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Older people with complex needs in acute hospital beds 
Prof David Oliver 
Consultant Geriatrician, Visiting Fellow, King’s Fund & BGS President-elect 
Nuffield Trust Workshop 14th October 2014
Major geographical variation in admission rates and bed occupancy in over 65s 
Kings Fund Report Emergency Bed Use in Older People 2012. Imison C et al
Imison et al King’s Fund 2012
BMJ April 2013
EMERGENCY READMISSIONS: ENGLAND 1999-00 to 2009-100100,000200,000300,000400,000500,000600,000700,0001999-002000-012001-022002-032003-042004-052005-062006-072007-082008-092009-10YearNumber readmissions Age 0-15Age 16-74Age 75+ Age 16+ All ages 
Fastest Rise is in Over 75s
Wishful thinking and magic bullets on admission prevention?
Marion McMurdo BMJ Letters Jan 2013 
“SO MAKE HOSPITALS GOOD FOR OLD PEOPLE” "Hospitals are very bad places for old, frail people" asserts David Nicholson, chief executive of the NHS Commissioning Board, and suggests alternatives to hospital must be found Following this logic perhaps the solution to the lack of compassion in nurses to which he also refers might equally well be solved by admitting to hospital only patients who are not in need of compassion? 
“Here is a radical suggestion - make hospitals good places for old people. Few national providers would make such a blatantly ageist inference that its "core business" was too tricky to manage, and propose to solve "the problem" by ceasing to attempt to deal with it. The greatest burden of ill health falls on older people, making them the group encountered most commonly in clinical practice. But is appears that the impertinence of our older population in actually becoming unwell, and so requiring care, will no longer be tolerated in hospitals. The acute care of older people has progressed through being an inconvenience to being an anathema.”
Over 65s in hospital (England) (DH analysis of HES data) 
60% admissions 
70% bed days 
85% delayed transfers 
65% emergency readmissions 
75% deaths in hospital 
25% bed days are in over 85s 
80% of all stays over 2 weeks
High intensity users of hospital services have overlap of physical and social vulnerabilities
Modern Hospital Casemix 
1 in 4 adult beds occupied by someone with dementia (stay an average 7 days longer) 
Delirium affects 1 in 4 patients over 65 
Urinary incontinence 1 in 4 over 65 
1 in 4 over 65 have evidence of malnutrition 
Falls and falls injuries account for more bed days than MI and Stroke Combined 
Falls = 35% safety incidents (median age 82) 
Most over admissions over 70 have functional impairment and some need for MDT rehab (Hubbard 2005) – median barthel 12 
Hip fracture is a good example 
– 
Median Age 84, 12 month mortality 20-30%, 1 in 3 have dementia, 1 in 3 suffer delirium, 1 in 3 never return to former residence, 1 in 4 from care homes
Fried 1999
How frailty presents to services (Clegg and Young Lancet 2013) 
Fatigue 
Weight loss 
Frequent infections 
“Failure to thrive” 
Delirium 
Falls 
Immobility 
Fluctuating Disability 
Incontinence
Mudge et al (bear in mind, 10 days of bed rest = 14% loss of aerobic and 10% muscle capacity – Kortebein )
Harms of hospitalisation for frail older people 
Conventional big ticket safety incidents 
Poorly planned discharge 
Care transitions/co-ordination/communication 
Delirium 
Immobility 
Incontinence 
Malnutrition 
Institutionalisation 
Decompensation 
Premature decisions about future care needs in wrong setting
The solutions I know are set out here. 
Free at http://www.kingsfund.org.uk/ sites/files/kf/field/field_publication_file/making-health- care-systems-fit-ageing- population-oliver-foot- humphries-mar14.pdf 
Free slideset at 
http://www.kingsfund.org.uk/audio-video/improving-care- ageing-population-what- works 
Blog http://www.kingsfund.org.uk/ blog/2014/03/time-has-come- make-health-and-care- services-work-our-ageing- population
Structure of paper 
Intensely practical 
Aimed at those leading local services 
10 sections 
For each: 
– 
Goal 
– 
Current situation 
– 
“what we know can work” 
– 
Key references and resources 
– 
Good practice examples from around the UK (despite austerity and upheaval) 
Field tested/reviewed with many service leaders 
Widely endorsed. Cited by NHS England.
10 Components all of equal importance with older person at the centre 
End of life planning and care cuts across all
A story of how care can go wrong from HSJ commission on frail older people in hospital 
Even when people are essentially caring and trying to do their best 
From my work on HSJ Commission on care for frail older people 
During the animation, please watch actively 
Please reflect: 
“at every single stage, what could we have done differently to help support Mrs Andrews and her family?” 
Including what happened before she fell
Animation. Mrs Andrews’ Story from HSJ Commission 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fj_9HG_TWEM
Mrs Andrew’s Story 
Going through the components 
What could/should have happened instead? 
Many solutions lie either side of bed based acute care pathway 
LOS may be the wrong measure – bed occupancy and % of discharges within timeframes better?
Managing the Streams – from ECIST priorities in Acute Hospitals 
Identify the stream 
– 
Short stay Sick specialty Sick general Complex 
– 
Allocate early to teams skilled in that stream 
0 
50 
100 
150 
200 
250 
1 
3 
5 
7 
9 
11 
13 
15 
17 
19 
21 
23 
25 
27 
29 
31 
33 
35 
37 
39 
41 
43 
45 
47 
49 
51 
53 
55 
57 
59 
Length of stay (days) 
Number of patients 
Clarity of specialty criteria 
Specialty case management plan at 
Handover – no delays 
Green bed days vs. red bed days 
Short stay – manage to the hour 
Maximise ambulatory care 
Complex needs – how 
much is decompensation? 
Detect early and design 
simple rules for discharge 
Minimise handover 
Decompensation risk 
Early assertive management 
Green bed days vs. red bed days

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Prof David Oliver: older people and acute care.

  • 1. Older people with complex needs in acute hospital beds Prof David Oliver Consultant Geriatrician, Visiting Fellow, King’s Fund & BGS President-elect Nuffield Trust Workshop 14th October 2014
  • 2. Major geographical variation in admission rates and bed occupancy in over 65s Kings Fund Report Emergency Bed Use in Older People 2012. Imison C et al
  • 3. Imison et al King’s Fund 2012
  • 4.
  • 6.
  • 7. EMERGENCY READMISSIONS: ENGLAND 1999-00 to 2009-100100,000200,000300,000400,000500,000600,000700,0001999-002000-012001-022002-032003-042004-052005-062006-072007-082008-092009-10YearNumber readmissions Age 0-15Age 16-74Age 75+ Age 16+ All ages Fastest Rise is in Over 75s
  • 8. Wishful thinking and magic bullets on admission prevention?
  • 9. Marion McMurdo BMJ Letters Jan 2013 “SO MAKE HOSPITALS GOOD FOR OLD PEOPLE” "Hospitals are very bad places for old, frail people" asserts David Nicholson, chief executive of the NHS Commissioning Board, and suggests alternatives to hospital must be found Following this logic perhaps the solution to the lack of compassion in nurses to which he also refers might equally well be solved by admitting to hospital only patients who are not in need of compassion? “Here is a radical suggestion - make hospitals good places for old people. Few national providers would make such a blatantly ageist inference that its "core business" was too tricky to manage, and propose to solve "the problem" by ceasing to attempt to deal with it. The greatest burden of ill health falls on older people, making them the group encountered most commonly in clinical practice. But is appears that the impertinence of our older population in actually becoming unwell, and so requiring care, will no longer be tolerated in hospitals. The acute care of older people has progressed through being an inconvenience to being an anathema.”
  • 10. Over 65s in hospital (England) (DH analysis of HES data) 60% admissions 70% bed days 85% delayed transfers 65% emergency readmissions 75% deaths in hospital 25% bed days are in over 85s 80% of all stays over 2 weeks
  • 11. High intensity users of hospital services have overlap of physical and social vulnerabilities
  • 12. Modern Hospital Casemix 1 in 4 adult beds occupied by someone with dementia (stay an average 7 days longer) Delirium affects 1 in 4 patients over 65 Urinary incontinence 1 in 4 over 65 1 in 4 over 65 have evidence of malnutrition Falls and falls injuries account for more bed days than MI and Stroke Combined Falls = 35% safety incidents (median age 82) Most over admissions over 70 have functional impairment and some need for MDT rehab (Hubbard 2005) – median barthel 12 Hip fracture is a good example – Median Age 84, 12 month mortality 20-30%, 1 in 3 have dementia, 1 in 3 suffer delirium, 1 in 3 never return to former residence, 1 in 4 from care homes
  • 14. How frailty presents to services (Clegg and Young Lancet 2013) Fatigue Weight loss Frequent infections “Failure to thrive” Delirium Falls Immobility Fluctuating Disability Incontinence
  • 15. Mudge et al (bear in mind, 10 days of bed rest = 14% loss of aerobic and 10% muscle capacity – Kortebein )
  • 16. Harms of hospitalisation for frail older people Conventional big ticket safety incidents Poorly planned discharge Care transitions/co-ordination/communication Delirium Immobility Incontinence Malnutrition Institutionalisation Decompensation Premature decisions about future care needs in wrong setting
  • 17. The solutions I know are set out here. Free at http://www.kingsfund.org.uk/ sites/files/kf/field/field_publication_file/making-health- care-systems-fit-ageing- population-oliver-foot- humphries-mar14.pdf Free slideset at http://www.kingsfund.org.uk/audio-video/improving-care- ageing-population-what- works Blog http://www.kingsfund.org.uk/ blog/2014/03/time-has-come- make-health-and-care- services-work-our-ageing- population
  • 18. Structure of paper Intensely practical Aimed at those leading local services 10 sections For each: – Goal – Current situation – “what we know can work” – Key references and resources – Good practice examples from around the UK (despite austerity and upheaval) Field tested/reviewed with many service leaders Widely endorsed. Cited by NHS England.
  • 19. 10 Components all of equal importance with older person at the centre End of life planning and care cuts across all
  • 20. A story of how care can go wrong from HSJ commission on frail older people in hospital Even when people are essentially caring and trying to do their best From my work on HSJ Commission on care for frail older people During the animation, please watch actively Please reflect: “at every single stage, what could we have done differently to help support Mrs Andrews and her family?” Including what happened before she fell
  • 21. Animation. Mrs Andrews’ Story from HSJ Commission https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fj_9HG_TWEM
  • 22. Mrs Andrew’s Story Going through the components What could/should have happened instead? Many solutions lie either side of bed based acute care pathway LOS may be the wrong measure – bed occupancy and % of discharges within timeframes better?
  • 23. Managing the Streams – from ECIST priorities in Acute Hospitals Identify the stream – Short stay Sick specialty Sick general Complex – Allocate early to teams skilled in that stream 0 50 100 150 200 250 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53 55 57 59 Length of stay (days) Number of patients Clarity of specialty criteria Specialty case management plan at Handover – no delays Green bed days vs. red bed days Short stay – manage to the hour Maximise ambulatory care Complex needs – how much is decompensation? Detect early and design simple rules for discharge Minimise handover Decompensation risk Early assertive management Green bed days vs. red bed days