WELCOME
ً ‫مرحبا‬
DECISION
SUPPORT
SYSTEMS (DSS)
Khaled A. Anter
Ground rules
 Start at 9:00 am, End at 2:00pm
 15 min. Breaks at 10:30am, 12:00pm
 Phones silent please
 No politics, No religions, No sports
 Share your experience
 Relax & have fun
WHO ARE YOU?
WHY ARE YOU
HERE?
Training Objectives
 Understanding the complexity of the decision
making process on the organizational state
 Exploring the history & development of DSS’s
 Types & classifications of DSS’s
 Components of a DSS
 Capabilities & benefits of a DSS
 Case studies
Understanding the complexity of the
decision
 What is a decision?
 What is it’s importance in management & to
business?
 How do you usually take your
personal/professional decisions?
Classical methods of decision
making
 Pros and cons (Rational decision making)
Plato and Benjamin Franklin.
 Simple prioritization.
 Elimination by Aspects “ Amos Tversky in
1972”.
 Consent to a person in authority or an "expert“.
 Flipism.
 Prayer, tarot cards, astrology, augurs, revelatio
n, or other forms of divination.
Classical methods of decision
making
 Taking the most opposite action compared to
the advice of mistrusted authorities.
 Opportunity cost.
 Bureaucratic (set up criteria for automated
decisions)
 Political (negotiate choices among interest
groups)
 Use of a structured decision making method.
Quick overview
History of DSS
History of DSS
 Carnegie Institute of Technology during the late
1950s and early 1960s.
 late 1980s, executive information
systems (EIS), group decision support
systems (GDSS), and organizational decision
support systems (ODSS) evolved from the single
user and model-oriented DSS.
 In 1987, Texas Instruments completed
development of the Gate Assignment Display
System (GADS).
 Beginning in about 1990, data
warehousing and on-line analytical
Taxonomies
 By relationship:
 Passive, active, and cooperative DSS.
 By mode of assistance:
 Communication-driven DSS, data-driven
DSS, document-driven DSS, knowledge-driven
DSS, and model-driven DSS.
 By scope:
 Enterprise-wide DSS and desktop DSS.
Components of a DSS
1. The database (or knowledge base),
2. The model (i.e., the decision context and user
criteria),
3. The user interface.
Development Frameworks
 DSS technology levels (of hardware and
software) may include:
 The actual application that will be used by the
user.
 Generator contains Hardware/software
environment that allows people to easily develop
specific DSS applications.
 Tools include lower level hardware/software.
Classification of DSS applications
(cont.)
 By frameworks:
 Text-oriented DSS
 Database-oriented DSS
 Spreadsheet-oriented DSS
 Solver-oriented DSS
 Rule-oriented DSS
 Compound DSS (most popular).
Classification of DSS applications
(cont.)
 By support given by DSS:
 Personal Support
 Group Support
 Organizational Support
Classification of DSS
applications
 DSS components may be classified as:
 Inputs: Factors, numbers, and characteristics to
analyze
 User Knowledge and Expertise: Inputs
requiring manual analysis by the user
 Outputs: Transformed data from which DSS
"decisions" are generated
 Decisions: Results generated by the DSS based
on user criteria
DSSs which perform
selected cognitive decision-making
functions and are based on artificial
intelligence or intelligent agents
technologies are called Intelligent Decision
Support Systems (IDSS)
IDSS
Benefits of DSS (cont.)
 Improves personal efficiency
 Speed up the process of decision making
 Increases organizational control
 Encourages exploration and discovery on the
part of the decision maker
 Speeds up problem solving in an organization
 Facilitates interpersonal communication
Benefits of DSS
 Promotes learning or training
 Generates new evidence in support of a
decision
 Creates a competitive advantage over
competition
 Reveals new approaches to thinking about the
problem space
 Helps automate managerial processes
 Create Innovative ideas to speed up the
performance
DSS Characteristics and
capabilities (cont.)
 Solve semi-structured & Unstructured
problems
 Support To Managers At All Levels
 Support Individual and groups
 Inter-dependence and Sequence Decision.
 Support Intelligence, Designee, Choice.
 Adaptable & Flexible
 Interactive and ease of use
DSS Characteristics and
capabilities
 Interactive and efficiency
 Human control the process
 Ease of development by end user
 Modeling and Analysis
 Data Access
 Stand alone Integration & Web Based
 Support Varieties Of Decision Process
EE-DSS Kansas Use Case EPA
Active Traffic Management DSS
Safe & Sound NHS DSS
Case studies
EE-DSS Kansas Use Case EPA
Case I
EE-DSS Kansas Use Case EPA
 A tool for detecting and documenting
exceptional air quality events that cause the
violation of the National Ambient Air Quality
Standard.
 This DSS gathers data from: NASA satellite
sensors, Navy Aerosol Analysis and
Prediction System, NAAPS.
EE-DSS Kansas Use Case EPA
 After the evidence has been gathered, the states
can flag an event to be reviewed,
 Analysts at the state level can examine events,
trends, and concentrations and sends the data
with justification to the regional EPA,
 Upon approval at the regional level, is then sent to
the federal EPA who can decide whether the
event can be classified as exceptional,
 The DSS is a tool that supports every level of the
process, from identifying candidate events to the
eventual determination of the exceptionality of the
event.
Safe & Sound NHS DSS
Case II
Safe & Sound NHS DSS
 A web based communication DSS for pooling
medical cases information & aiding the
decision making process for doctors &
patients.
 It’s user friendly interface: PDA “aka Paddie”
(personal digital assistant)
Active Traffic Management DSS
Case III
Active Traffic Management DSS
 A system that gathers data from traffic, satellite
monitors to prepare optimal traffic schemes on
German autobahns by PTV,
 User interface in road sign displays.
Last words
ANY
QUESTION?
Thank you

Decision Support Systems

  • 1.
  • 2.
  • 3.
    Ground rules  Startat 9:00 am, End at 2:00pm  15 min. Breaks at 10:30am, 12:00pm  Phones silent please  No politics, No religions, No sports  Share your experience  Relax & have fun
  • 4.
    WHO ARE YOU? WHYARE YOU HERE?
  • 5.
    Training Objectives  Understandingthe complexity of the decision making process on the organizational state  Exploring the history & development of DSS’s  Types & classifications of DSS’s  Components of a DSS  Capabilities & benefits of a DSS  Case studies
  • 7.
    Understanding the complexityof the decision  What is a decision?  What is it’s importance in management & to business?  How do you usually take your personal/professional decisions?
  • 8.
    Classical methods ofdecision making  Pros and cons (Rational decision making) Plato and Benjamin Franklin.  Simple prioritization.  Elimination by Aspects “ Amos Tversky in 1972”.  Consent to a person in authority or an "expert“.  Flipism.  Prayer, tarot cards, astrology, augurs, revelatio n, or other forms of divination.
  • 9.
    Classical methods ofdecision making  Taking the most opposite action compared to the advice of mistrusted authorities.  Opportunity cost.  Bureaucratic (set up criteria for automated decisions)  Political (negotiate choices among interest groups)  Use of a structured decision making method.
  • 13.
  • 14.
    History of DSS Carnegie Institute of Technology during the late 1950s and early 1960s.  late 1980s, executive information systems (EIS), group decision support systems (GDSS), and organizational decision support systems (ODSS) evolved from the single user and model-oriented DSS.  In 1987, Texas Instruments completed development of the Gate Assignment Display System (GADS).  Beginning in about 1990, data warehousing and on-line analytical
  • 15.
    Taxonomies  By relationship: Passive, active, and cooperative DSS.  By mode of assistance:  Communication-driven DSS, data-driven DSS, document-driven DSS, knowledge-driven DSS, and model-driven DSS.  By scope:  Enterprise-wide DSS and desktop DSS.
  • 16.
    Components of aDSS 1. The database (or knowledge base), 2. The model (i.e., the decision context and user criteria), 3. The user interface.
  • 17.
    Development Frameworks  DSStechnology levels (of hardware and software) may include:  The actual application that will be used by the user.  Generator contains Hardware/software environment that allows people to easily develop specific DSS applications.  Tools include lower level hardware/software.
  • 18.
    Classification of DSSapplications (cont.)  By frameworks:  Text-oriented DSS  Database-oriented DSS  Spreadsheet-oriented DSS  Solver-oriented DSS  Rule-oriented DSS  Compound DSS (most popular).
  • 19.
    Classification of DSSapplications (cont.)  By support given by DSS:  Personal Support  Group Support  Organizational Support
  • 20.
    Classification of DSS applications DSS components may be classified as:  Inputs: Factors, numbers, and characteristics to analyze  User Knowledge and Expertise: Inputs requiring manual analysis by the user  Outputs: Transformed data from which DSS "decisions" are generated  Decisions: Results generated by the DSS based on user criteria
  • 21.
    DSSs which perform selectedcognitive decision-making functions and are based on artificial intelligence or intelligent agents technologies are called Intelligent Decision Support Systems (IDSS) IDSS
  • 22.
    Benefits of DSS(cont.)  Improves personal efficiency  Speed up the process of decision making  Increases organizational control  Encourages exploration and discovery on the part of the decision maker  Speeds up problem solving in an organization  Facilitates interpersonal communication
  • 23.
    Benefits of DSS Promotes learning or training  Generates new evidence in support of a decision  Creates a competitive advantage over competition  Reveals new approaches to thinking about the problem space  Helps automate managerial processes  Create Innovative ideas to speed up the performance
  • 24.
    DSS Characteristics and capabilities(cont.)  Solve semi-structured & Unstructured problems  Support To Managers At All Levels  Support Individual and groups  Inter-dependence and Sequence Decision.  Support Intelligence, Designee, Choice.  Adaptable & Flexible  Interactive and ease of use
  • 25.
    DSS Characteristics and capabilities Interactive and efficiency  Human control the process  Ease of development by end user  Modeling and Analysis  Data Access  Stand alone Integration & Web Based  Support Varieties Of Decision Process
  • 26.
    EE-DSS Kansas UseCase EPA Active Traffic Management DSS Safe & Sound NHS DSS Case studies
  • 27.
    EE-DSS Kansas UseCase EPA Case I
  • 28.
    EE-DSS Kansas UseCase EPA  A tool for detecting and documenting exceptional air quality events that cause the violation of the National Ambient Air Quality Standard.  This DSS gathers data from: NASA satellite sensors, Navy Aerosol Analysis and Prediction System, NAAPS.
  • 29.
    EE-DSS Kansas UseCase EPA  After the evidence has been gathered, the states can flag an event to be reviewed,  Analysts at the state level can examine events, trends, and concentrations and sends the data with justification to the regional EPA,  Upon approval at the regional level, is then sent to the federal EPA who can decide whether the event can be classified as exceptional,  The DSS is a tool that supports every level of the process, from identifying candidate events to the eventual determination of the exceptionality of the event.
  • 30.
    Safe & SoundNHS DSS Case II
  • 31.
    Safe & SoundNHS DSS  A web based communication DSS for pooling medical cases information & aiding the decision making process for doctors & patients.  It’s user friendly interface: PDA “aka Paddie” (personal digital assistant)
  • 32.
  • 33.
    Active Traffic ManagementDSS  A system that gathers data from traffic, satellite monitors to prepare optimal traffic schemes on German autobahns by PTV,  User interface in road sign displays.
  • 34.
  • 35.