EU dairy output is decreasing in early 2015 in the largest producers, France and Germany, due to the super levy and poor profitability. UK output is growing more slowly at 1.1% as strong sterling damages milk prices and reduces profitability. Overall moderate global dairy output growth is expected in 2015 as drought impacts California and low milk prices contain expansion in other regions like the EU. Dairy markets remain weak due to plentiful global supplies, though butter may find some support from US demand.