Session led by Ian Flatt of Camoin Associates at NYATEP 2015 (New York Association of Training & Employment Professionals)
The newly implemented WIOA legislation requires workforce development boards, and their partners, develop "data-driven" strategies that support employers and workers - but where do you get the data to create these strategies?
During this session, Ian presented a variety of FREE economic and labor market data sources. Understanding these topics as they related to your community and how it compares to regional, state, and national trends is essential to developing informed strategies to assist both job seekers and employers.
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Workforce Analysis
Presentation Goals:
• Present variety of quality data sources
• Identify ways they can be used to support your work
Purpose of Workforce Analysis:
• Develop-data driven strategies
• Strategically deploy resources to most high need industries
and individuals
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Questions
•Do you use economic/workforce data?
•If yes, for what purpose? (advising clients, developing
strategies, etc.?)
•How could workforce and economic data support your
work?
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Workforce Analysis
Uses:
• Identify growth industries
• Identify growth occupations
• Direct clients to training for in-demand occupations with
strong wages
• Identify populations with barriers to employment
• Track progress to strategic goals
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Basic Guidelines
• Compare data to benchmarks – state, US, or other similar
communities or regions
• Track most recent data, trends over time, and projections
• Verify data with employers and ED partners
• Review regularly and make appropriate updates
• Keep an eye on current events and trends – could change
what the data is telling you
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Definitions
North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) Codes
• Standard used by Federal statistical agencies in classifying
business
Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) Codes
• System is used by Federal statistical agencies to classify
workers into occupational categories
• All workers are classified into one of 840 detailed
occupations according to their occupational definition
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US Cluster Mapping Project
• Product of Harvard Business School
and US Economic Development
Administration
• Provides in-depth information about
industry clusters
• Data about changes in employment,
unemployment rates, labor force
participation, and wages
• Can create custom regions (e.g.
multi-county WF regions)
http://www.clustermapping.us/
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US Cluster Mapping
Strengths:
• Easily download data
• Can create custom regions
• Variety of data
• Divides clusters between “Traded” and “Local”
Limitations:
• Not always clear what NAICS codes the clusters refer to
(check the definitions if not sure)
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Map a wide range
of variables
At the county, state,
economic area, or
MSA levels
Select date range
Create custom regions
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US Cluster Mapping Project
• Using data available
from US Clusters
Mapping, we can easily
identify:
• The largest industries
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US Cluster Mapping Project
• Using data available
from US Clusters
Mapping, we can easily
identify:
• The largest industries
• Industries that added
the most jobs
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US Cluster Mapping Project
• Using data available
from US Clusters
Mapping, we can easily
identify:
• The largest industries
• Industries that added
the most jobs
• Fastest growing
industries
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US Cluster Mapping:
Other Available Information
• Shift Share Analysis (industry competitiveness)
• Location Quotient (industry specialization)
• Compare region to other geographies
• Identify communities with similar employment trends – can
be good for future benchmarks
• Demographic information
• Definitions of clusters (i.e. the NAICS codes included)
provided
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NYS Department of Labor
• http://labor.ny.gov/stats/index.shtm
• Offers projected changes in employment for:
• Occupations
• Industries
• Provides data related to wages, etc.
• Provides labor force and unemployment data by county,
LWIA, and region
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Employment and wages
by occupation – available
for regions only
Employment and wages by
industry (past and current) –
available at county, LWIA,
MSA, and regional levels
Projections available
statewide and for regions
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Occupation Data
• Shows detailed occupations
• Breaks out employment demand between new and
replacement demand
• Detailed wage information
• Skill requirements and typical education requirements
• Categorizes occupations by future employment prospects
based on growth rates and number of openings
• Available for state and regions ONLY
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American Community Survey
• Socioeconomic and demographic data – past and current
• Age
• Education
• Income
• Veteran status
• Number of individuals with disabilities
http://factfinder.census.gov/faces/nav/jsf/pages/index.xhtml
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Veteran Employment
• Nearly 9% unemployment rate
• Nearly 7% live in poverty
Labor Force Participation 75.3%
Unemployment Rate 8.7%
Poverty Rate 6.9%
Veterans - ACS 2009-2013 Survey
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Individuals with a Disability
• In the US, individuals with disabilities account for about 11% of
unemployed and over 25% of people not in the labor force
• Only account for 5% of employed individuals
% of People
with Disabilities
% of Total
Population
Employed 33% 5%
Unemployed 8% 11%
Not in Labor Force 59% 26%
People with Disabilities
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Opportunity Index
• Ranks communities based on income, education, health
indicators, availability of doctors, and a variety of other
factors
http://opportunityindex.org/
Strengths:
• Available by county and state
• Easily see how county compares
• Regularly updated
• Easy to view snapshot or data dashboard
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Opportunity Index
• Ranks communities based on income, education, health
indicators, availability of doctors, and a variety of other
factors
Limitations:
• Difficult to download (approve requests to download data
on a case-by-case basis)
• Cannot make custom regions
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• “Report Card” Style
Format
• Breakdown and
comparison to state
and US
• Detailed economic,
education, and
demographic data
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• See how data
has changed
over time
• Detailed
education and
demographic
info
• One of the only
sources for
“disconnected”
or “idle youth”
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The unemployment rate
in this county has
decreased since 2011,
however the median
income has remained
stagnant and the poverty
rate has increased
The % of households
spending more than 30%
of income on housing
costs has increased –
could indicate a growing
need for workforce
housing
See how data has
changed over time
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On The Map
• Provides information about commuting patterns
• Reveals the kinds of jobs workers commute to or from an
area for
• Answer questions:
• Do employers need to recruit from outside of the area
for fill jobs?
• Do workers need to leave your area to find suitable jobs?
http://onthemap.ces.census.gov/
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On The Map
• Is your area a labor
importer or exporter?
• Saratoga exports about
24,000 more workers than
it imports
• About 36,000 workers live
and work in Saratoga
County
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On The Map
• Most Saratoga residents commute
to Albany for work
• After Albany, about 11% are
employed in the City of Saratoga
Springs
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On The Map
• Most Saratoga residents are
employed in Saratoga Springs
• Residents of Schenectady, Troy,
and Glens Falls commute to
Saratoga for work
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Other Resources
• Cornell Cooperative Extension: Demographic information
and county profiles
• Detailed Migration Data: University of Wisconsin
• U.S. HUD: free data on all things housing
• MIT Living Wage Calculator: find out what the living wage is
in your community
• EMSI: proprietary source for economic and workforce data
(not free)
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Thank you!
• Give Rob or Ian your business card to receive the
PowerPoint by email!
• You can also find it on our blog
Questions?
Editor's Notes
Questions for audience:
Have you used economic and labor force data in the past? For what purpose (strategy, advising clients, etc.)?
Are you able to find the data you need to perform your job?
How comfortable are you using data?
What are the greatest opportunities to incorporate data into your job?
Benchmarks provide context for changes – if employment grew by 2% in your community, how does that compare to other communities? Is that strong or weak growth?
Meet with employers and talk about the trends you are seeing in data – are they experiencing similar changes
Meet with your ED partners – are they noticing similar trends?
Don’t let all the work go to waste – regularly update your data and revisit your strategies – are they still appropriate?
Don’t get bogged down in the data – things going on in the real world can shift trends or change projections. For example, an industry could go from adding jobs to shedding jobs due to automation
These are the types of data that we have found most useful when conducting economic, workforce, and labor market analyses
Will not use every data point for every type of analysis
Quickly compare your county or region to others – using the map function
Map a variety of variables – including employment, wages, industry specialization, poverty rate, and population growth
Data is presented in quality, professional charts that can easily be inserted into annual or board reports
In the Capital Region, the Financial Services and Information Technology clusters have the highest wages – at $116,000 and $98,000 respectively – these are near the US averages
Once you have identified the industry clusters important to your region, find out which sub-clusters in that industry cluster account for the most employment, fastest employment growth, and highest wages
Largest industries – can have huge demand for new workers
Replacement demand is often a major driven of demand for workers
The foundation of economy – large disruptions in your top industries can have ripple effect throughout economy
Shows the industries that have the most demand for new workers
Just b/c an industry is declining in employment does not mean it should be ignored
Could still have demand for new workers due to people retiring
May be reducing its workforce because of automation – while it may not need as many workers, it may need workers with higher skill levels
By observing the % of change in the industry – that is, how much employment in the industry changed as a percentage of the original employment level – you can see which industries have an especially high demand for workers, compared to the original employment levels. While sometimes, high growth rates in an industry can be associated with industries that still have a relatively small workforce.
A high employment growth rate in an industry can have ramifications for the types of training that need to be provided – for example, if an industry grows from 50 to 100 workers (a growth rate of 100%), the educational institutions in the area may not have the capacity or the programs in place to train that number of workers
These are the types of data that we have found most useful when conducting economic, workforce, and labor market analyses
Will not use every data point for every type of analysis
For example, we can learn that employment in Food Manufacturing is projected to grow by 410 jobs in the Southern Tier region – we do not know specifically which industries are projected to grow
For example, we can learn that employment in Food Manufacturing is projected to grow by 410 jobs in the Southern Tier region – we do not know specifically which industries are projected to grow
Get a sense of the industries that are projected to add the most jobs
Unfortunately – not at a very detailed level of industry classification
However, once you know the industries projected to add the most jobs, you can find out more information about the cluster using the US Cluster Mapping
Herkimer/Madison/Oneida LWIA
These are the types of data that we have found most useful when conducting economic, workforce, and labor market analyses
Will not use every data point for every type of analysis
These are the types of data that we have found most useful when conducting economic, workforce, and labor market analyses
Will not use every data point for every type of analysis
These are the types of data that we have found most useful when conducting economic, workforce, and labor market analyses
Will not use every data point for every type of analysis
These are the types of data that we have found most useful when conducting economic, workforce, and labor market analyses
Will not use every data point for every type of analysis