- In this, time becomes the becomes the classifying variable and data are
categorised according to time. Time may be in hours, weeks, years, etc.
4. Spatial classification:- When classification is done on the basis of place, it is called spatial
classification. The place may be village, town, state, country, etc.
Diagrammatic Presentation: When data is presented in a simple and attractive manner in the form of
diagrams is called diagrammatic presentation of data.
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Types of Diagrammatic Presentation:
1. Geometric Form
a. Pie Diagram
b. Bar Diagram
i. Simple
ii. Multiple
iii. Sub Divided
iv. Percentage
2. Frequency Diagram
a. Histogram
b. Frequency Polygon
c. Frequency Curve
d. Ogive curve
3. Arithmetic Line Graph or Time series graph
BAR DIAGRAM:- Bar diagrams are those diagrams in which data are presented in the form of bars or
rectangles.
Simple bar diagram:- They are those diagrams which are based on a single set of numerical data.
Different items are represented by different bars.
Multiple bar diagram:- They are those diagrams which show two or more sets of data simultaneously.
This type of diagram is, generally, used to make comparison between two sets of series.
Sub divided bar diagram:- These are those diagrams which present simultaneously, total values and
parts there in a set of a data.
Percentage bar diagram:- They are those diagram which show simultaneously different parts off the
values of a sets of data in terms of percentage.
Deviation bar diagram:- These are used to compare the net deviation of related variables with respect
to time and location. Bars which represent positive deviation and which represent negative deviation are
drawn above and below the base line respectively.
PIE OR CIRCULAR DIAGRAM is a circle divided into various segments showing the per cent values
of a series.
HISTOGRAM is graphical presentations of a frequency distribution of a continuous series.It can never
be drawn for a discrete series.
FREQUENCY POLYGON is drawn by joining the mid points of the tops of rectangles in a histogram.
It is constructed with the help of discrete as well as continuous series.
FREQUENCY CURVE is obtained by joining the points of a frequency polygon through free hand
smooth curve not by straight lines.
CUMULATIVE FREQUENCY CURVES OR OGIVE CURVE IS THE CURVE which is
constructed by plotting cumulative frequency data on the graph paper in the form of a smooth curve.
ARITHMETIC LINE GRAPHS OR TIME SERIES GRAPHS:- In this graph, time(hour,day, date,
week, month, year) is plotted along X-axis and the corresponding value of variable along Y-axis.
CHAPTER 5: MEASURES OF CENTRAL TENDENCY
Points to Remember: A CENTRAL TENDENCY is a single figure that represents the whole mass of
data
ARITHMETIC MEAN OR MEAN is the number which is obtained by adding the values of all the
items of a series and dividing the total by the number of items.
When all items of a series are given equal importance than it is called simple arithmetic mean and when
different items of a series are given different weights according with their relative importance is known
10
weighted arithmetic mean.
MEDIAN is the middle value of the series when arranged in order of the magnitude.
When a series is divided into more than two parts, the dividing values are called Partition values.
MODE is the value which occurs most frequently in the series, that modal value has the highest
frequency in the series.
MAIN PURPOSES AND FUNCTIONS OF AVERAGES.
(i) To represent a brief picture of data.
(ii) Comparison.
(iii) Formulation of policies.
(iv) Basis of statistical analysis.
(v) One value for all the group or series.
ESSENTIALS OF A GOOD AVERAGE.
(i) Easy to understand.
(ii) Easy to compute
(iii) Rigidly defined.
(iv) Based on all the items of series.
(v) Certain in character
(vi) Least effect of a change in the sample.
(vii) Capable of algebraic treatment.
Merits of Arithmetic mean:
(i) Simplicity
(ii) Certainty
(iii) Based on all values.
(iv) Algebraic treatment possible.
(v) Basis of comparison
(vi) Accuracy test possible.
(vii) No scope for estimated value.
Demerits of Arithmetic mean:
(i) Effect of extreme values.
(ii) Mean value may not figure in the series.
(iii) unsuitability.
(iv) Misleading conclusions.
(v) Cannot be used in case of qualitative phenomenon.
(vi) Gets distorted by extreme value of the series.
Merits of Median:
(i) Simple measure of central tendency.
(ii) It is not affected by extreme observations.
(iii) Possible even when data is incomplete.
(iv) Median can be determined by graphic presentation of data.
(v) It has a definite value.
(vi) Simple to calculate and understand
(vii) It is a positional value not a calculated value.
Demerits of median:
(i) Not based on all the items in the series, as it indicates the value of middle items.
(ii) Not suitable for algebraic treatment.
(iii) Arranging the data in ascending order takes much time.
(iv) Affected by fluctuations of items.
(v) It cannot be computed exactly where the number of items in a series is even.
Merits of mode:
(i) Simple and popular measure of central tendency.
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(ii) It can be located graphically with the help of histogram.
(iii) Less effect of marginal values.
(iv) No need of knowing all the items of series.
(v) It is the most representative value in the given series.
(vi) It is less effected by extreme values.
Demerits of mode:
(i) It is an uncertain measure.
(ii) It is not capable of algebraic treatment.
(iii) Procedure of grouping is complex.
(iv) It is not based on all observations.
(v) For bi- modal and tri-modal series, it is difficult to calculate.
(vi) Its value is not based on each and every item of the series.
(vii) If items are identical, it is difficult to identify the modal value.
Relation among mean, median and mode :
Mode = 3 median – 2 mean
LOCATION OF MEDIAN BY GRAPH:
(i) By ‘Less than’ or ‘More than’ ogives method a frequency distribution series is first converted into a
less than or more than cumulative series as in the case of ogives, data are presented graphically to make
a ‘less than’ or ‘more than’ ogive, N/2 item of the series is determined and from this point (on the y-axis
of the graph) a perpendicular is drawn to the right to cut the cumulative frequency curve. The median
value is the one where cumulative frequency curve cuts corresponding to x-axis.
(ii) Less than and more than ogive curve method present the data graphically in the form of ‘less than’
and ‘more than’ ogives simultaneously. The two ogives are superimposed upon each other to determine
the median value. Mark the point where the ogive curve cut each other, draw a perpendicular from that
point on x-axis, the corresponding value on the x-axis would be the median value.
GRAPHIC PRESENTATION OF MODE:
Prepare a histogram from the given data. Find out the rectangle whose height is the highest. This will be
the modal class. Draw two lines-one joining the top right point of the rectangle preceding the modal
class with top right point of the modal class. The other joining the top left point of the modal class with
the top left point of the post modal class. From the point of intersection of these two diagonal lines, draw
a perpendicular on horizontal axis i.e., x-axis the point where this perpendicular line meets x-axis, gives
us the value of mode.
Formulae of calculating arithmetic mean:
Types of Series Direct Method
Shortcut
Methods
Step deviation Methods
Individual Series
Discrete series
Continuous Series
Formulae of calculating median and partition values:
Measure Individual Series Discrete Series Continuous Series
Size of item Size of item Size of item Size of item Formula
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Median
Formula of calculating mode in continuous series:
Mode =
Where, = Lower limit of modal class
= Frequency of the group preceding the modal class
= Frequency of the modal class
= Frequency of the group succeeding the modal class
= Magnitude or class interval of the modal class
CHAPTER 6: CORRELATION
Points to remember
Meaning of correlation: Correlation is a statistical tool which studies the relationship between two
variables e.g. change in price leads to change in quantity demanded.
Correlation studies and measures the direction and intensity of relationship among variables. It measures
co-variation not causation. It does not imply cause and effect relation.
Type of Correlation
Correlation is classified into positive and negative correlation. The correlation is said to be positive
when the variables move together in the same direction. e.g. sale of lce cream and temperature move in
same direction.
The correlation is said to be negative when the variables move in opposite direction. e.g. When you
spend more time in studying chances of your failure decline.
Examples of positive correlation are:
1. Price and supply of a commodity.
2. Increase in Height and Weight.
3. Age of husband and age of wife.
4. The family income and expenditure on luxury items.
Examples of negative correlation are:
1. Sale of woollen garments and day temperature.
2. Price and Demand of a commodity.
3. Yield of crops and price.
Degree of Correlation:
Degree Positive Negative
Perfect +1 -1
High Between +0.75 and +1 Between -0.75 and -1
Moderate Between +0.25 and +0.75 Between -0.25 and -0.75
Low Between 0 and +0.25 Between 0 and -0.25
Zero 0 0
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METHODS OF ESTIMATING CORRELATION:
(a) Scatter diagram
(b) Karl person’s coefficient of correlation.
(c) Spearman’s rank correlation.
Scatter diagram offers a graphic expression of the direction and degree of correlation. To construct a
scatter diagram, x variables taken on X-axis and y variable is taken on Y-axis. The cluster of points,
plotted is referred to as a scatter diagram. In this, the degree of closeness of scatter points and their
overall direction enables us to examine the relationship.
Karl person’s coefficient of correlation is a quantitative method of calculating correlation. It gives a
precise numerical value of the degree of linear relationship between two variables.
Karl person’s coefficient of correlation is also known as product moment correlation.
Formula:
Here,
r = Coefficient of correlation
= Standard deviation of X-series.
= Standard deviation of Y-series.
N = Number of observations
Karl Person’s coefficient of correlation is calculated by following methods:
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(a) Actual mean method:
Here,
r = Coeff. Of correlation
(b) Assumed Mean method:
Here,
dx = Deviations of x-series from assumed mean = (X – A)
dy = Deviation of Y-series from assumed mean = (Y – A)
= Sum of multiple of dx and dy.
= Sum of the square of dx.
= Sum of the square of dy
= Sum of the deviation of x-series
= Sum of the deviation of Y-series
N = Number of pairs of observations
When value of the variables are large, we use step deviation method to reduce the burden of
calculation.
(c) Step deviation method
Here,
dx = deviation of X-series from assumed mean = (X-A)
dy = deviation of Y-series from assumed mean = (Y-A)
= Sum of multiple of dx and dy.
= Sum of the square of dx.
= Sum of the square of dy
= Sum of the deviation of x-series
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= Sum of the deviation of Y-series
N = Number of pairs of observations
C1 is common factor for series -x
C2 is common factor for series -y
PROPERTIES OF CORRELATION COEFFICIENT(r)
(i) Correlation coefficient (r) has no unit.
(ii) A negative value of r indicates an inverse relation.
(iii) If r is positive then two variables move in the same direction.
(iv) The value of r lies between minus – 1 and +1, i.e.
(v) If r is zero, the two variables are uncorrelated.
(vi) If r = + 1 or r = – 1, the correlation is perfect.
(vii) A high value of r indicates strong linear relationship and a low value or indicates a weak linear
relationship.
(viii) The value of r is unaffected by the change of origin and change of scale.
Given two variables x and y let us define two new variables
Here A and C are assumed means of X and V respectively. B and D are common factors. They rxy = ruv.
SPEARMAN’S RANK CORRELATION METHOD is used to calculate coefficient of correlation of
qualitative variables such as beauty, bravery, wisdom, ability virtue etc. It was developed by British
Psychologist C.E. spearman.
Here,
When ranks are repeated the formula is:
Where are number of repetitions of ranks.
CHAPTER 7: INDEX NUMBERS
Meaning of Index Number: An index number is a statistical device for measuring changes in the
magnitude of a group of related variables.
Features of Index Number
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1. Index numbers are expressed in terms of percentages. However, percentage sign (%) is never
used.
2. Index numbers are relative measurement of group of data.
3. Index numbers offer a precise measurement of the quantitative change in the concerned
variables over time.
4. Index number show changes in terms of averages.
5. They are expressed in numbers.
6. Index number facilitates the comparative study over different time period.
Importance of Index number
1. It serves as a barometer for measuring the value of money.
2. Gives knowledge about change in standard of living.
3. It helps the business community in planning their decision.
4. Helpful to determine the rate of premium.
Limitation of Index Number
1. Limited applicability
2. International comparison is not possible
3. Limited coverage
4. Difficulty in the construction of index number
Types of Index numbers:
(i) Wholesale price index (WPI)
(ii) Consumer price index (CPI) or Cost of living index
(iii) Index of industrial production (IIP)
(iv) Index of Agricultural production (IAP)
(v) Sensex
Methods of constructing index numbers:
1. Construction of Simple Index numbers
a. Simple Aggregative Method
b. Simple Average of Price Relatives Method
2. Construction of weighted Index numbers
a. weighted Average of Price Relative Method
b. Weighted Aggregative Method
Simple aggregative method:
Here, = Price index of the current year.
= Sum of the prices of the commodities in the current year
= Sum of the prices of the commodities in the base year
Current year: Current year is the year for which average change is to be measured or index of index
number is to be calculated.
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Base year: Base year is the year of reference from which we want measure extent of change in the
current year. The index number of base year is generally assumed to be 100.
SOME IMPORTANT INDEX NUMBERS:
(I) CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (CPI): CPI is also known as the cost of living index, measures the average
change in retail prices.
Methods of constructing CPI:
Here,
W = Weights
(B) Aggregative expenditure method: P01 = ∑p1q0∑p0q0×100∑p1q0∑p0q0×100
(ii) Wholesale price index (WPI): WPI Indicates the change in the general price level.
(iii) Index of industrial production (IIP): IIP is used to measure the relative increase or decrease in the
level of industrial production.
(iv) Index of agriculture production (IAP)
IAP is used to study the rise and fall of the yield of principle crops from one period to other period.
(v) Sensex: Sensex is the short form of Bombay stock exchange sensitive index with 1978-79 as base. It
is the benchmark index for the Indian stock market.
It consists or 30 stocks which represent 13 sectors of the economy and the companies are the leaders
in their respective industries.
PROBLEMS IN CONSTRUCTION OF INDEX NUMBERS:
(i) Purpose of index number.
(ii) Selection of base year.
(iii) Selection of items.
(iv) Selection of the prices of items.
(v) Selection of method of weighting
(vi) Selection of sources of data
(vii) Choice of an average.
(viii) Choice of method.
USES OF INDEX NUMBERS:
(i) To measure the purchasing power of money.
(ii) Knowledge of change in standard of living.
(iii) Adjustment in salaries and allowances.
(iv) Help in framing suitable policies.
(v) As economic barometers.
INFLATION AND INDEX NUMBERS:
Inflation is described a situation characterised by a sustained increase in the general price level.
Generally, inflation is measured in terms of wholesale price index.
Rate of inflation =
Here, = WPI for week first (1)
= WPI for week second (2)
18

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Economics Class 11 Model Paper Study Well

  • 1. 1 CLASS 11- PART A : STATISTICS FOR ECONOMICS CHAPTER 1 : INTRODUCTION ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES a. Production b. Consumption c. Investment d. Exchange e. Distribution NON-ECONOMICS ACTIVITIES a. Social b. Religious c. Political d. Charitable e. Parental Economic activities are those activities which are related to earn money and wealth for life. These activities generate new income and increase the flow of goods and services. For example production, consumption, investment, distribution. Non economic activities are those activities which are not related to earn money and wealth. These activities neither generate income nor increase the flow of goods & services.For example a teacher teaching his own son. CONSUMER : Consumer is an economic agent who buys the goods and services to satisfy his wants. PRODUCER is one who produces goods and services for the generation of income. SERVICE HOLDER : A person who is in job and gives his services as a factor of production and is getting paid for it. E.g. Govt. Teacher. SERVICE PROVIDER : A person who provides services to other for a payment. e.g. transporter, auto driver. STATISTICS : Statistics is a method of taking decisions on the basis of numerical data. Statistics can be defined in two ways:- 1. Singular sense: Statistic Means Statistical methods and techniques related to collection, organisation, classification, Presentation, analysis and Interpretation of data. 2. Plural Sense: Statistics means Numerical facts and figures Which have been systematically collected for a definite purpose in any field of study. Characteristics of statistics in plural sense 1. Aggregate of facts 2. Numerically expressed 3. Affected by multiplicity of causes 4. Reasonable accuracy 5. Collected in a systematic manner 6. Pre-determined Purpose 7. Placed in relation to each other Stages of statistics in singular sense 1. Collection of data 2. Organisation of data 3. Presentation of data 4. Analysis of data
  • 2. 2 5. Interpretation of data Statistical data (1) Qualitative data – Not measured in numerical terms like beauty and intelligence. (2) Quantitative data – Measured in numerical terms like price and Income. Scope of Statistics In the old days the use of statistics was restricted to deal with the affairs of the state. But now-a-days the scope of statistics has spread to all those areas where numerical facts are used such as economics, business industry, medicine, physics, chemistry and numerous other fields of knowledge. Importance of Statistics in Economics 1. It enables an economist to present economic facts in precise and definite form. 2. Helps in condensing mass data info a few numerical measures. 3. Statistics is used in finding relationship between different economic factors. 4. Economics forecasting through statistical studies. 5. Helpful to formulate appropriate economic policies that solve economic problems. 6. Help to analyse the performance of policies applied before. 7. Economist try to find out cause and effect relationship between different sets of data. 8. Formulation of policies. 9. Used for inter-sectoral and inter-temporal comparisons. 10. It is a quantitative expression for economic problem. Function of Statistics 1. Statistics simplifies complexities. 2. It expresses facts in numbers. 3.It presents data in condensed form. 4. Statistics compares different phenomena and reassures relationship between them. 5. Statistics is helpful in formation of policies. 6. Statistics is helpful in economic forecasting. 7. It facilitates comparisons. 8. It is useful in testing the laws of other sciences. 9. It helps in establishment of correlation between two facts. Limitations of Statistics 1. Statistics does not study individuals. 2. Statistics results might lead to fallacious conclusions. 3. Statistics deals with quantitative facts only. 4. Statistics laws are true only on averages. 5. Only experts can make the best possible use of statistics. 6. Uniformity and homogeneity of data is essential. 7. Misuse of statistics is indeed its greatest limitation because misuse of statistics is possible. 8. Study of aggregates only 9. Without reference, results may prove to be wrong. CHAPTER 2 : COLLECTION OF DATA Data is a collection of facts and measurement. Data is a tool which helps in reaching a sound conclusion by providing information therefore. For statistical investigation, collection of data is the first and foremost. SOURCES OF DATA
  • 3. 3 1. Primary Source 2. Secondary Sources a. Published sources b. Un-published sources Primary Data– Data originally collected in the process of investigation are known as primary data. This is original form of data which are collected for the first time.It is collected directly from its source of origin. Methods of collecting primary data There are three basic ways of collecting data : (i) Personal interview OR Direct Personal Investigation (ii) Mailing (questionnaire surveys) (iii) Telephone interviews (iv) Indirect verbal investigation (v) Information from local sources (vi) Enumerator method Secondary data It refers to collection of data by some agency, which already collected the data and processed. The data thus collected is called secondary data. Point of difference between Primary and Secondary data :- 1. Accuracy, 2. Originality, 3. Cost, 4. Need of modification BASIS FOR COMPARISON PRIMARY DATA SECONDARY DATA Meaning Primary data refer to the first hand data gathered by the researcher himself. Secondary data means data collected by someone else earlier. Data Real time data Past data Process Very involved Quick and easy Source Surveys, observations, experiments, questionnaire, personal interview, etc. Government publications, websites, books, journal articles, internal records etc. Cost effectiveness Expensive Economical Collection time Long Short Specific Always specific to the researcher’s needs. May or may not be specific to the researcher’s need. Accuracy and Reliability More Relatively less Sources of secondary data Published sources 1. Govt. publication 2. semi-Govt. Publication 3. Reports of committees & commissions 4. Private publications e.g., Journals and News papers research institute, publication of trade association. 5. International publications
  • 4. 4 Unpublished Sources The statistical data needn’t always be published. There are various sources of unpublished statistical material such as the records maintained by private firms, business enterprises, scholars, research workers, etc. They may not like to release their data to any outside agency. Other source : web-site Important points to be kept in mind while drafting the questionnaire A. Introduction and purpose of investigation B. Reasonable number questions. C. Questions should be small & clear. D. Questions should be arranged logically. E. Instructions should be clear. F. Proper space for answer. G. Questions should be relevant to the investigation. H. Personal questions should be avoided. I. Avoid questions of calculations. J. Cross Verification. K. The question should not be ambiguous. L. The question should not use double negative like “don’t you”. M. The question should not indicate alternative answers. Pilot Survey: Before sending the questionnaire to the information. It should be pretested. As a result of its short comings if any, can be removed. Such pretesting named as pilot survey. A pilot survey is a preliminary survey used to gather information prior to conducting a survey on a larger scale. Pilot surveys, typically taken by smaller groups, help determine the efficiency of the future survey while also helping organizations smooth out difficulties before administering the main survey. METHODS OF SAMPLING: 1. Random sampling a. Simple or unrestricted random sampling b. Restricted random sampling i. Stratified ii. Systematic iii. Multistage or Cluster sampling 2. Non-Random Sampling a. Judgment sampling b. Quota sampling c. Convenience sampling Census survey : In this method every element of population is included in the investigation. Sample survey : In this method a group of units representing all the units of the population is investigated. BASIS FOR COMPARISON CENSUS SAMPLING Meaning A systematic method that collects and records the data about the members of the population is called Census. Sampling refers to a portion of the population selected to represent the entire group, in all its characteristics. Enumeration Complete Partial
  • 5. 5 Study of Each and every unit of the population Only a handful of units of the population. Time required It is a time consuming process. It is a fast process. Cost Expensive method Economical method Results Reliable and accurate Less reliable and accurate, due to the margin of error in the data collected. Error Not present. Depends on the size of the population Appropriate for Population of heterogeneous nature. Population of homogeneous nature. Population or universe In Statistics, population or universe simply refers to an aggregate of items to be studied for an investigation. Sample: A group of items taken from the population for investigation and representative of all the items. Sampling Errors: Sampling error is the difference between the result of studying a sample and the result of the census of the whole population. Non-Sampling Error: Can occur in any type of survey whether it be a census or sample survey. Sampling errors 1. Biased errors 2. Unbiased errors Non sampling errors 1. Error in data acquisition 2. Non Response error 3. Sampling Bias CENSUS OF INDIA AND NATIONAL SAMPLE SURVEY ORGANIZATION: The census of India provides the complete and continuous demographic record of population. The NSSO was established by the Govt. of India to conduct nation wide survey on socio-economic issues like employment, literacy, maternity, child care, utilisation of public distribution system etc. The data-collected by NSSO survey are released through reports and its quarterly journal ‘’Sarvekshana’’. Eg. Size, growth rate, distribution of population, density, population, projections, sex composition and literacy. These data are used by govt. of India for planning purpose. CHAPTER 3: ORGANIZATION OF DATA Organization of data refers to the systematic arrangement of collected figures (raw data), so that the data becomes easy to understand and more convenient for further statistical treatment. Classification is the process of arranging data into sequences and groups according to their common characteristics of separating them in to different but related parts. Characteristics of classification: 1. Homogeneity 2.Suitability 3. Clarity 4. Flexibility 5. Diversification A variable is a characteristic which is capable of being measured and capable of change in its value
  • 6. 6 from time to time. BASIS OF CLASSIFICATION: Raw data can be classified as: 1. Chronological classification: In such a classification data are classified either in ascending or in descending order with reference to time such as years, quarters, months weeks etc. 2. Geographical/Spatial classification: The data are classified with reference to geographical location/place such as countries, states , cities, districts, block etc. 3. Qualitative classification: Data are classified with reference to descriptive characteristics like sex, caste, religion literacy etc. 4. Quantitative classification: Data are classified on the basis of some measurable characteristics such as height, age, weight, income, marks of students. 5. conditional classification: When data are classified with respect to condition, the type of classification is called conditional classification. A mass of data in its original form is called raw data. It is an unorganized mass of various items. A characteristic which is capable of being measured and changes its value overtime is called a variable. It is of two types. (a) Discrete (b) Continuous Discrete: Discrete variable are those variables that increase in jumps or in complete numbers and are not fractional. Ex.-number of student in a class could be 2, 4, 10, 15,, 20, 25, etc. It does not take any fractional value between them. Continuous variable: Continuous variables are those variables that can takes any value i.e. integral value or fractional value in a specified interval.Ex- Wages of workers in a factory. A frequency distribution is a comprehensive way to classify raw data of a quantitative variable. It shows how different values of a variable is distributed in different classes along with their corresponding class frequencies. The class mid-point or class mark is the middle value of a class. It lies halfway between the lower class limit and the upper class limit of a class and can be ascertained in the following manner. Class mid-point = upper class limit + lower class limit / 2. Class frequency: It means the number of values in a particular class. Class width:- It is the difference between the upper class limit and lower class limit Class width = upper class Limit – Lower class Limit Class Limits:- There are two ends of a class. The lowest value is called lower class limit and highest value is called upper class limit. The classes, by the exclusive method is formed in such a way that the upper class limit of one class equals the lower class limit of the next class. eg 0-10, 10-20. In comparison to the exclusive method, the inclusive method does not excludes the upper class limit in a class interval. It includes the upper class in a class. Thus both class limits are parts of the class intervals e.g., 0-9, 10-19. The classification of data as a frequency distribution has an inherent short coming. While it summarizes the raw data making it concise and comprehensible. It does not show the details that are found in raw data. So there is a loss of information in classifying raw data. Classification of data implies conversion of raw data in to statistical series. The difference between Univariate and Bivariate Frequency distribution BASIS UNIVARIATE FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTION BIVARIATE FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTION
  • 7. 7 Meaning When data is classified on the basis of single variable,the distribution is known as univariate frequency distribution. when data is classified on the basis of two variables, the distribution is known as bivariate frequency distribution. Alternate Name One-way frequency Two-way frequency Example Height of students in a class Height and weight of students in a class Broadly statistical series are of two types. Types of series 1. Individual series 2. Frequency series a. Discrete series Or Frequency Array b. Frequency Distribution or Continuous series Individual series are those series in which the items are listed singly. For example: Sr. No. of workers Daily wages(in Rs.) 1 25 2 50 3 35 4 40 5 20 6 45 A discrete series or frequency array is that series in which data are prescribed in a way that exact measurements of items are clearly shown. The example in following table illustrates a frequency array. Frequency array of the size of household Size of the household Number of household (Frequency) 1 5 2 15 3 25 4 35 5 10 6 5 A continuous series: It is that series in which items cannot be exactly measured. The items assume a range of values and are placed within the range of limits. In other words, data are classified into different classes with a range, the range is called class-intervals. Frequency distribution or continuous series Marks Frequency 10-20 4 20-30 5 30-40 8 40-50 5 50-60 4
  • 8. 8 60-70 3 CHAPTER 4: PRESENTATION OF DATA The presentation of data means exhibition of data in such a clear and attractive manner that these can be easily understood and analysed. Forms of Presentation of data: 1. Textual/Descriptive Presentation 2. Tabular Presentation 3. Diagrammatic Presentation 4. Graphical Presentation 1. Textual/Descriptive Presentation of Data:- In this, data is presented in the form of text. This is suitable when quantity of data is not too large. 2. Tabulation– It is the process of presenting data in the form of a table. Parts or components of Table: 1. Table Number 2. Title 3. Caption Or Column Headings 4. Stubs Or Row Headings 5. Body of the Table 6. Unit of Measurement 7. Source 8. Head Note 9. Foot Note Features of a good table: (a) Compatible with the objective (b) Helpful in comparison (c) Ideal Size (d) Stubs (e) Headings (f) Percentage and ratio (g) Sources of Data (h) Simplicity Kinds of Table: 1. According to Purpose 2. According to originality 3. According to construction Classification of tabular presentation of data 1. Qualitative Classification:- When classification is done according to attributes such as social status, nationality, etc. It is called qualitative classification. 2. Quantitative Classification:- In this, the data are classified on the basis of characteristics which are quantitative in nature. e.g., age, height, income, etc. 3. Temporal classification:- In this, time becomes the becomes the classifying variable and data are categorised according to time. Time may be in hours, weeks, years, etc. 4. Spatial classification:- When classification is done on the basis of place, it is called spatial classification. The place may be village, town, state, country, etc. Diagrammatic Presentation: When data is presented in a simple and attractive manner in the form of diagrams is called diagrammatic presentation of data.
  • 9. 9 Types of Diagrammatic Presentation: 1. Geometric Form a. Pie Diagram b. Bar Diagram i. Simple ii. Multiple iii. Sub Divided iv. Percentage 2. Frequency Diagram a. Histogram b. Frequency Polygon c. Frequency Curve d. Ogive curve 3. Arithmetic Line Graph or Time series graph BAR DIAGRAM:- Bar diagrams are those diagrams in which data are presented in the form of bars or rectangles. Simple bar diagram:- They are those diagrams which are based on a single set of numerical data. Different items are represented by different bars. Multiple bar diagram:- They are those diagrams which show two or more sets of data simultaneously. This type of diagram is, generally, used to make comparison between two sets of series. Sub divided bar diagram:- These are those diagrams which present simultaneously, total values and parts there in a set of a data. Percentage bar diagram:- They are those diagram which show simultaneously different parts off the values of a sets of data in terms of percentage. Deviation bar diagram:- These are used to compare the net deviation of related variables with respect to time and location. Bars which represent positive deviation and which represent negative deviation are drawn above and below the base line respectively. PIE OR CIRCULAR DIAGRAM is a circle divided into various segments showing the per cent values of a series. HISTOGRAM is graphical presentations of a frequency distribution of a continuous series.It can never be drawn for a discrete series. FREQUENCY POLYGON is drawn by joining the mid points of the tops of rectangles in a histogram. It is constructed with the help of discrete as well as continuous series. FREQUENCY CURVE is obtained by joining the points of a frequency polygon through free hand smooth curve not by straight lines. CUMULATIVE FREQUENCY CURVES OR OGIVE CURVE IS THE CURVE which is constructed by plotting cumulative frequency data on the graph paper in the form of a smooth curve. ARITHMETIC LINE GRAPHS OR TIME SERIES GRAPHS:- In this graph, time(hour,day, date, week, month, year) is plotted along X-axis and the corresponding value of variable along Y-axis. CHAPTER 5: MEASURES OF CENTRAL TENDENCY Points to Remember: A CENTRAL TENDENCY is a single figure that represents the whole mass of data ARITHMETIC MEAN OR MEAN is the number which is obtained by adding the values of all the items of a series and dividing the total by the number of items. When all items of a series are given equal importance than it is called simple arithmetic mean and when different items of a series are given different weights according with their relative importance is known
  • 10. 10 weighted arithmetic mean. MEDIAN is the middle value of the series when arranged in order of the magnitude. When a series is divided into more than two parts, the dividing values are called Partition values. MODE is the value which occurs most frequently in the series, that modal value has the highest frequency in the series. MAIN PURPOSES AND FUNCTIONS OF AVERAGES. (i) To represent a brief picture of data. (ii) Comparison. (iii) Formulation of policies. (iv) Basis of statistical analysis. (v) One value for all the group or series. ESSENTIALS OF A GOOD AVERAGE. (i) Easy to understand. (ii) Easy to compute (iii) Rigidly defined. (iv) Based on all the items of series. (v) Certain in character (vi) Least effect of a change in the sample. (vii) Capable of algebraic treatment. Merits of Arithmetic mean: (i) Simplicity (ii) Certainty (iii) Based on all values. (iv) Algebraic treatment possible. (v) Basis of comparison (vi) Accuracy test possible. (vii) No scope for estimated value. Demerits of Arithmetic mean: (i) Effect of extreme values. (ii) Mean value may not figure in the series. (iii) unsuitability. (iv) Misleading conclusions. (v) Cannot be used in case of qualitative phenomenon. (vi) Gets distorted by extreme value of the series. Merits of Median: (i) Simple measure of central tendency. (ii) It is not affected by extreme observations. (iii) Possible even when data is incomplete. (iv) Median can be determined by graphic presentation of data. (v) It has a definite value. (vi) Simple to calculate and understand (vii) It is a positional value not a calculated value. Demerits of median: (i) Not based on all the items in the series, as it indicates the value of middle items. (ii) Not suitable for algebraic treatment. (iii) Arranging the data in ascending order takes much time. (iv) Affected by fluctuations of items. (v) It cannot be computed exactly where the number of items in a series is even. Merits of mode: (i) Simple and popular measure of central tendency.
  • 11. 11 (ii) It can be located graphically with the help of histogram. (iii) Less effect of marginal values. (iv) No need of knowing all the items of series. (v) It is the most representative value in the given series. (vi) It is less effected by extreme values. Demerits of mode: (i) It is an uncertain measure. (ii) It is not capable of algebraic treatment. (iii) Procedure of grouping is complex. (iv) It is not based on all observations. (v) For bi- modal and tri-modal series, it is difficult to calculate. (vi) Its value is not based on each and every item of the series. (vii) If items are identical, it is difficult to identify the modal value. Relation among mean, median and mode : Mode = 3 median – 2 mean LOCATION OF MEDIAN BY GRAPH: (i) By ‘Less than’ or ‘More than’ ogives method a frequency distribution series is first converted into a less than or more than cumulative series as in the case of ogives, data are presented graphically to make a ‘less than’ or ‘more than’ ogive, N/2 item of the series is determined and from this point (on the y-axis of the graph) a perpendicular is drawn to the right to cut the cumulative frequency curve. The median value is the one where cumulative frequency curve cuts corresponding to x-axis. (ii) Less than and more than ogive curve method present the data graphically in the form of ‘less than’ and ‘more than’ ogives simultaneously. The two ogives are superimposed upon each other to determine the median value. Mark the point where the ogive curve cut each other, draw a perpendicular from that point on x-axis, the corresponding value on the x-axis would be the median value. GRAPHIC PRESENTATION OF MODE: Prepare a histogram from the given data. Find out the rectangle whose height is the highest. This will be the modal class. Draw two lines-one joining the top right point of the rectangle preceding the modal class with top right point of the modal class. The other joining the top left point of the modal class with the top left point of the post modal class. From the point of intersection of these two diagonal lines, draw a perpendicular on horizontal axis i.e., x-axis the point where this perpendicular line meets x-axis, gives us the value of mode. Formulae of calculating arithmetic mean: Types of Series Direct Method Shortcut Methods Step deviation Methods Individual Series Discrete series Continuous Series Formulae of calculating median and partition values: Measure Individual Series Discrete Series Continuous Series Size of item Size of item Size of item Size of item Formula
  • 12. 12 Median Formula of calculating mode in continuous series: Mode = Where, = Lower limit of modal class = Frequency of the group preceding the modal class = Frequency of the modal class = Frequency of the group succeeding the modal class = Magnitude or class interval of the modal class CHAPTER 6: CORRELATION Points to remember Meaning of correlation: Correlation is a statistical tool which studies the relationship between two variables e.g. change in price leads to change in quantity demanded. Correlation studies and measures the direction and intensity of relationship among variables. It measures co-variation not causation. It does not imply cause and effect relation. Type of Correlation Correlation is classified into positive and negative correlation. The correlation is said to be positive when the variables move together in the same direction. e.g. sale of lce cream and temperature move in same direction. The correlation is said to be negative when the variables move in opposite direction. e.g. When you spend more time in studying chances of your failure decline. Examples of positive correlation are: 1. Price and supply of a commodity. 2. Increase in Height and Weight. 3. Age of husband and age of wife. 4. The family income and expenditure on luxury items. Examples of negative correlation are: 1. Sale of woollen garments and day temperature. 2. Price and Demand of a commodity. 3. Yield of crops and price. Degree of Correlation: Degree Positive Negative Perfect +1 -1 High Between +0.75 and +1 Between -0.75 and -1 Moderate Between +0.25 and +0.75 Between -0.25 and -0.75 Low Between 0 and +0.25 Between 0 and -0.25 Zero 0 0
  • 13. 13 METHODS OF ESTIMATING CORRELATION: (a) Scatter diagram (b) Karl person’s coefficient of correlation. (c) Spearman’s rank correlation. Scatter diagram offers a graphic expression of the direction and degree of correlation. To construct a scatter diagram, x variables taken on X-axis and y variable is taken on Y-axis. The cluster of points, plotted is referred to as a scatter diagram. In this, the degree of closeness of scatter points and their overall direction enables us to examine the relationship. Karl person’s coefficient of correlation is a quantitative method of calculating correlation. It gives a precise numerical value of the degree of linear relationship between two variables. Karl person’s coefficient of correlation is also known as product moment correlation. Formula: Here, r = Coefficient of correlation = Standard deviation of X-series. = Standard deviation of Y-series. N = Number of observations Karl Person’s coefficient of correlation is calculated by following methods:
  • 14. 14 (a) Actual mean method: Here, r = Coeff. Of correlation (b) Assumed Mean method: Here, dx = Deviations of x-series from assumed mean = (X – A) dy = Deviation of Y-series from assumed mean = (Y – A) = Sum of multiple of dx and dy. = Sum of the square of dx. = Sum of the square of dy = Sum of the deviation of x-series = Sum of the deviation of Y-series N = Number of pairs of observations When value of the variables are large, we use step deviation method to reduce the burden of calculation. (c) Step deviation method Here, dx = deviation of X-series from assumed mean = (X-A) dy = deviation of Y-series from assumed mean = (Y-A) = Sum of multiple of dx and dy. = Sum of the square of dx. = Sum of the square of dy = Sum of the deviation of x-series
  • 15. 15 = Sum of the deviation of Y-series N = Number of pairs of observations C1 is common factor for series -x C2 is common factor for series -y PROPERTIES OF CORRELATION COEFFICIENT(r) (i) Correlation coefficient (r) has no unit. (ii) A negative value of r indicates an inverse relation. (iii) If r is positive then two variables move in the same direction. (iv) The value of r lies between minus – 1 and +1, i.e. (v) If r is zero, the two variables are uncorrelated. (vi) If r = + 1 or r = – 1, the correlation is perfect. (vii) A high value of r indicates strong linear relationship and a low value or indicates a weak linear relationship. (viii) The value of r is unaffected by the change of origin and change of scale. Given two variables x and y let us define two new variables Here A and C are assumed means of X and V respectively. B and D are common factors. They rxy = ruv. SPEARMAN’S RANK CORRELATION METHOD is used to calculate coefficient of correlation of qualitative variables such as beauty, bravery, wisdom, ability virtue etc. It was developed by British Psychologist C.E. spearman. Here, When ranks are repeated the formula is: Where are number of repetitions of ranks. CHAPTER 7: INDEX NUMBERS Meaning of Index Number: An index number is a statistical device for measuring changes in the magnitude of a group of related variables. Features of Index Number
  • 16. 16 1. Index numbers are expressed in terms of percentages. However, percentage sign (%) is never used. 2. Index numbers are relative measurement of group of data. 3. Index numbers offer a precise measurement of the quantitative change in the concerned variables over time. 4. Index number show changes in terms of averages. 5. They are expressed in numbers. 6. Index number facilitates the comparative study over different time period. Importance of Index number 1. It serves as a barometer for measuring the value of money. 2. Gives knowledge about change in standard of living. 3. It helps the business community in planning their decision. 4. Helpful to determine the rate of premium. Limitation of Index Number 1. Limited applicability 2. International comparison is not possible 3. Limited coverage 4. Difficulty in the construction of index number Types of Index numbers: (i) Wholesale price index (WPI) (ii) Consumer price index (CPI) or Cost of living index (iii) Index of industrial production (IIP) (iv) Index of Agricultural production (IAP) (v) Sensex Methods of constructing index numbers: 1. Construction of Simple Index numbers a. Simple Aggregative Method b. Simple Average of Price Relatives Method 2. Construction of weighted Index numbers a. weighted Average of Price Relative Method b. Weighted Aggregative Method Simple aggregative method: Here, = Price index of the current year. = Sum of the prices of the commodities in the current year = Sum of the prices of the commodities in the base year Current year: Current year is the year for which average change is to be measured or index of index number is to be calculated.
  • 17. 17 Base year: Base year is the year of reference from which we want measure extent of change in the current year. The index number of base year is generally assumed to be 100. SOME IMPORTANT INDEX NUMBERS: (I) CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (CPI): CPI is also known as the cost of living index, measures the average change in retail prices. Methods of constructing CPI: Here, W = Weights (B) Aggregative expenditure method: P01 = ∑p1q0∑p0q0×100∑p1q0∑p0q0×100 (ii) Wholesale price index (WPI): WPI Indicates the change in the general price level. (iii) Index of industrial production (IIP): IIP is used to measure the relative increase or decrease in the level of industrial production. (iv) Index of agriculture production (IAP) IAP is used to study the rise and fall of the yield of principle crops from one period to other period. (v) Sensex: Sensex is the short form of Bombay stock exchange sensitive index with 1978-79 as base. It is the benchmark index for the Indian stock market. It consists or 30 stocks which represent 13 sectors of the economy and the companies are the leaders in their respective industries. PROBLEMS IN CONSTRUCTION OF INDEX NUMBERS: (i) Purpose of index number. (ii) Selection of base year. (iii) Selection of items. (iv) Selection of the prices of items. (v) Selection of method of weighting (vi) Selection of sources of data (vii) Choice of an average. (viii) Choice of method. USES OF INDEX NUMBERS: (i) To measure the purchasing power of money. (ii) Knowledge of change in standard of living. (iii) Adjustment in salaries and allowances. (iv) Help in framing suitable policies. (v) As economic barometers. INFLATION AND INDEX NUMBERS: Inflation is described a situation characterised by a sustained increase in the general price level. Generally, inflation is measured in terms of wholesale price index. Rate of inflation = Here, = WPI for week first (1) = WPI for week second (2)
  • 18. 18