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Demonetization – A Precursor to Cashless Society
Dr.G.Veerakumaran
Professor
Department of Co-operative Management,
College of Co-operation, Banking and Management,
Kerala Agricultural University,
KAU Post-680656, Thrissur, Kerala,
Email: g.veeran@kau.in
1/20/2017 1The Madura College-National Seminar
Content of Presentation
– Background and Justification for Demonetization
– Demonetized currencies
– Criticism on Demonetization
– Impact on Banking operations
– Impact on Society and Economy
– Cashless Society
– Different Platforms
– Impediments
– Conclusion
1/20/2017 2The Madura College-National Seminar
Background and Justification for Demonetization in India
• The incidence of fake Indian currency notes in higher
denomination has increased.
• For ordinary persons, the fake notes look similar to
genuine notes, even though no security feature has
been copied.
• The fake notes are used for antinational and illegal
activities.
1/20/2017 3The Madura College-National Seminar
Background and Justification for Demonetization in India
• High denomination notes have been misused by
terrorists and for hoarding black money.
• India remains a cash based economy hence the
circulation of Fake Indian Currency Notes continues
to be a menace.
• In order to contain the rising incidence of fake notes
and black money, the scheme to withdraw has been
introduced.
1/20/2017 4The Madura College-National Seminar
Demonetized currencies
• The legal tender character of the existing bank notes
in denominations of Rs. 500 and Rs. 1000 issued by
the Reserve bank of India till November 8, 2016
stands withdrawn.
– Rs.16,634 billion notes were in circulation
– Rs.14,179 billion were demonetized(86 %)
• In consequence thereof these Bank Notes cannot be
used for transacting business and/or store of value for
future usage.
1/20/2017 5The Madura College-National Seminar
The Specified Bank Notes (Cessation of Liabilities) Ordinance 2016
• President Pranab Mukherjee signed the Specified
Bank Notes (Cessation of Liabilities) Ordinance,
30th December, 2016 on Friday.
• After the period of exchange is over, the liabilities
of the Reserve Bank and the guarantee of the
central government towards the specified bank
notes will stand extinguished
1/20/2017 6The Madura College-National Seminar
Criticism on Demonetization
• In the absence of steps to curb the generation
of black money, demonetization is a futile
exercise
– Tax reforms to tax evasion
– Make it easy to do business-red tape, lethargy and
corruption and coercion
• 5-6% of black money is kept in hard cash
1/20/2017 7The Madura College-National Seminar
Criticism on Demonetization
• Fake currency is in circulation in the Indian
economy. This is only .028% of Rs 14,179
billion worth currency demonetized in Rs 500
and Rs 1000 notes
• Terrorists are not about to quit their evil acts
because of a currency change(Steve Forbes)
1/20/2017 8The Madura College-National Seminar
Criticism on Demonetization
• By stealing property,
• further impoverishing the least fortunate among
population and
• undermining social trust,
• thereby poisoning politics and
• hurting future investment,
• India has immorally and unnecessarily harmed its
people,
• while setting a dreadful example for the rest of
the world(Steve Forbes)
1/20/2017 9The Madura College-National Seminar
Impact on Banking operations
• Deposits close to 94% of total demonetized
currency
• CD ratio is decreasing 73% to 69%
• Jan Dhan accounts swell with large quantum of
deposits
• Banks have access to more deposits and large
proportion of low cost deposits
1/20/2017 10The Madura College-National Seminar
Impact on Banking operations
• Fall in the interest rate will be gradual
• Fall in profitability as well
• We cant afford a flight of foreign funds invested
in the financial markets
• If SME are brought under banking system- banks
can lend more that will yield more than from
corporate lending
1/20/2017 11The Madura College-National Seminar
Immediate Impact on Society and Economy
• Agricultural Sector
– input supply and
– Fall in price of agricultural produces
• Defunct of Cooperative Movement
• Increase in unemployment
• FMCG sales and trade drop
• Inflation fell
• Trade deficit widened
• Rupee Value has comedown
1/20/2017 12The Madura College-National Seminar
Cashless Society
• The ability to pay for something with a card or
a mobile phone or internet account
• digital payments can improve the State’s
ability to
– curb tax leakages,
– funding of criminal activities and
– reduce cash related costs.
Source: Committee on Digital Payments
1/20/2017 13The Madura College-National Seminar
Cashless Society
• Cashless vs. less cash society
• Present status of cashless transaction in India 2
%
1/20/2017 14The Madura College-National Seminar
Top ten Cashless Countries
Source: Business Today 30.11.2016
Country % of Cashless
Transactions
Singapore 61
Netherlands 60
France 59
Sweden 59
Canada 57
Belgium 56
UK 52
USA 45
Australia 35
Germany 33
1/20/2017 15The Madura College-National Seminar
Different Platforms
• Prominent Practices
– Demand Draft, Cheques,
– National Electronic Funds Transfer (NEFT) is one
of the most prominent electronic funds transfer
system of India, which facilitates one-to-one funds
transfer
1/20/2017 16The Madura College-National Seminar
Different Platforms
• Prominent Practices
– Real-time gross settlement systems (RTGS) are
specialist funds transfer systems where the transfer
of money or securities takes place from one bank
to another on a "real time" and on a "gross" basis
1/20/2017 17The Madura College-National Seminar
Different Platforms
• Immediate Payment Service (IMPS) is an instant
interbank electronic fund transfer service through
mobile phones.
• It is also being extended through other channels such
as ATM, Internet Banking, etc.
1/20/2017 18The Madura College-National Seminar
Different Platforms
AEPS is a bank led model which
allows online interoperable
financial inclusion transaction at
PoS (MicroATM) through the
Business correspondent of any
bank using the Aadhaar
authentication.
1/20/2017 19The Madura College-National Seminar
Different Platforms
Bharat Interface for Money is an app that lets you make
easy and quick payment transactions using UPI. Its easier
than Wallets! You will not have to fill-out those tedious
bank account details again and again.
1/20/2017 20The Madura College-National Seminar
Different Platforms
• Unified Payments Interface (UPI) is a system that
powers multiple bank accounts into a single mobile
application (of any participating bank), merging
several banking features, seamless fund routing &
merchant payments into one hood.
1/20/2017 21The Madura College-National Seminar
Government Intervention
• Committee of Officers constituted under the leadership
of CEO, NITI Aayog, are taking steps to identify
immediate steps to promote understanding and adoption
of available digital payment options.
• More recently, a Committee of Chief Ministers has been
constituted on 30 November 2016 under the
Chairmanship of Chief Minister of Andhra Pradesh to
accelerate digital payments.
1/20/2017 22The Madura College-National Seminar
Government Intervention
• Initiatives of National Payments Corporation
of India
• DIPAYAN (Digital Payment Action Network)
from savings generated from cash-less
transactions to expand digital payments
• Legal Reforms by the Government
1/20/2017 23The Madura College-National Seminar
impediments
• Large unbanked population- still around one
third of the adults
• Illiteracy and ignorance
• Income Level of People
• Age structure of People
• Use of internet by women and the suppressed
mass
1/20/2017 24The Madura College-National Seminar
impediments
• Limited spread of E-commerce
• Lack of appropriate Mobile Phones
• Lack of Internet Connectivity
• There is issue of electricity
1/20/2017 25The Madura College-National Seminar
impediments
• Communication lines are not robust
• Lack of Point of Sale Machines and ATMs
• Lack of merchant support
• Transaction Cost
1/20/2017 26The Madura College-National Seminar
impediments
• Cyber Security and Privacy
– Frauds that can happen on electronic and digital
platforms
– There is no hack-proof technology
• Wiki leaks
• US Democratic Presidential Campaign
• Yahoo
• breach of Debit cards in October
– Cyber attack
1/20/2017 27The Madura College-National Seminar
impediments
• ATMs and POS can be hacked with malware
• Increasing magnitude of Mobile wallets frauds
• Lack of clarity on grievances redressal and
reconciliation of customer complaints
A basic mistrust of humans and excessive faith in
machines(satish Despande)
1/20/2017 28The Madura College-National Seminar
Immediate Beneficiaries
• E-com
1/20/2017 29The Madura College-National Seminar
Conclusion
• India has a unique opportunity to leverage the Jan
Dhan, Aadhaar and Mobile (JAM) trinity to rapidly
enable ordinary Indians to participate in digital
payments.
• Cashless societies are generally corruption free.
1/20/2017 30The Madura College-National Seminar
Conclusion
• One can think of endless objections to
change, but most are quite superficial and
can easily dealt with, especially given a long
transition period.
• Kenneth S Rogoff, Author of ‘The curse of Cash’
• Let us try
1/20/2017 31The Madura College-National Seminar
இடும்பைக்கு இடும்பை ைடுப்ைர் இடும்பைக்கு
இடும்பை ைடாஅ தவர்.
• Who griefs confront with meek,
ungrieving heart, From them
griefs, put to grief, depart.
• They give sorrow to sorrow, who
in sorrow do not suffer sorrow.
1/20/2017 32The Madura College-National Seminar

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Demonetization – A Precursor to Cashless Society

  • 1. Demonetization – A Precursor to Cashless Society Dr.G.Veerakumaran Professor Department of Co-operative Management, College of Co-operation, Banking and Management, Kerala Agricultural University, KAU Post-680656, Thrissur, Kerala, Email: g.veeran@kau.in 1/20/2017 1The Madura College-National Seminar
  • 2. Content of Presentation – Background and Justification for Demonetization – Demonetized currencies – Criticism on Demonetization – Impact on Banking operations – Impact on Society and Economy – Cashless Society – Different Platforms – Impediments – Conclusion 1/20/2017 2The Madura College-National Seminar
  • 3. Background and Justification for Demonetization in India • The incidence of fake Indian currency notes in higher denomination has increased. • For ordinary persons, the fake notes look similar to genuine notes, even though no security feature has been copied. • The fake notes are used for antinational and illegal activities. 1/20/2017 3The Madura College-National Seminar
  • 4. Background and Justification for Demonetization in India • High denomination notes have been misused by terrorists and for hoarding black money. • India remains a cash based economy hence the circulation of Fake Indian Currency Notes continues to be a menace. • In order to contain the rising incidence of fake notes and black money, the scheme to withdraw has been introduced. 1/20/2017 4The Madura College-National Seminar
  • 5. Demonetized currencies • The legal tender character of the existing bank notes in denominations of Rs. 500 and Rs. 1000 issued by the Reserve bank of India till November 8, 2016 stands withdrawn. – Rs.16,634 billion notes were in circulation – Rs.14,179 billion were demonetized(86 %) • In consequence thereof these Bank Notes cannot be used for transacting business and/or store of value for future usage. 1/20/2017 5The Madura College-National Seminar
  • 6. The Specified Bank Notes (Cessation of Liabilities) Ordinance 2016 • President Pranab Mukherjee signed the Specified Bank Notes (Cessation of Liabilities) Ordinance, 30th December, 2016 on Friday. • After the period of exchange is over, the liabilities of the Reserve Bank and the guarantee of the central government towards the specified bank notes will stand extinguished 1/20/2017 6The Madura College-National Seminar
  • 7. Criticism on Demonetization • In the absence of steps to curb the generation of black money, demonetization is a futile exercise – Tax reforms to tax evasion – Make it easy to do business-red tape, lethargy and corruption and coercion • 5-6% of black money is kept in hard cash 1/20/2017 7The Madura College-National Seminar
  • 8. Criticism on Demonetization • Fake currency is in circulation in the Indian economy. This is only .028% of Rs 14,179 billion worth currency demonetized in Rs 500 and Rs 1000 notes • Terrorists are not about to quit their evil acts because of a currency change(Steve Forbes) 1/20/2017 8The Madura College-National Seminar
  • 9. Criticism on Demonetization • By stealing property, • further impoverishing the least fortunate among population and • undermining social trust, • thereby poisoning politics and • hurting future investment, • India has immorally and unnecessarily harmed its people, • while setting a dreadful example for the rest of the world(Steve Forbes) 1/20/2017 9The Madura College-National Seminar
  • 10. Impact on Banking operations • Deposits close to 94% of total demonetized currency • CD ratio is decreasing 73% to 69% • Jan Dhan accounts swell with large quantum of deposits • Banks have access to more deposits and large proportion of low cost deposits 1/20/2017 10The Madura College-National Seminar
  • 11. Impact on Banking operations • Fall in the interest rate will be gradual • Fall in profitability as well • We cant afford a flight of foreign funds invested in the financial markets • If SME are brought under banking system- banks can lend more that will yield more than from corporate lending 1/20/2017 11The Madura College-National Seminar
  • 12. Immediate Impact on Society and Economy • Agricultural Sector – input supply and – Fall in price of agricultural produces • Defunct of Cooperative Movement • Increase in unemployment • FMCG sales and trade drop • Inflation fell • Trade deficit widened • Rupee Value has comedown 1/20/2017 12The Madura College-National Seminar
  • 13. Cashless Society • The ability to pay for something with a card or a mobile phone or internet account • digital payments can improve the State’s ability to – curb tax leakages, – funding of criminal activities and – reduce cash related costs. Source: Committee on Digital Payments 1/20/2017 13The Madura College-National Seminar
  • 14. Cashless Society • Cashless vs. less cash society • Present status of cashless transaction in India 2 % 1/20/2017 14The Madura College-National Seminar
  • 15. Top ten Cashless Countries Source: Business Today 30.11.2016 Country % of Cashless Transactions Singapore 61 Netherlands 60 France 59 Sweden 59 Canada 57 Belgium 56 UK 52 USA 45 Australia 35 Germany 33 1/20/2017 15The Madura College-National Seminar
  • 16. Different Platforms • Prominent Practices – Demand Draft, Cheques, – National Electronic Funds Transfer (NEFT) is one of the most prominent electronic funds transfer system of India, which facilitates one-to-one funds transfer 1/20/2017 16The Madura College-National Seminar
  • 17. Different Platforms • Prominent Practices – Real-time gross settlement systems (RTGS) are specialist funds transfer systems where the transfer of money or securities takes place from one bank to another on a "real time" and on a "gross" basis 1/20/2017 17The Madura College-National Seminar
  • 18. Different Platforms • Immediate Payment Service (IMPS) is an instant interbank electronic fund transfer service through mobile phones. • It is also being extended through other channels such as ATM, Internet Banking, etc. 1/20/2017 18The Madura College-National Seminar
  • 19. Different Platforms AEPS is a bank led model which allows online interoperable financial inclusion transaction at PoS (MicroATM) through the Business correspondent of any bank using the Aadhaar authentication. 1/20/2017 19The Madura College-National Seminar
  • 20. Different Platforms Bharat Interface for Money is an app that lets you make easy and quick payment transactions using UPI. Its easier than Wallets! You will not have to fill-out those tedious bank account details again and again. 1/20/2017 20The Madura College-National Seminar
  • 21. Different Platforms • Unified Payments Interface (UPI) is a system that powers multiple bank accounts into a single mobile application (of any participating bank), merging several banking features, seamless fund routing & merchant payments into one hood. 1/20/2017 21The Madura College-National Seminar
  • 22. Government Intervention • Committee of Officers constituted under the leadership of CEO, NITI Aayog, are taking steps to identify immediate steps to promote understanding and adoption of available digital payment options. • More recently, a Committee of Chief Ministers has been constituted on 30 November 2016 under the Chairmanship of Chief Minister of Andhra Pradesh to accelerate digital payments. 1/20/2017 22The Madura College-National Seminar
  • 23. Government Intervention • Initiatives of National Payments Corporation of India • DIPAYAN (Digital Payment Action Network) from savings generated from cash-less transactions to expand digital payments • Legal Reforms by the Government 1/20/2017 23The Madura College-National Seminar
  • 24. impediments • Large unbanked population- still around one third of the adults • Illiteracy and ignorance • Income Level of People • Age structure of People • Use of internet by women and the suppressed mass 1/20/2017 24The Madura College-National Seminar
  • 25. impediments • Limited spread of E-commerce • Lack of appropriate Mobile Phones • Lack of Internet Connectivity • There is issue of electricity 1/20/2017 25The Madura College-National Seminar
  • 26. impediments • Communication lines are not robust • Lack of Point of Sale Machines and ATMs • Lack of merchant support • Transaction Cost 1/20/2017 26The Madura College-National Seminar
  • 27. impediments • Cyber Security and Privacy – Frauds that can happen on electronic and digital platforms – There is no hack-proof technology • Wiki leaks • US Democratic Presidential Campaign • Yahoo • breach of Debit cards in October – Cyber attack 1/20/2017 27The Madura College-National Seminar
  • 28. impediments • ATMs and POS can be hacked with malware • Increasing magnitude of Mobile wallets frauds • Lack of clarity on grievances redressal and reconciliation of customer complaints A basic mistrust of humans and excessive faith in machines(satish Despande) 1/20/2017 28The Madura College-National Seminar
  • 29. Immediate Beneficiaries • E-com 1/20/2017 29The Madura College-National Seminar
  • 30. Conclusion • India has a unique opportunity to leverage the Jan Dhan, Aadhaar and Mobile (JAM) trinity to rapidly enable ordinary Indians to participate in digital payments. • Cashless societies are generally corruption free. 1/20/2017 30The Madura College-National Seminar
  • 31. Conclusion • One can think of endless objections to change, but most are quite superficial and can easily dealt with, especially given a long transition period. • Kenneth S Rogoff, Author of ‘The curse of Cash’ • Let us try 1/20/2017 31The Madura College-National Seminar
  • 32. இடும்பைக்கு இடும்பை ைடுப்ைர் இடும்பைக்கு இடும்பை ைடாஅ தவர். • Who griefs confront with meek, ungrieving heart, From them griefs, put to grief, depart. • They give sorrow to sorrow, who in sorrow do not suffer sorrow. 1/20/2017 32The Madura College-National Seminar