This document contains projections of COVID-19 cases and deaths in 22 US counties as of October 5, 2020. It includes data on cumulative and daily cases and deaths as well as case mortality rates for each county. The largest counties included are Los Angeles County, CA with nearly 300,000 cases, Riverside County, CA with over 65,000 cases, and San Diego County, CA with over 55,000 cases. Other heavily impacted counties listed are from New York, New Jersey, and Washington.

1. US Counties
US Counties: 1

2. New York City
254,915
23,944
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
New York City projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 246,417 (532) -- Deaths: 23,828 (5) -- Case Mortality: 9.7% -- Daily Change: +4.7% Cases, +6.5% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 2

3. Westchester County, NY
39,421
1,457
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Westchester County, NY projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 38,475 (44) -- Deaths: 1,454 (0) -- Case Mortality: 3.8% -- Daily Change: +3.3% Cases, -27.2% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 3

4. Bergen County, NJ
23,495
2,049
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Bergen County, NJ projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 22,734 (42) -- Deaths: 2,047 (0) -- Case Mortality: 9.0% -- Daily Change: +4.4% Cases, +11.5% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 4

5. Hudson County, NJ
21,380
1,528
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Hudson County, NJ projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 20,897 (28) -- Deaths: 1,519 (0) -- Case Mortality: 7.3% -- Daily Change: +6.5% Cases, +6.9% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 5

6. King County (Seattle)
25,308
810
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
King County (Seattle) projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 23,022 (106) -- Deaths: 768 (0) -- Case Mortality: 3.3% -- Daily Change: +4.9% Cases, -14.9% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 6

7. Clark County, Washington
5,222
82
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Clark County, Washington projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 3,450 (21) -- Deaths: 69 (0) -- Case Mortality: 2.0% -- Daily Change: -4.5% Cases, +13.9% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 7

8. Los Angeles
298,497
7,290
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Los Angeles projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 274,565 (927) -- Deaths: 6,647 (5) -- Case Mortality: 2.4% -- Daily Change: -0.1% Cases, -1.0% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 8

9. Bay Area
74,534
1,153
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Marin, Napa, San Mateo, San Francisco, Santa Clara, Solano, and Sonoma Counties
Bay Area projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 66,428 (300) -- Deaths: 929 (12) -- Case Mortality: 1.4% -- Daily Change: -0.7% Cases, +2.0% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 9

10. Marin County, California
7,195
149
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Marin County, California projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 6,773 (9) -- Deaths: 119 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.8% -- Daily Change: -6.6% Cases, -8.4% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 10

11. Napa County, California
1,988
13
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Napa County, California projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 1,752 (15) -- Deaths: 13 (0) -- Case Mortality: 0.7% -- Daily Change: -0.9% Cases, NaN% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 11

12. San Francisco
12,831
136
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
San Francisco projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 11,475 (61) -- Deaths: 108 (1) -- Case Mortality: 0.9% -- Daily Change: -1.0% Cases, +4.3% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 12

13. San Mateo County, California
11,507
174
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
San Mateo County, California projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 10,207 (0) -- Deaths: 152 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.5% -- Daily Change: -1.4% Cases, -4.4% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 13

14. Santa Clara County, California
24,602
419
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Santa Clara County, California projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 21,840 (106) -- Deaths: 344 (11) -- Case Mortality: 1.6% -- Daily Change: -0.2% Cases, +9.7% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 14

15. Alameda County, California
23,820
584
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Alameda County, California projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 21,708 (87) -- Deaths: 426 (0) -- Case Mortality: 2.0% -- Daily Change: -1.7% Cases, -4.1% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 15

16. San Luis Obispo, California
4,276
44
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
San Luis Obispo, California projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 3,685 (0) -- Deaths: 31 (0) -- Case Mortality: 0.8% -- Daily Change: -2.7% Cases, +0.8% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 16

17. Fresno, California
31,113
511
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Fresno, California projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 28,975 (120) -- Deaths: 399 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.4% -- Daily Change: +0.1% Cases, -1.6% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 17

18. Santa Barbara County, California
9,956
130
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Santa Barbara County, California projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 9,256 (7) -- Deaths: 115 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.2% -- Daily Change: -2.0% Cases, -4.2% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 18

19. Merced County, California
9,550
178
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Merced County, California projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 9,033 (0) -- Deaths: 145 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.6% -- Daily Change: -0.9% Cases, -8.0% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 19

20. Yolo County, California
3,071
60
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Yolo County, California projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 2,879 (12) -- Deaths: 56 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.9% -- Daily Change: +4.7% Cases, -3.8% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 20

21. San Diego County
55,255
898
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
San Diego County projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 48,436 (236) -- Deaths: 803 (5) -- Case Mortality: 1.7% -- Daily Change: +0.5% Cases, -13.7% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 21

22. Riverside County
65,407
1,426
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Riverside County projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 59,991 (57) -- Deaths: 1,231 (0) -- Case Mortality: 2.1% -- Daily Change: -2.5% Cases, -2.0% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 22

23. Imperial County
12,932
349
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Imperial County projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 12,047 (0) -- Deaths: 326 (0) -- Case Mortality: 2.7% -- Daily Change: -3.0% Cases, +6.3% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 23

24. Multnomah County (Portland)
8,685
169
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Multnomah County (Portland) projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 7,516 (61) -- Deaths: 144 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.9% -- Daily Change: +1.9% Cases, -0.9% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 24

25. Utah County
31,778
72
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Utah County projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 20,831 (408) -- Deaths: 61 (0) -- Case Mortality: 0.3% -- Daily Change: -1.0% Cases, +11.4% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 25

26. Summit County, Utah
1,232
1
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Summit County, Utah projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 1,065 (19) -- Deaths: 1 (0) -- Case Mortality: 0.1% -- Daily Change: +5.5% Cases, NaN% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 26

27. De Soto Parish, Louisiana
998
36
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
De Soto Parish, Louisiana projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 925 (11) -- Deaths: 35 (0) -- Case Mortality: 3.8% -- Daily Change: +2.6% Cases, -17.9% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 27

28. St. Francois County, Missouri
2,935
35
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
St. Francois County, Missouri projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 2,211 (9) -- Deaths: 14 (0) -- Case Mortality: 0.6% -- Daily Change: -1.4% Cases, +5.9% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 28

29. Howard County, Missouri
230
2
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Howard County, Missouri projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 188 (3) -- Deaths: 2 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.1% -- Daily Change: +7.4% Cases, NaN% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 29

30. Cooper County, Missouri
658
2
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Cooper County, Missouri projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 473 (2) -- Deaths: 2 (0) -- Case Mortality: 0.4% -- Daily Change: +2.0% Cases, NaN% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 30

31. Trousdale County, Tennessee
1,422
7
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Trousdale County, Tennessee projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 1,687 (4) -- Deaths: 7 (0) -- Case Mortality: 0.4% -- Daily Change: +7.0% Cases, NaN% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 31

32. Harris County (Houston)
196,292
2,948
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Harris County (Houston) projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 147,808 (510) -- Deaths: 2,626 (2) -- Case Mortality: 1.8% -- Daily Change: -10.0% Cases, -3.0% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 32

33. Dallas, Texas
93,592
1,319
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Dallas, Texas projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 83,178 (260) -- Deaths: 1,148 (4) -- Case Mortality: 1.4% -- Daily Change: -2.7% Cases, -4.8% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 33

34. Tarrant County (Fort Worth)
59,183
843
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tarrant County (Fort Worth) projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 52,100 (601) -- Deaths: 734 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.4% -- Daily Change: +7.1% Cases, +1.0% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 34

35. Collin County, Texas
18,319
196
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Collin County, Texas projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 15,568 (20) -- Deaths: 152 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.0% -- Daily Change: +14.7% Cases, -0.7% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 35

36. Bexar County (San Antonio)
73,246
1,535
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Bexar County (San Antonio) projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 58,678 (494) -- Deaths: 1,332 (3) -- Case Mortality: 2.3% -- Daily Change: -11.6% Cases, -0.8% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 36

37. Hidalgo County, Texas
35,995
2,349
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Hidalgo County, Texas projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 32,406 (0) -- Deaths: 1,740 (0) -- Case Mortality: 5.4% -- Daily Change: -4.3% Cases, -2.5% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 37

38. Travis County (Austin)
32,242
465
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Travis County (Austin) projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 29,799 (49) -- Deaths: 430 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.4% -- Daily Change: -2.6% Cases, -0.7% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 38

39. El Paso County, Texas
30,109
624
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
El Paso County, Texas projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 25,569 (363) -- Deaths: 534 (3) -- Case Mortality: 2.1% -- Daily Change: +5.0% Cases, -5.7% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 39

40. Tulsa County, Oklahoma
21,308
207
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Tulsa County, Oklahoma projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 17,820 (0) -- Deaths: 168 (0) -- Case Mortality: 0.9% -- Daily Change: -0.7% Cases, +1.2% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 40

41. McLean County, Illinois
3,999
40
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
McLean County, Illinois projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 3,418 (25) -- Deaths: 24 (0) -- Case Mortality: 0.7% -- Daily Change: -0.5% Cases, -6.6% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 41

42. Cook County, Illinois
164,130
5,427
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Cook County, Illinois projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 148,381 (540) -- Deaths: 5,256 (11) -- Case Mortality: 3.5% -- Daily Change: +0.8% Cases, +1.4% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 42

43. Suffolk County (Boston)
26,864
1,176
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Suffolk County (Boston) projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 24,987 (116) -- Deaths: 1,142 (0) -- Case Mortality: 4.6% -- Daily Change: +4.3% Cases, -0.2% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 43

44. Polk County, Iowa
18,797
296
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Polk County, Iowa projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 16,484 (34) -- Deaths: 271 (1) -- Case Mortality: 1.6% -- Daily Change: -3.2% Cases, +4.6% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 44

45. Johnson County, Iowa
5,811
29
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Johnson County, Iowa projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 5,264 (5) -- Deaths: 28 (0) -- Case Mortality: 0.5% -- Daily Change: -4.1% Cases, +24.7% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 45

46. Meade County, South Dakota (Sturgis)
972
13
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Meade County, South Dakota (Sturgis) projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 627 (19) -- Deaths: 5 (0) -- Case Mortality: 0.8% -- Daily Change: +2.9% Cases, -11.5% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 46

47. Erie County, New York
13,032
713
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Erie County, New York projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 11,767 (70) -- Deaths: 694 (0) -- Case Mortality: 5.9% -- Daily Change: +2.0% Cases, -7.0% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 47

48. Oakland County, Michigan
23,209
1,237
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Oakland County, Michigan projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 21,107 (0) -- Deaths: 1,207 (0) -- Case Mortality: 5.7% -- Daily Change: -3.0% Cases, +1.2% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 48

49. Washtenaw County, Michigan (Ann Arbor)
4,910
120
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Washtenaw County, Michigan (Ann Arbor) projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 3,890 (0) -- Deaths: 117 (0) -- Case Mortality: 3.0% -- Daily Change: -0.0% Cases, +9.4% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 49

50. Wayne County (Detroit)
38,746
3,074
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Wayne County (Detroit) projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 35,863 (0) -- Deaths: 2,995 (0) -- Case Mortality: 8.4% -- Daily Change: -2.3% Cases, -1.4% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 50

51. St. Louis (City)
8,085
228
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
St. Louis (City) projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 7,287 (33) -- Deaths: 213 (0) -- Case Mortality: 2.9% -- Daily Change: -0.0% Cases, +17.5% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 51

52. St. Louis (County)
32,396
984
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
St. Louis (County) projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 27,018 (147) -- Deaths: 868 (0) -- Case Mortality: 3.2% -- Daily Change: -1.0% Cases, +0.1% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 52

53. Baltimore (City)
16,561
510
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Baltimore (City) projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 15,954 (56) -- Deaths: 487 (0) -- Case Mortality: 3.1% -- Daily Change: +10.0% Cases, -16.4% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 53

54. Durham County, North Carolina
8,666
113
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Durham County, North Carolina projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 7,935 (0) -- Deaths: 97 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.2% -- Daily Change: -3.5% Cases, -1.4% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 54

55. Arlington County, Virginia
4,402
161
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Arlington County, Virginia projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 4,045 (19) -- Deaths: 151 (0) -- Case Mortality: 3.7% -- Daily Change: +0.9% Cases, -2.2% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 55

56. Cuyahoga County (Cleveland)
19,256
721
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Cuyahoga County (Cleveland) projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 17,910 (63) -- Deaths: 665 (0) -- Case Mortality: 3.7% -- Daily Change: +0.9% Cases, -4.1% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 56

57. Miami-Dade
180,927
4,115
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Miami-Dade projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 172,205 (329) -- Deaths: 3,334 (4) -- Case Mortality: 1.9% -- Daily Change: +1.1% Cases, -3.8% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 57

58. Maricopa County, Arizona
148,946
3,870
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Maricopa County, Arizona projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 143,183 (215) -- Deaths: 3,426 (2) -- Case Mortality: 2.4% -- Daily Change: +2.8% Cases, -3.9% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 58

59. Denver County
16,259
445
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Denver County projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 13,811 (100) -- Deaths: 435 (0) -- Case Mortality: 3.1% -- Daily Change: +1.3% Cases, -16.8% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 59

60. Arapahoe County, Colorado
11,069
379
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Arapahoe County, Colorado projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
1,000
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 9,690 (55) -- Deaths: 373 (0) -- Case Mortality: 3.8% -- Daily Change: +1.8% Cases, +5.2% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 60

61. Montrose County, Colorado
431
13
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Montrose County, Colorado projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 387 (1) -- Deaths: 13 (0) -- Case Mortality: 3.4% -- Daily Change: -8.4% Cases, NaN% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 61

62. Androscoggin County, Maine
908
10
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Cumulative
Phase
Pre-Model
Modeled
Deaths
Androscoggin County, Maine projection as of 2020-10-05
Mother'sDay
MemorialDay
July4th
July15,2020
LaborDay
1
10
100
CasesandDeaths/Day
Cases: 767 (9) -- Deaths: 10 (0) -- Case Mortality: 1.3% -- Daily Change: +3.0% Cases, NaN% Deaths
2020-10-05 US Counties: 62