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Mapping the developer and CfD
lifecycles
Breakout session:
Biomass conversions
21 May 2013
DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
Agenda for the breakout session
2
DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
Time Topic
Indicative time
available
10:55am Introduction 10 minutes
Developer lifecycle by
technology
30 minutes
Pre-development 15 minutes
Development 15 minutes
Financing 15 minutes
Construction and
Commissioning
15 minutes
12:40pm Collate feedback 15 minutes
Agenda
3
1. Introduction and session organisation
2. Development lifecycle by technology
3. Pre-development
4. Development
5. Financing
6. Construction and Commissioning
7. Collate feedback
DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
Introduction
4
• Recap objectives for this session:
1. To understand the developer lifecycle for different low carbon technologies,
2. To explain the current CfD policy position across the developer lifecycle, as
well as present some additional options for discussion,
3. To take on board views on the degree to which the CfD policy logically
maps with the developer lifecycle for different low carbon technologies
• At the end of the session we will collate views and then feedback to
the wider group
DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
Key CfD issues to be covered across the
developer lifecycle
5
Pre-
development
Development Financing
Construction
and
commissioning
• CfD strike price
visibility
• CfD allocation
budget
• Statement of how
much allocation
budget remains
• Conditions
Precedent for CfD
payment start
• TCW and LSD
• Force majeure and
other exceptions
• Substantial financial
commitment (SFC)
• Contractual
obligations, and
consequences
• CfD eligibility
process
• Allocation
mechanisms
• Constrained
allocation process
DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
Agenda
6
1. Introduction and session organisation
2. Development lifecycle by technology
3. Pre-development
4. Development
5. Financing
6. Construction and Commissioning
7. Collate feedback
DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
Comparing DECC and Roadmap lifecycle assumptions:
Biomass conversions
DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
2 years 1 year
Pre-development ConstructionSource: DECC (2012)
Applicable for biomass
conversions
Source: Renewable Roadmap
Applicable for new-build,
dedicated biomass
Assumed incremental spend 16.0% 16.0% 68.0%
Assumed cumulative spend 16.0% 32.0% 100.0%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
Assumed incremental spend
Assumed cumulative spend
Spend profile:
Biomass conversions
8
DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
Note: Grid and other
infrastructure costs
assumed to be part of
pre-development
Pre-development Construction
Overall, does our
assumed spend profile
look accurate for your
technology? If not, why
not?
Agenda
9
1. Introduction and session organisation
2. Development lifecycle by technology
3. Pre-development
4. Development
5. Financing
6. Construction and Commissioning
7. Collate feedback
DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
CfD strike price visibility
10
CfD strike price visibility
• NG will provide analysis to inform the Government’s CfD strike price decisions in the Delivery Plan
• At the time of CfD allocation, strike prices are locked in for the year of commissioning
• Strike price setting for the second Delivery Plan may involve some competitive elements
DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
CfD budget allocation
11
CfD budget availability by technology
• The LCF will increase to £7.6b in 2020 (real 2012 terms)
• This covers the costs of the CfD as well as existing policies (including the RO, small-scale FiT and the
Warm Home Discount)
• Ahead of allocation commencing, developers can expect to know the annual CfD budget as well as any
constraints applying to their technology
• Set by DECC, managed by NG
• Single budget ‘pot’ for all renewable
technologies
• Potential minimum/maximum
constraints for individual
technologies (e.g. maximum for
technologies deemed capable of
ramping up deployment
quickly, such as solar and biomass
conversions)
• Strike prices remain the main driver
of investment by technology
CfD allocation
budget for
renewables
(non-FID)
DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
CfD allocation budget by technology
Wider LCF
(managed by
DECC)
Forecasting budget headroom
12
CfD budget headroom forecast
• The CfD allocation budget constraint will apply on an annual basis, subject to the total period budget
• The SO will be responsible for publishing CfD budget updates throughout the year:
 Taking into account the changing value of existing contracts
 Could be real-time available data if CfDs are allocated on a First Come First served (FCFS) basis
• Any underspends in a given year will be available in the following year’s CfD budget
2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2020/212019/20
CfD Budget by
year between
2014/15 and
2020/21
CfD budget will be allocated
on a forward-looking basis for
the anticipated
commissioning year
DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
Questions for consideration
13
• How often should NG provide information on CfD budget availability?
 How should the information be provided and how often should the assumptions be
consulted on?
 How should progress against any technology-specific CfD budget constraints be
communicated?
• Is there sufficient visibility of CfD strike prices?
 When do developers need to know DECC’s decision on whether administrative pricing will
continue beyond 2020?
DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
Agenda
14
1. Introduction and session organisation
2. Development lifecycle by technology
3. Pre-development
4. Development
5. Financing
6. Construction and Commissioning
7. Collate feedback
DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
Applying for a CfD
15
Eligibility criteria Requirement
Eligible technology? Detail of the type of generation intended to be built (with appropriate
confirmation that it will be a form of generation eligible for the CfD).
Eligible company? Company registration and VAT number.
Planning permission? Copy of the planning permission decision note, as given by a competent authority
(SoS or Council Planning). Can be subject to conditions.
Grid connection? Copy of a grid connection acceptance letter which has been signed by both
National Grid (or DNO if applicable) and the developer.
Target commissioning date? Grid connection acceptance letter must include a connection date no later than
Target Commissioning Date (TCD)
Intended generation capacity? Details on the intended MW size of the of the project
CfD application process
• Developers will be assessed by the SO against eligibility criteria at the time of applying for a CfD
• Two key requirements: signed grid connection offer, and planning permission
• Although there may be additional requirements for certain technologies such as biomass conversion
• Period between CfD allocation and Target Commissioning Date (TCD) will be left to developers, but is
constrained by visibility of strike prices or competitive process
DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
CfD allocation mechanisms
16
CfD allocation
• We have committed to a period of First-Come-First Served (FCFS), to avoid unnecessary costs
and constraints on development timings
• Once a pre-defined threshold is passed, allocation rounds will commence and then remain in
place (on either an unconstrained or constrained basis)
First-Come-First-Served
Applications submitted when
developer chooses, and considered
in order of receipt
Unconstrained Allocation Rounds
Application window, within which
all applications are assessed
equally, but no expectation of
rationing
Constrained Allocation Rounds
Application window, within which
all applications are assessed
equally, but with an expectation of
rationing
DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
Application of triggers
17
Application of triggers to move from FCFS to allocation rounds
What level should the trigger be set at?
 Our current working assumption is that the trigger will be set at a conservative level
 This would imply circa 40% - 60% allocated through FCFS
 An additional trigger may apply for the move to constrained allocation rounds (see next slide)
How should progress towards the trigger be calculated?
 Our current working assumption is that the trigger would be met when actual applications
show a specified percentage of the CfD Budget has been allocated
Can allocation return to FCFS once a trigger has been activated (e.g. if electricity prices increase)?
 No, moving through the various allocation mechanisms will be a ‘one-way street’
DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
Constrained allocation
18
Constrained allocation windows
• Once a significant portion of the CfD allocation budget has been committed and DECC is a long way
towards achieving its targets, more projects may come forward in a particular round than can be
supported
• In such situations CfDs may need to be rationed through constrained allocation windows
• The rules for rationing must be defined upfront to enable visibility for developers
• Developers will need to submit additional information ahead of a constrained allocation window
• Two rationing options are currently being considered: price-based and discount-based
Rationing option Description Advantages Disadvantages
Price-based Stack projects by the price they
would be willing to accept
Least cost overall
deployment
Reduced diversity
of generation
Discount-based Stack projects by the % discount
on the relevant strike price that
they would be prepared to offer
Allows for least cost
projects by
technology,
enabling diversity
May result in
greater cost of
deployment
overall
DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
Questions for consideration
19
• What criteria should apply for biomass conversions which demonstrates genuine
commitment to deliver the project?
• Is a separate ‘planning permission’ required for biomass conversions?
 Does this include environmental consents?
 What flexibility could be applied in cases where permission is classed as ‘pre-approval’?
• How often should allocation windows take place? Is twice annually often enough?
• In the context of allocation under constraint, would you prefer projects to offer the
price they would be prepared to accept via sealed bid process or via a descending
clock auction process?
DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
Agenda
20
1. Introduction and session organisation
2. Development lifecycle by technology
3. Pre-development
4. Development
5. Financing
6. Construction and Commissioning
7. Collate feedback
DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
Substantial Financial
Commitment [1]
21
Reaching the SFC milestone
• Within 1 year of signing the CfD, the developer must demonstrate to the Counterparty Body
(CpB) that it has made a Substantial Financial Commitment (SFC)
• Failure to meet the SFC within the prescribed timeframe after CfD allocation will constitute an
early termination event in favour of the CpB
 No termination payment shall be due by either party
 The generator can reapply for a later CfD
• The evidence required to demonstrate SFC may differ according to the financing structure of the
project in question, for example:
Project
Finance
• ‘Financial Close’
• Evidence required: Firm contractual commitment to undertake
expenditure (i.e. with equivalent milestone or termination
payments if the commitment is breached)
Balance
Sheet
• Actual or approved Board expenditure
• Evidence required: Invoices or Directors’ certificate for
expenditure
DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
Substantial Financial
Commitment [2]
22
Minimum spend threshold
• SFC will be defined according to a minimum spend threshold, which is yet to be
determined
• The SFC milestone is intended to represent ‘the point of no return’ for a project
 After this point, either construction proceeds or the developer will have incurred significant
unrecouped costs
• We recognise that the minimum spend threshold may differ by technology, for
example depending on:
 Capex profile pre-commissioning
 Extent of development costs as a proportion of total spend
DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
Questions for consideration
• What does Substantial Financial Commitment (SFC) mean for different investors?
 Project finance?
 Balance sheet financed?
• What do you regard as the best means of providing evidence of SFC?
• What minimum spend threshold is appropriate by technology?
 How can we relate this to the spend profiles by technology?
• How should phased projects be treated?
 For example, if separate CfDs are allocated to individual phases, but financing of the
whole project is completed upfront
23
DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
Agenda
24
1. Introduction and session organisation
2. Development lifecycle by technology
3. Pre-development
4. Development
5. Financing
6. Construction and Commissioning
7. Collate feedback
DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
Payment start date
25
Conditions Precedent
• Eligibility for CfD payment can commence once the Conditions Precedent are satisfied
• Actual payments then commence on the basis of eligible metered output (MWh)
Condition Requirement
Passed eligibility test? Evidence of compliance with the published eligibility criteria at the time of CfD
allocation
Planning permission
remains valid?
Copy of the detailed planning permission and confirmation that it has not lapsed,
expired or been terminated, revoked or withdrawn and any conditions have been so
satisfied
Authorisations obtained? Copies of all required licenses, accreditations, permits, consents etc required to
operate the facility
Grid Code compliant? Confirmation from SO that Grid Code Compliance process has been satisfied (or from
DNO – Distribution Code) – includes commissioning acceptance tests
Settlement ready? Confirmation from the Settlement Agent that it has received information it requires to
undertake settlement (includes metering) – includes collateral
Installed generation
capacity?
Confirmation from generator that installed capacity is not less than a pre-specified
[85%] of the adjusted contracted quantity
DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
Building to schedule [1]
26
Target Commissioning Window (TCW) and Long-Stop Date (LSD)
• Generator will receive full duration of CfD support if the Conditions Precedent are met within the TCW
• Clock starts ticking once outside the TCW
• CfD is terminated if the Conditions Precedent are not met by the Long-Stop Date
CfD
grant
Evidence of Substantive
Financial Commitment:
Obligation to demonstrate
financial commitment by reaching
financial investment decision, or
reaching a minimum spend
Target Commissioning
Window:
Window within which the developer
must commission the generator to
secure full support of the CfD.
Long-Stop
Date
Target Commissioning
Date
The CfD is terminated
if construction
surpasses a specified
long-stop date
15 year right to payment
automatically begins at
end of TCW
DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
Building to schedule [2]
27
Indicative TCW and LSD, by technology
• We would like to explore some indicative timeframes by technology:
Technology TCD TCW
LSD
(following end
of TCW)
Biomass conversion
Specified by
developer
1-2 years 6-18 months
Onshore wind 6-12 months 6-18 months
Offshore wind 1-3 years 1-3 years
Solar PV 6-12 months 6-18 months
DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
Capacity delivered
28
• As explained, we are currently exploring the potential to allow a limited
degree of flexibility on the contract quantity
• We would like to test this thinking for different technologies
DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
CfD
grant
Evidence
of SFC TCW
CfD may be terminated if capacity
delivered is below a pre-defined
threshold (e.g. 85%).
Potential strike price reduction for
under-delivery (e.g. between 95 and
85% of adjusted capacity), s.t. FM
Initial
Application:
100%
Obligation to deliver:
100-95% (of adjusted
capacity)
Can
Adjust:
100-95%
Delivered
capacity
(before strike
price reductions)
Force majeure and other
exceptions
29
Exceptional circumstances affecting build timeframes
• The Long Stop Date may only be extended in limited circumstances:
1) The generator is affected by a Force Majeure event, or
2) Grid connection works are not delivered on time (except if due to the fault or negligence of
the generator)
• Force Majeure: “any event or circumstance that is beyond the reasonable control of
the generator which could not reasonably have been avoided or overcome and which
is not due to the fault or negligence of the generator or its contractors, sub-
contractors or agents.”
• Is bad weather covered?
 Current thinking is that extreme one-off weather events would be covered (e.g. a
hurricane), but a rainy summer would not be covered (i.e. this would be picked up by the
TCW)
DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
Questions for consideration
30
• Do the suggested TCWs and LSDs look acceptable for each technology?
• Do you agree with our proposed approach to enabling flexibility in the delivered capacity at the
time of SFC as well as commissioning?
• What feasible scenarios could be envisaged in which delivered capacity is less than contracted?
• Force majeure and other exceptions:
 How should weather-related risks to commissioning be captured?
 Are there any other events that should be considered as exceptional warranting an extension to the
LSD?
• As a whole, does the suggested approach mitigate developer / investor risk?
• If there are other risks you feel should be covered in this approach, please explain why would
Government or the consumer be best placed to bear or manage them?
DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
Agenda
31
1. Introduction and session organisation
2. Development lifecycle by technology
3. Pre-development
4. Development
5. Financing
6. Construction and Commissioning
7. Collate feedback
DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
Thank you
DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
Timing assumptions
33
DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
Technology Pre-development
Period (years)
Construction
Period (years)
Biomass Conversion 2 1
Offshore wind (~1000 MW) 5-6 3
Onshore wind and solar (10-15 MW) 4 2
Onshore >5 MW 4 2
Marine (~20 MW)* 5-6 3
Pre-development and construction timings per technology
(Annex 1, DECC , Electricity Generation Cost, Oct 2012)
*In the absence of specific information, we have assumed that marine and tidal will have similar timelines to offshore wind
Capital cost breakdown across Pre-development
and Construction phases
34
Capital cost item Onshore
wind >5MW
Offshore
wind
Dedicated
Biomass
Biomass
Conversion
Marine*
Pre-development 3% 2% 1% 3% 2%
Construction 87% 91% 95% 68% 91%
Grid costs 5% 2% 2% 0% 2%
Other infrastructure 5% 5% 2% 29% 5%
Source: DECC/ARUP, Review of the generation costs and deployment potential of renewable electricity technologies in the UK, Oct 2011)
DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
• Pre-development costs include: public enquiries, licensing, radar mitigation, design
consultancy and habitat enforcement measures
• We have assumed that ‘Grid Costs’ includes the cost of use commitment payments –
securities and liabilities
*In the absence of specific information, we have assumed that marine and tidal will have similar timelines to offshore wind
Drawn-down profile assumptions
35
# of Pre-
development
years
Yr1 Yr2 Yr3 Yr4 Yr5 Yr6
1 100.00%
2 50.00% 50.00%
3 15.00% 35.00% 50.00%
4 5.00% 10.00% 35.00% 50.00%
5 5.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 35.00%
6 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% 25.00%
Draw-down profile – Pre-development
(Baringa starting assumptions – to be discussed)
# of
Construction
years
Yr1 Yr2 Yr3 Yr4 Yr5 Yr6
1 100.00%
2 50.00% 50.00%
3 15.00% 35.00% 50.00%
4 5.00% 10.00% 35.00% 50.00%
5 5.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 35.00%
6 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% 25.00%
Draw-down profile - Construction
(Baringa starting assumptions – to be discussed)
We recognise that
these profiles may
vary significantly
by technology.
DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy

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Decc discussion slides investor simulation workshop breakout_biomass conversion_v 1

  • 1. Mapping the developer and CfD lifecycles Breakout session: Biomass conversions 21 May 2013 DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
  • 2. Agenda for the breakout session 2 DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy Time Topic Indicative time available 10:55am Introduction 10 minutes Developer lifecycle by technology 30 minutes Pre-development 15 minutes Development 15 minutes Financing 15 minutes Construction and Commissioning 15 minutes 12:40pm Collate feedback 15 minutes
  • 3. Agenda 3 1. Introduction and session organisation 2. Development lifecycle by technology 3. Pre-development 4. Development 5. Financing 6. Construction and Commissioning 7. Collate feedback DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
  • 4. Introduction 4 • Recap objectives for this session: 1. To understand the developer lifecycle for different low carbon technologies, 2. To explain the current CfD policy position across the developer lifecycle, as well as present some additional options for discussion, 3. To take on board views on the degree to which the CfD policy logically maps with the developer lifecycle for different low carbon technologies • At the end of the session we will collate views and then feedback to the wider group DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
  • 5. Key CfD issues to be covered across the developer lifecycle 5 Pre- development Development Financing Construction and commissioning • CfD strike price visibility • CfD allocation budget • Statement of how much allocation budget remains • Conditions Precedent for CfD payment start • TCW and LSD • Force majeure and other exceptions • Substantial financial commitment (SFC) • Contractual obligations, and consequences • CfD eligibility process • Allocation mechanisms • Constrained allocation process DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
  • 6. Agenda 6 1. Introduction and session organisation 2. Development lifecycle by technology 3. Pre-development 4. Development 5. Financing 6. Construction and Commissioning 7. Collate feedback DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
  • 7. Comparing DECC and Roadmap lifecycle assumptions: Biomass conversions DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy 2 years 1 year Pre-development ConstructionSource: DECC (2012) Applicable for biomass conversions Source: Renewable Roadmap Applicable for new-build, dedicated biomass
  • 8. Assumed incremental spend 16.0% 16.0% 68.0% Assumed cumulative spend 16.0% 32.0% 100.0% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0% Assumed incremental spend Assumed cumulative spend Spend profile: Biomass conversions 8 DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy Note: Grid and other infrastructure costs assumed to be part of pre-development Pre-development Construction Overall, does our assumed spend profile look accurate for your technology? If not, why not?
  • 9. Agenda 9 1. Introduction and session organisation 2. Development lifecycle by technology 3. Pre-development 4. Development 5. Financing 6. Construction and Commissioning 7. Collate feedback DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
  • 10. CfD strike price visibility 10 CfD strike price visibility • NG will provide analysis to inform the Government’s CfD strike price decisions in the Delivery Plan • At the time of CfD allocation, strike prices are locked in for the year of commissioning • Strike price setting for the second Delivery Plan may involve some competitive elements DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
  • 11. CfD budget allocation 11 CfD budget availability by technology • The LCF will increase to £7.6b in 2020 (real 2012 terms) • This covers the costs of the CfD as well as existing policies (including the RO, small-scale FiT and the Warm Home Discount) • Ahead of allocation commencing, developers can expect to know the annual CfD budget as well as any constraints applying to their technology • Set by DECC, managed by NG • Single budget ‘pot’ for all renewable technologies • Potential minimum/maximum constraints for individual technologies (e.g. maximum for technologies deemed capable of ramping up deployment quickly, such as solar and biomass conversions) • Strike prices remain the main driver of investment by technology CfD allocation budget for renewables (non-FID) DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy CfD allocation budget by technology Wider LCF (managed by DECC)
  • 12. Forecasting budget headroom 12 CfD budget headroom forecast • The CfD allocation budget constraint will apply on an annual basis, subject to the total period budget • The SO will be responsible for publishing CfD budget updates throughout the year:  Taking into account the changing value of existing contracts  Could be real-time available data if CfDs are allocated on a First Come First served (FCFS) basis • Any underspends in a given year will be available in the following year’s CfD budget 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2020/212019/20 CfD Budget by year between 2014/15 and 2020/21 CfD budget will be allocated on a forward-looking basis for the anticipated commissioning year DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
  • 13. Questions for consideration 13 • How often should NG provide information on CfD budget availability?  How should the information be provided and how often should the assumptions be consulted on?  How should progress against any technology-specific CfD budget constraints be communicated? • Is there sufficient visibility of CfD strike prices?  When do developers need to know DECC’s decision on whether administrative pricing will continue beyond 2020? DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
  • 14. Agenda 14 1. Introduction and session organisation 2. Development lifecycle by technology 3. Pre-development 4. Development 5. Financing 6. Construction and Commissioning 7. Collate feedback DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
  • 15. Applying for a CfD 15 Eligibility criteria Requirement Eligible technology? Detail of the type of generation intended to be built (with appropriate confirmation that it will be a form of generation eligible for the CfD). Eligible company? Company registration and VAT number. Planning permission? Copy of the planning permission decision note, as given by a competent authority (SoS or Council Planning). Can be subject to conditions. Grid connection? Copy of a grid connection acceptance letter which has been signed by both National Grid (or DNO if applicable) and the developer. Target commissioning date? Grid connection acceptance letter must include a connection date no later than Target Commissioning Date (TCD) Intended generation capacity? Details on the intended MW size of the of the project CfD application process • Developers will be assessed by the SO against eligibility criteria at the time of applying for a CfD • Two key requirements: signed grid connection offer, and planning permission • Although there may be additional requirements for certain technologies such as biomass conversion • Period between CfD allocation and Target Commissioning Date (TCD) will be left to developers, but is constrained by visibility of strike prices or competitive process DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
  • 16. CfD allocation mechanisms 16 CfD allocation • We have committed to a period of First-Come-First Served (FCFS), to avoid unnecessary costs and constraints on development timings • Once a pre-defined threshold is passed, allocation rounds will commence and then remain in place (on either an unconstrained or constrained basis) First-Come-First-Served Applications submitted when developer chooses, and considered in order of receipt Unconstrained Allocation Rounds Application window, within which all applications are assessed equally, but no expectation of rationing Constrained Allocation Rounds Application window, within which all applications are assessed equally, but with an expectation of rationing DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
  • 17. Application of triggers 17 Application of triggers to move from FCFS to allocation rounds What level should the trigger be set at?  Our current working assumption is that the trigger will be set at a conservative level  This would imply circa 40% - 60% allocated through FCFS  An additional trigger may apply for the move to constrained allocation rounds (see next slide) How should progress towards the trigger be calculated?  Our current working assumption is that the trigger would be met when actual applications show a specified percentage of the CfD Budget has been allocated Can allocation return to FCFS once a trigger has been activated (e.g. if electricity prices increase)?  No, moving through the various allocation mechanisms will be a ‘one-way street’ DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
  • 18. Constrained allocation 18 Constrained allocation windows • Once a significant portion of the CfD allocation budget has been committed and DECC is a long way towards achieving its targets, more projects may come forward in a particular round than can be supported • In such situations CfDs may need to be rationed through constrained allocation windows • The rules for rationing must be defined upfront to enable visibility for developers • Developers will need to submit additional information ahead of a constrained allocation window • Two rationing options are currently being considered: price-based and discount-based Rationing option Description Advantages Disadvantages Price-based Stack projects by the price they would be willing to accept Least cost overall deployment Reduced diversity of generation Discount-based Stack projects by the % discount on the relevant strike price that they would be prepared to offer Allows for least cost projects by technology, enabling diversity May result in greater cost of deployment overall DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
  • 19. Questions for consideration 19 • What criteria should apply for biomass conversions which demonstrates genuine commitment to deliver the project? • Is a separate ‘planning permission’ required for biomass conversions?  Does this include environmental consents?  What flexibility could be applied in cases where permission is classed as ‘pre-approval’? • How often should allocation windows take place? Is twice annually often enough? • In the context of allocation under constraint, would you prefer projects to offer the price they would be prepared to accept via sealed bid process or via a descending clock auction process? DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
  • 20. Agenda 20 1. Introduction and session organisation 2. Development lifecycle by technology 3. Pre-development 4. Development 5. Financing 6. Construction and Commissioning 7. Collate feedback DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
  • 21. Substantial Financial Commitment [1] 21 Reaching the SFC milestone • Within 1 year of signing the CfD, the developer must demonstrate to the Counterparty Body (CpB) that it has made a Substantial Financial Commitment (SFC) • Failure to meet the SFC within the prescribed timeframe after CfD allocation will constitute an early termination event in favour of the CpB  No termination payment shall be due by either party  The generator can reapply for a later CfD • The evidence required to demonstrate SFC may differ according to the financing structure of the project in question, for example: Project Finance • ‘Financial Close’ • Evidence required: Firm contractual commitment to undertake expenditure (i.e. with equivalent milestone or termination payments if the commitment is breached) Balance Sheet • Actual or approved Board expenditure • Evidence required: Invoices or Directors’ certificate for expenditure DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
  • 22. Substantial Financial Commitment [2] 22 Minimum spend threshold • SFC will be defined according to a minimum spend threshold, which is yet to be determined • The SFC milestone is intended to represent ‘the point of no return’ for a project  After this point, either construction proceeds or the developer will have incurred significant unrecouped costs • We recognise that the minimum spend threshold may differ by technology, for example depending on:  Capex profile pre-commissioning  Extent of development costs as a proportion of total spend DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
  • 23. Questions for consideration • What does Substantial Financial Commitment (SFC) mean for different investors?  Project finance?  Balance sheet financed? • What do you regard as the best means of providing evidence of SFC? • What minimum spend threshold is appropriate by technology?  How can we relate this to the spend profiles by technology? • How should phased projects be treated?  For example, if separate CfDs are allocated to individual phases, but financing of the whole project is completed upfront 23 DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
  • 24. Agenda 24 1. Introduction and session organisation 2. Development lifecycle by technology 3. Pre-development 4. Development 5. Financing 6. Construction and Commissioning 7. Collate feedback DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
  • 25. Payment start date 25 Conditions Precedent • Eligibility for CfD payment can commence once the Conditions Precedent are satisfied • Actual payments then commence on the basis of eligible metered output (MWh) Condition Requirement Passed eligibility test? Evidence of compliance with the published eligibility criteria at the time of CfD allocation Planning permission remains valid? Copy of the detailed planning permission and confirmation that it has not lapsed, expired or been terminated, revoked or withdrawn and any conditions have been so satisfied Authorisations obtained? Copies of all required licenses, accreditations, permits, consents etc required to operate the facility Grid Code compliant? Confirmation from SO that Grid Code Compliance process has been satisfied (or from DNO – Distribution Code) – includes commissioning acceptance tests Settlement ready? Confirmation from the Settlement Agent that it has received information it requires to undertake settlement (includes metering) – includes collateral Installed generation capacity? Confirmation from generator that installed capacity is not less than a pre-specified [85%] of the adjusted contracted quantity DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
  • 26. Building to schedule [1] 26 Target Commissioning Window (TCW) and Long-Stop Date (LSD) • Generator will receive full duration of CfD support if the Conditions Precedent are met within the TCW • Clock starts ticking once outside the TCW • CfD is terminated if the Conditions Precedent are not met by the Long-Stop Date CfD grant Evidence of Substantive Financial Commitment: Obligation to demonstrate financial commitment by reaching financial investment decision, or reaching a minimum spend Target Commissioning Window: Window within which the developer must commission the generator to secure full support of the CfD. Long-Stop Date Target Commissioning Date The CfD is terminated if construction surpasses a specified long-stop date 15 year right to payment automatically begins at end of TCW DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
  • 27. Building to schedule [2] 27 Indicative TCW and LSD, by technology • We would like to explore some indicative timeframes by technology: Technology TCD TCW LSD (following end of TCW) Biomass conversion Specified by developer 1-2 years 6-18 months Onshore wind 6-12 months 6-18 months Offshore wind 1-3 years 1-3 years Solar PV 6-12 months 6-18 months DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
  • 28. Capacity delivered 28 • As explained, we are currently exploring the potential to allow a limited degree of flexibility on the contract quantity • We would like to test this thinking for different technologies DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy CfD grant Evidence of SFC TCW CfD may be terminated if capacity delivered is below a pre-defined threshold (e.g. 85%). Potential strike price reduction for under-delivery (e.g. between 95 and 85% of adjusted capacity), s.t. FM Initial Application: 100% Obligation to deliver: 100-95% (of adjusted capacity) Can Adjust: 100-95% Delivered capacity (before strike price reductions)
  • 29. Force majeure and other exceptions 29 Exceptional circumstances affecting build timeframes • The Long Stop Date may only be extended in limited circumstances: 1) The generator is affected by a Force Majeure event, or 2) Grid connection works are not delivered on time (except if due to the fault or negligence of the generator) • Force Majeure: “any event or circumstance that is beyond the reasonable control of the generator which could not reasonably have been avoided or overcome and which is not due to the fault or negligence of the generator or its contractors, sub- contractors or agents.” • Is bad weather covered?  Current thinking is that extreme one-off weather events would be covered (e.g. a hurricane), but a rainy summer would not be covered (i.e. this would be picked up by the TCW) DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
  • 30. Questions for consideration 30 • Do the suggested TCWs and LSDs look acceptable for each technology? • Do you agree with our proposed approach to enabling flexibility in the delivered capacity at the time of SFC as well as commissioning? • What feasible scenarios could be envisaged in which delivered capacity is less than contracted? • Force majeure and other exceptions:  How should weather-related risks to commissioning be captured?  Are there any other events that should be considered as exceptional warranting an extension to the LSD? • As a whole, does the suggested approach mitigate developer / investor risk? • If there are other risks you feel should be covered in this approach, please explain why would Government or the consumer be best placed to bear or manage them? DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
  • 31. Agenda 31 1. Introduction and session organisation 2. Development lifecycle by technology 3. Pre-development 4. Development 5. Financing 6. Construction and Commissioning 7. Collate feedback DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
  • 32. Thank you DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy
  • 33. Timing assumptions 33 DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy Technology Pre-development Period (years) Construction Period (years) Biomass Conversion 2 1 Offshore wind (~1000 MW) 5-6 3 Onshore wind and solar (10-15 MW) 4 2 Onshore >5 MW 4 2 Marine (~20 MW)* 5-6 3 Pre-development and construction timings per technology (Annex 1, DECC , Electricity Generation Cost, Oct 2012) *In the absence of specific information, we have assumed that marine and tidal will have similar timelines to offshore wind
  • 34. Capital cost breakdown across Pre-development and Construction phases 34 Capital cost item Onshore wind >5MW Offshore wind Dedicated Biomass Biomass Conversion Marine* Pre-development 3% 2% 1% 3% 2% Construction 87% 91% 95% 68% 91% Grid costs 5% 2% 2% 0% 2% Other infrastructure 5% 5% 2% 29% 5% Source: DECC/ARUP, Review of the generation costs and deployment potential of renewable electricity technologies in the UK, Oct 2011) DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy • Pre-development costs include: public enquiries, licensing, radar mitigation, design consultancy and habitat enforcement measures • We have assumed that ‘Grid Costs’ includes the cost of use commitment payments – securities and liabilities *In the absence of specific information, we have assumed that marine and tidal will have similar timelines to offshore wind
  • 35. Drawn-down profile assumptions 35 # of Pre- development years Yr1 Yr2 Yr3 Yr4 Yr5 Yr6 1 100.00% 2 50.00% 50.00% 3 15.00% 35.00% 50.00% 4 5.00% 10.00% 35.00% 50.00% 5 5.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 35.00% 6 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% 25.00% Draw-down profile – Pre-development (Baringa starting assumptions – to be discussed) # of Construction years Yr1 Yr2 Yr3 Yr4 Yr5 Yr6 1 100.00% 2 50.00% 50.00% 3 15.00% 35.00% 50.00% 4 5.00% 10.00% 35.00% 50.00% 5 5.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 35.00% 6 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% 25.00% Draw-down profile - Construction (Baringa starting assumptions – to be discussed) We recognise that these profiles may vary significantly by technology. DRAFT – This should not be taken to represent DECC Policy