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從『資料思考』到數據兌現
商業流程如何導入資料科學概念
劉佳欣 (Rafe Liu)
snexuz@gmail.com
1
劉佳欣 (Rafe C. H. Liu)
 交通大學運輸與物流管理學系博士
○ 消費者行為、航空營收管理
○ 、 、
 Manager, Data Science and Analytics
2
DATADATA DATA
旅遊電商 資料科學 R
Data Products
3
impact/effort grid
4https://blog.intercom.com/first-rule-prioritization-no-snacking/
Types of Analytics Capability
5Source: Gartner Says Advanced Analytics Is a Top Business Priority (October 2014)
描述型分析
診斷型分析
預測型分析
指示(處方)型分析
what
why
what likely
how
COST
RISKS
Data Products
6
Research &
Development
Business
Managerial Level
Operational Level
Reporting BI
Customized
Analytics
QA, QC Monitoring
and Control
Data Models and
Algorithms
一張圖表讀出千萬商機?
7
電子商務資料科學應用場景 (Application Scenario)
 資料管理平台
○ 顧客買了什麼?  銷售趨勢掌握
○ 什麼賣的最好?  訂單分析
○ 哪些顧客在買?  客群分析 (RFM Clustering)
○ 怎麼讓顧客買得更順利,更快找到商品?  搜尋優化 (Search Ranking)
○ 如何讓顧客買更多?個性化銷售?  推薦系統 (Recommender)
○ ….
 資料產品
○ 個性化服務 (CRM)
○ 流程優化 (Optimization)
○ 服務升級 (Automation)
• ChatBot (NLP): HipMonk
• 攜程小詩機 (Image Recognition, Text Mining + NLP)
8
9https://blog.dataiku.com/machine-learning-explained-algorithms-are-your-friend
趨勢、相關、預測
彈性分析 (log, double-log)
客戶留存率 (Churn Rate)
存活分析
客戶購買因素
點擊分析
離散、連續型的分類預測
多棵決策樹
顧客分群 (RFM)
推薦系統
改良隨機森林學習演算法
Kaggle 比賽勝率最高
圍棋
影像識別
自然語言處理
金融相關
APPLICATIONS
(包括但不限於)
欺生 殺熟
10
EDA
11
Exploratory Data Analysis
12
“A Good Picture
is worth
a thousand words”
13厭世動物園 @zooofdepression
Select / Read the chart
• Purpose, Target audience
• Data: Types, Dimensionality
• Messages - chart types
– Composition / Distribution
– Relationship / Comparison
– Time
• Combo / Special charts
• Describe charts
– Units!
– size, position, changes, outliers
– shifts, trends, areas
– color groups, patterns
14
15
http://www.storytellingwithdata.com/2013/04/chart-chooser.html
16
A B C D C
A
B
D
表格
TABLE
長條圖
BAR CHARTS
17
交叉表
CROSS TABLE
A B C D
X1
X2
X3
C B D A
X2
X3
X1
堆疊圖
STACKED CHART
18
柏拉圖 PARETO CHART
A B C D
%unit
19
散佈圖 SCATTER PLOT
X
Y
20
象限圖 QUADRANT CHART
III
III IV
21
泡泡圖 BUBBLE CHART
What You Sell
22https://blog.omniconvert.com/ecommerce-customer-retention-rate-optimization.html/
23
Qty
銷售數量
Price
商品平均單價
Qty
銷售數量
Gross Profit
商品平均毛利
Qty
銷售數量
Margin
單一商品毛利率
Qty
銷售數量
Margin
單一商品毛利率
Qty
銷售數量
Margin
單一商品毛利率
Price
商品平均單價
Gross Profit
商品平均毛利
Qty
銷售數量
Income
收入
period cty. prod_no Qty Income
2018.5 JP HFZ00000000 5 15,000
2018.5 JP HFZ00000021 8 25,600
period cty. prod_no Qty Income
Price
(avg.)
Cost
(avg.)
2018.5 JP HFZ00000000 5 15,000 3,000 2,500
2018.5 JP HFZ00000021 8 25,600 3,200 3,000
period cty. prod_no Qty Income
Price
(avg.)
Cost
(avg.)
Gross Profit
(avg.)
margin
2018.5 JP HFZ00000000 5 15,000 3,000 2,500 150 5%
2018.5 JP HFZ00000021 8 25,600 3,200 3,000 200 6.25%
period cty. prod_no Qty Income
Price
(avg.)
Cost
(avg.)
Gross Profit
(avg.)
margin
2018.5 JP HFZ00000000 5 15,000 3,000 2,500 150 5%
2018.5 JP HFZ00000021 8 25,600 3,200 3,000 200 6.25%
2018.5 KR HFZ00000168 3 6,000 2,000 1,800 200 10%
Leveraging Data
24
資料團隊
25
TimTeam
Data Teams
 Linkedin
○ Decision Sciences Team,
which analyzed key product metrics and explored usage data.
○ Product Data Science team,
is an amazing group of data scientists who came up with
innovative new data-powered features that give off new data
for analysis.
26
Booking.com
LinkedIn had one of the first data science teams. Now it’s breaking up the band (2014)
Analytics & Research
Product Management
Team Roles
27
Business
Analyst
Domain Expert
Qualitative
(Planning)
Business Insights
Strategy
Excel, R
…
Data
Scientist
Analytical skills
Scientific
(Exploration)
Data Analysis
Modeling
R, Python
…
Data
Engineer
Computer Science
Engineering
(Development)
Technical skills
Implementation
Python, Java, Scala
…
include but not limited to
Data Team
28
TEAM
ROLES
ANALYTICAL
STACKS
METHOD
-OLOGY
TASKS
skills tools
arch.
Managerial
Science
Engineering
PCs, Self-hosting Server
Google, AWS, Microsoft
Excel
R, Python
Java, Scala
Business Analyst
Data Scientist
Data Engineer
Data Acquirement
Data Management
Analytics
Reporting
Deployment
Multivariate Analysis
Machine Learning
Data Mining
Deep Learning, AI
29https://www.datacamp.com/community/tutorials/data-science-industry-infographic
TheDataScienceIndustry
Data Scientists Skill Sets
30
Clustering Data Scientists
31
250 self-reporting web survey
Source: H.D. Harris et al. (2013), Analyzing the Analyzers
Data
Business
Person
Data
Creative
Data
Developer
Data
Researcher
Business
ML/BigData
Math/OR
Programming
Statistics
Skills Groups
“I think of myself as a/an X”
Data Business Person Leader Business Person Entrepreneur
Data Creative Jack of All Trades Artist Hacker
Data Developer Developer Engineer
Data Researcher Researcher Scientist Statistician
32
Two interesting things happened in 1990s:
• The number of new colors started to
grow exponentially.
• Pink/purple hues began to appear. It
may have something to do with Lego’s
business strategy and it’s said Lego
wants to build stronger ties with girls’
market
https://medium.com/@yanhann10/the-color-history-of-lego-bricks-
1e83ffea7b6d
33https://tbaldw.in/ | https://tbaldw.in/citibike-trips/
Data Science
34
You can have data without information, but you
cannot have information without data.
https://research.facebook.com/
35
Analytical Thinking
分析性思考
有邏輯、有資料分析、數據佐證、有理論基礎
36https://www.analyticsvidhya.com/blog/2015/07/difference-machine-learning-statistical-modeling/
37
State-of-the-art
鄉民、工匠、大師
38
工具人
製造工具的人
使用工具的人
實作應用的人
svd(m)
39
Bring Data to Life
from theory to practice
40
Domain Knowledge
41http://www.busandcoach.travel/
42http://bikes.oobrien.com/
43
資料不會騙人
… 但是給你資料的人會 …
44吳文元 > 路上觀察學院 (201709)
XX 油飯、米糕、湯圓,
是我吃過的,超美味的台中美食
~林肯 (1809-1865)~
不要因為配著林肯的照片,
就隨便相信林肯的話!
您應該要自己 獨立思判,
親自去鑑定嘗試才對!
~阿爾伯特,愛因斯坦~
輝記
專業米糕、油飯、湯圓
Thanks
劉佳欣 (Rafe Liu)
snexuz@gmail.com
45

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