Dynamic Balance
    Concept
         Prepared by Ron Batdorf
                June 7, 2005
                 Win/Win
Self-interest                      Equality




                                              1
Purpose
• To present an enabling concept that
  supports all current and future Concepts as a
  guidepost to build metrics for evaluation
  and assessment of perception and actions of
  individuals, communities and nations.
• To further Information Operation design in
  relationship to standards for global and
  regional operations.

               Drafted by Ron Batdorf         2
Drafted by Ron Batdorf
                            Changes in attempt to satisfy equality gaps                   12 May 2005


As the world gets                        Revolution
flatter with knowledge
                                        (Transformation)
being disseminated                                                        This cycle in the
rapidly the interval of                                                   past is about one
                                                   Determine the gaps
revolutions will                                                          average lifetime
become much shorter                                                       ranging from
than past history and                      Equality                       40 to 60 yrs
will increase in
intensity as                                              People/Materials
competition becomes                                   (Renewable & Depleting)
more fierce for finite
                                           Shared
resources
                                          Resources
                                                                          Optimization, Efficiency
                  Research, Science,                                      and Improvements within
                  New Systems                                             systems
Innovation for
the creation of                                                                   Innovation for
equality
                        Unlimited                             Limited             conservation
solutions

             Thomas Jefferson said “Every generation needs a new
                                                                                                3
           revolution”…did he know something that we are missing?
Drafted by Ron Batdorf
                         Changes in attempt to satisfy equality gaps                    12 May 2005



                                    Transformation
                                          (Effects)
Need a balance
between individualism                            Determine the gaps
and society needs for
growth of prosperity               Uncover inequalities
and the pursuit of
knowledge. All world               (Capabilities to effects)
players have
                                                          People/Materials
something to                                          ( Renewable & Depleting)
contribute however not
all are perceived to                    Shared
have this goal.                        Resources
                                                                         Optimization, Efficiency
              Research, Science,                                         and Improvements within
              New Systems                                                systems

Out of the box                                                                   The Realm of
– intuitive and     Unlimited                                  Limited           Management
less managed
                         Scarcity is a major breeder of
                                                                                               4
                                     FEAR
Drafted by Ron Batdorf


      Dynamic Balance Concept
       (founded on insights from Thomas Jefferson’s teachings)




When Self-interest outweighs the equality of society in general
the situation results in the primacy of individualism where the
rights of the individual are greater than that of the society. This
creates opportunities for monopolies to thrive and as well rule by
individuals (dictatorships, monarchies, etc.)                     5
Drafted by Ron Batdorf


     Dynamic Balance Concept
      (founded on insights from Thomas Jefferson’s teachings)




In the case where the equality of the society totally outweighs
that of the individual, large government structures are
necessary to maintain order. This situation often results in
inefficiencies, corruption and violations of human rights
(Socialist, Communist, Oligarchic, etc.)                       6
Drafted by Ron Batdorf


     Dynamic Balance Concept
     (founded on insights from Thomas Jefferson’s teachings)


                            Win/Win
       Self-interest                            Equality




In Quantum science, the natural order is for dynamic
balance to be maintained. Adaptation occurs to restate
order when there is imbalance. Systems tend to self adjust
to restate this dynamic balance.
                                                               7
System evolution by Adaptation within a Network structure

                                Processes
                                developed based
                Informal        on formalizing
                network         network             New system
                formed                              developed



Evaluate &                                                  Environment
build New             Balance between security              adapts to new
relationships         and development within                system
                      new world of globalization

                                                          System is
         Need to                                          continuously
         change system                                    optimized

                      System functions until external
                      event or internal division breaks
                                                                            8
                      system integrity
Drafted by Ron Batdorf
                                                Coherent and Random areas of
                                                complexity are in balance
                 Random/independent
                                                (areas under the curves are
                                                equal) but when this balance is
                                                broken, adaptive change
Complexity


                                                produces consequences (effects)
                                                to gain this balance back.

                                          Human beings cover a
                                          large range of complexity
                                          and scale

                                                              Coherent




    Fine Scale                            Scale                 Coarse Scale

                           Area                Area                            9
Drafted by Ron Batdorf


                         Random/independent            Foundation where the
                                                       balance of self-interest
                                                       and equality can be
Complexity


                                                       achieved


                                               Human being/complex


                                                                Coherent



             Origin


    Fine Scale                                 Scale              Coarse Scale

                                Area               Area                          10
Drafted by Ron Batdorf


                           Random/independent         New dimension of
                                                      change but still in
                                                      equilibrium with
Complexity


                                                      regard to independent
                                                      and coherent areas

                                              Human being/complex


                                                              Coherent


             Expanding
             from origin
               Origin
             base
    Fine Scale                                Scale            Coarse Scale

                                Area              Area                        11
Drafted by Ron Batdorf


          Dynamic Balance Concept

Fear of diminishing resources   -------------------------- Enough resources for all

             Self-interest                                  Equality




  If we apply this to the situation of personal motivation then
  we can assume that mankind can be motivated or driven by
  two forces: Pessimism (fear) and Optimism (equality)

                                                                                12
Drafted by Ron Batdorf

  MASLOW

  Enlightenment




  Survival


                         13
Drafted by Ron Batdorf


  Kohlberg’s Stages of Moral Development


                                                                   Universal
         Instrumental                   Law & Order                Principles
Self Interest                                                            Equality
– (Fear)                                                                 – (Altruism)



                        Interpersonal                 Social Contract
Obedience




                                                                                14
Drafted by Ron Batdorf



              Perception
• What we know to be true
• What we already have built in our bank of
  knowledge (foundation)
• What we link up to form Vision (how we
  get there)



                                              15
Drafted by Ron Batdorf



                   Heart (accepted Truth –
                           Bank account)



Strength –
Develop and
                      Perception                   Soul (Beyond
                                                   physical world –
growth both
                                                   Belief system)
physical &
mental
capabilities       Mind (Rational wisdom)

                      Sort out Truth

Drivers of
               Fear                     Equality
Humanity                                                      16
Drafted by Ron Batdorf



                   Vision
• Based on perception & Truth (beliefs)
• What you want in the FUTURE




                                          17
Drafted by Ron Batdorf



                       Truth
•   Natural laws
•   Laws of science
•   Universal laws of space and time
•   Understanding of a superior being?
•   Ground truth – physical/motive driven (fear or
  love)/vision or desired end state of adversary
• Wisdom – should be commonly accepted by all

                                                     18
Drafted by Ron Batdorf



      Issues for discussion
• Language barrier to understanding of
  cognition?
• When is conviction strong enough to
  overcome death?
• What alternatives do you have when you
  confront the above conviction?
• Changing perception is key to changing the
  hearts and minds?
                                               19
In order for this dynamic to work we need checks/balances of our
motivation and understanding of the characteristics of each aspect of the
       dynamic balance concept and learn the applicable metrics

 •   Fear                                  •    Equality
      – Distrusting                              – Trusting
      – Hate                                     – Caring
      – Greed                                    – Supporting
      – Selfish                                  – Sharing
      – Manipulative                             – Cooperating
      – Reluctance                               – Willingness
      – Envy                                     – unselfishness
      – Covert                                   – Collaborating
      – Closed in                                – Openness
      – Hording                                  – Developing
      – Less not more                            – More not less
      – Retracting                               – Exploring
      – Divide                                   – Multiply
      – Destroying                               – Creating
      – Disbelief                                – Accepting
      – Sterilization                            – Reproducing
      – Death                                    – Growth
      – Holding on                               – Letting go
      – Reduction                                – Building
                                                                      20
                           Drafted by Ron Batdorf
Drafted by Ron Batdorf

       Thomas Jefferson said: War is an instrument entirely
       inefficient towards redressing wrong; and multiplies,
       instead of indemnifying losses.

                 Self-interest                                          Equality

                                               EBO
                                             JIACG
                                              DIME
                                             PMESII
EBO - Starting with what effects match the situation and keeping this in comparison to the equilibrium
concept will achieve a sharpened focus for moving towards stability and economic growth.
JIACG – Team has to be trained in the unification of effort towards the central theme of the
equilibrium concept.
DIME – Has to take into account the layers of parity that only comes from moving toward balance.
PMESII – Instruments of metrics to be used to judge if striving for equilibrium is occurring.   21
Drafted by Ron Batdorf

   Democracy founded on Universal Equality
• Elected by vote verses rule by position
   – One vote; one voice
• Individualism and society in balance
   – When special interests shift the balance one way or another
     it causes fear to permeate society and counters progress
     towards knowledge collaboration and produces division of
     universal equality.
• Wisdom is to know the difference.
   – Self Interest is driving - resources are not adequate
       • Pessimism
   – Equality is driving - resources are adequate
       • Optimism
• Stability does not come from maintaining status quo but from
  driving towards a balanced society.                         22
Drafted by Ron Batdorf



                   Problems
• Measuring of effects in future operations or
  preparation for future interventions for stability,
  harmony and peace is lacking a central focal point.
• Developing and sustaining effects that support our
  national interests as well as global interest has to
  transcend political administration turnovers for
  consistency of a goal/purpose.
• Development of national capabilities (military and
  agencies) for use within or outside our national
  borders requires deep rooted effects evaluation
  and assessment based on acceptable standards for
  all groups.
                                                    23
Drafted by Ron Batdorf
                        Changes in attempt to satisfy equality gaps                  12 May 2005



                                     Revolution

As information is
shared/broadcasted or                          Determine the gaps
easily found, more gaps
will be identified and
some folks that oppose                 Equality
change will try to hide
the gaps or will be
                                                       People/Materials
countering with                                    ( Renewable & Depleting)
propaganda/force to
hold cultures to their                 Shared
traditions                            Resources
                                                                      Reductionism, Efficiency
              Research, Science,                                      and Improvements within
              New Systems                                             systems

Out of the box                                                                The Realm of
– intuitive and     Unlimited                             Limited             Management
less managed


                                                                                           24
Drafted by Ron Batdorf

Best practice - Information Operations (IO)
• Goal is when Perception = Reality
• As the world becomes flat it is obvious that truth is the only
  driver for forward progress of humanity
   – Hiding truth for self-interest only creates imbalance
   – Hiding truth for equality of society also creates imbalance
• Deliberate not covert supports better IO
   – You can’t get people on the band wagon if they don’t know
      why they need to join.
• Known intentions based on truth create a force for stability and
  is foundational for all relationships.
   – Truth can be misinterpreted and could backfire and drive
      fear back into thinking patterns; however
   – Strength and force comes from continued presentation of
      reality (integrity to follow through) and unification of DIME
      supported by the equilibrium concept.
                                                               25
Drafted by Ron Batdorf



                       Closing
• This brief is suggesting a central theme or focus for
  effects based operations and the use of national power
  towards a defined balance between individualism and
  society.
• With this focal point, judgment and direction of capability
  development of all national power can derive synergism.
• This concept expands IO to a new plateau and opens the
  possibility of not only improving MN/Coalition operations
  but transforms collaboration to a new synergistic and equal
  participation level and supports network development and
  other futurist evolutionary, revolutionary and adaptive
  concepts.
                                                           26
Drafted by Ron Batdorf


      Dynamic Balance concept fits with Globalization

•   Commoditization of products, cultures, knowledge worldwide is
    destabilizing to current forms of governments, religious leaders and
    status quo thinking but at the same time can help develop economic
    global balance.
•   Efforts should be expended to assist the growth of globalization (level
    playing field) eliminating as much as possible friction points (fears)
    caused by lack of resources.
•   Human brain power in collaboration should strive towards goals in
    unlocking unlimited potential in utilization and development of
    resources.

    Dynamic Balance concept would open doors to establishing ways
    to measure and invest in future opportunities to bridge
    globalization with the benefit of limiting expenditure of national
    resources on friction points where military only actions apply.
                                                                              27
Drafted by Ron Batdorf

                                  Terms
•   Self-interest – Internal self preservation or survival motivations
•   Equality – External self preservation is the some of the whole society
•   Integrity – Consistency of DIME based on balanced systems between all
    aspects of national power
•   Fear – The underlying cause of all conflicts
•   Scale – The range of complexity where the finer the scale the more complex a
    system becomes
•   Complexity – The movement between randomness and coherent based on
    patterns of natural evolution and adaptation
•   Origin – The place in complexity where coherent and randomness are known to
    exist equally
•   Coherent – patterns that can be defined and statistically studied for managed
    results
•   Random – patterns have not been established and no conclusive way to manage
    yet exists
•   Globalization – Balanced knowledge from connectivity between people,
    countries and communities of interest shift from regional to global resulting in
    shifts of cultures, economies and unification or division based on individual
    and group motivation
                                                                                 28
Backup slides


                29
Drafted by Ron Batdorf


Insights and adaptation of principals of this brief were a
        combination of experiences gained from:

  • 20 years in business/product development and engineering
    management within chemical process industries
  • Complexity Theory as being taught at MIT University and
    accepted universally in Science studies around the world.
  • Correlation of the teachings of Thomas Jefferson and his
    foundational premise for free societies and democracies
  • Research on Globalization in the 21 Century and its potential
    to impact (positive or negative) stability in our national
    security.


                                                               30
Building block of life
                            Knowledge to produce and sustain             (Oasis)

                                      Energy

         Internal                      Shelter
 (education & knowledge                                        Nourishment mind & body
      of sustainment                                               (Human energy)
    factors)/External                   Food
(world trade requirements
     to keep equality                   Water
        in balance)




                                                                           Driven by
Drives technology &                                                      environment &
    sustainment                                                              culture


                                                                                  31
Drafted by Ron Batdorf


  Binary systems can be modeled
• If we could harness the natural process of pattern
  formation, it could revolutionize engineering and
  management.
   – Patterns of cells in nature self-organizes based on
     interactions or two possible types, activating and inhibiting
   – These forces are opposites and influence each other until
     they come to steady state.
   – Computing power is based on binary algebra with 0 & 1 as
     its base with only speed being the improvement factor.
   – Over sampling is also a binary system that fits with
     improvement of performance as known positions strive
     towards a stated goal by halving the distance reaching
     towards but never obtaining perfection.
                                                                32
Drafted by Ron Batdorf

New web technology could be an answer?
• Most Web application firewalls follow a positive security
  model, which means that they rely on a definition of
  acceptable user behavior.
• The firewall blocks user input that fall outside the model (thus
  binary in nature)
• Some firewalls use self-learning, behavior-based technologies
• Because firewalls may be onerous to configure, a self-learning
  product is particularly useful in Web application
  environments subject to frequent changes.
• This technology could be a starting point for developing
  “Effects” based on the behavior that demonstrates either self-
  interest or equality (the binary formula of our subjects
  behavior) .
• We would have to work on the development patterns of these
  two behaviors based on actions and words being collected.
                                                               33
Ranges of historical data to support concept
                                                            Dynamic Balance Transition
                                                            Point (Self –Centered)
Individual DIME parameters



                                                                                            x
                                                        x
                                                x                     x
                             x            x                       x                     x
                                                             Range of statistical
                                                             acceptability
                                 x
                                         x                  x
                                                                                    x
                                                                            x
                                     x
                                                                Dynamic Balance Transition
                                                                Point (Equality –Centered)

                                                    Time
                                                                                                34
                                              Drafted by Ron Batdorf
Ranges of historical data to support concept

P
M
E
S
I
I
    1800     1850          1900              1950   2000
                       Time line
                                                           35
                    Drafted by Ron Batdorf
Building a model based on historical data
• There are many case studies that have been
  generated in recent history about world conflicts and
  friction points.
• What has not been done in the past is to identify the
  underlying fears that drove the motivation for these
  conflicts.
   – What are the patterns for conflict when momentum of
     fears builds to the point of taking external action?
   – Is this different for each person?
   – Is there a group consensus that tips the scale to
     external action by an individual or a group?
   – How can we relate this to terrorist motives being
     driven today by religious fanatics


                   Drafted by Ron Batdorf              36

Dynamic balance concept

  • 1.
    Dynamic Balance Concept Prepared by Ron Batdorf June 7, 2005 Win/Win Self-interest Equality 1
  • 2.
    Purpose • To presentan enabling concept that supports all current and future Concepts as a guidepost to build metrics for evaluation and assessment of perception and actions of individuals, communities and nations. • To further Information Operation design in relationship to standards for global and regional operations. Drafted by Ron Batdorf 2
  • 3.
    Drafted by RonBatdorf Changes in attempt to satisfy equality gaps 12 May 2005 As the world gets Revolution flatter with knowledge (Transformation) being disseminated This cycle in the rapidly the interval of past is about one Determine the gaps revolutions will average lifetime become much shorter ranging from than past history and Equality 40 to 60 yrs will increase in intensity as People/Materials competition becomes (Renewable & Depleting) more fierce for finite Shared resources Resources Optimization, Efficiency Research, Science, and Improvements within New Systems systems Innovation for the creation of Innovation for equality Unlimited Limited conservation solutions Thomas Jefferson said “Every generation needs a new 3 revolution”…did he know something that we are missing?
  • 4.
    Drafted by RonBatdorf Changes in attempt to satisfy equality gaps 12 May 2005 Transformation (Effects) Need a balance between individualism Determine the gaps and society needs for growth of prosperity Uncover inequalities and the pursuit of knowledge. All world (Capabilities to effects) players have People/Materials something to ( Renewable & Depleting) contribute however not all are perceived to Shared have this goal. Resources Optimization, Efficiency Research, Science, and Improvements within New Systems systems Out of the box The Realm of – intuitive and Unlimited Limited Management less managed Scarcity is a major breeder of 4 FEAR
  • 5.
    Drafted by RonBatdorf Dynamic Balance Concept (founded on insights from Thomas Jefferson’s teachings) When Self-interest outweighs the equality of society in general the situation results in the primacy of individualism where the rights of the individual are greater than that of the society. This creates opportunities for monopolies to thrive and as well rule by individuals (dictatorships, monarchies, etc.) 5
  • 6.
    Drafted by RonBatdorf Dynamic Balance Concept (founded on insights from Thomas Jefferson’s teachings) In the case where the equality of the society totally outweighs that of the individual, large government structures are necessary to maintain order. This situation often results in inefficiencies, corruption and violations of human rights (Socialist, Communist, Oligarchic, etc.) 6
  • 7.
    Drafted by RonBatdorf Dynamic Balance Concept (founded on insights from Thomas Jefferson’s teachings) Win/Win Self-interest Equality In Quantum science, the natural order is for dynamic balance to be maintained. Adaptation occurs to restate order when there is imbalance. Systems tend to self adjust to restate this dynamic balance. 7
  • 8.
    System evolution byAdaptation within a Network structure Processes developed based Informal on formalizing network network New system formed developed Evaluate & Environment build New Balance between security adapts to new relationships and development within system new world of globalization System is Need to continuously change system optimized System functions until external event or internal division breaks 8 system integrity
  • 9.
    Drafted by RonBatdorf Coherent and Random areas of complexity are in balance Random/independent (areas under the curves are equal) but when this balance is broken, adaptive change Complexity produces consequences (effects) to gain this balance back. Human beings cover a large range of complexity and scale Coherent Fine Scale Scale Coarse Scale Area Area 9
  • 10.
    Drafted by RonBatdorf Random/independent Foundation where the balance of self-interest and equality can be Complexity achieved Human being/complex Coherent Origin Fine Scale Scale Coarse Scale Area Area 10
  • 11.
    Drafted by RonBatdorf Random/independent New dimension of change but still in equilibrium with Complexity regard to independent and coherent areas Human being/complex Coherent Expanding from origin Origin base Fine Scale Scale Coarse Scale Area Area 11
  • 12.
    Drafted by RonBatdorf Dynamic Balance Concept Fear of diminishing resources -------------------------- Enough resources for all Self-interest Equality If we apply this to the situation of personal motivation then we can assume that mankind can be motivated or driven by two forces: Pessimism (fear) and Optimism (equality) 12
  • 13.
    Drafted by RonBatdorf MASLOW Enlightenment Survival 13
  • 14.
    Drafted by RonBatdorf Kohlberg’s Stages of Moral Development Universal Instrumental Law & Order Principles Self Interest Equality – (Fear) – (Altruism) Interpersonal Social Contract Obedience 14
  • 15.
    Drafted by RonBatdorf Perception • What we know to be true • What we already have built in our bank of knowledge (foundation) • What we link up to form Vision (how we get there) 15
  • 16.
    Drafted by RonBatdorf Heart (accepted Truth – Bank account) Strength – Develop and Perception Soul (Beyond physical world – growth both Belief system) physical & mental capabilities Mind (Rational wisdom) Sort out Truth Drivers of Fear Equality Humanity 16
  • 17.
    Drafted by RonBatdorf Vision • Based on perception & Truth (beliefs) • What you want in the FUTURE 17
  • 18.
    Drafted by RonBatdorf Truth • Natural laws • Laws of science • Universal laws of space and time • Understanding of a superior being? • Ground truth – physical/motive driven (fear or love)/vision or desired end state of adversary • Wisdom – should be commonly accepted by all 18
  • 19.
    Drafted by RonBatdorf Issues for discussion • Language barrier to understanding of cognition? • When is conviction strong enough to overcome death? • What alternatives do you have when you confront the above conviction? • Changing perception is key to changing the hearts and minds? 19
  • 20.
    In order forthis dynamic to work we need checks/balances of our motivation and understanding of the characteristics of each aspect of the dynamic balance concept and learn the applicable metrics • Fear • Equality – Distrusting – Trusting – Hate – Caring – Greed – Supporting – Selfish – Sharing – Manipulative – Cooperating – Reluctance – Willingness – Envy – unselfishness – Covert – Collaborating – Closed in – Openness – Hording – Developing – Less not more – More not less – Retracting – Exploring – Divide – Multiply – Destroying – Creating – Disbelief – Accepting – Sterilization – Reproducing – Death – Growth – Holding on – Letting go – Reduction – Building 20 Drafted by Ron Batdorf
  • 21.
    Drafted by RonBatdorf Thomas Jefferson said: War is an instrument entirely inefficient towards redressing wrong; and multiplies, instead of indemnifying losses. Self-interest Equality EBO JIACG DIME PMESII EBO - Starting with what effects match the situation and keeping this in comparison to the equilibrium concept will achieve a sharpened focus for moving towards stability and economic growth. JIACG – Team has to be trained in the unification of effort towards the central theme of the equilibrium concept. DIME – Has to take into account the layers of parity that only comes from moving toward balance. PMESII – Instruments of metrics to be used to judge if striving for equilibrium is occurring. 21
  • 22.
    Drafted by RonBatdorf Democracy founded on Universal Equality • Elected by vote verses rule by position – One vote; one voice • Individualism and society in balance – When special interests shift the balance one way or another it causes fear to permeate society and counters progress towards knowledge collaboration and produces division of universal equality. • Wisdom is to know the difference. – Self Interest is driving - resources are not adequate • Pessimism – Equality is driving - resources are adequate • Optimism • Stability does not come from maintaining status quo but from driving towards a balanced society. 22
  • 23.
    Drafted by RonBatdorf Problems • Measuring of effects in future operations or preparation for future interventions for stability, harmony and peace is lacking a central focal point. • Developing and sustaining effects that support our national interests as well as global interest has to transcend political administration turnovers for consistency of a goal/purpose. • Development of national capabilities (military and agencies) for use within or outside our national borders requires deep rooted effects evaluation and assessment based on acceptable standards for all groups. 23
  • 24.
    Drafted by RonBatdorf Changes in attempt to satisfy equality gaps 12 May 2005 Revolution As information is shared/broadcasted or Determine the gaps easily found, more gaps will be identified and some folks that oppose Equality change will try to hide the gaps or will be People/Materials countering with ( Renewable & Depleting) propaganda/force to hold cultures to their Shared traditions Resources Reductionism, Efficiency Research, Science, and Improvements within New Systems systems Out of the box The Realm of – intuitive and Unlimited Limited Management less managed 24
  • 25.
    Drafted by RonBatdorf Best practice - Information Operations (IO) • Goal is when Perception = Reality • As the world becomes flat it is obvious that truth is the only driver for forward progress of humanity – Hiding truth for self-interest only creates imbalance – Hiding truth for equality of society also creates imbalance • Deliberate not covert supports better IO – You can’t get people on the band wagon if they don’t know why they need to join. • Known intentions based on truth create a force for stability and is foundational for all relationships. – Truth can be misinterpreted and could backfire and drive fear back into thinking patterns; however – Strength and force comes from continued presentation of reality (integrity to follow through) and unification of DIME supported by the equilibrium concept. 25
  • 26.
    Drafted by RonBatdorf Closing • This brief is suggesting a central theme or focus for effects based operations and the use of national power towards a defined balance between individualism and society. • With this focal point, judgment and direction of capability development of all national power can derive synergism. • This concept expands IO to a new plateau and opens the possibility of not only improving MN/Coalition operations but transforms collaboration to a new synergistic and equal participation level and supports network development and other futurist evolutionary, revolutionary and adaptive concepts. 26
  • 27.
    Drafted by RonBatdorf Dynamic Balance concept fits with Globalization • Commoditization of products, cultures, knowledge worldwide is destabilizing to current forms of governments, religious leaders and status quo thinking but at the same time can help develop economic global balance. • Efforts should be expended to assist the growth of globalization (level playing field) eliminating as much as possible friction points (fears) caused by lack of resources. • Human brain power in collaboration should strive towards goals in unlocking unlimited potential in utilization and development of resources. Dynamic Balance concept would open doors to establishing ways to measure and invest in future opportunities to bridge globalization with the benefit of limiting expenditure of national resources on friction points where military only actions apply. 27
  • 28.
    Drafted by RonBatdorf Terms • Self-interest – Internal self preservation or survival motivations • Equality – External self preservation is the some of the whole society • Integrity – Consistency of DIME based on balanced systems between all aspects of national power • Fear – The underlying cause of all conflicts • Scale – The range of complexity where the finer the scale the more complex a system becomes • Complexity – The movement between randomness and coherent based on patterns of natural evolution and adaptation • Origin – The place in complexity where coherent and randomness are known to exist equally • Coherent – patterns that can be defined and statistically studied for managed results • Random – patterns have not been established and no conclusive way to manage yet exists • Globalization – Balanced knowledge from connectivity between people, countries and communities of interest shift from regional to global resulting in shifts of cultures, economies and unification or division based on individual and group motivation 28
  • 29.
  • 30.
    Drafted by RonBatdorf Insights and adaptation of principals of this brief were a combination of experiences gained from: • 20 years in business/product development and engineering management within chemical process industries • Complexity Theory as being taught at MIT University and accepted universally in Science studies around the world. • Correlation of the teachings of Thomas Jefferson and his foundational premise for free societies and democracies • Research on Globalization in the 21 Century and its potential to impact (positive or negative) stability in our national security. 30
  • 31.
    Building block oflife Knowledge to produce and sustain (Oasis) Energy Internal Shelter (education & knowledge Nourishment mind & body of sustainment (Human energy) factors)/External Food (world trade requirements to keep equality Water in balance) Driven by Drives technology & environment & sustainment culture 31
  • 32.
    Drafted by RonBatdorf Binary systems can be modeled • If we could harness the natural process of pattern formation, it could revolutionize engineering and management. – Patterns of cells in nature self-organizes based on interactions or two possible types, activating and inhibiting – These forces are opposites and influence each other until they come to steady state. – Computing power is based on binary algebra with 0 & 1 as its base with only speed being the improvement factor. – Over sampling is also a binary system that fits with improvement of performance as known positions strive towards a stated goal by halving the distance reaching towards but never obtaining perfection. 32
  • 33.
    Drafted by RonBatdorf New web technology could be an answer? • Most Web application firewalls follow a positive security model, which means that they rely on a definition of acceptable user behavior. • The firewall blocks user input that fall outside the model (thus binary in nature) • Some firewalls use self-learning, behavior-based technologies • Because firewalls may be onerous to configure, a self-learning product is particularly useful in Web application environments subject to frequent changes. • This technology could be a starting point for developing “Effects” based on the behavior that demonstrates either self- interest or equality (the binary formula of our subjects behavior) . • We would have to work on the development patterns of these two behaviors based on actions and words being collected. 33
  • 34.
    Ranges of historicaldata to support concept Dynamic Balance Transition Point (Self –Centered) Individual DIME parameters x x x x x x x x Range of statistical acceptability x x x x x x Dynamic Balance Transition Point (Equality –Centered) Time 34 Drafted by Ron Batdorf
  • 35.
    Ranges of historicaldata to support concept P M E S I I 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 Time line 35 Drafted by Ron Batdorf
  • 36.
    Building a modelbased on historical data • There are many case studies that have been generated in recent history about world conflicts and friction points. • What has not been done in the past is to identify the underlying fears that drove the motivation for these conflicts. – What are the patterns for conflict when momentum of fears builds to the point of taking external action? – Is this different for each person? – Is there a group consensus that tips the scale to external action by an individual or a group? – How can we relate this to terrorist motives being driven today by religious fanatics Drafted by Ron Batdorf 36