The document discusses the economic impact of the 2014-2015 Ebola virus outbreak in West Africa. It notes that the outbreak originated in the Democratic Republic of Congo and spread to countries like Sierra Leone, Liberia, and Guinea. According to the World Bank, the overall economic effect was an estimated $2.8 billion, with $600 million for Guinea, $300 million for Liberia, and $1.9 billion for Sierra Leone. Key indicators like GDP, GDP growth rates, government revenues, expenditures, and fiscal balances all declined substantially in the most affected countries from 2013 to 2016 as a result of the Ebola epidemic.

1. Muhammad Yasir
MBA 3.5 (2016-20)
3RD SEMESTER

2.  A Name of river
 In D.R Congo
 West African country
EBOLA VIRUS
A virus first describe in DRC
 Ebola virus disease (EVD) causes severe fever
Epidemic disease
Spread through tears, blood, urine, sweat etc

3. Sierra Leone
Liberia
Guinea
•Less effected
Nigeria
Mali
USA
UK
Senegal
Most effected

4. countries Cases Death
Liberia 10666 4806
Sierra Leone 14122 3955
Guinea 3804 2536
Nigeria 20 8
Mali 8 6
USA 4 1

5.  According to world bank report (2014-2015)
 Overall effect of EVD is estimated to be 2.8 billion$
 600 million$ for guinea, 300 million$ for Liberia,
1.9 billion$ Sierra Leone

6.  GDP 2013-16 1.946b$, 2.013b$, 2.034b$, 2.101b$ respectively
 GDP growth rate fall down from 8.7% in 2013 to 3.4% in 2014
 Per capita income decline by 125$ (455-125=330)
 Key fiscal indicators 2012-2016 (% of GDP)
Liberia 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Revenue 26.4 27.7 22.2 22.5 23.1
Grants 1.7 2.4 10 8.7 7.5
Expenditure 31.4 31.7 40.4 39.7 35.7
Fiscal balance -3.3 -1.6 -8.0 -8.5 -5.1

7.  GDP 2013-16 8.377b$, 8.791b$, 8.767b$, 8.2b$ respectively
 GDP growth decline from 4.0% in 2013 to 4.9% in 2014 and -0.3
decline in 2015
 PCI decreases by 125$ (453-125=328 appr)
 Key fiscal indicators 2012-2016 (% of GDP)
Guinea 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Revenue 20.2 18.3 17.9 17.7 20.4
Grants 2.7 1.5 4.0 1.3 4.0
Expenditure 26.1 25.1 26.1 28.3 25.7
Fiscal Balance -3.3 -5.2 -4.2 -9.3 -1.3

8.  Total GDP 2013-16 is 4.92b$, 5.015b$, 4.252b$, 3.737b$ respectively
 GDP growth decline from 20.7% in 2013 to 2% in 2014 and -16%
contraction in 2015
 PCI decline by 125$ on average (563-125=438$S)
Sierra Leone 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Revenue 12.2 12.7 11.1 9.8 10.4
Grants 4.1 3 4.8 5.4 3.2
Expenditure 21.9 17.6 20.1 20 19
Fiscal Balance -5.6 -1.9 -4.2 -4.8 -5.4

9.  In all three countries, government revenue decline across the board
 Foreign private investment decreases across all the three countries
 EVD and inflation has adverse relation
 Grants % increases in 2014 and 2015
 Deficit increase in 2015 as compared to 2014