Weather insurance
                  /Rainfall
insurance
      “An insured’s perspective”



                Feedback from a project ….
                Dr B S Suran, General Manager, NABARD
Background : perspective and possible
biases !!

 2 partners – Sajjatha sangh & SEWA
 Marginal differences in products
 ------------------------------------------
 Insured’s perspective or …. ??
One season
 Anecdotal and not research based
The partner agencies- products
             agencies-
SEWA                      Sajjatha Sangh

Generic                   Crop specific
Deficit & excess RF       Deficit RF
Multiple events- Excess   Multiple event –
                          consecutive dry days
105 days                  90 days
Market – Buy I get one    ~50 % subsidy –
                          premium
sewa


Sajjatha sangh



  Palmer index : is a soil moisture algorithm calibrated for relatively homogeneous regions. ( scales)
Partner agencies- Kharif 2010
           agencies-
Particulars     SEWA                 Sajjata Sangh
Policies issued 6384                 5227 acres
Farmers covered 1775                 4223
Villages/Blocks     60               42 blocks of 13
                                     districts
Crops               Generic          Cotton, Paddy,
                                     Maize and
                                     Groundnut
Payout              Average ` 78     Range of ` 13 to
                                     2911
NABARD              ` 9.50/ ` 4.78   ` 83.79/ ` 13.06
Sanction /release   lakh             lakh
SEWA
                                                                                  Some Observations
              2006           2007        2008         2009           2010
company ICICI L IFFCO ICICI L AICI        AICI
Crop      any     any     any     any     any
Phases          3       1       1       3       5
                                                                             1.    Subsidy & low premium
Duration      110      92      90     143     117                                 facilitated enrollments
average premi 202
Sum assured
          1485(14% )
                       76     190
                  1000(8%1000(19% )
                          )
                                      150
                                  1500(10%)
                                              150
                                          1500(10%)
                                                                             2.   More payouts – entices
                          WI policy Coverage
                                                                             3.   NABARD subsidy ensured
     HH
                                                                                  enhanced coverage levels
     Policies S                                             1775
                                                                             4.   Average pay out was Rs 78
                                                                                  … per policy
                                                                      6384
                                                                             5.   960 farmers out of 1775
                                                                                  received payouts
                                               781
   908                             620
                   1081                              1442
                                       624
   2006           2007          2008           2009                2010
MODEL AGRICULTURE INSURANCE VILLAGE:WEATHER BASED CROP INSURANCE SCHEME (KHARIF 2010)
                                                                                TERM SHEET


State           GUJ                                          Distrcit: Sabarkantha                                Tehsil: Meghraj     Village: Bhatkota
Crop:          Cotton                     Reference Weather Station: Bhatkota                                              Unit: PER HECTARE

DEFICIT RAINFALL

                             Rainy Day: A Day With Rainfall greater than        2.0 mm is considered as a rainy day .
                                                                           PHASE - I            PHASE - II                    PHASE - III     PHASE - IV
                                      PERIOD                         1-Jul    to 31-Jul 1-Aug            to    31-Aug    1-Sep to 30-Sep 1-Oct   to 15-Oct
                                      Cover Index                                       Sum Of Rainfall on Rainy Days
                                      TRIGGER I (<)                  100      mm        80             mm                40      mm            60     mm
                                      TRIGGER II (<)                 50       mm        40             mm                20      mm            30     mm
1 A. RAINFALL VOLUME
                                      EXIT                           10                 10                               5                     0
                                      RATE I (Rs./ mm)               10                 8                                10                    0
                                      RATE II (Rs./ mm)              25.00              22.67                            53.33                 0.0
                                      Max. Payout (Rs.)              1500               1000                             1000                  0

                                      TOTAL PAYOUT (Rs.)             3500


     RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION            PERIOD                         1-Jul           to             31-Aug
1 B. (Consecutive Dry                 TRIGGER DAYS (>=)              20              25      30
     Days)(multiple Event)            PAYOUT (Rs.)                   800             1700    2500

                                      TOTAL PAYOUT (Rs.)             2500

        Note:Multiple event will be considered for final payout


                                      TOTAL SUM INSURED (Rs.)        6000
                                      PREMIUM (Rs.) + ST             500
MODEL AGRICULTURE INSURANCE VILLAGE:WEATHER BASED CROP INSURANCE SCHEME (KHARIF 2010)
                                                                                TERM SHEET


State           GUJ                                          Distrcit: Sabarkantha                                Tehsil: Meghraj        Village:   Bhatkota
Crop:      Generic crop                   Reference Weather Station: Bhatkota                                                 Unit: PER Acre

DEFICIT RAINFALL

                             Rainy Day: A Day With Rainfall greater than        1.0 mm is considered as a rainy day .
                                                                           PHASE - I                PHASE - II                   PHASE - III      PHASE - IV
                                      PERIOD                         21-Jun   to     15-Jul 16-Jul           to    15-Aug   16-Aug to 30-Sep 1-Oct   to 15-Oct
                                      Cover Index                                           Sum Of Rainfall on Rainy Days
                                      TRIGGER I (<)                  60       mm            80             mm               50      mm              60     mm
                                      TRIGGER II (<)                 30       mm            35             mm               25      mm              30     mm
1 A. RAINFALL VOLUME
                                      EXIT                           5                      5                               5                       0
                                      RATE I (Rs./ mm)               10                     6                               10                      0
                                      RATE II (Rs./ mm)              18.00                  32.67                           37.50                   0.0
                                      Max. Payout (Rs.)              750                    1250                            1000                    0

                                      TOTAL PAYOUT (Rs.)             3000


     RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION            PERIOD                         1-Jul           to             31-Aug
1 B. (Consecutive Dry                 TRIGGER DAYS (>=)              20              25      30
     Days)(multiple Event)            PAYOUT (Rs.)                   500             1000    1500

                                      TOTAL PAYOUT (Rs.)             1500

        Note:Multiple event will be considered for final payout
                                                                                                                                 PHASE - III             PHASE - IV
                                      PERIOD                         1-Sep      to 31-Oct                                   1-Nov   to 30-Sep       1-Oct   to 31-Oct
                                      DAILY RAINFALL TRIGGER (>)     50         mm                                          150    mm               60     mm
EXCESS RAINFALL        (Multiple
                                      EXIT (mm)                      100        mm                                          250    mm               120    mm
events)
                                      Payout (Rs. / mm)              10.00                                                  0                       0
                                      Max. Payout                    500                                                    0                       0

                                      TOTAL PAYOUT (Rs.)             500

                                      TOTAL SUM INSURED (Rs.)        5000
Model Village – Bhatkhota !!
- Tribal community dominated
- AWS in the village
- Enrollment of all villagers
- Actual enrollment : 124/ 130 HH
-Volunteers for campaign
-Wage labour insurance – Loss of wages- low RF
-Weather/agro-advisory…as add-on !!
-Village level daily weather data
- In-season monitoring !!
-------------------------------------------------------
-All landed farmers + With Irrgn facility
- Seed production – all HH
- Adoption not as a risk mitigation tool…
- No knowledge of Insurance provider
- Pest seen as a major risk
- Made no distinction .- Crop / non Crop
- Relationship with partner helped
-Low premium attracts
- Moneyback guarantee & “ AWS demo for weather
mapping” did have positive effect
Poor understanding of rainfall
insurance mechanism and policy
details even among the adopted

A sub-optimal payout experience affects the
Farmers propensity to purchase rainfall
insurance in the subsequent periods.



85% reported the need for payouts
Avg. Payouts expected = Rs.6240
(Khambha).
 Avg. Payouts Received = Rs 80!
67 % believed the product provided
optimal cover….study of 2009 by IGIDR
Conclusions

 Awareness matters (FL): Educated & financially
  literate are significantly more likely to purchase rainfall
  insurance…… !! BUT
 Peer following seen: many farmers unaware, seem to
  join in because of peers
   – Tendency to join triggered / enticed by low levels of
     premium- subsidized by NABARD
   – However, adoption could be influenced through information
     campaigns
   – Installation of visible tracking mechanisms do influence
     decision making at the farmer level.
   – Use of community leaders / volunteers helps in better
     enrollment
Conclusions

 Traditional Marketing interventions may not work...
  it is no sell and go product.
 But, selling by known NGOs ..helps in adoption
 Marketing : Moneyback guarantee along with
  “demo” and “weather forecast” has a positive effect
 Crops grown & product availed …limited linkages .
 Communicating payouts transparently… ensures
  interest in the product. Post sales service e.g.
  disseminate likelihood of payouts…
Thank you for your time

   Contact : ahmedabad@nabard.org
             bs.suran@nabard.org

Dr. B.S.Suran

  • 1.
    Weather insurance /Rainfall insurance “An insured’s perspective” Feedback from a project …. Dr B S Suran, General Manager, NABARD
  • 2.
    Background : perspectiveand possible biases !!  2 partners – Sajjatha sangh & SEWA  Marginal differences in products  ------------------------------------------  Insured’s perspective or …. ?? One season  Anecdotal and not research based
  • 3.
    The partner agencies-products agencies- SEWA Sajjatha Sangh Generic Crop specific Deficit & excess RF Deficit RF Multiple events- Excess Multiple event – consecutive dry days 105 days 90 days Market – Buy I get one ~50 % subsidy – premium
  • 4.
    sewa Sajjatha sangh Palmer index : is a soil moisture algorithm calibrated for relatively homogeneous regions. ( scales)
  • 5.
    Partner agencies- Kharif2010 agencies- Particulars SEWA Sajjata Sangh Policies issued 6384 5227 acres Farmers covered 1775 4223 Villages/Blocks 60 42 blocks of 13 districts Crops Generic Cotton, Paddy, Maize and Groundnut Payout Average ` 78 Range of ` 13 to 2911 NABARD ` 9.50/ ` 4.78 ` 83.79/ ` 13.06 Sanction /release lakh lakh
  • 6.
    SEWA Some Observations 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 company ICICI L IFFCO ICICI L AICI AICI Crop any any any any any Phases 3 1 1 3 5 1. Subsidy & low premium Duration 110 92 90 143 117 facilitated enrollments average premi 202 Sum assured 1485(14% ) 76 190 1000(8%1000(19% ) ) 150 1500(10%) 150 1500(10%) 2. More payouts – entices WI policy Coverage 3. NABARD subsidy ensured HH enhanced coverage levels Policies S 1775 4. Average pay out was Rs 78 … per policy 6384 5. 960 farmers out of 1775 received payouts 781 908 620 1081 1442 624 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
  • 7.
    MODEL AGRICULTURE INSURANCEVILLAGE:WEATHER BASED CROP INSURANCE SCHEME (KHARIF 2010) TERM SHEET State GUJ Distrcit: Sabarkantha Tehsil: Meghraj Village: Bhatkota Crop: Cotton Reference Weather Station: Bhatkota Unit: PER HECTARE DEFICIT RAINFALL Rainy Day: A Day With Rainfall greater than 2.0 mm is considered as a rainy day . PHASE - I PHASE - II PHASE - III PHASE - IV PERIOD 1-Jul to 31-Jul 1-Aug to 31-Aug 1-Sep to 30-Sep 1-Oct to 15-Oct Cover Index Sum Of Rainfall on Rainy Days TRIGGER I (<) 100 mm 80 mm 40 mm 60 mm TRIGGER II (<) 50 mm 40 mm 20 mm 30 mm 1 A. RAINFALL VOLUME EXIT 10 10 5 0 RATE I (Rs./ mm) 10 8 10 0 RATE II (Rs./ mm) 25.00 22.67 53.33 0.0 Max. Payout (Rs.) 1500 1000 1000 0 TOTAL PAYOUT (Rs.) 3500 RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION PERIOD 1-Jul to 31-Aug 1 B. (Consecutive Dry TRIGGER DAYS (>=) 20 25 30 Days)(multiple Event) PAYOUT (Rs.) 800 1700 2500 TOTAL PAYOUT (Rs.) 2500 Note:Multiple event will be considered for final payout TOTAL SUM INSURED (Rs.) 6000 PREMIUM (Rs.) + ST 500
  • 8.
    MODEL AGRICULTURE INSURANCEVILLAGE:WEATHER BASED CROP INSURANCE SCHEME (KHARIF 2010) TERM SHEET State GUJ Distrcit: Sabarkantha Tehsil: Meghraj Village: Bhatkota Crop: Generic crop Reference Weather Station: Bhatkota Unit: PER Acre DEFICIT RAINFALL Rainy Day: A Day With Rainfall greater than 1.0 mm is considered as a rainy day . PHASE - I PHASE - II PHASE - III PHASE - IV PERIOD 21-Jun to 15-Jul 16-Jul to 15-Aug 16-Aug to 30-Sep 1-Oct to 15-Oct Cover Index Sum Of Rainfall on Rainy Days TRIGGER I (<) 60 mm 80 mm 50 mm 60 mm TRIGGER II (<) 30 mm 35 mm 25 mm 30 mm 1 A. RAINFALL VOLUME EXIT 5 5 5 0 RATE I (Rs./ mm) 10 6 10 0 RATE II (Rs./ mm) 18.00 32.67 37.50 0.0 Max. Payout (Rs.) 750 1250 1000 0 TOTAL PAYOUT (Rs.) 3000 RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION PERIOD 1-Jul to 31-Aug 1 B. (Consecutive Dry TRIGGER DAYS (>=) 20 25 30 Days)(multiple Event) PAYOUT (Rs.) 500 1000 1500 TOTAL PAYOUT (Rs.) 1500 Note:Multiple event will be considered for final payout PHASE - III PHASE - IV PERIOD 1-Sep to 31-Oct 1-Nov to 30-Sep 1-Oct to 31-Oct DAILY RAINFALL TRIGGER (>) 50 mm 150 mm 60 mm EXCESS RAINFALL (Multiple EXIT (mm) 100 mm 250 mm 120 mm events) Payout (Rs. / mm) 10.00 0 0 Max. Payout 500 0 0 TOTAL PAYOUT (Rs.) 500 TOTAL SUM INSURED (Rs.) 5000
  • 9.
    Model Village –Bhatkhota !! - Tribal community dominated - AWS in the village - Enrollment of all villagers - Actual enrollment : 124/ 130 HH -Volunteers for campaign -Wage labour insurance – Loss of wages- low RF -Weather/agro-advisory…as add-on !! -Village level daily weather data - In-season monitoring !! ------------------------------------------------------- -All landed farmers + With Irrgn facility - Seed production – all HH - Adoption not as a risk mitigation tool… - No knowledge of Insurance provider - Pest seen as a major risk - Made no distinction .- Crop / non Crop - Relationship with partner helped -Low premium attracts - Moneyback guarantee & “ AWS demo for weather mapping” did have positive effect
  • 10.
    Poor understanding ofrainfall insurance mechanism and policy details even among the adopted A sub-optimal payout experience affects the Farmers propensity to purchase rainfall insurance in the subsequent periods. 85% reported the need for payouts Avg. Payouts expected = Rs.6240 (Khambha). Avg. Payouts Received = Rs 80! 67 % believed the product provided optimal cover….study of 2009 by IGIDR
  • 11.
    Conclusions  Awareness matters(FL): Educated & financially literate are significantly more likely to purchase rainfall insurance…… !! BUT  Peer following seen: many farmers unaware, seem to join in because of peers – Tendency to join triggered / enticed by low levels of premium- subsidized by NABARD – However, adoption could be influenced through information campaigns – Installation of visible tracking mechanisms do influence decision making at the farmer level. – Use of community leaders / volunteers helps in better enrollment
  • 12.
    Conclusions  Traditional Marketinginterventions may not work... it is no sell and go product.  But, selling by known NGOs ..helps in adoption  Marketing : Moneyback guarantee along with “demo” and “weather forecast” has a positive effect  Crops grown & product availed …limited linkages .  Communicating payouts transparently… ensures interest in the product. Post sales service e.g. disseminate likelihood of payouts…
  • 13.
    Thank you foryour time Contact : ahmedabad@nabard.org bs.suran@nabard.org