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              LECTURE TWO
      MARKET SELECTION & LOCATION ANALYSIS
                  (Chapter 7)




1
Learning Objectives for Chapter 7:
1. Explain the criteria used in selecting a target
   market.
2. Identify the different options, both store-
   based and non-store-based, for effectively
   reaching a target market and identify the
   advantages and disadvantages of business
   districts, shopping centers, and freestanding
   units as sites for retail location.
3. Define geographic information systems (GIS)
   and discuss their potential uses in a retail
   enterprise.
                                                     2-2
Learning Objectives
  4. Describe the various factors to consider in
     identifying the most attractive geographic
     market for a new store.
  5. Discuss the various attributes to consider in
     evaluating retail sites within a retail
     market.
  6. Explain how to select the best geographic
     site for a store.



                                                     2-3
Importance of Topic
 Vital to doing well in your group project


 You need to apply the concepts of LA and discuss
 critically the issues required in the project brief

 Read the project brief in detail and note each
 requirement!!

 Do not stray out of point.
Location!! Location!! Location!!
    These words resonate in retailing
    A key decision is where to locate the retail
    shop/s and mall
    Location will determine where you draw
    your target customers from
    We call this “Trading Area”
    This topic forms the basis of your project-
    learn it very well!!


                                                   2-5
Why is Store Location Important for a Retailer?
 Location is typically prime
  consideration in customer’s
  store choice.
 Location decisions have
  strategic importance
  because they can help to
  develop sustainable
  competitive advantage.
 Location decisions are
  risky: invest or lease?

                                                  2-6
Geographic space and cyberspace must be considered

    Traditionally, reaching the target
     market has been associated with
     selecting the best physical location for
     a store.
    The Internet is becoming a viable
     alternative for reaching one’s
     customers.


                                                     2-7
Virtual Stores
   The equivalence of a store on the Internet is a
    retailer's World Wide Web (www) site.
   The retailer's home page is the introductory or first
    material viewers see when they access a retailer's
    Internet site. It is equivalent to a retailer's
    storefront in the physical world.
   Virtual store is the total collection of all the pages
    of information on the retailer's Internet site.
   The counterpart to location on the Internet is the
    "ease of access." This refers to the consumer’s
    ability to find a Web site in cyberspace easily and
    quickly.
                                                             2-8
Market Segmentation
  a method retailers use to segment, or
  break down, heterogeneous consumer
  populations into smaller, more
  homogeneous groups based on their
  characteristics.




                                           2-9
Segmentation
  No single retailer can serve all potential customers;
   it is important that it segment the market and select
   a target market(s).
  A target market is the segment of the market that
   the retailer decides to pursue through its marketing
   efforts.
  The topics of target market selection and location
   analysis are combined because a retailer must
   identify its target market(s) before it decides how
   best to reach that market(s).



                                                           2-10
Marketing : An Introduction                                    2-11
   An Asian Perspective       © Armstrong, Kotler & da Silva
Identifying a Target Market
                Market segment should
                be measurable
To reach a
target market   Market should be
                accessible
successfully
                Market should be
                sustainable enough to
                be profitable

                                        2-12
Market Segmentation
  Target market
  Is the group of customers that the
  retailer is seeking to serve.
    How do you know which particular segment
    is the most attractive for your firm? What
    factors would you consider when selecting
    and penetrating a given target market?




                                                 2-13
Target Market
 UNIQLO has a well-
 defined target market:
 customers who desire
 good quality but
 reasonably priced
 casual fashion apparel



     Think of some local retailers that focus on
     specific customer segments. What examples
     come to mind? Is narrow or broad targeting
     a preferred strategy and why?
                                                   2-14
Target marketing in retailing



                        Using this
                        framework,
                        think of
                        examples of
                        retailers who
                        apply each of
                        these 3 types
                        of targeting
                        strategies.

                                        2-15
Targeting the Fashion Conscious




                                  2-16
Targeting Kids




                 2-17
Targeting the Budget Conscious Segment




                                         2-18
Different ways of achieving competitive advantages in marketing and
retailing (differentiation strategies)




                                                                      2-19
POSITIONING IN MARKETING




                                 Marketing : An Introduction   2-20
© Armstrong, Kotler & da Silva      An Asian Perspective
Positioning Map for Retailer Categories




21
Positioning based on Margins and Nature
of Merchandise:
Positioning of Malls- possible criteria
                               Landmark City Location


                                                                             i-ON Orchard




                                                        Orchard Central



Local Tenants                                                           Upscale
                                                                      International
                                                                    Branded Tenants
                    Lot 1

                                                Chelsea Premium
                                                Outlets coming to
                                                Johore in 2011
            Loyang Point
                            Neighborhood/ Suburban Location
Reaching Your Target Market

  Location of Store-
   based Retailers
  Non-store-based
   Retailers
                              2-24
Location of Store-Based Retailers
   Store-Based Retailers operate from a
    fixed store location that requires
    customers to travel to the store to view
    and select merchandise or service.
   Non-store-Based Retailers intercept
    customers at home, at work, or at a
    place other than a store where they
    might be susceptible to purchasing.

                                               2-25
Retail Formats for Accessing A Target Market




                                               2-26
                   Exhibit 7.2
Location of Store-Based Retailers
   Central Business Districts (CBD) usually
    consists of an unplanned shopping area
    around the geographic point at which all
    public transportation systems converge; it is
    usually in the center of the city and often
    where the city originated historically.
   Secondary Business District (SBD) is a
    shopping area that is smaller than the CBD
    and that revolves around at least one
    department or variety store at a major street
    intersection.
                                                    2-27
Central Business District

ADVANTAGES
 Draws people into areas during business
  hours
 Hub for public transportation
 Pedestrian traffic
 Residents
DISADVANTAGES
 High security required
 Shoplifting
 Parking is poor
 Evenings and weekends are slow
Location of Store-Based Retailers
  Neighborhood Business District (NBD) is a chopping
   area that evolves to satisfy the convenience-
   oriented shopping needs of a neighborhood,
   generally contains several small stores (with the
   major retailer being a supermarket or a variety
   store), and its located on a major artery of a
   residential area. (Example our HDB heartland stores)
  Shopping Center (or mall) is a centrally owned or
   managed shopping district that is planned, has
   balanced tenancy (the stores complement each
   other in merchandise offerings), and is surrounded
   by parking facilities. (note: quite often in Singapore
   our Shopping Centre is located within the city or
   main street)                                             2-29
ISCS Shopping Center Definitions




       Exhibit 7.3
                                   2-30
ISCS Shopping Center Definitions




             Exhibit 7.3
                                   2-31
ISCS Shopping Center Definitions




               Exhibit 7.3


                                   2-32
Shopping Center Advantages

   Heavy traffic resulting from the wide
    range of product offerings.
   Cooperative planning and sharing of
    common resources.
   Access to highways and availability of
    parking.
   Lower crime rate.
   Clean, neat environment.

                                             2-33
Shopping Center Disadvantages
  Inflexible store hours (open during mall hours
   only).
  High rents.
  Restrictions as to what merchandise the
   retailer may sell.
  Inflexible operations and required
   membership in the center’s merchant
   organization.
  Possibility of too much competition and the
   fact that much of the traffic is not interested
   in a particular product offering.
  Dominance of the smaller stores by the
   anchor tenants.
                                                     2-34
The Largest Shopping Malls




                             2-35
Advantages and Disadvantages of Shopping Malls

  Advantages:
  Many different types of stores
  Many different assortments available
  Attracts many shoppers
  Main Street for today’s shoppers
  Never worry about the weather
  Comfortable surrounding to shop
  Uniform hours of operation

  Disadvantages:
  Occupancy costs are high
  Tenants may not like mall
  management control of operations
  Competition can be intense

                                                 2-36
Challenges to Malls
 Time pressured society makes it
  impractical to wander malls
 Fashion apparel sold in malls
  experiencing limited growth
 Malls are getting old and rundown –
  unappealing to shop
 Anchor tenants are decreasing due to
  retail consolidation
                                         2-37
Lifestyle Centers
 • Usually located in affluent residential
   neighborhoods
 • Includes 50K sq. ft. of upscale chain specialty
   stores
 • Open-air configuration
 • Design ambience and amenities
 • Upscale stores
 • Restaurants and often a cinema or other
   entertainment
 • Small department store format may be there
                                                     2-38
Lifestyle Centers: examples in Singapore




                                  Clarke Quay


                              Holland Village/
                              Rochester Park


                                                 2-39
Fashion / Luxury Specialty Centers


 Branded goods
 Located in upscale malls
 Target at up-market
 clients




                                     2-40
Outlet Centers
     These shopping centers contain mostly
     manufacturers and retail outlet stores




                                              2-41
There is one coming soon to Johore soon!!




The new Johor project is expected to attract 4 million visitors a year, according to Malaysian Prime Minister Najib Razak. It's a joint
venture between Chelsea Premium Outlets and Genting Group that's being developed in Johor as part of the Iskandar Malaysia
project, and understandably, Malaysia has bragging rights to it. "It is the first (Chelsea) center in the (Asean) region and I'm very
happy that they have chosen Malaysia," said PM Najib. He said he understood other countries in the region had been trying to woo the
Chelsea Group to set up the center

    http://www.cnngo.com/singapore/shop/chelsea-premium-outlets-open-johor-709556
Location of Store-Based Retailers
   Anchor Stores are the stores in a
    shopping center that are the most the
    most dominant and are expected to
    draw customers to the shopping center.
   Free-Standing Retailer generally
    locates along major traffic arteries and
    does not have any adjacent retailers to
    share traffic with.

                                               2-43
Unplanned Retail Locations

 Merchandise Kiosks – small temporary
selling stations located in walkways of
enclosed malls, airports, train stations or
office building lobbies.




                                              2-44
Unplanned Retail Locations
 Freestanding Sites
 – location for
 individual store
 unconnected to
 other retailer
Advantages of Freestanding Retailing

  Lack of direct competition.
  Generally lower rents.
  Freedom in operations and hours.
  Facilities that can be adapted to
   individual needs.
  Inexpensive parking.

                                       2-46
Limitations of Freestanding Retailing
 Lack of drawing power from complementary
  stores.
 Difficulties in attracting customers for the initial
  visit.
 Higher advertising and promotional costs.
 Operating costs that cannot be shared with
  others.
 Stores that may have to be built rather than
  rented.
 Zoning laws that may restrict some activities.
                                                         2-47
Other Retail Location Opportunities
         • Mixed Use Developments
                • Airports

                 • Resorts
                    •
                  Hospitals

           • Store within a Store
2-48
Alternative Locations
           Mixed Use Developments (MXDs)

                      Office           Hotels
                     Buildings




     Civic Centers


49
Airports as retail locations
Airports:  Why wait with 
nothing to do?

Rents are 20% higher than 
malls
Sales/sq ft are 3‐4 times 
higher than malls
Best airports are ones 
with many connecting 
flights

                               2-50
Alternative Locations- Hotels and Resorts




    Hilton Singapore Banyan Tree
               Captive audience
              Well-to-do customer
          Customers have time to shop
                                            2-51
Alternative Locations - Hospitals




        Captive Location
        Patients cannot leave
        Gifts are available



                                    2-52
Non-store-based Retail Formats
  Direct Selling
  Street Peddling
  Interactive TV
  Mail-Order
  Internet
  Automated Merchandising Systems

                                     2-53
Location must also to be considered from the
“customer’s perspective”

 While we discuss location, we don’t just
  consider the retailer’s perspective of store
  choice location
 What about customers’ shopping patterns?
 How, where, when and why do customers
  buy?
 There are different patterns…


                                                 2-54
Shopping Situations
Convenience Shopping


 Minimize the
customer’s effort to get
the product or service
by locating store close
to where customers are
located



                           2-55
Shopping Situations
Comparison Shopping

   Customers have a
   good idea of what
   type of product
   they want, but
   don’t have a
   strong preference
   for brand, model
   or retailer.

             Typical for furniture, appliances, apparel,
             consumer electronics, hand tools and
             cameras.                                      2-56
Category Specialists
 Consumers can see almost all brands and
 models in one store

IKEA is a “destination store”




                                           2-57
Shopping Situations
Specialty Shopping
•Customers 
know what they 
want
•Designer labels
•Convenient 
location matters 
less


                      2-58
Destinations Versus “Parasites”
 Destination stores have a    Parasite stores do not
   better assortment,           create their own traffic
   better promotion,            and have no real
   and/or better image          trading area of their
  They generate trading        own
   areas much larger than      These stores depend on
   competitors                  people who are drawn
  Going to IKEA- this is a     to the area for other
   destination store            reasons




59
Question to Ponder
   Given the wide variety of locations available
   to target specific consumer groups, what new
   locations will provide the greatest
   opportunities for the retailers of tomorrow?

  Trends will vary across Asia. More malls will 
  spring up in city centers. Others will still rely 
  on traditional retail locations. Within Asia 
  location is important for tourism retailing. 
  Other comments?


                                                       2-60
LOCATION ANALYSIS METHODS

      These topics will be important
      for your completion of your DC
                 project



61
Geographic Information Systems

  These comprise:
     digitized mapping with key locational
     data to graphically depict trading-area
     characteristics such as
       population demographics
       data on customer purchases
       listings of current, proposed,
       and competitor locations

                                               2-62
Geographic Information Systems
  The GIS combines physical geography with
   cultural geography.
  Cultural geography: is the buffer that people
   have created between themselves and the
   raw physical environment and includes the
   characteristics of the population, humanly
   created objects, and mobile physical
   structures.
  Thematic Maps use visual techniques such as
   colors, shading, and lines to display cultural
   characteristics of the physical space.
                                                    2-63
GIS Components




            Exhibit 7.4   2-64
Uses of GIS
  Market selection.
  Site analysis.
  Trade area definition.
  New store cannibalization.
  Advertising management.
  Merchandise management.
  Evaluation of store managers.
                                   2-65
Market Identification
   Market Identification - involves three
   sequential steps:

  1. First, the retailer must identify the most
     attractive markets in which to operate.
  2. Second, one must evaluate the density of
     demand and supply within each market and
     identify the most attractive sites that are
     available within each market.
  3. Third, select the best site or sites
     available.
                                                   2-66
Selecting a Retail Location




                         Exhibit 7.5   2-67
Location analysis is like a filtering
  process…

                    1                     Target
                        Overall           market
                                          segment
                        market

                    2                   The
                                     locality or
                        Trading      catchment
                         area           area


                                        The
                    3                  actual
                         Site         location
                                       of the
                                     store/mall
2-68
Market Identification
   Trading Area
   Is the geographic area from
   which a retailer, or group of
   retailers, or community draws
   its customers.



                                   2-69
Elements in Trading-Area Selection



       Population                 Economic Base
      Characteristics             Characteristics




                  Nature and Saturation
                     of Competition




                                                    2-70
Benefits of Trading Area Analysis
 Discovery of              Assessment of effects of
  consumer                   trading area overlap
  demographics and          Ascertain whether chain’s
  socioeconomic              competitors will open
  characteristics            nearby
 Opportunity to            Discovery of ideal
  determine focus of         number of outlets,
  promotional activities     geographic weaknesses
 Opportunity to view       Review of other issues,
  media coverage             such as transportation
  patterns

                                                         2-71
Selected Population Statistics for Trading Areas A and B


       Characteristics                     Area A    Area B
       Total population, 2000              13,732    15,499

       Population change, 1990-2000         +8.2      +2.5

       College graduates, 25 +, 2000 (%)    41.4      39.2

       Median household income, 2000       $61,236   $61,242

       Managerial and professional          45.3      45.0
       occupations (%), 2000

         Which trading area would you consider as
         being the most attractive and why?
                                                               2-72
The Segments of a Trading Area




                                 2-73
Trading Areas and Store Types

Largest
                Department stores

                Supermarkets
TRADING
 AREAS          Apparel stores

                Gift stores

Smallest        Convenience stores


                                     2-74
Market Identification

Retail Location Theories
Market Demand Potential
Market Supply Factors


                            2-75
Retail Location Theories

  Retail Gravity
   Theory
  Saturation Theory
  Buying Power Index
                           2-76
Retail Location Theories
  Retail Gravity Theory
   Suggests that there are underlying
   consistencies in shopping behavior that
   yield to mathematical analysis and
   prediction based on the notion or
   concept of gravity.
   It is based on Newtonian gravitational
   principles, explains how large
   urbanized areas attract customers from
   smaller rural communities.
                                             2-77
Retail Location Theories
 The Formula used:

                                           d
                  Dab      =
                                               Pb
                                     1+
                                               Pa
where Dab is the breaking point from city A, measured in miles along the road to city
                                         B;
       d is the distance between city A and city B along the major highway;
                         Pa is the population of city A; and
                           Pb is the population of city B.
                                                                                 2-78
Retail Location Theories

  Point of Indifference
   Is the extremity of a city’s
   trading area where households
   would be indifferent between
   shopping in that city or an
   alternative city in a different
   geographical direction.
                                     2-79
Trading Area for City A




               Exhibit 7.6   2-80
The break points are computed based on the formula:




                        Exhibit 7.6                   2-81
Computation of the values using
Reilly’s Law of Retail Gravitation
From City_ to      Computed value using the           Point of
                   equation
Central City (A)                                   Indifference:

                          18
   From B to A                            = 14.5 X = 18 –14.5 = 3.5
                       1+√       14000
                                240000


                           14
   From C to A                            = 10.8 Y = 14 –10.8 = 3.2
                        1+√       21000
                                 240000


                           5
   From D to A                            = 3.7   Z = 5 – 3.7 = 1.3
                        1+√       30000
                                 240000


                                                                      2-82
Limitations of Reilly’s Law

  Distance is only measured by major
   thoroughfares; some people will travel
   shorter distances along cross streets
  Travel time does not reflect distance
   traveled. Many people are more
   concerned with time traveled than with
   distance
  Actual distance may not correspond
   with perceptions of distance
                                            2-83
Illustration of Location Analysis

  How to apply Reilly’s Law for
          the Project



                                    2-84
The challenge of doing LA analysis in
Singapore context
   Urban state
   Small geographical area
   Efficient transportation system (no issue
    about mobility unlike US where customers
    commute if there larger malls)
   In this project we will substitute population
    size (as shown in text) with mall size
    (square feet)
     Reason: mall size becomes the “surrogate
      measure” of a centre’ attractiveness
                                                    2-85
Mall B
Floor Area 450K Sq Ft
                                    Mall C
                            Floor Area 150K Sq Ft

                25 km

                             10km


                           Mall A
    Your Site
                    Floor Area 250K Sq Ft

                                                2-86
Work out using the Reilly model

                                           d
                   Dab      =
                                               Pb
                                     1+
                                               Pa

where Dab is the breaking point from city A, measured in miles
along the road to city B;
d is the distance between city A and city B along the major
highway;
Pa is the population of city A; and Substitute with floor area (square feet) of
                                          your own mall site

Pb is the population of city B. Substitute with floor area (square feet) of
                                    another nearby mall that may attract
                                    similar customers
                                                                              2-87
Mall A and Mall B

                25
Dab   =
                     450
           1+
                 250



          = 10.6km


                           2-88
Mall A and Mall C

                10
Dab   =
                     150
           1+
                 250



          = 5.6 km


                           2-89
Mark off the break points

       Mall B
Floor Area 450K Sq Ft
                                       Mall C
                               Floor Area 150K Sq Ft

                25 km

                        5.6     10km
           10.6

                              Mall A
    Your Site
                    Floor Area 250K Sq Ft

                                                   2-90
Zone off the Trading Area

       Mall B
Floor Area 450K Sq Ft
                                       Mall C
                               Floor Area 150K Sq Ft

                25 km

                        5.6     10km
           10.6

                              Mall A
    Your Site
                    Floor Area 250K Sq Ft

                                                   2-91
Show the maps…your trading area could be
            triangular or even polygon




92
Trading area mapped out against three malls
93
Retail Location Theories

  Saturation Theory
   Examines how the demand for
   goods and services of a
   potential trading area is being
   served by current retail
   establishments in comparison
   with other potential markets.
                                     2-94
Retail Location Theories
   Retail Store Saturation:
    is a condition where there is just
   enough store facilities for a given
   type of store to efficiently and
   satisfactorily serve the population
   and yield a fair profit to the
   owners.

                                         2-95
Retail Location Theories
   Understored:
    is a condition in a community
   where the number of stores in
   relation to households is relatively
   low so that engaging in retailing is
   an attractive economic endeavor.


                                          2-96
Retail Location Theories
   Overstored:
   is a condition in a community
   where the number of stores in
   relation to households is so large
   that engaging in retailing is usually
   unprofitable or marginally
   profitable.

                                           2-97
Retail Location Theories
   Index of Retail Saturation (IRS) is the
   ratio of demand for a product
   (households in the geographic area
   multiplied by annual retail
   expenditures for a particular line of
   trade per household) divided by
   available supply (the square footage of
   retail facilities of a particular line of
   trade in a geographic area).
                                               2-98
Index of Retail Saturation (IRS)
           IRS = (H X RE)/RF
Where IRS is the index of retail saturation for
an area; H is the number of households in the
area; RE is the annual retail expenditures for
a particular line of trade per household in the
area; RF is the square footage of retail
facilities of a particular line of trade in the
area (including square footage of the proposed
store).

                                                  2-99
Sample Question 11 from the text:

11.    Compute the index of retail saturation for the following three markets. The data for
department stores are as follows:

        MARKET                        A              B             C
Retail expenditures per household   $789          $875          $943
Square feet of retail space         600,000       488,000       808,000
Number of households                121,000       102,000       157,000

Based on these data, which market is most attractive? What additional data would you find
helpful in determining the attractiveness of the three markets?




                                                                                              2-100
Solution to Question 11

IRS (Market A)                =       (121,000 x $789) / 600,000
                              =       159.12
IRS (Market B)                =       (102,000 x $875) / 488,000
                              =       182.89
IRS (Market C)                =       (157,000 x $943) / 808,000
                              =       183.23

The most attractive market is Market-C with an IRS of 183.23 or $183.23 in expected sales per
square foot. It would be helpful if additional information on various factors that influence
market demand potential such as population characteristics, buyer behavior characteristics,
household income, household age profile, household composition, community life cycle,
population density and mobility. In addition supply factors such as square feet per store, square
feet of space per employee, store growth, and the quality of competition should be analyzed.




                                                                                                    2-101
See also the ‘Planning Your Own Retail Business’
 example


The retail store that you are planning has an estimated circular trade radius of four miles. Within
this four-mile radius, there is an average of 1,145 households per square mile. In a normal year,
you expect that 47 percent of these households would visit your store (referred to as penetration)
an average of 4.3 times (referred to as frequency). Based on these figures, what would you
expect to be the traffic (i.e., number of visitors to your store per year)? (Hint: Traffic can be
viewed as the square miles of the trade area multiplied by the household density multiplied by
penetration, which is in turn multiplied by frequency.)
        Once you answer this question, do some sensitivity analysis, which is an assessment of
how sensitive store traffic is to changes in your assumptions about penetration and frequency.
What happens if penetration drops to 45 percent or rises to 50 percent? What happens if
frequency drops to 4.0 times annually or rises to 4.5 times annually? In this analysis, only change
one thing at a time and hold all other assumptions constant.




                                                                                                  2-102
Solution:

Suggested Answer:
One needs to first compute the following.
1.     square miles of trade area     =       r2
                                      =       (22/7)(4)2
                                      =       50.286
2.     traffic =      (square miles in trade area)
                      x (household density)
                      x (penetration)
                      x (frequency)
       traffic =      (50.286) x (1,145) X (47%) X (4.3)
       traffic =      116,364

Next do some sensitivity analysis.



                                                           2-103
Solution (sensitivity analysis)

 Consider the following possible parameter values

        SQUARE      HOUSEHOLD
        MILES IN  (x) DENSITY (x) PENETRATION (x) FREQUENCY = TRAFFIC
        TRADE AREA
 1      50.286    x     1145 x       47%        x 4.3     = 116,364

 2      50.286         x      1145    x      45%    x 4.3   = 111,412

 3      50.286         x      1145    x      50%    x 4.3   = 123,792

 4      50.286         x      1145    x      47%    x 4.0   = 108,246

 5      50.286         x      1145    x      47%    x 4.5   = 121,776




                                                                        2-104
Retail Location Theories
   Buying Power Index (BPI):
    is an indicator of a market’s overall
   retail potential and is composed of the
   weighted measures of effective buying
   income (personal income, including all
   nontax payments such as social
   security, minus all taxes), retail sales,
   and population size.

                                               2-105
Buying Power Index (BPI)

BPI =   0.5(the area’s percentage of U.S.
        effective buying income)
        + 0.3(the area’s percentage of U.S.
        retail sales)
        + 0.2(the area’s percentage of U.S.
        population)




                                              2-106
Other Demand and Supply
Factors

- Market Demand Potential


- Market Supply Factors


                            2-107
Market Demand Potential
  Population Characteristics
  Buyer Behavior Characteristics
  Household Income
  Household Age Profile
  Household Composition
  Community Life Cycle
  Population Density
  Mobility
                                    2-108
Identifying Communities with High Demand
Potential for Fast-Food Drive-In Restaurant

                              Exhibit 7.7




                                              2-109
Market Supply Factors

  Square Feet Per Store
  Square Feet Per Employee
  Growth in Stores
  Quality of Competition


                              2-110
Site Analysis

  Site Analysis
   Is the evaluation of the density
   of demand and supply within
   each market with the goal of
   identifying the best retail
   site(s).

                                      2-111
Site Analysis

  Size of Trading Areas
  Description of Trading Area
  Demand Density
  Supply Density
  Site Availability

                                 2-112
Site Analysis

  Size of Trading Areas
   Applebaum developed a technique for estimating the
    trade area of a current store.
   It involved interviewing a customer for each $100 in
    weekly sales. The customers were randomly selected
    and their home addresses obtained.
   After the home addresses of the shoppers were
    plotted on a map one could make inferences about
    the trading area size and the competition.
   This is sometimes referred to as ‘customer spotting’

                                                       2-113
But for new stores… the task is more difficult;
 however, there are some general rules that apply.

1. Stores that sell products that the customer
   wants to buy in the most convenient manner will
   have a smaller trading area
2. As customer mobility increases, the size of the
   trading area increases
3. As the size of the store increases, its trading
   area increases, because it can stock a broader
   and deeper assortment of merchandise, which
   will attract customers from greater distances.

                                                 2-114
Some conclusions…
 4. As the distance between competing stores
    increases, their trading areas will increase.
 5. Natural and synthetic obstacles such as
    rivers, mountains, railroads, and freeways
    can abruptly stop the boundaries of a
    trading area




                                                    2-115
Description of Trading Areas
   Retailers can access at relatively low cost
    information concerning the trading area for
    various retail locations and the buyer
    behavior of the trading area.
   Use descriptors to profile trading areas
   Start with geo-demographic variables
   Can be supplemented with lifestyle and
    behavioral factors
   Neighborhood analysis
   MapInfo
     www.mapinfo.com                             2-116
Demand Density

  Demand Density
  Is the extent to which the
  potential demand for the
  retailer’s goods and services is
  concentrated in certain census
  tracts, ZIP (postal) code areas,
  or parts of the community.
                                     2-117
Demand Density Map




                     Exhibit
                     7.11
Supply Density

  Supply Density
   The extent to which
   retailers are concentrated in
   different areas of the
   market under question.


                                   2-119
Store Density and Site Availability Map




                                          2-120
Exhibit 7.12
Checklist for Site Evaluations




              Exhibit 7.13       2-121
Checklist for Site Evaluations




             Exhibit 7.13        2-122
Checklist for Site Evaluations




               Exhibit 7.13
                                 2-123
Checklist for Site Evaluations




                Exhibit 7.13     2-124
Checklist for Site Evaluations




                                 2-125
               Exhibit 7.13
Site Selection

  Nature of Site
  Terms of Purchase or
   Lease
  Expected Profitability

                            2-126
Site Selection
   100 Percent Location
   Is when there is no better use for a site
   than the retail store that is being
   planned for that site.
  After all, all retailers should attempt to find a 100
  percent location for their stores. A 100 percent
  location is a location where there is no better use
  for the site then the retail store that is being
  planned. Retailers should remember that what
  may be a 100 percent site for one store may not
  be for another. The best location for a
  supermarket may not be the best location for a
  discount department store
                                                          2-127
Nature of Site

  Store Compatibility
   Exists when two similar retail
   businesses locate next to or
   nearby each other and they
   realize a sales volume greater
   than what they would have
   achieved if they were located
   apart from each other.           2-128
Past Year Exam Questions

          MARKET SELECTION &
           LOCATION ANALYSIS
              (Chapter 7)



1-129
October 2006




2-130

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DC Lecture Two : Market Selection and Location Analysis

  • 1. Distribution Channels MKTG 1058 LECTURE TWO MARKET SELECTION & LOCATION ANALYSIS (Chapter 7) 1
  • 2. Learning Objectives for Chapter 7: 1. Explain the criteria used in selecting a target market. 2. Identify the different options, both store- based and non-store-based, for effectively reaching a target market and identify the advantages and disadvantages of business districts, shopping centers, and freestanding units as sites for retail location. 3. Define geographic information systems (GIS) and discuss their potential uses in a retail enterprise. 2-2
  • 3. Learning Objectives 4. Describe the various factors to consider in identifying the most attractive geographic market for a new store. 5. Discuss the various attributes to consider in evaluating retail sites within a retail market. 6. Explain how to select the best geographic site for a store. 2-3
  • 4. Importance of Topic  Vital to doing well in your group project  You need to apply the concepts of LA and discuss critically the issues required in the project brief  Read the project brief in detail and note each requirement!!  Do not stray out of point.
  • 5. Location!! Location!! Location!! These words resonate in retailing A key decision is where to locate the retail shop/s and mall Location will determine where you draw your target customers from We call this “Trading Area” This topic forms the basis of your project- learn it very well!! 2-5
  • 6. Why is Store Location Important for a Retailer?  Location is typically prime consideration in customer’s store choice.  Location decisions have strategic importance because they can help to develop sustainable competitive advantage.  Location decisions are risky: invest or lease? 2-6
  • 7. Geographic space and cyberspace must be considered  Traditionally, reaching the target market has been associated with selecting the best physical location for a store.  The Internet is becoming a viable alternative for reaching one’s customers. 2-7
  • 8. Virtual Stores  The equivalence of a store on the Internet is a retailer's World Wide Web (www) site.  The retailer's home page is the introductory or first material viewers see when they access a retailer's Internet site. It is equivalent to a retailer's storefront in the physical world.  Virtual store is the total collection of all the pages of information on the retailer's Internet site.  The counterpart to location on the Internet is the "ease of access." This refers to the consumer’s ability to find a Web site in cyberspace easily and quickly. 2-8
  • 9. Market Segmentation  a method retailers use to segment, or break down, heterogeneous consumer populations into smaller, more homogeneous groups based on their characteristics. 2-9
  • 10. Segmentation  No single retailer can serve all potential customers; it is important that it segment the market and select a target market(s).  A target market is the segment of the market that the retailer decides to pursue through its marketing efforts.  The topics of target market selection and location analysis are combined because a retailer must identify its target market(s) before it decides how best to reach that market(s). 2-10
  • 11. Marketing : An Introduction 2-11 An Asian Perspective © Armstrong, Kotler & da Silva
  • 12. Identifying a Target Market Market segment should be measurable To reach a target market Market should be accessible successfully Market should be sustainable enough to be profitable 2-12
  • 13. Market Segmentation  Target market Is the group of customers that the retailer is seeking to serve.  How do you know which particular segment is the most attractive for your firm? What factors would you consider when selecting and penetrating a given target market? 2-13
  • 14. Target Market  UNIQLO has a well- defined target market: customers who desire good quality but reasonably priced casual fashion apparel Think of some local retailers that focus on specific customer segments. What examples come to mind? Is narrow or broad targeting a preferred strategy and why? 2-14
  • 15. Target marketing in retailing Using this framework, think of examples of retailers who apply each of these 3 types of targeting strategies. 2-15
  • 16. Targeting the Fashion Conscious 2-16
  • 18. Targeting the Budget Conscious Segment 2-18
  • 19. Different ways of achieving competitive advantages in marketing and retailing (differentiation strategies) 2-19
  • 20. POSITIONING IN MARKETING Marketing : An Introduction 2-20 © Armstrong, Kotler & da Silva An Asian Perspective
  • 21. Positioning Map for Retailer Categories 21
  • 22. Positioning based on Margins and Nature of Merchandise:
  • 23. Positioning of Malls- possible criteria Landmark City Location i-ON Orchard Orchard Central Local Tenants Upscale International Branded Tenants Lot 1 Chelsea Premium Outlets coming to Johore in 2011 Loyang Point Neighborhood/ Suburban Location
  • 24. Reaching Your Target Market Location of Store- based Retailers Non-store-based Retailers 2-24
  • 25. Location of Store-Based Retailers  Store-Based Retailers operate from a fixed store location that requires customers to travel to the store to view and select merchandise or service.  Non-store-Based Retailers intercept customers at home, at work, or at a place other than a store where they might be susceptible to purchasing. 2-25
  • 26. Retail Formats for Accessing A Target Market 2-26 Exhibit 7.2
  • 27. Location of Store-Based Retailers  Central Business Districts (CBD) usually consists of an unplanned shopping area around the geographic point at which all public transportation systems converge; it is usually in the center of the city and often where the city originated historically.  Secondary Business District (SBD) is a shopping area that is smaller than the CBD and that revolves around at least one department or variety store at a major street intersection. 2-27
  • 28. Central Business District ADVANTAGES  Draws people into areas during business hours  Hub for public transportation  Pedestrian traffic  Residents DISADVANTAGES  High security required  Shoplifting  Parking is poor  Evenings and weekends are slow
  • 29. Location of Store-Based Retailers  Neighborhood Business District (NBD) is a chopping area that evolves to satisfy the convenience- oriented shopping needs of a neighborhood, generally contains several small stores (with the major retailer being a supermarket or a variety store), and its located on a major artery of a residential area. (Example our HDB heartland stores)  Shopping Center (or mall) is a centrally owned or managed shopping district that is planned, has balanced tenancy (the stores complement each other in merchandise offerings), and is surrounded by parking facilities. (note: quite often in Singapore our Shopping Centre is located within the city or main street) 2-29
  • 30. ISCS Shopping Center Definitions Exhibit 7.3 2-30
  • 31. ISCS Shopping Center Definitions Exhibit 7.3 2-31
  • 32. ISCS Shopping Center Definitions Exhibit 7.3 2-32
  • 33. Shopping Center Advantages  Heavy traffic resulting from the wide range of product offerings.  Cooperative planning and sharing of common resources.  Access to highways and availability of parking.  Lower crime rate.  Clean, neat environment. 2-33
  • 34. Shopping Center Disadvantages  Inflexible store hours (open during mall hours only).  High rents.  Restrictions as to what merchandise the retailer may sell.  Inflexible operations and required membership in the center’s merchant organization.  Possibility of too much competition and the fact that much of the traffic is not interested in a particular product offering.  Dominance of the smaller stores by the anchor tenants. 2-34
  • 35. The Largest Shopping Malls 2-35
  • 36. Advantages and Disadvantages of Shopping Malls Advantages: Many different types of stores Many different assortments available Attracts many shoppers Main Street for today’s shoppers Never worry about the weather Comfortable surrounding to shop Uniform hours of operation Disadvantages: Occupancy costs are high Tenants may not like mall management control of operations Competition can be intense 2-36
  • 37. Challenges to Malls  Time pressured society makes it impractical to wander malls  Fashion apparel sold in malls experiencing limited growth  Malls are getting old and rundown – unappealing to shop  Anchor tenants are decreasing due to retail consolidation 2-37
  • 38. Lifestyle Centers • Usually located in affluent residential neighborhoods • Includes 50K sq. ft. of upscale chain specialty stores • Open-air configuration • Design ambience and amenities • Upscale stores • Restaurants and often a cinema or other entertainment • Small department store format may be there 2-38
  • 39. Lifestyle Centers: examples in Singapore Clarke Quay Holland Village/ Rochester Park 2-39
  • 40. Fashion / Luxury Specialty Centers  Branded goods  Located in upscale malls  Target at up-market clients 2-40
  • 41. Outlet Centers These shopping centers contain mostly manufacturers and retail outlet stores 2-41
  • 42. There is one coming soon to Johore soon!! The new Johor project is expected to attract 4 million visitors a year, according to Malaysian Prime Minister Najib Razak. It's a joint venture between Chelsea Premium Outlets and Genting Group that's being developed in Johor as part of the Iskandar Malaysia project, and understandably, Malaysia has bragging rights to it. "It is the first (Chelsea) center in the (Asean) region and I'm very happy that they have chosen Malaysia," said PM Najib. He said he understood other countries in the region had been trying to woo the Chelsea Group to set up the center http://www.cnngo.com/singapore/shop/chelsea-premium-outlets-open-johor-709556
  • 43. Location of Store-Based Retailers  Anchor Stores are the stores in a shopping center that are the most the most dominant and are expected to draw customers to the shopping center.  Free-Standing Retailer generally locates along major traffic arteries and does not have any adjacent retailers to share traffic with. 2-43
  • 44. Unplanned Retail Locations Merchandise Kiosks – small temporary selling stations located in walkways of enclosed malls, airports, train stations or office building lobbies. 2-44
  • 45. Unplanned Retail Locations Freestanding Sites – location for individual store unconnected to other retailer
  • 46. Advantages of Freestanding Retailing Lack of direct competition. Generally lower rents. Freedom in operations and hours. Facilities that can be adapted to individual needs. Inexpensive parking. 2-46
  • 47. Limitations of Freestanding Retailing  Lack of drawing power from complementary stores.  Difficulties in attracting customers for the initial visit.  Higher advertising and promotional costs.  Operating costs that cannot be shared with others.  Stores that may have to be built rather than rented.  Zoning laws that may restrict some activities. 2-47
  • 48. Other Retail Location Opportunities • Mixed Use Developments • Airports • Resorts • Hospitals • Store within a Store 2-48
  • 49. Alternative Locations Mixed Use Developments (MXDs) Office Hotels Buildings Civic Centers 49
  • 50. Airports as retail locations Airports:  Why wait with  nothing to do? Rents are 20% higher than  malls Sales/sq ft are 3‐4 times  higher than malls Best airports are ones  with many connecting  flights 2-50
  • 51. Alternative Locations- Hotels and Resorts Hilton Singapore Banyan Tree Captive audience Well-to-do customer Customers have time to shop 2-51
  • 52. Alternative Locations - Hospitals Captive Location Patients cannot leave Gifts are available 2-52
  • 53. Non-store-based Retail Formats Direct Selling Street Peddling Interactive TV Mail-Order Internet Automated Merchandising Systems 2-53
  • 54. Location must also to be considered from the “customer’s perspective”  While we discuss location, we don’t just consider the retailer’s perspective of store choice location  What about customers’ shopping patterns?  How, where, when and why do customers buy?  There are different patterns… 2-54
  • 55. Shopping Situations Convenience Shopping Minimize the customer’s effort to get the product or service by locating store close to where customers are located 2-55
  • 56. Shopping Situations Comparison Shopping Customers have a good idea of what type of product they want, but don’t have a strong preference for brand, model or retailer. Typical for furniture, appliances, apparel, consumer electronics, hand tools and cameras. 2-56
  • 57. Category Specialists Consumers can see almost all brands and models in one store IKEA is a “destination store” 2-57
  • 59. Destinations Versus “Parasites” Destination stores have a Parasite stores do not better assortment, create their own traffic better promotion, and have no real and/or better image trading area of their  They generate trading own areas much larger than  These stores depend on competitors people who are drawn  Going to IKEA- this is a to the area for other destination store reasons 59
  • 60. Question to Ponder  Given the wide variety of locations available to target specific consumer groups, what new locations will provide the greatest opportunities for the retailers of tomorrow? Trends will vary across Asia. More malls will  spring up in city centers. Others will still rely  on traditional retail locations. Within Asia  location is important for tourism retailing.  Other comments? 2-60
  • 61. LOCATION ANALYSIS METHODS These topics will be important for your completion of your DC project 61
  • 62. Geographic Information Systems These comprise:  digitized mapping with key locational data to graphically depict trading-area characteristics such as  population demographics  data on customer purchases  listings of current, proposed, and competitor locations 2-62
  • 63. Geographic Information Systems  The GIS combines physical geography with cultural geography.  Cultural geography: is the buffer that people have created between themselves and the raw physical environment and includes the characteristics of the population, humanly created objects, and mobile physical structures.  Thematic Maps use visual techniques such as colors, shading, and lines to display cultural characteristics of the physical space. 2-63
  • 64. GIS Components Exhibit 7.4 2-64
  • 65. Uses of GIS Market selection. Site analysis. Trade area definition. New store cannibalization. Advertising management. Merchandise management. Evaluation of store managers. 2-65
  • 66. Market Identification  Market Identification - involves three sequential steps: 1. First, the retailer must identify the most attractive markets in which to operate. 2. Second, one must evaluate the density of demand and supply within each market and identify the most attractive sites that are available within each market. 3. Third, select the best site or sites available. 2-66
  • 67. Selecting a Retail Location Exhibit 7.5 2-67
  • 68. Location analysis is like a filtering process… 1 Target Overall market segment market 2 The locality or Trading catchment area area The 3 actual Site location of the store/mall 2-68
  • 69. Market Identification  Trading Area Is the geographic area from which a retailer, or group of retailers, or community draws its customers. 2-69
  • 70. Elements in Trading-Area Selection Population Economic Base Characteristics Characteristics Nature and Saturation of Competition 2-70
  • 71. Benefits of Trading Area Analysis  Discovery of  Assessment of effects of consumer trading area overlap demographics and  Ascertain whether chain’s socioeconomic competitors will open characteristics nearby  Opportunity to  Discovery of ideal determine focus of number of outlets, promotional activities geographic weaknesses  Opportunity to view  Review of other issues, media coverage such as transportation patterns 2-71
  • 72. Selected Population Statistics for Trading Areas A and B Characteristics Area A Area B Total population, 2000 13,732 15,499 Population change, 1990-2000 +8.2 +2.5 College graduates, 25 +, 2000 (%) 41.4 39.2 Median household income, 2000 $61,236 $61,242 Managerial and professional 45.3 45.0 occupations (%), 2000 Which trading area would you consider as being the most attractive and why? 2-72
  • 73. The Segments of a Trading Area 2-73
  • 74. Trading Areas and Store Types Largest Department stores Supermarkets TRADING AREAS Apparel stores Gift stores Smallest Convenience stores 2-74
  • 75. Market Identification Retail Location Theories Market Demand Potential Market Supply Factors 2-75
  • 76. Retail Location Theories Retail Gravity Theory Saturation Theory Buying Power Index 2-76
  • 77. Retail Location Theories  Retail Gravity Theory Suggests that there are underlying consistencies in shopping behavior that yield to mathematical analysis and prediction based on the notion or concept of gravity. It is based on Newtonian gravitational principles, explains how large urbanized areas attract customers from smaller rural communities. 2-77
  • 78. Retail Location Theories The Formula used: d Dab = Pb 1+ Pa where Dab is the breaking point from city A, measured in miles along the road to city B; d is the distance between city A and city B along the major highway; Pa is the population of city A; and Pb is the population of city B. 2-78
  • 79. Retail Location Theories Point of Indifference Is the extremity of a city’s trading area where households would be indifferent between shopping in that city or an alternative city in a different geographical direction. 2-79
  • 80. Trading Area for City A Exhibit 7.6 2-80
  • 81. The break points are computed based on the formula: Exhibit 7.6 2-81
  • 82. Computation of the values using Reilly’s Law of Retail Gravitation From City_ to Computed value using the Point of equation Central City (A) Indifference: 18 From B to A = 14.5 X = 18 –14.5 = 3.5 1+√ 14000 240000 14 From C to A = 10.8 Y = 14 –10.8 = 3.2 1+√ 21000 240000 5 From D to A = 3.7 Z = 5 – 3.7 = 1.3 1+√ 30000 240000 2-82
  • 83. Limitations of Reilly’s Law Distance is only measured by major thoroughfares; some people will travel shorter distances along cross streets Travel time does not reflect distance traveled. Many people are more concerned with time traveled than with distance Actual distance may not correspond with perceptions of distance 2-83
  • 84. Illustration of Location Analysis How to apply Reilly’s Law for the Project 2-84
  • 85. The challenge of doing LA analysis in Singapore context  Urban state  Small geographical area  Efficient transportation system (no issue about mobility unlike US where customers commute if there larger malls)  In this project we will substitute population size (as shown in text) with mall size (square feet)  Reason: mall size becomes the “surrogate measure” of a centre’ attractiveness 2-85
  • 86. Mall B Floor Area 450K Sq Ft Mall C Floor Area 150K Sq Ft 25 km 10km Mall A Your Site Floor Area 250K Sq Ft 2-86
  • 87. Work out using the Reilly model d Dab = Pb 1+ Pa where Dab is the breaking point from city A, measured in miles along the road to city B; d is the distance between city A and city B along the major highway; Pa is the population of city A; and Substitute with floor area (square feet) of your own mall site Pb is the population of city B. Substitute with floor area (square feet) of another nearby mall that may attract similar customers 2-87
  • 88. Mall A and Mall B 25 Dab = 450 1+ 250 = 10.6km 2-88
  • 89. Mall A and Mall C 10 Dab = 150 1+ 250 = 5.6 km 2-89
  • 90. Mark off the break points Mall B Floor Area 450K Sq Ft Mall C Floor Area 150K Sq Ft 25 km 5.6 10km 10.6 Mall A Your Site Floor Area 250K Sq Ft 2-90
  • 91. Zone off the Trading Area Mall B Floor Area 450K Sq Ft Mall C Floor Area 150K Sq Ft 25 km 5.6 10km 10.6 Mall A Your Site Floor Area 250K Sq Ft 2-91
  • 92. Show the maps…your trading area could be triangular or even polygon 92
  • 93. Trading area mapped out against three malls 93
  • 94. Retail Location Theories Saturation Theory Examines how the demand for goods and services of a potential trading area is being served by current retail establishments in comparison with other potential markets. 2-94
  • 95. Retail Location Theories  Retail Store Saturation: is a condition where there is just enough store facilities for a given type of store to efficiently and satisfactorily serve the population and yield a fair profit to the owners. 2-95
  • 96. Retail Location Theories  Understored: is a condition in a community where the number of stores in relation to households is relatively low so that engaging in retailing is an attractive economic endeavor. 2-96
  • 97. Retail Location Theories  Overstored: is a condition in a community where the number of stores in relation to households is so large that engaging in retailing is usually unprofitable or marginally profitable. 2-97
  • 98. Retail Location Theories  Index of Retail Saturation (IRS) is the ratio of demand for a product (households in the geographic area multiplied by annual retail expenditures for a particular line of trade per household) divided by available supply (the square footage of retail facilities of a particular line of trade in a geographic area). 2-98
  • 99. Index of Retail Saturation (IRS) IRS = (H X RE)/RF Where IRS is the index of retail saturation for an area; H is the number of households in the area; RE is the annual retail expenditures for a particular line of trade per household in the area; RF is the square footage of retail facilities of a particular line of trade in the area (including square footage of the proposed store). 2-99
  • 100. Sample Question 11 from the text: 11. Compute the index of retail saturation for the following three markets. The data for department stores are as follows: MARKET A B C Retail expenditures per household $789 $875 $943 Square feet of retail space 600,000 488,000 808,000 Number of households 121,000 102,000 157,000 Based on these data, which market is most attractive? What additional data would you find helpful in determining the attractiveness of the three markets? 2-100
  • 101. Solution to Question 11 IRS (Market A) = (121,000 x $789) / 600,000 = 159.12 IRS (Market B) = (102,000 x $875) / 488,000 = 182.89 IRS (Market C) = (157,000 x $943) / 808,000 = 183.23 The most attractive market is Market-C with an IRS of 183.23 or $183.23 in expected sales per square foot. It would be helpful if additional information on various factors that influence market demand potential such as population characteristics, buyer behavior characteristics, household income, household age profile, household composition, community life cycle, population density and mobility. In addition supply factors such as square feet per store, square feet of space per employee, store growth, and the quality of competition should be analyzed. 2-101
  • 102. See also the ‘Planning Your Own Retail Business’ example The retail store that you are planning has an estimated circular trade radius of four miles. Within this four-mile radius, there is an average of 1,145 households per square mile. In a normal year, you expect that 47 percent of these households would visit your store (referred to as penetration) an average of 4.3 times (referred to as frequency). Based on these figures, what would you expect to be the traffic (i.e., number of visitors to your store per year)? (Hint: Traffic can be viewed as the square miles of the trade area multiplied by the household density multiplied by penetration, which is in turn multiplied by frequency.) Once you answer this question, do some sensitivity analysis, which is an assessment of how sensitive store traffic is to changes in your assumptions about penetration and frequency. What happens if penetration drops to 45 percent or rises to 50 percent? What happens if frequency drops to 4.0 times annually or rises to 4.5 times annually? In this analysis, only change one thing at a time and hold all other assumptions constant. 2-102
  • 103. Solution: Suggested Answer: One needs to first compute the following. 1. square miles of trade area = r2 = (22/7)(4)2 = 50.286 2. traffic = (square miles in trade area) x (household density) x (penetration) x (frequency) traffic = (50.286) x (1,145) X (47%) X (4.3) traffic = 116,364 Next do some sensitivity analysis. 2-103
  • 104. Solution (sensitivity analysis) Consider the following possible parameter values SQUARE HOUSEHOLD MILES IN (x) DENSITY (x) PENETRATION (x) FREQUENCY = TRAFFIC TRADE AREA 1 50.286 x 1145 x 47% x 4.3 = 116,364 2 50.286 x 1145 x 45% x 4.3 = 111,412 3 50.286 x 1145 x 50% x 4.3 = 123,792 4 50.286 x 1145 x 47% x 4.0 = 108,246 5 50.286 x 1145 x 47% x 4.5 = 121,776 2-104
  • 105. Retail Location Theories  Buying Power Index (BPI): is an indicator of a market’s overall retail potential and is composed of the weighted measures of effective buying income (personal income, including all nontax payments such as social security, minus all taxes), retail sales, and population size. 2-105
  • 106. Buying Power Index (BPI) BPI = 0.5(the area’s percentage of U.S. effective buying income) + 0.3(the area’s percentage of U.S. retail sales) + 0.2(the area’s percentage of U.S. population) 2-106
  • 107. Other Demand and Supply Factors - Market Demand Potential - Market Supply Factors 2-107
  • 108. Market Demand Potential  Population Characteristics  Buyer Behavior Characteristics  Household Income  Household Age Profile  Household Composition  Community Life Cycle  Population Density  Mobility 2-108
  • 109. Identifying Communities with High Demand Potential for Fast-Food Drive-In Restaurant Exhibit 7.7 2-109
  • 110. Market Supply Factors Square Feet Per Store Square Feet Per Employee Growth in Stores Quality of Competition 2-110
  • 111. Site Analysis Site Analysis Is the evaluation of the density of demand and supply within each market with the goal of identifying the best retail site(s). 2-111
  • 112. Site Analysis Size of Trading Areas Description of Trading Area Demand Density Supply Density Site Availability 2-112
  • 113. Site Analysis Size of Trading Areas  Applebaum developed a technique for estimating the trade area of a current store.  It involved interviewing a customer for each $100 in weekly sales. The customers were randomly selected and their home addresses obtained.  After the home addresses of the shoppers were plotted on a map one could make inferences about the trading area size and the competition.  This is sometimes referred to as ‘customer spotting’ 2-113
  • 114. But for new stores… the task is more difficult; however, there are some general rules that apply. 1. Stores that sell products that the customer wants to buy in the most convenient manner will have a smaller trading area 2. As customer mobility increases, the size of the trading area increases 3. As the size of the store increases, its trading area increases, because it can stock a broader and deeper assortment of merchandise, which will attract customers from greater distances. 2-114
  • 115. Some conclusions… 4. As the distance between competing stores increases, their trading areas will increase. 5. Natural and synthetic obstacles such as rivers, mountains, railroads, and freeways can abruptly stop the boundaries of a trading area 2-115
  • 116. Description of Trading Areas  Retailers can access at relatively low cost information concerning the trading area for various retail locations and the buyer behavior of the trading area.  Use descriptors to profile trading areas  Start with geo-demographic variables  Can be supplemented with lifestyle and behavioral factors  Neighborhood analysis  MapInfo  www.mapinfo.com 2-116
  • 117. Demand Density  Demand Density Is the extent to which the potential demand for the retailer’s goods and services is concentrated in certain census tracts, ZIP (postal) code areas, or parts of the community. 2-117
  • 118. Demand Density Map Exhibit 7.11
  • 119. Supply Density Supply Density The extent to which retailers are concentrated in different areas of the market under question. 2-119
  • 120. Store Density and Site Availability Map 2-120 Exhibit 7.12
  • 121. Checklist for Site Evaluations Exhibit 7.13 2-121
  • 122. Checklist for Site Evaluations Exhibit 7.13 2-122
  • 123. Checklist for Site Evaluations Exhibit 7.13 2-123
  • 124. Checklist for Site Evaluations Exhibit 7.13 2-124
  • 125. Checklist for Site Evaluations 2-125 Exhibit 7.13
  • 126. Site Selection Nature of Site Terms of Purchase or Lease Expected Profitability 2-126
  • 127. Site Selection  100 Percent Location Is when there is no better use for a site than the retail store that is being planned for that site. After all, all retailers should attempt to find a 100 percent location for their stores. A 100 percent location is a location where there is no better use for the site then the retail store that is being planned. Retailers should remember that what may be a 100 percent site for one store may not be for another. The best location for a supermarket may not be the best location for a discount department store 2-127
  • 128. Nature of Site Store Compatibility Exists when two similar retail businesses locate next to or nearby each other and they realize a sales volume greater than what they would have achieved if they were located apart from each other. 2-128
  • 129. Past Year Exam Questions MARKET SELECTION & LOCATION ANALYSIS (Chapter 7) 1-129