Brazilian beef and pork production and exports are forecast to increase in 2014. Beef production is expected to rise 2.5% due to higher international demand and stable domestic prices. Beef exports are forecast to increase 6% because of currency depreciation improving competitiveness. Pork production will likely increase 2% to support a 3% rise in pork exports, driven by lower feed costs from record grain crops and currency depreciation.
Dr Dev Kambhampati | USDA- BRAZIL- Semi Annual Livestock & Products Report (2...Dr Dev Kambhampati
Post forecasts higher production of beef and pork in Brazil in 2014. Beef production is estimated to increase 2.5% to 9.9 million metric tons due to higher international demand and a small rise in domestic consumption. Pork production is forecast to grow 1.5% to 3.3 million metric tons, supported by record corn and soybean crops and expectations of increased exports and tourism-fueled domestic demand around the World Cup. Both beef and pork exports are expected to rise in 2014, helped by the weaker Brazilian real making Brazilian meat more competitive on world markets.
Dr Dev Kambhampati | USDA- Livestock & Poultry- World Markets & TradeDr Dev Kambhampati
India and Turkey are gaining global market share in beef and poultry exports due to competitive advantages of geography and product differentiation. India's beef exports have nearly tripled since 2008 and are forecast to reach a record 1.9 million tons in 2014, giving it a 20% global market share. Turkey's broiler meat exports have also increased dramatically and are forecast to reach a record 480,000 tons in 2014, though it only has a 4% global market share currently. Their proximity to key markets in Southeast Asia and the Middle East helps reduce shipping costs for India, while over half of Turkey's volume is shipped overland to Iraq. Both countries also supply halal meat desired in many of their Muslim-majority import markets
Global sugar production is forecast to reach a record 185 million tons in MY 2017/18, up 13 million tons from the previous year. This record production is driven by large increases in Brazil, India, the EU, and China and will support record global consumption of 174 million tons and exports of 62 million tons. China has implemented a safeguard measure limiting sugar imports, causing China to drop from the largest sugar importer to the second largest behind Indonesia.
Poland is one of the leading pork producers in Europe, though its industry has declined in recent decades due to rising costs and imports. While Poland has a large pig population, production is highly fragmented across many small farms. Larger, industrial farms are becoming more common and efficient through automation and integration into commercial chains. However, much of Poland's pork industry remains inefficient and faces challenges in modernizing to compete globally.
This daily commodity report from Epic Research India provides market information on various agricultural commodities. It includes key data points such as monthly opening and closing prices, highs and lows as well as percentage changes for coriander, castorseed, turmeric and guargum futures on the NCDEX. It also lists the most active contracts, top gainers and losers. Additionally, the report discusses commodity arrivals and market views, provides technical trading recommendations and important news affecting commodity prices.
This document provides an annual review and outlook for agri-commodities in 2016. In 2015, guar gum and cardamom saw the largest price declines while chana saw a large price increase. Production of several kharif crops like maize, pulses and sugarcane declined in the first advance estimates for 2015-16 compared to the previous year. The monsoon was 14% below normal for the second consecutive year. MSPs for various crops were increased for the 2015-16 season. Rabi crop sowing was 4.7% lower than the previous year as of early January 2016.
Beef production in 2013 is expected to be lower than 2012 despite reduced cattle slaughter, as heavier dressed weights have offset some of the decrease. Both cattle feeders and beef packers continue to struggle with poor margins that are unlikely to improve in the near future without higher cattle and beef prices or lower feed costs. U.S. beef imports have grown moderately in 2012 while exports have declined, constrained by tight domestic supplies and lower shipments to traditional trade partners. The outlook is for continued challenges for the beef industry over the coming year.
threat to malaria control. Resistance to rifampicin, a
The threat of antimicrobial resistance is growing due to both appropriate and inappropriate use of antibiotics in humans and animals. Many infections are becoming difficult or impossible to treat as bacteria evolve resistance. While strategies have been implemented, more action is needed worldwide to curb resistance and preserve the effectiveness of existing drugs. This book examines experiences addressing resistance in different areas and progress since 2001, highlighting the need for continued efforts, especially political commitment, to combat the threat.
Dr Dev Kambhampati | USDA- BRAZIL- Semi Annual Livestock & Products Report (2...Dr Dev Kambhampati
Post forecasts higher production of beef and pork in Brazil in 2014. Beef production is estimated to increase 2.5% to 9.9 million metric tons due to higher international demand and a small rise in domestic consumption. Pork production is forecast to grow 1.5% to 3.3 million metric tons, supported by record corn and soybean crops and expectations of increased exports and tourism-fueled domestic demand around the World Cup. Both beef and pork exports are expected to rise in 2014, helped by the weaker Brazilian real making Brazilian meat more competitive on world markets.
Dr Dev Kambhampati | USDA- Livestock & Poultry- World Markets & TradeDr Dev Kambhampati
India and Turkey are gaining global market share in beef and poultry exports due to competitive advantages of geography and product differentiation. India's beef exports have nearly tripled since 2008 and are forecast to reach a record 1.9 million tons in 2014, giving it a 20% global market share. Turkey's broiler meat exports have also increased dramatically and are forecast to reach a record 480,000 tons in 2014, though it only has a 4% global market share currently. Their proximity to key markets in Southeast Asia and the Middle East helps reduce shipping costs for India, while over half of Turkey's volume is shipped overland to Iraq. Both countries also supply halal meat desired in many of their Muslim-majority import markets
Global sugar production is forecast to reach a record 185 million tons in MY 2017/18, up 13 million tons from the previous year. This record production is driven by large increases in Brazil, India, the EU, and China and will support record global consumption of 174 million tons and exports of 62 million tons. China has implemented a safeguard measure limiting sugar imports, causing China to drop from the largest sugar importer to the second largest behind Indonesia.
Poland is one of the leading pork producers in Europe, though its industry has declined in recent decades due to rising costs and imports. While Poland has a large pig population, production is highly fragmented across many small farms. Larger, industrial farms are becoming more common and efficient through automation and integration into commercial chains. However, much of Poland's pork industry remains inefficient and faces challenges in modernizing to compete globally.
This daily commodity report from Epic Research India provides market information on various agricultural commodities. It includes key data points such as monthly opening and closing prices, highs and lows as well as percentage changes for coriander, castorseed, turmeric and guargum futures on the NCDEX. It also lists the most active contracts, top gainers and losers. Additionally, the report discusses commodity arrivals and market views, provides technical trading recommendations and important news affecting commodity prices.
This document provides an annual review and outlook for agri-commodities in 2016. In 2015, guar gum and cardamom saw the largest price declines while chana saw a large price increase. Production of several kharif crops like maize, pulses and sugarcane declined in the first advance estimates for 2015-16 compared to the previous year. The monsoon was 14% below normal for the second consecutive year. MSPs for various crops were increased for the 2015-16 season. Rabi crop sowing was 4.7% lower than the previous year as of early January 2016.
Beef production in 2013 is expected to be lower than 2012 despite reduced cattle slaughter, as heavier dressed weights have offset some of the decrease. Both cattle feeders and beef packers continue to struggle with poor margins that are unlikely to improve in the near future without higher cattle and beef prices or lower feed costs. U.S. beef imports have grown moderately in 2012 while exports have declined, constrained by tight domestic supplies and lower shipments to traditional trade partners. The outlook is for continued challenges for the beef industry over the coming year.
threat to malaria control. Resistance to rifampicin, a
The threat of antimicrobial resistance is growing due to both appropriate and inappropriate use of antibiotics in humans and animals. Many infections are becoming difficult or impossible to treat as bacteria evolve resistance. While strategies have been implemented, more action is needed worldwide to curb resistance and preserve the effectiveness of existing drugs. This book examines experiences addressing resistance in different areas and progress since 2001, highlighting the need for continued efforts, especially political commitment, to combat the threat.
The Rabobank Global Cattle Price Index improved further in 2H 2013. Supported by both continuing strong Chinese import growth and lower-than-expected supply in the main export markets, cattle prices were mainly positive. However, the market has been unable to reach its full potential due to consumers’ resistance against high prices in the United States (US) and the European Union (EU), still two of the main beef markets.
Sadia is the largest Brazilian food company producing poultry, pork, beef, and processed foods. It has a dominant position in Brazil and a significant global export business. While 2006 performance was negatively impacted by currency issues and export market weakness, management expects a rebound in 2007 with 8-12% sales growth as export markets and margins recover. Sadia has opportunities to expand processed food sales internationally through investments, but faces risks from disease, trade restrictions, currency fluctuations, and increasing production costs.
This document provides regional commentary from PwC's global agribusiness experts. It discusses topics including food safety concerns in Australia from Chinese frozen berry imports, foreign investment thresholds in Australian agriculture, Brazil's new agriculture minister's plans, dairy market consolidation in Brazil, cocoa sector losses in Ghana, India-Sri Lanka agricultural cooperation, and recovering dairy prices but lower apple production in New Zealand. The document aims to give insights into current issues and trends observed locally by PwC's agribusiness experts around the world.
Dr Dev Kambhampati | USDA- Livestock, Dairy & Poultry Outlook (July 17, 2014)Dr Dev Kambhampati
Recent rains have improved pasture conditions and increased demand for lighter weight cattle, reducing cow slaughter. However, drought conditions persist in parts of the southern US. Cattle and beef prices have continued setting successive record highs due to low inventories and strong foreign demand. US cattle imports are forecast to increase slightly in 2014 and 2015 as lower domestic production increases demand for imports. Beef imports are also forecast to be higher in 2014 and 2015 to meet demand from lower US production.
Dr Dev Kambhampati | USDA- EU- Livestock & Products Annual Report (2013)Dr Dev Kambhampati
The EU is expected to see a rebound in beef and pork production in the coming years after significant cuts in 2012. Cattle and pig herds are forecast to increase through 2014 and 2015 respectively, supported by relatively low feed prices, high carcass prices, and increased efficiency. However, the recovery will be limited to some member states and export volumes are expected to remain constrained. EU beef production is predicted to rise in 2014 as slaughter increases, while pork production may recover in 2015 once the breeding herd has had time to expand.
- Argentina is a major global producer and exporter of beef, but the industry was negatively impacted by recent government policies. The new government is taking steps to boost the industry through measures like eliminating export taxes and restrictions.
- Production and exports are expected to increase over 50% as a result. Slaughterhouse capacity remains underutilized despite some consolidation in the industry in recent years.
- The economic changes make M&A activity likely to pick up as companies seek capital to invest in growth and exploit new opportunities, but foreign investors may wait for further governance consolidation under the new government.
Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook_May 2012joseleorcasita
The document summarizes outlooks for various livestock, dairy, and poultry sectors in the United States for 2013. Specifically:
- Pork and poultry production are expected to increase moderately in 2013, while beef production declines. Pork exports are also forecast to grow moderately.
- Broiler and turkey production are both expected to increase in 2013, while egg production is mixed.
- Milk production growth is expected to be slight in 2013 as dairy cow numbers contract, lifting milk prices.
- The document provides further details on expectations for various sectors.
Global animal protein production faces ongoing challenges and uncertainties in 2023 that will impact growth opportunities. High costs along the entire supply chain from feed to transportation will continue due to elevated commodity prices and energy costs. Disease risks also remain for many regions. Companies will need to focus on cost management, efficiency, and adapting business models to navigate these difficulties and pursue opportunities for growth in a constrained environment.
Dr Dev Kambhampati | USDA: Dairy- World Markets & TradeDr Dev Kambhampati
- China's imports of skim milk powder and whole milk powder continue at a rapid pace in early 2014, leading USDA to increase its forecasts for China's 2014 imports of these products. Imports of skim milk powder are now forecast at 330,000 tons, up 10%, while whole milk powder imports are forecast at a record 1 million tons, up 54%.
- Milk production is forecast to increase in 2014 in the EU, New Zealand, and United States due to favorable weather and high dairy prices, leading to increased global supplies of dairy products. However, China's strong import demand is expected to continue supporting global dairy prices and exports.
- The United States has benefited from growth in skim milk powder and whe
- Food retail in Brazil is expected to perform well despite slowing private consumption growth, supported by government subsidies.
- Brazil's meat exports have been impacted by bans from some countries following an alleged mad cow disease case, though the government is appealing and subsidies are being provided.
- Brazil is a major global producer and exporter of fruits, vegetables, sugar, coffee, orange juice, and other crops, with productivity gains driven by improved cultivation techniques.
- Large commercial farms are highly productive in Brazil while smaller hobby farms account for a smaller share of overall output.
This document summarizes the global pork trade outlook for 2019, with a focus on key markets and issues. Global pork trade is expected to set new records this year, though the degree to which the U.S. benefits depends on tariffs. China, Europe, Mexico, and Japan are highlighted as four key areas due to African swine fever, Brexit, U.S. tariffs on Mexico, and continued growth in Japan-U.S. trade respectively. Strong global demand remains but will be impacted by these issues and economic conditions.
Milk production among major exporting countries is forecast to increase 1.5% in 2014 to 275.8 million tons, up 4.2 million tons from 2013. This is due to higher milk prices, favorable weather conditions, and lower feed costs expected to spur dairy farmers to increase production. The largest percentage increase is expected in New Zealand, where production is forecast to rise 5% or 891,000 tons. U.S. milk production is also forecast to increase 2% in 2014 as lower feed prices and strong dairy prices provide incentives for expanded production. Global demand for dairy products remains strong despite higher prices, supported by income growth in Asia.
The document provides an overview and outlook for several global food markets in 2015-2016 based on a report by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO). Key points include:
- Global cereal production is forecast to decline 1.5% in 2015 but remain above the past five-year average. Cereal utilization is projected to grow only 1% in 2015/16, and stocks are expected to draw down 2.9% to 626 million tonnes.
- World wheat production is forecast to fall 1.2% in 2015 but large opening stocks will keep markets well supplied. Trade is projected to decline marginally.
- Coarse grain production is forecast to fall below the 2014
The document is a newsletter containing various articles related to functional foods and ingredients. It includes articles about business news in the industry such as acquisitions and financial results. It also includes articles on consumer trends, new product innovations, and regulations. The newsletter provides summaries of various topics within the functional foods industry to keep readers informed.
Dr Dev Kambhampati | USDA- Livestock and Products Annual Report- JAPAN (Aug 2...Dr Dev Kambhampati
- Higher beef prices through 2015 are expected to limit total Japanese beef consumption and shift consumption towards lower-priced cuts and meats like pork and poultry.
- Tight global beef supplies and high prices, as well as Japan's declining domestic production, are hindering growth in Japan's beef imports and consumption in 2014. Imports are projected to decline slightly in 2014 while consumption remains flat.
- Pork production in Japan and North America was constrained by PEDv in 2014, leading Japan to import more pork from various sources to hedge against price increases. Pork consumption in Japan was flat in the first half of 2014 but may rise in 2015 as beef becomes more expensive.
The document discusses China's growing demand for imported beef and the opportunity this presents for Australian beef producers. It notes that China's beef consumption is projected to increase by over 70% by 2030, driven by rising incomes and urbanization. This will necessitate a 250% increase in beef imports to 3.8 million tonnes by 2030, representing a major opportunity for Australia which currently supplies over half of China's imports. However, Australia faces challenges in maintaining this market share given the need to significantly improve productivity to meet the doubling of export volumes required by 2030. Failure to boost productivity could result in $14 billion in lost export revenues.
The document summarizes impacts of high feed prices across livestock markets. For beef/cattle, high feed costs have driven increases in dairy and beef cow slaughter while lowering feeder and fed cattle prices from summer lows. U.S. beef imports are up 16% through July while exports are down 12% due to a stronger dollar.
- Last year was another strong year for Irish agri-food exports, reaching €19 billion, up 22% from 2021. Increased value rather than volume drove this growth.
- 2023 has been challenging for farmers due to difficult weather, high costs of inputs like feed and fertilizer, and market pressures. The new nitrates regulations are also causing concerns for dairy farmers.
- While cattle numbers increased in 2023, beef cow numbers declined and the suckler herd continues shrinking. Combined with weaker export markets, this depressed prices paid to beef farmers. Pig producers also struggled for over a year but profits have recently returned.
Dr Dev Kambhampati | USDA- China Semi-Annual Livestock & Products Report(2014)Dr Dev Kambhampati
- China's beef production is forecast to increase slightly to 5.76 million tons in 2014, driven by rising demand as consumers substitute beef for poultry due to avian influenza concerns. Beef imports are forecast to rise to 550,000 tons on competitive import prices. Pork production will continue growing to 55.8 million tons while imports increase to 790,000 tons. A new inland meat entry port in Chongqing will further strengthen price competitiveness of imported meat products.
Inflation in Nigeria retreated to 12.48% in April, representing the 15th consecutive monthly decline since the 2015 recession. Agricultural capital importation reached $130 million in the first quarter of 2018, making agriculture the fifth highest recipient of foreign investment. Commodity prices for cocoa, sugar, soybeans, maize and wheat declined slightly during the week of May 7-11, with cocoa prices expected to remain around $2700 and oversupply continuing to pressure sugar prices.
This document summarizes the history and current state of China's economic rise over the past 40 years since implementing market reforms in 1979. It describes how China has transitioned from a poor, centrally planned economy to become the world's largest economy based on purchasing power parity. However, China still faces major economic challenges including transitioning to a free market system, rebalancing its economy away from exports and investment towards domestic consumption, reducing debt and overcapacity, and addressing environmental and corruption issues. The rapid growth of the Chinese economy has significant implications for the US and is an important issue for Congress.
Specialty drugs are one of the fastest growing areas of health care spending in the United States. There is no single definition but they are generally expensive drugs that treat complex conditions like cancer and hepatitis C and often require special administration. Spending on specialty drugs increased 26.5% in 2014 and they now account for about one-third of total US prescription drug spending. This growth raises issues for private insurers and government programs who are trying to control costs while still providing access to important treatments. Insurers use strategies like higher copays, prior authorization requirements, and limiting coverage to the sickest patients to manage specialty drug utilization.
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The Rabobank Global Cattle Price Index improved further in 2H 2013. Supported by both continuing strong Chinese import growth and lower-than-expected supply in the main export markets, cattle prices were mainly positive. However, the market has been unable to reach its full potential due to consumers’ resistance against high prices in the United States (US) and the European Union (EU), still two of the main beef markets.
Sadia is the largest Brazilian food company producing poultry, pork, beef, and processed foods. It has a dominant position in Brazil and a significant global export business. While 2006 performance was negatively impacted by currency issues and export market weakness, management expects a rebound in 2007 with 8-12% sales growth as export markets and margins recover. Sadia has opportunities to expand processed food sales internationally through investments, but faces risks from disease, trade restrictions, currency fluctuations, and increasing production costs.
This document provides regional commentary from PwC's global agribusiness experts. It discusses topics including food safety concerns in Australia from Chinese frozen berry imports, foreign investment thresholds in Australian agriculture, Brazil's new agriculture minister's plans, dairy market consolidation in Brazil, cocoa sector losses in Ghana, India-Sri Lanka agricultural cooperation, and recovering dairy prices but lower apple production in New Zealand. The document aims to give insights into current issues and trends observed locally by PwC's agribusiness experts around the world.
Dr Dev Kambhampati | USDA- Livestock, Dairy & Poultry Outlook (July 17, 2014)Dr Dev Kambhampati
Recent rains have improved pasture conditions and increased demand for lighter weight cattle, reducing cow slaughter. However, drought conditions persist in parts of the southern US. Cattle and beef prices have continued setting successive record highs due to low inventories and strong foreign demand. US cattle imports are forecast to increase slightly in 2014 and 2015 as lower domestic production increases demand for imports. Beef imports are also forecast to be higher in 2014 and 2015 to meet demand from lower US production.
Dr Dev Kambhampati | USDA- EU- Livestock & Products Annual Report (2013)Dr Dev Kambhampati
The EU is expected to see a rebound in beef and pork production in the coming years after significant cuts in 2012. Cattle and pig herds are forecast to increase through 2014 and 2015 respectively, supported by relatively low feed prices, high carcass prices, and increased efficiency. However, the recovery will be limited to some member states and export volumes are expected to remain constrained. EU beef production is predicted to rise in 2014 as slaughter increases, while pork production may recover in 2015 once the breeding herd has had time to expand.
- Argentina is a major global producer and exporter of beef, but the industry was negatively impacted by recent government policies. The new government is taking steps to boost the industry through measures like eliminating export taxes and restrictions.
- Production and exports are expected to increase over 50% as a result. Slaughterhouse capacity remains underutilized despite some consolidation in the industry in recent years.
- The economic changes make M&A activity likely to pick up as companies seek capital to invest in growth and exploit new opportunities, but foreign investors may wait for further governance consolidation under the new government.
Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook_May 2012joseleorcasita
The document summarizes outlooks for various livestock, dairy, and poultry sectors in the United States for 2013. Specifically:
- Pork and poultry production are expected to increase moderately in 2013, while beef production declines. Pork exports are also forecast to grow moderately.
- Broiler and turkey production are both expected to increase in 2013, while egg production is mixed.
- Milk production growth is expected to be slight in 2013 as dairy cow numbers contract, lifting milk prices.
- The document provides further details on expectations for various sectors.
Global animal protein production faces ongoing challenges and uncertainties in 2023 that will impact growth opportunities. High costs along the entire supply chain from feed to transportation will continue due to elevated commodity prices and energy costs. Disease risks also remain for many regions. Companies will need to focus on cost management, efficiency, and adapting business models to navigate these difficulties and pursue opportunities for growth in a constrained environment.
Dr Dev Kambhampati | USDA: Dairy- World Markets & TradeDr Dev Kambhampati
- China's imports of skim milk powder and whole milk powder continue at a rapid pace in early 2014, leading USDA to increase its forecasts for China's 2014 imports of these products. Imports of skim milk powder are now forecast at 330,000 tons, up 10%, while whole milk powder imports are forecast at a record 1 million tons, up 54%.
- Milk production is forecast to increase in 2014 in the EU, New Zealand, and United States due to favorable weather and high dairy prices, leading to increased global supplies of dairy products. However, China's strong import demand is expected to continue supporting global dairy prices and exports.
- The United States has benefited from growth in skim milk powder and whe
- Food retail in Brazil is expected to perform well despite slowing private consumption growth, supported by government subsidies.
- Brazil's meat exports have been impacted by bans from some countries following an alleged mad cow disease case, though the government is appealing and subsidies are being provided.
- Brazil is a major global producer and exporter of fruits, vegetables, sugar, coffee, orange juice, and other crops, with productivity gains driven by improved cultivation techniques.
- Large commercial farms are highly productive in Brazil while smaller hobby farms account for a smaller share of overall output.
This document summarizes the global pork trade outlook for 2019, with a focus on key markets and issues. Global pork trade is expected to set new records this year, though the degree to which the U.S. benefits depends on tariffs. China, Europe, Mexico, and Japan are highlighted as four key areas due to African swine fever, Brexit, U.S. tariffs on Mexico, and continued growth in Japan-U.S. trade respectively. Strong global demand remains but will be impacted by these issues and economic conditions.
Milk production among major exporting countries is forecast to increase 1.5% in 2014 to 275.8 million tons, up 4.2 million tons from 2013. This is due to higher milk prices, favorable weather conditions, and lower feed costs expected to spur dairy farmers to increase production. The largest percentage increase is expected in New Zealand, where production is forecast to rise 5% or 891,000 tons. U.S. milk production is also forecast to increase 2% in 2014 as lower feed prices and strong dairy prices provide incentives for expanded production. Global demand for dairy products remains strong despite higher prices, supported by income growth in Asia.
The document provides an overview and outlook for several global food markets in 2015-2016 based on a report by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO). Key points include:
- Global cereal production is forecast to decline 1.5% in 2015 but remain above the past five-year average. Cereal utilization is projected to grow only 1% in 2015/16, and stocks are expected to draw down 2.9% to 626 million tonnes.
- World wheat production is forecast to fall 1.2% in 2015 but large opening stocks will keep markets well supplied. Trade is projected to decline marginally.
- Coarse grain production is forecast to fall below the 2014
The document is a newsletter containing various articles related to functional foods and ingredients. It includes articles about business news in the industry such as acquisitions and financial results. It also includes articles on consumer trends, new product innovations, and regulations. The newsletter provides summaries of various topics within the functional foods industry to keep readers informed.
Dr Dev Kambhampati | USDA- Livestock and Products Annual Report- JAPAN (Aug 2...Dr Dev Kambhampati
- Higher beef prices through 2015 are expected to limit total Japanese beef consumption and shift consumption towards lower-priced cuts and meats like pork and poultry.
- Tight global beef supplies and high prices, as well as Japan's declining domestic production, are hindering growth in Japan's beef imports and consumption in 2014. Imports are projected to decline slightly in 2014 while consumption remains flat.
- Pork production in Japan and North America was constrained by PEDv in 2014, leading Japan to import more pork from various sources to hedge against price increases. Pork consumption in Japan was flat in the first half of 2014 but may rise in 2015 as beef becomes more expensive.
The document discusses China's growing demand for imported beef and the opportunity this presents for Australian beef producers. It notes that China's beef consumption is projected to increase by over 70% by 2030, driven by rising incomes and urbanization. This will necessitate a 250% increase in beef imports to 3.8 million tonnes by 2030, representing a major opportunity for Australia which currently supplies over half of China's imports. However, Australia faces challenges in maintaining this market share given the need to significantly improve productivity to meet the doubling of export volumes required by 2030. Failure to boost productivity could result in $14 billion in lost export revenues.
The document summarizes impacts of high feed prices across livestock markets. For beef/cattle, high feed costs have driven increases in dairy and beef cow slaughter while lowering feeder and fed cattle prices from summer lows. U.S. beef imports are up 16% through July while exports are down 12% due to a stronger dollar.
- Last year was another strong year for Irish agri-food exports, reaching €19 billion, up 22% from 2021. Increased value rather than volume drove this growth.
- 2023 has been challenging for farmers due to difficult weather, high costs of inputs like feed and fertilizer, and market pressures. The new nitrates regulations are also causing concerns for dairy farmers.
- While cattle numbers increased in 2023, beef cow numbers declined and the suckler herd continues shrinking. Combined with weaker export markets, this depressed prices paid to beef farmers. Pig producers also struggled for over a year but profits have recently returned.
Dr Dev Kambhampati | USDA- China Semi-Annual Livestock & Products Report(2014)Dr Dev Kambhampati
- China's beef production is forecast to increase slightly to 5.76 million tons in 2014, driven by rising demand as consumers substitute beef for poultry due to avian influenza concerns. Beef imports are forecast to rise to 550,000 tons on competitive import prices. Pork production will continue growing to 55.8 million tons while imports increase to 790,000 tons. A new inland meat entry port in Chongqing will further strengthen price competitiveness of imported meat products.
Inflation in Nigeria retreated to 12.48% in April, representing the 15th consecutive monthly decline since the 2015 recession. Agricultural capital importation reached $130 million in the first quarter of 2018, making agriculture the fifth highest recipient of foreign investment. Commodity prices for cocoa, sugar, soybeans, maize and wheat declined slightly during the week of May 7-11, with cocoa prices expected to remain around $2700 and oversupply continuing to pressure sugar prices.
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This document summarizes the history and current state of China's economic rise over the past 40 years since implementing market reforms in 1979. It describes how China has transitioned from a poor, centrally planned economy to become the world's largest economy based on purchasing power parity. However, China still faces major economic challenges including transitioning to a free market system, rebalancing its economy away from exports and investment towards domestic consumption, reducing debt and overcapacity, and addressing environmental and corruption issues. The rapid growth of the Chinese economy has significant implications for the US and is an important issue for Congress.
Specialty drugs are one of the fastest growing areas of health care spending in the United States. There is no single definition but they are generally expensive drugs that treat complex conditions like cancer and hepatitis C and often require special administration. Spending on specialty drugs increased 26.5% in 2014 and they now account for about one-third of total US prescription drug spending. This growth raises issues for private insurers and government programs who are trying to control costs while still providing access to important treatments. Insurers use strategies like higher copays, prior authorization requirements, and limiting coverage to the sickest patients to manage specialty drug utilization.
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Dr Dev Kambhampati | USDA- BRAZIL- Livestock & Products Annual Report (2013)
1. Page 1
THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY
USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S. GOVERNMENT
POLICY
Date:
GAIN Report Number:
Approved By:
Prepared By:
Report Highlights:
Post forecasts 2014 production and exports of beef to increase by 2.5 and 6 percent, respectively. This
forecast is driven by greater availability of cattle for slaughter, stable domestic cattle prices, and the
ongoing depreciation of the Brazilian currency. These factors will likely make Brazilian beef highly
competitive in the world market. Pork production and exports are also forecast to increase in 2014 by
two and three percent, respectively. Driving forces are lower feed costs due to record soybean and corn
crops and higher exports due to the weaker Brazilian real and new export markets. In general, high
indebtedness of Brazilian consumers is the main constraint for a smaller growth path for domestic
demand for animal protein.
João F. Silva, Agricultural Specialist
Robert Hoff, Agricultural Counselor
Annual Livestock 2013
Livestock and Products Annual
Brazil
BR 0914
8/21/2013
Required Report - public distribution
2. Page 2
Commodities:
Production:
Post forecasts an increase of 2.5 percent in cattle inventories and 1.5 percent in the calf crop in 2014.
The expansion of the Brazilian cattle herd is supported by higher investments in productivity. Cattle
producers have access to government programs at subsidized interest rates which encourage pasture
improvements and higher use of quality genetics. In addition, due to sustainable cattle prices, cattle
producers use more feed and other ingredients during the dry season to maintain cattle weights. The
estimated increase of 4 percent in feedlots will likely contribute to larger cattle supplies. The sector also
is benefiting from forecast higher cattle and beef exports due to ongoing depreciation of the Brazilian
currency, the real.
During the past year, an estimated shift of three percent of pasture area into the production of soybean
and corn occurred. However, higher productivity has offset the loss in pasture to soybeans and corn.
Trade:
Post forecasts an increase of nearly 9 percent in cattle exports in 2014 due to a continued increase in
exports to Lebanon and to a lesser extent, to Venezuela. Other markets, such as Jordan, Turkey and
Congo are expected to increase purchases from Brazil. In addition to the protests of Brazilian meat
packers against live cattle exports for slaughter, governments from southern Brazilian states are also
considering voluntary restrictions against “exports” of cattle from their area to packers in the Center-
West of Brazil.
Animal Numbers, Cattle
3. Page 3
Production, Supply and Demand Data Statistics:
Animal Numbers, Cattle Brazil 2012 2013 2014
Market Year Begin: Jan 2012 Market Year Begin: Jan 2013 Market Year Begin: Jan 2014
USDA Official New Post USDA Official New Post USDA Official New Post
Total Cattle Beg. Stks 197,550 197,550 203,273 203,273 208,638
Dairy Cows Beg. Stocks 37,676 37,676 38,259 38,259 38,854
Beef Cows Beg. Stocks 52,669 52,263 52,986 52,986 53,809
Production (Calf Crop) 49,690 49,690 50,185 50,185 50,938
Total Imports 0 0 0 0 0
Total Supply 247,240 247,240 253,458 253,458 259,576
Total Exports 512 512 590 590 640
Cow Slaughter 11,170 11,170 11,490 11,490 11,622
Calf Slaughter 300 300 300 300 300
Other Slaughter 28,735 28,735 29,220 29,220 29,908
Total Slaughter 40,205 40,205 41,010 41,010 41,830
Loss 3,250 3,250 3,220 3,220 3,200
Ending Inventories 203,273 203,273 208,638 208,638 213,906
Total Distribution 247,240 247,240 253,458 253,458 259,576
1000 HEAD, PERCENT
4. Page 4
Commodities:
Production:
Post forecasts that beef production in 2014 will increase by 2.5 percent due mostly to international
demand and a small increase in domestic demand. The appreciation of the Brazilian currency combined
with higher cattle supplies is likely to maintain Brazilian beef at competitive prices. The depreciation of
the “real” will also bring extra profit margins for packers.
Consumption:
Post projects domestic beef consumption to increase by only 1.5 percent in view of higher inflation rates
in Brazil combined with higher indebtedness of Brazilian consumers.
Trade:
Post projects an increase of beef exports of six percent in 2014 due mostly to depreciation of the
Brazilian currency that makes the Brazilian product highly competitive in the world market. Brazilian
exporters are optimistic about continued shipments to major markets such as the Russian Federation, the
European Union, Egypt and Iran, as well the reopening of other import markets that had banned
Brazilian beef last year due to the BSE case in Parana, for example, Saudi Arabia and China.
Brazil is in the process of increasing the number of farms eligible to export to the European Union. The
rules of the Brazilian traceability program (SISBOV) are being reformulated and will be integrated with
other government controls of cattle movements due to the partnership between cattle producers through
their Brazilian Confederation of Agriculture and Livestock (CNA) and the Ministry of Agriculture,
Livestock and Food Supply (MAPA). This new program is likely to be responsible for increasing the
current list of Brazilian suppliers at around 1,900 ranchers, which would allow packers to have greater
supplies of cattle for the European Union. Brazilian packers continue to have problems in filling the
“Hilton Quota” due to restrictions made by the European Union. In 2013, Brazil will probably fill only
28 percent of the quota.
Brazil is likely to reopen the Saudi beef market before the end of the year after the ban was put in place
because of the BSE case in Parana. Brazilian and Saudi officials are close to signing an agreement on
inspection requirements that would allow exports to that market.
China continues to be a potentially major market for Brazilian beef, but exports remain insignificant.
Due to the BSE case in Parana, Chinese officials banned imports from Brazil and are delaying approvals
of new Brazilian plants. Meanwhile, exports to Hong Kong have skyrocketed.
Meat, Beef and Veal
5. Page 5
A major concern of Brazilian beef exports is ractopamine residue. According to trade sources, despite
the suspension of its use in November 2012, there have been cases of violations found throughout the
country, which jeopardizes beef exports to markets such as the Russian Federation, China, Iran, Egypt
and Chile. Trade sources also indicated that the use of Ivermectin is another concern that has the
potential to affect exports to the United Sates.
6. Page 6
Production, Supply and Demand Data Statistics:
Meat, Beef and Veal Brazil 2012 2013 2014
Market Year Begin: Jan 2012 Market Year Begin: Jan 2013 Market Year Begin: Jan 2014
USDA Official New Post USDA Official New Post USDA Official New Post
Slaughter (Reference) 40,205 40,205 41,010 41,010 41,830
Beginning Stocks 0 0 0 0 0
Production 9,307 9,307 9,500 9,500 9,740
Total Imports 62 62 60 60 40
Total Supply 9,369 9,369 9,560 9,560 9,780
Total Exports 1,524 1,524 1,600 1,600 1,700
Human Dom. Consumption 7,845 7,845 7,960 7,960 8,080
Other Use, Losses 0 0 0 0 0
Total Dom. Consumption 7,845 7,845 7,960 7,960 8,080
Ending Stocks 0 0 0 0 0
Total Distribution 9,369 9,369 9,560 9,560 9,780
1000 HEAD, 1000 MT CWE, PERCENT, PEOPLE, KG
7. Page 7
Import Trade Matrix
Country
Brazil
Commodity
Meat, Beef and Veal
Time Period Jan-Jun Units: Metric Tons
Imports for: 2012 2013
U.S. 0 U.S. 0
Others Others
Argentina 3,437 2,920
Paraguay 8,290 10,414
Uruguay 5,979 6,751
Total for Others 17,706 20,085
Others not Listed 927 1,380
Grand Total 18,633 21,465
HTS: 0201,0202,021020,160250
Quantity in Product Weight Equivalent (PWE)
Updated: August 15, 2013
8. Page 8
Export Trade Matrix
Country
Brazil
Commodity
Meat, Beef and Veal
Time Period Jan-Jun Units: Metric Tons
2012 2013
U.S. 8,610 U.S. 11,356
Others Others
Angola 6,211 7,320
Algeria 5,690 9,149
Canada 1,262 1,030
Chile 29,555 36,434
Egypt 51,680 51,122
European Union 48,514 55,610
Hong Kong 42,916 103,031
Iran 8,601 17,068
Iraq 3,056 178
Israel 7,140 9,519
Lebanon 6,388 6,976
Libya 9,054 7,048
Japan 654 0
Jordan 5,708 9,285
Phillippines 2,268 3,990
Russian Federation 137,717 152,206
Saudi Arabia 19,770 25
Singapore 2,479 5,347
Ukraine 1,752 1,386
UEA 4,693 7,303
Venezuela 41,664 60,781
Total for Others 436,772 544,808
Others not Listed 22,615 43,587
Grand Total 467,997 577,039
HTS:0201,0202,021020,160250
Quantity in Product Weight Equivalent (PWE)
Updated: July 25, 2011
9. Page 9
Commodities:
Production:
Post forecasts hog production to increase by nearly two percent in 2014 to support higher pork exports
and a small increase in domestic demand. Hog producers will likely benefit from record soybean and
corn crops estimated for the 2013-14 crop year. In addition, government support programs at subsidized
interest rates are available to hog producers to mitigate potential increase in feed costs.
Animal Numbers, Swine
10. Page 10
Production, Supply and Demand Data Statistics:
Animal Numbers, Swine Brazil 2012 2013 2014
Market Year Begin: Jan 2012 Market Year Begin: Jan 2013 Market Year Begin: Jan 2014
USDA Official New Post USDA Official New Post USDA Official New Post
Total Beginning Stocks 38,336 38,336 38,578 38,578 38,648
Sow Beginning Stocks 2,920 2,920 2,920 2,920 2,910
Production (Pig Crop) 37,700 37,700 38,100 38,100 38,795
Total Imports 1 1 1 1 1
Total Supply 76,037 76,037 76,679 76,679 77,444
Total Exports 2 1 1 1 1
Sow Slaughter 150 150 150 150 150
Other Slaughter 36,107 36,108 36,680 36,680 37,350
Total Slaughter 36,257 36,258 36,830 36,830 37,500
Loss 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200
Ending Inventories 38,578 38,578 38,648 38,648 38,743
Total Distribution 76,037 76,037 76,679 76,679 77,444
1000 HEAD, PERCENT
11. Page 11
Commodities:
Production:
Post forecasts an increase of two percent in pork production in 2014. This forecast reflects the current
optimism of the pork industry with a continued recovery in export markets and a small increase in
domestic demand. Packers are confident of lower feed costs and sustainable hog prices based on larger
supplies of soybean and corn at lower prices than in 2012.
Trade:
Brazilian pork exports are forecast to increase by three percent in 2014, mostly due to the depreciation
of the Brazilian currency. The following is a brief 2014 outlook for pork exports by major markets:
Russian Federation: Trade sources expect the Russian Federation to continue to be the main importer of
Brazilian pork in 2014 with nearly 30 percent market share. The main concern of pork exporters is
related to animal health, such as, violations on the use of Ractopamine.
Ukraine: Brazil recently reopened the market and exports are likely to rebound in 2014.
Hong Kong: Traders are optimistic that exports will continue to increase in 2014 and Hong Kong will
continue to be the second largest importer of Brazilian pork.
Angola and Singapore: Traders foresee a continued increase of pork exports to these markets.
Argentina and Venezuela: Bureaucracy and import controls are the main problems affecting these
markets for Brazilian pork.
Japan: The market was recently opened and first shipments began in August. For 2014, traders believe
that Japan will become an important market for Brazil.
New priorities for market access in 2014: South Korea and South Africa.
Meat, Swine
12. Page 12
Production, Supply and Demand Data Statistics:
Meat, Swine Brazil 2012 2013 2014
Market Year Begin: Jan 2012 Market Year Begin: Jan 2013 Market Year Begin: Jan 2014
USDA Official New Post USDA Official New Post USDA Official New Post
Slaughter (Reference) 36,257 36,258 36,830 36,830 37,500
Beginning Stocks 0 0 0 0 0
Production 3,330 3,330 3,370 3,370 3,435
Total Imports 1 1 1 1 1
Total Supply 3,331 3,331 3,371 3,371 3,436
Total Exports 661 661 620 620 640
Human Dom. Consumption 2,670 2,670 2,751 2,751 2,796
Other Use, Losses 0 0 0 0 0
Total Dom. Consumption 2,670 2,670 2,751 2,751 2,796
Ending Stocks 0 0 0 0 0
Total Distribution 3,331 3,331 3,371 3,371 3,436
1000 HEAD, 1000 MT CWE, PERCENT, PEOPLE, KG
13. Page 13
Export Trade Matrix
Country
Brazil
Commodity
Meat, Swine
Time Period Jan-Jun Units: Metric Tons
Exports for: 2012 2013
U.S. 0 U.S. 24
Others Others
Albania 1,761 1,393
Angola 13,836 14,419
Argentina 5,909 7,994
Armenia 3,495 3,848
Azerbaijan 1,190 145
Chile 1,751 2,221
European Union 0 144
Georgia 4,478 5,324
Kazakhstan 353 133
Hong Kong 43,158 43,490
Japan 346 113
Moldova 1,008 1,763
Russian Federation 55,380 68,812
Singapore 13,394 13,302
South Africa 59 0
UAE 2,798 2,514
Ukraine 64,131 25,250
Uruguay 10,527 10,514
Venezuela 0 0
Total for Others 223,574 201,379
Others not Listed 9,282 6,965
Grand Total 232,856 208,368
HTS: 020311,020312,020319,020321,020322,020329,
and 021011,021012,021019,160241,160242,160249
Quantity in Product Weight Equivalent (PWE)
Updated: August 15, 2013