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Edhie Santosa Rahmat, MD, MSc
Penasehat untuk Penguatan Sistem Kesehatan
USAID Indonesia – Office of Health
Jl. BudiKemuliaan INo. 1 Jakarta 10110
erahmat@usaid.gov
1
25 Oktober2017
"Does JKN incentivize
public-private mix
in Tuberculosis care?"
TB is still a big concern in Indonesia with over 1 million
estimated TB patients despite declining incident rate
Indonesia has over 1M new TB
patients per year, though incidence
rate is declining
Indonesia ranked 2nd globally in terms
of incidentTB patientsin 2015
454510
586
918
1,020
2,840
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
Pakista
n
S.
Africa
Indonesi
a
Indi
a
Chin
a
Nigeri
a
TB patients in 2015 ('000)
Note: Estimated TB patients = TB incident multiplied by population
Source: WHO database, Indonesia Central Statistic Bureau
395399403407
0
100
200
300
400
500
1,000
0
1,500
500
# cases Per 100,000 population
2012
E
2015
E
1,0131,010 1,020
2014
E
1,015
2013
E
Estimated incident cases
Estimated incidence per 100,000 population
Many patients seek and receive TB care
from private providers
21
1004
54
21
0
20
40
60
80
100
% of respondents under TB treatment
Private
provider
s
42
Public
provider
s
Other
s
Tota
l
Source: JEMM report, 2017; Indonesia TB prevalence survey, 2013.
1002
24
19
52
0
20
40
60
80
100
Public
provider
s
3
% of respondents seeking TB care
Tota
l
Private
provider
s
Other
s
74
74% of respondents seek initial TB
care from private providers
42% of respondents ultimately
receive TB treatment from private
providers
Hospital
Pharmacies
GP
Increasing
number of
patients both in
GPs and
hospitals
Overall case detection rate has held steady at ~32% for
last five years
200
5
200
4
200
3
200
2
200
1
Case detection rate (%)
201
5
201
4
201
3
201
2
201
1
201
0
200
9
200
8
200
7
200
6
Indonesia has the highestnumberof
missingTB patients globally
1. Among TB patients in treatment, 42% are treated by private providers and 58% are treated by public providers. Therefore, private providersshould report 72% as many cases as
public providers (42%/58%). However, they only report 10% as many cases as public providers (9% of cases reported / 91% of cases reported). If private providers were to increase
case reporting such that their notified cases equaled 72% of public notified cases, the incremental number of cases reported by private providers would be 187,759.
Source: WHO TB burden estimates. Challenge TB AnnualReport, 2016.
Upper bound: 50%
Current est.
case detection
rate: 32%
Lower bound: 23%
If private providers were to increase their case notification rate to match the public sector,it would
account for roughly188,000 new reported cases orapproximately 27% of the current
numberof missing cases
?
Majority of case notifications come from the public
sector
Source: Indonesia National TB Prevalence Survey, 2013. 2017 JEMM report.
0
20
40
60
80
100
72%
2%
Private
hospitals
Pharmac
y
100%0%
GP
s
% TB case notification
Puskesma
s
8%
Public
hospitals
18%
Tota
l
Public
(90%)
Private
(10%)
Particularly low among GPs &
pharmacies; uptake in private hospitals
driven by NTP engagement
~10% of case notifications
National Prevalence Survey indicates lower patient-
reported treatment success rate of 60% across public &
private sector
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
# of TB patient interviewed
Declared
cured by a
health
profession
al
No
money
Feelin
g
better
Unavailablit
y of TB
medicine
Other
s
Tota
l
No
transportatio
n / nobody
to collect
medicine
Afraid of
side
effectes
Feeling no
improveme
nt
46
(2%)
53
(3%)
2,045
(100%)45
(2%)
1,222
(60%)
9
(0%)107
(5%)525
(26%)
38
(2%)
Private clinicsPublic health centresPublic hospitals OthersPrivate hospitals
Largest proportion
of lapsers are from
public hospitals
While affordability leads
to only 13% of treatment
lapse, 58% of those
patients are in the private
sector
Source: Indonesia National TB Prevalence Survey, 2013
Difference between
treatment success
rate reported in NPS
vs from MoH might be
driven by non-
reported casesthat
is not recordedby
MoHbut identified in
NPS, indicating that
non-reported cases
might have higher
rate of uncompleted
treatment. Could
also be due to patient
reporting error.
?
However, NTP now envisions new form of "district-based
PPM", being piloted in Jakarta and Medan
Dinas
Kesehatan
Patient referral
flow
Reporting flow
Source: NTP presentation during meeting w ith Global Fund, 20 July 2017.
PPM priorities & programs
Dinkes to be in
charge for
hospitals
Private Public
Hospital
Secondarycare facility
Puskesmas
GP Clinic
Pharmac
y
Lab
Primary carefacility
Puskesmas to
oversee TB reporting
and care at
independent GPs
and clinics
Primary data collection: provider interviews
Key questions
• What are the typical pathways for patients presenting with
TB symptoms?
• What is the profile of private sectorproviders? How many
TB cases do they see and how many do they notify?
• What are the prevalent diagnosis and treatment practices
in the private sector? How do they compare to NTP /
WHO guidelines and other local regulations?
• What is the overall treatment costfor TB? How are these
costs handled, via JKN or out of pocket?
• What role do differentagencies or organizations play in
TB diagnosis,reporting & treatment in the private sector?
• How can current patient pathways & experience be
optimized to improve patient and public health outcomes?
Sample breakdown
10 private sector health care
providers
• 6 physicians, with a mix
betweengeneral practitioners
and pulmonologists
• 2 pharmacy managers
• 1 laboratory manager
1
Primary data collection: Focus on four districts
North Sumatra
Medan (largest city outside
Java; rapidly developing with
27 private hospitals)
Jakarta
Focus on 2 districts:
a) North Jakarta (industrial)
b) East Jakarta (low income/
high population density)
East Java
Jember: Smaller
city/urban setting, can
extrapolate to West Java
Backup
Number of TB patients treated and success rate for
four districts in this review
30
20
10
0
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
110
East
Jakarta
77
Meda
n
88
Jembe
r
93
103
% TB treatment success rate in select districts1, 2014
North
Jakarta
1. From people w ho started treatment and reported
Source: Jakarta health profile report 2014; North Sumatera health profile report 2014; East Java health profile report 2014
Indonesia
average
= 84%
Success rate ranging from 77% to
103%
Number of BTA+ patient treated is
highest in North Jakarta
1,996
2,518
3,128
6,535
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
No of BTA+ patient treated
Jembe
r
East
Jakarta
Meda
n
North
Jakarta
Current state of TB in Indonesia
> 100% because providers in North Jakarta may
treat patient from other parts of Jakarta (e.g. South
Jakarta (TSR=~34%) and East Jakarta
(TSR=~77%)) but patients transferring in to North
Jakarta are not reflected in the denominator of
notified cases
Sampling strategy for survey
2
Sample Universe Sample Universe Sample Universe Sample Universe Sample
East
Jakarta
50 568 30 41 20 981 30 62 30
North
Jakarta
50 356 30 26 15 561 30 48 20
Medan 50 566 30 76 30 955 30 76 30
Jember 50 158 30 13 5 185 30 10 5
Pharmacies Laboratories GP Specialists
Source: http://bppsdmk.kemkes.go.id/info_sdmk/info/; http://apif.binfar.depkes.go.id/index.php?req=view_services&p=pemetaanApotek;
http://www.depkes.go.id/resources/download/pusdatin/profil-kesehatan-indonesia/profil-kesehatan-Indonesia-2015.pdf;
Patients
Total sample of 395 will be representative of provider
universe, but not a fully random sample
% of all provider
changes
Findings: Patients are moving away from Puskesmas
and towards private hospitals
Source: Patient interview s, n=204. 50 respondents per district except North Jakarta w ith 54 respondents. 2nd visit n=194. 3rd visit n=170. 4th visit n=130. 5th visit n=81. 6th visit
n=53.
Private
Hospital
Pharmacy/
other store
Puskesmas
Private
GP/clinic
Lab
Public
Hospital
Two trends observed: Patients moving from public sector
to private sector and from primary to secondary care
1-5%
5-10%
>10%
Other
Secondary provider
Primary
provider
32% start here
79% end here
21% start
here
6% end here
44% start here
12% end here
3% start
here
3% end here
Lab likely associated
with or located in
private hospital
Patients seek
care directly
with a
physician, or
after first
visiting a
private
pharmacy or
lab
>65% of patients use 1 of 5 common pathways
30 unique patient pathways reported, with remaining pathways each having <5% of patients
Source: Patient interview s, n=204. 50 respondents per district except North Jakarta w ith 54 respondents. 2nd visit n=194. 3rd visit n=170. 4th visit n=130. 5th visit n=81. 6th visit
n=53.
23%
22%
9%
8%
Puskesmas
Private GP/clinic Puskesmas
Private Hospital
Private Hospital
% of patients
taking pathway
Other
Secondary provider
Primary
provider
Puskesmas Private Hospital
Pharmacy /
other store
5% Private Hospital
Pharmacy /
other store
Assumes lab
visits between
two private
hospital visits are
to the lab within
the hospital
Interviews indicate that when patients start at
Puskesmas and then move to private hospitals,
diagnosis typically occurs at the hospital. TB
suspects may have been asked to return to the
Puskesmas for observation (and choose to go
instead to a hospital), misdiagnosed, or the
facility does not have the necessary test
capabilities.
?
Interviews indicate that when patients are
referred from a private GP or clinic to a
Puskesmas, diagnosis typically occurs at the
Puskesmas. TB suspects are often referred
because the Puskesmas can conduct
diagnostic tests.
?
Incentives are driving TB patients toward private
secondary care
Private
Hospital
Public
Hospital
Puskesmas
Private
GP/clinic
Public Private
PrimarySecondary
Initially:44
%
Ultimately:
12%
Initially:3
%
Ultimately:
3%
Initially:32
%
Ultimately:
79%
Initially:21
%
Ultimately: 6%
32% of patients
47%ofpatients
Five key factors driving the shift from primary
care to secondarycare and from public to
private providers
• Low patientawareness ofTB symptoms,
delaying treatment and resulting in more
severe cases of TB likely to result in hospital
care
• Patientpreferences (e.g.,convenience of
"one-stop shop",shorterwait times, perceived
service quality & cleanliness)
• Patienteconomics(e.g., additional costs
covered via BPJS at in-house hospital labs and
pharmacies)
• Provider economics(e.g., GPs afraid to lose
capitation if referring to Puskesmas,but not
secondarycare; later visits are higher-margin
for hospitals)
?
"My sister recommended a private facility that's
easy to get appointments and takes BPJS so it’s
free"
– Patient, Jember
"I refer to specialist when the symptoms is at later
stage, e.g. coughing blood."
– GP, North Jakarta
Source: Patient interview s. N=204. Figures given as net % of total patients, accounting for patient flow in the other direction.
Discussion
• JKN Capitation ends up to referral
• Referral to Primary care with advanced
diagnostic capacity may loose JKN members
• Referral to hospital for diagnostic without
penalty/economic lost to Primary care
• Hospitals benefit for not refer back (incentives
for frequent OPD visits)
Hospital based TB Care
25 Oktober2017
15
Implication & Suggestion
Hospital based TB care:
- High cost for insurer (BPJS-K)
- Low treatment adherence (<60% vs. 80% at primary care)
- Additional cost for patients/families, but they get one stop
services
Need to change payment system:
- Potential Efficiency for non-complicated case at hospital
- Pilot result based incentive for primary care (Case
Notification, Lab referral, treatment success)
- Rooms for private sector (separate payment for lab,
GenXpert etc.)
25 Oktober2017
16

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Does JKN incentivize public private mix in TB care?

  • 1. Edhie Santosa Rahmat, MD, MSc Penasehat untuk Penguatan Sistem Kesehatan USAID Indonesia – Office of Health Jl. BudiKemuliaan INo. 1 Jakarta 10110 erahmat@usaid.gov 1 25 Oktober2017 "Does JKN incentivize public-private mix in Tuberculosis care?"
  • 2. TB is still a big concern in Indonesia with over 1 million estimated TB patients despite declining incident rate Indonesia has over 1M new TB patients per year, though incidence rate is declining Indonesia ranked 2nd globally in terms of incidentTB patientsin 2015 454510 586 918 1,020 2,840 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 Pakista n S. Africa Indonesi a Indi a Chin a Nigeri a TB patients in 2015 ('000) Note: Estimated TB patients = TB incident multiplied by population Source: WHO database, Indonesia Central Statistic Bureau 395399403407 0 100 200 300 400 500 1,000 0 1,500 500 # cases Per 100,000 population 2012 E 2015 E 1,0131,010 1,020 2014 E 1,015 2013 E Estimated incident cases Estimated incidence per 100,000 population
  • 3. Many patients seek and receive TB care from private providers 21 1004 54 21 0 20 40 60 80 100 % of respondents under TB treatment Private provider s 42 Public provider s Other s Tota l Source: JEMM report, 2017; Indonesia TB prevalence survey, 2013. 1002 24 19 52 0 20 40 60 80 100 Public provider s 3 % of respondents seeking TB care Tota l Private provider s Other s 74 74% of respondents seek initial TB care from private providers 42% of respondents ultimately receive TB treatment from private providers Hospital Pharmacies GP Increasing number of patients both in GPs and hospitals
  • 4. Overall case detection rate has held steady at ~32% for last five years 200 5 200 4 200 3 200 2 200 1 Case detection rate (%) 201 5 201 4 201 3 201 2 201 1 201 0 200 9 200 8 200 7 200 6 Indonesia has the highestnumberof missingTB patients globally 1. Among TB patients in treatment, 42% are treated by private providers and 58% are treated by public providers. Therefore, private providersshould report 72% as many cases as public providers (42%/58%). However, they only report 10% as many cases as public providers (9% of cases reported / 91% of cases reported). If private providers were to increase case reporting such that their notified cases equaled 72% of public notified cases, the incremental number of cases reported by private providers would be 187,759. Source: WHO TB burden estimates. Challenge TB AnnualReport, 2016. Upper bound: 50% Current est. case detection rate: 32% Lower bound: 23% If private providers were to increase their case notification rate to match the public sector,it would account for roughly188,000 new reported cases orapproximately 27% of the current numberof missing cases ?
  • 5. Majority of case notifications come from the public sector Source: Indonesia National TB Prevalence Survey, 2013. 2017 JEMM report. 0 20 40 60 80 100 72% 2% Private hospitals Pharmac y 100%0% GP s % TB case notification Puskesma s 8% Public hospitals 18% Tota l Public (90%) Private (10%) Particularly low among GPs & pharmacies; uptake in private hospitals driven by NTP engagement ~10% of case notifications
  • 6. National Prevalence Survey indicates lower patient- reported treatment success rate of 60% across public & private sector 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 # of TB patient interviewed Declared cured by a health profession al No money Feelin g better Unavailablit y of TB medicine Other s Tota l No transportatio n / nobody to collect medicine Afraid of side effectes Feeling no improveme nt 46 (2%) 53 (3%) 2,045 (100%)45 (2%) 1,222 (60%) 9 (0%)107 (5%)525 (26%) 38 (2%) Private clinicsPublic health centresPublic hospitals OthersPrivate hospitals Largest proportion of lapsers are from public hospitals While affordability leads to only 13% of treatment lapse, 58% of those patients are in the private sector Source: Indonesia National TB Prevalence Survey, 2013 Difference between treatment success rate reported in NPS vs from MoH might be driven by non- reported casesthat is not recordedby MoHbut identified in NPS, indicating that non-reported cases might have higher rate of uncompleted treatment. Could also be due to patient reporting error. ?
  • 7. However, NTP now envisions new form of "district-based PPM", being piloted in Jakarta and Medan Dinas Kesehatan Patient referral flow Reporting flow Source: NTP presentation during meeting w ith Global Fund, 20 July 2017. PPM priorities & programs Dinkes to be in charge for hospitals Private Public Hospital Secondarycare facility Puskesmas GP Clinic Pharmac y Lab Primary carefacility Puskesmas to oversee TB reporting and care at independent GPs and clinics
  • 8. Primary data collection: provider interviews Key questions • What are the typical pathways for patients presenting with TB symptoms? • What is the profile of private sectorproviders? How many TB cases do they see and how many do they notify? • What are the prevalent diagnosis and treatment practices in the private sector? How do they compare to NTP / WHO guidelines and other local regulations? • What is the overall treatment costfor TB? How are these costs handled, via JKN or out of pocket? • What role do differentagencies or organizations play in TB diagnosis,reporting & treatment in the private sector? • How can current patient pathways & experience be optimized to improve patient and public health outcomes? Sample breakdown 10 private sector health care providers • 6 physicians, with a mix betweengeneral practitioners and pulmonologists • 2 pharmacy managers • 1 laboratory manager 1
  • 9. Primary data collection: Focus on four districts North Sumatra Medan (largest city outside Java; rapidly developing with 27 private hospitals) Jakarta Focus on 2 districts: a) North Jakarta (industrial) b) East Jakarta (low income/ high population density) East Java Jember: Smaller city/urban setting, can extrapolate to West Java Backup
  • 10. Number of TB patients treated and success rate for four districts in this review 30 20 10 0 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 110 East Jakarta 77 Meda n 88 Jembe r 93 103 % TB treatment success rate in select districts1, 2014 North Jakarta 1. From people w ho started treatment and reported Source: Jakarta health profile report 2014; North Sumatera health profile report 2014; East Java health profile report 2014 Indonesia average = 84% Success rate ranging from 77% to 103% Number of BTA+ patient treated is highest in North Jakarta 1,996 2,518 3,128 6,535 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 No of BTA+ patient treated Jembe r East Jakarta Meda n North Jakarta Current state of TB in Indonesia > 100% because providers in North Jakarta may treat patient from other parts of Jakarta (e.g. South Jakarta (TSR=~34%) and East Jakarta (TSR=~77%)) but patients transferring in to North Jakarta are not reflected in the denominator of notified cases
  • 11. Sampling strategy for survey 2 Sample Universe Sample Universe Sample Universe Sample Universe Sample East Jakarta 50 568 30 41 20 981 30 62 30 North Jakarta 50 356 30 26 15 561 30 48 20 Medan 50 566 30 76 30 955 30 76 30 Jember 50 158 30 13 5 185 30 10 5 Pharmacies Laboratories GP Specialists Source: http://bppsdmk.kemkes.go.id/info_sdmk/info/; http://apif.binfar.depkes.go.id/index.php?req=view_services&p=pemetaanApotek; http://www.depkes.go.id/resources/download/pusdatin/profil-kesehatan-indonesia/profil-kesehatan-Indonesia-2015.pdf; Patients Total sample of 395 will be representative of provider universe, but not a fully random sample
  • 12. % of all provider changes Findings: Patients are moving away from Puskesmas and towards private hospitals Source: Patient interview s, n=204. 50 respondents per district except North Jakarta w ith 54 respondents. 2nd visit n=194. 3rd visit n=170. 4th visit n=130. 5th visit n=81. 6th visit n=53. Private Hospital Pharmacy/ other store Puskesmas Private GP/clinic Lab Public Hospital Two trends observed: Patients moving from public sector to private sector and from primary to secondary care 1-5% 5-10% >10% Other Secondary provider Primary provider 32% start here 79% end here 21% start here 6% end here 44% start here 12% end here 3% start here 3% end here Lab likely associated with or located in private hospital Patients seek care directly with a physician, or after first visiting a private pharmacy or lab
  • 13. >65% of patients use 1 of 5 common pathways 30 unique patient pathways reported, with remaining pathways each having <5% of patients Source: Patient interview s, n=204. 50 respondents per district except North Jakarta w ith 54 respondents. 2nd visit n=194. 3rd visit n=170. 4th visit n=130. 5th visit n=81. 6th visit n=53. 23% 22% 9% 8% Puskesmas Private GP/clinic Puskesmas Private Hospital Private Hospital % of patients taking pathway Other Secondary provider Primary provider Puskesmas Private Hospital Pharmacy / other store 5% Private Hospital Pharmacy / other store Assumes lab visits between two private hospital visits are to the lab within the hospital Interviews indicate that when patients start at Puskesmas and then move to private hospitals, diagnosis typically occurs at the hospital. TB suspects may have been asked to return to the Puskesmas for observation (and choose to go instead to a hospital), misdiagnosed, or the facility does not have the necessary test capabilities. ? Interviews indicate that when patients are referred from a private GP or clinic to a Puskesmas, diagnosis typically occurs at the Puskesmas. TB suspects are often referred because the Puskesmas can conduct diagnostic tests. ?
  • 14. Incentives are driving TB patients toward private secondary care Private Hospital Public Hospital Puskesmas Private GP/clinic Public Private PrimarySecondary Initially:44 % Ultimately: 12% Initially:3 % Ultimately: 3% Initially:32 % Ultimately: 79% Initially:21 % Ultimately: 6% 32% of patients 47%ofpatients Five key factors driving the shift from primary care to secondarycare and from public to private providers • Low patientawareness ofTB symptoms, delaying treatment and resulting in more severe cases of TB likely to result in hospital care • Patientpreferences (e.g.,convenience of "one-stop shop",shorterwait times, perceived service quality & cleanliness) • Patienteconomics(e.g., additional costs covered via BPJS at in-house hospital labs and pharmacies) • Provider economics(e.g., GPs afraid to lose capitation if referring to Puskesmas,but not secondarycare; later visits are higher-margin for hospitals) ? "My sister recommended a private facility that's easy to get appointments and takes BPJS so it’s free" – Patient, Jember "I refer to specialist when the symptoms is at later stage, e.g. coughing blood." – GP, North Jakarta Source: Patient interview s. N=204. Figures given as net % of total patients, accounting for patient flow in the other direction.
  • 15. Discussion • JKN Capitation ends up to referral • Referral to Primary care with advanced diagnostic capacity may loose JKN members • Referral to hospital for diagnostic without penalty/economic lost to Primary care • Hospitals benefit for not refer back (incentives for frequent OPD visits) Hospital based TB Care 25 Oktober2017 15
  • 16. Implication & Suggestion Hospital based TB care: - High cost for insurer (BPJS-K) - Low treatment adherence (<60% vs. 80% at primary care) - Additional cost for patients/families, but they get one stop services Need to change payment system: - Potential Efficiency for non-complicated case at hospital - Pilot result based incentive for primary care (Case Notification, Lab referral, treatment success) - Rooms for private sector (separate payment for lab, GenXpert etc.) 25 Oktober2017 16