This document discusses Deloitte's TMT predictions, which provide technology, media, and telecom forecasts. It notes that Deloitte releases predictions in over 50 countries and cities each year. The predictions include things that are widely expected to happen but won't, and things not widely expected but will. It also discusses past predictions, including the rise of smartphones, netbooks, eReaders, and tablets.

1. TMT Predictions.The Long View June 14, 2010

2. "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future." The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 1 Niels Bohr

3. 1. All cool technologies don’t succeed The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 2

4. 2. Everybody knows that one horse runs faster than another. But which horse? The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 3

5. 3. In other breaking news, the sun will rise in the east The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 4

6. 4. Great technology…too bad it violates the laws of physics The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 5

7. How we’re different Eight predictions One, five, ten and ‘never’ time frames Pairs of: Something important that most people expect to happen…but won’t Something important that most people don’t expect to happen…but will And two bonus fact checks (no perpetual motion machines) The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 6

8. Deloitte’s TMT predictions are now released in 58 countries and expected to launch in 50+ cities in 2010. Predictions was first published in 2001. 7 The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia

9. Smart phones: how to stay clever in a downturn The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 8

10. Disrupting the PC: The Rise of the Netbook The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 9

11. The mobile broadband accident in slow motion: traffic jams on cellular networks The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 10

12. The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 11 The Long View from 2010

13. eReaders fill a niche, but eBooks fly off the (virtual) shelves The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 12

14. The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 13

15. Smaller than a netbook, and bigger than a smartphone – net tablets arrive The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 14

17. $10 per year for print…but $29.95 for the iPad app? 16 The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia

18. The Goldilocks Device – additive or substitute? The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 17

19. 3D TV: objects may be further away than they appear The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 18

20. 3D TV falls flat The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 19 $3,500.00

21. The dangers of too-literal translation The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 20

22. Lexicon plus grammar The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 21

23. Old style text-to-text translation (Babel Fish edition) The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 22

24. The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 23

26. Natural tech monopolies? The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 25

27. Naturally fragmented markets The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 26

28. The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 27

29. Wrong question. Will there be a de facto standard mobile OS? The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 28

30. Not if these guys have anything to say about it! The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 29

31. Will 4G Solve the Congestion Problem? The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 30

32. Let’s talk about innovative disruption The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 31

33. The shift to online advertising: more selective, but the trend continues The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 32

34. 33 The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia

35. 34 The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia

36. Powerful tools The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 35

37. Unless… The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 36

38. But child’s play with a 1970s calculator The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 37

39. Public key cryptography The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 38 Diffie, Hellman & Merkle (no idea what happened to Merkle) Rivest, Shamir & Adleman (aka RSA)

40. The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 39

41. Ugly beast, ain’t it? The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 40

42. The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 41

43. Not that kind of flux capacitor The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 42

44. Poynting flux vector The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 43

45. Oh well, at least it’s stylish The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 44 60 microwatts @0.7V

46. The power of piezo The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 45

47. The power of piezo The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 46

48. Harvested energy versus required energy The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 47 Volts x amps = watts To fully charge the battery at left at 0.7V by 7 microwatts would take… 581,428 hours, or 24,226 days, or 66.3 years*

49. The mobile internet The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 48

50. The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 49

51. Computing device market Source: actuals IDC & Gartner, forecast Deloitte Canada 50 The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia

52. TMT Predictions customized events Duncan Stewart can deliver a tailored presentation for your office/industry! Email Duncan: dunstewart@deloitte.ca The Long View - Deloitte Predictions - Banff NextMedia 51

53. Questions