Credit rating process of sovereign bonds
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how sovereign bonds is getting rated by top three rating agencies like Moody's, Standard and poor and fitch.
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- 1. FIXED INCOME SECURITIES Credit rating process of sovereign bonds with respect to Indian sovereign bonds Submitted to Prof . Lakhani
- 2. Team Lalit(96) Unnikrishnan (98) Pooja (94) Rekha(104) Rachana(103)
- 3. Sovereign bond Also knows as government bonds. One of the oldest investment asset class in the world Issued by the government. Denominated in local or foreign currency.
- 4. Sovereign bonds yield Creditworthiness Country RiskExchange Rate Three major determinants
- 6. Why to invest in sovereign bond safest investments produce impressive returns issued by national governments
- 7. Risk from sovereign bonds Government’s willingness to pay Countries with 1. Weak economy 2. High debt burden 3. Weak or volatile currency 4. Little ability to collect taxes finds difficult to pay back its debt Credit risk Currency risk Inflation risk
- 9. • Evaluation of the credit worthiness of a debtorCredit rating • credit rating of a sovereign entity, i.e. a national government Sovereign credit rating
- 10. Fitch S&P Moody’s The players and the game
- 11. What Is a Sovereign Debt Crisis? With Examples • Greek ( Debt to GDP ratio reached to 175 %) • Iceland (Bankruptcy, took $62 billion debt while GDP was only $14 billion) • Eurozone ( Took the advantage of lower interest rates) 1. Ireland 2. Italy 3. Portugal
- 14. Determinants of Sovereign ratings Per capita income. GDP growth Inflation Fiscal balance External balance External debt Economic development Monetary policy Exports and imports
- 17. Indian economy forecast 2015 2020 IN Currency 64.81 58.43 - Stock market 26904.11 29700 Index points Government bond 10y 7.55 8.31 percent GDP 2066.90 2486 USD Billion GDP per capita 1262.64 2374 USD Export prices 21266.31 38179 USD Million Import Prices 33744.28 49600 USD Million Interest rates 6.75 4.5 percent Government spending 3100.18 2855 INR Billion Corporate tax rate 34.61 30 Percent Government revenues 3455.36 3868 INR Billion Government debt to GDP 65.50 64.09 Percent FDI 1943.00 3836 USD Million Corruption rank 74 -