2nd Symposium on Earth Observation Business




Earth Observation
Market Prospects




                          Government Space Programs © 2010 Euroconsult
                                  Paris, September 9, 2010
2nd Symposium on Earth Observation Business


      Content




• Investment in Earth observation
• Developments along the value-chain
• Challenges facing the Earth observation industry




                                              Government Space Programs © 2010 Euroconsult
                                                      Paris, September 9, 2010
2nd Symposium on Earth Observation Business




Investment in Earth Observation




                                 Government Space Programs © 2010 Euroconsult
                                         Paris, September 9, 2010
2nd Symposium on Earth Observation Business


          Snapshot of the industry




•   107 satellites launched for civil Earth observation and 28 for GEO/LEO
    meteorology applications over 2000-2009

•   26 countries launched Earth observation satellites by 2010

•   Commercial data market surpassed $1 billion in 2009

•   Majority of satellites launched from government space agencies; government
    investment totalled $7.8 billion in 2009 (civil and unclassified defense)

•   Government the key market for commercial data and services




                                                                 Government Space Programs © 2010 Euroconsult
                                                                         Paris, September 9, 2010
2nd Symposium on Earth Observation Business


                 Government investment and Commercial EO data sale (2000-2009)


$Billion
                                                           Growing investment in
 6
                                                           environment applications and
                                                           emerging initiatives
 5
                    Civil government investment
           Civil government
 4

                                                            Static growth – sector
 3                                                          witnessing increasing cross-
                                                            over with dual-use and
       Unclassified defense investment
                                                            commercial
 2
           Unclassified
           defense                                          Witnessing strong growth with
 1                                                          defense the first application
           Commercial data sale sale
                   Commercial data



     2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009



                                                                Government Space Programs © 2010 Euroconsult
                                                                        Paris, September 9, 2010
2nd Symposium on Earth Observation Business

                             Earth Observation Satellites to be Launched by Operator Typology*
                             (World, 2000-2009; Forecast to 2019)

                                  2000-2009                                                                                  2010-2019 forecast
                                       Dual-use                                                                                      Dual-use
                                         (4)                                                                                           (4)
                                                                                                           Commercial
        Commercial                                                                                                                                                     Leading Space
                                                                                                              (47)
           (18)                                                                                                                                                          Programs
                                                                                                                                                                            (99)



Emerging
  (11)


    In-                                                                                             Emerging
Development                                                                                           (47)
    (4)
                                                                        Leading Space
                                                                          Programs
                                                                             (70)                                                In-Development (33)

                       Total satellites: 107                                                                                Total satellites: 230
               Total country/agency participation : 26                                                              Total country/agency participation : 41


*Not including Meteorology specific missions. Note : China institutional programs might include military missions                                Government Space Programs © 2010 Euroconsult
                                                                                                                    Satellite-based Earth Observation, Market Prospects to 2019 © 2010 9, 2010
                                                                                                                                                          Paris, September Euroconsult
2nd Symposium on Earth Observation Business

               Landscape of Government Earth observation Programs Worldwide
               (2009)




     Leading

     In Development

     Emerging



•   EO the first application for emerging space programs
•   Countries look to gain technology know-how and build on experiences –
    opening up an export manufacturing market

                                                               Government Space Programs © 2010 Euroconsult
                                                                       Paris, September 9, 2010
2nd Symposium on Earth Observation Business

                           Commercial High Resolution Satellites Operational Based on
                           Anticipated Life-spans (World, 2000-2009 and Forecasts to 2019)

                                          Launched and in                                                  Future operation satellites
                                             operation                                                         expected lifespan
          60                                                                                                                         Replacement satellites of
                                                                                                                                  existing systems starting 2016

          50


          40

                                                               Radar
          30

                                                        Optical
          20


          10


            0
                    2000
                           2001
                                  2002
                                          2003
                                                 2004
                                                        2005
                                                                2006
                                                                       2007
                                                                              2008
                                                                                      2009
                                                                                             2010


                                                                                                           2012
                                                                                                                   2013
                                                                                                                          2014
                                                                                                                                 2015
                                                                                                                                        2016
                                                                                                                                               2017
                                                                                                                                                      2018
                                                                                                                                                             2019
                                                                                                    2011




*Commercial refers to commercially operated and commercial data availability from government satellites
with data <2.5m optical or <5m radar                                                                                                           Government Space Programs © 2010 Euroconsult
                                                                                                                  Satellite-based Earth Observation, Market Prospects to 2018 © 2009 9, 2010
                                                                                                                                                        Paris, September Euroconsult
2nd Symposium on Earth Observation Business




Developments Along the Earth
  Observation Value-Chain




                               Government Space Programs © 2010 Euroconsult
                                       Paris, September 9, 2010
2nd Symposium on Earth Observation Business

                          Earth Observation Satellites Manufacturing Market Value: Distribution
                          by Type of Operator (World, 2000-2009; Forecast to 2019)

                                     2000-2009                                                                       2010-2019 forecast
                          Dual-use                                                                                             Dual-use
                                                                                                                                (6%)
                Commercial (4%)
                  (12%)
                                                                                                     Commercial
Emerging (2%)                                                                                          (19%)
    In-
Development
   (3%)

                                                                                                   Emerging
                                                                                                    (7%)



                                                                   Leading Space                               In-
                                                                                                          Development                                         Leading Space
                                                                     Programs                                                                                   Programs
                                                                      (78%)                                  (14%)
                                                                                                                                                                 (53%)

                      Estimated Total : $16.6 billion                                                          Estimated Total : $19.9 billion
                            Total : 107 satellites                                                                   Total : 230 satellites

   •Current Backlog as of June 2010 and replacement of commercial and institutional operational systems
                                                                                                                                         Government Space Programs © 2010 Euroconsult
                                                                                                            Satellite-based Earth Observation, Market Prospects to 2019 © 2010 9, 2010
   •Meteorology satellites not included                                                                                                           Paris, September Euroconsult
2nd Symposium on Earth Observation Business

                              Earth observation commercial data sales: optical and radar
                              (World 2000-2009)
                      1,200
                                                              Launch of next generation optical
                                                              and high-resolution SAR systems
                      1,000

                                                                                                                                 Radar
                                                          Limited radar solutions.
Revenue ($million)




                        800
                                                          Consolidation between
                               Launch of first High-           US Operators
                              resolution commercial
                        600      optical systems

                                                                                                                                Optical
                        400



                        200



                         0
                               2000   2001    2002     2003   2004    2005    2006        2007        2008         2009

•                    EO commercial data market totaled $1.1 billion in 2009
•                    Commercial data sale has risen by 27% CAGR over the last 3 years
•                    Growing number of companies looking to tap-into the commercial data market
                                                                                                            Government Space Programs © 2010 Euroconsult
                                                                               Satellite-based Earth Observation, Market Prospects to 2019 © 2010 9, 2010
                                                                                                                     Paris, September Euroconsult
2nd Symposium on Earth Observation Business

                               Earth observation commercial data sales: by customer
                               (World 2000-2009)
                    1,200

                                           Ramp up of utlization of data for defense:
                    1,000                 award of significant procurement contracts
                                                            from the US government
                                                                                                                      Private
                         800                                                                                         Enterprise
    Revenue ($million)




                                                                                                                      Civil
                         600   Adaption of EO data for defense                                                     Government
                                and civil government solutions

                         400                                                                                        Defense
                                                                                                                   Government

                         200



                          0
                                2000   2001   2002    2003    2004    2005    2006      2007   2008      2009



•   Defense the first market for Earth observation data, particularly US
•   Slower uptake of commercial data in civil government and private enterprise
                                                                                                Government Space Programs © 2010 Euroconsult
                                                                                                        Paris, September 9, 2010
2nd Symposium on Earth Observation Business


           Downstream services have not witnessed similar growth


•   Ramp-up of commercial data usage does not translate to increasing revenues
    for value-added-services
     • Services companies are cost sensitive, lower-cost data solutions preferred
         where available – not generating significant revenues for commercial data
         sale

•   Fragmented value-added services industry with operational services struggling
    to emerge

•   Services will be stimulated by increasing low-cost/free operational data and
    mechanisms for services development such as GMES

•   Free data solutions boosting EO market awareness, R&D and data usage whilst
    reducing services cost




                                                                  Government Space Programs © 2010 Euroconsult
                                                                          Paris, September 9, 2010
2nd Symposium on Earth Observation Business


           Challenges Facing the Earth Observation Industry

                 • Numerous more missions, how to prevent duplicity?
                 •

                 • Encouraging cooperation for data share
Policy makers
                 • Data Policy: Develop usage of EO data without impacting commercial
                 opportunities and whilst allaying security concerns

                 • Tapping into the growing export market for EO satellites
Upstream         • Emergence of new manufacturing and equipment suppliers

                 • Develop opportunities for commercial sale to both international
                 government and private enterprise
                 • Increasing accuracy and timeliness of delivery
Operators        • Growing competition; Vertical integration? gap between operation,
                 distribution and services closing to expand market share
                 • Low-cost solutions becoming more capable

                 • Identifying operational services with returning end-customers
Services         • How to maximize the most out of mechanisms such as GMES and
                 growing sources of low-cost data

                                                                    Government Space Programs © 2010 Euroconsult
                                                                            Paris, September 9, 2010
2nd Symposium on Earth Observation Business




                         Thank you

          Graphs & data from Euroconsult research report:


Satellite-based Earth Observation, Market Prospects to 2019
               3rd edition; to be released September 2010


         Earth Observation: Defense and Security
                     1st edition; released May 2010



                            Adam Keith
                      keith@euroconsult-na.com




                                                            Government Space Programs © 2010 Euroconsult
                                                                    Paris, September 9, 2010

Earth Observation Prospects

  • 1.
    2nd Symposium onEarth Observation Business Earth Observation Market Prospects Government Space Programs © 2010 Euroconsult Paris, September 9, 2010
  • 2.
    2nd Symposium onEarth Observation Business Content • Investment in Earth observation • Developments along the value-chain • Challenges facing the Earth observation industry Government Space Programs © 2010 Euroconsult Paris, September 9, 2010
  • 3.
    2nd Symposium onEarth Observation Business Investment in Earth Observation Government Space Programs © 2010 Euroconsult Paris, September 9, 2010
  • 4.
    2nd Symposium onEarth Observation Business Snapshot of the industry • 107 satellites launched for civil Earth observation and 28 for GEO/LEO meteorology applications over 2000-2009 • 26 countries launched Earth observation satellites by 2010 • Commercial data market surpassed $1 billion in 2009 • Majority of satellites launched from government space agencies; government investment totalled $7.8 billion in 2009 (civil and unclassified defense) • Government the key market for commercial data and services Government Space Programs © 2010 Euroconsult Paris, September 9, 2010
  • 5.
    2nd Symposium onEarth Observation Business Government investment and Commercial EO data sale (2000-2009) $Billion Growing investment in 6 environment applications and emerging initiatives 5 Civil government investment Civil government 4 Static growth – sector 3 witnessing increasing cross- over with dual-use and Unclassified defense investment commercial 2 Unclassified defense Witnessing strong growth with 1 defense the first application Commercial data sale sale Commercial data 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Government Space Programs © 2010 Euroconsult Paris, September 9, 2010
  • 6.
    2nd Symposium onEarth Observation Business Earth Observation Satellites to be Launched by Operator Typology* (World, 2000-2009; Forecast to 2019) 2000-2009 2010-2019 forecast Dual-use Dual-use (4) (4) Commercial Commercial Leading Space (47) (18) Programs (99) Emerging (11) In- Emerging Development (47) (4) Leading Space Programs (70) In-Development (33) Total satellites: 107 Total satellites: 230 Total country/agency participation : 26 Total country/agency participation : 41 *Not including Meteorology specific missions. Note : China institutional programs might include military missions Government Space Programs © 2010 Euroconsult Satellite-based Earth Observation, Market Prospects to 2019 © 2010 9, 2010 Paris, September Euroconsult
  • 7.
    2nd Symposium onEarth Observation Business Landscape of Government Earth observation Programs Worldwide (2009) Leading In Development Emerging • EO the first application for emerging space programs • Countries look to gain technology know-how and build on experiences – opening up an export manufacturing market Government Space Programs © 2010 Euroconsult Paris, September 9, 2010
  • 8.
    2nd Symposium onEarth Observation Business Commercial High Resolution Satellites Operational Based on Anticipated Life-spans (World, 2000-2009 and Forecasts to 2019) Launched and in Future operation satellites operation expected lifespan 60 Replacement satellites of existing systems starting 2016 50 40 Radar 30 Optical 20 10 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2011 *Commercial refers to commercially operated and commercial data availability from government satellites with data <2.5m optical or <5m radar Government Space Programs © 2010 Euroconsult Satellite-based Earth Observation, Market Prospects to 2018 © 2009 9, 2010 Paris, September Euroconsult
  • 9.
    2nd Symposium onEarth Observation Business Developments Along the Earth Observation Value-Chain Government Space Programs © 2010 Euroconsult Paris, September 9, 2010
  • 10.
    2nd Symposium onEarth Observation Business Earth Observation Satellites Manufacturing Market Value: Distribution by Type of Operator (World, 2000-2009; Forecast to 2019) 2000-2009 2010-2019 forecast Dual-use Dual-use (6%) Commercial (4%) (12%) Commercial Emerging (2%) (19%) In- Development (3%) Emerging (7%) Leading Space In- Development Leading Space Programs Programs (78%) (14%) (53%) Estimated Total : $16.6 billion Estimated Total : $19.9 billion Total : 107 satellites Total : 230 satellites •Current Backlog as of June 2010 and replacement of commercial and institutional operational systems Government Space Programs © 2010 Euroconsult Satellite-based Earth Observation, Market Prospects to 2019 © 2010 9, 2010 •Meteorology satellites not included Paris, September Euroconsult
  • 11.
    2nd Symposium onEarth Observation Business Earth observation commercial data sales: optical and radar (World 2000-2009) 1,200 Launch of next generation optical and high-resolution SAR systems 1,000 Radar Limited radar solutions. Revenue ($million) 800 Consolidation between Launch of first High- US Operators resolution commercial 600 optical systems Optical 400 200 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 • EO commercial data market totaled $1.1 billion in 2009 • Commercial data sale has risen by 27% CAGR over the last 3 years • Growing number of companies looking to tap-into the commercial data market Government Space Programs © 2010 Euroconsult Satellite-based Earth Observation, Market Prospects to 2019 © 2010 9, 2010 Paris, September Euroconsult
  • 12.
    2nd Symposium onEarth Observation Business Earth observation commercial data sales: by customer (World 2000-2009) 1,200 Ramp up of utlization of data for defense: 1,000 award of significant procurement contracts from the US government Private 800 Enterprise Revenue ($million) Civil 600 Adaption of EO data for defense Government and civil government solutions 400 Defense Government 200 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 • Defense the first market for Earth observation data, particularly US • Slower uptake of commercial data in civil government and private enterprise Government Space Programs © 2010 Euroconsult Paris, September 9, 2010
  • 13.
    2nd Symposium onEarth Observation Business Downstream services have not witnessed similar growth • Ramp-up of commercial data usage does not translate to increasing revenues for value-added-services • Services companies are cost sensitive, lower-cost data solutions preferred where available – not generating significant revenues for commercial data sale • Fragmented value-added services industry with operational services struggling to emerge • Services will be stimulated by increasing low-cost/free operational data and mechanisms for services development such as GMES • Free data solutions boosting EO market awareness, R&D and data usage whilst reducing services cost Government Space Programs © 2010 Euroconsult Paris, September 9, 2010
  • 14.
    2nd Symposium onEarth Observation Business Challenges Facing the Earth Observation Industry • Numerous more missions, how to prevent duplicity? • • Encouraging cooperation for data share Policy makers • Data Policy: Develop usage of EO data without impacting commercial opportunities and whilst allaying security concerns • Tapping into the growing export market for EO satellites Upstream • Emergence of new manufacturing and equipment suppliers • Develop opportunities for commercial sale to both international government and private enterprise • Increasing accuracy and timeliness of delivery Operators • Growing competition; Vertical integration? gap between operation, distribution and services closing to expand market share • Low-cost solutions becoming more capable • Identifying operational services with returning end-customers Services • How to maximize the most out of mechanisms such as GMES and growing sources of low-cost data Government Space Programs © 2010 Euroconsult Paris, September 9, 2010
  • 15.
    2nd Symposium onEarth Observation Business Thank you Graphs & data from Euroconsult research report: Satellite-based Earth Observation, Market Prospects to 2019 3rd edition; to be released September 2010 Earth Observation: Defense and Security 1st edition; released May 2010 Adam Keith keith@euroconsult-na.com Government Space Programs © 2010 Euroconsult Paris, September 9, 2010